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Subject: RIBC 2012: Draft discussion
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 07:53
The draft will be activated shortly, although the clock will not be turned on until Thursday. The early activation is to allow people to (re)familiarize themselves with the layout of the system, and to set up queues, as needed. (Although the clock will be off today, you are free to pick if you wish.)
We will once again use a 6 hour clock. The clock will pause between 1am and 7am ET. I know that the pause times extend late for easterners and end early for westerners, but with a 6 hour pause, this still provides a 12 hour window for any pick which extends through the pause period, which should be ample.
If you time out, the draft will move on. Skipped picks can be made up at any time thereafter. If your turn arises and you still have an outstanding skipped pick, I will probably move the draft on to the next picker. If we get well ahead of pace, I may relax that stance. But hopefully it will not become an issue. This also means that people on the turn have a single clock period to make their first pick, or both picks will be skipped.
Although the clock will be set at 6 hours, we cannot make satisfactory progress if many managers use much of that allowance. I’m hoping to average about 2-3 rounds (32-48 picks) per day, so please do your best to keep up that pace. If we fall behind, managers who are chronically slow may be put on a shorter clock. Note that the clock will not be suspended on weekends.
If we cannot complete 2 rounds per day, we will not finish before the two early games in Japan. I have plans for adapting if that happens, but for now. let's assume that we will finish in time. We do plan to include those two games in our season scoring.
We will use this thread for logistical communications, to help others anticipate potential delays, to recruit someone to accept a queue, to announce or solicit trades, and to coordinate changes in the clock. Please check this thread regularly throughout the draft, as we will rely on it as the primary means of communication among RIBC managers.
Established draft etiquette is that no undrafted player names should be mentioned either here or in the rationale threads, and in the event of an infraction, should be edited out.
After two rounds have been completed, a separate draft rationale thread will be started. We will try to keep that thread on a 2 round lag. Therefore, after you make your pick in round 3, please immediately post your round 1 pick rationale, and so forth. I usually draft my rationales as I make picks, so that all I need to do when the time comes is copy and paste. I recommend that approach for everyone.
You may draft a player even if he is not currently listed on Yahoo. In that event, you will have the first rights to claim that player when he is listed, as long as you preserve that roster slot for him (for which an inactive placeholder player will be assigned).
Once the draft is completed, you will no longer be able to protect a slot for any unlisted player. At that point, unlisted players will only be available through the standard Yahoo waiver/free agent process.
When you select a player, please list him at the position that you primarily expect to use him. Of course, these positions are not binding, and are only indicative of your anticipated usage. Yahoo position eligibilities will be used throughout the season.
In order to keep the draft moving at an acceptable pace, please make active use of queues if you expect to be unavailable when it is your turn. Recent drafts have gone very smoothly due primarily to the active use of queues. The software offers many enhancements for queuing, including round-specific queues, autopicks, and time-delay autopicks. For more details, see the help page at draftime.com. If you don’t understand something, please ask here.
In addition to auto-picks, the draft software still allows you to set up a queue and to make that queue available to any other manager who you authorize as a designated picker. Be aware that, as commish, I am automatically authorized as a DP for everyone. Your queue will not be visible to your DPs (or me) until it is your turn to pick, and you may specify whether the entire queue should be visible, or only the top name. However, if you do not make your queue "available", then no one (including me) will be able to see it when it is your turn. If you want your queue to be used by a DP or by me, then please be sure that you have it set as available. If you do not want your queue used, then be sure to make it unavailable. If it is your turn and a queue is available to me, I will make that pick for you unless you have posted explicit instructions to the contrary in this thread.
The draft will last for 25 rounds. You are not required to draft a player for every position.
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168 | reeb Dude
ID: 561124720 Sat, Mar 24, 2012, 23:53
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Hafner, Travis UTL CLE
Being only a DH kinda stinks and his awful health is the only reason he has slipped this far. I like taking a chance on a guy with a great OBP track record in this format. He's a JD Drew/Youk/Helton type and if healthy is a real plus in this type of league.
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169 | Nerfherders
ID: 310111515 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 02:57
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18.14 Fernando Salas, RP STL Salas came on the scene last year and was the closer for a little while. This year they are going to give the ball to Motte in the 9th, but Salas is next in line. With the top non-closer RP's gone, I went with the next tier, and Salas at least has a chance to close.
