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Subject: RIBC 2012: Draft Rationales
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Thu, Mar 15, 2012, 21:32
This thread will be for managers in the RotoGuru Invitational Baseball Challenge to provide the rationale for each pick.
Here are the ground rules:
1. Only managers in this league should post here. If you want to provide feedback (either from other league managers, or from those not in the league), put it in the discussion thread. (Non-conforming discussion in this thread will be deleted.)
2. Try to keep the pick rationales in the same order as the draft. We'll attempt to keep this thread 2 rounds behind the actual draft. With the lag, most comments should not have an impact on the draft in progress. However, if there are aspects of your pick that you feel need to be kept under wraps, feel free to protect that information. In particular, please avoid mentioning the names of any players who are still undrafted at that time of the post.
Please post your (2 round lagged) comments at the time you make your pick. For example, you should post your comments for your round 1 pick when you make your round 3 selection. If you are not ready to post at that time, then create a "placeholder" so that the next person is able to go ahead in sequence. When your post is ready, simply post it in the draft discussion thread and a moderator can copy it over.
If possible, please draft your rationale at the time your are making that pick. Not only does that allow you to remember your thoughts "in the moment", but it also makes it simple to copy and paste it when it is due, avoiding unnecessary delays and/or placeholders.
If your rationale is due and intervening placeholders have not been inserted, please insert them before posting your rationale. Simply post something likefor Guru
2.10 Giancarlo Stanton, OF, Mia This makes it easy for me (or any moderator) to splice the eventual rationale in the proper place.
3. If you are providing rationales after a placeholder has been inserted for that pick, then post it in the draft discussion thread, and someone will copy it over.
4. Once the draft is over, each manager is also encouraged to provide a general draft recap, at which time you can discuss your overall strategy, mention any undisclosed factors, comment on what worked out well and what didn't, etc.
The general format should be:
1.01 Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Det
Several sentences of rationale.
In addition, along with your first player rationale, please comment on your rationale for your selection of draft order. |
Only the 50 most recent replies are currently shown. Click on this text to display hidden posts as well.
[Lengthy or complex threads may require a slight delay before updating.] |
| 339 | Tosh
Leader
ID: 057721710
Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 16:02
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Pick 22.12 ~ Matt Lindstrom, RP, BAL
Have you ever seen that TV show ‘Gold Rush’? When the Dakota boys sometimes get off their machines, and start panning for gold down in the mud. And then find a big gold nugget. Well … that’s me right now. Unbelievably, Baltimore has still not named an official closer. Since I already have Johnson, I’ll take Lindstrom just in case. And maybe find gold.
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| 340 | jseth333
Dude
ID: 24100310
Mon, Mar 26, 2012, 16:45
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22.13 Freddy Galvis 2B PHI I am strangely addicted to 'Gold Rush' and this draft I appear to be strangely addicted to drafting as many second baseman I can reasonably find. This was just pure speculation on Freddy being worthwhile since Chase is going to miss some time. Philadelphia may also be in the market for someone to play second, so Freddy may be a quick drop.
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| 342 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:35
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for Dror
22.14 Koji Uehara RP TEX
I was actually surprised to see Uehara still here. Yes,
he's third in line to close, but gosh his numbers have been
out of sight. I'm happy to have him doing his thing again
this season.
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| 343 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:36
|
for Twilson
22.15 Jake Peavy SP
CWS
My SP spam continues with the oft-injured Jake
Peavy. The ERAs have not been pretty since he left San
Diego, but there is still reason to be optimistic.
Underneath that 4.92 ERA last year was an xFIP of 3.52 and a
SIERA of 3.53. He had the seventh-lowest strand rate amongst
pitchers with over 100 IP, and his BABIP allowed was also
significantly above career norms. He may never again be the
guy who put up sub-3 ERAs in 4 of 5 consecutive years, but
he doesn’t have to be to add value to my team.
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| 344 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:38
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for tilt23
22.16 Jonathan Sanchez SP
KAN
He has a high K/9 with an acceptable ERA. WHIP
needs help. He is moving to the AL and out of a pitchers
park so we will see. Will have short leash but I needed
another pitcher since I lost Carpenter. 23.01
Bryce
Harper OF WAS
We all know
Harper. Manager wants him in the lineup now but Wash decided
to sent him down to AAA. It wont be long, tickets have to be
sold. This kid is supposed to be the real deal, can I keep
him on my bench long enough to reap any rewards?
