| 0 |
Subject: RIBC 2010: Rationales (Rounds 13-25)
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Tue, Mar 23, 2010, 00:03
Continuing for the second half of the draft.
Rationales for rounds 1-12
|
Only the 50 most recent replies are currently shown. Click on this text to display hidden posts as well.
[Lengthy or complex threads may require a slight delay before updating.] |
| 152 | loki
SuperDude
ID: 4211201420
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 11:36
|
22.12-Gio Gonzalez, SP, OAK I had Gonzalez on my team in 2009 hoping that he would find his control and be a real sleeper. He did not, so I am giving him a 2nd chance to break out for the Zephyrs in 2010.
|
| 153 | Uptown Bombers
ID: 47227122
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 11:39
|
22.13, Daric Barton ,1B ,OAK
Berkman’s injury status is unsettled, so I need another CI who should play right away. Barton was all the rage a few years ago and then became a big fantasy disappointment last year. He is still very young, so there is some hope he might start turning things around. If not, this comes as a small investment.
|
| 154 | Slackjawed Yokel
ID: 47227122
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 11:40
|
22.14 Chris Dickerson, OF, Cin
It looks like Dickerson may be in a platoon situation with the Reds, but as a lefty, he should still see a decent amount of action should I need to plug him in the lineup. Decent combination of speed and high .obp - maybe they'll make an everyday leadoff man out of him.
|
| 155 | Tosh
Leader
ID: 057721710
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 12:17
|
22.15 Alfredo Aceves RP NYY At the end of round 20 (35 picks ago), I made a 15-man queue, and Aceves was #1 on the list. I didn't take him 30 picks ago, so I'll take him here. He's a long reliever for the Yankees that was fairly valuable last season, as he was able to vulture his way to a 10-1 record, with good K/9 numbers. He's having a solid Spring, so no reason to expect anything less this year. Hopefully.
|
| 156 | Tequila
Donor
ID: 5411492418
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 12:55
|
22.16 Aaron Rowand OF SFO
rowand should start as leadoff hitter, his average in this spring is .500, i know he's not fast and young anymore but i hope his avg is not going to drop too soon... 23.01 Ian Kennedy SP ARI
kennedy is the third pitcher in the rotation for the d-backs, he had a good era and some k's in last spring training. i'm curious to see him in action at home, maybe it's dangerous and i should only play him when d-backs play away matches...let'see
|
| 157 | Tosh
Leader
ID: 057721710
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 13:28
|
23.02 Brandon Wood 3B LAA A former first-round pick and top prospect, Wood has been nothing but disappointing. In 224 major league ABs, he has a .222 OBP, 74 Ks, and only 7 BBs. But he has the starting job for the Angels, and is only 25 years old, so I still have hope (I think that's only still true for me and Wood's Mom).
|
| 158 | Slackjawed Yokel
ID: 47227122
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 13:59
|
23.03 Ervin Santana, SP, Ana
Since Joba has been named a reliever, I really only had 3 starting pitchers. I do have a slew of solid relievers, however. I chose Santana not necessarily for him to be a staple in my rotation, but really I'll probably take a wait-and-see approach with Santana. He was a top starter two years ago, but last season battled injuries and never got an track. So, lots of upside here for a late round pick.
|
| 159 | Uptown Bombers
Donor
ID: 035616416
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 15:48
|
23.04, Mike Aviles, SS, KC
Likely to start on the DL or the minors, so this is a stash on the bench strategy. Aviles brings a good bat to the KC lineup. Considering the other weak hitting MI they have, I imagine that as soon as his elbow is recovered, Aviles will return as the starting SS. He has already begun playing SS in the spring, so I don’t think he will be out of the lineup for very long.
|
| 160 | loki
SuperDude
ID: 4211201420
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 16:37
|
23.05-Jeff Francoeur, OF, NYM Francoeur is another 1st round draft pick who never lived up to his potential. He played well after being traded to the NYMs and the hope is that this change will enable him to produce again in 2010. The only problem is that the Mets have a history of making very poor trades. Think Jim Fregosi.
