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Subject: RIBC 2016: Draft Rationale Collection Thread
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Tue, Mar 15, 2016, 13:12
RIBC managers: Please post your rationales in this thread. Rationales are due on a two round lag (i.e., when you make you 3rd round pick, your 1st round rationale is due. You can post any rationale sooner than that if you wish.
Do not worry about placeholders or keeping things in the proper sequence. This is just a place to collect rationales, which I will then transfer over to the formal rationale thread in the proper sequence. This approach has worked well for the past several seasons, and I now have a somewhat automated method for making those transfers.
Remember that you should refrain from mentioning undrafted players. If you feel that your rationale requires that, then hold it back until the player has been drafted - unless the player mentioned is clearly undraftable this year.
When posting your first rationale, please also comment on your choice of draft sequence. |
| Only the 50 most recent replies are currently shown. Click on this text to display hidden posts as well. |
| 98 | filthy
ID: 212371616
Sat, Mar 26, 2016, 06:32
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15.12 Eugenio Suarez, SS, CIN
Wasn't liking the relievers enough to fill my queue yet, but hadn't thought about Hernandez yet, didn't make it back to me, but good pick. Vizcaino, Grilli, Osuna, Colome, Jeffress, Benoit, Gregerson all considered. Worth a shot at someone that isn't guaranteed the job at this point in draft for me.
Still needing a cover at shortstop though, and was looking at Suarez earlier, so he leads the queue ahead of the relievers. Showed a bit of power last year from shortstop and seems like he'll get to play third this year. Covers another weakness for me and could allow for Olivera to shift to OF if he qualifies as I expect. Lots of flexibility gained by adding Suarez here. Expecting that he could get a good chance and might even breakout. If he can gain some at bats and play similar to last year, I will be very happy here. 50/60/5/.310/.420 seems like it could be done.
16.05 Derek Norris, C, SD
May have been better ranking Colome, Benoit, or Jeffress ahead of Norris but the recent highlights had me liking Norris. Rumours of a potential trade out of San Diego at some point doesn't hurt either. Been wanting some Posey insurance for awhile and kept missing out on my choices. Willing to keep waiting but liking Norris more than a shot at a possible closer.
If he struggles like during the summer, I will really regret this. They say they really tired him out and will manage his use better this year, but even then I am banking a lot on him getting out of San Diego. Strangely enough he hit better there. If I am using him much, it means someone else flopped pretty bad, but Norris could at least put up some average numbers if needed. 50/50/3/.300/.400 would be a slight drop from last year, but he is still in prime years so I could see 20% improvement on this prediction and not be surprised.
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| 99 | filthy
ID: 212371616
Sat, Mar 26, 2016, 06:49
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17.12 Chris Colabello, OF, TOR
Still needing an OF bad. Wish I had checked out Paulsen. Was liking Inciarte, probably better pick than Norris would have been. Wished somehow I could have made Khris Davis fit earlier. Colabello and Saunders are both seeming like they will get to play a fair amount this year in Toronto's offense. Span is another interesting name. Most of the next tier of potential closers is gone after Benoit. Really want to land Gregerson to handcuff with Giles. But the OF situation is pretty grim and there will be plenty of RP turnover all year.
Colabello seems like a hitter. Just needs at bats. Revere trade cost him at bats but he still kept hitting whatever role was asked of him. That should buy him some more at bats this year. Battling Smoak, but Edwin might need some time. Smoak and Saunders hot, and Edwin healthy could hurt for Colabello, but this is a 17th round pick, I'm not looking for a full season of .350/.500 here. The line is what I expect but anything more than 400 AB will surprise me. 50/50/2/.350/.500 again is very reachable for Colabello in my opinion.
18.05 Luke Gregerson, RP, HOU
At the very least, I've covered my own tail. Gregerson could make the Houston bullpen situation interesting if he pitches well and Giles falters at all. Liking a couple other setup men but they all lasted to my next queue. Still wanting Saunders but not wanting to ignore my handcuff plan any longer. Found a few other OF that I'd be happy with landing later.
Considering I pick Giles for 35 saves, I obviously don't think the handcuff is mandatory, but it is still comforting. 40 saves between the 2, no matter how they fall will work for me. I'll predict Gregerson for 5/5/60/3.00/1.00 along lines of last year minus the closer's job.
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| 100 | filthy
ID: 212371616
Sat, Mar 26, 2016, 07:39
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19.12 Ryan Madson, RP, OAK
Madson was the only other ahead of Saunders on the last queue. Doolittle was a letdown last year, so betting against him this year isn't a horrible idea. Desperate times. Kela, Strickland, Farquhar right behind Saunders on the queue. Not really overloading the queue now, as it is lasting a bit longer, and I've been home to monitor the draft a bit more.
Great bounceback for Madson last year. Easy to see him get the chance if Doolittle falters. Followed closely the many setbacks of Doolittle last year, and hoping for his and the team's sake that it's behind him, but for my own sake would love to see him have a rough April and recover to make a great setup man for the rest of season. More likely I'm seeing Madson steal the closer's seat for a month this year if I'm lucky. 3/10/60/2.50/1.00 wouldn't be bad, likely pipe dream!
20.05 Michael Saunders, OF, TOR
Wanted Saunders for awhile. The ability has been there, but the guy seems pretty jinxed. Not a great add for someone that treats a fantasy roster somewhat superstitiously. But he seems like he'll get a chance to at least build trade value again. Might even get a look at leadoff?! The other OF options I like are a bit behind what I could see Saunders doing, so I am very happy to see there's no other Saunders believers in here. More setup men if I didn't get OF here.
Big expectations for Saunders to breakout when he got to Toronto, but he just continued breaking. Worse than ever. I haven't forgotten the expectations, and wouldn't be shocked to see him top his 2012 numbers this year. In May 2014, he finally earned back regular role lost in 2013 and April 2014, and was hitting, but got hurt again and the M's gave up on him. He raked in part time duty when he came back but that was simply to add trade value. Lost any leash he may have had with the Jays pretty instantly, but I'm hopeful he will rise to the occasion as they try to showcase him, as I'd rather see his glove in LF than Colabello and rather see his bat than undrafted.
Most of all, I can't see Pillar leading off as predictions seem to be speculating. Experiment with Tulo leadoff again is more likely in my mind. Martin as on base machine again would be great pick, but he fell off a bit last year. Saunders just might sneak in there as leadoff guy. If he hits like I believe he can, then he will be in line for a pretty monster year. Even though I drafted Colabello first, I figured it was safer this way, I prefer Saunders. Extreme bias for Vancouver Island player but if everything lands how I am picturing: 80/70/10/.330/.430. Expecting a quick DL stint at some point and periods of struggle as the season wears on, but a real hot start to turn some heads is in my forecast.
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| 101 | holt
ID: 282541323
Sat, Mar 26, 2016, 11:58
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15.16 Paulsen, Ben OF COL
Looking for an OPS around .800 and about 1 SB and he has a chance if developing a bit more. Paulsen adds some flexibility at 1b/OF. I didn't see any other OF I wanted to take a shot on here. Was hoping Olivera would hang around longer.
16.01 Fiers, Mike SP HOU
I still remember Fiers' nice run in 2014 when he had the 0.88 whip. His career K/9 is a little over 9. Sure he is in the AL now but his numbers improved drastically after moving from MIL to HOU last year (and he threw that no hitter after the move) so we will see how it goes.
17.16 Crawford, Carl OF LAD
I didn't have much time at all to look this pick over. I knew that some injury news indicated that Crawford was now in line to receive the bulk of the AB's vs right handers, and that he still has very good SB ability. I don't think that .320/.430 with 20 SB is a stretch. 450 AB is probably a stretch though.
