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0 Subject: RIBC 2020: Draft recap

Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Sun, Mar 29, 2020, 18:14

RIBC Managers: This thread is for your (optional) overall comments on the draft. You may use the questions below as a guide, or simply say what you want to say.

1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?

3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

4. What surprised you most about the draft?

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?

Non-managers are also free to post comments or ask questions.
1I_AM_CANADIAN
      ID: 384502818
      Sun, Mar 29, 2020, 19:07
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?
In previous years, I used to rely on a more structured plan like: don’t pick x-pos till x-round because there are a ton of them available. However, this year, I baked the position scarcity into my rankings, thus I spent most of my thought process on ranking value vs adp. As has been the case for many years in the RIFC, most closers just didn’t represent value according to my rankings (at least from where I was picking).

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?

Favs:
4.12 (60) Justin Verlander, SP, HOU & 5.05 (69) Mike Clevinger, SP, CLE - Putting them back “on-the board” due to rumblings of an announcement. Anchored the value of my pitching staff.
7.05 (101) Marcell Ozuna, OF, ATL & 18.12 (284) Justin Smoak, 1B, MIL - A couple extreme examples of unlucky hitters, who could have big bounce back seasons.
11.05 (165) Andrew Mccutchen, OF, PHI - Another player who’s value improved with the delayed season.

Do-Overs:
3.05 (37) Starling Marte, OF, ARI - I shoulda grabbed Ketel.
13.05 (197) Salvador Perez, C, KC - Could have waited several more rounds for a Catcher.

3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

Lake Villa RJ - Trout + a lot of Speed options.
Smith and 9th - Well balanced team, a lot of players I would have liked to have on my squad.
Uptown Bombers - Solid group of hitters.
Foot - Well balanced team, a lot of players I would have liked to have on my squad.
Guru - He’s been playing this format for many years and it shows. Picks like Hader in the 3rd round were very much premeditated.
Holt - I love the way he drafts with almost reckless abandon. He always comes out of the drafts with 80% of a team that will be great, and 20% that he has to cycle through them quickly.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?
Having a manager purposefully punt 2 (Wins and Ks) whole categories (with little chance of ever being competitive in those). From a purely drafting strategy, I see how it works, but I have a hard time seeing that workout over a full season in a Rotisserie League (especially considering the volatility of closers).

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?
Looking back, I’m really happy with the way everything worked out. Even when I probably “mis-fired” (not getting a 2B early), I was still able to get some interesting players to fill those positions: Luis Urias and Shed Long I think have some nice sleeper upside.
2Uptown Bombers
      ID: 28219112
      Sun, Mar 29, 2020, 19:58
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

Strategy #1: Focus on hitting early, especially MI positions. This is a yearly goal for me.

Verdict: Two of my first 3 picks were MI and all 3 MI were filled by round 7. Perhaps this was overkill, but I like the 3 players I got in those rounds. Seven of first ten picks were hitting. That’s typically a ratio I am comfortable with.

Strategy #2: Anchor pitching staff with a top pitcher. Then mix in pitchers as needed in middle and later rounds. Another yearly goal. Nothing too mind-shattering.

Verdict: Fail. I passed on the top pitchers in round one and had regret. By the time I got around to my first SP, 23 SP had already been drafted. The SP’s I was targeting simply got taken before I had a chance for them. Round 3: Castillo and Corbin. Round 5: Paddack and Giolito. Maybe I should have taken one of them in round 4. I like the potential of my top 4 SP’s (Berrios, Montas, Lamet, Stroman) but would be tempted do it differently with a second chance.

Strategy #3: Be prepared to punt Saves. Again, something I am willing to do every year. I have become a creature of habit in these leagues.

Verdict: Well, I was prepared to punt them. But after missing on the top tier SP, I switched gears and took Osuna in round 5, who I consider to be in the top tier of closers. My thinking at the time was that Osuna and whoever my first pitcher would be was close to a top tier starter.

Strategy #4: Don’t draft Wil Myers.

Verdict: Success. I am 90% kidding here. As noted in my rationales, I have drafted Myers 4 of the past 5 years with mixed success. This year, I told myself not again. I just wanted someone different. But, oh, the allure of speed and power….