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| 345 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:39
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for Twilson
23.02 Nick Hundley C
SDG
I asked my dad, an NL-only roto guy since 1987,
for some catcher suggestions, and he came up with Hundley
and [undrafted]. The OBP/SLG of [undrafted] left a lot to be
desired, so that left me with Hundley. He has put up solid
enough triple slashes for a catcher, which is all I can ask
for this late in the draft. He just got a contract extension
from the Padres, so if they are believers, why can’t I be
one too?
|
| 346 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:43
|
for Nerfherders
23.03 Ian Stewart 3B
CHC
I needed a backup for Chipper, who is already out
to start the season. Stewart is not the ideal candidate, but
he at least has some upside, and can't possibly be worse
than last year. He also has some injury problems. I just
hope he and Chipper aren't hurt at the same time.
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| 347 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:43
|
for Jseth
23.04 Deven Mesoraco C
CIN
Tough to rely on Dusty but Devin is catcher of
the future and hopefully that future is now.
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| 348 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:44
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for Tosh
23.05 Robert Andino,
2B/3B/SS, BAL
Why did I draft this guy? I don’t really like the Orioles,
yet just took my third in a row. Andino put up some decent
numbers last season in limited play, and has that really
cool three-position eligibility. The Orioles have a regular
2B, but he appears to be hurt at this time, and Andino would
be filling in for him. Maybe I’ll be able to get some runs
and SBs out of him before he returns to utility status for
Baltimore.
|
| 349 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:52
|
for ksoze
23.06 Wilson Betemit 3B
BAL
I'm looking to take hitters for my final three
picks of the draft. Betemit is starting. For Baltimore. He’s
starting. So… he’s playing most every day. That, combined
with the fact that I only have one 3B makes Wilson a great
candidate to sit on my bench, unless I need him otherwise. A
good friend of mine is blindly optimistic about the 2012
prospects for the Orioles, both in real life and fantasy
baseball. He’s a fool. Hopefully I’m not for putting Wilson
on my bench. Can I really hope for an OPS close to .800 with
runs/RBI’s combined at 120? Time will tell.
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| 350 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:53
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for Guru
23.07 Edward Mujica RP
MIA
One of a handful of relievers that I had in my
queue. Age 27, approx one K/IP, closer potential in the
event the incumbent is injured, expectation of decent
ratios. Vultured 9 wins last year, but that was probably
dumb luck.
|
| 351 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:54
|
for Reeb
23.08 Drew Pomeranz SP
COL
He supposedly has great stuff and the Rockie feel
highly of him. Probably only a spot starter for now but
hopefully he develops over the course of the season.
|
| 352 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:54
|
for Mjd
23.09 Ruban Tejada SS
NYM
A blindfolded dart throw. Backing up my MI,
Tejada looks poised to follow Jose Reyes as the Muts opening
day SS. Unfortunately, he’s known more for his glove than
his bat. But he’s got a full time gig and might steal a few
bags whenever he graces my lineup.
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| 353 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 01:55
|
for Kdl
23.10 Seth Smith OF OAK
Yes, I understand he's going from Colorado to Oakland,
but he batted .358/.456 on the road last year, and is a
career .356/.456 hitter at Petco, so it's not like he's
totally dependent on Coors. If I use him just against right-
handed pitching, I should get slightly better results than
that. Plus, he bats clean-up! All of that in round 23.
Hoping this is the kind of pick that helps me ensure I stick
around next year.
|
| 354 |
Graydog
ID: 01532723
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 02:32
|
23.11 Jesus Guzman
If he manages
to earn regular playing time could be a viable backup at CI
and outfield. With Blanks and Quentin likely starting the
season on the DL it should open some at bats for Guzman.
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| 355 |
Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 10:53
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for kokeshis
23.12 Raul Ibanez, OF,
NYY
He is close but I don't think Ibanez is
completely done. Yankee stadium fits his swing perfectly
and like Granderson last year I think he could get a big
homer bump from the ballpark, unfortunately he does not do
much else at this point I would of liked him more if this
were a homer league.
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| 356 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Tue, Mar 27, 2012, 10:54
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for KDogHall
23.13 Adam LaRoche, 1B, Was
Sort of surprised he lasted this long. He's one year removed from 100 RBI and last year's poor season was all injury related. Since 2005 he's never had an OPS below .788 and has been over .800 on multiple occasions. I like having two left handed CIs as it allows me to play matchups as well.
|
| 357 |
Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 08:59
|
for dror
23.14 Matt Harrison, SP,
Tex
Another AL west starter to play matchups with.
