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Subject: RIBC 2016: Draft Rationales
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Tue, Mar 15, 2016, 16:47
This thread will contain all of the individual pick rationales for the 2016 RIBC draft. RIBC managers should supply those rationales in the Rationale Collection thread. You will not be able to post directly into this thread.
I expect that this thread will be updated daily. |
Only the 50 most recent replies are currently shown. Click on this text to display hidden posts as well.
[Lengthy or complex threads may require a slight delay before updating.] |
| 351 | jdrenbarger
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 10:06 am
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22.15 Wieters, Matt - BAL - C
FA ADP of 195 for pick 351, so I’m obviously not the only one missing that which everyone else sees in this league. Sure, he’s been hurt and is still questionable for Opening Day … sure, he’s not played a full season since 2013 (and racked up an impressive .287 OBP then) … sure, he’s essentially the same catcher I already have in Salvador Perez, only with probably barely half of Perez’ AB this year. That said, he gives me a shot at getting closer to maxing out GP at catcher with – if everything goes extremely well – R/RBI/SLG contributions when Perez isn’t playing. Thought about taking Montero here and probably should have given that I wanted to start the year with two catchers – I think Wieters has a higher ceiling, however unlikely it might be, though, and I’m willing to carry him for a month to see what can do this year. |
| 352 | Beebop
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 10:06 am
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22.16 Rodriguez, Eduardo - BOS - SP
He will miss the first few starts of the season, but in a short time he put up some very useful fantasy numbers last season. He should be able to build on that and provide value 100 picks higher. Same theme, young, potential, good K rate. |
| 353 | Beebop
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 10:06 am
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23.01 May, Trevor - MIN - RP
He has the ability to be a starter or a reliever. Either way, he has a good K rate. Whatever happens he will either be a starter or closer by the end of the season. He won out over Trevor Bauer at this slot. |
| 354 | jdrenbarger
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 10:30 am
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23.02 Bauer, Trevor - CLE - SP
He sure seems to have been around a long time for someone who’s only 25. My sixth starter and a bit of a reach, for pick 325, given his FP ADP of 366. Quite a few safer SP options available – but they’ll be available after the season starts, too, and I don’t believe any of them have the ceiling Bauer has if he can just harness some of his more-than-just-occasional wildness. There’s a glimmer of hope in his spring training performance to date, and I’m willing to park him on the bench for 2-4 weeks and see whether this is finally the year he gets closer to the performance that has been predicted for him since he was the third overall pick in the 2011 MLB draft. |
| 355 | Mighty Meatwads
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 10:37 am
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23.03 Jepsen, Kevin - MIN - RP
Once again I find myself settling on a setup guy who has the potential to take over closing duties. He did a good job last season while Perkins was injured, which seems to becoming an annual event. I'm not sure if or when he takes over the role. I'm fine this with pick if I end up getting double digit saves by seasons end. |
| 356 | beastiemiked
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 1:06 pm
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23.04 Lowrie, Jed - OAK - SS
Ugh, I thought he had MI eligibility but he did not. He will hopefully gain it soon. Steamer has him projected .700+ OPS. Not great but at least he won't crush me if I need to use him at MI. I think having a MI that doesn't cripple your ratios is key. GP's and at bats are huge in RIBC. The more you have the more points you will accumulate. |
| 357 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 1:49 pm
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23.05 Watson, Tony - PIT - RP
See 22.12. Watson hasn’t been quite as sharp in spring training. He's given up only 5 hits in 5IP, but two were over the fence. Still, he's next in line behind Melancon, with a three year average 1.93 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. |
| 358 | Jasonprof
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 2:01 pm
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23.06 Ryu, Hyun-Jin - LAD - SP
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| 359 | twilson
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 2:51 pm