18.01 Spangenberg, Cory 2B SDG
Again, I didn't have the luxury of reviewing everyone who was available. Spangenburg was in my head as a decent target late in the draft so I figured I may as well take him in rd 18. I have an expectation of around .340/.410 and maybe 15 steals, and that is pretty good for a middle infielder this late in the draft.
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| 102 | Tilt23
ID: 120161420
Sat, Mar 26, 2016, 13:13
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15.13 Roberto Osuna, RP, TOR
Was the closer last year for a playoff team and did well. Young dominant arm. Tor signed Storen but really no one knows how that will play out. Osuna has better stuff and even if doesn’t close will help my team but will hopefully end up in the closers role again. If no change in status an ok pick that will stick in my starting lineup, if he gets to close… a great value.
16.04 Didi Gregorious, SS, NYY
I still need two MI so needed to get one here. He has been in my queue for a while. Still young still growing, showed better discipline last year. .294/.345/.417 over the entire second half last year. If that continues this is a steal, even with some regression its ok and most importantly he will start almost every game. Wont kill me. Ill take it. I am going to be behind in SB this year though cause neither of my two MI’s are SB guys so that could be a problem.
17.13 Denard Span, OF, SF
Almost took him last round. As long as he is healthy will help me across the board with the exception of RBI’s. A known commodity and if he bats at the top of the lineup a great value here. Didn’t really consider anyone else I know my problems at MI but at this point its most likely going to filled during the season or will have to get lucky with an unexpected player later. No more proven commodities so I will shore up the rest of my team and adjust with MI later, why reach for a replacement level player that could and prob will be dropped soon?
18.04 Jeff Samarzjda, SP, SF
This is based on history and moving to NL pitchers park with better defense. I don’t care about spring stats so much but he is getting lit up. If he returns to any kind of serviceable form this pick will work out. If he doesn’t he is waiver wire fodder and no big loss.
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| 103 | mailedfoot
ID: 531322718
Sat, Mar 26, 2016, 15:13
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18.03 Chris Coghlan, OF, OAK
Coghlan's move to Oakland figures to open up some playing time for him even though he is not projected as a starter right now. Last year he slashed .341/.443 with 11 steals and I am hoping he will gain 2B eligibility where those kinds of numbers would be very useful. In the meantime, I can use him as a platoon hitter until I see how the situation in Oakland plays out.
19.14 Keone Kela, RP, TEX
20.03 Sam Dyson, RP, TEX
Kela is a 10 K/9 guy with good ratios who will help with those aspects of my pitching stats. In the event there is a change in closers, he should be one of the prime contenders. Dyson is the other guy in the pen who would figure to get consideration if there is a close change. He has similar ratios to Kela with a few less Ks so he should help my staff also.
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| 104 | kdl212
ID: 56138261
Sun, Mar 27, 2016, 01:37
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18.09 Steven Souza, OF, TB
I'm hoping this is my Josh Reddick redux pick. Last year, I picked Reddick in the 19th round, and despised it the moment I did it. It was, as is Souza, my 5th outfielder, and there's no need to draft a 5th outfielder at this stage, because (remember this next year!) there will be outfielders available in the early 20s. Yet Reddick was a valuable contributor to my team, and if I'm lucky, Souza will do the same. There isn't a lot of upside here - maybe 320/420 with 15 steals. Even though I don't like this pick, no one else in my queue was drafted before my turn came around again.
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| 105 | kdl212
ID: 56138261
Sun, Mar 27, 2016, 01:48
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19.08 Clay Buchholz, SP, BOS
Last year was rough for starting pitching on my team. For a couple of weeks, I was down to 2 healthy starters, and spent most of the season with only 4 starters, so I vowed to emerge from this draft with 6 starters. There seemed to be about a half dozen with what could generously be called upside left, including Buchholz (8.5k/9, 1.21 WHiP and a 2.68 FIP in limited innings last year). I almost talked myself into Victor Martinez, and had my eyes on several other outfielders (why did I draft Souza last round again?), but went with starting pitching.
20.09 Jayson Werth, OF, WAS
I cannot get enough outfielders, it seems. Werth is old, and past his productive years. But if they hit him 5th or 6th, he might give me the RBIs I need without killing any percentages. A higher upside play, like Michael Taylor (who very well may send Werth to the bench) might have been more fun, and a better use of the 20th round. Best case - I get 3 productive months out of Werth, and then he gets hurt.
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| 106 | Tilt23
ID: 120161420
Sun, Mar 27, 2016, 19:17
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19.13 Erick Aybar, SS, ATL
Need to add to my MI depth. Could end up playing reg in my lineup. He has a starting spot, he is a veteran but not that old. His ratios are his biggest problem as he is a slap hitter without a good walk rate but my team should be able to overcome that with the way I have drafted and I needed the counting stats more including SB
20.04 Hunter Strickland, RP, SF
Upside pick at the back end of a bullpen with a closer that some don’t have faith in. Even if doesn’t close he has the stuff to help my team. Hoping for something big but can handle it if just a late inning reliever.
21.13 Trea Turner, SS, WAS
Intriguing prospect, prob hasn’t done enough to have the starting job but could soon. Can he stay on my roster long enough to benefit? Time will tell.
22.04 Wellington Castillo, C, Ari
Time to get my C. was really hoping to get Cervalli but at this point they all kind of equal out in value. Castillo still has a chance to outperform his slot here as he hit for some pop in Ariz. I can take the OBP drop so this is a good fit for my team but will need to fill in around him when he is out.
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| 107 | mailedfoot
ID: 531322718
Sun, Mar 27, 2016, 20:23
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21.14 Kyle Gibson, SP, MIN
Selected Gibson to add depth to my pitching staff. He doesn't have the K rate I would like, but it has been improving and he has looked good this spring. Still relatively young at 28, if he can take the next step in his progression, I think he can be a viable fantasy starter.
22.03 Seth Smith, OF, SEA
Smith will be the strong side of an OF platoon and slashed .330/.443 for the Mariners last year. I expect similar numbers and will use him as OF/UTIL guy. With his position in an improving lineup, I am looking for some RBIs from him.
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| 108 | ywk
ID: 56236823
Sun, Mar 27, 2016, 23:40
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19.11 Justin Smoak, 1B, Tor
He will platoon with Colabello and even Edwin Encarnacion but is one other's injury away to collect more ABs (despite him having more ABs may just hurt my team more as he has never been known for his batting and on-base percentage).
20.06 Kevin Siegrist, RP, STL
Tried to at least somewhat improve my pitching staff. Siegrist should help my team on punch-outs and WHIP and since he may be serving as the primary setup man for Rothenthal occasionally he could snatch some SVs here and there.
21.11 Kelvin Herrera, RP, KC
Back to back selection of relievers with some SO capability though Herrera's high-90 fastball for some reasons does not necessarily generate a lot of punch-outs. Maybe that is all due to his control. Still, he remains an important piece in KC's bullpen and is expected to be successful in 2016.
22.06 Franklin Gutierrez, OF, SEA
His health certainly cripples his career. Even he is not going to handle a full-time duty anymore, he still have some pop and therefore could be somehow useful in some situations or spot starts. I picked him up very late of last season and he did surprise me a lot. That said, he may be the first I drop when the regular season begins in order to make my team better.
23.11 Drew Pomeranz, SP, SDG
He may compete for the No. 5 starter at San Diego though it may be also possible for him to stay as a useful reliever just like he did last year at Oakland. The change of the scenery might do him some good no matter he starts or not.