19.03 Eric Thames, OF TOR This is a bit of a spec pick as he isn't even guaranteed a job out of spring training. But he showed a good bat with power in his stint last season. I honestly didnt know anything about him until about a week ago - I thought he was the other one! He's young and has upside, which has been a common theme in my draft this year.
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170 | Graydog
ID: 01532723 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 07:58
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19.11 - Scott Baker, SP, Min Is a health risk but at this point in the draft I am not too concerned. Has had downward trending innings pitched over the past three years but his pitching metrics have also gone down. The home park will also help suppress a few runs.
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171 | ksoze Leader
ID: 04619323 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 15:42
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20.11 – Chris Heisey, OF, Cin
Looking to complete my starting lineup with this pick, I have my MI, CI and UTIL spots covered but still need a 4th OF. It seems we’re deep into “slim pickings” ground here, and I was looking mainly for OF’s who are expected to start regularly, then narrowed those down to the one that I felt had the best chance of contributing to a fantasy squad. Heisey has decent power, hit 18 homers in less than 300 AB’s last year and fell just shy of a .500 SLG. His OBP stinks, but at this point in the draft something is going to. He might tally double digits in steals to boot.
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172 | kdl212
ID: 32214712 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 16:57
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19.10 Omar Infante, 2B, MIA
Middle infield scrap. Not much upside here, unless he replaces Bonifacio in the #2 spot in the lineup. But a decent floor: .350/.390 with perhaps 50 rbi if he bats down in the order. The #1 candidate to be the first person dropped from my team. Thought about Rolen as a backup 3B, but he's old, and didn't think he could be counted on for anything past April.
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173 | kdl212
ID: 32214712 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 17:01
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20.07 Brad Lidge, RP, WAS
Rolen was still there, but news broke that Storen could begin the season on the DL, so I became a saves vulture before the draft even finished. I took Lidge last year in round 8 or 9 and held him for several months and got nothing out of him. Not a single inning. A complete waste of a roster spot.
Maybe this year he gives me 2 or 3 saves in April. I'll take it. Anything else is gravy.
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174 | Nerfherders
ID: 310111515 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 18:08
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21.03 Mike Leake, SP CIN Who else could it be really? The L-Squad is complete now with Lincecum, Latos, Lewis, Lilly, and Leake. Leake isn't much of a strikeout pitcher but he is otherwise solid, and has room to improve. His BB/9 and SO/BB improved dramatically last year, and if he continues that he will be a fine 5th starter.
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175 | reeb Dude
ID: 561124720 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 19:56
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20.09 Daniel Bard, RP, Bos
Starter or reliever I don't really care. He has good stuff and should make an impact no matter what his role is.
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176 | reeb Dude
ID: 561124720 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 20:15
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21.08 Rex Brothers, RP, COL
Young, future closer. Figured this was a good spot to take a chance on him.
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178 | mjd Leader
ID: 501381415 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 20:18
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To the moderator who transfers 21.08- it should be for reeb, not kdl.
Sorry for the error.
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179 | kdl212
ID: 32214712 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 20:24
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21.10 Nyjer Morgan (aka Tony Plush), OF, MIL
For the first time all draft, the player I had at the top of my queue for the long turn (18 picks) made it back to me. After I picked Lidge in round 20, I looked at my roster and thought I could use a few extra steals. There are some part-time players who'll cobble to together 20 steals, but you won't ever know when they'll start, and some will come as pinch-runners. Morgan is, for better or worse, an everyday player. Got my fingers crossed for BABIP luck and a return to 25-30 steals.
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180 | JKaye Leader
ID: 01372359 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 21:12
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21.16 Mark Buehrle, SP, Mia
Definitely the first time he has ended up on any of my fantasy teams. His sub 5 K/9 turns me off, but I do like the fact that he is going to be pitching in the NL, in a large ballpark, and that Ozzie will let him pitch a lot of innings - all of which means he has a good chance at Wins, as well a respectable ERA/WHIP. A solid #6 SP for me.
22.01 Mike Trout, OF, LAA
Round 22, why not?
