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Subject: RIBC 2006 - Draft Rationales (rounds 21-25)
Posted by: TB
- Sherpa [031811922] Fri, Mar 24, 2006, 09:36
Continuing for the final five rounds.
Rationales for rounds 1-5
Rationales for rounds 6-10
Rationales for rounds 11-15
Rationales for rounds 16-20 |
| Only the 50 most recent replies are currently shown. Click on this text to display hidden posts as well. |
| 28 | KrazyKoalaBears
ID: 36238119
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 13:03
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22.13 PLACEHOLDER
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| 29 | KrazyKoalaBears
ID: 36238119
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 13:05
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22.14 Matt Wise, RP, MIL
It turns out there actually are some serviceable middle relievers left!
First things first. I'm not expecting a microscopic ERA/WHIP from Wise, nor am I expecting him to assume the closers role and put up 40, 30, or even 10 saves. This pick was made because of a few factors, the biggest one being that I had a lot of players that could be labeled "prospect" or "high risk/high reward" on my short list and I felt that most, if not all, of them would be available in later rounds. Because of that, I decided to go with a RP that could maintain some decent ratios, put up a good K/9, get a W or two, and had some potential, no matter how small, of assuming the closers role and picking up a few saves.
Turnbow has struggled in the past and seems to have struggled a bit in Spring Training. I have absolutely no illusions that Wise will become the closer for MIL, but if he can steal 5-10 saves from Turnbow through the course of the season I'd be ecstatic. If he ends the season with 0 saves and the numbers that I project (3 W, 51 K, 3.65 ERA, and 1.043 WHIP), I'll be perfectly fine with this pick. If he ends up with Rotowire's projections (5 W, 58 K, 3.27 ERA, 1.073 WHIP), I'll be slightly happier.
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| 30 | Toral
ID: 541029611
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 13:44
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22.15 Kent Mercker, RP, Cin
Trying to vulture cheap saves here. Red manager Jerry Narron says that at the moment Weathers and Mercker are first in line for saves. The 38-year-old journeyman seems likely to have an ERA around 3.40/3.50, a WHIP around 1.30, and could strike out 7 or 8 every 9 innings.
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| 31 | holt
ID: 381191511
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 15:43
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22.16 Dan Uggla, 2b, FLA
"One scout said defensively, Dan Uggla might be the worst starting second baseman in baseball. But all think he has upside offensively."
well, thankfully we don't have any defensive categories in this league. I just hope his defense isn't so bad that he gets booted from the team. he was a rule 5 player so that will keep him around for a while anyway.
I view Uggla as my starting 2b over Cuddyer.
He shows a lot promise. last season's minor league numbers were .378.502 88-r 87-rbi 15-sb (21 HR in 498 AB). if he can get 90% of those numbers then he's a great pick. if he struggles then I move on to plan B.
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| 32 | holt
ID: 381191511
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 15:43
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23.01 Javier Valentin, C, CIN
I took Larue in round 21. These guys put up monster numbers as a team last season. like I posted in my Larue rationale, I'm gonna have to check in on these guys on a daily basis to make sure I get the right one in my lineup, but I'll take that option any day over the other C options that were available.
Valentin is a switch-hitter and the dude can mash the ball. 14 HR and 50 rbi in only 221 AB last season along with an .882 OPS. I highly doubt that he can duplicate those numbers, but at least he's shown he can do it. I still feel good about not reaching for Mauer early in the draft.
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| 33 | KrazyKoalaBears
ID: 0210919
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 17:59
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for Toral
23.02 Juan Rivera, OF, LAA
Craig Monroe was the guy I had been looking to to fill the backup OF position. I had the rationale written out in my mind. It began "Craig Monroe is a slug." Guru however grabbed my slug at 22.11 and I was forced to look for someone even sluggier here. With Garret Anderson's problems, Rivera has an everyday job to start out, and probably has the talent to go .340/.475 and put up 80 RBIs over a full season, although he's unlikely to perform at that level. He will step into the lineup for Nixon when the RedSox face a lefthander.