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| 109 | kdl212
ID: 56138261
Sun, Mar 27, 2016, 23:42
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21.08 Juan Nicasio, SP?, PIT
When I made this pick, it wasn't clear that Nicasio had a spot in the Pirates rotation, and he could end up in middle relief. But he's been crazy in spring training - zero runs and 24 strikeouts in 15 innings. I'm rolling the dice that he makes the rotation, and that pitching coach extraordinaire Ray Searage does with Nicasio what he did with Happ last year and others before him: turn mediocre pitchers into studs.
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| 110 | jdrenbarger
Dude
ID: 04035768
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 06:36
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18.15 Napoli, Mike - CLE - 1B
I’m aiming to end up with 9-10 pitchers – 6 starters – and at least one spare for every hitting position except maybe catcher. Not expecting any real everyday contributions from any bench players, but would like to find hitters with at least exceptional one-side splits or everyday playing time and some potential for steals.
Napoli fits pretty well here, albeit quite a reach for pick 287 given his current FantasyPros (FP) ADP of 359– he’s almost always crushed lefties (2013-2015 OPS vs lefties of .899/.923/.954), has reached at least 400 AB each of the last three years, and is expected to play regularly this year (around what will no doubt be a DL stint or two). With my other two 1B-eligibles (Trumbo, Valbuena) having multi-position eligibility, he’ll also allow me additional flexibility in setting daily lineups.
19.02 Ross, Joe - WAS - SP
My fourth starter and, I think, a great value here – current FP ADP of 224 for pick 290, pitched well in his major league debut last year (76.2 IP, 3.64/1.11, 8.1 K/9), and seemingly assured of a starting rotation spot. Expected to be the 5th starter, so very well may be skipped from time to time, and at 22 will very likely both encounter some rough spots and have his overall workload capped (last year’s 152.2 IP was his career high).
20.15 Kiermaier, Kevin - TAM - OF
My sixth OF-eligible hitter – will play regularly simply because of his defensive value, should be a contributor in both R and SB, and has reasonable power (.432 career SLG in 836 career MLB AB). Another real OBP drain, however ... only 25, though, and I think it’s reasonable to hope for some improvement here as he continues to mature. Expected to lead off and, best case, can become a poor man’s version of Jacoby Ellsbury ... which is convenient for me, should Ellsbury have another year like last year’s.
21.02 Heaney, Andrew – LAA – SP
My fifth starter and a reasonable value here – FP ADP of 278 for pick 322, assured of a starting rotation spot, pitches in a pitcher’s park, and – at 24 – considered a potential breakout candidate by some. 3.49/1.20 in 18 starts last year, albeit with a very pedestrian 6.6 K/9.
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| 111 | blue hen
Dude
ID: 710321114
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 09:28
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19.10 Anibal Sanchez, SP, DET
For the last decade, Anibal Sanchez has shown flashes of brilliance mixed with injuries. Always pretty good with the strikeouts, I see Anibal as a great comeback story this year, and just who I need to round out my pitching staff.
20.07 Colby Rasmus, OF, HOU
This late in the draft, I realized I needed one more starting hitter. Rasmus is ALWAYS underrated - he's better with the power, better with the walks, and better with the defense than anyone ever gives him credit for. Houston is always great with players like that (see Valbuena, Luis), so I figure Rasmus is the safest bet to fill that last spot.
21.10 Corey Knebel, RP, MIL
Looks like Will Smith might be out a while. Knebel was already a threat (although I'll project Jeffress for 35 saves right now), and even if he's not closing, he brings great stats to the table. This late in the draft, that's exactly the kind of guy I'll go after.
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| 112 | blue hen
Dude
ID: 710321114
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 09:31
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22.07 Daniel Norris, SP, DET
In the hope that we wise up and add axe wielding and van living as RIBC categories, I took a gamble on Daniel Norris. He'd also do well in categories like coolest beard, most times traded for David Price (tied), and biggest 2015 bust.
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| 113 | blue hen
Dude
ID: 710321114
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 09:33
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23.10 Blake Swihart, C, BOS
You need a catcher. Otherwise, every pitch would sail all the way to the backstop. Swihart is highly rated, and Wazaap Guy traded for him in G20. And with the awesome pitching staff I've assembled, it'd be unfortunate to lose every game on a passed ball.
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| 114 | blue hen
Dude
ID: 710321114
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 09:39
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24.07 Travis Shaw, 1B/3B, BOS
Rumor has it he'll take over third base if Pablo Sandoval struggles (I like those odds). Since Gallo (minors) and Goeddel (playing time) are my other third basemen, Shaw seems like a gamble worth taking.
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| 115 | kdl212
ID: 31254812
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 12:12
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22.09 Evan Gattis, DH, HOU
I'm planning to mix upside with some reliable contributors here in the last rounds, and I was surprised to see Gattis still available. That he is recovering from surgery and will miss the first 2 weeks of the season, and that he's DH-only, probably explain that. Still, if he doesn't lose playing time to Houston's many young, talented hitters, he could provide 70 RBIs with a .450 slugging percentage. In a dream world, he catches enough games that he becomes eligible there. Unlikely, but Houston has no backup catcher and there is chatter of him putting on the catching gear every once in a while.
I also considered Jarrod Dyson, also injured to begin the year, but felt my roster needed a slugger more than stolen bases.
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| 116 | Meatwads
ID: 142562814
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 15:57
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16.14 Yasmany Tomas, 3B/OF, ARI
I'm not sure why I made this selection. I think there's a high probability this will be a wasted pick. That being said, the 3B eligibility is nice, he's in a hitters park, he's young enough to bust out any time. If I had this pick to do over, I would certainly be looking in a different direction. I honestly don't see this guy making it all year on my team but hopefully I'm wrong.
17.03 Joaquin Benoit, RP, SEA
At this point in the draft I'm just looking for anything that has the potential to be more valuable than it currently is. Being a Seattle native, I'm fully aware of the Mariners and their business. I have almost zero confidence that Cishek will hang on to that job all season. Benoit is old but he's just a consistently good pitcher who never seems to pitch badly for long stretches. If the Mariners surprise people and end up contending this year in the AL West, I believe Benoit will be the guy closing for them. If I'm wrong, oh well. I'll just replace him off the free agents with a SP, hitter or another speculative closer.
18.14 Matt Moore, SP, TB
This selection has boom or bust written all over it. I only had 2 SP on my roster at this point so I figured time to add a 3rd. Moore has lots of qualities I look for in a SP. He also has lots of qualities which usually puts him on my don't draft list. I think at this point in the draft the upside of him working out and being a good strikeout pitcher is worth the risk. Any players selected this late have warts and I'm just not attached to any of these players if they don't work out.
19.03 Jonathan Villar, SS, MIL
This pick concludes the worst stretch of picks in my draft. I waited until this long to select a shortstop and I really don't think this guy has what it takes to succeed. That being said, it appears he has a job locked up, potentially could be leading off for some reason, and has some speed and success in the minors. Considering I didn't have the position covered at this point, I guess I could've done worse.
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| 117 | Meatwads
ID: 142562814
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 16:32
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20.14 Jumbo Diaz, RP, CIN
I made this selection for the same reason I picked Benoit, I don't think the guy currently listed as closer will hold the job. Diaz throws hard and shows decent strikeout potential. Whether Hoover is traded at the deadline because he's succeeding or loses his job early due to ineffectiveness, I think Diaz eventually gets the job. It's such a late pick in the draft that I can easily justify it and move on with no worries if it doesn't play out how I want.
21.03 Michael Taylor, OF, WSH
I'm really intrigued by his upside. There aren't many players who have his power/speed combo, only 24 years old, without a full-time job yet. Obviously if Revere hasn't been signed Taylor would've been picked probably 12 rounds earlier. I'm not sure how he is viewed by the masses, but in my personal belief he has the potential to become a star. The only thing missing is a full-time gig and a little more patience at the plate. I also believe either though injury or poor performance, Taylor will end up finding every day AB's eventually.