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181 | mjd Leader
ID: 501381415 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 23:01
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18.08 Justin Masterson, SP, CLE
Slated to pitch the Tribe’s opener (not necessarily a bragging point), I’m chancing that the 27 year old continues his progression from last season. Improved command while maintaining his groundball rate with decent K abilities could make him a nice bargain at this point of this draft. Or not.
19.09 Francisco Cordero, RP, TOR
When I was reading a last minute article about the Indians while researching the Masterson pick, it was mentioned how good Travis Hafner was looking. Apparently several others saw it also, because he’s been mentioned in a couple other rationales and was chosen just prior to this pick. I might have been semi-tempted to pick him here even though I rarely draft an old, oft injured DH in this format, with our short bench. But he already was picked, so no further thought necessary.
Instead, I pick the old vet who’s slated to be the setup guy/plan B closer for the Jays. Considering that he saved 37 games in Cincy last year and the lack of experience that Sergio Santos has, I’m a little surprised that he’s still on the board. I’ll be chasing saves all year. Maybe I’ll get lucky here.
20.08 Jesse Crain, RP, CWS
Even though he’s been dinged up a bit, he’s still in the mix with Thornton for the closer’s job to start the season, though his rising fly ball rate could be cause for problems at the homer friendly US Cellular. Regardless, all reports indicate that the youngster Addison Reed eventually becomes the closer. My best hope is that Crain gets me a handful of early season saves and helps to keep my ratios down.
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182 | Tilt23
ID: 280283018 Sun, Mar 25, 2012, 23:44
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20.16 Aroldis Chapman, P, CIN He is a strikeout machine. Madson is out for the year. He will either start and get a chance to perform or he could easily be put in the closers role and get some saves. He has great stuff and I will always gamble on great stuff in pitchers this late in the draft. They are paying him a lot of money so they cant send him to AAA.
21.01 Brent Morel, 3B, CWS He is a starting 3B. He is young. I don’t have a 3B besides Miggy and he wont be eligible for a while. Morel would not be available when I get back and I will be damned if im stuck with you-know-who playing 3B for me.
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183 | Graydog
ID: 01532723 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 08:31
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20.06 Travis Snider, OF, Tor Has pedigree but was on the outside looking in because of Eric Thames. I saw that Ben Fransisco got injured so I was hoping that both Snider and Thames would make the team. But shortly after my pick Snider was sent down. Most likely not worth a roster spot and will be shortly dropped.
21.11 Peralta, Joel, RP, TAM It is now time to fill out my roster with RP's most of whom will not likely be on the roster by the dog days. Peralta has produced excellent ratios over the past two seasons and any hedge against Farnsworth is a good one in my books
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184 | jseth33
ID: 17238269 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 10:38
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21.04 Pastornicky, Tyler SS ATL Was looking for a short stop who might be able to fill in when Hardy inevitably gets hurt. Definitely has some speed...still not so definite is that he actually is going to be the starter.
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185 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 12:21
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I've input into Yahoo the draft results through pick 24.04. Please review your team to make sure I haven't made any errors. You can see the draft results at this url: http://baseball.fantasysports.yahoo.com/b1/113710/draftresults?drafttab=team
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186 | kdl212
ID: 1025614 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 12:51
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my round 2 sandwich pick of Barry Bonds 2004 is missing (an insane, wind-aided .609/.812 slash); otherwise it looks good.
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187 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 14:32
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Ugh - I hate extended waits in the final rounds.
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188 | mjd Leader
ID: 501381415 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 15:11
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This is the second consecutive extended time period we've waited on the same manager. Beyond ridiculous. His clock should also be shortened.
We're in the 24th round for cripes sake. Just load up your queues and set on auto pick and let's just get this done.
The majority of these picks at this point are going to wind up as waver wire fodder anyhow.
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189 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 15:24
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I'm reducing kokeshis clock to one hour for his last pick in round 25.
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190 | Uptown Bombers
ID: 318502217 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 16:02
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21.15 Casey Kotchman, 1B, CLE
I felt like my team needed a little bench depth. Kotchman is expected to start at 1B for the time being and he gives me a little protection in case one of my other bats starts off cold. Would have taken Bastardo had he survived to my pick.
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191 | Uptown Bombers
ID: 318502217 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 16:05
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22.02 Ryan Dempster, SP, CHC
His skills are regressing, but he still put up rather impressive K totals. His ratios leave something to be desired, but hopefully I can hide that. If he’s that bad, I can cut him for a hot pitcher or good matchup during the season.
