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Subject: RIBC 2015: Draft Rationales
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 16:47
This thread will contain all of the individual pick rationales for the 2015 RIBC draft. RIBC managers should supply those rationales in the Rationale Collection thread. You will not be able to post directly into this thread.
I expect that this thread will be updated daily. |
Only the 50 most recent replies are currently shown. Click on this text to display hidden posts as well.
[Lengthy or complex threads may require a slight delay before updating.] |
| 351 | RJ
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 11:26 am
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22.15 Villar, Jonathan - HOU - SS
Saw him as a decent sleeper middle infield option. I was also considering Guerrero here who went a few picks later. Villar posted a 7hr/17sb season in around 300 at bats. I've heard he's also being looked at in the outfield a little bit. Hoping for Villar to be a good utility guy. I'll give him some time to see if anything develops. |
| 352 | filthy
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 11:31 am
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22.16 Morrison, Logan - SEA - 1B
Always had promise, and still not old yet. Missed most of first half last year, but started to hit pretty well once the rust was shaken.Michael Bourn was also looking nice here, as I really did need another OF for some sweet lineup flexibility, but he was gone. Being pretty set on speed makes Morrison a nice consolation. Could qualify at OF eventually, but I'm not banking on it. Added depth at CI if the Cubs keep Bryant down is a key factor here too. Cron insurance, between Morrison and Cron, my CI spots should survive the early going. Then some nice depth for filling the Util spot once Bryant's in business. |
| 353 | filthy
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 11:32 am
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23.01 Castro, Miguel - TOR - RP
Still looking for a backup at C, 2B, another OF, and some RP depth with 3 picks to go. I'm fine if I fill all of these with free agents, and will likely stream through most of my last picks by summer, no matter how much I like them right now.Iannetta or Montero or nothing, safe to wait. Giavotella or Infante or nothing, again safe to wait. I'm not seeing much at outfield. Guerrero as a nice Util option maybe. Broxton or Castro both seem like they could slip into some saves at some point though, so they start standing out. Brewers' closer role seems to be a little jinxed in recent years, so I've been thinking about Broxton for quite a while now as a late pick. But the unknown is so hard to resist. Castro sounds like he's gonna be a gem. Top righty option in the pen, could sneak into some saves even if Cecil kills it. Jays' closer role has been uneasy for ages as well, and I figure this year will see a few passes of the baton too. |
| 354 | RJ
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 12:19 pm
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23.02 Cervelli, Francisco - PIT - C
Now the man in Pittsburgh, Cervelli should be giving me an above average OPS for a catcher. I'm hoping for ~110 games if possible but I was the last manager to take a catcher and don't mind going fishing on the wire if necessary. I did like Cervelli here though there were other options as well. I also contemplated just waiting until the very last pick for catcher but opted to at least secure someone I liked as an option. Granted he's a big injury risk. |
| 355 | youngroman
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 12:19 pm
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23.03 Farquhar, Danny - SEA - RP
I searched for a closer in waiting that strikes out more than a batter per inning. this way he is even valuable as long as he is not the regular closer. The setup man that stood out was Danny Farquhar.Fernando Rodney isn't the youngest anymore. his "last 3 seasons were a major success, but the seasons before were not special (ERA > 4.00, WHIP > 1.50). If he falls back to his old standards he may not stay long as the closer. this is my hope. |
| 356 | Uptown Bombers
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 12:31 pm
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23.04 Freese, David - LAA - 3B
I'd like a back-up at 3B and while there were a few other names I considered, I decided on the relatively unexciting Freese. I think I know what I'm getting with him and while it's nice to draft for upside, I wasn't terrible convinced any of my other options offered realistic upside. I'll settle for the mediocrity of Freese and hope that i don't have to rely on him too much or that someone on the waiver wire proves to be more appealing. |
| 357 | evan
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 12:46 pm
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23.05 Montero, Miguel - CHC - C
Wasn't convinced on my catcher so I picked another catcher. Montero should hit in a good part of the lineup and could be a sleeper.He has a decent OBP projection of .330 and should be a good source of RBIs. |
| 358 | Kevin