22.14 Jarrod Dyson, OF, KC
I'm not sure how this happened but one of the fastest and most skilled base stealers in the league ended up falling this far. I've used him countless times as an underrated steals guys in a part time role. Now that it appears he has a starting job, I honestly think he can be right next to players like Billy Hamilton and Dee Gordon among the elite. I truly believe that making this selection just locked up stolen bases for me. I don't think it'll be close. I probably have too much speed on my roster. Hopefully it doesn't cost me in RBI and SLG%.
23.03 Kevin Jepsen, RP, MIN
Once again I find myself settling on a setup guy who has the potential to take over closing duties. He did a good job last season while Perkins was injured, which seems to becoming an annual event. I'm not sure if or when he takes over the role. I'm fine this with pick if I end up getting double digit saves by seasons end.
24.14 R.A. Dickey, SP, TOR
He was one of the best SP's remaining, based on last season. I'm not worried about his age because of the knuckleball. If he pitched outside of Toronto, I think he'd be viewed as a much better commodity. Once again, if he shows signs of losing it, I can easily cut him. It's tough finding value nearly 400 picks deep, so I'll take what I can get.
25.03 Wilmer Flores, 2B/SS, NYM
Just a straight up backup to my mediocre starter at SS. I think it's safe to say I'll be one of the teams gunning hard for one of those young SS prospects at some point this season. Flores still has age on his side, seems to be versatile enough to play all the infield positions and has a little pop for a SS. Obviously he's not the reason I'm going to do well or fail this year. Just a guy with theoretical upside at middle infield.
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| 119 | kdl212
ID: 56138261
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 19:48
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23.08 Miguel Montero, C, CHC
Because you have to have a catcher. The difference between 400 at-bats from Montero and 400 at-bats from any of the other guys left is a total guessing game. I thought Wilson Ramos had the highest ceiling, and Montero the highest floor. Given that this is round #23, I should have gone with ceiling.
24.09 Martin Prado, 3B, MIA
Just looking for counting stats anywhere I could find them. I considered a different third baseman who is fat, and a starting pitcher who surprisingly has not been drafted. But the reality of it is that guys like Prado will be dropped first when more pressing needs arise. Would've gone with Headley if he'd made it to me.
25.08 Orlando Arcia, SS, MIL
He won't be in the majors until June at the earliest, which should be about the time that I've had absolutely enough of Zack Cozart sucking, or [undrafted] sucking as my replacement for Cozart. Whether I've been able to devote the roster spot to Arcia all the way until June is doubtful, but he promises 20 stolen bases if he does play for 4 months. Given the insane love of RIBC managers for crappy middle infielders, I was surprised that someone who apparently is actually good hadn't already been picked.
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| 120 | ywk
ID: 56236823
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 21:12
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24.06 Shawn Kelly, RP, WAS
It is possible that he could replace Papelbon as the closer for Nationals considering the incumbent is in his final year of the contract (making him an easy trade target before the deadline) and him not going along with Bryce Harper. The potential gig aside, Kelly could do my team some good at K/9 and WHIP.
25.11 Rajai Davis
Not sure why I picked another outfielder especially someone at his 35. That being said, Davis may even lead off for Indians---and if he could get some regular playing time he could produce in runs scored and chip in some base steals. I could have tried to at least select another middle infielder here but turning to the waiver wire appears my only option when needing to drop any MI on my roster. And it also appears that my scoring department could become one of my weak spots when I kind of focused too much on RBI and SLG in the process at the expense of other categories.
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| 121 | jdrenbarger
ID: 302202820
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 21:22
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22.15 Wieters, Matt – BAL – C
FA ADP of 195 for pick 351, so I’m obviously not the only one missing that which everyone else sees in this league. Sure, he’s been hurt and is still questionable for Opening Day … sure, he’s not played a full season since 2013 (and racked up an impressive .287 OBP then) … sure, he’s essentially the same catcher I already have in Salvador Perez, only with probably barely half of Perez’ AB this year. That said, he gives me a shot at getting closer to maxing out GP at catcher with – if everything goes extremely well – R/RBI/SLG contributions when Perez isn’t playing. Thought about taking Montero here and probably should have given that I wanted to start the year with two catchers – I think Wieters has a higher ceiling, however unlikely it might be, though, and I’m willing to carry him for a month to see what can do this year.
23.02 Bauer, Trevor – CLE – SP
He sure seems to have been around a long time for someone who’s only 25. My sixth starter and a bit of a reach, for pick 325, given his FP ADP of 366. Quite a few safer SP options available – but they’ll be available after the season starts, too, and I don’t believe any of them have the ceiling Bauer has if he can just harness some of his more-than-just-occasional wildness. There’s a glimmer of hope in his spring training performance to date, and I’m willing to park him on the bench for 2-4 weeks and see whether this is finally the year he gets closer to the performance that has been predicted for him since he was the third overall pick in the 2011 MLB draft.
24.15 Hardy, J.J. – BAL – SS
Having been behind on drafting MIs throughout this draft, it seems only fitting that Hardy will provide what little MI depth I start the season with. This is, along with a reflection of what was left to choose from, a blind bet (to paraphrase the ESPN season projection) that, with a year to recover from last year’s torn labrum, his power rebounds to respectable levels and he can contribute in R/RBI even from the lowly spot he’ll be hitting in the Orioles’ lineup. He no longer runs and won’t help at all in OBP … best case is that he contributes some other counting stats when I have to use him and won’t extract much of a SLG hit.
25.02 Maurer, Brandon – SDG – RP
Was returned to the bullpen just before I took Quackenbush in the 17th round and is now considered by some to be the go-to guy when (not if, in the opinion of most) Rodney loses the closers job. In for a penny, in for a pound … if I can figure out a way to carry two not particularly special closers-in-waiting, I should at some point this year have a third closer for some period of time.
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| 122 | Da Bomb
Donor
ID: 487112814
Mon, Mar 28, 2016, 21:54
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21.09 Yunel Escobar, 3B, LAA
A backup CI and a backup to David Wright who may rest frequently. Escobar is coming off a career year with a .790 OPS and he has been crushing it this Spring (1.115 OPS). He may hit in the top of the lineup.
22.08 Keon Broxton, OF, MIL
I have 4 SPs and don't have a desire to take another as I would need to see 1-2 starts from anyone remaining before feeling comfortable to put him into my lineup, so I will take a hitter who has the possibility of making a more immediate impact. Broxton has shown strong stolen base and on base skills with some pop the past couple of years in the minors + this Spring, making his case for the starting CF job for the Brewers.
23.09 Scooter Gennett, 2B, MIL
My 4th MI and insurance for Corey Seager in case he isn't ready for Opening Day and Joe Panik in case he doesn't replicate last season. Scooter was productive in 2013 & 2014 before taking a step back last season, but he's had a few great Spring games under his belt and appears to be locked into his starting role, at least against RHPs.
24.08 Jason Motte, RP, COL
Jake McGee hasn't been named the closer and Motte would seem to be the other option. They are making similar salaries and Motte is a RHP, and this is a team that gave the job to LaTroy Hawkins to begin last season.
25.09 Daniel Nava, OF, LAA
It is difficult to max out the roster limits so I drafted Nava as I saw him as the best option involved in one of the season's first 4 games on Sunday.
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| 123 | mailedfoot
ID: 531322718
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 06:49
|
23.14 Darren O'Day, RP, BAL
O'Day is insurance for Britton and should post strong K/9 and ratio help in any event.
24.03 Chase Headley, 3B, NYY
Headley is a 3B/CI, should be an everyday type player for the Yankees, and can back up Franco on his days off.