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192 | kdl212
ID: 1025614 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 16:10
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22.07 Rafael Soriano, RP, NYY
Other than Mike Trout, I had relief pitchers in my queue here. While I enjoyed the Planeterium at the American Natural History Museum (where I was told that before the big bang, the entire observable universe was contained in a mass the size of a grain of sand), the computer selected Rafael Soriano for me. I don't think he's awesome, and I'm not even sure he'd be next in line if Mariano Rivera ever broke down. But maybe he scoops ups some wins and a save or two with decent ratios.
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193 | Tosh Leader
ID: 057721710 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 17:07
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I still have 22 guys in my queue. Can we please have a 26th round??
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194 | mjd Leader
ID: 501381415 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 17:11
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22.08 Chris Iannetta, C, LAA
Better get a catcher on this run before kokeshi’s picks the rest. As I’ve waited this long to draft one, I guess he’s getting the kicker’s treatment. To be honest, the only 2 teams other than myself without one will each get 2 picks before I pick again and since I’d be satisfied with either Iannetta or Hundley, I’d better grab one here. Neither are particularly notable. Both should get good playing time while not killing my hitting percentages. Hundley will be relied upon by the anemic hitting Padres to provide some production, while perhaps Iannetta benefits from hitting in a stronger lineup. I guess I could have flipped a coin.
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195 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 17:56
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Andy Pettitte is not yet listed in Yahoo (surprisingly). I've assigned Victor Martinez as a placeholder for now - but would prefer a pitching placeholder. Any ideas?
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197 | twilson
ID: 221142214 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 18:01
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Guru, how about Joel Zumaya as a placeholder? Yet another TJ surgery for him, might even retire.
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199 | kdl212
ID: 17222412 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 18:03
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25.10 Alexi Casilla, 2B/SS, MIN
I had over a dozen guys still in my queue, at every position, in the majors and the minors, and really didn't know how to pick. Went with the guy with both 2B/SS eligibility, and the potential to steal 20 bases.
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200 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 18:07
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[195] Zumaya it is.
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201 | kdl212
ID: 17222412 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 18:11
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24.07 Alberto Callaspo, 3B, ANA
Not an everyday player, but my everyday 3B backup.
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202 | jseth333 Dude
ID: 24100310 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 18:12
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Brad Penny who signed to play in Japan?
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203 | ksoze
ID: 271212719 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 18:30
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I'm out of town on business until tomorrow evening, I'll post my remaining rationales then, most are written but saved on my home computer.
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204 | kdl212
ID: 17222412 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 19:00
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23.10 Seth Smith, OF, OAK
Yes, I understand he's going from Colorado to Oakland, but he batted .358/.456 on the road last year, and is a career .356/.456 hitter at Petco, so it's not like he's totally dependent on Coors. If I use him just against right-handed pitching, I should get slightly better results than that. Plus, he bats clean-up! All of that in round 23. Hoping this is the kind of pick that helps me ensure I stick around next year.
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205 | jseth333 Dude
ID: 24100310 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 19:37
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23.04 Devin Mesoraco, C CIN Tough to rely on Dusty but Devin is catcher of the future and hopefully that future is now.
24.13 Brandon Allen, 1B, OAK Likely to start at first base - not as likely to be starting on my team.
25.04 Andy Pettitte, SP, NYY aka Joel Zumaya I am onboard the comeback train.
Let's play ball!!!!!!
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206 | Nerfherders
ID: 310111515 Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 20:41
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22.14 Koji Uehara, RP BAL I was actually surprised to see Uehara still here. Yes, he's third in line to close, but gosh his numbers have been out of sight. I'm happy to have him doing his thing again this season.
23.03 Ian Stewart, 3B CHC I needed a backup for Chipper, who is already out to start the season. Stewart is not the ideal candidate, but he at least has some upside, and can't possibly be worse than last year. He also has some injury problems. I just hope he and Chipper aren't hurt at the same time.
24.14 Jamey Carroll, SS MIN Carroll is one of the better MI still available, which isn't saying much. He will get on base and score some runs, but not much else. All I can hope for is I don't have to use him for more than 70 games between SS and MI.
