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0 Subject: RIBC 2019: Draft Rationales

Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Tue, Mar 12, 2019, 11:04

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351Mighty Meatwads
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 21, 9:37 pm
22.15 James, Josh - HOU - RP
After selecting Peacock in Round 19, I felt there was some logic in adding James in case it doesn't take long for him to join the rotation. I'm hoping he's a multi-inning reliever to start the season. The manager has already announced he will start at some point this season. Seems to have some good strikeout upside and was a popular sleeper before his injury. I'm hoping between the two Astro pitchers, I'll have someone in their rotation all season.
352Slizz
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 21, 11:52 pm
22.16 Conley, Adam - MIA - RP
Pre-draft target. Conley sports a 15% swinging strike rate during his first go round as a reliever. I think he improves on that in 2019 while sprinkling in some saves as one of the few LHP arms in the Miami pen.
353Slizz
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 21, 11:59 pm
23.01 Rogers, Taylor - MIN - RP
See above. Rogers enjoyed career bests in strikeout rate 29% while sporting a 2.63 ERA and .95 WHIP (like Castillo).
354Mighty Meatwads
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 1:27 am
23.02 Garcia, Avisail - TAM - OF
At this stage I feel fortunate to find anyone with a starting job and some level of upside. He's coming off an injury-plagued season, after having a breakout season in 2017. He seems to have tapped into some noticeable power last year. If he's able to work his way into consistent ABs in Tampa, there's a chance he stays on my team and plays regularly.
355mjd
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 1:27 am
23.03 Trivino, Lou - OAK - RP
Set up man for one of the top shelf relievers. Trivino's cutter is already one of the game's most effective, helping narrow his righty/lefty splits, and he has a strong history of high ground ball rates that should help him again be a good source of ERA, WHIP and a few saves.
356kdl212
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 1:38 am
23.04 Hirano, Yoshihisa - ARI - RP
No announced closer in Arizona yet. Last year, the manager chose Boxberger over Bradley, and I'm hoping he prefers Bradley in the multi-inning 7th/8th inning role. Greg Holland, I'm hoping, is old and can't throw 90 mph anymore. If both of those are true, then it could be Hirano getting 30 saves. In the 23rd round, that's well worth a roll of the dice.
357ywk
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 7:43 am
23.05 Diaz, Yandy - TAM - 3B
It was really the time at this stage of the draft to buy lottery tickets. Diaz reportedly could start at 3B on the upcoming openning day. But given the talents TB has accumulated on its roster he might not have regular playing time overthere. He might need to wait for the opportunity at the firstbase to open up. Still, he should be either a nice pickup off the bench or the first one to be dropped when the season progresses.
358Tilt23
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 8:20 am
23.06 Wacha, Michael - STL - SP
feel like i draft this guy every year. He may be nothing and be dropped but looked like a good selection at this point in the draft
359Matt G
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 8:52 am
23.07 Urena, Jose - MIA - SP
Opening day starter in Miami, has a bit of talent but his K rate just isn't good... He could turn a corner as his slider is great. But he's more here for enforcement.
360Dave R
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 9:06 am
23.08 Buttrey, Ty - LAA - RP
Ty saved 4 games last September, and was viewed as their closer of the future, but the Angles signed Cody Allen. So Ty moves into a set up role.

Looking for solid ratios and better than a K per inning. And maybe a couple saves