25.14 Jace Peterson, @B, ATL
Peterson has been designated as the Braves starting 2B and, as such, becomes a backup 2B/MI for my team. Hopefully, he gets his motor running and steals some bases.
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| 124 | Tilt23
ID: 412151815
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 11:47
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23.13 James McCann, C, Det
This was a queue pick that wasn't supposed to happen. I wasn't able to check my draft at this point but its ok. I will need another C to fill in for Castillo but will prob only carry one C most of the year due to short bench
24.04 Nick Markakis, OF, ATL
I like this pick. he walks, nothing flashy and all this talk about his power being sapped affected his HR but SLG went down .010 so not worried too much. a nice backup I think.
25.13 Ervin Santana, SP, MIN
needed another pitcher. just a flier. he can be dominant or he can be gasoline on a bonfire. which one am I going to get start to start. lets see if I cant make some use out of him.
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| 125 | holt
ID: 2921399
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 11:55
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19.16 Naquin, Tyler OF CLE
Shot in the dark based on his silly 1.377 OPS this spring. Was a 1st pick out of college in 2012 but hasn't put up any extraordinary numbers in the minors. Has ability to steal a few bases, is reported to be a very well rounded player, and has a path to a lof AB's. He did hit .300/.381/.446 in the minors last year so I'm taking a shot that he is rapidly developing into a solid hitter.
20.01 Lamb, Jake 3B ARI
Lamb is still only 25 yrs old. If he can avoid the DL maybe this is the season he finally breaks out (as his .960 OPS in the minors suggests he has the ability to do).
21.16 Travis, Devon 2B TOR
I don't know if I can keep Travis rostered until he returns to the field or not. He had an OPS of .859 in the minors and then .859 in the majors last season. He recently made it back on the field to work out. Hopefully he makes it back to the lineup before June.
22.01 Crawford, J.P. SS PHI
Wasted pick. Had his name in a queue that I fired up while standing in line at the movie theater. Probably would have taken W. Ramos here, wo I got at 23.16 anyway. May have also taken Jaso or Aoki. Not sure, but JP Crawford is in the minors as he should be.
23.16 Ramos, Wilson C WAS
I've rostered Ramos many times in the past. He has pretty good power but get hurts a lot. Hopefully his lasik surgery helps his numbers get back to where they were in 2013 (.272 .307 .470). If not, he is just my backup catcher and would make good waiver wire fodder.
24.01 Iglesias, Jose SS DET
Just grabbing a SS that was still available. He doesn't have much power and I'd prefer not to have in my lineup. He does offer an acceptable OBP and some speed.
25.16 Hinojosa, Dalier RP PHI
The Phillies manager announced that Hinojosa is a candidate to be the team's closer. He is 30 yrs old, Cuban, has pitched well in the majors and in spring training but his numbers in Cuba aren't real impressive. Anyway, he has a chance to get some saves so he is worth taking with the last pick of the draft.
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| 126 | jason
ID: 361522614
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 15:59
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8.11 Francisco Liriano, SP, PIT
Liriano was he 99th in the Yahoo ranking so I felt he could be a good steal in this phase of the draft. His high strikeout ratio was the main reason picking him, and last three years he had very good percentages too. Because I hesitated was the win category and I think it will be the weak point this year again.
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| 127 | jason
ID: 361522614
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 16:12
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9.04. Drew Storen, RP, TOR
I needed a closer and at this time I hadn't too much possibility to find somebody with good categories in this position. Ziegler, Cishek, Doolitle or Storen. I chose Storen, because of his good spring production, he has a sutitable ERA in his appearances this spring.
I hope Blue Jays manager John Farrell will announce Storen as the team's closer.
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| 128 | jason
ID: 361522614
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 16:27
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10.11 Travis d'Arnaud, C, NYM
At this time I needed a batter for 1B position, but I didn't find somebody in my list who was strong enough to pick him in this round. But, there were Grichuk, Priscotty and d'Arnaud all of them are my favorite players.
I have already had Schwarber but this year I decided to get some advantages in the league in cather positon. My expectation is very high, I hope d'Arnaud could be one of the top-five fantasy catcher this year.
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| 129 | jason
ID: 361522614
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 16:38
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11.06 Drew Smyly, SP, TAM
He was impressive after returning down the stretch last year and he's continuing to throw well this spring. His ERA 3,11 WHIP 1,17 was last year I would be satisfied with that this year too.
If he stays healthy he can be a strong part of my pitcher team.
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| 130 | jason
ID: 361522614
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 16:47
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12.11 Dellin Betances RP, NYY
Although Betances is only the third in the RP ranking of Yankees, but his ability to strike out the batters is a very big value for me. Last year he has 131 K's in 84 innings which is absolutely impressive and this performance could help me to pick a good SP with lower SO ratio later.
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| 131 | jason
ID: 361522614
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 16:59
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13.06 Domingo Santana, OF, MIL
Was it too early? I wanted to be sure that Santana will collect the stats in my team, because I have very high expectation for Santana this year. He can hit HR's, the power is there and I think this year he will take some steals too.
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| 132 | twilson
ID: 37573115
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 19:20
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7.07 Johnny Cueto, SP, CIN
The closers just keep on dropping, so I guess I'm going to be scrounging for saves all season long. Won't be the first time, although this is definitely the worst off I have ever been. I still don't plan to punt the category, but I'm willing to try that strategy if I have to. For the time being, the comparative value available at other positions prevents me from getting involved.
I think there are a number of good directions I can go with this pick. The big offensive dropper is Albert Pujols, who I considered back at 5.07 before I drafted Ortiz. Had I known this would happen, I would've grabbed Corey Seager, but no sense in thinking about that now. Despite recurring foot issues and declining physical skills, Pujols is still a talented slugger who will very likely outperform this draft slot. However, I will be locking myself out of the CI market for the next 10 rounds if I go with him, and I'm not sure I want to do that with other players I like still on the board.
Beyond Pujols, there are a group of well-rounded outfielders with speed grabbing my attention. Gregory Polanco, Adam Eaton, and others would help me in a category that often gives me trouble without killing me elsewhere. Billy Hamilton is also there if I am willing to commit to a very different rest of the draft. After reading up on each of them, Polanco stood out as my preference among them. Elsewhere on offense, Ben Zobrist was his usual interesting self. He's another aging guy that is holding onto enough of his prior skills to continue offering value, and he retains dual 2B/OF flexibility.
Another option is starting pitching. Jasonprof's pick of Lester shortened the list by one, but that still left Cueto and Danny Salazar. Salazar got demoted to AAA in the not-distant past, but he has a great strikeout rate and an improving defense behind him. The latter should help limit his babip downside after a sizable improvement last year.
Cueto has one of the lowest ERAs in baseball over the past 5 years thanks to his talent for inducing weak contact and good plate control skills. The end of 2015 went very poorly for him after his trade to the Royals, but I have confidence he will rediscover the unique approach that makes him so successful. It helps that an organization as successful as the Giants feels the same way. Because of that and my K advantage due to Chris Sale in round 2, I chose Cueto.
8.10 Jonathan Lucroy, C, MIL
First pick since round 1 where my selections was not majorly affected by the run of picks before mine. My areas of interest were very similar to round 7: OF w/speed, 2B, and closer. Not sure how much longer I can put off addressing saves before it becomes a punt, but it can't be that much longer.
I’ll talk about 2B in my 9th round rationale. There are still some closers with a reasonable hold on the job and decent peripherals. Glen Perkins is my favorite from that group. Another option is Andrew Miller, who combines excellent performance with some early season saves while Chapman is suspended. I even give him a chance of holding onto the role after that point.
Some steals could be had in the form of Hamilton, Ellsbury, Revere, or DeShields. Ellsbury is banged up, Hamilton is recovering from shoulder surgery, and I have ceiling concerns about the latter two.