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| 34 | KrazyKoalaBears
ID: 0210919
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 18:00
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23.03 Paul Lo Duca, C, NYM
I called my Allstate insurance agent and asked him about Kenji Johjima insurance. He recommended Paul Lo Duca.
Paul Lo Duca is my Johjima Insurance in case of a bad start/season/transition/whatever. Nothing more, nothing less. I had a couple of catchers in mind for my Johjima Insurance, but I wanted someone who I could count on to play the entire season and put up his projected stats. Guys like Doumit and [undrafted] and [undrafted] either weren't going to get the 500 projected ABs of Lo Duca or were too "high risk/high reward" or too much of a prospect to fit what I was looking for. I already have a catcher with potential and no MLB stats to go by and I didn't want to back him up with the same thing.
I project Lo Duca at 53 R, 60 RBI, 3 SB, .330 OBP, and .380 SLG. Rotowire projects him slightly better. To me, it really doesn't matter which of us is correct, as long as one of us is. The good thing about Lo Duca is that a hitter's park has never skewed his stats, so his projections should hold fairly true.
When I substitute Lo Duca for Johjima on my projected "lineup," I only lose 5.9% out of 500% (100% for each category) of my offense stats. That's exactly what I was looking for from this pick.
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| 35 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 19:22
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for mMoses
23.04 Ryan Doumit, C, PIT
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| 36 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 19:23
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for Chris
23.05 Jason Kubel, OF, MIN Do I honestly feel this is Kubel's year? No. I actually think he'll struggle this year coming back from his injury. However, Kubel has considerable talent, and I was willing to gamble that he'll adjust to MLB pitching sooner than I think. As a 5th OF, I just want somebody who has a chance to be good. I'm not trying to draft mediocrity, because you can always find mediocrity lying around somewhere...
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| 37 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 19:25
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23.06 Scott Williamson, RP, ChC
One pitching strategy is to concede the pitching wins category, overload on relievers, try to dominate in the ratios and saves, and place in the middle of the pack in Ks. That wasn’t my objective when I started this draft. We do have a required minimum of 800 IP, so one can’t totally forego starting pitching. But at this point, my staff of 9 pitchers has only three bonafide starters – Doug Davis, John Lackey, and Chris Young – and I’ve already given serious thought to sitting Davis and Lackey during most of April, based on their historical propensity to suck in the opening month. So wins are going to be in limited supply, and some modification of that strategy might be warranted. Sadly, I have only two closers, so a middle-of-the-pack outcome in that category is the best I can expect without a trade for another closer, some fortunate F/A pickups, or changing roles for either Farnsworth or Papelbon.
I guess I’ll remain noncommittal for now. But I certainly don’t see any available starting pitchers who seem likely to improve my staff results. I have a much better chance of waiting until the season starts to see who comes out of the gate strong, and then hoping that I can jump on them faster than 15 other managers. Like that’s gonna happen!
I am currently leaning toward selecting pitchers for my last three picks. One will be a reliever, one will be a starter, and I don’t know what the last will be.
Williamson is another guy who has at least a remote chance to assume closer duties, if not in Chicago, then maybe via trade. Returning from Tommy John surgery in late 2005, he wasn’t particularly effective, although he did fan 23 batters in 14 innings. So far, he’s looked pretty good this spring, with a 2.16 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and one K per inning. He’s been on my radar for about 5 rounds now, so I’m going to take him here and hope for a return to form.
I suspect Randy Jackson won’t like my “bully” any more after this pick.