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?

I’m gonna pass this year on this question.
Last year I said I “loved my Matt Carpenter and Matt Strahm” picks and would “do over Ketel Marte.” In 2018 I “loved Knebel (he lost the closer job) and Delino Jr (.591 OPS for only 20 Steals).”

Clearly, I can’t be trusted to get this right.

3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

I_AM_CANADIAN and Guru. Guru was picking off the top of my queues for most of the middle and later rounds. IAC looks like he has a good balance of top hitters and top pitchers.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?

I don’t think surprised is the word, but clearly, this was the strangest set of circumstances to be drafting under. Between disruptions in our regular routines, a lack of new information coming out, and the uncertainty surrounding the season, the draft felt increasingly surreal.

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?

I’m not sure. Missing on a top SP threw me off and my tracked projections have me light on W’s and K’s. But those projections were based on a full season. Some of my pitcher choices, Lamet and Montas in particular, might be helped by a shortened season. So while I would feel more comfortable with a top end SP perhaps I’ll be able to hang tough over a shorter period of time with the guys I have.

I also look light on SB. I tried to draft SB this year with multiple mini-contributors instead of one big SB threat. We’ll see how that goes.
3KDL212
      ID: 200472320
      Mon, Mar 30, 2020, 01:04
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?
A couple years ago, I ceased to believe in positional scarcity (or, maybe more accurately put, I don't believe in adjusting values for positional scarcity), so my approach has been consistent recently (1) draft top value for the first 10 rounds or so, mindful of roster construction but not all that influenced by it, (2) get 7 hitters out of the first 10 picks, (3) draft one tier 2 closer in the first 10 picks, as late as possible.
Mission accomplished here: 7 hitters, one closer (riskier than I prefer, but I couldn't pass up the upside of Edwin Diaz), and a couple solid starting pitchers.

With the middle rounds (11-20), I try to round out the roster. Since I am down to only 2 imaginary baseball leagues, I am more inclined to reach for guys I really want to be on my team than I used to be during these rounds.
Assessment: not my favorite middle-round draft, but Urias, Nimmo, and Polanco fit my upside goals. A bit more "age" in these picks then I realized, now that I look it over (Segura, Melancon, Thames, and Kendrick). But the roster was complete except for catcher.

The late rounds should be 80% fliers. This league can't be won with boring late rounds picks. The "20s" are either home runs or drops. There should be no in-between.
Catcher + pitcher flier on Cease + stud ratio reliever who I like to fall into the closer job for a top team (Will Harris) + Dodgers do-everything multi-positional eligible Christ Taylor (an easy drop if he's not playing, but a roster savior if he's a regular) + a dart throw on Alvarado.

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?
I tend not to have favorite picks, but there are several do-overs.
(16) Eric Thames - not convinced he can keep it going, and could've gotten similar value much later to be my CI and back-up 1B (Smoak, Belt, Aguilar).
(20) Desclafani -he may stay on my roster all year, which is something for a round 20 pick, but there's just no upside here.
(23) Alfaro - would now prefer Aguilar + whatever catcher made it back to me at 24.


3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?
Foot's Acrobats. A well-executed OBP/SLG draft.
I am Canadian (especially if it's Ketel Marte instead of Starling Marte)
Uptown Bombers - solid foundation, lots of apparently reliable floors
BMD - maybe total dominance, maybe finishes in last.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?
The standardization of our cheat sheets. I get it.
4 teams drafting multiple catchers. I don't get it.

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?
I'd go Albies or Ketel Marte in round 3 and go SP/SP in rounds 4 and 5. But otherwise, no. I like my squad, imperfect as it is.
The mid-draft announcement that the season was delayed completely changed a lot of player values, and there was some advantage in this slow-moving draft to those who picked soon after the delay was certain (it's no surprise that Clevinger/Judge/Stanton/Suarez went quickly once it was clear the season's start was pushed back). They may have lasted longer in an alternate universe without COVID-19. Nothing unfair, mind you, but it's a different draft if it all happens either before or after the news.

