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Subject: RIBC 2009: Draft Rationales (Rounds 18-25)
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Fri, Mar 27, 2009, 10:09
Continuing for the next 8 rounds.
Rationales for rounds 1-8
Rationales for rounds 9-17
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| 72 | Uptown Bombers
Donor
ID: 035616416
Sun, Mar 29, 2009, 10:43
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22.12 David Murphy, OF, TEX
This guy hit pretty well last year before getting hurt. He is slated to split time in the OF, but as a lefty hitter I expect him to get good playing time. Another young OF who hits for some power and steals a handful bases, so why not give him a chance.
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| 73 | JKaye
ID: 582492911
Sun, Mar 29, 2009, 13:53
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22.13 Jason Kubel, OF, Min
Needed a 5th OF and someone I can count on for regular PT. Kubel
will sometimes sit vs lefties, but has good power and an OBP that is
pretty average but that won't hurt me. No speed to speak of, but he
can be a contributor to RBI for sure, hitting in the 4-6 range in the
lineup.
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| 74 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:54
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for Da Bomb
22.14 Miguel Batista, RP, SEA
At the time I thought he had the best chance of winning the closer's role. Today, news came out that Morrow will be the closer so Batista will be cut.
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| 75 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:55
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for holt
22.15 Hideki Okajima RP BOS
Just thought he looked too good to still be available so late. Should help pad my ratios and K's a little. Not really expecting much as far as W's and Sv's go but you never know. If Papelbon goes down he'd probably get the nod. I remember when good MR's used to start dropping like flies in round 15 or so. The times they are a changin' (?).
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| 76 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:56
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for JL
22.16 Eric Byrnes, OF, Ari
23.01 Damaso Marte, RP, NYY
Byrnes stole 50 bases a few years ago. He was injured last year and he doesn’t have guaranteed playing time, but this is a low risk/high reward situation. Marte was awful in his short stint with the Yankees last season, but he’s a quality pitcher that could possibly step into the closer role if the aging Rivera is injured (although they would probably give that job to Joba).
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| 77 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:56
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for holt
23.02 Travis Ishikawa 1B SFO
Pujols was still my only real firstbaseman (not planning to play I.Stewart at 1b much). There wasn't a wide selection available. Ishikawa is killing the ball this spring and also had a break-out season in the minors last year. Figured he was worth giving a shot. He may even have 10 sb potential. If he doesn't pan out, so be it.
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| 78 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:57
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for Da Bomb
23.03 Kyle Lohse, SP, STL
Wanted another SP here, and Lohse's overall numbers last year were pretty good. 15 Wins, 3.78 ERA, 1.30 WHIP. He pitched much better at home last season so I may just start him there at least to begin with.
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| 79 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:57
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for JKaye
23.04 Mark Ellis, 2B, Oak
Ellis gives me a 2nd 2B-eligible on the team and is among the last
projected starters available at this position. I'm sure he'll get plenty
of starts at 2B/MI for me so hopefully his OPS improves to 07
levels, because I can use his counting stats. Two straight years I've
had Duchscherer and Ellis - last year Duch worked and Ellis busted.
This year, both might be off my roster in the 1st half.
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| 80 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:58
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for Uptown Bombers
23.05 Chad Tracy, 1B, ARI
I noted in one of my earlier rationales that I needed to find some late RBI potential. Murphy in round 22 is one of those gambles, but Tracy in this round speaks to my team needs even more. Tracy has been a good player in the past but unable to stay on the field. He came back from injury last year and contributed but he is supposed to be back to full strength this year. There is a little overcrowding in Arizona, but Tracy is expected to get consistent playing time. If that holds up, this could be a steal in round 23.
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| 81 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:58
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for Dave R
23.06 Ben Francisco OF CLE
Is it just me or does it get harder to write these as the draft nears it's end.
I needed another OFer. Ben filled in admirably last year with the injuries to Hafner and Victor. Right now he seems penciled in as the starting leftfielder. At least Hafner's and Martinez's return shouldn't cut into that, although Garko could be moved on occasion to the OF. We'll see.
So it sounds like 400 AB's, runs and RBI's in the 50's and a dozen steals. Or maybe he hits the waiver wire
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| 82 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:59
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for Philsphan
23.07 Brad Penny, SP, BOS
I don’t know what I was thinking here. I had Michael Bourn or Jesse Litsch penciled in for this spot, but went for the known name on a good team. I probably should have taken Bourn so I can get some steals, but I couldn’t justify a 2-3 point gain in steals with an offsetting 4-6 point loss in OBP and SLG. So when my 24th pick is due, both Bourn and Litsch are taken and I’m staring at Penny. I hope he doesn’t completely stink.