25.03 Eduardo Sanchez, RP STL Another RP that I was surprised to see available. He was lights out when he pitched last year, so hoping for more of the same. He could also close if Motte fails, so I have the backup STL closer covered.
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207 | Graydog
ID: 45252310 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 00:26
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22.06 Henry Rodriguez, RP, Was Drew Storen is hurt. H-Rod could snag me a couple saves early in the year, likely a drop by mid spring.
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208 | Graydog
ID: 01532723 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 08:54
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24.06 Aaron Crow unlikely, but could be in the mix for saves in KC with Soria out. Most likely will provide me a few innings with useful ratios before he gets the boot to the wire.
25.11 Bobby Abreu Bobby appears to have mouthed his way out of Anaheim. This will hopefully lead to a new landing spot and some at bats. This is a guy who clearly has declining skills but has never had a season where he did not register 500 at bats. I am hoping there is something left in the tank and he gets a shot to prove it.
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209 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 09:01
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The league has been activated at Yahoo. All players are initially placed on the bench for March 28. If you want to activate any players for the first game in Japan, you must move them into an active roster spot prior to game time (which Yahoo lists as 5:10am ET)
Please post all remaining rationales in this thread. I will copy them over to the rationale thread in the proper sequence.
I will initiate at draft recap thread shortly.
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210 | Tilt23
ID: 280283018 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 11:43
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23.01 Bryce Harper, OF, Wash We all know Harper. Manager wants him in the lineup now but Wash decided to sent him down to AAA. It wont be long, tickets have to be sold. This kid is supposed to be the real deal, can I keep him on my bench long enough to reap any rewards?
24.16 Garrett Jones, 1B/OF, Pit I needed another bat since ive got Bryce Harper sitting on my bench. I wanted Jones last round so was happy to get him here. He will play the heavy side of the platoon and does well against righties. He can plug in for me at 1B and OF so that helps too.
25.01 Edison Volquez, SP, SD My final pick. I continue my trend of current and former Rangers pitchers (Carpenter, Feliz, Danks)with Volquez. The guy has great stuff and no command. Nuke Laloosh. Moving to Petco could be huge plus though.
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211 | reeb@work
ID: 55256218 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 12:24
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22.09 Scott Downs, RP, LAA
Wanted a set up guy with good ratios and Downs has been doing just that for a long time. Hopefully he picks up a few wins and saves along the way.
23.08 Drew Pomeranz, SP , COL
He supposedly has great stuff and the Rockie feel highly of him. Probably only a spot starter for now but hopefully he develops over the course of the season.
24.09 Alfredo Aceves, RP , BOS
Like Daniel Bard I don't really care if he is a starter or reliever. He should be good value in the 24th round as long as he is pitching similar to last year.
25.08 Jarrod Saltalamacchia, C , BOS
Back up catcher with maybe some upside still left. Most likely my first casualty when I find a free agent that I like.
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212 | Tosh Leader
ID: 057721710 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 12:47
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Pick 23.05 ~ Robert Andino, 2B/3B/SS, BAL
Why did I draft this guy? I don’t really like the Orioles, yet just took my third in a row. Andino put up some decent numbers last season in limited play, and has that really cool three-position eligibility. The Orioles have a regular 2B, but he appears to be hurt at this time, and Andino would be filling in for him. Maybe I’ll be able to get some runs and SBs out of him before he returns to utility status for Baltimore.
Pick 24.12 ~ Nick Masset, RP, CIN
Blind dart #1. Madson is out as closer in Cincinnati. Marshall is expected to be the new closer … but maybe it will be Masset instead.
Pick 25.05 ~ Brian Fuentes, RP, OAK
Blind dart #2. Fuentes has been a closer before … so if current Oakland closer Ball-Four lives up to his name … maybe Fuentes will take over.
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213 | mjd Leader
ID: 501381415 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 13:48
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23.09 Ruben Tejada, SS, NYM
A blindfolded dart throw. Backing up my MI, Tejada looks poised to follow Jose Reyes as the Muts opening day SS. Unfortunately, he’s known more for his glove than his bat. But he’s got a full time gig and might steal a few bags whenever he graces my lineup.
24.08 Eric Young, MI, OF, COL
He’s out of options this year, good enough to make the team as a bench player, but a weak hitter with no power and a poor defender. A cheap source of steals, he only appeared in 77 games last season and stole 27 bags in less than 200 plate appearances. For once, I may not be lacking in SB, so maybe early season trade bait for some team desperate for steals.