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23.07 Jones, Nate - CWS - RP
The Twins duo went on the short turn, but it didn’t really change my thinking. Because I failed to get an elite closer, I’m feeling vulnerable on strikeouts. I would love to add a flamethrower to boost my K/9.Nate Jones fits the bill. He throws it 97 mph and induces a ton of swinging strikes. He only pitched twenty innings last year in a return from Tommy John surgery, but they were excellent. Hopefully he can stay healthy and be an under the radar relief ace for me. |
| 360 | kdl212
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 5:43 pm
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23.08 Montero, Miguel - CHC - C
Because you have to have a catcher. The difference between 400 at-bats from Montero and 400 at-bats from any of the other guys left is a total guessing game. I thought Wilson Ramos had the highest ceiling, and Montero the highest floor. Given that this is round #23, I should have gone with ceiling. |
| 361 | Da Bomb
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 7:13 pm
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23.09 Gennett, Scooter - MIL - 2B
My 4th MI and insurance for Corey Seager in case he isn't ready for Opening Day and Joe Panik in case he doesn't replicate last season. Scooter was productive in 2013 & 2014 before taking a step back last season, but he's had a few great Spring games under his belt and appears to be locked into his starting role, at least against RHPs. |
| 362 | Blue Hen
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 7:13 pm
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23.10 Swihart, Blake - BOS - C
You need a catcher. Otherwise, every pitch would sail all the way to the backstop. Swihart is highly rated, and Wazaap Guy traded for him in G20. And with the awesome pitching staff I've assembled, it'd be unfortunate to lose every game on a passed ball. |
| 363 | ywk
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 7:26 pm
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23.11 Pomeranz, Drew - SDG - SP
He may compete for the No. 5 starter at San Diego though it may be also possible for him to stay as a useful reliever just like he did last year at Oakland. The change of the scenery might do him some good no matter he starts or not. |
| 364 | filthy
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 7:37 pm
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23.12 Aoki, Nori - SEA - OF
Strop, May, Watson all nice relief picks I was looking at. Broxton is a nice wild card for speed. All picked. Aoki was standing out as I scrape for steals potential and outfield depth. Might lead off. Fairly consistent performer. Worth a shot. Give him regular playing time, and he will shine if he can stay healthy. Done it before. I can see it happening again. Worst case in a platoon situation and batting in Safeco, I can still see him putting up 50/30/15/.350/.380. Fairly fragile career with very little pop, but this late as a bit of reserve speed makes me like this pick. |
| 365 | Tilt23
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 7:47 pm
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23.13 McCann, James - DET - C
This was a queue pick that wasn't supposed to happen. I wasn't able to check my draft at this point but its ok. I will need another C to fill in for Castillo but will prob only carry one C most of the year due to short bench |
| 366 | mailedfoot
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 7:55 pm
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23.14 O'Day, Darren - BAL - RP
O'Day is insurance for Britton and should post strong K/9 and ratio help in any event. |
| 367 | Great One
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 9:27 pm
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23.15 Nelson, Jimmy - MIL - SP
Found Jimmy Nelson and Jesse Hahn on few different lists of SP sleepers for deep leagues so I figured I’d give them both a crack and see what happens. I’m woefully thin on pitching depth so it’s going to be an uphill battle all year to find quality IP. Hopefully one of Nelson or Hahn emerges as a decent option worth starting. |
| 368 | holt
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 10:56 pm
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23.16 Ramos, Wilson - WAS - C
I've rostered Ramos many times in the past. He has pretty good power but get hurts a lot. Hopefully his lasik surgery helps his numbers get back to where they were in 2013 (.272 .307 .470). If not, he is just my backup catcher and would make good waiver wire fodder. |
| 369 | holt
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 11:18 pm
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24.01 Iglesias, Jose - DET - SS
Just grabbing a SS that was still available. He doesn't have much power and I'd prefer not to have in my lineup. He does offer an acceptable OBP and some speed. |
| 370 | Great One
ID: 330592710
