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0 Subject: RIBC 2005 - Regular Season Discussion #1

Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Mon, Mar 28, 2005, 11:54

I have released the draft results and activated the league. All undrafted players are on waivers until March 31.
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355darkside
      ID: 3590317
      Fri, Sep 09, 2005, 11:38
The waiver wire sure is getting thin. With everyone dropping their DL guys there's not much left to choose from. Every single player on my radar (Torres, Murton, Teahan and Clark) have been picked up in the last 2 days. It's going to be tough to replace an injured guy from here on out (not that it's been a joyride doing it thus far).
356KrazyKoalaBears
      ID: 517553018
      Fri, Sep 09, 2005, 13:05
I was worried I might be pulling the trigger a bit early on Murton. Good to know that I wasn't. :)
357darkside
      ID: 3590317
      Fri, Sep 09, 2005, 13:11
No, definitely not. It's getting tough to find an OF'er who starts even semi-regularly and doesn't go 0-fer every night.
358holt
      ID: 1686918
      Fri, Sep 09, 2005, 20:15
speaking of 0-fers. after going 0-15 last night, my hitters have started out 0-10 tonight.
I wonder what the odds are of having about a 28% chance of doing something, and then failing 25 times in a row. stop the bleeding.
359holt
      ID: 1686918
      Fri, Sep 09, 2005, 20:30
make that 0-14 tonight.
just pathetic.
360holt
      ID: 1686918
      Sat, Sep 10, 2005, 02:42
HOLY CRAP.
i've never seen so many 0 for 5's in one night.
now my hitters are a whopping 16 for 110 over the last three nights, and carpenter seems to be the only guy who remembers how to pitch.
I'm gonna drop like a stone if this holds up much longer.
361Chris
      ID: 116333114
      Sat, Sep 10, 2005, 03:35
My team is not letting me take advantage of your sudden lack of hitting. With 4 starters going, only Cain won, and none of the other 3 made it into the 6th inning, with Burnett being especially painful.
362Toral
      ID: 10858715
      Sat, Sep 10, 2005, 08:41
Wow! It looks like we have a race after all.
363youngroman
      ID: 50818914
      Sat, Sep 10, 2005, 09:31
we have 2 races: one for 1st and one for last. my team is doing their worst to finish last - unbelievable.
364KrazyKoalaBears
      ID: 6841920
      Sat, Sep 10, 2005, 18:32
So much for Murton helping out. No starts since I picked him up. Granted, that's only 2 days, but still...
365Ref
      ID: 539581218
      Sun, Sep 11, 2005, 00:35
I'm just seeing if I can play spoiler anywhere. And if I can grab 13th place, well that will give me some solace.
366Chris
      ID: 116333114
      Mon, Sep 12, 2005, 04:00
I love the competitiveness of this league. Even this late in the season, everybody from the top to the bottom is still scratching and clawing to make up as many points as possible. The top 5 in the year-to-date standings rank 8th, 10th, 12th, 13th and 14th in the month of September as everybody else pushes their way towards the top.

In addition, every month so far has had a different "winner" according to Guru's sartible standings.

April - Toral (122.5 points)
May - A's Guy (131.5 points)
June - Holt (137 points)
July - KKB (116.5 points)
August - Chris (121.5 points)
September - jumpball (114.5 points)

Awesome league top to bottom, and regardless of how this finishes up, it was a pleasure to compete with you all this year. I look forward to (hopefully) playing again in this league next year!
367Matt S in Malaysia
      ID: 39852140
      Wed, Sep 14, 2005, 02:06
Woohoo! I hadn't looked at my team in 4 days and I moved up 3 spots back into 7th. Still it's gonna take a miracle for me to keep myself there.

I'm so clueless, I was looking at David DeJesus' last 10 game performance Aug 27, 28, etc. Seeing he'd been playing well lately, I picked him up. Wake up call!!!! It's the middle of frickin September!!!

Matt S
368KrazyKoalaBears
      Leader
      ID: 517553018
      Wed, Sep 14, 2005, 09:46
Matt S,
All you had to do was ask me, "Why the heck did you drop this guy?!?!" and I would have told you. ;)
369holt
      ID: 50829194
      Tue, Sep 20, 2005, 19:45
So Beltre hasn't hit a homer since august 19.
facing a decent right-hander in Towers.
Beltre's split vs. righties = .687 OPS/11 HR in 423 AB.
so finally I relent and bench him. I don't think I've benched him all year. maybe once or twice but I don't remember.
what does he do?
2 run shot his first AB tonight.
bleh.
370holt
      ID: 50829194
      Tue, Sep 20, 2005, 21:07
2-run shot Crede. now I feel better.
: )
371Matt S in Malaysia
      ID: 20829242
      Sat, Sep 24, 2005, 03:30
Attn: yokel,

I want 7th spot.

yours truly,
Matt S
372Toral
      ID: 10858715
      Sat, Sep 24, 2005, 06:55
The Odalis Perez Express has its namesake and good luck charm now. Could be hard to stop.
373Chris
      ID: 318112118
      Sat, Sep 24, 2005, 13:35
Unfortunately(Fortunately?), I got him about 30 minutes too late to be able to start him today.