|
| 161 | Goldcoach
ID: 439131016
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 16:45
|
for MBT
23.06 Brandon Morrow, SP, TOR
I initially thought he might have a shot at a closer role in TOR, but now he's projected as the #3 starter. I'll see what I've got with this one, but it may have been a wasted pick.
|
| 162 | Goldcoach
ID: 439131016
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 16:48
|
23.07 Rafael Betancourt, RP, Col
I like Betancourt for the Ks he offers in the setup role. Throw in an occasional win or save with low era & whip and he will serve me just fine this late in the draft.
|
| 163 | filthy
ID: 591332022
Sun, Mar 28, 2010, 22:52
|
23.08 Homer Bailey, SP, CIN
Bailey came back with some decent results at the end of last year. He might have figured something out and turned the corner. Always hyped pitcher could turn into a sweet 23rd round pick.
|
| 164 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:25
|
for Species
23.09 Coco Crisp, OF, Oak
I was just searching for an OF with consistent playing time. Crisp will start in CF and leadoff in Oakland. He might even steal some bases for me in the 2 months that Beltran is out.
|
| 165 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:25
|
for JL
23.10 Jose Mijares, RP, Min
There’s a chance he could get some saves, although I’m sure that it will take a minor miracle for that to actually happen since he’s really just a lefty specialist. He had 27 holds and a 2.34 ERA last season, so I guess there’s a possibility that he’ll close if Rauch and Guerrier fail early on.
|
| 166 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:26
|
for JeffG
23.11 David Robertson RP NYY.
Picked up for the K rate as Dave strikes out about 11 per 9. Should have taken Gomes or Delmon Young first as neither made the rebound back to me.
|
| 167 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:26
|
for Tilt
23.12 CJ Wilson, SP/RP, Tex
He is supposed to be stretched out to be a starter this year. And so far it looks like that is how he will start but since I live here I know that his true value is in the bullpen. If he can continue to K guys as a starter then even better but I am actually waiting for him to fall on his face as a starter and go back to Dominating in the pen.
|
| 168 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:28
|
for Dave R
23.13 Clayton Richard SP SD
I had to hastily leave a queue for this pick, and probably wouldn't have taken Richard if I were around. But that's OK. Remembering we are near the end of the draft, I'll keep my fingers crossed with this selection.
Clayton needs to improve his control, to his minor league level of 2.5 walks per 9 innings, or his spot on team SANFORDORS could be over shortly.
At least as the 4th or 5th started for the Padres, I should be able to make a decision on him early on.
|
| 169 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:29
|
23.14 J.J. Putz, RP, ChW
This has been a brutal draft for setup/middle relievers. I was recently discussing our draft with my son, who is drafting in one of the AA leagues. He listed off the three relievers that he took in rounds 18-20. All three were gone by round 17 in this draft.
So why is Putz still available? Disappointing 2009, coming back from elbow surgery. I guess that’s enough – although I fully expected him to disappear earlier, as he may be the first fallback option if Jenks gets injured or falters. Now that I have both Putz and Thornton, that’s what I’m going to have to root for, I guess. (Sorry, Uptown!)
Most of the forecasts I follow aren’t very upbeat on Putz, but all seem to think he could be second in line to close for the White Sox, so I’ll pick him up, and then look for a Jenks voodoo doll to start torturing.
|
| 170 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:29
|
for TD
23.15 Jeremy Affeldt, RP, SFO
Affeldt pitched well for the Giants last year in a setup role posting 33 holds and good ERA and WHIP numbers. If continues pitching at this level, he will be well worth a 23rd round pick.
|
| 171 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:30
|
for holt
23.16 Delmon Young OF MIN
Just a late rd sleeper pick. Former #1 overall draft pick (2003), has some great minor league seasons under his belt, has some speed and power, but hasn't been anything better than mediocre in the majors yet. He's still only 24 though, so people need to cut him some slack. He still may turn out to be worth that #1 pick. I'll hang on to him for a while and see how it goes.
