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0 Subject: Hey, Toral, Strasburg already had a great career

Posted by: Seattle Zen
- [301361318] Mon, Jun 12, 2017, 18:34

Back when he was drafted and there was a lot more chatter here and on the Political Boards (RIP), Toral and I had a disagreement over the outlook of Steven Strasburg's career. We settled on an over/under of 75 career wins, I don't know why we choose such a terrible stat as our barometer.

Well, Stras is now at 76 and now this article appears as if on que You were wrong, Toral, Strasburg is the man!
Often, we focus on the negative — or, at the very least, allow our enthusiasm to create expectations that are unlikely to be fulfilled by reality. In the case of Strasburg, a highly touted former No. 1 pick, there’s been plenty of room for such expectations — or there has been for me, at least. In my head, I’m often overly critical of Strasburg, because he’s an injury risk. He’s only tossed 200 innings in a season once, and he only reached 180 innings in one other season. And yet, in his last outing, he passed the 1,000 innings pitched mark for his career. He’s one of just 1,219 pitchers who have done so, out of 9,366 players who have pitched throughout history. That’s just 13% total to have reached 1,000 IP, and Strasburg is among them. Not bad for a guy who’s always injured.
1blue hen
      ID: 5254718
      Tue, Jun 13, 2017, 10:03
Yeah, he's been great.

Back when he was drafted, there was a G20 trade where the previous year's #1 overall Tim Beckham was traded for Strasburg (and David Ortiz thrown in). Interesting to note that since that time, Beckham has actually exceeded out expectations, and Strasburg... well, he has not met my own expectations, but he's pretty darn close.
2Khahan
      ID: 24518139
      Tue, Jun 13, 2017, 10:19
Thanks for this post. You jinxed him.
3Toral
      ID: 0181517
      Sat, Jul 01, 2017, 11:26

I had been thinking of that recently, remembering the prediction while I watched him pitch and wondering if I had been proven wrong yet, but I missed this post.

IIRC I originally picked 100, but you, Seattle Zen, said that it was not a "bold prediction" to say he would not get 100 wins. So I moved the number down. (I thot I moved it to 78, but whatever.)

I was wrong on this one. I'll try harder next time.
4holt
      ID: 46621611
      Sun, Jul 09, 2017, 12:18
Wait. There was a time when Beckham for Strasburg/Ortiz made sense?
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