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Subject: RIBC 2019: Draft Rationale Collection thread
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Sun, Mar 10, 2019, 14:31
RIBC managers: Please post your rationales in this thread. Rationales are due on a two round lag (i.e., when you make you 3rd round pick, your 1st round rationale is due). You can post any rationale sooner than that if you wish.
Do not worry about placeholders or keeping things in the proper sequence. This is just a place to collect rationales, which I will then transfer over to the formal rationale thread in the proper sequence. This approach has worked well for the past several seasons, and I now have a somewhat automated method for making those transfers.
Remember that you should refrain from mentioning undrafted players. If you feel that your rationale requires that, then hold it back until the player has been drafted - unless the player mentioned is clearly undraftable this year.
When posting your first rationale, please also comment on your choice of draft sequence. |
Only the 50 most recent replies are currently shown. Click on this text to display hidden posts as well.
[Lengthy or complex threads may require a slight delay before updating.] |
| 125 | slizz
ID: 532371213
Wed, Mar 20, 2019, 12:51
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18.16 - Steven Matz, SP, NYM:
Fosten would be proud of this selection. Looking back, I should have went Brad Peacock as a more conservative alternative. My staff has waaaaaaaaaay too much risk and I'd feel better about this pick if I had Musgrove instead of Pivetta. Cole / Paxton (some risk) / Glasnow (massive risk) / Pivetta (massive risk because of Citizens Bank) / Freeland (massive risk & Coors!) / and now Matz (insert scared emoji). If I don't stay up in RIBC, it will be because of crap pitching.
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| 126 | slizz
ID: 532371213
Wed, Mar 20, 2019, 12:58
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19.01 - Trey Mancini, 1B/OF, BAL:
Waned Niko Goodrum here...got sniped by SANFORDORS (hat tip). I am left naked while waiting for Peter Alonso and need a stop-gap bat for the first 2-3 weeks of the season. Mancini is hitting 3rd in the "Potent" Baltimore lineup.
If you look under the hood at Mancini's statistics, his 2018 was eerily similar to his 2017 "breakout" campaign. (41.2% hard hit 2017 versus 42.2% 2018 with equal Barrel %). I think that is a byproduct of scouting as teams know how to shift to his hitting tendencies. That said, 3 hole & Camden Yards should equal 30 HR potential...or at least some nice SLG% to hold it down before Alonso time!
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| 127 | Species
SuperDude
ID: 07724916
Wed, Mar 20, 2019, 13:04
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17.12 Maikel Franco, 3b, PHI
1) Should play most days
2) Good Phillie lineup
3) Good Phillie park
But.....
1) He kind of sucks
18.05 Trevor Richards, SP, MIA
The Marlins have to win SOME games, right? Richards has been on a few deep sleeper lists, and is having a very strong spring. Spring stats do not mean much........but I will take a young guy finding his groove and doing well over some of the alternatives.
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| 128 | mjd
ID: 10221911
Wed, Mar 20, 2019, 14:51
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1614 Justin Bour, 1B, LAA Coming off a breakthrough 2017, Bour's issues hitting left-handed pitching were exposed when he was granted an everyday opportunity at the onset of 2018. The Angels, recognizing his value as a role player, signed him to help fill at-bats against righties at first base and/or designated hitter. It's a good fit for Bour, who has hit at least 15 home runs with .221 isolated power against righties in each of four full big league seasons. And Angel Stadium's lowered right-field fence should provide an inviting target.
Too bad the draft was all the way at the other end when Kang was announced as the Pirates 3B. I’d have taken him. Also considered some roster flexibility by picking Enrique Hernandez here.
17.03 Trevor Rosenthal, RP, WASH Targeting a middle reliever here, though not necessarily Rosenthal at this point. Better grab him as a handcuff to Doolittle, as he’s only pitched over 50 innings once in the past 4 seasons. So injury of some sort to him is almost certain.
Rosenthal enters 2019 as an unknown quantity after missing 2018 recovering from TJS. Reports have him hitting 98 with his fastball. He mixes in a low 80's slider and change. My hope is he performs close to the guy who saved 117 games for the Cardinals between 2014-2017.
Great plan: handcuff an injury risk guy with a question mark. I hate closers.
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| 129 | loki
SuperDude
ID: 4211201420
Wed, Mar 20, 2019, 16:55
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17.15 Evan Longoria, 3B
Position pick. Needed a third baseman, and I thought he was the best of those remaining.
18.02 Brandon Crawford, SS
Another position pick for the same reason as 17.15.
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| 130 | mailedfoot
ID: 23913117
Wed, Mar 20, 2019, 20:20
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16.07 Adam Frazier, 2B, PIT
Frazier is slated to play 2B and lead off for the Pirates. Over 352 plate appearances last year, he slashed .342/.456 and I am hoping he can duplicate that and steal 10-15 bases. He also has OF eligibility so he adds lineup flexibility.
17.10 Jeimer Candelario, 3B, DET
Candelario is a 3B/CI who serves as a backup for Wendle in case he struggles or I want to use him as a MI. Candelario will hit in the middle of the Tiger lineup so will have an opportunity to rack up counting stats. He played injured for much of last year and projections for him are mixed, but he has shown minor league potential and was mashing last year before his injury.
18.07 Christin Stewart, OF, DET
Stewart will also be a middle of the lineup bat for Detroit, and has demonstrated a lot of potential in the minors (.364/.480 at AAA last year). He’s kind of an under the radar sleeper, but he’s been having a nice spring and I need more outfielders, so I picked him here not wanting to take a chance he wouldn’t make it back to me.
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| 131 | Da Bomb
Donor
ID: 487112814
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 00:01
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19.14 Ben Zobrist, OF/2B, CHC
I had my eye on an OF to fill out my starting lineup. Zobrist is projected to fill another near everyday role with the Cubs and can put up a strong OBP with a decent enough SLG. A repeat of last year's .378/.440 would be grand. And the eligibility to be my 4th MI I'm sure will come in handy. I would have taken Joc Pederson had he been available.