Another name that popped on my radar was Jonathan Lucroy. Prior to last year’s injury-plagued season, he had a three-year track record of five category assistance highlighted by strong rates. He also managed to get some playing time at 1B in 2014-15, though I don’t really know what to expect this year with Chris Carter in the fold. There’s no denying that his stats took a major downturn in 2015, but I expect a significant recovery now that he seems to be healthy again. I do have a catcher that I like much later on in the draft, so I’m not tied to filling the slot this early.
I decided to pass on the outfielders given my concerns and the quantity still available. I do need to get more saves at some point, but I’ve accumulated enough so far that there is no need for desperation. 2B was also a quantity issue. I couldn’t sell myself on any of them to be the first to make the move.
It came down to Perkins or Lucroy. Both have concerns. I have greater belief in Lucroy, but Perkins fills a bigger roster need. I took Lucroy.
9.07 Daniel Murphy, 2B, WAS
The turn took a bite out of the OF queue, but 2B was untouched outside of LeMahieu. Perkins was taken, otherwise he was the pick here. That brought me back to the 2B/OF debate, with Andrew Miller and Sean Doolittle thrown in for good measure.
Doolittle’s strained triceps makes me nervous, especially given his prior shoulder issues. Miller is a great player, but he isn’t likely to help much in saves and I’ve already invested two early picks on starting pitching. Three in nine would be a heavy commitment.
I looked again at Hamilton and DeShields, but I’m just too secure in the talent level of the second basemen to go in that direction.
I considered Kolten Wong, Dustin Pedroia, and Daniel Murphy. Wong has the highest ADP of the bunch. He steals some bases, which would be nice, but the rate stats leave something to be desired. Pedroia and Murphy are both established veterans that aren’t over the hill quite yet. Pedroia’s ceiling is higher, but nagging injuries have been taking more of a toll in recent years.
Wong would need to take a step forward to be worth drafting here, and I’m just not sold on it happening. I like both Pedroia and Murphy this year. Thus, I will do the prudent RIBC thing and side with the better health profile.
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| 133 | twilson
ID: 37573115
Tue, Mar 29, 2016, 21:29
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14.10 Khris Davis, OF, OAK
Down went Gordon and Holliday, as well as Parra and Dickerson. A whole bunch of nice starters got taken as well. In particular, I was hoping Pat Corbin might drop a little further. Nothing I didn’t expect, though.
When the wreckage cleared, the outfield pool was looking pretty thin, and I (believed at the time) still needed three of them. Khris Davis offers a ton of power, but he’s moving to a tougher ballpark and strikes out enough that his OBP is questionable. Jay Bruce is a more extreme version of Davis. Ender Inciarte is getting plenty of hype this spring, but after the Hamilton pick I’m not really that interested in more stolen bases. Not that SBs are the only thing he provides, but still.
Bruce’s OBP is too much of a killer for me. Davis is a better fit for my team than Inciarte and I like what he brings to the table. He won’t be a superstar because of the holes in his game, but the skills he does have are real.
Note: At the time I made this pick, I mistakenly believed that Stephen Piscotty had dual eligibility at 1B and OF. Had I realized, I would’ve gone with Lind instead. Not sure what I’m going to do about a starting first baseman now. Oh well.
15.07 John Lackey, SP, CHC
Considerations at this spot were primarily on the pitching side of things. At starter, my list of names consisted of Lackey, Kazmir, Jaime Garcia, Alex Wood, DeSclafani, and Shelby Miller.
I knocked out Kazmir because of his velocity drop this spring. Garcia is a perennial favorite of mine; whenever he is healthy enough to play baseball, he does it very well.
I earned a solid profit on my late snag of Lackey last year in AAA. Though he won’t match 2015, he’s a very reliable arm on a good team. Not an exciting pick, but a stabilizing one. Miller is another guy who got lucky last year. He’s younger, and the Diamondbacks just paid a huge price to get him in the offseason, but his profile isn’t exciting enough for my taste.
I like Alex Wood to rebound to prior levels of performance. I will explain further in my 18th round rationale. DeSclafani had a skills breakout in September; again, see rationale 17.07.
I was sad to see Arodys Vizcaino get taken by beastiemiked at 15.04. That left his teammate Grilli, Jeffress, Andrew Bailey, and a menagerie of other partial closers on the table. A number have some appeal to me, but I’m having trouble really getting excited about any one.
I guess I shouldn’t be talking about a lack of excitement on closers when I ended up taking Lackey. What can I say? That’s where my head was at the time.
16.10 Andrew Bailey, RP, PHI
This is about the point where I realized that Piscotty didn’t qualify at first base. What an ugly group of remaining options! I pretty much hate all of them. I found a sleeper I kind of like, but this would be way too early for him.
Before I get into relievers, let me talk about the two position players I considered. Marcell Ozuna disappointed last year, but he has a prospect pedigree and some analysts remain quite bullish. Melky Cabrera is due for a bounceback, but he seems like he could still be on the board a little later.
I like Joaquin Benoit. I see talent and opportunity both for him this year. Cishek is vulnerable and Benoit has recent proven closer experience, along with his elite performance record.
Andrew Bailey seems like he will be the closer in Philadelphia. He hasn’t pitched effectively in the majors since 2013, but his new manager is saying good things in camp. A couple rounds ago, I was hoping to get him as a late flyer, but this seems to be the price I would have to pay if the other RIBC drafts are any indication.
I took Bailey. Looking back now, this was a really bad pick that goes against my draft philosophy. It doesn’t help that his manager’s tune has changed pretty dramatically in recent days, but the signs of error were there already. Major injury risk + lack of recent track record + terrible team <> smart pick.
17.07 Anthony DeSclafani, SP, CIN
The outfielders and relievers worth taking here disappeared on the turn. That meant it was time to dip back into the SP pool. Of my list in round 15, three names remained: DeSclafani, Alex Wood, and Kazmir. Again, Kazmir’s velocity decline dropped him from consideration. I had a tricky time choosing between Wood and DeSclafani, as I expected both to be taken before my next pick. I eventually went with the breakout guy over the rebound candidate.
In early September, DeSclafani added a curveball. He experienced an immediate performance leap. Yes, small sample, but the underlying numbers were extremely positive. Because they can be tied to a clear change in approach, I have optimism that much of the improvement can be maintained. In a draft that has overall been pretty terrible for me, this is a pick I can be very happy about.
18.10 Alex Wood, SP, LAD
I took Alex Wood at pick #139 last year in AAA and thought it a very good value. That obviously didn’t work out, but I still think there are many reasons to be optimistic. Wood has talked about experiencing a decline in mechanics over the course of 2015, exacerbated by a bone bruise on his foot. With an offseason to heal and work out the kinks, a return to 2013/14 performance levels is within the realm of possibility. As a bonus, he now plays for one of the best teams in baseball.
Probably the easiest pick of the whole draft for me.
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| 134 | filthy
ID: 212371616
Wed, Mar 30, 2016, 07:41
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21.12 Mark Lowe, RP, DET
Neglected speed, and need OF depth. And pitching depth. Was liking Kiermaier, Taylor, Romo, Nicasio here, but all went first. Lowe survived to the top of the queue. Pretty solid setup option for gambling on someone to step in at some point. Top option is getting old, and back to the AL might not turn out great. Lowe is a big security option for the Tigers. Guy can be downright nasty. I could see him getting in for around 10 saves throughout the season. Possibility for more. 3/10/60/3.00/1.10 would not be a big surprise to me.
22.05 Aaron Sanchez, SP, TOR
Nobody I was eyeing goes off the board. Giolito would have been smart to check for, but I mostly had relief on my mind here. Sanchez being the wild card flex play. Seemed more and more likely that he was not going to lose the battle for final rotation spot at this point. And the spring numbers had been very impressive.