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| 38 | JeffG
Leader
ID: 01584348
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 19:32
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23.07 Gustavo Chacin SP Tor
My sixth starter. With 1350 IP max and my roster already projecting at about 1315, and me leaning towards one more RP for rd 24, he may not get off my bench until he shows he is performing at his early 2005 form, or he'll be a good option to get some starts if one of my other starters go down. Chacin will also be insurance if my 5th starter Byrd is not up to expectation. Even with his struggles, Chacin had a sub-4 ERA, and won 13 games in 2005. If he can return to how he played before his late season struggles then this could be a nice late pick.
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| 39 | TB
Sherpa
ID: 031811922
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 22:14
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23.08 Ian Snell, SP, PIT
A funny thing happened on my way to making this pick. After getting the email telling me that we were up, I went and posted our rationale and then logged on to Kafenatid to draft Chacin. Ooops, we got JeffG'ed again. Initially I wanted a hitter in this spot. Juan Rivera, who was snagged by Toral 6 picks earlier, was at the top of my list, but I also liked Aaron Hill as a back-up MI who has eligibility at 2B/SS/3B. Todd Walker and undrafted are still around and both fit right into our current player's age bracket (old...lol) and I was starting to wonder why Johnny Estrada was still around. MC talked some sense into me, like he always does. We don't need a back-up catcher. After looking at some recent picks made by other teams, I had to look and make sure the rules didn't change to two starting catchers. Nope. We don't have to get a back-up middle infielder, although I will try to plead a case for Hill when we get to pick in the 25th if he is still around. There just isn't any "must'have" hitters remaining. This rationale won't be posted until we make our last pick, so it doesn't hurt to admit our weaknesses post-draft.
1) We will suck on steals, fighting with Holt, Toral, Guru, and Blue Hen for that coveted 5 points.
2) We are projected to suck on saves, battling with Jumball for 2 points.
3) We have one of the poorest K/9 rates. I really should save all this for my draft recap.
With all that said, all of those stats are greatly affected each year by injuries and players seriously under/over achieving. None of those "weaknesses" are insurmountable. Our greatest need at this pick and probably the last two picks is to find the pitcher with lots of upside or one who over-achieves. Snell has a 1.38 ERA this spring. I read where manager Jim Tracy said that Snell has shown consistent command in the strike zone and also that he locked up a spot in the rotation. His projections say about 5 wins and a 4.9 era. We don't expect a lot of wins from this young Pirate, but we do expect his era to be better than what's projected and a better than our current average of K's/9. We made this pick hoping his spring success carries over into the season.
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| 40 | For SANFORDORS
ID: 521191210
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 22:25
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23.09 Seth McClung SP TB
14 IP, 13 hits, 2 Earned Runs, 1.29 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 10 K's.
Oh yeah, I know it's only spring training but I can dream can't I, maybe when I wake up it will be August ;). I also know past history indicates high ratios but alot of K's.
Seth has locked up a job in TB's rotation, at this point and maybe I'll get lucky with this pick. Certainly worth a gamble at this jucture. Maybe he will be one of those late round picks that pan out as noted in Guru's post earlier.
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| 41 | I_AM_CANADIAN
ID: 521191210
Sat, Mar 25, 2006, 22:25
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23.10 Alex Rios, OF, TOR
Shoulda really spent this pick on another MR probably, but I decided that with the high risk players that I was drafting for the OF (Patterson, Baldelli) that it might be wise to have a solid backup ready. Rios is another of the youthfull Jays, and shouldn't hurt me too much across most of the major CATS, should he need to be used. Their is always the possibility of breakout as well, and a 20/20 season wouldn't be unheard of for someone of his talent levels/age.
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| 42 | Trip
Leader
ID: 13961611
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 01:38
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for Jumpball
23.11 Arthur Rhodes, RP, PHI
I know. I know. I said in my rationale for 21.11 that I will be taking 2 pitchers and a hitter in rouds 21 - 23 and this is the 3rd pitcher. Well . . . sue me! When it came time to actually pull the trigger and get one of the hitters on my list, I figured that at least one of them will likely come back to me in round 24. So I looked around. When I noticed that Rhodes was available and remembering that my bullpen needs help, I changed my mind, being pretty sure Rhodes would not make it back around the turn. So I grabbed him, hoping that the personal issues are behind him. If they are, he should help Ks, ERA, and WHIP.