25.09 Luke Gregerson, RP, SD
Poor lifetime splits vs LHBs will probably limit him to 7th or 8th inning duties where he’ll be useful help to my ratios. He’s been working on developing a slider and if he can master it, might get a few saves in place of the oft injured Houston Street. Not that they’ll be a ton of games to save for the Padres this season. Value also augmented by pitching in Petco.
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214 | twilson
ID: 221142214 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 17:46
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14.15 Peter Bourjos, OF, LAA It’s pretty remarkable how often players have survived the turn for me in this draft. I’m not used to it happening more than once in RIBC, and this is the fourth pick I’m making where that has been the case. I need steals but would prefer to do it without killing SLG. Bourjos fits that description better than anyone else. He has a good pedigree, and his defensive skills give him a very good chance to hold onto his starting spot in the crowded Angels outfield. De Aza and Tabata were also considered at this spot.
15.02 Alejandro De Aza, OF, CWS I actually think I prefer De Aza to my previous pick Bourjos, but when making pick 14.15, I decided that doubling up on the speedy outfielders was my best move for maximizing value and improving my roster. So De Aza was forced to sweat out the turn before joining the squad. His complete lack of a pedigree and his injury history are troubling, but the performance record is very intriguing, and he will be leading off for the White Sox. It is really early to take my fifth outfielder, but so it goes. I wanted to take a SP at this turn since I am falling very behind there, but don’t think anyone stands out quite as much as De Aza.
16.15 Sean Marshall, RP, CHI Seeing Jaime Garcia and Ted Lilly go right before this pick was not a particularly positive feeling. After reading up on Garcia a bit more after rounds 14/15, I now like him enough that I would’ve taken him instead of one of the OFs. Yadier Molina was the only hitter of interest at this point, but twitter news of a setback to Ryan Madson’s elbow made me sit up and take notice, particularly the following quote: “I don’t know what I can say,” Madson said. “I don’t like to be like that, but . . . ”
The defeatist tone led me to Sean Marshall, who is an excellent MR even before factoring in the possible closing role. My lack of comfort with Capps as a #2 closer cemented this pick. As it turns out, Madson needs TJ surgery, so I got myself a very good closer in the 16th round. I’ll take that.
17.02 Brandon McCarthy, SP, OAK Yadier went on the turn, so I am consigned to a replacement-level catcher. No need to take one anytime soon. Thus, it is finally time for SP #3. Nobody really stands out. I considered Fister, but he only has one good year and doesn’t strike out enough batters to have high upside. Vance Worley’s swinging strike % doesn’t support his K/9 rate. Minor and Sale sure have great K numbers, but I wasn’t sold. McCarthy is a guy I targeted out of the FA pool later last year, and he performed at a high level. He is a major injury risk, but the combo of decent K/9 with a groundball tilt appeals to me.
18.15 Bud Norris, SP, HOU As far as high K starters go, I would’ve much preferred Mike Minor. Still, it’s easier to find low K control guys in the FA pool during the season than pitchers like Norris. He’ll need to maintain much of last year’s statistical gains to start regularly on my team, but I decided to take a chance here that he does. To be honest, I’m not a big fan, but nobody else was all that appealing.
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215 | twilson
ID: 221142214 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 18:24
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23.02 Nick Hundley, C, SD I asked my dad, an NL-only roto guy since 1987, for some catcher suggestions, and he came up with Hundley and [undrafted]. The OBP/SLG of [undrafted] left a lot to be desired, so that left me with Hundley. He has put up solid enough triple slashes for a catcher, which is all I can ask for this late in the draft. He just got a contract extension from the Padres, so if they are believers, why can’t I be one too?
24.15 Ramon Hernandez, C, COL My dad’s list was actually crafted in response to my independent interest in Ramon Hernandez. He is 35 and hasn’t exceeded 352 PAs since 2008, but when healthy and active, he has often done well. In particular, the last two years have provided an above average offensive performance irrespective of position on a per PA basis. The move to Coors Field can’t hurt either. Hopefully, one of my two catchers establishes himself early on, as I will undoubtedly have to cut one for an injury replacement before too long.