Not much to say here... he pitched well last year, has a
spot locked up in the Rangers rotation, and should do good
at least against the Mariners and A's of the world.
|
| 358 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:00
|
for Uptown Bombers
23.15 Chone Figgins, 3B, SEA
Coming off a garbage year, but he still expected to hit at the top of the order this year. That gives him a chance at being valuable because of his speed. Before he can help there, he needs to remember how to hit. I also needed another warm body at 3B, so Figgins fit the bill there.
|
| 359 |
Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:01
|
for Jkaye
23.16 Chris Parmalee, 1B,
Min
I did not know about him until the day I took
him. Seems like a reasonable sleeper who is in line to start
for the Twins. Obviously swinging for the fences at this
point in the draft.24.01 Matt Belisle, RP, SF
I had planned to fill out my pitching with set up men
earlier, but the timing never worked. A run of guys
including Adams, Romo, etc.went just before my pick in an
earlier round. At this point, I just needed to take the best
rp I could find.
|
| 360 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:01
|
for Uptown Bombers
24.02 Santiago Casilla, RP, SF
Casilla has been valuable as a ratio helper in the past two years, so at the very least he is worth a shot there. Also, I have already invested in Wilson being iffy with my Sergio Romo pick. Last thing I want is to get lucky with a Wilson injury and still lose out on the closer in waiting. Casilla has gotten saves in the past and might get the nod if it comes to that.
|
| 361 |
Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:02
|
for dror
24.03 Chris Capuano, SP,
LAD
Out of all the late starters, this might be my
favorite pick. He was able to get 168 Ks in (more
importantly) 186 IP last year, so his health looks to be in
fine shape, and I just have a feeling he is going to be one
of those NL West starters who posts great stats and all the
credit for it goes to the division.
|
| 362 |
Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:04
|
for KDogHall
24.04 Eduardo Nunez, 3B,
NYY
Since I have A-Rod it's probably not a bad idea
to handcuff his backup. I like Nunez's positional
flexibility at tough to fill positions and am hoping that
this is the year that Jeter spends significant time on the
DL so I can capitalize on Nunez's speed.
|
| 363 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:04
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for kokeshis
24.05 Henderson Alvarez, SP, Tor
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| 364 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:05
|
for Graydog
24.06 Aaron Crow, RP, Kan
unlikely, but could be in the mix for saves in KC with Soria out. Most likely will provide me a few innings with useful ratios before he gets the boot to the wire.
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| 365 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:06
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for kdl212
24.07 Alberto Callaspo, 3B, ANA
Not an everyday player, but my everyday 3B backup.
|
| 366 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:06
|
for mjd
24.08 Eric Young, MI, OF, COL
He’s out of options this year, good enough to make the team as a bench player, but a weak hitter with no power and a poor defender. A cheap source of steals, he only appeared in 77 games last season and stole 27 bags in less than 200 plate appearances. For once, I may not be lacking in SB, so maybe early season trade bait for some team desperate for steals.
|
| 367 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:07
|
for reeb
24.09 Alfredo Aceves, RP , BOS
Like Daniel Bard I don't really care if he is a starter or reliever. He should be good value in the 24th round as long as he is pitching similar to last year.
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| 368 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:09
|
24.10 Maicer Izturis, 2B/SS/3B. LAA
I want someone with the following characteristics: (1) likely to get reasonably regular playing time, (2) eligible at SS & 3B. Izturis satisfies both criteria – and there isn’t much more to be said about him. I probably could have relaxed the SS standard – if Tulowitzi gets injured, I’m toast anyway. That would have opened up the options to someone like Polanco. No big loss.
I now have at least one hitter capable of subbing in at any position except catcher – and I may nust wing it at catcher. We see what I’m thinking about that in round 25.
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| 370 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:10
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for ksoze
24.11 – David Murphy, OF, Tex
I need a backup OF so I was looking again for someone who should have some decent playing time. Murphy would probably be starting for many other teams, and he should compile quite a few AB’s with Texas, especially since 2 of their 3 OF starters are injury prone. He’ll hit a few homers, steal a few bases and hopefully be worth an OPS north of .750… that’ll have to do for a bench player for now.
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| 371 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:11
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for Tosh
Pick 24.12 ~ Nick Masset, RP, CIN
Blind dart #1. Madson is out as closer in Cincinnati. Marshall is expected to be the new closer … but maybe it will be Masset instead.
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| 372 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:11
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for Jseth333
24.13 Brandon Allen, 1B, OAK
Likely to start at first base - not as likely to be starting on my team.
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| 373 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:12
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for Nerfherders
24.14 Jamey Carroll, SS MIN
Carroll is one of the better MI still available, which isn't saying much. He will get on base and score some runs, but not much else. All I can hope for is I don't have to use him for more than 70 games between SS and MI.
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| 374 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:13
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for twilson
24.15 Ramon Hernandez, C, COL
My dad’s list was actually crafted in response to my independent interest in Ramon Hernandez. He is 35 and hasn’t exceeded 352 PAs since 2008, but when healthy and active, he has often done well. In particular, the last two years have provided an above average offensive performance irrespective of position on a per PA basis. The move to Coors Field can’t hurt either. Hopefully, one of my two catchers establishes himself early on, as I will undoubtedly have to cut one for an injury replacement before too long.