Mar 27, 11:21 pm
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24.02 Hahn, Jesse - OAK - SP
Found Jimmy Nelson and Jesse Hahn on few different lists of SP sleepers for deep leagues so I figured I’d give them both a crack and see what happens. I’m woefully thin on pitching depth so it’s going to be an uphill battle all year to find quality IP. Hopefully one of Nelson or Hahn emerges as a decent option worth starting. |
| 371 | mailedfoot
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 6:56 am
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24.03 Headley, Chase - NYY - 3B
Headley is a 3B/CI, should be an everyday type player for the Yankees, and can back up Franco on his days off. |
| 372 | Tilt23
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 7:07 am
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24.04 Markakis, Nick - ATL - OF
I like this pick. he walks, nothing flashy and all this talk about his power being sapped affected his HR but SLG went down .010 so not worried too much. a nice backup I think. |
| 373 | filthy
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 7:17 am
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24.05 Hudson, Daniel - ARI - RP
Still need 2 more arms, any arms will do. Giles, Gregerson, Madson, Lowe with another setup option seeming worthwhile. Sanchez wild card, and all arms being wild card in general makes me consider 2 starters. Was looking at Hudson for awhile though, as a potential saves thief. Hill, Santiago, Eovaldi on the radar as well. Easter weekend, I don't care too much about restocking or shuffling the queue at this point. Hoping at least someone survives. Hudson it is. Ziegler doesn't exactly have a stranglehold on the job. Hudson likely fumbles if he gets a shot though. Maybe not. 3/5/60/3.25/1.25 would be solid, but likely rotating roster spot if he doesn't have any luck by May. |
| 374 | ywk
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 8:39 am
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24.06 Kelley, Shawn - WAS - RP
It is possible that he could replace Papelbon as the closer for Nationals considering the incumbent is in his final year of the contract (making him an easy trade target before the deadline) and him not going along with Bryce Harper. The potential gig aside, Kelly could do my team some good at K/9 and WHIP. |
| 375 | Blue Hen
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 8:39 am
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24.07 Shaw, Travis - BOS - 3B
Rumor has it he'll take over third base if Pablo Sandoval struggles (I like those odds). Since Gallo (minors) and Goeddel (playing time) are my other third basemen, Shaw seems like a gamble worth taking. |
| 376 | Da Bomb
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 8:41 am
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24.08 Motte, Jason - COL - RP
Jake McGee hasn't been named the closer and Motte would seem to be the other option. They are making similar salaries and Motte is a RHP, and this is a team that gave the job to LaTroy Hawkins to begin last season. |
| 377 | kdl212
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 10:49 am
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24.09 Prado, Martin - MIA - 3B
Just looking for counting stats anywhere I could find them. I considered a different third baseman who is fat, and a starting pitcher who surprisingly has not been drafted. But the reality of it is that guys like Prado will be dropped first when more pressing needs arise. Would've gone with Headley if he'd made it to me. |
| 378 | twilson
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 11:45 am
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24.10 Cecil, Brett - TOR - RP
I could still use another good reliever to solidify my ratios. Also, I haven’t had a chance to cull the outfielder crop to find my OF6, so that will have to wait until post-draft.I’m debating between Brett Cecil and Dalier Hinojosa, who has a shot at saves in Philly. Cecil strikes people out and does a pretty good job inducing ground balls. The contact he does allow tends to be harder than average, but cutting down on walks last year really helped him limit the damage. Hinojosa seems like a decent pitcher, probably about the same quality as my terrible Andrew Bailey pick. I’m tired of throwing good money after bad, so I’m taking Cecil. |
| 379 | Jasonprof
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 11:45 am
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24.11 Hill, Rich - OAK - SP
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| 380 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 11:55 am
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24.12 Medlen, Kris - KAN - SP