Super thankful the draft distracted me some from the grim news. If we're all stuck in our homes for April, I might propose an RIBC 2020 Draft 2.0 just for fun. Same draft order, but a do-over just for kicks.
4mmikulka
      ID: 3225119
      Mon, Mar 30, 2020, 03:19
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

Going into the draft, my only planning was a brief look at position scarcity (2B and C were extra shallow this year, 1B and 3B were shallowish but with late-round options I liked, SS was more robust than normal). Besides that, it was my standard RIBC strategy: target SB early, get a top-3 closer (and at least 2-1/2 closers total), look for late-round bounce-back candidates with high upside, and try to fill up SP/OF last.

I feel like I did a pretty good job of that: I should have enough SB, got a quality 2B, filled my MI by the 6th round, got 3ish closers, and even ended up with a top catcher (if one of the top 3 options hadn't dropped, I probably would have gone with a 0-catcher draft like I did in 2017).

I think I drafted a lot of upside in the mid-late rounds: if roughly half of my bounceback candidates bounce back, I should be in good shape.

My biggest concern at this point is OF/SP: I missed out on a bunch of my late round options at OF in particular. Pretty much every year I have been able to find quality OF/SP in free agency, but I don't know how well that will work this year if the season gets significantly shortened.

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?

My favorite picks:
4.10 - Shohei Ohtani
14.10 - Justin Upton
15.07 - Daniel Murphy
16.10 - Matt Carpenter
17.07 - Wade Davis (will I still feel this way two weeks into the season?)

Least favorite picks:
13.07 - Lance McCullers

3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

mailedfoot's team looks pretty fearsome: there are a bunch of players who did well last year that I don't trust but the consensus does, and if the consensus is right, this team should be stacked.

Guru's team should be very strong if his MI turn out to be decent.

Lake Villa RJ has Mike Trout and capable C/2B, which is certainly a good place to be.

Jasonprof's team looks very impressive, but so many things have to lock into place in order to win while punting saves.

I'm interested in seeing how Holt's high-upside strategy plays out: I really like taking high-risk/high-reward types in the mid-late rounds. The highs are extra high in the RIBC format, so even if you completely whiff on a few of them, it's usually a net positive. If you end up with 4 or 5 holes in your roster, though, that's a lot to make up in this league (even if you're Holt), especially in a shortened season.

I'm extra interested in seeing how graydog's "No SP" strategy plays out: it's something I've always had in the back of my mind but have never actually come close to trying. If I ever do it, this would be the kind of situation I'd be looking for: with Acuna as my first rounder. The difficulty is the same one with punting saves (except doubled): there's so little room for error. You need to be elite in all 5 batting categories (+SV/ERA/WHIP) to have a shot at 1st when your upper bound for pitching is 50 roto points. If you finish last in W and K, your upside is 130 points. In 2018, Guru won RIBC with 112 points: in a season like that, I think the "no SP" strategy would put you in a great position to win. In 2017, I won with 130.5 points. Last year, jaysherby won with 138 points. In either of those years, it would have been literally impossible to win with the "no SP" strategy. Even in a year where the winner doesn't get a lot of roto points, there is so little room for error. If Kirby Yates or Jonathan Villar get injured tomorrow, for example, graydog would probably lose roughly 5 points to the field (unless he finds a way to add a lot of SV/SB via trade/waivers). If we assume it will take only 120 roto points to win this year, losing 5 points is normally 12.5% of your room for error because you start with a possible 160 points (16 in all 10 categories). It hurts, but it's not the end of the world and you have plenty of ways to adjust your strategy mid-season to optimize your point totals. If you lose 5 points out of a possible 130, that's 50% of your room for error. The example I just gave was with only 120 points winning the league: the average of the winning teams from 2017-2019 was 127 points. If that's what it ends up taking to win in 2020, graydog would be effectively eliminated from contention by a significant injury to any of the 5 players he is counting on for SB/SV (Acuna, Villar, Yates, Giles, Kela).

4. What surprised you most about the draft?

It's the obvious answer, but the COVID-19 pandemic caused a lot of uncertainty. Besides the indefinite delay to the season, with spring training canceled during the 2nd half of the draft, we had less information to analyze players by. Assuming that there actually is an MLB season at some point this year, there will probably be a lot of significant changes that we couldn't have fully accounted for during the draft. There will also likely be more random variance this season than there is with a normal 162-game season that stretches over 7 months.

