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0 Subject: Home Run Derby 2014 - Pick the Winner (and Losers)

Posted by: ¤ Mario LeMoose ¤
- [286231317] Sun, Jul 13, 2014, 19:23

MLB has changed the Home Run Derby format, introducing fewer outs per round and bracketed play after the first round, so I have tweaked our little annual contest accordingly.

As far as I can determine, the following two rules have not changed:
• An out is registered when a player swings at a pitch and does not hit a home run.
• A ball hit over the fence must be fair to count as a home run.

2014 GILLETTE HOME RUN DERBY FORMAT

Round 1
• Ten participants total; five participants representing each league.
• Batting order will be determined prior to the event. Hitter No. 1 for the NL will hit first followed by Hitter No. 1 for the AL (home team). This order will continue for hitters Nos. 2-5 for each league, with the NL going first followed by the AL.
• Each participant will receive seven outs.
• The player from each league who hits the most home runs (AL 1; NL 1) will automatically advance to round three (semifinals).
• The next two participants with the most home runs from each league (AL 2; AL 3 / NL 2; NL 3) advance to Round 2.

Round 2
• The two participants advancing from Round 1 for each league will compete against each other (AL 2 vs. AL 3 / NL 2 vs. NL 3).
• The NL matchup will occur first, followed by the AL matchup, with NL 2 and AL 2 choosing if they want to hit first or second.
• Each participant will receive seven outs.
• The winners from the Round 2 matchups (one from each league) will advance to Round 3 (semifinals).

Round 3 (Semifinals)
• The top seed from each league (AL 1; NL 1) will face the winner from his league's Round 2 matchup.
• The NL matchup will occur first, followed by the AL matchup, with NL 1 and AL 1 choosing if they want to hit first or second.
• Each participant will receive seven outs.
• The participant from each league with the most home runs will advance to the Finals.

Round 4 (Finals)
• The semifinal winners (one player from each league) will compete for the crown of Home Run Derby champion.
• The batting order will be determined by a coin flip, which will be held at a meeting at home plate between the two finalists and their league captains (note that a finalist and team captain could be the same participant).
• Each finalist will receive seven outs.

Tiebreaker(s)
• If two or more players are tied for advancement into the next round or for the championship, each player will receive three swings to hit as many home runs as possible. If they are still tied after three swings, they will each take one swing. This process is repeated if necessary until one player wins the swing-off.

You've memorized all that, right?

Participants

American League:
Jose Bautista, Blue Jays (captain)
Josh Donaldson, Athletics
Brian Dozier, Twins
Adam Jones, Orioles
Yoenis Cespedes, Athletics (defending champion)

National League:
Troy Tulowitzki, Rockies (captain)
Todd Frazier, Reds
Justin Morneau, Rockies
Yasiel Puig, Dodgers
Giancarlo Stanton, Marlins

Your challenge:

A) Pick the two players who will hit the fewest home runs in Round 1 (not necessarily one from each league): 1 point per correct selection. If there is a tie for futility, any two players tied for the fewest home runs will count.
B) Pick any four of the six players who will advance from Round 1 (for bracket purposes, these are the players who will be seeded as AL 1, AL 2, or AL 3; NL 1, NL 2, or NL 3): 2 points per correct selection.
C) Pick the two players (one from each league) who will advance from Round 3 (semifinals) to Round 4 (finals): 4 points per correct selection.
D) Pick the overall winner, i.e., the player who will hit the most home runs in Round 4 (finals): 8 points per correct selection.
First tie breaker:
• Predict the total number of home runs hit in Round 4 (closest to the actual total, whether over or under); if the final round goes to a swing-off, those home runs count toward the total.
Second tie breaker, if necessary:
• Predict the number of home runs hit in Round 4 by the winner (closest to the actual total, whether over or under); if the final round goes to a swing-off, those home runs count toward the winner's total.

