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0 Subject: How to compose a solid TSN outfield

Posted by: Chuck
- Donor [550322311] Sat, Apr 19, 2003, 00:44

As I search through all of my teams, I notice 1 consistent problem area: my outfield. I've gone with different strategies on each, but they all seem to gravitate toward each other and have different problems.



This is my proposal for an OF at this point in the season. It would be interesting to hear what others are thinking, too. Give examples of a player to fill your spot if you think it needs clarification.

A disclaimer: This is my current idea of what I think things should be like, not what most of my teams actually look like.

******************************


Spot 1: Low ownership, high production, mid/high-priced player. I sincerely believe that one spot should be designated solely for points. I also don't think that this position needs to break the bank. There is no need to go with Bonds/Vlad/Sammy, unless you think they will produce points over the long term. Currently, the guy I like is Garret Anderson in this spot. His price will save you almost $3000 over Bonds, but so far has scored just 9 points less for him. Look for value in the spot, but go with a solid performer with a history of more than the last 14 days.

Spot 2: Underpriced sleeper/potential train. This is the spot where you pick a player, generally regardless of price, but generally around $4000 or under who you think will become a train. The benefit is that this guy is low ownership, so there is no risk of a long-term hold. This spot is generally a differentiation spot from the crowds, but not necessarily unknown. I don't have a specific player for right now, but about a week ago, Preston Wilson fit in this category. Other current ideas could include: Ledee, Kielty, Jenkins. The key is to beat the rush, but also be happy with the guy, even if he doesn't become a train. If this guy turns into a train, when it comes time to trade out, don't go to another train. Instead, trade into another guy you think has potential. Check ownership levels-- this spot should only use trades when moving out of a guy who became a train.

Spot 3: Money train spot. The reason the first 2 spots are as they are is b/c this spot very well could eat up a lot of trades... but that's OK! Don't be afraid to rotate through this spot frequently (Keeping in mind that you need to manage an IF, too). You should average around $100K a day gains from this spot. However, if you feel you need to "conserve trades," you'll have to speculate a bit more on getting guys before they become full-fledge trains. Extra benefit: OF's w/ IF flexibility. Kinda obvious, but think of Bradley, White, Millar as well as former guys like Patterson, Crawdad, Cruz.

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I feel the danger in working with the OF is that so many trains will emerge from that position b/c there are so many OF's. Trains should be 3-1 here compared to any other hitter position. The danger is jumping on 3 trains who all fall. Then, you're using lots of trades and holding guys who aren't scoring points and trading into guys who will do the same thing, thus limiting what you can do to improve your IF.

So, what is your actual or ideal OF make-up. I decided to leave out the DH as I try to use it for when there are 2 hot guys at one position (ex: I have Sweeny/Durazo on a team), but if that factors into your OF plans, you can add that as well.
1Catfish
      Sustainer
      ID: 123591217
      Sat, Apr 19, 2003, 08:58
Getting a good spot 1 guy is key. If you pick well you can hold this player for months. In past seasons I have had huge success with players just like this description. Berkman, Abreu, Burnitz (well that was a couple seasons ago). This year I have tried Jordan (wrong), Burrell (wrong so far) and Sheffield (great). Anaheim OFs were good for this spot last year.
2Pancho Villa
      Donor
      ID: 533817
      Sat, Apr 19, 2003, 10:25
Great thread, Chuck. Unfortunately, my tendency has been to load up with trains, which obviously is treacherous if they all derail in one week. I guess I've been caught up in the money making mentality which isn't really a strategy in and of itself. I'm thinking I can settle into a more reliable configuration around May 1, with an RV of around 60 mil.
3Robber
      ID: 933287
      Sat, Apr 19, 2003, 10:50
My current OF is Bonds/Cruz/Millar. Thought Cruz and Millar were going to make big money but instead have posted modest $$ gains and fairly good offensive numbers thus far. Bonds fits your #1 criteria but I'm sure these's a better cheaper choice to free up money.
4Pancho Villa
      Donor
      ID: 533817
      Sat, Apr 19, 2003, 11:16
I moved Edmonds from DH to OF and his points have dropped dramatically since. I suppose he fits in the #1 category though. Cruz and Bradley are my other current OFs, but Crawford, Patterson, and White have been in there as well.
Would Juan Pierre fit in the #2 slot?
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