20.03 Greg Allen, OF, CLE
Taking a flyer on speed (15 SB Post ASB last season, 5 SB this Spring), and who should have an everyday role at least to begin the season where his 1.143 OPS this Spring may help in that regard.
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| 132 | beastiemiked
ID: 481162721
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 00:59
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13.16 Eduardo Escobar, 3b/SS, ARI
Dual eligibility but will probably fill my MI or SS spot. He's a guy that won't help in percentages but won't hurt too bad. He should get plenty of playing time so should be an asset in counting categories. Not going to steal too many bases but that's ok. If he replicates last year's numbers I'd be thrilled. A 10% decrease across the board and he would still be worth more than a 13th round pick.
14.01 Jose Quintana, SP, CHI
Redo? I really don't like this pick. He's probably going to hurt in every category except wins. Maybe he'll reclaim his previous ratios from the White Sox but it's unlikely. I should picked McMahon here but thought there was a chance he'd make it back. Also was eyeing Buxton but for some reason felt I needed to get an SP. Ugh.
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| 133 | beastiemiked
ID: 481162721
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 01:04
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15.16 Harrison Bader, OF, STL
I really need steals at this point. I don't think I have a guy that currently is projected to get 10 steals. That's ok since steals are much easier to get then OBP and Slg guys. Bader should hopefully get 20+ steals. He can't hit righties yet the NL Central is full of righties. Not the best case but he's a guy that has shown that he outperforms each year. He should get plenty of at bats to fix any hitting issues. I may end up benching him vs tough righties.
16.01 Ian Happ, 3b/OF, Chi
Will platoon but the good news is there aren't many lefties in the NL Central. Hopefully he's more like 2017 and not 2018. Probably shouldn't have taken two lefties from the same team but I felt like both were undervalued. I can't really say I was looking at anyone else at this point.
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| 134 | beastiemiked
ID: 481162721
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 01:04
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15.16 Harrison Bader, OF, STL
I really need steals at this point. I don't think I have a guy that currently is projected to get 10 steals. That's ok since steals are much easier to get then OBP and Slg guys. Bader should hopefully get 20+ steals. He can't hit righties yet the NL Central is full of righties. Not the best case but he's a guy that has shown that he outperforms each year. He should get plenty of at bats to fix any hitting issues. I may end up benching him vs tough righties.
16.01 Ian Happ, 3b/OF, Chi
Will platoon but the good news is there aren't many lefties in the NL Central. Hopefully he's more like 2017 and not 2018. Probably shouldn't have taken two lefties from the same team but I felt like both were undervalued. I can't really say I was looking at anyone else at this point.
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| 135 | kdl212
ID: 200472320
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 01:34
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18.13 Blake Parker, RP, MIN
No announced closer in Minnesota yet. He's got some experience, Maybe they go with Parker, maybe not. The leading candidate to be the first person dropped from my team, perhaps as soon as the day we finish the draft. But since I have only one other relief pitcher so far, it was time to roll the dice on some saves.
19.04 Kyle Gibson, SP, MIN
His last chance to pitch as well as the sabremetricians think he can pitch. His fangraphs blurb calls him a "legit sleeper with huge upside", which makes me doubt the credibility of fangraphs. He's got until the end of April before he's dropped.
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| 136 | ywk
ID: 37245130
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 02:26
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19.05 Omar Narvaez
I might have reached again no matter how much I think he could further improve this year after being traded to Seattle to be the primary catcher. If he could somehow duplicate the 2018 ratios (275/366/429) with better accumulative stats, I might not regret this selection. But at this point of time I just could not stop secondguessing my decision to draft a catcher here, especially after some players I originally targeted to address the loopholes of my roster were gone.
20.12 Mike Minor
Still not so sure why I drafted him here since initially I planned to have another bullpen help with this pick. Maybe I jumped my gun in selecting my catcher in the previouse round put me in a panic mode? Or maybe that I took in part in another baseball draft (quick one) at the same time totally distracted me? Minor is not supposed to hurt my WHIP but his ERA could be of some concern when he pitches in Arlington. So long as he could control the ERA by the end of the year below four and add 10 plus wins I should be in good shape I guess.
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| 137 | MattG
ID: 21039249
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 07:11
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18.10 Luis Urias 2b SD Needed a MI here since I missed out on Gurriel the round before. He has one of the best hit tools of this current group of prospects, has a little power and should hopefully come into his own in SD. He's going to have every opportunity to keep 2B Job.
19.07 Dansby Swanson SS ATL I had him on my team last year as a stop gap when I lost some players due to injury. More of a name than anything, he shouldn't hurt OBP and has every opportunity to hit 15 HR and steal 15 Bases.
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| 138 | mjd
ID: 10221911
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 10:12
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18.14 Edwardo Nunez, 2B, 3B, BOS will be platooning with [undrafted] to fill in for the injured [undrafted] to start the season. After that we’ll see how things go to determine what happens next.
19.03 Leonys Martin, OF, CLE A life-threatening bacterial infection cut Martin's 2018 season short in August, but before that, he was exhibiting critical shifts in his plate approach that might bode well for his future. He slashed his ground ball rate from 46.8 percent in his last full season in 2016 to 38.3 percent, posted a career-best 8.5 percent walk rate and boosted his hard-contact rate by a full seven percent. Martin looks like an underrated power/speed type who should be in the lead to start in center field against right-handed pitchers for the Indians.
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| 139 | Meatwads
ID: 43056268
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 11:20
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14.15 Byron Buxton, OF, MIN
Call me a dreamer, but I decided to take the gamble on the former top prospect. Last season was a disaster, so there aren't a lot of reasons for optimism. Of course, I've noticed his strong spring, but that only slightly impacted this selection. I just felt comfortable taking on the risk at this point in the draft. It won't kill me if it doesn't work. It could have a big impact if it all clicks, which more often than not, happens eventually with elite prospects.