A total flier for my 5th SP. Only age 30, but now coming back from his second Tommy John surgery. Started 8 games for KC last year with middling results – six were effective, two were blowups. In line to be the 5th starter for the Royal this year. Workload may be managed (won’t even get his first start until at least April 14), but if he can get close to his 2012-13 results following his first TJ surgery, there’s potential. |
| 381 | beastiemiked
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 2:36 pm
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24.13 Caminero, Arquimedes - PIT - RP
FASTBALL! He's a guy that throws hard and will probably be a closer some day. Probably not this year but if Melancon goes down they might insert him in the 9th inning instead of Watson in order to not "move" Watson. Probably a long shot but it's round 24. I think by midseason last year I had dropped everyone that I had drafted 19+ rounds so I'm not too worried about having guys that will probably not last on my roster. |
| 382 | Mighty Meatwads
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 2:53 pm
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24.14 Dickey, R.A. - TOR - SP
He was one of the best SP's remaining, based on last season. I'm not worried about his age because of the knuckleball. If he pitched outside of Toronto, I think he'd be viewed as a much better commodity. Once again, if he shows signs of losing it, I can easily cut him. It's tough finding value nearly 400 picks deep, so I'll take what I can get. |
| 383 | jdrenbarger
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 2:56 pm
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24.15 Hardy, J.J. - BAL - SS
Having been behind on drafting MIs throughout this draft, it seems only fitting that Hardy will provide what little MI depth I start the season with. This is, along with a reflection of what was left to choose from, a blind bet (to paraphrase the ESPN season projection) that, with a year to recover from last year’s torn labrum, his power rebounds to respectable levels and he can contribute in R/RBI even from the lowly spot he’ll be hitting in the Orioles’ lineup. He no longer runs and won’t help at all in OBP … best case is that he contributes some other counting stats when I have to use him and won’t extract much of a SLG hit. |
| 384 | Beebop
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 2:56 pm
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24.16 Jennings, Desmond - TAM - OF
He has been injury plagued for a long time now. IF he can stay healthy he is a good back up OF considering the speed potential with a little bit of pop. He has to have a full season again sometime. This might be his last chance. |
| 385 | Beebop
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 2:56 pm
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25.01 Santiago, Hector - LAA - SP
I wanted to balance out the bench with another pitcher. By this point the pickings are very slim. He has a changed approach to his sessions and if he can pitch like his first half last season, this pick has the potential to pay massive dividends for me. |
| 386 | jdrenbarger
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 2:57 pm
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25.02 Maurer, Brandon - SDG - RP
Was returned to the bullpen just before I took Quackenbush in the 17th round and is now considered by some to be the go-to guy when (not if, in the opinion of most) Rodney loses the closers job. In for a penny, in for a pound … if I can figure out a way to carry two not particularly special closers-in-waiting, I should at some point this year have a third closer for some period of time. |
| 387 | Mighty Meatwads
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 3:10 pm
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25.03 Flores, Wilmer - NYM - SS
Just a straight up backup to my mediocre starter at SS. I think it's safe to say I'll be one of the teams gunning hard for one of those young SS prospects at some point this season. Flores still has age on his side, seems to be versatile enough to play all the infield positions and has a little pop for a SS. Obviously he's not the reason I'm going to do well or fail this year. Just a guy with theoretical upside at middle infield. |
| 388 | beastiemiked
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 8:09 pm
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25.04 Adams, Matt - STL - 1B
Another homer pick. Kind of a hedge with Moss. One of them will hopefully see the majority of at bats vs righties. Hoping one goes down or stinks so I can cut bait. Seeing Eovaldi and Reyes drafted after me stings. I would've definitely picked either over Adams but didn't "research". |
| 389 | Guru
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 7:12 pm
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25.05 Iannetta, Chris - SEA - C
I expect to user Iannetta fo fill in for Cervelli on April 4-5. (Cevervelli has a day off plus Gerrit Cole's start, when he usually sits.) After that, Iannetta will probably be dropped for the next streamer. |
| 390 | Jasonprof