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?

I probably would have chosen a later draft slot.

I'm also unsure why I was eager to draft Lance McCullers in the 13th round (other than "this is where I need to take him if I want him"). I like McCullers, but with his injury history I probably don't "13th round like him". Replacing him with an OF target like David Peralta probably would have helped my team more in the long run... but who knows - McCullers could be lights out this year.
5Matt G
      ID: 5101299
      Mon, Mar 30, 2020, 12:25


1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned? I've been following a strategy of creating target stat thresholds, I've used this the past couple years in multiple leagues and have been successful. Basically looking at the best team for last years comparative league, then plugging that into my draft software and trying to stay in the green. I've never actually been able to stay green but getting close is what I want. I do this based off of 2020 predictions. Usually by mid rounds, this goes out the door as I try not to get shut out of certain positions.

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over? I like Eloy in the 5th, Lux in the 9th, Manaea in the 12th and Eflin in the 23rd are my favorites. I wish I didn't chase saves with iglesias in the 7th, or that I panicked and took Hosmer in the 13th.


3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)? KDL212 stole a number of my picks, his first nine picks were just solid great value picks. IAMCANADIAN, if his late round bats produce he has an amazing pitching staff that will be hard to beat. Foot's first 12 picks were all solid too... lots of good drafts here.

4. What surprised you most about the draft? How long it took.

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently? Might have passed on Soto for Betts, might have also taken more risk if I knew the season would start late.
6slizz
      ID: 572153012
      Mon, Mar 30, 2020, 13:20
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

For the most part, I usually try and script the first 6 rounds.  This year I put targets on who I liked up to round 9 and listed other players and their accompanying ADP's.  Please refer to below:

Round 1 - thought I could get a better SP and pair it with a hitting target round 2.  Didn't happen.  Not gonna complain about landing deGrom.
Round 2 - Got Buehler (see my post for analysis)
Round 3 - Was targeting Machado pre-draft...was surprised to see Meadows there.
Round 4 - Got Machado (was originally targeting a SP here so I am back to even steven on the draft plans)...Meadows is my Harper.  Buehler is my Giolito.
Round 5 - Happy to get a guy in Vladito that I would've taken in Round 3/4.
Round 6 - Robles...my team is constructed how I would've imagined pre-draft.
Round 7 - Closer run...nabbed who I thought was the best bet
Round 8 - Was torn between Schwarber & Benintendi.  Conforto was banged up again and as much as I like him...I'd rather have certainty.  Was hoping Benintendi was taken before I picked...Also, Castellanos was screaming "Pick me!" here.
Round 9 - Wheeler.  Would've been okay with Gallen too..

I started using ADP off of the Rotowire App when I usually use Tout Wars / TGFBI.  Got most of my later targets save Dansby and Travis Shaw.  

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?

Favorites
5.13 - Vladito
9.13 - Wheeler.  The nasty stuff.  J.T. Realmuto instead of Ramos, and a floor of 2019 has me giddy!
11.13 - Kingery. I don't care what the projections say. Kingery is gonna be a boss this year.

Do-Over's
3.13 - Hiura over Meadows only because I don't have a 2B for 2 weeks! 
10.04 - Amed Rosario over Zac Gallen.  This is where my draft went south.  While I got > 60% of my targets...I would rather have a big 4 of deGrom / Buehler / Wheeler / Gallen and have Dansby Swanson instead of Rosario at SS.  I got too cute by thinking Swanson would fall as his ADP was 267 on the app that the majority of the league was using combined with the fact the app hates him.
14.04 - Nomar Mazara over Dansby Swanson.  Not as mad at this as I love the power potential of Nomar and, if healthy, should be a 30 HR bat over a 162 game season.  Instead, I ended up with Adames as a rotational SS and 3rd Tampa Bay player.