24.01 Felipe Lopez 2B STL
You never know what kind of season Lopez is going to have. He doesn't exactly have a starting job right now, but LaRussa will get him AB's. He may become eligible at everything but C by the time the season is over. He had an .810 OPS in 680 PA last season. That's pretty good. And he had an OPS of .964 during his previous stint with StL, so we'll see how it goes.
I thought pretty long and hard about Branyan here. Also checked out Thome, but I'm not sure about his playing time. I layed off on Jaime Garcia because I figured there was a 100% chance he'd be available with my 25th rd pick, and oddly enough, Guru took him just a few picks after this one. Also considered Brad Penny for quite a while.
|
| 172 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:30
|
for TD
24.02 Jonny Gomes, OF, CIN
Gomes won the starting LF job for the Reds. He had good power numbers last season in a part-time role. At 29 years old , this is probably his last chance for this one-time promising OF to become a starter and I am guessing he will make the most of the opportunity.
|
| 173 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mon, Mar 29, 2010, 16:30
|
24.03 Jaime Garcia, SP, StL
A flier on the 5th starter in St. Louis. Good spring, only 23, good K ratio. That’s the upside. He downside is that he’s already had Tommy John surgery.
Who knows?
|
| 175 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:44
|
for Dave R
24.04 Juan Gutierrez RP ARI
Looking at this point for a setup guy who might, with any luck, end up in a closers role. Gutierrez seemed to thrive last year after being permanently moved to the bullpen as set up man for Qualls. Juan K's nearly a batter an inning, and when Qualls went down last year moved into the closers role, converting all seven save opportunities.
So if Qualls goes down again, I might have fallen into some additional saves
|
| 176 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:45
|
for Tilt
24.05 Rick Ankiel, OF, KC
Not much to say about this. Was left in my queue and I had no access to change it so with my 24th pick I select Rick Ankiel. He is an OFer now right??
|
| 177 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:46
|
for JeffG
24.06 Will Venable OF SD
They say he has some speed and power although his numbers show otherwise. Has streaks of good and bad last season. Best case is he could be a 20/20 guy if things break right but as my 3rd guy off the bench, I'll have to hope he does the good things when my other hitters have off days.
|
| 178 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:46
|
for JL
24.07 Russ Branyan, 1B, Cle
It looks like Branyan will be back from injury to start the season. He posted a .867 OPS with 76 RBI last season. I might spot start him at DH when he’s facing weak RHPs.
|
| 179 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:47
|
for Species
24.08 Mark Lowe 1B SEA
A complete flier, as Aardsma is pretty widely thought of to be amongst the "pretender closers" out there because his history in MLB never predicted the wild success he had in 2009. If he flops, it's between Lowe and Brandon League as to who might mop up the saves.
|
| 180 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:47
|
for filthy
24.09 Ben Francisco, OF, PHI
Likely bench bat for me, but should he stay in the Phils lineup he might put up some numbers worth starting.
|
| 181 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:48
|
for Goldcoach
24.10 Derek Holland, SP, Tex
Just trying to add a potential good arm to my bench in the event one of my staff gets injured. Not looking for anything special at this poin (he's not even in the initial rotation) but it looks like he'll be used eventually if someone is injured (as a starter)or he'll probabably be long relief which can beneficial for ERA, Whip, K's and sometimes wins.
|
| 182 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:48
|
for MBT
24.11 J.P. Howell RP TAM
Another closer in waiting. He's a wait and see candidate.
|
| 183 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:49
|
for loki
24.12-Evan Meek, RP, PIT
With 21.12 I was deciding between one of the undrafted rookies with great potential but who will be starting the season in the minors, a reserve position player, or a handcuff for the often injured Octavio Dotel. I went with the pitcher.
