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0 Subject: RIBC AAA International Rationales rounds 5-10

Posted by: mjd
- Sustainer [501381415] Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 14:55

Rounds 6-10
1For Hubble
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 15:30
6.01 Eric Gagne, RP, TEX Since I couldn¡¦t prepare as much as I wanted, I go with picks I feel comfortable with... Gagne is a HUGE risk. I know that... I also know that it could be a major steal. I think that round 6 is a good round to gamble. Key here is to grab Otsuka later (I did). Both of them should supply 100+ K¡¦s and 40 saves. Gagne will also (if he pitches that is) help a lot with the ratios, since I don¡¦t plan getting prime SPs. Very happy to have 50% of the French Canadian MLB player. (I¡¦ll try to get the other 50% in round 10-12)
2For WG
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 15:30
6.02 Chipper Jones, 3B, Atl With Chipper, Rolen, and Zimmerman still available, I had a tough choice choosing between them. Though Chipper will most likely get hurt and have the fewest AB (I'm thinking like 450), when healthy I still think he'll put up the best numbers of the three. I expect something between 80-90 R and RBI, around 27 HR, close to .400 OBP, and around .540 SLG.
3For Electroman
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 15:31
6.03 Bobby Jenks, RP, CWS Saves is a category that can have you searching for them all year, either through trades of the WW. I figured I would put myself in a good position by taking another top closer. I had the same tandem last year(Rivera and Jenks), and never had to worry. Jenks had some ?’s about his shoulder this spring, but it seems to be nothing.
4Mudge
ID: 13223138
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 16:18
[b] 6.04 Ryan Zimmerman 3B[/b] I thought about bolstering up my pitching with this pick, but Zimmerman had been out there too long. Even though he plays in one of the worst hitter's park in baseball, I love the way this guy produces (another of my mid .800 OPS guys with @ 200 R/RBI). Like a lot of youngsters, he could walk more, and I suspect he will develop a bit more patience in his sophomore year. But this pick keeps me still very low on speed.
5For jumpball
ID: 261542621
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 18:39
6.05 Scott Rolen, 3B, STL Yes, I know that Rolen is getting old . . . oh wait, that's the same thing I said in the last rationale. Maybe I should change my strategy to get the all-Ben Gay team! I wanted Zimmerman here, but got beaten by one pick AGAIN . . . I'm beginning to think that mudge is somehow able to read my mind. With Zim gone, I looked at the options -- eventually Rolen and Hideki rose to the top. I would have taken Hideki in a heartbeat if I didn't already have 2 OFs. However, since this is a team game, I decided having a 3B would be more important. Given that Rolen will spend some time on the DL this year, I'll pencil him in for 90/100/who cares/.380/.520 in 140 games.
6RoboGuru
ID: 261542621
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 18:49
6.06 Hideki Matsui, OF, NYY

This pick is a result of my indecision on my last pick. I decided to go with SP on that pick hoping that one of the 3 3B that I was watching would make it back to me on the upswing. I was shaky about the prospects since none of the teams picking between the 2 picks had drafted a 3B yet. As I had feared, Chipper, Zimm, and Rolen all came off in the 4 picks leading up to me. I considered Cano at this point, but I felt that the 2B pool was still too deep to jump in.
I finally decided on Matsui because I thought it was time to grab a 2nd OF and pre-injury last year he was as solid as anyone that was left. I'm looking for at least 100/100/2/.375/.500 from him, which I feel is a bargain in the 6th round.
8for jkaye
Donor
ID: 35616416
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 21:13
6.07 Erik Bedard, SP, Bal

Just couldnt resist adding another high-upside young pitcher. Like Hamels, Bedard was as good as they came in the 2nd half last year, and I consider Bedard less of a risk and think that he is ready to establish himself as one of the game's best.
9for mjd
Donor
ID: 35616416
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 21:14
6.08 Robinson Cano, 2B, NYY

Yikes, 2 Yankees in a row. Even though I not a big fan, I do think their players are very good and their overall lineup in a killer. I had 3 2B queued up here, Cano, Uggla , and Weeks as a last resort. I honestly thought I settle for Uggla or get stuck with Weeks as Cano had been in my Q since the last round. I liked Uggla at the top of the Marlin’s lineup, but I’ll take Cano and his little better power numbers near the bottom of the Yankee’s order.
10for TD
Donor
ID: 35616416
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 21:14
6.09 Nick Swisher, OF, 1B, OAK