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 12:50 pm
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23.06 Guerrero, Alex - LAD - 3B
These are the rounds where I'm taking lottery tickets. I'm looking for upside because if these people don't pan out they're the first ones to get dropped once I get hit with injuries or if there is a chance to pick up a free agent. As of now Guerrero doesn't have a starting job, but he is guaranteed to play in the Majors, and I can't imagine it will take the Dodgers long to realize he is better than Juan Uribe. If he plays at 3B he'll get dual eligibility. On top of that, my 3B is David Wright so having a backup 3B isn't a bad idea. This pick could turn out to get me a ton of value...or I'll drop him whenever I have a more pressing need. I like the pick. |
| 359 | graydog
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 12:50 pm
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23.07 Smoak, Justin - TOR - 1B
With Tomas struggling I was looking for some depth at CI. I decided to gamble on two Blue Jays late. I went for Smoak this round even though he has proven to be a below average hitter over his career. He should get most early starts at first against righties and his fly ball tendencies could prove productive in Rogers Centre. |
| 360 | beastiemiked
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 12:54 pm
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23.08 Petit, Yusmeiro - SFO - RP
I was a little surprised he was still out there. He was #2 MVP in the Giants postseason last year. I don't see how the Giants keep him from the rotation this year. |
| 361 | JeffG
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 12:55 pm
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23.09 Bastardo, Antonio - PIT - RP
Another pseudo handcuff for the Bucs and my closer Melanson. Actually I do not think he'd be the guy looming, but he does have a good K rate as we all pick our interchangable MR |
| 362 | Dave R
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 1:07 pm
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23.10 Vogt, Stephen - OAK - 1B
Not sure what I'm getting here.I know I'm getting a player who caught 47 games for Oakland 2 years ago and only 15 last year, splitting time also at 1st and in the OF. I'm getting a player who had an OPS of .920 and hit .350 for the first part of the season before suffering foot and knee injuries, although he continued to play, albeit somewhat hampered, finishing the season with an OPS of .752 I hope I'm getting a player who hopefully regains his catcher eligibility sooner than later, and has an OPS somewhere between his torrid start last year and finishing average. I'm not sure if he becomes a platoon player for the A's, but with the ability to play 1st and in the outfield should get plenty of AB's. If not he becomes waiver fodder. |
| 363 | kdl212
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 1:30 pm
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23.11 Castro, Jason - HOU - C
A necessity since the catcher I already drafted, Wieters, will start the year on the DL. I drafted Castro in the 14th round last year, and he was total garbage. If he's garbage again this year, I'll drop him quickly and won't have wasted a middle-round draft pick on him. Would've been happy if Norris or Montero had lasted until here.I had told myself I wouldn't draft a second catcher before round 24, and had Buchholz at the top of my queue, but foolishly pulled the trigger on Castro in the 23rd, and missed out on Buchholz (to a guy who had already drafted 6 starting pitchers!). Really mismanaging the last few rounds of this draft. |
| 364 | mailedfoot
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 2:25 pm
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23.12 Stubbs, Drew - COL - OF
Selected Stubbs for outfield depth as he put up solid numbers over 132 games last year including 20 SB. I'm thinking he will play a similar role again this year and will try to take advantage of his Coors Field starts. |
| 365 | Tosh
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 3:23 pm
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23.13 Broxton, Jonathan - MIL - RP
He’s merely a handcuff for one of my closers, KRod. He’s had a couple recent seasons as a good closer. Right now, he’s just a pretty decent set-up guy. |
| 366 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 3:31 pm
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23.14 Taylor, Michael - WAS - OF
When I picked Denard Span, I decided to target Taylor as one of my last picks. He might have survived to round 25, but I had no other names that I really wanted.Taylor should play most every day until Span returns - hopefully in early May. After that, we'll see. Brings potential power and speed, but as a rookie, you never know what you'll get. Admittedly, he didn't do much during his first cup of ML coffee in 2014. |
| 367 | ksoze
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 3:52 pm
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23.15 Shaw, Bryan - CLE - RP
Guess I might as well take one of the last "2nd in line" closers left, if Allen goes down, apparently Shaw is next. With any luck his ERA and WHIP will help a little and he'll snag a few wins. |