15.02 Marwin Gonzalez, 1B/2B/SS/OF, MIN
This selection was made simply for the rare four position eligibility. I'm not expecting a bounce back to his 2017 season, but he is serviceable as depth. I would expect the majority of his time to be spent at my MI position. At this stage in the draft, it was obvious the quality hitters were beyond dwindling. I felt it was the right thing to do, even with better pitchers on the board.
16.15 Jose Martinez, 1B/OF, STL
With offense becoming more difficult to find. I personally had him as the top hitter available, regardless of position or current playing time. If somehow he can get flipped to an American League team, he's the type of player that can win people leagues this season. Otherwise, I'd expect him to have quality ratios in his 400 ABs. The 1B/OF dual eligibility also has appeal to me.
17.02 Andrew Heaney, SP
After spending some time trying to find depth on offense, I flipped back over to pitching here. It's my opinion that Heaney was still available because of some early "irritation" in his left elbow. Normally that's a huge red flag. But I noticed he had a similar situation occur last year. He came back in mid-April and pitched well, striking out a batter per inning and reaching 180 IP for the first time. At age 27, in a park that's relatively favorable, only injury concerns keep his upside in check.
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| 140 | loki
SuperDude
ID: 4211201420
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 15:02
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19.15 Lance Lynn, SP
I think that Lynn is a good speculative pick for a late round SP. He is 3 years removed from repair of his UC ligament, and started to show signs of return to pre- surgery form at the end of 2018.
20.02 Julio Urias, SP
Another post TJ surgery pitcher. Urias was at one time the top Dodger prospect. He will not pitch much, but I hope he gives me 15 or so quality starts.
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| 141 | Species
SuperDude
ID: 07724916
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 18:13
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19.12 Kelvin Herrera, RP, CHW
Total flier at this point. Herrera was one perhaps the only potential closer who might still be categorized as "in a battle" for the closer role. Yes, it appears Colome is the favorite to close, particularly with Herrera a bit behind in ramping up this spring. But at this point in the draft, it is worth the gamble.
20.05 Chad Green, RP, NYY
Green provides strong ratios, elite strikeouts, and a lot of potential in vulture wins. Between the likes of Tanaka, Sabathia, a returning-from-injury Severino and the kit gloves the Yankees might choose to use on James Paxton, having one of the top middle relievers on the Yankees on my team should result in a lot of win opportunities. If the Yankees are behind or tied when the starter leaves, their potent offense could win a lot of games in the 5th or 6th innings before the elite relievers of the opposition come into play.
21.12 Kevin Pillar, OF, TOR
Pillar is a backup and a filler until Nick Senzel gets OF eligibility. Unfortunately that is likely to be 25-off games in: 15 games for the Reds to mess with Senzel's service time, and 10 games in CF for Senzel to obtain OF eligibility.
Pillar is slated to be Toronto's full time CF. He might even steal some bases for me. Yay!
22.05 Adam Ottavino, RP, NYY
See 20.05 Chad Green. Exact same rationale applies.
A broader rationale would be my overarching desire to lean on elite ratio relievers over mediocre starters for a decent portion of my overall innings. Honestly my Trevor Richards pick wasn't really planned - that should have gone to a reliever - but a lot of publicity on his potential breakout combined with his strong spring made me give him a shot. While there is a tier of elite non-closing relievers that really are worthy of being drafted, there are also new studs that emerge each year that are worthy (i.e. Ryan Pressly).
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| 142 | youngroman
ID: 192382117
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 18:38
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17.11 Julio Teheran, SP, ATL
with open slots at 2b and of I primarily looked at these positions and although I identified some players that might be interesting, I believe that taking them now is too early. looked at other hitters that are a fit for my lineup but ended up with a similar decision. So I looked at pitchers. there are lots of closer gambles that I could have invested in, but I usually take them at the end of the draft. looking through my roster I am approximately 500 innings short. I need at least 1 more starting pitcher to fill the rest with relievers and spot starters. The options at SP were not great either. Some of them are injured and bound to miss the first few weeks of the season. Some are just bad this spring, some young guys are excelling but it is believed that they will join the big league club in May or later. So I looked at pitchers that are expected to be part of the rotation all year and do have a good spring. Teheran topped my list and as an owner in G20 I know that he always has a good spring before being mediocre during the season. he changed his mechanics this offseason, which could result in better than mediocre stats this season. I am not asking for much more at this point.
18.06 Starlin Castro, 2B, MIA
with Moustakas and Hampson bound to get 2B eligibility at some point during the season I though that I could wait a bit longer and try to fill this slot later in the draft. A few rounds ago I realized that all available options suck to some degree. I did not like any of them. the biggest concern is that almost all are bad at SLG and even OBP and provide maybe 5 SB's. if you then look into the expected playing time you get a list of regulars that is very very short. Castro is on that list and I "successfully" waited for him since round 16. with a few other teams also missing a 2B I believed that it was time to pick him. to be honest my 2B queue was 1 man deep. I did not trust anyone else.
about Castro: he has a bad spring but is expected to play everyday for the Marlins. perfect to get some games out of him until one of my other players gains eligibility. and if he surprises he may still be an option at MI because the undrafted shortstops don't look much better.
19.11 Kole Calhoun, OF, LAA
Calhoun can be bad as his 2018 stats in April/May/September show (avg below .200, 3 HRs), but he can also be good as his stats in June/July/August show (OBP almost .350, SLG over .500, 16 HRs). In spring training he is even better than in June/July/August. lets see which version shows up when the games count in 10 days.
20.06 Ryan Brasier, RP, BOS
1 year ago nobody in the MLB knew that a pitcher named Ryan Brasier exists. The Red Sox took a chance on him and were rewarded with great stats. He is even in the running for closing duties, which is the main reason that I picked him.
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| 143 | Tilt23
ID: 142171220
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 22:36
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15.06 Drew Steckenrider RP MIA
Time for another RP. Mia will win some games, not a lot but cant lose them all, and Steckenrider should be at the end of those games hopefully not pouring gas on a fire and getting me the occasional save.
