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0 Subject: Trade Help

Posted by: Kyle
- Donor [052753312] Fri, Apr 11, 2008, 10:12

This is a really tough trade for me and I feel some emotions may play into this more than stats.
I am in an 11 team roto keeper league. Keep 10 players. Stats are a little goofy for this league. H, R, HR, RBI, BB, SB, AVG, OPS are the stats.

My team:
C Napoli
1B Prince
2B Roberts
3B Alex Gordon
SS Michael Young
LF Carlos Lee
CF Chris B. Young
RF JD Drew (Cuddyer on DL)
UTIL Kouzmanoff, Loney
BEN Ethier

I would trade Chris B and Loney for Corey Hart and Matt Kemp. This is 2 keepers for 2 keepers and I gain in every category except HR and RBI. (I gain in OPS because of Chris B's low low OBP.) The average age of this trade is 25 years old so these are some up and coming stars. I want to pull the trigger but I need some support. What do you all think?
1biliruben
      ID: 33258140
      Fri, Apr 11, 2008, 15:40
I like it long-term, but Kemp's getting shafted on ABs right now.
2angryChair
      ID: 100501014
      Fri, Apr 11, 2008, 16:50
Do NOT trade Loney! The dude is a stud.
3biliruben
      ID: 33258140
      Fri, Apr 11, 2008, 18:53
Loney is high average, but punchless, relative to other 1st basemen. Think Mark Grace.
4biliruben
      ID: 33258140
      Fri, Apr 11, 2008, 18:53
Kemp on the other hand has a legitimate shot at 30-30 if he can get the ABs.
5Seattle Zen
      ID: 29241823
      Fri, Apr 11, 2008, 19:03
Kemp on the other hand has a legitimate shot at 30-30 if he can get the ABs.

Hogwash. Even if Kemp took all of Adrian Beltre's "special vitamins" he wouldn't hit 30 dingers in Chavez Ravine. He'd need to be traded to ever hope to smack 30. Yes, Dodger Stadium is neutral over the years as to home runs, I think Kemp will not have the power to hit 30 without home stadium help.
6Kyle
      Donor
      ID: 052753312
      Fri, Apr 11, 2008, 19:21
Thanks for the help. I know Loney has a lot more pop than Kemp, but I still have Kemp as a 20-20 guy this year and as he gets older he may trade some of that speed for power.

Kemp somehow got into that platoon with Pierre, I am not quite sure how that happened when it was supposed to be Ethier losing the ABs. Even with the platoon I think Kemp should get 500 ABs. Anyone think that's unreasonable?

Just for fun I put together a chart last night of how I think the stats will be this year. What do you guys think of these numbers?

H AB R HR RBI BB SB AVG OPS
Kemp 157 500 87 19 73 28 19 0.314 0.841
Hart 162 567 93 25 87 43 23 0.286 0.854
Total 319 1067 180 44 160 71 42 0.299 0.848
Loney 171 565 82 24 107 45 2 0.303 0.891
Chris B. 130 519 84 27 73 42 22 0.250 0.781
Total 301 1084 166 51 180 87 24 0.278 0.838
7biliruben
      ID: 33258140
      Fri, Apr 11, 2008, 19:27
I will bet anyone 10 bucks to Guru that Kemp hits more HRs, adjusted for ABs, than Loney does this year.
8biliruben
      ID: 33258140
      Wed, May 07, 2008, 17:02
speaking of bets...
9Seattle Zen
      ID: 8748191
      Fri, Sep 12, 2008, 19:43
Kemp on the other hand has a legitimate shot at 30-30 if he can get the ABs.

Well, he got the ABs and he got the SB's, but he would need about a thousand at-bats to get 30 homers. Both he and Loney are pretty disappointing in that department.

So, Kyle, did you trade Chris Young & Loney for Kemp and Hart, for that would have been a great trade?
10Kyle
      Donor
      ID: 052753312
      Sun, Sep 14, 2008, 23:20
I actually ended up trading Chris Young and Prince Fielder for Adrian Gonzalez, Hunter Pence and Clayton Kershaw. It worked out pretty well for me I'd say.
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