Likely limited innings, hopefully not bounced around, just lots of 5IP starts and skip a few starts late. Not expecting lots, but worth the dice roll at this point. 8/0/75/3.50/1.25 is below my expectations but a conservative estimate is probably smart given the handling of his arm so far.
23.12 Nori Aoki, OF, SEA
Strop, May, Watson all nice relief picks I was looking at. Broxton is a nice wild card for speed. All picked. Aoki was standing out as I scrape for steals potential and outfield depth. Might lead off. Fairly consistent performer. Worth a shot. Give him regular playing time, and he will shine if he can stay healthy. Done it before. I can see it happening again. Worst case in a platoon situation and batting in Safeco, I can still see him putting up 50/30/15/.350/.380. Fairly fragile career with very little pop, but this late as a bit of reserve speed makes me like this pick.
24.05 Daniel Hudson, RP, ARI
Still need 2 more arms, any arms will do. Giles, Gregerson, Madson, Lowe with another setup option seeming worthwhile. Sanchez wild card, and all arms being wild card in general makes me consider 2 starters. Was looking at Hudson for awhile though, as a potential saves thief. Hill, Santiago, Eovaldi on the radar as well. Easter weekend, I don't care too much about restocking or shuffling the queue at this point. Hoping at least someone survives. Hudson it is. Ziegler doesn't exactly have a stranglehold on the job. Hudson likely fumbles if he gets a shot though. Maybe not. 3/5/60/3.25/1.25 would be solid, but likely rotating roster spot if he doesn't have any luck by May.
25.12 Nathan Eovaldi, SP, NYY
Nothing really left beyond him. Ervin or a quick panic pick if it came to it. Try to avoid Yankee/RedSox/Orioles/DevilRays whenever I can, but broke a pretty good streak of avoiding Yankees with this pick. Really surprised he wasn't picked though. I'll revisit in a few days if this feels wrong by then. Shows flashes of brilliance and looks mighty impressive when he's on. Nothing was standing out so why not. AJ Burnett's AL East days jump to mind when I think Eovaldi which is not a good sign for my sanity if he sticks around. 10/0/125/4.00/1.40 along career averages would be reasonable to expect. Better options will likely present themselves in first week. Maybe he's about to hit prime and becomes a trade chip was the only real temptation here.
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| 135 | Bmd
ID: 825715
Thu, Mar 31, 2016, 10:34
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15.04 Vizcaino, Arodys - ATL - RP
This is my 2nd RP. He should be the primary closer in Atlants by mid season of not sooner. Grilli was available but I think Vizcainoneill out save him and should have better ratios. Hopefully the Braves can win some games this year.
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| 136 | blue hen
Dude
ID: 710321114
Thu, Mar 31, 2016, 10:37
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25.10 Liam Hendriks, RP, OAK
I actually don't think he'll get any saves this year. Was just looking for good ratios to fill up some innings.
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| 137 | Bmd
ID: 825715
Thu, Mar 31, 2016, 10:38
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16.13 Segura, Jean - ARI - SS
Everybody remembers that 2013 season where he came out of nowhere to be a stud. Everybody also remembers his 2014 and 2015 seasons of terrible numbers. Can he turn it around? No idea but as a MI there's not much risk. He should get steals. If he could rebound ratio wise he'll turn into a decent pick. He's tearing the cover off the ball this spring if that means anything(probably not).
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| 138 | Bmd
ID: 825715
Thu, Mar 31, 2016, 10:43
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17.04 Ozuna, Marcell - MIA - OF
Barry Bonds! The greatest hitter ever has been teaching Ozuna a few things. Sign me up. Fences are moving in too. This was one of those guys I really wanted earlier but didn't want to jump the gun. Thought about Gallo here but I hate eating up a bench spot on a guy starting the year in the minors.
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| 139 | Bmd
ID: 825715
Thu, Mar 31, 2016, 10:46
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18.13 Leake, Mike - STL - SP
What q boring puck. Leake offers little upside but he's very safe. He should be an easy 10+ winner with an ERA and WHIP that will be average. I plan on avoiding a few starts of his so I'm hoping I can do better than his yearly ratios.
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| 140 | Bmd
ID: 825715
Thu, Mar 31, 2016, 10:51
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19.04 Cron, C.J. - LAA - 1B
Needed some more pop and a CI. Cron brings down the OBP but he has shown flashes of being a really good hitter. He should see plenty of action to start the season. He's young enough where he still could trend upwards in OBP and Slg. I thought about White and Madson here.
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| 141 | Bmd
ID: 825715
Thu, Mar 31, 2016, 10:54
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20.13 De La Rosa, Rubby - ARI - SP
This was my do-over. I really like him but I probably could've waited on him. Has a nice fastball. I didn't consider anyone else here as I picked from my phone and only picked Rubby as I knew I wanted him and didn't want to research another pick.
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| 142 | Bmd
ID: 825715
Thu, Mar 31, 2016, 11:01
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21.04 Moss, Brandon - STL - 1B
I'm St Louis Cardinals fan and I didn't research my pick. I wish I could provide a better rationale but that was about it. Moss was awesome a few seasons ago. I look for him to only start on my team vs righties. Should hopefully turn in some decent ratios.
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| 143 | beastiemiked
ID: 5911312710
Thu, Mar 31, 2016, 22:47
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22.13 Jaso, John - PIT - UTL
My favorite pick of the draft. He's the classic platoon player who hits righty's. He'll be given a decent opportunity in Pittsburgh and will gain 1B eligibility. He was seeing reps as the leadoff hitter so if Polanco struggles then he could step up and gain value by being at the top of the order.
23.04 Lowrie, Jed - OAK - SS
Ugh, I thought he had MI eligibility but he did not. He will hopefully gain it soon. Steamer has him projected .700+ OPS. Not great but at least he won't crush me if I need to use him at MI. I think having a MI that doesn't cripple your ratios is key. GP's and at bats are huge in RIBC. The more you have the more points you will accumulate.
24.13 Caminero, Arquimedes - PIT - RP
FASTBALL! He's a guy that throws hard and will probably be a closer some day. Probably not this year but if Melancon goes down they might insert him in the 9th inning instead of Watson in order to not "move" Watson. Probably a long shot but it's round 24. I think by midseason last year I had dropped everyone that I had drafted 19+ rounds so I'm not too worried about having guys that will probably not last on my roster.
25.04 Adams, Matt - STL - 1B
Another homer pick. Kind of a hedge with Moss. One of them will hopefully see the majority of at bats vs righties. Hoping one goes down or stinks so I can cut bait. Seeing Eovaldi and Reyes drafted after me stings. I would've definitely picked either over Adams but didn't "research".
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| 144 | beebop
ID: 39040261
Fri, Apr 01, 2016, 03:55
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I started a new job in the middle of this - and a lot of my picks ended up being auto picks. So sorry for the lateness of this!
6.16 Carlos Santana, 1B, Cle
I needed a first baseman at this point and I felt he was best available. He draws a lot of walks and should be good for a decent slugging percentage.
7.01 Shawn Tolleson, RP, Tex
I didnt want to miss out on a closer. I had him on a few of my teams last season and he did not disappoint. He may not be in the top tier but he has the ability to post good numbers and job security should be favourable.
8.16 Glen Perkins, RP, Min
I felt it is necessary to start with at least 2 closers and there were not many left at this point. He may be a bit shaky, but has the potential to keep the job all season if everything clicks for him. He has performed in the past - why not again?
9.01 Marcus Stroman, SP, Tor
This is a player I just have to own in all leagues. He has the talent to be a front line starter and I think he will be taken by round 5 next season. I am expecting very big things from the Stro Show this year. I doubt he would have lasted much longer than this.