25.02 Kris Medlen, SP, ATL The Braves keep saying that Medlen will be kept as the long reliever. It’s too bad, because he has pitched very well whenever an opportunity has been provided. He missed last year due to Tommy John surgery but has outperformed his competition thus far this spring. If he starts the season in the bullpen, he will not be starting the season on my roster.
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216 | ksoze Leader
ID: 04619323 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 18:27
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22.11 – Jake McGee, RP, TB
Cashner had been first on my short list of RP’s I would be willing to draft because, while long shots, they might still have the chance at snagging a few saves in 2012. Jake was next, as he was outstanding for the Rays on his second go around with the team the latter half of 2011. He’d probably be third in line for saves in the Ray’s pen behind Farnsworth and Peralta but he absolutely shut down lefties last season and could put up some nice %’s along with a K an inning or so.
23.06 – Wilson Betemit, 3B, Balt
I'm looking to take hitters for my final three picks of the draft. Betemit is starting. For Baltimore. He’s starting. So… he’s playing most every day. That, combined with the fact that I only have one 3B makes Wilson a great candidate to sit on my bench, unless I need him otherwise. A good friend of mine is blindly optimistic about the 2012 prospects for the Orioles, both in real life and fantasy baseball. He’s a fool. Hopefully I’m not for putting Wilson on my bench. Can I really hope for an OPS close to .800 with runs/RBI’s combined at 120? Time will tell.
24.11 – David Murphy, OF, Tex
I need a backup OF so I was looking again for someone who should have some decent playing time. Murphy would probably be starting for many other teams, and he should compile quite a few AB’s with Texas, especially since 2 of their 3 OF starters are injury prone. He’ll hit a few homers, steal a few bases and hopefully be worth an OPS north of .750… that’ll have to do for a bench player for now.
25.06 – Casey McGehee , 3B, Pit
I really should have put Casilla higher in my queue for this pick than McGehee, I really needed a back up MI. McGehee was there because due to the fact that it appears he’ll get the bulk of the playing time at 3B for the Pirates. That doesn’t necessarily translate into anything worthwhile on a fantasy team if his OPS is below .700 again, and it’s likely at this point that he’s the first player replaced on my team.
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217 | Uptown Bombers
ID: 318502217 Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 21:33
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23.15 Chone Figgins, 3B, SEA
Coming off a garbage year, but he still expected to hit at the top of the order this year. That gives him a chance at being valuable because of his speed. Before he can help there, he needs to remember how to hit. I also needed another warm body at 3B, so Figgins fit the bill there.
24.02 Santiago Casilla, RP, SF
Casilla has been valuable as a ratio helper in the past two years, so at the very least he is worth a shot there. Also, I have already invested in Wilson being iffy with my Sergio Romo pick. Last thing I want is to get lucky with a Wilson injury and still lose out on the closer in waiting. Casilla has gotten saves in the past and might get the nod if it comes to that.
25.15 Chris Johnson, 3B, HOU
He is only a year removed from putting up some decent number. He’s young, slated to start, and worth a flier. Maybe he gets off to a hot start.
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218 |
Guru
ID: 330592710 Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:50
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I believe that these are the missing rationales now.
kokeshis 8.05 Chris Young 9.12
Pineda 10.05 Marmol 12.05 Francoeur 13.12 Moustakas 14.05
Beckham 15.12 Wandy Rodriguez 16.05 Addison Reed 17.12
Smoak 18.05 Sale 20.05 Revere 21.12 Arencibia 22.05
Quentin 23.12 Ibanez 25.12 Zambrano
twilson 19.02 Nicasio 20.15
Rolen 21.02 Matusz
dror 17.14 Mike Adams 18.03 Alex Presley 19.14
Bedard 20.03 K. Wood 22.03 Milone 23.14 Harrison 24.03
Capuano 25.14 NIemann
222 | dror
ID: 5010422917 Sun, Apr 01, 2012, 19:09
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I'm really sorry about the long delay. writing these is not easy for me (english is not my 1st language), and I had a crazy busy week and didn't find the time untill now.
17.03 Mike Adams, RP, Tex The secret is obviously out on the value of the elite middle relievers in this format, and every year it takes earlier and earlier picks to get them. One of most dominating setup man in the leauge the last few years, Adams is a strong bet for 60-70 IP of elite ratios and more the one strikeout per inning. And with Joe Nathan not looking too durable last year, maybe he will get a chance to do some more.