Should be a close run to the finish.
374Slackjawed Yokel
      Leader
      ID: 052347519
      Sat, Sep 24, 2005, 19:08
Attn: Matt S,

Thank you for the correspondence. Let it be known that your request was put under serious consideration. However, I'm not going to be able to accomodate you at this time. Perhaps you can contact one of our other colleagues like the esteemed jumpball or kkb.

Best regards,
yokel
375KrazyKoalaBears
      ID: 158202318
      Sun, Sep 25, 2005, 00:07
Dear Dustin Hermanson,
Could you please contact a great masseuse and get me one frickin' save?!?!

:)
376Ref
      Donor
      ID: 539581218
      Sun, Sep 25, 2005, 11:18
KKB, perhaps you didn't catch this awhile back, but Hermy has been removed as the White Sox closer. Marte will go against lefties and Jenks against righties.
377KrazyKoalaBears
      ID: 158202318
      Sun, Sep 25, 2005, 20:16
Ref, I caught it all right, but the way Jenks has pitched (2 BS's and a L in last 3 appearances) and with how close things are with the Tribe, I'm hoping Guillen gets put in a situation where he just has to use Hermanson. It wouldn't be the first time a manager "removed" a guy from a position only to have to go back to him. Plus, he's about my only outside shot of getting that one save. There's really nobody else out there on the FA market that would have a more likely chance.
378Ref
      Donor
      ID: 539581218
      Mon, Sep 26, 2005, 21:08
KKB, you've got to be kidding me? Managers make statements then go against what they announced? Man that would be the case if say, oh I don't know, Frank Robinson would say none of his regulars would play for the rest of the year and then turn around and continue to start Wilkerson and Johnson every single day or something. Man I just don't see something like that happening. ;)
379holt
      ID: 208142616
      Wed, Sep 28, 2005, 04:18
holy crap.
was just checking box scores and saw that hernandez had 7 rbi on a triple and a dinger.
seeing that he was on my bench, I think I'd rather just see an 0 for 4 there.
ouch.
380KrazyKoalaBears
      Leader
      ID: 517553018
      Wed, Sep 28, 2005, 17:06
I LOVE YOU MIKE GONZALEZ!!!!!!!!!!!!

;)

Still a fair amount of baseball to play, but that 0.5 points can't hurt. Now I just have to root against Shields, Riske, and Marte (particularly).
381Ref
      Donor
      ID: 539581218
      Wed, Sep 28, 2005, 17:33
Hernandez has been amazing this past month. I took a flyer on him on G20 as Piazza came back and I had to throw back Castro and of the starting catchers playing that day, he had the best matchup. He also had a series in Coors coming. Well immediately he went nuts and has been one of the reasons my team skyrocketed. Needless to say, I never threw him back!
382youngroman
      ID: 50818914
      Wed, Sep 28, 2005, 17:50
will be interesting the last 5 days if I may regain that half point. the possibility is out there. Marte may close against lefties and if K-Rod needs to save the 3rd game in a row today, there is a chance that Shields may get an opportunity tomorrow.

overall my team still sucks. at least my current lineup is seeing regular playing time. 5 days, 4.5 (now 5) points behind 12th and only 5 (now 4.5) points away from being last. still a close race at the bottom.
383Chris
      ID: 358212618
      Thu, Sep 29, 2005, 13:58
re post #5:

Bedard: 6-7, 139.2 IP, 3.74 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 7.86 K/9, 3.48 BB/9

Can't say I'm too happy with that, and I can't help but wonder what would've been if he'd stayed healthy...

Pre-Injury: 5-1, 60.2 IP, 2.08 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 7.71 K/9, 2.08 BB/9
Post-Injury: 1-6, 79.0 IP, 5.01 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 7.97 K/9, 4.60 BB/9

So, in essence, after his injury, he reverted back to how he pitched last year with regards to his control.

I also must say that I didn't get as much out of Atkins as I expected. A 903 OPS at home and a 649 OPS on the road is something I would expect from Matt Holliday(who ended up 1002 and 729), but I expected more from Atkins on the road. My 2 biggest sleepers were both misfires, to a degree.

My biggest surprise this year was Grady Sizemore. He's far exceeded what I thought he was capable of this year. I kind of lucked into that one.