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| 375 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:13
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for Tilt23
24.16 Garrett Jones, 1B/OF, Pit
I needed another bat since ive got Bryce Harper sitting on my bench. I wanted Jones last round so was happy to get him here. He will play the heavy side of the platoon and does well against righties. He can plug in for me at 1B and OF so that helps too.
25.01 Edison Volquez, SP, SD
My final pick. I continue my trend of current and former Rangers pitchers (Carpenter, Feliz, Danks)with Volquez. The guy has great stuff and no command. Nuke Laloosh. Moving to Petco could be huge plus though.
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| 376 |
Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:14
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for twilson
25.02 Kris Medlen, SP,
ATL
The Braves keep saying that
Medlen will be kept as the long reliever. It’s too bad,
because he has pitched very well whenever an opportunity has
been provided. He missed last year due to Tommy John surgery
but has outperformed his competition thus far this spring.
If he starts the season in the bullpen, he will not be
starting the season on my roster.
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| 377 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:15
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for Nerfherders
25.03 Eduardo Sanchez, RP STL
Another RP that I was surprised to see available. He was lights out when he pitched last year, so hoping for more of the same. He could also close if Motte fails, so I have the backup STL closer covered.
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| 378 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:16
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for Jseth333
25.04 Andy Pettitte, SP, NYY (aka Joel Zumaya)
I am onboard the comeback train.
Let's play ball!!!!!!
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| 379 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:16
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for Tosh
25.05 ~ Brian Fuentes, RP, OAK
Blind dart #2. Fuentes has been a closer before … so if current Oakland closer Ball-Four lives up to his name … maybe Fuentes will take over.
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| 380 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:17
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for ksoze
25.06 – Casey McGehee , 3B, Pit
I really should have put Casilla higher in my queue for this pick than McGehee, I really needed a back up MI. McGehee was there because due to the fact that it appears he’ll get the bulk of the playing time at 3B for the Pirates. That doesn’t necessarily translate into anything worthwhile on a fantasy team if his OPS is below .700 again, and it’s likely at this point that he’s the first player replaced on my team.
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| 381 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:17
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25.07 Kurt Suzuki, C, Oak
I have no plan to carry a second catcher for most of the season. But I’ll rent Suzuki for the two games in Japan, as I’ll never get a full 162 games from Avila. After this week, Suzuki may bethe first player dropped in favor of someone with more utility.
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| 382 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:18
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for reeb
25.08 Jarrod Saltalamacchia, C , BOS
Back up catcher with maybe some upside still left. Most likely my first casualty when I find a free agent that I like.
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| 383 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:18
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for mjd
25.09 Luke Gregerson, RP, SD
Poor lifetime splits vs LHBs will probably limit him to 7th or 8th inning duties where he’ll be useful help to my ratios. He’s been working on developing a slider and if he can master it, might get a few saves in place of the oft injured Houston Street. Not that they’ll be a ton of games to save for the Padres this season. Value also augmented by pitching in Petco.
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| 384 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:19
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for kdl212
25.10 Alexi Casilla, 2B/SS, MIN
I had over a dozen guys still in my queue, at every position, in the majors and the minors, and really didn't know how to pick. Went with the guy with both 2B/SS eligibility, and the potential to steal 20 bases.
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| 385 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:20
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for Graydog
25.11 Bobby Abreu, OF, LAA
Bobby appears to have mouthed his way out of Anaheim. This will hopefully lead to a new landing spot and some at bats. This is a guy who clearly has declining skills but has never had a season where he did not register 500 at bats. I am hoping there is something left in the tank and he gets a shot to prove it.
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| 386 |
Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:20
|
for kokeshis
25.12 Carlos Zambrano,
SP, Mia
Seemed like a good flyer for the last pick,
maybe him and Ozzie Guillen get along well and he gets his
career back on track.
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| 387 |
Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:21
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for KDogHall
24.13 Jon Jay, OF,
StL
I was hoping to get Garrett Jones here as the
appeal of platooning various positions seemed smart with
such a deep league. I just missed out on Jones so I went
with another lefty who is young and can be platooned. Do I
expect this pick to get me anything in the way of
production? Nope! But it could.
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| 388 |
Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:22
|
for dror
25.14 Jeff Niemann, SP,
Tam
Another swing of the SP roulette... Niemann
looked very good at times late last year, and with the 5th
spot in the rotation locked up, maybe he can recreate some
of that magic.
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| 389 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Wed, Mar 28, 2012, 09:22
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for Uptown Bombers
25.15 Chris Johnson, 3B, HOU
He is only a year removed from putting up some decent numbers. He’s young, slated to start, and worth a flier. Maybe he gets off to a hot start.
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| 390 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Thu, Mar 29, 2012, 09:49
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for JKaye
25.16 Chris Resop, RP, Pit
Last pick, just needed another arm. We will see how long he lasts on my roster but has good K ability, and seems to be next in line for saves in Pit.
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