16.11 Anibal Sanchez SP Was
Knew I was going pitcher here as i have put that position off for a while and time to start getting some quantity if not quality. in line to get some Wins and hopefully not kill me elsewhere. not an exciting pick but necessary. Would of taken Minter here if he would have fallen but he was taken few picks before
17.06 Danny Jansen C TOR
A bit of reach I think but at this point it is just get your guys and dont worry about value. I think he has potential to be a good everyday catcher for me, or could be a bust and i drop him a month in.
18.11 Sonny Gray SP Cin
back again with quantity over quality. Hope he can eat some innings for me and out perform his draft slot. did a lot better after leaving NY but still in a hitters park here. we will see
19.06 Dereck Rodriguez SP SF
another arm to put out there. Bit of an upside play here. has looked good this spring and hopeful for bigger things. funny how my queue is not being demolished as much as it was previously as everyone has their own targets and plan. Would of taken Joc Pederson here and he was queued up but i made a last second change based on need.
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| 144 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 23:11
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17.08 Jake Arrieta SP PHI
I'm probably paying for name recognition here, but its worth a gamble. Arrieta has regressed each of the past two years, but I read that after a relatively good start last year he finished the season with a torn meniscus.
Maybe this was a wasted pick, maybe not. If so he goes on the scrap heap
18.09 Niko Goodrum 1B/2B DET
Eligible at both corner and middle infielder, Niko managed nearly 500 AB's last year. His versatility should enable im to do the same this year, I'm seeking 130 R's/RBI's, an OPS of 750, and 15 or so steals
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| 145 | ywk
ID: 37245130
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 23:29
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21.05 Craig Stammen
My queue must have been compromised!!! Two players I targeted (Diego Castillo and Wilmer Flores) were chosen back to back. I even tried to get Flores earlier since he should get regular playing time after moving to AZ. After losing Diego Castillo, who might even compete for saves for TB (assume they are going to stupidly start relievers), I was forced to see if any other options available. Greg Holland might be but I still turned to Stammen for some BP help. Stammen could be in the mix for SV opportunities for SD if Yates is not available. Even he would turn 36 this season, he could still be useful in SO/WHIP/ERA categories.
22.12 Teoscar Hernandez
Toronto is in the rebuilding mode and both Hernandez and Gurriel should get plenty of time on field given if they could secure the starting jobs. Hernandez has the pop for sure but in order for him to improve more patience and seeing the ball more clearly should do it. If everything goes as planned, Hernandez should be a viable utility option for my team.
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| 146 | kdl212
ID: 200472320
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 03:07
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20.13 Keona Kela, RP, PIT
With only a bunch of dubious starting pitchers still on the board, I turned my attention to quality non-closing relievers. I would have preferred Chad Green or Joe Jimenez, but they weren't available. Kela looks solid, and is next in line if Vasquez gets hurt or is traded.
21.04 Kevin Kiermaier, OF, TB
Looking for a few more steals to add to my roster. Kiermaier finds a way every year to hurt himself, usually by trying too hard. But maybe this is the year he somehow avoids injury, and puts up 25 steals with a 320/420 line.
22.13 Zach Britton, RP, NYY
Given the quality of available players, it seems like the possible upside is highest for relievers. Aroldis Chapman will get hurt at some point, Dellin Betances already is hurt, so maybe Britton gets a dozen saves with decent ratios. A few wins would be welcome as well.
23.04 Yoshihisa Hirano, RP, AZ
No announced closer in Arizona yet. Last year, the manager chose Boxberger over Bradley, and I'm hoping he prefers Bradley in the multi-inning 7th/8th inning role. Greg Holland, I'm hoping, is old and can't throw 90 mph anymore. If both of those are true, then it could be Hirano getting 30 saves. In the 23rd round, that's well worth a roll of the dice.
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| 147 | MattG
ID: 21039249
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 08:58
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20.10 Sean Newcomb SP ATL Newcomb was pretty effective last year in a few leagues that I drafted him. Was surprised he was still around this late, as I knew he'd be overvalued but it's slim pickings. 12 wins and 160Ks is all I can hope for here.
21.07 Matthew Boyd SP DET This was a queue pick, I was away and was hoping to take a MI here but ended up with Boyd. Candidate for a drop as soon as I find someone I like on waivers...
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| 148 | mjd
ID: 10221911
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 12:58
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20.14 Daniel Palka, OF, CHWAfter he was summoned from Triple-A Charlotte in late April as an injury replacement, he 27-year old rookie impressed early, earning the strong side of a right-field platoon. Later, Palka transitioned to the same role at designated hitter, taking playing time versus right-handers. By season's end, Palka clubbed 27 homers. An OBP drag, we’ll see if he can repeat his power numbers. Well into the dregs to fill out roster holes by now.
21.03 Adrenza Ehire, SS, 3B, MIN Ehire is having a strong spring. He’s returned a bit early from shoulder surgery in October, so the switch hitter is only cleared to bat left handed for now. I hope perhaps he’ll get some playing time at 3B or he’ll become waver wire fodder soon enough.
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| 149 | Meatwads
ID: 43056268
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 18:26
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18.15 Johan Camargo, 3B, ATL
I liked Camargo here with the rumors he will play a super-utility role to start the season. The possibility that he picks up middle infield made this selection feel like a secret value of sorts. It seems like he has the bat of an every day player, and any future injuries to the Braves could lead to even more playing. I've also heard he's being tried out in the outfield. I could see him playing 5 days a week, maybe 425 ABs with good ratios.
19.02 Brad Peacock, SP, HOU
As spring training comes to a close, I made a calculated gamble that Peacock will win a rotation spot with the Astros. It appears the gamble may pay off, at least in the early stages of the season. I feel he could be a really nice value at this stage, especially if he's able to keep a rotation spot. I decided to hedge the play with Josh James, with the understanding I will have at least one Astro SP at all times this season, I hope!