Entries close with the first pitch to the first participant in the Home Run Derby competition.
1Khahan
      ID: 16341313
      Sun, Jul 13, 2014, 22:51
A) donaldson, dozier

B) puig, bautista, stanton, cespedes

C) puig, cespedes

D) Cespedes

TB1) 21
TB2) 13
3JeffG
      ID: 2654157
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 08:32
A)Donaldson Puig
B)Jones Stanton Cespedes Morneau
C)Jones Stanton
D)Jones
TB1) 13
TB2) 7
4Seattle Zen
      Leader
      ID: 055343019
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 11:19
A) Tulo, Jones
B) Morneau, Stanton, Bautista, Cespedes
C) Stanton, Cespedes
D Stanton

14
8
5khahan
      ID: 16471410
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 11:47
Dave R -just a curiosity but if 2 people are going to combine for 24 homeruns how will the winner have less than half that number?
6loki
      ID: 1959513
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 14:06
How about a bonus prize given at the end of the season for picking the player who hurts his stroke the most by participating?
7Dave R
      SuperDude
      ID: 3010361110
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 17:01
A)Dozier, Frazier

B)Bautista, Stanton, Jones, Tulo

C)Bautista, Stanton

D) Stanton

TB1 ) 24

TB2 ) 14
8R9
      ID: 41219518
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 18:02
A) Jones, Morneau
B) Bautista, Dozier, Stanton, Puig
C) Dozier, Stanton
D) Dozier

TB1) 16
TB2) 9

Most ruined swing by End-of-season: Morneau
9¤ Mario LeMoose ¤
      ID: 36371418
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 19:37
A) Puig, Morneau
B) Cespedes, Jones, Tulowitzki, Stanton
C) Bautista AL, Frazier NL
D) Frazier
TB1) 17
TB2) 11
10Seattle Zen
      ID: 4811181319
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 20:35
Is there anything worse than the commentary during a rain delay at the home run derby?

John Kruk trying to explain sabremetric concepts? Joe Morgan speaking?

"What sort if strategy should you bring to this competition?" "Hit the ball hard"
11loki
      ID: 1959513
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 20:40
A-Morneau, Dozier
B-Puig, Stanton, Cespedes, Bautista
C-Puig, Bautista
D-Puig
12loki
      ID: 1959513
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 20:42
TB1-20
TB2-15
13loki
      ID: 1959513
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 20:45
Re 10-Yes, the Pro Bowl.
14¤ Mario LeMoose ¤
      ID: 36371418
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 21:03
First pitch.
15Seattle Zen
      ID: 4811181319
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 21:08
The Pro Bowl is televised? ;)

Not looking good, Ms. LeMoose
16Seattle Zen
      ID: 4811181319
      Mon, Jul 14, 2014, 23:43
This is the worst format ever. Todd Frazier in the finals? Weak sauce.
17¤ Mario LeMoose ¤
      ID: 36371418
      Tue, Jul 15, 2014, 00:00
As always, please do not hesitate to check my arithmetic.

Round-by-round:
A) Puig, Dozier, Frazier, Morneau (any two) … worth 1 point each
B) Bautista, Cespedes, Frazier, Jones, Stanton, Tulowitzki (any four) … worth 2 points each
C) Cespedes, Frazier … worth 4 points each
D) Cespedes … worth 8 points
First tie breaker: 10 HR
Second tie breaker: 9 HR

Results:
19 pts. Khahan (1, 6, 4, 8)
14 pts. ¤ Mario LeMoose ¤ (2, 8, 4, 0)
10 pts. Seattle Zen (0, 6, 4, 0) tiebreaker 1: 14
10 pts. Dave R (2, 8, 0, 0) tiebreaker 1: 24
8 pts. loki (2, 6, 0, 0)
7 pts. JeffG (1, 6, 0, 0)
5 pts. R9 (1, 4, 0, 0)
18Seattle Zen
      ID: 301361318
      Fri, Jul 10, 2015, 18:11
You will need to change the format of this contest, Ms. LeMoose, as the MLB listened to my consultation I mentioned in post 16 and changed their format.
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