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| 83 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 14:59
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for Bags
23.08 Jonathan Sanchez, SP, SFO
157K’s in 158 IP is good. 5.01 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP not so good. I’ll hang onto him for a bit and see if he can figure out how to lower his ERA/WHIP.
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| 84 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:00
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for filthy
23.09 Scott Downs RP TOR
The ace of the Jays bullpen, Scotty Downs, now primed to start the season sharing the closers role. Definitely has the ability to take the role and run with it. Downs season ended poorly with a shelling and a fielding injury in the same game. But this guy has only pitched about 8 bad games out of his last 150. About as automatic as a relief pitcher gets. The Jays bullpen is built to have a lefty closing and hasn't had anyone lead the team in saves 2 years in a row since the Billy Koch days. I like Downs' to get anywhere between 10-30 saves.
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| 85 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:00
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23.10 Takashi Saito, RP, Bos
Another setup man with good ratios, about one K/IP, and possibly one sore Papelbon arm away from a closing job in Boston.
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| 86 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:01
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for dror
23.11 Sean Gallagher SP OAK
Gallagher was good at times last year, and has the ability to strike out. Hopefully with the right matchups and a little luck I will be able to squiz some quality innings out of him.
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| 87 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:01
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for Species
23.12 Michael Bourn OF HOU
A bit of a SB flier who will not play unless his OBP can get at least into the .330's.
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| 88 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:02
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for rheo
23.13 David Purcey, P, Tor
Named the second starter. Great minor numbers, and I've seen him on more then a few sleeper lists. It's late so young and upside is good enough for me.
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| 89 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:07
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for Bash Brothers
23.14 Brandon Inge, C
I intended to draft a catcher in the last round, but guys kept taking 2 catchers made me a bit nervous. With Inge, I've got a catcher who plays everyday at 3B. I expect him to give me 80R/80RBI in the potent lineup of the Tigers. Of course I'll try to neglect the ugly OBP.
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| 90 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:08
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for coldwater coyotes
23.15 Jody Gerut, OF, SD
Gerut is a big favorite of Baseball Prospectus. A solid reserve batter
for my team.
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| 91 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:09
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for vampire weekend
23.16 Emilio Bonifacio 2B FLA
24.01 Sean Marshall SP CHC
Couple of fliers here. I have read everything from emilio being the starting third baseman to a backup to going to the minors. Could not really think of anyone else so hoping he can help. Marshall is a 5th starter on what should be a good team. If he does not bring anything to the table i will throw him to the curb and chase other things with the spot.
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| 92 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:09
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for coldwater coyotes
24.02 Cla Meredith, RP, SD
While he is unlikely to ever repeat his 2006 performance, he should
be a solid reliever with an ERA of below 3.50 and a WHIP of around
1.25. There is also the possibility that he would pick up some
saves if Bell gets injured.
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| 93 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:10
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for Bash Brothers
24.03 Fernando Rodney, RP
The 2nd consecutive Tigers taken. Who is the closer for them? I don't know. This guy pitches poorly but could be the closer by default before somebody emerges as the real stopper. I'll take those ugly saves and then make a quick jump off the terrible ship.
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| 94 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:11
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for rheo
24.04 Jesse Litsch, P, Tor
Doesn't strike anyone out but he just keeps winning and putting up decent ratios. I had him last year and was good for me.
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| 95 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:13
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for Species
24.05 Tony Pena RP ARI
Pena has always hovered around closer status in Arizona. Qualls does not impress me so I am taking a flier here. Still, Pena puts up decent ratios, including a reasonable K/9 so he can't hurt as a middle reliever even if he doesn't get any saves.
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| 96 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:14
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for dror
24.06 Jeff Niemann RP TAM
Niemann is fighting for a rotation spot, but I actually prefer he doesn't get it. He is out of options and is too good to be released so he will start the season the majors, and while he probably will be average at best as a starter, he can be overpowering as a reliever. Anyway, I like his talent and don't mind tossing a 24th rounds pick on the chance he might break out, in whatever role he ends up getting.
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| 97 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:15
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24.07 Chris Snyder, C, Ari
I was hoping to land Inge here, taking advantage of his C/3B/OF eligibility. But he was gone. I’m a little surprised to find Snyder still available. He doesn’t hit for a high batting average, but his OBA is about 100 points higher, and could end up hitting .350/450. He’ll be the #1 catcher in Arizona, although he probably won’t get enough ABs to be a full time fantasy starter. But hopefully his schedule will line up well enough the fit with Soto’s off days.