20.15 Miguel Sano, 3B, MIN
I'm taking quite a gamble here. He's coming off a terrible season, mentally and physically, and is already on the injured list. With no DL in this league, he has to really come on strong when he returns, or I can't really justify the pick. I considered the fact he was an all-star less than 2 years ago. Realistically he won't be able to survive on my roster, but I don't mind securing his rights for the time being, and see what happens. I hear he's planning to begin baseball activities in a week.
21.02 Jesus Luzardo, SP, OAK
I had a group of high upside pitchers that I was weighing for this pick. Every part of me saw this selection as a high risk. I decided to take a gamble on the pitcher I ultimately believe in the most. I made the pick, fell asleep for a few hours, woke up to find out he's being shut down for 4-6 weeks. At least it was a late stab and not some crucial piece I took earlier. I still think the guy will be a bad boy at some point.
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| 150 | MattG
ID: 21039249
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 19:21
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22.10 Orlando Arcia SS MIL Wanted a bit of depth here, I like Arcia, honestly was going to draft him at 21, but my queue got the best of me. Could help a little with steals, would be nice if he hit 10+ HRs but really just depth for now.
23.07 Jose Urena SP Mia Opening day starter in Miami, has a bit of talent but his K rate just isn't good... He could turn a corner as his slider is great. But he's more here for enforcement.
24.10 Colin Moran 3B Pit Only plays against righties but he hits well against them. some depth here and a bit of power.
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| 151 | Tilt23
ID: 142171220
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 21:16
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20.11 Yonder Alonso 1B CWS
pick for depth and having a good spring. should hit in the middle of the lineup with a chance for some counting stats
21.06 DJ Lemahieu 2B NYY
have been targeting him for a while now. in a utility role in NY but should still get plenty of at bats. should play multiple pos for backup as well.
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| 152 | mailedfoot
ID: 15825517
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 21:17
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19.10 Gregory Polance, OF, PIT
Polanco is recovering from an injury but looks like he may only miss a month or so. He slashed .340/.499 with 12 stolen bases over 130 games last year. I’m thinking that If he can maintain his numbers from last year when he comes back, he could definitely be worth a 19th round pick. I just need to cover his absence until then somehow.
20.07 Tyler Skaggs, SP, LAA
I feel like I’ve sort of neglected starting pitching in this draft and picked Skaggs here to try and catch up. He was pretty good last year over 125 innings and it seems like most of the experts think he can repeat or even take a step forward. I’m a little nervous about injuries with him but he made his last spring training start without any issues so hopefully he’s good.
21.10 Jimmy Nelson, SP, MIL
Like my last pick, this one is an attempt to shore up my starting pitching. Nelson was lights out in 2017 until he got injured and spent last season on the shelf. It seemed like he was good this spring after pitching 3 solid innings a few days ago but now there are reports about elbow pain so I am left wondering what’s next. This pick could end up being a total bust or possibly he returns to the rotation sometime in late April.
22.07 Steve Pearce, 1B, BOS
Pearce figures to be the right side of a 1B platoon with the Red Sox. Last year he slashed .378/.512 on a part time basis and I am thinking he should be good for something similar at least. In the Bosox lineup he should be good for counting stats and maybe he can somehow win the 1B job outright. I figure he’s worth a late round flyer.
23.10 Seth Lugo, RP, NYM
Lugo figures to pitch 90-100 innings out of the Mets bullpen and give me good ratios, 8-9 K/9, and hopefully some wins. There has been some speculation he could be moved to the rotation if the need arises. With this pick I’m trying to add innings with good stats.
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| 153 | loki
SuperDude
ID: 4211201420
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 22:52
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21.15 Lewis Brinson, OF
I needed a fifth outfielder, and Brinson was one of the few remaining that I thought would play on a regular basis.
22.02 Ryan Zimmerman, 1B
In 2017 Zimmerman had an OBP of .358, SLG of .573 and 108 RBIs. At the end of 2018 after returning from injuries his OBP was .374 and SLG was .538. He is still available this late in the draft because of his injury risk, but if healthy, he can make a difference.
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| 154 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 23:17
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19.08 Brett Gardner )F NYY
I needed another outfielder, and there isn't anything sexy with this pick. There's allot of offensive talent on the Yankees, but the past 6 seasons Brett has made over 600 plate appearances.
With that he averaged almost 90 runs, 55 RBI's and 20 steals. He has a career OPS of .750 over those 6 seasons.
Although Garder is now 35, he has been remarkably durable. I would expect similar numbers to those of the last 6 years
20.09 Carlos Martinez SP STL
I know he's probably going to miss the first month of the season, but I felt he was worth drafting with pick 313.
Martinez is a pretty good pitcher, he even worked out of the pen as a closer, notching 5 saves in September ( with an ERA of 1.47 ).
Sounds like the plan is for him to be a starter again when healthy, fine with me. He will strike out about a batter per inning, and post decent ratios, whether he starts or closes
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| 155 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 23:28
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21.08 Jed Lowrie 2B NYM
Another injured player, although Jed will only miss a week or so. Once healthy he's expected to play third base for the Mets. That should give him dual eligibility as he currently is 2B only.
Last year for Oakland he scored 78 runs and plated 99 ( a career high by far ), with an OPS of .801. I'm not expecting that kind of production this year, but 150 runs/RBI's could be in reach
22.09 Joakim Soria RP
Purely a handcuff for Treinen, although who knows if he's next in line.
K'd 75 in 60 innings last year, ERA of 3.12, WHIP of 1.14. Maybe he can stumble on some saves also
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| 156 | mjd
ID: 10221911
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 23:37
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22.14 Tucker Barnhart, C, CIN The kickers of fantasy baseball in my eyes. Grab a top tier catcher early or wait until the end of the draft. I look at Barnhart as a safe option. Most, if not all of the remaining catchers look to be involved in a time share situation. Here there is no in house competition to challenge him for playing time. Not the numbers generated by the top tier, but his increased playing time should generate some counting stats without killing my team OPS.