361RotoGuru
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 9:23 am
23.09 Stroman, Marcus - TOR - SP
A speculative pick. Named as the opening day starter for Toronto. Last year was a bust, with shoulder and blister woes and two DL stints. But he’s been healthy this spring, and pitching well. He's only 27, and if I can get something more like the 2017 version (3.09 ERA), it’s a bargain. Realistically, the best I should probably hope for is something in the middle. And if things go south in the early months, I won’t hesitate to move on.
362mailedfoot
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 10:24 am
23.10 Lugo, Seth - NYM - RP
Lugo figures to pitch 90-100 innings out of the Mets bullpen and give me good ratios, 8-9 K/9, and hopefully some wins. There has been some speculation he could be moved to the rotation if the need arises. With this pick I’m trying to add innings with good stats.
363youngroman
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 10:24 am
23.11 Moronta, Reyes - SFO - RP
just filling my roster with some relievers that have potential for saves while having a good K-ratio and don't harm your ERA/WHIP.
364Species
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 11:04 am
23.12 Schebler, Scott - CIN - OF
Mainly this is a filler until Nick Senzel is up in a couple of weeks (even though Scooter just went down....Cincy is going to milk the service clock). Schebler should see plenty of time in CF, al least vs. RHP. He has had a good spring. Let's hope he can continue that for a few wweeks.
365RJ
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 1:27 pm
23.13 Beckham, Tim - SEA - SS
Post post hype sleeper type. I took him mainly for his mini breakout in late 2017 and the good games he has had so far in the 2 games in Japan. Maybe this is the year he puts it all together but at this spot in the draft no big deal if I have to move on.
366Da Bomb
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 1:52 pm
23.14 Tulowitzki, Troy - NYY - SS
There are worse fantasy situations than to be a fixture in this Yankees lineup. A Spring OPS of .829 may lead to something being left in the tank.
367Loki
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 1:56 pm
23.15 Whitley, Forrest - HOU - SP
Someone was going to draft Whitely, so why not me? If he comes up at the end of the season, he could give me a needed boost. If he blows away minor league hitters, and if Houston is in a tight race, he could be promoted earlier. Combined with Julio Urias, they give me one quality SP.
368BMD
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 2:08 pm
23.16 Fowler, Dexter - STL - OF
Quite the fall from the OBP guy that was being drafted a few years ago. He fell hard last year. Was it Matheny related? Doubt it. I'm hoping he bats in the 2 hole but he'll probably end up in the 6 or 7 hole. He'll have a short leash on the Cardinals and will have that same short leash on my team.
369BMD
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 2:09 pm
24.01 Keller, Brad - KAN - SP
Starting opening day vs Chicago so a decent stream option. Some good articles out there for why he'll be good this year. I don't really buy them but for a 24th round pick I figured why not. His schedule appears pretty soft the first couple of starts.
370Loki
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 3:37 pm
24.02 Nova, Ivan - CWS - SP
His last start in spring training was a quality one, and in fantasy as well as in reality, one can never have too much pitching.
371Da Bomb
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 3:38 pm
24.03 Mckinney, Billy - TOR - OF
McKinney seems to be on the strong side of a LF platoon for the Jays and may even bat leadoff. An .829 OPS vs RHPs last year and has had a strong Spring with an OPS of .904.
372RJ
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 3:38 pm
24.04 Peralta, Freddy - MIL - SP
He's officially locked up a spot in the rotation and will be a big strikeout guy. This kid is still young at only 22 years old so the sky's the limit. I took him as a reasonable sixth starter and I'll give him a somewhat long leash to see what I have with him.
373Species
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 4:08 pm
24.05 Jeffress, Jeremy - MIL - RP
Presumed closer Corey Knebel is battling a partial UCL tear and his status at press time was unknown. While rumors of the Brewers signing Craig Kimbrel swirl around, Jeffress went back to throwing. This is likely to end up as a throwaway pick, but you never know. By the time the 28th rolls around, there is likely to be some clarity.
374youngroman
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 4:10 pm
24.06 Roe, Chaz - TAM - RP
to repeat myself: just filling my roster with some relievers that have potential for saves while having a good K-ratio and don't harm your ERA/WHIP.
375mailedfoot
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 4:16 pm
24.07 Pinder, Chad - OAK - SS
Pinder has become something of a popular breakout candidate in some circles and with Olson’s injury, he now has a path to increased playing time. He is also eligible as a MI so there’s that too.
376RotoGuru
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 4:26 pm
24.08 Reddick, Josh - HOU - OF
My first (and perhaps only) bench hitter to open the season. For positional flexibility, I wanted an OF, and I thought he had the best mix of expected playing time and counting stats without torching OBP.
377Dave R
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 7:13 pm
24.09 Neris, Hector - PHI - RP
Same logic as pick 23.08. Gabe Kapler hasn't yet named a closer for the Phillies that I've seen, but I doubt it's Hector. Or maybe it will be closer by committee.

Hector struggled early on last year, but did post an ERA of 2.04 the last 6 weeks of the season, and he did strikeout 76 batters in 47 innings last year

378Matt G
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 7:14 pm
24.10 Moran, Colin - PIT - 3B
Only plays against righties but he hits well against them. some depth here and a bit of power.
379Tilt23
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 7:15 pm
24.11 Duggar, Steven - SFO - OF
WIll start in CF for SF and lead off hopefully. maybe he can fill in for me and be someone i can plug in for R and SBs
380ywk
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 8:14 pm
24.12 Roark, Tanner - CIN - SP
Roark actually has a good spring to start off his Reds career as one regular starter. He is not going to strike many but his ability to induce grounders might offset the hitter-friendly confine at Cincy. He is my 6th starter and I am not so sure if I need that many to meet the inning cap. Again, I took flier on him here despite also considering Caleb Smith (with much better SO on a bad team).
381kdl212
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 8:27 pm
24.13 Harrison, Josh - PIT - 2B
Still needed a middle infielder on my roster, and a group of a half dozen I was fine with rostering was dwindling, so i jumped. Hitting leadoff for the Tigers, maybe a bounce back candidate, though the bounce back would merely be to mediocre levels.
382mjd
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 8:28 pm
24.14 Smith, Caleb - MIA - SP
Taking a flier on strikeouts at the risk of walks and a high fly ball rate. Hopefully his strong spring carries over into the regular season. Probably best utilized in home matchups, at least initially.