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| 43 | Trip
Leader
ID: 13961611
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 01:39
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for Athletics Guy
23.12 Luis Matos, OF, BAL
I wanted to add a bit of depth to my lineup here and took a chance on Luis Matos. Right now, it looks like he's going to lose the starting job at CF to Corey Patterson. Hopefully, the Orioles will come to their senses and start Matos. And hopefully Matos can recapture some of the magic he had in 2003. Otherwise, I'll have to cut him loose and miss out on the chance to brag about what a great pick my round 23 player turned out to be.
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| 44 | Trip
Leader
ID: 13961611
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 01:39
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For Blue Hen
23.13 Kenny Rogers, SP, DET
Clearly, my pitching has some question marks. If the guys are healthy, I'll be fine. But if there are injuries, I'll need some consistency. To be in a 40-year old major league pitcher, you must either be great or consistent. Since Maddux went off the board a few rounds ago, I figured I'd go with consistent. Rogers clearly has emotional issues, but he's moving from Arlington to Detroit, a move that should shave about half a point off his ERA. They call him the gambler, and I think it's a good gamble. |
| 45 | Trip
Leader
ID: 13961611
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 01:43
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23.14 Aaron Hill, 2B/3B/SS
A #1 pick in 2004, Hill hasn't developed the power which has been expected from him but Ricciardi gave Hill a vote of confidence this offseason when he gave the second bag to Hill as a result of the Glaus trade. I still don't have a player who is 3B eligible, or a catcher and Hill give me a 3 bagger until Huff gains his eligibility. Hilll started off on a tear when he was called up last year, so here's hoping he starts off good again in 2006, at leas for the first 10 games. His multipositional eligibility is a plus giving me a decent backup at 3 of the toughest IF positions to find replacements for. He also fits in the rest of the youth movement on my team. Nearly all of the players on my team are under thirty. I see this as an advantage as there is more of a chance that these players will significantly improve on their predicted statistics as well as not spend an extended time on the DL.
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| 46 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 08:11
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for hubble
23.15 Kevin Millar, 1B-OF, BAL
I hate to see Millar being my CI, not because Millar is bad, but because CI is sooooo deep and i only have him as my CI. I still cant beleive how the CI i targeted kept desapearing 1 or 2 round before i thought they would go. Even the likes of Casey, Overbay or Inge went before i could take them... That was really frustrating and i probably should have reached to secure a guy i wanted instead of trying to pay the good price. Picking a the end of the snake makes it hard... I'm not complaining though... i like my team and Millar could give me 65R, 65RBI, + 0.800 OPS. Not that bad for a 23th rounder. There are still some guy undrafted that could fill my CI slot if ever Millar has trouble... I consider CI to be my weak link and we all have one...
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| 47 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:12
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for CEHP
23.16 Bronson Arroyo, SP, CIN
Arroyo is returning to my squad. He didn't stick for the entire year last season and he may not this year either. I'm adding him at this point because once again I think that he has the potential to take over the closer role. Arroyo doesn't seem to have the consistancy to be a starter but has good stuff and I think he can overtake the geriatrics in the Reds bullpen and claim the closer job by years end.
24.01 Jerry Hairston, OF, CHC
He's a versatile guy that can provide backup at several different positions. I don't expect much but may be able to insert him in the lineup when if I need a few SBs to push me up in the rankings. I will probably cut him before the ASB.
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| 48 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:12
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for Hubble
24.02 Tony Clark,1B, ARI
How does a guy that had 87 RBI in 350AB and 1.012 OPS in 2005 can't have a secure job? Some1 explain that to me please... You know what? I'm betting Clark will be a steal in round 24th. I'm very please to have him.