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| 98 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:16
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for filthy
24.08 Brandon League RP TOR
I'm not confident about BJ Ryan this year, and while Downs is the current frontrunner as the next in line, I could see the team finding him more valuable as a setup guy. I personally like Brandon League as the top righty, and true closer in waiting, in the Jays pen. There are 2 rightys hanging around that have closed for the Jays before, but neither of them can throw a 99MPH heater. Noone else on the team can actually throw that hard, and League is far enough removed from his surfing injury that he might even be mature enough to handle an important role now. His breaking pitches are getting positive reviews this spring, and he will likely get a chance to emerge as the right handed part of a committee situation.
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| 99 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:17
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for Bags
24.09 Ryan Sweeney, OF, OAK
I drafted him because it makes me laugh every time I say his name. Ryan Sweeney. Any way I need some hitting depth and Ryan Sweeney was just hanging out there. I hope Ryan Sweeney can fight off any other hitters who try to take his starting job away. I’m easily amused.
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| 100 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:18
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for Philsphan
24.10 Pedro Feliz, 3B, PHI
Purely a superstitious pick here. Feliz has kind of become a good luck pick for me. I picked him last year in AAA, so I felt the need to do it again. I picked him a couple years ago in another league and I did well there too. He hits 7th in a potent lineup, has little protection behind him, but he got the game-winning RBI in Game 5. That’s enough for the 24th pick in my eyes.
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| 101 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:19
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for Dave R
24.11 Marco Scutaro 2B Tor
I kind of misjudged here. I had narrowed my last two picks to Scutaro, and an outfielder, preferably Seth Smith or Felix Pie, plus a couple other options. I thought Scutaro might not make it back ( of course he probably might not even have been picked ) , so I opted to wait on Smith or Pie. Bad guess.
In any event there are three main reasons I wanted Marco:
1) 2B
2) 3B
3) SS
Eligible at 3 positions, he provides useful backup/insurance in case any of my infielders get hurt and / or suck. He's a starter. Last year in 500+ AB's he scored 76 runs, 60 RBI's, and stole 7 basis. His OBP was a decent .341, only his SLG% leaves a little to be desired. What do you expect for the 379th player taken.
I'd be happy with comparable #'s at this point.
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| 102 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:24
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for Uptown Bombers
24.12 CJ Wilson, RP, TEX
Wilson was the closer for Texas last year but lost the job due to injury. He was not particularly good last year, but obviously the organization thought highly of him. This year he is slated to be the setup guy, he has pitched well in the spring despite a blister, and he gives me some sort of insurance on Francisco. I’m happily surprised to still find him available considering the number of RP’s flying off the board, not because he is good, but because of Francisco’s relative inexperience as closer, Wilson’s background in closing, and the value of saves in a league this deep.
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| 103 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:25
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for JKaye
24.13 Scott Lewis, SP, Cle
Lewis is capable of quality starts. I'll manage match-ups heavily for
him, but his home park is favorable and he has excellent control. At
the very least, not a WHIP killer. He is my 7th SP, but with Duch
having surgery and Hanson starting in AAA, I'll need him to get
wins to keep up in the category.
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| 104 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:25
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for Da Bomb
24.14 Koji Uehara, SP, Bal
Took a flyer on this guy. His stats for the Yomiuri Giants are pretty impressive and he's slated to be the #2 SP in Baltimore.
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| 105 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:26
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for holt
24.15 James McDonald SP LAD
Another rookie long-shot. Looks like he'll be the fifth starter. His minor league numbers are filthy (over 1k/inning, sub 1.2 whip) and he threw a few shutout innings in the playoffs last year. Just taking a shot at some upside. There were a few other starters available with more of a track record but pitchers like that will be available all season long. I'll prob bench him til he puts up a couple good starts.
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| 106 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:26
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for JL
24.16 Brett Anderson, SP, Oak
25.01 Mark Buerhle, SP, ChW
Anderson is one Oakland’s superprospects, and he is slated to start the season in the rotation. Young Oakland pitchers have a history of success, so it’s worth a flyer. Buerhle has a career ERA under 4.00 and he’s good for about 15 wins a year. I’ll take that in the 25th round.
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| 107 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:26
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for holt
25.02 Seth Smith OF COL
Wouldn't be surprised if he puts up Brad Hawpe'ish numbers. Smith's OP in the minors is close to .900 and he could steal a few bags. He could pay off real nicely as a 25th rounder
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| 108 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:28
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for Da Bomb
25.03 Brett Gardner, OF, NYY
Gardner's torrid Spring won him the Opening Day CF spot for the Yanks. He has the ability to steal 30+ bases but I'm interested to see how much power he will show as he supposedly had none but he's somehow hit 3 HRs in the pre-season.
