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0 Subject: If you know your team well -survey on playing time

Posted by: Seattle Zen
- [56272618] Thu, Mar 26, 2009, 20:10

Tom Tango, guy involved with the Marcels prediction system, has asked for some help. He is trying to add a "wisdom of the masses" element to the raw calculations used in Marcels. He wants to poll the baseball intelligentsia to gather opinions on playing time for every player in 2009.
As I did two years ago, I am using the Wisdom of Crowds approach to determine how often each player on your team is expected to play. Select your team, then choose how you think each player will be used. Your results will be used as an input to the Marcel The Monkey Forecasting System (aka The Marcels), which is going to compete with all the bigshots out there in another project I am conducting. Who knows more about whether a pitcher will be in the starting rotation or the bullpen: an algorithm or a true fan? Who knows more about the number of games an injured ARod will play in 2009: an algorithm or a Yankees fan? There are certain human observation elements that are critical for forecasting. That's where you can come in, and why you are here. Thanks for helping.


Here's the link to the survey.

I may fill out more than one team.
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