|
| 184 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:49
|
for Uptown Bombers
24.13 Colby Lewis, SP, TEX
Nolan Ryan is changing things in Texas! (Shout out to the Dan LeBatard show listeners out there. If you are not one of them, give the podcast a try.) All I know about this guy is that he is coming back from Japan after some success. Maybe he can use his experience to surprise some people. This pick is as much about the idea that TEX is ready to compete this year and Lewis might benefit from a high win total as a result.
|
| 185 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:50
|
for Yokel
24.14 Randy Wells, SP, CHC
I spent some time looking for a backup corner infielder here, but just couldn't fine anyone worth selecting. I'll look again next pick… As far as Wells, he stood out with his 3.05 ERA last year in his first full season. I'll certainly take that.
|
| 186 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:50
|
for Tosh
24.15 Manuel Corpas RP COL
Like a crack addict looking for one last rock in the sofa cushions, I went looking for saves with this pick. Only this rock I found is covered in fuzz and dirt. Corpas is just not that good. But he might get me a save or two while Huston Street is injured. I'll likely give him a week or so to try ...
|
| 187 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:51
|
for Tequila
24.16 Gaby Sanchez 1b FLA
he should have won the place as starter at 1B , beating logan morrison. I drafted him as he was to be a starter, however he's should bat eight...not so good but you never know how it goes.
25.01 Scot Shields RP LAA
Fuentes is the closer , Rodney and Shields should be the substitutes. It's not clear to me if everyone is healthy or if some of these are injury prone. I was going to dtaft an rp and i choosed shields.
|
| 188 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:51
|
for Tosh
25.02 Andy Pettitte SP NYY
I have a variety of old guys and role players to choose from here. None very exciting. Pettitte will serve as a spot starter for me. Bring on KC!
Thanks to everyone for a great draft!!
|
| 189 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:52
|
for Yokel
25.03 Casey Kotchman, 1B, Sea
I realized I didn't really have any backup at the CI slot. I went searching for guys who had a starting job at 1B (as I already had to third basemen), and I ran across Gaby Sanchez in Florida. I went to pick him and it wasn't letting me... refreshed kafenatid and saw that tequila had just chosen him on the turn. More searching revealed that Kotchman had won the starting position in Seattle. Kotchman had an .840 OPS a few years ago for the Angels, and I'll gladly take that as my stop-gap solution if I need it.
|
| 190 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:52
|
for Uptown Bombers
25.04 Brad Penny, SP, STL
I don’t really like any of the RP options left, so I might as well grab another SP. Hopefully, one of Penny or Lewis will be a viable fantasy play this year. Come on Dave Duncan, work your magic, and make Penny the latest beneficiary of whatever it is you do to take pitchers on their way out and turn them back into major league players.
|
| 191 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:53
|
for loki
25.05-A.J. Pierzynski, C, CWS
Yadier Molina is injured and reports say that he will miss the remainder of spring training. To me that mean starting the season on the DL. I would have preferred not carrying two catchers, but Pierzynski is having a good spring, so perhaps this will be OK.
|
| 192 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:53
|
for MBT
25.06 Scott Podsednik OF KAN
He's just Carlos Gomez with a better OBP. He's projected to be the lead off hitter in KC which means run opportunities. With a 25th round pick I can't complain too much.
|
| 193 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:54
|
for Goldcoach
25.07 Bengie Molina, C, SF
Aside from pitchers, this is the position most likely to see time on the DL, or days off simply for rest. With that in mind I always like to carry a second catcher to sneak in a few extra ABs which help with the counting numbers (provided the AVGS aren't hurt too much) I was surprised to see Bengie still around. I guess everone is anticipating him getting shunted aside to make room for a certain minor leaguer to be called up after June 1. Anyway he's here, and will get plenty of work in the first two months, so once I figure out the rotation used for my catchers I'll slip Molina in on Napoli's days off.
|
| 194 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:54
|
for filthy
25.08 Jim Thome, DH, MIN
Hard to believe Thome is still playing. He still can hit bombs though. Last pick, why not.