3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

Seeing the comments from above, I'll chime in on Graydog's squad.  Graydog employed the "Marmol" strategy while going chalk to the Rotowire App for hitting (Ex - Muncy Round 2 versus a 77 ADP while featuring a top 25 rotowire ranking).  Here's a link that goes in depth on the benefits of deploying it: 
 Marmol Strategy 

With no innings minimum in RIBC, his hope is to get a score of 128 (Mid-130's seems to get the title).  Not sure if it's good enough to win the league...but he will certainly stay promoted unless his bats completely let him down.  Love love love his Castellanos pick. 

IAC Getting Clevinger and Verlander that late is crazy value.  His 1st SP is actually the worst of the 3 in Strasburg!  The delayed start is gonna do his team wonders as Verlander and Clevinger will be at his disposal all year.  Combine that with the fact he didn't miss on his early hitting (Bellinger, Marte, and Hoskins).  I agree with him that Ketel > Starling...but Starling has 1 more great season in him.  Rhys changed his stance and I anticipate a bouncebac and is 1 year removed from being a top 30 pick.  Hell of a start for him.  He's the favorite.
Foot is always a tough out.  Has great pitching and some power to go along with it.  No weaknesses for his infield and Stanek was a gem late.
Guru has a formidable team as always.  Ratios, Power, with a sprinkle of speed.
BMD features a nice balance of power and speed.  He has the colorado keystone locked up in McMahon / Hampson and if both get PT thats a huge boost. 

Every team has their strengths and weaknesses.  I'm curious how the regular season will look once COVID-19 quarantines go away.  I am betting there will be multiple doubleheaders and teams will feature the September / expanded rosters all year.  My guess is that quality pitching and pens will be more important than ever.  I suspect we see a 120 game season and maybe no all-star break to make way for 5-6 more games.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?

-The closer runs always surprise me.  Unfortunately, they're a necessary evil if you plan on winning.

-More teams focused on higher quality RP.  Historically, I was able to nab every RP target as they often go ignored.  

-Last surprise is how fast my team appears on paper...I generally ignore the stats and focus on quality hitting...which usually leads to my teams being pretty slow.  That is extremely concerning as fast teams generally have crappy hitting.  My ability to win the league depends on Vladito breaking out..if he does, I'll be a problem.  If Vladito and Yandy stink...i'll be fighting to stay up.  One pick can seriously make the difference in a league that is generally tight.  2 years ago I went Darvish over Verlander.  On the difference in their counting stats alone (not even counting ERA and WHIP) I would've won the league.  Not playing revisionist history but merely trying to illustrate how razor thin your margin of error is.

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?

See above. For those using the app, place Kingery @ 2B for my squad.
7loki
      SuperDude
      ID: 4211201420
      Mon, Mar 30, 2020, 17:51
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

To begin with I wanted the highest draft pick available which turned out to be #12. Next I wanted to draft my number one pitcher early on and was pleasantly surprised that Cole was available at 1.12. Finally, I wanted to draft a closer early because saves always seem to be my weakest category. After that all I wanted was to get the best player available when my turn came without regard to position. I also wanted to concentrate on getting Ks and SBs. My draft strategy went as planned.


2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?

Favorite picks:

Geritt Cole at 1.12-He will help in all SP categories. Getting those elusive Ws on the Yankees should not be the problem that DeGrom has had with the Mets.
Yoenis Cespedes at 17.12-I think if we have a season, the delay will enable his ankle to heal and he will be the sleeper of the year.
Or he could be the first player I drop.
Nelson Cruz at 4.05-Maybe 1 or 2 rounds early, but I have always liked him. At his age I could get burnt, but he has shown no signs of slowing down.
There is no pick in particular that I would like to do over.


3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

I have never been able to evaluate drafts from other teams in the league.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?

I was surprised by how fast the draft progressed.
I began playing in these leagues in 1998 and had never timed out, but I timed out 3 times. I know that times are crazy, but sorry nonetheless.

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?

No, I am happy with my draft
8holt
      ID: 491153264
      Mon, Mar 30, 2020, 21:17
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

I don't spend much time planning drafts. I like picking on the end if possible just so I don't have as many interruptions during the day. Picking 16th you have to pay a little less attention to ADP's and runs. Sometimes you get a good deal on a player, sometimes you have to reach. Also, I usually end up with only 5 guys who stay on my roster all season so I don't think it is crucial to "hit" with every pick. Generally though, my strategy leans toward drafting players with good ratios based on things like statcast, minor league stats, etc. Also, my overall strategy involves keeping in mind that there are some things that you can fix through free agency and some things that are essentially impossible to fix through free agency, so invest more heavily in things you can't fix later.