23.03 Lou Trivino, RP, OAK Set up man for one of the top shelf relievers. Trivino's cutter is already one of the game's most effective, helping narrow his righty/lefty splits, and he has a strong history of high ground ball rates that should help him again be a good source of ERA, WHIP and a few saves.
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| 157 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Fri, Mar 22, 2019, 23:42
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23.08 Ty Buttrey RP LAA
Ty saved 4 games last September, and was viewed as their closer of the future, but the Angles signed Cody Allen. So Ty moves into a set up role.
Looking for solid ratios and better than a K per inning. And maybe a couple saves
24.09 Hector Neris RP
Same logic as pick 23.08. Gabe Kapler hasn't yet named a closer for the Phillies that I've seen, but I doubt it's Hector. Or maybe it will be closer by committee.
Hector struggled early on last year, but did post an ERA of 2.04 the last 6 weeks of the season, and he did strikeout 76 batters in 47 innings last year
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| 158 | RJ
ID: 16158169
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 00:30
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14.04 Marcus Semien, SS, OAK
He’ll put up good counting stats at a thin position. For the most part he’s been a pillar of good health. He also has a little bit of speed.
15.13 Kevin Gausman, SP, ATL
His numbers improved a great deal after he was traded to Atlanta and is still pretty young so there’s some upside.
16.04 Jon Lester, SP, CHC
While now on the decline, I still think Lester is good enough to be my 5th starter. He’ll be solid for Wins if nothing else and hopefully a rebound in Ks but not excited about his WHIP. I may play matchups with him. No one is saying he’ll have 18 wins again like last year but hey I’ll take even 12-13.
17.13 Alex Reyes, RP, STL
He’s been throwing really well this spring and will be kicking off the season as a reliever. There are some hopes that he will eventually start as they ease him into the rotation this year. If anything he’s a guy I see helping my ratios and giving me a nice bump in Ks.
18.04 Taylor Ward, 3B, LAA
I may have taken him a bit too early but he’s got some solid hype behind him as a powe/speed guy. He’s still a little raw though so we’ll see.
19.13 Yadier Molina, C, STL
Molina has been a reliable player for sometime and will play a lot of games which is what I really look for out of this posiiton. He did hit 20 homers last year.
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| 159 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 08:03
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25.08 Ryon Healy 1B SEA
I threw a bunch of names in the qqueue on my way to bed, with Ryon at the top. He's slated to fill in at 3rd, while ( undrafted ) is on the injured list.
Beyond that, he may or may not have a full time gig at first, or he could be turned into the next attractive free agent.
Worth a gamble in round 25
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| 160 | mailedfoot
ID: 15825517
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 09:07
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24.07 Chad Pinder, OF, OAK
Pinder has become something of a popular breakout candidate in some circles and with Olson’s injury, he now has a path to increased playing time. He is also eligible as a MI so there’s that too.
25.10 Luke Weaver, SP, ARI
Weaver was fairly highly regarded in drafts last year based on his 2017 season but ended up performing poorly. He was traded to Arizona and has had a good spring with his new team. This pick is a flyer to see if his spring performance can carry over into the season.
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| 161 | youngroman
ID: 029239
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 10:09
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21.11 Brandon Drury, 3B, TOR
I did not see much value at 2B/3B that is left. Drury can be better than average, but the problem for him is that Guerrero will be called up sooner than later. I see Drury as a short term fit at CI in case Voit or Smoak are not starting. If he does not perform to my liking he will be gone for the hottest 3B of the new season.
note after drafting him: Seems like he hits leadoff now which would be a nice boost.
22.06 Brandon Lowe, 2B, TB
he is great this spring, already showed potential last year. His only problem might be playing time. He may not have a starting gig to start the season but is expected to fill in at multiple positions. as long as he performs when he starts and gains eligibility at other positions (ss, of, maybe even 1b/3b) he should be a valuable asset for my team. he might need to fill in for Lindor at the start of the season.
23.11 Reyes Moronta, RP, SF
just filling my roster with some relievers that have potential for saves while having a good K-ratio and don't harm your ERA/WHIP.
24.06 Chaz Roe, RP, TB
to repeat myself: just filling my roster with some relievers that have potential for saves while having a good K-ratio and don't harm your ERA/WHIP.
25.11 Welington Castillo, C, CWS
I decided early that my last pick will be a catcher. Playing time is just too inconsistent to burn an earlier pick for that purpose.
Maybe it is finally the year where I rotate catchers on a daily basis and max out the games played at the catcher position. this means that Castillo might start my catcher rotation on opening day, unless I identify a better matchup until then.
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| 162 | kdl212
ID: 200472320
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 11:22
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24.13 Josh Harrison, 2B, DET
Still needed a middle infielder on my roster, and a group of a half dozen I was fine with rostering was dwindling, so i jumped. Hitting leadoff for the Tigers, maybe a bounce back candidate, though the bounce back would merely be to mediocre levels.
25.04 Jake Junis, SP, KC
Should be starting either game 2 or 3 of the season at home against the White Sox. After that, I'll probably drop him for a different starter.
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| 163 | MattG
ID: 21039249
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 12:02
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25.07 Alex Verdugo LAD OF Could be hitting leadoff in that dodgers lineup, has some raw power but needs to add loft, hoping he puts it together this year.
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| 164 | mjd
ID: 10221911
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 12:54
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24.14 Caleb Smith, SP, MIA Taking a flier on strikeouts at the risk of walks and a high fly ball rate. Hopefully his strong spring carries over into the regular season. Probably best utilized in home matchups, at least initially.
After my 23.05 pick, going into these final rounds I had a queue 30 players long. By the time it came around to me, more than half had been picked.
25.03 Joe Kelly, RP, LAD Looking over my roster, I’d have loved to take another position player, but I was instead allured by a strikeout rate. Signed to a 3 year deal, he’ll be one of Kenley Janson's setup guys. Maybe a few saves along the way with ratio help.