| 368 | holt
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 3:52 pm
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23.16 Peavy, Jake - SFO - SP
I needed another SP and Peavy had the best credentials of the bunch. He had a 2.17 ERA & 1.04 whip after joining the Giants last season. Hope he pitches more like that and not like the guy with the 4.72 ERA when he was with the Red Sox. 33 years old, lifetime 3.53 ERA and 1.19 whip. I'll give him a chance. |
| 369 | holt
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 3:52 pm
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24.01 Ho Kang, Jung - PIT - SS
Just a random 24th rd pick. Best hitter in Korea. Unfortunately they aren't as good at baseball as the Cubans. Anyway, he does have power. Hopefully he can get some playing time and get his game together. He does have a cool looking swing and is a shortstop. I don't need any other justification for the 369th pick of the draft. |
| 370 | ksoze
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 4:01 pm
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24.02 Buchholz, Clay - BOS - SP
The heck with it. I'll take a 7th SP and see what happens, I can always swap one of my last ones into someone else if something better comes along. His BAABIP was way over his norm in 2014, and was pretty good over the last half of the year... maybe he's got more upside than Leake. He's the opening day starter for the Sox, though I'm not sure that's a great selling point. |
| 371 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 4:03 pm
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24.03 Panik, Joe - SFO - 2B
Once every other team had their 3rd (or 4th) middle infielder, I figured there was no rush to grab my third. I've had Panik and Hechavarria in my queue for awhile, and I guess it's finally time to Panik.Should be the starter in SF, with no power and not much speed. At least I should get a low .300s OBP. I could do worse. Or, if not, I'll jettison him. At least I didn't waste an earlier pick on him. |
| 372 | Tosh
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 5:02 pm
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24.04 Howard, Ryan - PHI - 1B
How the mighty have fallen. Not that long ago, he was a 2nd round pick in RIBC. Now he’s the 372nd player picked. He still projects to get most of the playing time at 1B for Philly, apparently is in good shape, and will provide some power for my roster. |
| 373 | mailedfoot
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 5:02 pm
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24.05 Rua, Ryan - TEX - 1B
It looks like Rua is starting the year as the Rangers left fielder but is listed as a 1B in ESPN. If he sticks and keeps hitting he will provide more depth for me at CI and OF as soon as he gains OF eligibility. Another guy who's having a good spring, hopefully it carries over. |
| 374 | kdl212
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 5:09 pm
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24.06 Tazawa, Junichi - BOS - RP
Maybe Uehara never gets healthy this year. And maybe Mujica stops getting so inexplicably lucky. And maybe Tazawa takes over the closer role and ends the season with 20 saves. Most probably, none of that happens, and even if it does, I'm unlikely to have tazawa on my roster by the time the third maybe comes to pass. |
| 375 | Dave R
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 5:54 pm
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24.07 Collmenter, Josh - ARI - SP
Let's see, opening day starter for D'Backs, won 11 games last year, has a career ERA of 3.42, WHIP of 1.15 over 516 innings. Not known as a strikeout pitcher, but managed nearly 6.5 per 9 inningsRound 24 , why not? |
| 376 | JeffG
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 6:13 pm
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24.08 Wilhelmsen, Tom - SEA - RP
Nothing to see here, just another interchangable MR and again I try to pick mine with good K rates as the WHIP boys are gone |
| 377 | beastiemiked
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 8:15 pm
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24.09 Van Slyke, Scott - LAD - OF
He's the bad part of a platoon. However, he's shown he's a good hitter regardless of who he's facing. Unfortunately, he's in the worst spot possible for an outfielder. Hoping there are some injuries or trades to clear him up a more regular spot. |
| 378 | graydog
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 8:15 pm
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24.10 Valencia, Danny - TOR - 1B
The 2nd half of my Blue Jay play. Valencia has mashed lefties over his career, 870 OPS. He should get plenty of starts against lefties and provide me some solid part time numbers. |
| 379 | Kevin
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 10:47 pm
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24.11 Alvarez, Henderson - MIA - SP
There are still quite a few interesting pitchers left. I wasnt sure what the tie breaker should be so I just chose his first start as the tie breaker. He faces Atlanta. I don't love have a staff with both Porcello & Alvarez, but every other starter should have a K/9 of 8 or better, and I can pick and choose some of the low K guys starts. |