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| 49 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:13
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for Trip
24.03 Justin Verlander, SP, DET
Detroit's top prospect just landed the 5th spot in the rotation. I guess the Tigers brass decided they want to sell tickets this year or give their new manager a bit of hope. This pick could pay off. He did skip the AAA level and wasn't spectacular in his debut last year but he could compete with Liriano for ROTY honors. It could be an interesting duel as his K/IP and K/BB ratios are right there with him. There is definitely still value in the draft this late, you just have to throw away your cheat sheets and pay attention to the wires. The other Detroit prospect, Zumaya and Duaner Sanchez were also considered with this pick.
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| 50 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:13
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for blue hen
24.04 Lew Ford, OF, MIN
Jason Kubel seems to be the golden boy this spring, but Ford has outplayed him this spring, and already has one greeat season under his belt. Plus Ford is a good bet for some cheap steals. Now if Ford can push Kubel to the bench completely, I will have someone who can take over for the injured Jeremy Reed.
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| 51 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:14
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for Athletics Guy
24.05 Todd Walker, 2B, CHC
I felt pretty comfortable with my pitching at this point and decided to pick up an MI. I'm pretty happy to get Todd Walker this late in the draft. In fact, I might have taken him 6-7 rounds ago if Kennedy was taken from me. He's got decent pop for a 2B and his OBP isn't bad either. As long as he keeps getting ABs, he should be a good contributor. I currently have him as my #4 MI, but that could change quickly if Lowell and/or Kennedy get off to slow starts.
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| 52 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:15
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for jumpball
24.06 Matt Stairs, 1B/OF, KC
Believe it or not I had been targeting Stairs for this pick for quite a while (with Kevin Millar as my backup plan).
I wanted another CI just in case Klesko gets put back in the OF before he's eligible at 1B, so it was between these 2 guys and a couple of 3Bs. Stairs has 3 year averages of 51/63/.370/.475 in 125 games. If he gets those numbers and averages once more (and with Grudz and Sanders in the lineup ahead of him this year, it's entirely possible that he'll do better, especially with RBIs), I'd say I got good value with the 374th player taken.
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| 53 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:15
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for IAC
24.07 Brandon Medders, RP, ARI
If Meyers could duplicate his #s this year that he did last year… but over 50+ IP then I'll be happy with this pick. With him uncertain for opening day… I may need to draft myself a backup MR here in a sec.
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| 54 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:16
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for Dave R
24.08 Adam Everett SS Hou
First of all, I'm less than thriled with my earlier selection of Orlando Hudson as a MI. The jury is still out on that one.
Everett's biggest downside is his ratio's, although Rotowire is projecting a generous OPS of .737. I haven't seen a reason why they expect such a dramatic improvement from last years .654. None of the other sites seem to think so.
But he does have the opportunity and ability to score 70 runs and steal more than 20 bases, something I would gladly take in round 24.
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| 55 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:16
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for MC/TB
24.09 Victor Zambrano SP NYM
There isn't a "deep thoughts" rationale for this pick. We were looking for a starter who we could plug in for a few games who could get us some wins, help our strikeouts, and not kill us in the percentages.
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| 56 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:17
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for JeffG
24.10 Duaner Sanchez RP NYM
My first NY player all draft, and wouldn't it figure, wrong team. He may see some closing duties in April while regular Met closer Billy Wagner gets to 100% battling a finger injury. News is Wagner will not be ready for opening day, and Sanchez has experience with closer duty, last season for LAD. Then again the Mets other set up guy [undrafted] (can I say his name now that the draft is over) also has closer experience. Will give me reason to flip the channel to the Mets game in the late innings, assuming DirecTV picks up the new Mets network.
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| 57 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:18
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24.11 John Thomson, SP, Atl
Just looking for a stable starter to get some wins with reasonable ratios. Not a strikeout pitcher, but you can’t have everything in round 24.