|
| 195 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:56
|
for Species
25.09 Jim Johnson RP BAL
Mike Gonzalez is pretty injury prone, as well as prone to some inconsistency, so Johnson might be able to vulture some saves.
|
| 196 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:56
|
for JL
25.10 Bud Norris, SP, Hou
He's a young guy that had a nice K rate last season in his short stint with the Astros. You don't strike out a lot guys without having good stuff. Maybe he'll put it all together this season and be decent.
|
| 197 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:57
|
for JeffG
25.11 Kenshin Kawakami SP ATL
Left a queue of a half dozen SP since I was not going to be around for round 25, just looking for someone to man the end of my rotation. Kawakami had some hard luck losses for Atlanta last year which may have allowed him to win 10-12 instead of 7, with an ERA around 4. Out of a 25th rounder, that is about all I can expect as I keep my eyes on a hot free agent if I get trigger happy. Just to be safe, I actually put two relievers behind Kenshin that I'd not want to see on my roster, both remained undrafted - not sure if I can mention them but one is actually the Dodger opening day starter via Texas and Philadelphia the other is the oft injured ex-Yankee now on the Twins.
|
| 198 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:57
|
for Tilt
25.12 Jenrry Mejia RP NYM
Looks like he could break camp with the Mets as a big part of their bullpen even as high as the 8th inning guy. If things break right then he could be in position for some saves esp with Mets injury history. Ill take that for my last pick
|
| 199 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 12:58
|
for Dave R
25.13 Matt Joyce OF TB
Last pick....
It's odd, in Rotowire's 2010 " outlook " they state Joyce will likely go to the minors, as there isn't room for him with the big club. Yet their depth charts have him penciled in as the starter in RF.
He's having some elbow issues which may or may not land him on the DL to start the season, but it doesn't sound serious.
So what am I getting? A 25 year old, full of potential, one with a major league career OPS of almost .800, albeit in limited action. Someone who hit 16 HR's and stole 14 bases after being sent down to the minors last year.
Someone who will quickly sent back to the waiver list if he doesn't work out.
|
| 200 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 13:00
|
25.14 Ryan Raburn, 1B/OF, Det
I had intended to nab another starting pitcher here, but there really wasn’t anyone I could settle on, and the likelihood is that whoever I picked up would be tossed back before the end of April.
Raburn has been hitting well this spring (.540/650), and while he isn’t necessarily a full time starter, I’m sure he’ll get action as long as he hits like this. I may need an extra hitter in the early going, as J.D. Drew hasn’t even been hitting his weight this spring. I’ll take him for now, and see what develops. Eventually, I’ll probably want to drop a hitter in favor of a pitcher, but that can wait.
|
| 201 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 13:00
|
for TD
25.15 Juan Uribe, SS, SFO
I wanted to select a 4th MI if I could find one with any potential. Uribe will start the season for the Giants at 2B with Freddy Sanchez injured. If Uribe plays well he could remain a starter after Sanchez returns.
|
| 202 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 30, 2010, 13:01
|
for holt
25.16 Mike Fontenot 2B CHC
Hopefully he sucked so hard last season because he had to play so much third base. He had a .909 OPS in 2009, a .925 OPS in AAA in 2007, an .880 OPS in AA in 2003 (he's 29 now), and he's qualified at 2B and 3B. I only have Rolen at 3B atm so this helps. There were a lot of high hopes for Fontenot last season. Maybe things will come together for him this year. Too bad that he is a stinky Cub. Now I have two of them.
|
| Rate this thread: | If you wish, you may rate this thread on scale of 1-5. Ratings should indicate how valuable or interesting you believe this thread would be to other users of this forum. A '5' means that this thread is a 'must read'. A '1' means that this is a complete waste of time. If you have previously rated this thread, rating it again will delete your previous rating. If you do not want to rate this thread, but want to see how others have rated it, then click the button without entering a rating, or else click here. |
|
|
Post a reply to this message:
|