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| 165 | Tilt23
ID: 142171220
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 14:23
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22.11 Greg Holland RP ARI
At pick 347 to find someone with the phrase "primary closer" even uttered in their outlook for this year is enough to get me to pull the trigger. I choose to ignore the rest of it.
23.06 Michael Wacha SP STL
feel like i draft this guy every year. He may be nothing and be dropped but looked like a good selection at this point in the draft
24.11 Steven Duggar OF SFO
WIll start in CF for SF and lead off hopefully. maybe he can fill in for me and be someone i can plug in for R and SBs
25.06 Jake Odorizzi SP MIN
Some say he will used with an opener which will help his ratios and put him in line for more W's. This may be the way baseball is going. Ill take a chance.
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| 166 | Species
ID: 351051122
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 14:27
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23.12 Scott Schebler, OF, CIN
Mainly this is a filler until Nick Senzel is up in a couple of weeks (even though Scooter just went down....Cincy is going to milk the service clock). Schebler should see plenty of time in CF, al least vs. RHP. He has had a good spring. Let's hope he can continue that for a few wweeks.
24.05 Jeremy Jeffress, RP, MIL
Presumed closer Corey Knebel is battling a partial UCL tear and his status at press time was unknown. While rumors of the Brewers signing Craig Kimbrel swirl around, Jeffress went back to throwing. This is likely to end up as a throwaway pick, but you never know. By the time the 28th rolls around, there is likely to be some clarity.
25.12 Jorge Alfaro, C, MIA
I gave catcher pretty much zero consideration all draft.
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| 167 | loki
SuperDude
ID: 4211201420
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 14:29
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23.15 Forrest Whitely, SP
Someone was going to draft Whitely, so why not me? If he comes up at the end of the season, he could give me a needed boost. If he blows away minor league hitters, and if Houston is in a tight race, he could be promoted earlier. Combined with Julio Urias, they give me one quality SP.
Ivan Nova, SP
His last start in spring training was a quality one, and in fantasy as well as in reality, one can never have too much pitching.
25.15 Pedro Baez, RP
Possible handcuff for Kenley Jensen. Was between Baez and Kelly, but Kelly was taken at 25.03.
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| 168 | Da Bomb
Donor
ID: 487112814
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 21:05
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21.14 Greg Bird, 1B, NYY
Fun fact: the Yankees have yet to announce their starting 1B. Luke Voit should have a leg up for what he did last year (and what Bird didn't do), but here we are. Bird keeps showing flashes and has done so again this Spring with a 1.131 OPS. With Aaron Hicks out for the start of the season, both Bird and Voit should get regular ABs out of the gate where the competition may be drawn out until then.
22.03 Ji-Man Choi, DH, TB
A few jobs on TB look murky but I would expect Choi to play full time against RHPs after putting up a .908 OPS against them for the team last season. And a note that at this end stage of the draft I usually take flyers on hitters over pitchers for the reason that they play more often and I can get a feel for them more quickly to see who to swap out for a pitcher after the season begins.
23.14 Troy Tulowitzki, SS, NYY
There are worse fantasy situations than to be a fixture in this Yankees lineup. A Spring OPS of .829 may lead to something being left in the tank.
24.03 Billy McKinney, OF, TOR
McKinney seems to be on the strong side of a LF platoon for the Jays and may even bat leadoff. An .829 OPS vs RHPs last year and has had a strong Spring with an OPS of .904.
25.14 Peter O'Brien, 1B, MIA
Appeared to be headed to an everyday role after an .868 OPS for the team in September, but alas, he was optioned later in the day.
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| 169 | beastiemiked
ID: 35282121
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 21:36
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17.16 Delino Deshields, OF, TEX
I need SB’s bad at this point. Deshields was highly drafted last year but after he got injured he had a pretty sad stat year. I hope he can recover and not destroy my percentages too much.
18.01 Ryan O’Hearn, 1B, KC
He came out of nowhere last year to have a great 2nd half. He should get plenty of playing time so if he comes back to earth I can drop him for the next greatest thing. He walks a good amount so he should have a decent floor.
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| 170 | slizz
ID: 532371213
Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 23:51
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20.16 - Diego Castillo, RP, TB:
100 mph fastball with a ton of movement and a nasty slider. Basically, he's Jordan Hicks light. Castillo sports a 0.95 whip and at 29% strikeout rate that should help my ratios more than a back end starter. Hopefully he sprinkles in some saves as well!
21.01 - Wilmer Flores, 1B/2B, AZ:
At this point in the draft, want to see what will stick and if Flores plays 150+ games, he would likely have a slash line of .280 / 20 HR / 80+ runs/rbi. The signing of Adam Jones definitely muddies the water in terms of playing time though.
22.16 - Adam Conley, RP, MIA:
Pre-draft target. Conley sports a 15% swinging strike rate during his first go round as a reliever. I think he improves on that in 2019 while sprinkling in some saves as one of the few LHP arms in the Miami pen.
23.01 - Taylor Rogers, RP, MIN:
See above. Rogers enjoyed career bests in strikeout rate 29% while sporting a 2.63 ERA and .95 WHIP (like Castillo).
24.16 - Fernando Tatis, Jr., SS, SD:
Why not?
25.01 - Robinson Chirinos, C, HOU:
Best catcher available.
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| 171 | Meatwads
ID: 43056268
Sun, Mar 24, 2019, 02:52
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22.15 Josh James, SP, HOU
After selecting Peacock in Round 19, I felt there was some logic in adding James in case it doesn't take long for him to join the rotation. I'm hoping he's a multi-inning reliever to start the season. The manager has already announced he will start at some point this season. Seems to have some good strikeout upside and was a popular sleeper before his injury. I'm hoping between the two Astro pitchers, I'll have someone in their rotation all season.