I really wanted Robinson Cano with this pick. Unfortunately he went with pick 6.08. Others I was considering were Zimmerman and Matsui who went earlier in round 6. Swisher will get good numbers in all offensive categories except steals. His OBP is good despite his low average because he gets a lot of walks. I also like that he is eligiable for both 1B and OF. Considering Piere for his steals, but I was turned off by his low OBP, SLG, and RBIs. Also considered J.D. Drew, but was afraid he would get injured.
11Uptown Bombers
Donor
ID: 35616416
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 21:15
6.10 Chad Cordero, RP, WAS,

Tweedle dee, tweedle dum, I missed out on the closer run. Since I had no plans of punting saves, I get a middle of the pack closer. A few things about him made him standout from the other options. He shouldn’t hurt my ratios that much. His ERA spiked last year, but his WHIP and BAA were still strong, so maybe there’s a chance his ERA returns rates of 2-3 years ago. He has a decent enough K rate. He has job security. One bad thing about him that I’ve turned into a positive. The Nats stink, so he won’t get as many save chances as other guys. However, I expect that to translate into more wins than the average closer, as he’ll be in the game more in non-save situations. Overall, nothing flashy here, standard run of the mill pick trying not to finish dead last in the saves category.
12for jeffaggy
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 21:54
placeholder 6.11
13for jmeganychen
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 21:55
7.12
14for wolfer
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 21:56
6.13 Jorge Posada

I was looking for the best player available with this pick. Junding from all the drafts that I saw on the internet, I was mildly suprised that Posada was still available and could not pass Posada up.
15for fosten
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 21:57
placeholder 6.14
16Taxman
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 22:02
6.15 David Bush, SP, Mil

Finally back to the pre draft plan, which called for SP in rounds 4 and 5. Still looking for low WHIP, ok K (@150) and potential 15 game winner. Bush seemed to fit this bill as did Young of
San Diego. I took bush on basis of better offense. MIL may see the return of Harvey's wallbangers this season, helping the MIL SP to more victories. Glad to land Bush in round 6.
17Bandos
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Wed, Mar 14, 2007, 22:10
6.16 Brian Fuentes, RP, COL

AND

7.01 Francisco Cordero, RP, MIL


These picks were considered together so I'll rationale them together. Option A was closers. Option B was punting saves. I chose option A because the kind of closers who were worthy of this high a pick were still available. If only one of the three that I would have taken this high would have been here, I would have gone option B and punted saves. This was a very long and arduous decision process. Almost 70 hours between picks. I knew with my 2nd and third picks that I would miss the top tier of closers. There was too much upside in hitters in 4/5 to stretch for the second tier. Now with the 6/7 picks, the end of the second tier is available and in my top 15 of overall players. I thought I may be forced to take closers here and I was right. Fuentes and F. Cordero are just about the only safe, reliable, healthy closers left. In a 16 team league, all alone they should keep me in the middle of the pack. My other route was Helton and Schilling. Schill is far above the next tier of pitchers available and better than some already taken on my sheets but not without that pesky over 40 thing, and Helton is looking a bit balky already in ST, which is worrisome. Still the solid 1/2 in starters would have been nice and Helton's OBP could offset Hall's a bit. Still, I feel better with the closers who appear healthier. These two just beat out Gordon, who went several picks later.
18for Taxman
Donor
ID: 35616416
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 00:33
7.02 Chris Young, SP, SD Being a die hard Rangers fan, I always follow their traded SP as that normally indicates a great career shall follow (see Kevin Brown and watch Danks now with CWS...and Boston thought they had a curse..oh btw, does the name Sosa ring a bell..let see the President of the Tx Rangers at time of that trade is now your Commander in Chief) but I digress. Young pitches in spacious Safeco Park, has an above avg defense behind him and most importantly attended Highland Park High in Dallas, same school I would have attended had I not been "allowed" to go to military boarding school. But I digress, Young should win 15, era under 3.5, whip under .220 and have 200 K and is top drawer number 2 SP.
19for Fosten
Donor
ID: 35616416
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 00:33
7.03 placeholder
20for wolfer
Donor
ID: 35616416
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 00:34
7.04 Eric Chavez, 3B, Oak I was looking for either a second or a third baseman with this pick. The only other player that I had in mind with this pick was Weeks, but he was gone earlier. I know that Chavez struggled the last few years, but most of that was due to healt issues. When healthy, he can still produce, which I hope that he does this year.
21for Bash Brothers
Donor
ID: 35616416
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 00:34
7.05 placeholder
22for Aggy
Donor
ID: 35616416
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 00:34
7.06 placeholder
24Uptown Bombers
Donor
ID: 35616416
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 00:35
7.07 Brett Myers, SP, PHI