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| 58 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:19
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for Chris
24.12 Russell Martin, C, LAD Another upside pick. Martin needs to play well enough in the first 2 weeks to convince the Dodgers that he should be their starting catcher. He's crushing the ball this spring, and has the talent to hit major league pitching today. Taking a chance that he plays his way into the lineup, because a 2nd catcher in a deep league is a very very valuable thing to have.
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| 59 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:19
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for mMoses
24.13 Nook Logan, OF, DET
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| 60 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:20
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for KKB
24.14 Brian N. Anderson, OF, DET
He's a prospect and he seems to have a full-time job. For the 24th round of the draft, I'll take it. Here's hoping he makes more of an impression in the big leagues than the other Brian Anderson.
I've projected Anderson at 45 R, 45 RBI, 2 SB, .325 OBP, and .391 SLG in 500 AB. Rotowire gives him a few more R and RBI, but I'm hoping for a breakout rookie year. He's had a good enough OBP in the minors (.349 in AA and .360 in AAA), so I'm hoping he can at least keep that in the majors with significant PT. If he breaks out, great! If not, he'll be available for me to drop. He'll only have a spot on my team as long as he performs.
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| 61 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:20
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for Toral
24.15 Mark Grudzielanek, 2B, KC
I decided to go for a backup 2B and MI here, and Grudzy is a returning Wheatfarmer, so he was the one to get the nod. He can teach some of the other guys the Wheatfarmer way of doing things. Hitting 2nd he should score some runs. His OPS should be over .750 and although he's turning 36, he hit well over the second half last year and this spring.
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| 62 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:21
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for holt
24.16 Ryan Church, OF, WAS
well damn, I thought this was a good pick at the time. Frank Robinson was a great great player, but his days as a manager are numbered. while Church was spending spring training fine tuning his swing and preparing to start for the Nationals on opening day, Robinson was busy playing golf on game days and taking naps in the dugout. I dunno what Bowden was doing. busy judging his players by their spring training BA's I guess.
My prediction. Brandon Watson will prove to be the return of Endy Chavez, Church will destroy the ball in AAA and be traded to a team that likes to have talented hitters on their roster, but Church will be released from my roster long before that happens. we'll see. I also predict that Robinson gets fired, and possibly Bowden along with him.
Church had a higher OPS than any of the other Nationals OF's last season, including Preston Wilson and Jose Guillen. argh.
25.01 Hong-Chih Kuo, RP, LAD
Kuo has devastating stuff but arm problems have plagued his career. the dodgers have converted him to a reliever and they are careful about giving him proper rest so I'm hoping the injuries are a thing of the past. he's a lefty but he won't be used as a specialist. he'll be more of a 2-inning at a time middle-reliever type.
in the minors he had 120 K's in 77 IP. in the majors last season he had 10 k's in 5.1 IP. in spring training this year he has 11 IP, 4 hits, 1 walk, 14 K's, 0.00 ERA, 0.55 whip.
Hong-Chih!
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| 63 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:21
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for Toral
25.02 Johnny Estrada, C, Ari
With Piazza on a restricted playing schedule I thought it prudent to have a backup catcher here. It's an annoyance that Piazza is out on the coast since I may not know when his days off are till all other games has started. I see Estrada as being able to come back from his injury-plagued '05 and put up .340/.420 numbers, now as a pure platoon catcher. In retrospect Benjie Molina should have been the choice here, but I completely missed that he was still available. That's OK, trip needed a catcher more than I do anyway.
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| 64 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:22
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for KKB
25.03 Joel Zumaya, P, DET
Two DET prospects? Well, it's not exactly what I was planning on, but Rotowire reports that Zumaya will break camp with the Tigers. They also mention that Zumaya "might be in the mix (along with Fernando Rodney)" to be the closer should anything happen to Todd Jones.
Zumaya has shown a great K rate at every level and I'm hoping he can bring that to the Bigs. Whether it's in the pen or as a starter, Zumaya should provide a good amount of Ks and decent enough ratios. I have no dreams of him winning or saving 15 games, but if he could win or save 5 while keeping good ratios and a great K rate, I'll be more than happy with this pick.