23.02 Avisail Garcia, OF, TB
At this stage I feel fortunate to find anyone with a starting job and some level of upside. He's coming off an injury-plagued season, after having a breakout season in 2017. He seems to have tapped into some noticeable power last year. If he's able to work his way into consistent ABs in Tampa, there's a chance he stays on my team and plays regularly.
24.15 Dallas Keuchel, SP, FA
There wasn't anyone I absolutely loved at this pick, so I decided to make what amounts to a throw-away pick. There's the off-chance he signs into a good situation before the season gets going heavily, so I guess I'm glad I have his rights while waiting for the season to begin.
25.02 Yonny Chirinos, SP, TB
There are certain moments in life you have to take what is given to you. I couldn't live with myself if I tried to select someone amazing instead. Chirinos seems to have a chance to get over 100 innings with good ratios. If there's any sort of growth, he could end up being a nice piece. Besides that, I couldn't pass up the opportunity to select him immediately after Robinson Chirinos. To make things extra dramatic, I've decided to put the weight of my season on his shoulders.
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| 172 | RJ
ID: 32592410
Sun, Mar 24, 2019, 11:59
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20.04 Joe Jimenez, RP, DET
Has a good chance to take the closer job over at some point this season as the Tigers are clearly in rebuild mode and could trade Greene by midseason. Greene could also easily falter with his poor peripheral numbers.
21.13 Daniel Robertson, 2B/SS, TB
Robertson's plays a couple of tough positions and could be a a nice fill in type player. He has good patience at the plate but is definitely an IHSH (if he stays healthy) type guy.
22.04 Manuel Margot, OF, SD
Margot definitely took a step back in 2018 but he was a very touted sleeper going into that draft. At the discounted price this year, I'm willing to take a chance on him. I think he has an outside shot to steal 20 bases which would be a great boon.
23.13 Tim Beckham, 3B/SS, TB
Post post hype sleeper type. I took him mainly for his mini breakout in late 2017 and the good games he has had so far in the 2 games in Japan. Maybe this is the year he puts it all together but at this spot in the draft no big deal if I have to move on.
24.04 Freddy Peralta, SP, MIL
He's officially locked up a spot in the rotation and will be a big strikeout guy. This kid is still young at only 22 years old so the sky's the limit. I took him as a reasonable sixth starter and I'll give him a somewhat long leash to see what I have with him.
25.13 Kyle Tucker, OF, HOU
I bookended my draft with Tucker. He had a rough month in the majors last season but who hasn't. A lot of sites have him rated in the top 10 prospects for 2019. I know he'll need a bit more seasoning in the minors but I'll take a wait and see with him.
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| 173 | beastiemiked
ID: 481162721
Sun, Mar 24, 2019, 19:26
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19.16 Wily Peralta, RP, KC
Felt like getting a closer in the 19th round was too good to be true. I really wanted to go with just Peralta since I think he'll ultimately get the first shot but it's still up in the air. He was good at the end of the season and is a converted reliever so presumably his stuff should improve as he adjusts. Hopefully he doesn't kill my percentages too much.
20.01 Brad Boxberger, RP, KC
Handcuff or closer? Who knows? Hopefully one of these two will get the first shot. I'll most likely be dropping the other one. I really don't like Boxberger but felt like wasting a 20th round pick on him was good insurance.
21.16 Carlos Rodon, SP, CHW
A few rounds ago I noticed I needed more starting pitchers. There were a lot of guys left that all look about the same. Rodon was one of the guys I was looking at but ultimately passed as I though maybe he'd slip through. He did. He'll be the opening day starter for the White Sox. He was lights out for a few starts last year. First sign of an injury and he's gone.
22.01 Zack Godley, SP, ARI
Was overdrafted last year and fell flat on his face. Rumors were the humidor gave him better grip on his curveball and he started spiking it in the dirt so it wasn't that effective. Not sure if that's true or not. He's a decent strikeout pitcher eventhough he doesn't throw heat. My pitching is pretty terrible right now so I need k's. Hopefully he rebounds from last year. Would've probably taken Choi here but I thought he'd slip another round.
23.16 Dexter Fowler, OF, STL
Quite the fall from the OBP guy that was being drafted a few years ago. He fell hard last year. Was it Matheny related? Doubt it. I'm hoping he bats in the 2 hole but he'll probably end up in the 6 or 7 hole. He'll have a short leash on the Cardinals and will have that same short leash on my team.
24.01 Brad Keller, SP, KC
Starting opening day vs Chicago so a decent stream option. Some good articles out there for why he'll be good this year. I don't really buy them but for a 24th round pick I figured why not. His schedule appears pretty soft the first couple of starts.
25.16 Russell Martin, C, LAD
Guess I need a catcher. I almost didn't draft a catcher since I doubt Martin would've been picked up before opening day. This will probably be a revolving door for me. I love have the extra roster spot rather than roster a catcher full time that may barely help percentages and won't do much in the counting stats.
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| 174 | ywk
ID: 37245130
Sun, Mar 24, 2019, 22:09
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23.05 Yandy Diaz
It was really the time at this stage of the draft to buy lottery tickets. Diaz reportedly could start at 3B on the upcoming openning day. But given the talents TB has accumulated on its roster he might not have regular playing time overthere. He might need to wait for the opportunity at the firstbase to open up. Still, he should be either a nice pickup off the bench or the first one to be dropped when the season progresses.
24.12 Tanner Roark
Roark actually has a good spring to start off his Reds career as one regular starter. He is not going to strike many but his ability to induce grounders might offset the hitter-friendly confine at Cincy. He is my 6th starter and I am not so sure if I need that many to meet the inning cap. Again, I took flier on him here despite also considering Caleb Smith (with much better SO on a bad team).
25.05 Tony Watson
Watson is always a solid player in both ERA and WHIP. And he could be the next to cloer the door (not sure about the number for the SF team) if Will Smith falters. I just do not believe Melancon has enough in tank to be the 9th inning guy if anything happens to Smith. I said the above before I finally realized I got Smith on my another fantasy team...
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