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| 109 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:29
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for JKayae
25.04 Felix Pie, OF, Bal
Too good a prospect not to at least get a roster spot in a deep
league. The change of scenery might be a good thing, though he
will have to fight for PT. But that won't matter to me with daily
lineup changes. Pie can get 10+ SB, and has OPS upside of 800
which would make him useful when he does start.
I did have Seth Smith as my top choice but he went 2 picks before
this.
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| 110 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:30
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for Uptown Bombers
25.05 Emmanuel Burriss, SS, SF
There were some tempting OF’s on the board, but I decided to take Burriss to give me some support at the SS position. I had my eye on Scutaro, but as was covered in the discussion thread, Dave R took care of that at 24.11. Burriss is the favorite to start at 2B for the Giants, giving him added eligibility once the season starts. His biggest potential to help comes in the steals category.
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| 111 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:30
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for Dave R
25.06 Ty Wigginton OF Bal
No Smith. No Pie. Not even Brett Gardner, named a starter today for the Yanks.
So my choices were Wigginton or * undrafted *. Ty seems destined to be a platoon player, he hits the crap out of lefties. But he's versatile, can play all infield positions other than SS, the outfield or DH.
He hit .285 last year with 23 HR's and 58 RBI's for the Astros, in only 386 AB's. He moves from one hitter friendly park to another. I figure somehow the Orioles get his bat in the lineup, be it at DH, to spell an aging Mora, or maybe Pie doesn't cut it. We'll see.
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| 112 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:31
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for Philsphan
25.07 Macier Izturis, SS, LAAofA
I felt I still needed a backup MI, and Izturis was about the only one left. He has hit well over the winter in Venezuela, so maybe he gets hot and I can use him. He is not slated to start in Anaheim, but there is a reason why he was picked 391st in a 16-team fantasy league.
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| 113 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:32
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for Bags
25.08 Taylor Teagarden, C, TEX
Handcuffing you catcher is like handcuffing your TE in football. What’s the point? I think that Salty will end up with the majority of the playing time but Teagarden could play more than the Rangers have let on.
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| 114 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:41
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for filthy
25.09 Scott Linebrink RP CWS
Last pick for my team. I could see Jenks losing his job and I hoped to handcuff another White Sox reliever or two to him. Dotel and Thornton went too early for my liking but I obviously would've preferred them. However, I could see Linebrink getting the nod if the need arises. Dotel's a rollercoaster, and Thornton's the only lefty in the pen, while Linebrink was the setup man for the first half last year. His second half injury really threw off the year end numbers and the bullpen fell apart without him. He sounds like he is recovering enough to settle back into his setup role.
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| 115 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:41
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25.10 Bill Bray, RP, Cin
I need a 5th starter, but I don’t know who to get. So I’ll take Bray as a placeholder until I can find a free agent starter in April.
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| 116 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:42
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for dror
25.11 Edwar Ramirez RP NYY
Not much to say, I'm just hoping for some K's and a few volture wins without too many 1IP 5H 4ER lines.
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| 117 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:42
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for Species
25.12 John Grabow RP PIT
I have Capps so I'm handcuffing here. He might not stay on my roster long but while he is hopefully he puts up some useful ratios.
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| 118 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:53
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for rheo
25.13 Trevor Cahill, P, Oak
Last pick and wanted another pitcher so went with a young, top prospect. Worth keeping around to see if he can do much this year. Had about 6 other guys I was considering but I'll keep quiet since they're all still available.
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| 119 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:54
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for Bash Brothers
25.14 Andrew McCutchen, OF
I intended to take a prospect I liked very much before finding out I was way short in SB. Some basestealers were still available, but they would flatten my OBP/SLUG like a big blow to my stomach. For a rookie, McCutchen's walk rate is very unbelievable in this spring. I knew he was sent down to AAA hours before I drafted him, but I was hoping a quick return to the Bigs for the young talent.
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| 120 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:54
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for coldwater coyotes
25.15 Jerry Blevins, RP, Oak
Strong skills and a good addition to my pitching staff. My third middle reliever who will contribute 60 innings at a below 3.50 ERA with the occasional save and win.
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| 121 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 31, 2009, 15:55
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for vampire weekend
25.16 Juan Rivera OF LAA
Assuming he is fully out of the side memorabilia business and assuming that he can stay healthy for more than 5 minutes. Can put up big numbers - as a dh on a good club worth the last pick
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