2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?

I fully expect regression but it's hard not to look forward to watching Yordan Alvarez this year. 4th round was a nice place to snag him. McNeil is the exact kind of player I like to draft. No hype, multi-position, consistent past production, quietly puts up big numbers, but doesn't hit so many homers that his ADP gets inflated. If Aguilar has a good year then I like the 23.16 spot where I got him, obviously.

Sale is clearly a do-over. The fantasy news coverage was just flat out terrible this year. Weak information. I also don't like Andrus because he's not a great hitter but it had to be done.



3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

I'm not using a spread sheet this year so I don't have any quick stats to refer to. FWIW, I guess I'd lean toward IAC's team because he took a route similar to mine. Invested heavily in starting pitching but stayed out of the saves chase enough that his offense is still capable.



4. What surprised you most about the draft?

Not exactly the draft, but drafting with no idea when the season will start and with such a small dribble of fantasy news leaking in, just weird!

Also, I think its cool (and surprising) that Graydog is attempting Marmol in RIBC. I don't think there is a good chance that it works but I applaud the attempt.



5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?

Some kind of approach that would have led me to draft a SS earlier. If you had told me that I would draft Andrus this year I would have argued with you about it but there he is, with his SLG stinking up my roster.

Another thing. Had I known that the season would be postponed and likely shortened, I probably would have taken a pick better than 16. It turned out that I had more free time to mess with the draft so no need to pick at the end, and also a shorter season means I have less time to improve through free agency. Seems like the top few players get a bit of a boost if we end up with a half season. So yes, I would re-do my draft position.
9mailedfoot
      ID: 597203018
      Mon, Mar 30, 2020, 22:14
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?
I do not have a structured plan or map for the draft. Most of my preparation is devoted to reading various writers’ opinions of players and their rankings and trying to determine what makes sense to me when there are discrepancies. Before the draft, I developed a simple cheat sheet based on Steamer projections and our league’s configuration. Since I am not sold on any one projection system, I only use this as a rough guide during the draft.

I feel like drafting is an intuitive process for me. Once the first round is done, my strategy is to take whatever perceived undervalued talent falls to me while filling out my roster, being mindful of ADP and positions I believe are thin. There are usually a few guys who I will target and reach for within reason. I’m satisfied with my team and think I executed the draft fairly well.

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?
I think the picks I am most excited about are Darvish, Kepler, Gallen, Wong, Canha, and Martinez. If these guys do well, my team should be good. I am also happy to have Ketel Marte. One of the writers who influenced a lot of my picks is Matt Williams (http://ffmercs.com/2020/02/matt-wi77iams-2020playerbreakdowns-index). I have enjoyed his breakdowns this year and am anxious to see results on these players.

I don’t have any serious heartburn over any of my picks. Looking back over it now, I do wonder how things might have played out if I had taken an OF instead of Neris in round 7. Laureano, Soler, and Schwarber are guys I like quite a bit and were gone by my 8th round pick. Only two relievers were taken in that stretch. On the other hand, relievers start to fall off at this point and I do want at least one solid closer. Damned if you do, damned if you don't, which is basically the story with this league.

3. Looking over all the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?
In no particular order Guru, Slizz, Smith and 9th, IAC

4. What surprised you most about the draft?
How the Coronavirus pandemic caused the suspension of spring training and the start of the season and created a seismic shift mid-draft in how players were viewed. As it increased in significance it made drafting seem more and more like a surreal exercise. It began to feel like a mock draft to me. Hopefully, everyone here is doing okay and we will have a baseball season.

Also, Graydog’s Marmol strategy; it will be interesting to see how this plays out. I can’t imagine punting two categories can be successful, but we shall see.