4 days left! This is going to be a close race to the finish.
384Slackjawed Yokel
      Leader
      ID: 052347519
      Thu, Sep 29, 2005, 23:52
I'm thinking yahoo needs one more significant digit for the WHIP and ERA categories. We've got 5 teams tied at 1.27 WHIP means a huge swing should a team eek over to 1.26 (or 1.28...)
385Ref
      Donor
      ID: 539581218
      Fri, Sep 30, 2005, 21:54
Marte in for the save...
386Ref
      Donor
      ID: 539581218
      Fri, Sep 30, 2005, 21:58
LOL, he gives up a single to hafner and a double to VMart and with men on 2nd and 3rd, in comes Hermy for the save. What a twist of fate for you two.
387Ref
      Donor
      ID: 539581218
      Fri, Sep 30, 2005, 22:01
UGH, Hermy blows the save so I guess you're all even again.
388KrazyKoalaBears
      ID: 30833018
      Fri, Sep 30, 2005, 22:12
Yeah, but at least Hermy's getting consideration for the closers role again. :)
389Matt S in Thailand
      ID: 98383023
      Sat, Oct 01, 2005, 01:55
Dammit, missed my opportunity. Had I played Gathright today, I would have caught Yokel in steals. Grrr...looks like I'm settling for 8th if I can stave off Guru and darkside.

Matt S
390Matt S in Thailand
      ID: 5593823
      Sun, Oct 02, 2005, 05:43
Or maybe not...

One day left. Can it be possible? Could the unthinkable happen?

391jumpball
      Sustainer
      ID: 33050298
      Sun, Oct 02, 2005, 09:05
A month ago, I was preparing to congratulate the managers who qualified to be invited back next year and starting the process of deciding whether to play AAA next year or retire.

Then my team took off.

I'd like to thank Todd Helton for getting it all together (and then some) in the 2nd half.
I'd like to thank Ken Griffey, Jr for staying healthy through the beginning of September.
I'd like to thank Charlie Manuel for finally playing Chase Utley every day.
I'd like to thank all the managers in the top half of the draft who passed on Jorge Cantu twice after Robbie Alomar retired.
I'd also like to thank:
-- C.C.Sabathia for having a terrific August & September.
-- Josh Beckett for keeping the blisters down to a minimum.
-- Paul Byrd for having a very good season for a 25th round pick.

On August 12th, I was in 14th place with 57 measly points . . . I was wondering if I was going to be able to stay out of the basement, especially with my 2nd round pick, Scott Rolen, out for the season. The following day, Jose Mesa got his last save of the year. I was writing concession speeches the rest of the month as he started getting bombed. Amazingly though, my point total was going up a little bit at a time.
On the 1st of September, I had 79 points and was in 10th place. I was beginning to think that I had an outside chance to get in the first division. The next morning, I fell out of my chair . . . I was +13.5 for the day and in 6th place! (see KKB's post #354 on the 2nd). I never thought it was possible to move that much in one day -- that's an average of 1.5 points for EACH of the 9 categories (I punted steals way back in the draft) The details of that day were 2 very good games from CC and Byrd to get me 2 wins (no relievers pitched), and 5 home runs with 13 runs scored and 12 RBIs from my hitters. Interestingly enough, Brady Clark was active and did not play and Jose Uribe and Neifi Perez, who were on my bench, went a combined 4 for 7 with 3 runs scored, 3 RBIs, an OBP of .667 and a SLG of 1.143!

Two days later Griff plays his last game and I figured that if I can go +13.5 for a day, it's certainly possible to go -13.5 too. But it never happened. I've even added to those 92.5 points somehow and reached into triple digits a couple of times


Now it's the last day of the regular season and I think I’ve qualified to be invited back next year.

And I'm not planning to retire! :-)

392KrazyKoalaBears
      ID: 3895626
      Sun, Oct 02, 2005, 09:14
jumpball, definite congrats on the big jump, but let's just hope that you finish where you're at right now. ;)
393youngroman
      ID: 50818914
      Sun, Oct 02, 2005, 16:47
there goes my last chance for a save this year. Hernandez gets the save for the Chi-Sox and now K-Rod saves the game for the Angels after Shields pitches a perfect 8th. nice fight with KKB for half a point in the saves category.

on another front it seems that I'll get another 2 wins today to sneak half a point in that category from bmd.
394KrazyKoalaBears
      ID: 3895626
      Sun, Oct 02, 2005, 18:39
youngroman, I have to admit that I was pretty caught up in that "battle." Funny how a half a point can make me watch the CWS and ANA games like I was one of their die-hard fans. :)
395holt
      ID: 5192217
      Sun, Oct 02, 2005, 19:17
does anyone have live-scoring?
from what I can tell the Odalis Perez Express lost half a point in RBI, and I gained a point in K's.
that would put me behind 125.5-124.5.
I have no idea how whip and ERA will shake out.
396Ref
      Donor
      ID: 539581218
      Sun, Oct 02, 2005, 19:40
At least I was in first place after the first day of the season!
397Chris
      ID: 318112118
      Mon, Oct 03, 2005, 00:00
re: 395

It's hard to say. Your team had a .326 OBP and a .477 SLG today. Seems very reasonable that you would gain a half point in SLG(though I've haven't checked the other teams). Depends on rounding to see what happens in those cats.