And if I have to drop him 2 weeks after the season starts, I wouldn't be all that surprised. This is completely a very low risk/high reward pick.
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| 65 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:23
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for mMoses
25.04 Craig Wilson, 1B, PIT
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| 66 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:23
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for Chris
25.05 Jose Capellan, RP, MIL Nothing special about this pick. He's a solid pitcher with good potential, that has been converted to the bullpen, and has thrived in that setting. Not expecting anything more from him than to contribute some solid ratios and maybe pick up a few starts.
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| 67 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:23
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25.06 Justin Speier, RP, Tor
This pick satisfies three important criteria:
1. He’s a potential backup for closer B.J. Ryan
2. He’s a filler RP on days when I don’t need any slots for starters.
3. He’s someone who I could drop if a better free agent option presents itself.
Pretty good utility for round 25!
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| 68 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:24
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for JeffG
25.07 Jesus Colome RP TB
It is hard to believe that I actually supported the notion of adding a 26th roster spot, now that I once again see what we actually are left with round 25 it is probably enough as is. Then again, every year around September, fantasy writers in print and on the web will come out with their 'all undrafted' teams, that as a whole would probably be strong competition in our league and every other, if you computed everything retroactively. Undrafted players I picked up as free agents last season like Todd Jones and Grady Sizemore come to mind. But unfortunately, my time machine is not working right now and I do not have the benefit of 20/20 foresight.
So with that comment out of the way, when this draft is done, I'll look back at my selection at 8.10 Chad Orvella and point to what could be the worst pick in the entire draft. Timing is a driving factor, and my rationale at the time seemed valid. The kid Orvella was a killer in AA and was the frontrunner for the Rays closer job and there were no other officially declared closers left worth taking. Perhaps Orvella still will be the man down the road. I wonder if we did a live draft starting today, where would Orvella fall. But as I listened to today's Yankees/Rays pre season game, the chit chat is how Tampa was now leaning on splitting the closing duties between Micelli (selected 18.05 by Toral) and Colome, none of whom has stood out this spring. Perhaps it helped that Colome faced 6 batters with 3 K's in 2 perfect innings this afternoon, which is the one influence for this pick. Still, with today's (3/25/2006) outing Colome only brought his spring ERA down to 9.95. Regardless, through 24 rounds I only have one starting closer, and that is Derrick Turnbow, who is not exactly Rivera or Lidge. My other relievers are good for the averages and K's, but not the saves. Colome is my Orvella insurance, both for having Tampa's alternative and so I do not look back as 8.10 with such uneasyness.
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| 69 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 12:25
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for MC/TB
25.08 Nick Markakis OF BAL The Orioles’ top minor league prospect of a year ago is making a splash in Spring Training, and competing for the starting CF job held down by Luis Matos last season. TB and I crossed our fingers hoping he’ll win that job because if he stays up with the big club, he’s going to play every day.
He is a sweet swinger with close to 1.000 OPS in AA ball last season. The only drawback to this pick is that any of you who didn’t know about him now know about him if we have to cut him and he makes a mid-season surge.
Here’s hoping for 500 AB’s and a ROY campaign. He’s got as good a shot as anyone to do it.
I want to thank my co-manager, TB (aka TB Raiders) for a pleasant draft experience. You’re a great sounding board, pal. I love doing this with you and I will do it with you again next season. I look forward to doing it with you many times in the future, as well. I wouldn’t say that to just any guy either. You’re special.
Play Ball!
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| 70 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 13:08
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for Dave R
25.09 David Riske RP Bos
My intent with this pick was to grab another MR and Justin Speier was first on my list and he was taken a few picks earlier. I had Donnelly and Riske next in my queue.
I've had Riske before on teams with mixed results, but although last year his K's were down, his WHIP was a miniscule .96 to go along with an ERA of 3.10.