After my 23.05 pick, going into these final rounds I had a queue 30 players long. By the time it came around to me, more than half had been picked.

383Mighty Meatwads
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 10:17 pm
24.15 Keuchel, Dallas - HOU - SP
There wasn't anyone I absolutely loved at this pick, so I decided to make what amounts to a throw-away pick. There's the off-chance he signs into a good situation before the season gets going heavily, so I guess I'm glad I have his rights while waiting for the season to begin.
384Slizz
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 10:38 pm
24.16 Tatis Jr., Fernando - SDG - UTL
Why not?
385Slizz
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 10:39 pm
25.01 Chirinos, Robinson - HOU - C
Best catcher available.
386Mighty Meatwads
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 11:13 pm
25.02 Chirinos, Yonny - TAM - SP
There are certain moments in life you have to take what is given to you. I couldn't live with myself if I tried to select someone amazing instead. Chirinos seems to have a chance to get over 100 innings with good ratios. If there's any sort of growth, he could end up being a nice piece. Besides that, I couldn't pass up the opportunity to select him immediately after Robinson Chirinos. To make things extra dramatic, I've decided to put the weight of my season on his shoulders.
387mjd
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 22, 11:15 pm
25.03 Kelly, Joe - LAD - RP
Looking over my roster, I’d have loved to take another position player, but I was instead allured by a strikeout rate. Signed to a 3 year deal, he’ll be one of Kenley Janson's setup guys. Maybe a few saves along the way with ratio help.
388kdl212
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 12:05 am
25.04 Junis, Jakob - KAN - SP
Should be starting either game 2 or 3 of the season at home against the White Sox. After that, I'll probably drop him for a different starter.
389ywk
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 12:20 am
25.05 Watson, Tony - SFO - RP
Watson is always a solid player in both ERA and WHIP. And he could be the next to close the door (not sure about the number for the SF team) if Will Smith falters. I just do not believe Melancon has enough in tank to be the 9th inning guy if anything happens to Smith. I said the above before I finally realized I got Smith on my another fantasy team...
390Tilt23
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 12:26 am
25.06 Odorizzi, Jake - MIN - SP
Some say he will used with an opener which will help his ratios and put him in line for more W's. This may be the way baseball is going. Ill take a chance.
391Matt G
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 12:47 am
25.07 Verdugo, Alex - LAD - OF
Could be hitting leadoff in that dodgers lineup, has some raw power but needs to add loft, hoping he puts it together this year.
392Dave R
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 12:47 am
25.08 Healy, Ryon - SEA - 1B
I threw a bunch of names in the qqueue on my way to bed, with Ryon at the top. He's slated to fill in at 3rd, while ( undrafted ) is on the injured list.

Beyond that, he may or may not have a full time gig at first, or he could be turned into the next attractive free agent.

Worth a gamble in round 25

393RotoGuru
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 8:12 am
25.09 Devenski, Chris - HOU - RP
Just some extra bullpen depth.
394mailedfoot
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 8:12 am
25.10 Weaver, Luke - ARI - SP
Weaver was fairly highly regarded in drafts last year based on his 2017 season but ended up performing poorly. He was traded to Arizona and has had a good spring with his new team. This pick is a flyer to see if his spring performance can carry over into the season.
395youngroman
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 8:12 am
25.11 Castillo, Welington - CWS - C
I decided early that my last pick will be a catcher. Playing time is just too inconsistent to burn an earlier pick for that purpose.Maybe it is finally the year where I rotate catchers on a daily basis and max out the games played at the catcher pos"ition. this means that Castillo might start my catcher rotation on opening day, unless I identify a better matchup until then.
396Species
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 8:12 am
25.12 Alfaro, Jorge - MIA - C
I gave catcher pretty much zero consideration all draft.
397RJ
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 11:36 am
25.13 Tucker, Kyle - HOU - OF
I bookended my draft with Tucker. He had a rough month in the majors last season but who hasn't. A lot of sites have him rated in the top 10 prospects for 2019. I know he'll need a bit more seasoning in the minors but I'll take a wait and see with him.
398Da Bomb
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 11:40 am
25.14 O'brien, Peter - MIA - 1B
Appeared to be headed to an everyday role after an .868 OPS for the team in September, but alas, he was optioned later in the day.
399Loki
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 2:23 pm
25.15 Baez, Pedro - LAD - RP
Possible handcuff for Kenley Jensen. Was between Baez and Kelly, but Kelly was taken at 25.03.
400BMD
      ID: 330592710
     Mar 23, 3:54 pm
25.16 Martin, Russell - LAD - C
Guess I need a catcher. I almost didn't draft a catcher since I doubt Martin would've been picked up before opening day. This will probably be a revolving door for me. I love have the extra roster spot rather than roster a catcher full time that may barely help percentages and won't do much in the counting stats.
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