In ERA, you went up .018, while Athletics Guy went up .007. No matter the rounding, it does seem that he will gain a half point on you in ERA.

In WHIP, you went up .003, which may or may not be enough to move your WHIP from 1.27 to 1.28(again, depends on rounding)

Hard to say if anybody will move off that giant 1.27 dogpile, as it could mean precious half points in either direction.

Other than the changes you mentioned(which brings the gap down to 1), it seems like the counting stats will all stay as they are.

For you to win(assuming I lose half a point in RBI, as you say), it seems like you'd need to gain a half in OBP, gain a half in SLG and have your WHIP stay at 1.27, while 2 other managers drop .01 in WHIP. That would give you a half point win.

Basically, unless your WHIP jumps to 1.28, it's going to be REAL close. Most likely within a half-point. I'm just hoping that .003 WHIP is enough to round you up!

Now I get to wait anxiously for the results ;)
398youngroman
      ID: 50818914
      Mon, Oct 03, 2005, 02:52
Ref - and I was in first after the 2nd day of the season (4/4)
399Matt S in Thailand
      ID: 292330
      Mon, Oct 03, 2005, 03:02
The tension is killing me. I think I made it. Big homers from Sanders, Mueller and Gibbons (all waiver pickups) and a solid performance by my pitching should be enough to keep me afloat.
400Ref
      Donor
      ID: 539581218
      Mon, Oct 03, 2005, 11:07
Too bad your namesake isn't as good as you!

Thank goodness this misery for me is over. At least I didn't finish in the basement.

No excuses. I had waht turned out to be a horrible draft. Then felt compelled to be aggressive to trade to try and create something and it backfired. Just couldn't overcome injuries and underachievers. Taking Corey Patterson over Kent sure didn't help matters, but wouldn't have won it for me no matter what.

Thanks for having me. Sorry I couldn't give you more of a run.
401Toral
      ID: 10858715
      Mon, Oct 03, 2005, 11:16
Salute on sticking with it 100% all the way Ref. Many times late in the season I looked for a player on the WW only to find that you had snapped him up. Inspiring -- if annoying ;)

Toral
402Species
      Leader
      ID: 07724916
      Mon, Oct 03, 2005, 11:31
Congratulations to everyone. It was a good season.....and I didn't finish last! Woo hoo! I get to stay in AAA next year! Hoorah!
403holt
      ID: 3394637
      Tue, Oct 04, 2005, 02:49
congrats chris! I knew it was gonna be tough to get the lead back. there was getting to be too much separation in most of the categories for you to lose any points. winning the league while only scoring 3 points in W's and Sv's is quite a feat. good job man. looking forward to next season, and thanks again to Guru for putting these invitational leagues together.
404Matt S in Thailand
      ID: 3994041
      Tue, Oct 04, 2005, 03:42
Well, all things considered, I'm happy to finish where I have and earn an invite back next year. Drafting my team while in Central America, and finishing the season while in Europe and Southeast Asia proved to be difficult, but I managed.

What worked:
- Derek Jeter at 17th overall (122 runs...but was expecting more than 14 SB)
- Starting pitching (Colon, Buehrle, Pettite at 9th, 10th, 14th rounds respectively) Those 3 won 54 games for me, while posting killer ERA and WHIP #s.
- Donnelly and Ayala, as hoped, accumulated 17 wins.
- Kotsay and Crisp put up decent numbers for me all year.
- Bill Mueller, Bill Hall, and Aaron Harang were all good pickups for me.

What didn't work:
- My first six rounds of drafting. Gagne and Dotel did nothing for me. Pudge, Wilkerson and Vidro were all bitter dissapointments.
- Kaz Matsui in the 8th round didn't help either.
- I knew this was Lackey's breakout year, and I listened to one of the Rotoworld guys after his first two bad starts and dumped him. Had I stuck with him, instead of screwing around with Mark Redman, I would have been competitive in the K category.

I think the only thing that saved me was punting the Save category after Gagne and Dotel went down. Had I tried to scrape up a few points there, I'd have lost lots more in others, I'm sure. All of my players posted less than expected SB #s. Bill Hall chipped in with a few as a waiver pickup, but that was far away from keeping me competetive. Considering I was so low in so many categories, I think I'm lucky to be coming back next year.

Matt S
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