With all the new arms in Boston there will plenty of competition for innings but I see no reason Riske can't play a major role and maybe luck into some wins. With Foulke's health seemingly forever in question, maybe an opportunity for some saves as well.
Thats my story and I'm sticking to it :)
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| 71 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 13:08
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for IAC
25.10 Brendan Donnelly, RP, LAA
Last pick in the draft, just shooting to fill a whole… that being another MR. Consistently brings good ERA and WHIP with good Ks… that's what I'm lookin for. My combined IP projected for this year is probably too high... but that's ok, can manage the starts of my SPs a little more now.
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| 72 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 13:10
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for jumpball
25.11 Jack Wilson, SS, PIT
I had this template all ready for the 394th pick in this draft:
The honor of being the 25th man on my roster goes to Terry Tiffee, simply becuase he's the player with the highest rank (#960) in Yahoo! At this point of the draft, it's all about the style points. :-)
Then I had a change of heart and decided to see if I could add insurance to my roster. I looked at starters and saw two that interested me . . . but I already have 7 starters -- don't need another . . . then I looked at relievers and noticed a few that would have added something to my team. I thought about a 2nd catcher and was thiiiiiiis close to pulling the trigger on Bengie. But before I did, I remembered how important it was to have MI insurance last year. I looked at 3 MIs and decided that Wilson has a good chance to put up the average of his last 2 years (terrific 2004 and awful 2005) with a better lineup behind him.
Of course, what I'm really hoping for is that he sits on my bench all year!
Side note: I remember during the first year of the league that I really struggled to find talent to help my team in the last 2-3 rounds. Last year was better. Now, with another year of experience and knowing how to prepare, it's amazing how many decent options there are available this late.
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| 73 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 13:11
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for Athletics Guy
25.12 Wade Miller SP CHC
Wade Miller was a huge disappointment in 2005. I know because I drafted him expecting great results. He enters the season on the DL once again, but should be ready within a couple weeks. Hopefully, this season he'll actually come through for me. I'm expecting 12+ wins, a 3.75 ERA, and a 1.30 WHIP with a good amount of strikeouts.
Don't let me down (again) Wade!
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| 74 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 13:11
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for blue hen
25.13 Brandon Watson, OF, WAS
I know very little about this guy. A month ago, I knew nothing about this guy. But he has a chance to get some time as Washington's leadoff man and has some speed. Perhaps he takes over that spot, or perhaps I use him when I need some spot starts.
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| 75 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 13:12
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for Trip
25.14 Bengie Molina, C, TOR
Why wait to grab a catcher until the last round of the draft? I feel Bengie just vindicated me with that decision but it was made when Mauer went off of the board. After that point, there are about 20 catchers who all looked about the same to me. I was hoping Doumit would have stayed under the radar but that was the best case scenario. Bengie was option #2, and there were/are still other viable options out there.
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| 76 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 13:13
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for Hubble
25.15 Rod Barajas, C, TEX
This year, when i looked at the C available, i really figured it would be my 25th pick. The only one i would have taken earlier than that was Mauer, but he went at least one round earlier than i was willing to pay. So i was resigned to wait until the end. There are at least 7 C that went that are further down my sheet than Barajas and yet 2 undrafted dude were even above him. But i settled with Barajas because of his highest SLG potential... All C had pretty much the same Run-Rbi projection and couldn't care less who i ended up with. Barajas is my 3rd TEX player... he could have up to 20 HR wich is isnt that bad for a 25th rounder and that would place him in 5th or 6th place among catchers. If he could improve his OBP a little, that would be terrific...but i wont ask too much of him.
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| 77 | CanEHdian Pride
ID: 392232614
Sun, Mar 26, 2006, 15:23
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25.16 Brad Thompson, RP, STL
Young reliever who put up solid numbers last year. Should continue to improve and help my rates if I need him to.
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