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 7:12 pm
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25.06 Karns, Nathan - SEA - SP
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| 391 | twilson
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 7:29 pm
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25.07 Conley, Adam - MIA - SP
Conley had a reasonable debut last year, but wasn’t anything special. This spring, he has seemingly added 3 mph to his fastball. With luck, that newfound velocity will give him the boost he needs to be a fantasy asset. |
| 392 | kdl212
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 7:30 pm
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25.08 Arcia, Orlando - MIL - SS
He won't be in the majors until June at the earliest, which should be about the time that I've had absolutely enough of Zack Cozart sucking, or [undrafted] sucking as my replacement for Cozart. Whether I've been able to devote the roster spot to Arcia all the way until June is doubtful, but he promises 20 stolen bases if he does play for 4 months. Given the insane love of RIBC managers for crappy middle infielders, I was surprised that someone who apparently is actually good hadn't already been picked. |
| 393 | Da Bomb
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 8:58 pm
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25.09 Nava, Daniel - LAA - OF
It is difficult to max out the roster limits so I drafted Nava as I saw him as the best option involved in one of the season's first 4 games on Sunday. |
| 394 | Blue Hen
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 8:58 pm
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25.10 Hendriks, Liam - OAK - 0
I actually don't think he'll get any saves this year. Was just looking for good ratios to fill up some innings. |
| 395 | ywk
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 8:59 pm
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25.11 Davis, Rajai - CLE - OF
Not sure why I picked another outfielder especially someone at his 35. That being said, Davis may even lead off for Indians---and if he could get some regular playing time he could produce in runs scored and chip in some base steals. I could have tried to at least select another middle infielder here but turning to the waiver wire appears my only option when needing to drop any MI on my roster. And it also appears that my scoring department could become one of my weak spots when I kind of focused too much on RBI and SLG in the process at the expense of other categories. |
| 396 | filthy
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 9:10 pm
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25.12 Eovaldi, Nathan - NYY - SP
Nothing really left beyond him. Ervin or a quick panic pick if it came to it. Try to avoid Yankee/RedSox/Orioles/DevilRays whenever I can, but broke a pretty good streak of avoiding Yankees with this pick. Really surprised he wasn't picked though. I'll revisit in a few days if this feels wrong by then. Shows flashes of brilliance and looks mighty impressive when he's on. Nothing was standing out so why not. AJ Burnett's AL East days jump to mind when I think Eovaldi which is not a good sign for my sanity if he sticks around. 10/0/125/4.00/1.40 along career averages would be reasonable to expect. Better options will likely present themselves in first week. Maybe he's about to hit prime and becomes a trade chip was the only real temptation here. |
| 397 | Tilt23
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 9:10 pm
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25.13 Santana, Ervin - MIN - SP
needed another pitcher. just a flier. he can be dominant or he can be gasoline on a bonfire. which one am I going to get start to start. lets see if I cant make some use out of him. |
| 398 | mailedfoot
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 9:59 pm
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25.14 Peterson, Jace - ATL - 2B
Peterson has been designated as the Braves starting 2B and, as such, becomes a backup 2B/MI for my team. Hopefully, he gets his motor running and steals some bases. |
| 399 | Great One
ID: 330592710
Mar 28, 10:11 pm
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25.15 Reyes, Jose - COL - SS
I figure at this point if he avoids suspension I could do worse than a decent SS option playing in Colorado. If he gets suspended for a lengthy period then I cut bait and move on. |
| 400 | holt
ID: 330592710
Mar 29, 12:15 am
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25.16 Hinojosa, Dalier - PHI - RP
The Phillies manager announced that Hinojosa is a candidate to be the team's closer. He is 30 yrs old, Cuban, has pitched well in the majors and in spring training but his numbers in Cuba aren't real impressive. Anyway, he has a chance to get some saves so he is worth taking with the last pick of the draft. |
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