18.14 Alex Presley, OF, Pit My 12th and final hitter, Presley had a very good year in 2011, both in AAA and the Majors. He is expected to hit 2nd, so runs and steals are the strong points, and should have just enough walks and homers in him to not kill my OPS.
19.03, Erik Bedard, SP, Pit Back in 4.03, I was the first one to pick a 2nd starter. Now I'm the last one to pick up a 3rd, with most team allready having 4. Bedard can be dominating when he is on, and moving to the NL can only help. He is very unlikely to stay healthy throughout the season, but I'd rather have 100 strong IP then 200 medicore ones.
20.14 Kerry Wood, RP, ChC Carlos Marmol looks to me like a train wreck waiting to happen, and with Sean Marshal in Cincinetti, Wood in now next in line for saves there. He walks way to many people to be a considered a top reliever, but his K rate is allways strong and his health apears to be stable, so he should get the job done as my 5th reliever.
21.14 Ivan Nova, SP, NYY I was very empressed with this guy last year. Not a lot of people believed he can succeed where so many others have failed, but he proved he belongs and then some. His hard, sinking fatball is just the right pitch for the new Yankee Stadium, and I expect his K rate to improve this year towards his minors averges. And of course, while pitching for the Yankees he should have an easier time getting a win then most others.
22.03 Tom Milone, SP, Oak The main piece of the Gio Gonzalez trade, Millone is locked in as the A's #3 starter. Last year, in 148.1 IP at AAA, he gave up a total of 16 walks. Thats a better mark then any starter had in the majors. Starters in Oakland usually overachieve, and I think this guy can be another example of that.
23.14 Matt Harrison, SP, Tex Another AL west starter to play matchups with. Not much to say here... he pitched well last year, has a spot locked up in the Rangers rotation, and should do good at least against the Mariners and A's of the world.
24.03 Chris Capuano, SP, LAD Out of all the late starters, this might be my favorite pick. He was able to get 168 Ks in (more importantly) 186 IP last year, so his health looks to be in fine shape, and I just have a feeling he is going to be one of those NL West starters who posts great stats and all the credit for it goes to the division.
25.14 Jeff Niemann, SP, TB Another swing of the SP rollete... Niemann looked very good at times late last year, and with the 5th spot in the rotation locked up, maybe he can recreate some of that magic.
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223 | twilson
ID: 221142214 Mon, Apr 02, 2012, 18:10
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19.02 Juan Nicasio, SP, COL Had a nice 13-start debut last season before breaking his neck on a scary comebacker, especially when looking at the peripherals. Obviously, it is very hard to know how the freak injury will affect him this year, but all signs out of spring training have thus far been positive. Nicasio has a nice combination of power and control; he isn’t elite in either measure, but together it works out pretty nicely. I like his profile, but I admit there is significant uncertainty risk attached.
20.15 Scott Rolen, 3B, CIN I need a CI to fill in for Howard in April, and Rolen is in my opinion the best still available. Everybody else is inferior in either skills or playing time. The injury and age-related risk is real with Rolen, and he’s coming off shoulder surgery in the offseason, but he’s only one season removed from 133 games of .358/.497. If he can put up .330/.430 or better and stay active for at least a month, I’ll be content.
21.02 Brian Matusz, SP, BAL A former top prospect, Matusz has spent much of the last few years fighting injuries and failing to live up to his pedigree. This spring, he came to camp throwing 2-3 miles faster than he has at any other point in his major league career and boasts a K/BB ratio of 18/2 thus far. As spring training stats prove nothing, Matusz will be starting the season on my bench before hopefully graduating to the rotation.
22.15 Jake Peavy, SP, CWS My SP spam continues with the oft-injured Jake Peavy. The ERAs have not been pretty since he left San Diego, but there is still reason to be optimistic. Underneath that 4.92 ERA last year was an xFIP of 3.52 and a SIERA of 3.53. He had the seventh-lowest strand rate amongst pitchers with over 100 IP, and his BABIP allowed was also significantly above career norms. He may never again be the guy who put up sub-3 ERAs in 4 of 5 consecutive years, but he doesn’t have to be to add value to my team.
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