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?
No, not really
10Seattle Zen
      ID: 301361318
      Tue, Mar 31, 2020, 12:45
Hey, Slizz, yeah, we see you have to wait a bit before Kingery qualifies at second, but WTF are you going to do at first? Is it just me, or do I not see a single first baseman on your squad?
11I_AM_CANADIAN
      ID: 384502818
      Tue, Mar 31, 2020, 12:55
RE 10: Yandy Diaz has 1B elig... but yes, he may have an issue with 2B for a bit.
12Slizz
      ID: 53336714
      Tue, Mar 31, 2020, 12:58
Yandy cakes qualifies. ::crossing fingers::
13Graydog
      ID: 22461020
      Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 12:08
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

Apparently I employed something called the Marmol Strategy! Thanks for the link Slizz. This is my 3rd consecutive year doing this in RIBC. I came up with the idea because my 2nd son was being born 3 Marches ago and my oldest was having an operation at the same time. I knew I wouldn't have much time on my hands and this strategy allowed for less research into the draft - ignore starters! The first year it fell apart because my bullpen fell apart. Last year I finished 2nd in AAA with 115 points (47 pitching - I think). I accomplished this despite drafting Stanton and Votto with my first two picks who were total busts.

I went for the strategy one more year, mostly because its been fun to employ. To win I will need one manager not to go plus 130 for the season. To be successful I will need 45 to 50 pitching points and at least 70 batter points.

I am not sure if the condensed season will help or hurt me. It will throw more randomness into my fewer pitching innings leading to WHIP and ERA perhaps being more of a crapshoot. My larger bench may help though if there is more doubleheaders. We'll see.

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?

I liked Castellanos at pick 130 and Margot late. Not sure how I feel about Gurriel JR and Lowe in rounds 10 and 13.

3. Looking over all the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

Having spent zero time looking into starting pitching I am not the one to ask.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?

Not too much. Been doing these drafts for a while.

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?

No!

14RJ
      ID: 42338117
      Wed, Apr 01, 2020, 18:59
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?
Usually my plan is to take the best available guy with my pick and aim to take a top SP within the first 2-3 picks. This kinda worked out with obviously winning the lottery to take Trout. I though Torres was a good pick to bookend the second round and then Kershaw as my SP1.

2. What were your favorite picks? What picks would you like to do over?
Well it’s really hard to say at this point with not knowing when the season is going to start. I was happy with some of the younger guy I got like Dustin May and Austin Riley late in the draft. I was somewhat proud too of putting some pressure on the other leaguemates who picked after me. I sensed there would be a run on closers soon so that’s why I went ahead and scooped up who I saw as the best two available in Hand and Rogers.

3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?
In no particular order:

graydog: This manager had well thought out picks and is very deep with batting. I look forward to seeing how his “No SP” strategy works out, looks interesting.

beastimiked: All around. Balanced. If a couple of his relievers pan out he looks to be a legit contender.

I_AM_CANADIAN: Looks great on paper. Having a pair of aces in Verlander and Strasburg make him a threat. Also bats have a lot of pop.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?
It would have to be the corona. The draft was business as usual the first couple of days but then as the virus spread the season got delayed and I’m still not even sure we will have a season! This odd and tumultuous situation we are all facing certainly made me shift course and opt for guys that needed some time to recover but looked pretty solid last season. This was why I gambled on Mancini. He could well be back by opening day or some are now speculating, “Summer Training.”

5. If you could start the whole thing over, would you do anything differently?
Probably not too much, would have liked to own Luis Robert but it was trade off between that and getting two closers. Playing the speculative game in draft can be risky with closers so I’m hoping these two will hold up for the bulk of what we have of a season. Then maybe I can get lucky and add another guy along the way that emerges shrug 🤷‍♂️.

15I_AM_CANADIAN
      ID: 384502818
      Sun, Apr 05, 2020, 10:40
... a couple extra notes (based on "RIBC 2020: Consolidated Draft Summary"):

Reaches: Starling Marte @ 37th, Salvador Perez @ 197th, Caleb Smith @ 261th, Luis Urias @ 316th, Jackie Bradley Jr @ 348th

Discounts: Justin Verlander @ 60th, Jesus Luzardo @ 133rd, JD Davis @ 188, Avisail Garcia @ 229th, Garrett Richards @ 325th, Adam Ottavino @ 389th




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