| 380 | evan
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 10:55 pm
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24.12 Sabathia, CC - NYY - SP
My 7th Yankee... Yikes... I was about to grab Henderson Alvarez but KDogHall made different plans for me.Man this is a tough one to defend, I just didn't know any other starters I should pick. He hasn't looked good in awhile. We'll see how this goes but I don't anticipate him being on my roster too long. |
| 381 | Uptown Bombers
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 5:17 am
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24.13 Smith, Seth - SEA - OF
As my seventh OF, I view Smith as a plug-in when guys are sitting, on off days, or when the matchup favors him. Smith has much greater splits against righties and so might prove useful in those circumstances. |
| 382 | youngroman
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 9:36 am
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24.14 Herrera, Odubel - PHI - OF
I can use one more outfielder who may see regular usage in my Util slot. It seems that Herrera was good enough to beat out the competition at CF for the Phillies. If this is really the case I get a starting centerfielder really late in the draft. are any other such players available? no. did I know of the existence of the name Odubel 24 hours ago? no. could this turn out as a steal? yes! |
| 383 | RJ
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 9:56 am
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24.15 Burns, Billy - OAK - OF
Current OAK OFs are injury prone and Burns shows big speed upside. Given some playing time, could be some bargain speed here. |
| 384 | filthy
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 9:56 am
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24.16 Iannetta, Chris - LAA - C
Wanted to get 2 more tickets to closer lottery here, but already with 11 pitchers, and no bench bats, that would be dumb. I'll be streaming through options in no time anyway!Iannetta surviving gives me a backup to Martin. Sounds like Iannetta will play more this year, and his bat is pretty solid, so he'll be good insurance for Martin. Probably even sneak into my Util spot for awhile. |
| 385 | filthy
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 9:56 am
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25.01 Giavotella, Johnny - LAA - 2B
Winning the job so far, with a decent minor league hitting career, and finally out of KC, might not be a bad pickup for MI insurance. Could hit better than my shortstops, and gives the lineup ultimate flexibility. The possible upside put him over Infante in my ranks. If not for Giavotella, I'd have gone for JLamb or RSoriano and forgone the roster flexibility for now. OF & RP depth remaining a work in progress as the picks run out. |
| 386 | RJ
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 10:07 am
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25.02 Rasmus, Colby - HOU - OF
I've always kind of rooted for the guy and he's showing good patience this spring with an uncharacteristic 9bb/4k ratio. If he can improve on his OBP even a little he could be a bargain though he is certainly streaky. I think Houston is a good place for him though. Also from a strategic standpoint I wanted to bolster my OF. |
| 387 | youngroman
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 10:07 am
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25.03 Bonifacio, Emilio - CWS - SS
I thought about picking up a starting pitcher, but I decided that I still can pick up the one of the hot ones a few days into the season. no need to guess that player now.Looking through some depth charts Bonifacio is ranked #2 or #3 on any position other than C. this means in case any of these 7 players gets some rest he may be playing. he will likely gain eligibility at more positions than he currently has. I see him as a very poor man's Ben Zobrist. because of that he may be the player out as soon as I want to add that hot new starting pitcher that nobody thought of drafting him, but that has a 0.00 ERA after his first 2 starts. |
| 388 | Uptown Bombers
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 10:07 am
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25.04 Familia, Jeurys - NYM - RP
I have little faith in Mejia, though as a Met fan, I'd like to hope that Mejia never waivers and holds on the position all year. The other name in the pen to consider, Parnell (drafted long ago)is coming back from injury. So if Mejia bombs, and I'd expect a short leash considering the expectations of the Mets to contend for a wild card, and Parnell struggles to recover, I think Familia would be next in line. That's multiple ifs and maybes, but it's round 25. |
| 389 | evan
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 10:07 am
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25.05 Duke, Zach - CWS - RP
David Robertson insurance. As simple as that…He has put up good numbers as a relief pitcher, averaging nearly a strikeout per inning with a relatively low WHIP. It seems that if D-Rob goes down, Duke would be the guy. |