10.16 Luis Severino, SP, NYY
I like gambling on young unproven but high upside players. Although his park is not favourable, he should still put up very good K numbers for a pitcher taken in the 10th round. Like Stro, he could very well provide a very good ROI for me this season.
11.01 Nick Castellanos, 3B, Det
I really do not like this pick at all. I could have taken Schoop, Rodon, T. Walker, DeShields at this pick but I was very desperate for a 3B. I also couldn't bring myself to gamble on David Wright, who even if healthy may only see 120-130 games. I think this could very well be my dud pick of the draft.
12.16 Justin Bour, 1B, Mia
Another young risky high upside player. He performed well last season and CI pickings were a bit slim. Again, I didnt have the confidence to gamble on Myers in SD but I probably should have looked at Buxton or Teheran at this slot.
13.01 Jorge Soler, OF, ChiC
This guy has the talent, he just has to put it all together. Good tools, good park, he just needs to make contact. Only other player I was considering here was Darvish.
More to come later.
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| 145 | beebop
ID: 39040261
Fri, Apr 01, 2016, 04:57
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14.16 Jedd Gyorko SS, Stl
I needed an SS at this point. Gyorko has had a good season previously and he is in a better position in Stl. He has the potential for good power out the MI slot but will take a hit in OBP.
15.01 Alexei Ramirez SS SD
I didnt want to take back to back SS at this point in the draft, but I was desperate to fill the MI slot. Speed is a much needed commodity, especially in a 16 team league. If he can provide 15 steals for me at this slot, job done.
16.16 Yasmani Grandal, C, LAD
For a catcher, Grandal has the potential to put up great OBP/Slg numbers. I also had Ozuna queued up here but I needed a catcher more than an OF. I think he will outperform this pick by 1-4 rounds.
17.01 Kevin Gausman, SP, Bal
I prefer SP from the NL as they don't have to face the DH as often, but that did not pan out for me. Gausman is a high strike out pitcher and I think that provides him with a better chance of decent WHIP/ERA figures. I rate high K pitchers above pitchers with better ERA/WHIP but far inferior K/9 numbers.
18.16 Hyun-Soo Kim, OF, Bal
At this point in the draft he was performing OK during spring training, however with lack of walks. In the days after this is started to become clear he may not be up to scratch and probably wont even play. At the time I thought he was a decent gamble to at least put up a decent SLG and provide some OF depth.
Jose Berrios, SP, Min
This pick was to add some mid to late season SP depth. No doubt he will up at some point and I am taking the gamble on stashing him. I was also considering Heaney at this pick however I thought I could wait a little longer on him.
19.01 AJ Reed, 1B, Hou
This pick was a reach. He was performing well in ST and I really thought he would snag a starting spot with the Astros. Any injuries to Houston in the right spot, and he could find himself up sooner than later. When he makes it up I have no doubt he will stick around. He has the talent for ROY if he gets the playing time.
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| 146 | beebop
ID: 39040261
Fri, Apr 01, 2016, 05:08
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Contd:
I had Heaney queued up at the Reed pick but I needed depth on offense.
21.01 Eddie Rosario, OF Min
Just continuing with my theme here. I prefer to gamble on the young guys, especially late in the draft. I would prefer to take a flyer on potential than a boring vet who is on the decline.
22.16 Eduardo Rodriguez, SP, Bos
He will miss the first few starts of the season, but in a short time he put up some very useful fantasy numbers last season. He should be able to build on that and provide value 100 picks higher. Same theme, young, potential, good K rate.
23.01 Trevor May, RP, Min
He has the ability to be a starter or a reliever. Either way, he has a good K rate. Whatever happens he will either be a starter or closer by the end of the season. He won out over Trevor Bauer at this slot.
24.16 Desmond Jennings, OF, TB
He has been injury plagued for a long time now. IF he can stay healthy he is a good back up OF considering the speed potential with a little bit of pop. He has to have a full season again sometime. This might be his last chance.
25.01 Hector Santiago, SP, LAA
I wanted to balance out the bench with another pitcher. By this point the pickings are very slim. He has a changed approach to his sessions and if he can pitch like his first half last season, this pick has the potential to pay massive dividends for me.
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| 147 | twilson
ID: 37573115
Fri, Apr 01, 2016, 17:25
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21.07 Jackie Bradley, Jr., OF, BOS
Jackie Bradley was godawful at the major league level until last August. All of a sudden, he was the best hitter in baseball that month. He cooled off significantly in September; otherwise, he would’ve been taken hundreds of picks ago. There are plenty of reasons to be skeptical, but he has a strong MiLB track record, an athletic build, and an unchallenged everyday role in the Boston outfield. This is the point in the draft where upside matters more than expected performance, and I think Bradley is an excellent example.
22.10 Koji Uehara, RP, BOS
I’m basically set at starting pitching at this point. I might have room for one more flier, but I think I can wait for the guy I have in mind. I want to add one more outfielder to my roster given ongoing uncertainty over Hamilton’s health, but I’m in no rush. That leaves relievers, which will be the primary focus of my draft from this point forward.
With the freak injury to Will Smith and the possible demotion of Andrew Bailey, I’m basically going to have to punt saves. Thus, what I want right now is elite skill in either strikeouts or ratios, though preferably both. I still recognize the value of saves, but I can’t let that be my priority.
The player pool is a mix of old favorites and fresh faces. In the former category lie Koji Uehara, Darren O’Day, and Tony Watson. O’Day is having an awful spring, so he’s out. Watson has the elite ratios but is below average for Ks. Uehara has elite ratios plus an above average strikeout rate, but he’s 41 and dealing with general soreness in camp.
The new guys I see are Trevor May, Daniel Hudson, and Nate Jones. Hudson didn’t measure up. May had a good strikeout rate after he moved to the bullpen, and he sits behind a vulnerable closer. Kevin Jepsen (another guy I’m considering) is probably a better bet to take over for Perkins if he falters, but that still gives May a legitimate path to saves. I’ll discuss Nate Jones in my next rationale.
In the absence of a clear standout, Uehara was my inevitable choice. He’s a personal favorite, and I relish the opportunity to own him at least this once more.
23.07 Nate Jones, RP, CWS
The Twins duo went on the short turn, but it didn’t really change my thinking. Because I failed to get an elite closer, I’m feeling vulnerable on strikeouts. I would love to add a flamethrower to boost my K/9.
Nate Jones fits the bill. He throws it 97 mph and induces a ton of swinging strikes. He only pitched twenty innings last year in a return from Tommy John surgery, but they were excellent. Hopefully he can stay healthy and be an under the radar relief ace for me.
24.10 Brett Cecil, RP, TOR
I could still use another good reliever to solidify my ratios. Also, I haven’t had a chance to cull the outfielder crop to find my OF6, so that will have to wait until post-draft.
I’m debating between Brett Cecil and Dalier Hinojosa, who has a shot at saves in Philly. Cecil strikes people out and does a pretty good job inducing ground balls. The contact he does allow tends to be harder than average, but cutting down on walks last year really helped him limit the damage. Hinojosa seems like a decent pitcher, probably about the same quality as my terrible Andrew Bailey pick. I’m tired of throwing good money after bad, so I’m taking Cecil.
25.07 Adam Conley, SP, MIA
Conley had a reasonable debut last year, but wasn’t anything special. This spring, he has seemingly added 3 mph to his fastball. With luck, that newfound velocity will give him the boost he needs to be a fantasy asset.
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| 148 | Da Bomb
Donor
ID: 487112814
Sun, Apr 03, 2016, 19:18
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Re: 122 - Daniel Nava rationale
Well the Cubs/ Angels game today was not a regular season game. Woops.
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