| 390 | Kevin
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 10:19 am
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25.06 Anderson, Chase - ARI - SP
Was not expecting to see pitching I still liked here. I liked both TJ House and Chase Anderson. House is on a better team, but Anderson is in the NL with a better K rate. That leaves me with 7 SP now. If they all are good I'm not sure what I'll do. I may have an abundance of SP and 2B. Anybody interested? |
| 391 | graydog
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 10:19 am
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25.07 Loup, Aaron - TOR - RP
Continuing my bizarre trend of trying to own Blue Jays with limited value.... The jays closer Cecil has been experiences shoulder soreness all spring. Loup appears next in line if Cecil needs a break. |
| 392 | beastiemiked
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 11:10 am
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25.08 Singleton, Jon - HOU - UTL
He was optioned to AAA so he'll probably be dropped. Was just a late flier in the hopes he could put up the huge OPS numbers he's shown in the minors. |
| 393 | JeffG
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 11:10 am
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25.09 Middlebrooks, Will - SDG - 3B
Don't really have plan B if my 3B Ari Ram (12.08) falters. Middlebrooks seems to have won the position battle for the Padre third baseman which gives me an option, not a good option, not a great option, but an option. |
| 394 | Dave R
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 11:19 am
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25.10 Jay, Jon - STL - OF
John Jay, why not with pick 25.10 ( or the 394th selection )It seems like he is fully entrenched as the starting CF for the Cardinals, his possible competition seems relegated to a bench role. Last year he managed an OPS of .750, due mainly to an excellent on base average .372, something sorely lacking on my team. Rotowire has him projected for over 500 AB's, and last year he even spent September batting leadoff or 2nd. He can run, having stolen 19 bases in 2012. To quote Rotowire "If Jay can stay healthy and rack up at-bats at the top of the lineup, he could crack 100 runs in 2015 to go along with a solid batting average and OBP. Wishful thinking, probably, but with the last pick what's to lose. He'll probably be dropped for the best available free agent at some point. Or, maybe not |
| 395 | kdl212
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 11:48 am
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25.11 Haren, Dan - MIA - SP
Having a TSN Ultimate flashback here, as I look to fill out my squad with a .50 pitcher who isn't going on opening day who I could hold for a couple of weeks and maybe even make some money on. Haren looks to have a decent first 3 starts lined up, and he's traditionally been easy on the WHiP. Who knows, maybe in cavernous Miami, he can have a mini-renaissance.The better move might have been to gamble on another reliever, but there will be plenty of action on that carousel soon enough. |
| 396 | mailedfoot
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 11:53 am
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25.12 Carpenter, David - NYY - RP
Picked Carpenter to help with Ks and ratios; he figures to be one of the Yankees high leverage relievers, so maybe I can get a few wins from him along the way. If Betances continues to have problems I may even luck into a few saves. |
| 397 | Tosh
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 2:34 pm
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25.13 Burnett, A.J. - PIT - SP
Rotowire currently has him ranked # 297 in their updated rankings. I’ll take him at pick #397, and hope he can maintain a K/9 ratio of around 8.0, and improve on his pitiful 2014 BB/9 ratio of 4.0 |
| 398 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 2:34 pm
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25.14 Hatcher, Chris - LAD - RP
Just one of the "closers by committee" in L.A. while Kenley Jansen rehabs. |
| 399 | ksoze
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 4:14 pm
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25.15 Asche, Cody - PHI - 3B
All things being equal with no injuries, 3B is still likely my weakest position at the end of the draft. Unless Chisenhall hits somewhere closer to the first half of 2014, or ARod is better than anyone thinks is reasonable, I'm in trouble there. Not that I'm expecting Asche to make up the difference, but if Chisenhall is 2014 second half Chisenhall, and ARod sucks, Asche and a .700 OPS might be an upgrade. Blah. |
| 400 | holt
ID: 330592710
Mar 30, 8:54 pm
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25.16 O'Day, Darren - BAL - RP
Tried to find starting pitcher but none of them screamed draft me so I just picked up the best reliever I could scrounge up. 1.70 era & 0.89 whip with 9.6K/9 & 4 saves last season and solid career numbers. Second in line for saves after Britton. Good enough for Mr. Irrelevant. #400 of the draft. G'Day. |
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