I was torn with this pick. Wasn’t sure if I wanted offense or pitching. Finally decided on leaving a 3 man queue, with Juan Pierre ranked first followed by Myers, then Matt Cain. Pierre was grabbed so I get my pitcher. Overall, I am happy with this pick. Certainly there is plenty of depth at the pitching position, but Myers is a solid addition to my staff. He’s on a good team which should translate into wins, should post solid K’s and decent ratios. The other pitchers I thought about here (Schilling, Schmidt) might outperform him, but I felt they came with a higher injury risk. With Sheets already on my team, I wasn’t ready to take that risk. I also read something on Yahoo I think, where Myers offered his services to the team as a closer option. Now, I don’t think that is going to happen, and it didn’t affect my pick, but wouldn’t that be something.
25for TD
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 00:36
7.08 J.D. Drew, OF, BOS

Drew will put up good numbers in all categories except steals if he stays healthy, but that is a big if. I was considering a 3rd starting pitcher, but there was still many that I liked about the same that were available and some would probably still be available next round. I still need to address needs for steals, middle infield, and a 2nd closer in later rounds. Nobody that fit these needs seemed worth drafting at this time.
30mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 00:49
7.09 Randy Johnson, SP, AZ

I see a return to form just getting out of the AL, let alone the AL East. Unit did not handle the spotlight well and really struggled at times. When not injured, he pitched real well, but inconsistency has reined. But now with off season back surgery and a return to his old stomping grounds, I think that if he can pitch 200 innings, he could be a value pick for my team. He’s more of a fly ball pitcher these days, so his ERA won’t be stellar, but if he can throw those 200 innings, his Ks and WHIP will be nice.
33for jkaye
ID: 261542621
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 01:33
7.10 Tom Gordon, RP, Phi

Who needs bats? I took my fourth straight pitcher with Gordon, and while I don't love the pick AT ALL, I think I had to tab a 2nd closer while the legit ones were still available. Last year I got Ryan and Ray in rounds 4 and 7 respectively and this year I drafted Putz and Gordon in those same rounds. I'll take it.
34RoboGuru
ID: 261542621
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 01:33
7.11 Richie Sexson, CI, SEA

I waivered on the direction of this pick for a while. I was looking to address CI, 2B, and SP at this point. The pool at 2B was still pretty deep so I felt I could wait for the upswing again. No single SP wowed me, so I figured I would let another round weed out that field. I ultimately decided that my best direction was taking the best power bat left in the infield to fill my CI spot. I really felt that Sexson hung around longer than he shouldve and I couldn't pass him up.

I'm hoping for +200 R+RBI and an OPS around .900.
35For Jumpball
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 12:02
7.12 Todd Helton, 1B, COL Yet another player that had a subpar 2006 season where nagging injuries was an issue . . . I'm starting to see a pattern with my picks! All I read about Helton is that there is nothing that's holding him back from being the Helton of old . . . well, with the exception of getting older. Helton has always been an OB machine and I expect that he will continue to do that with a decline in the power numbers. I don't expect the decline to be as severe as his fall from a late 1st round/early 2nd round pick from a year ago to a 7th rounder this year though. I believe he will give me great value at this point of the draft. I'm looking at 100/80/1/.430/.510 in about 150 games. Almost forgot to mention that I was also considering Sexson and Schmidt -- RG took Sexson off the table with the pick before me. I went with Helton simply because I knew he wasn't coming back with the next pick and Schmidt had about a 3% chance :-)
36Mudge
ID: 13223138
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 12:21
7.13 Delmon Young, OF, TB:

Obviously, I'm taking a risk with Young (as does every umpire who is behind the plate when he steps in). His notorious past notwithstanding, Young's potential upside is hard to pass up: assuming he plays regularly, he should steal bases (25), score runs (80), even drive a few in (80), and I expect he'll maintain a good slugging percentage (.480). Downside: OBA and his temper.
37Electroman
ID: 181372119
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 15:45
7.14 Torii Hunter, OF, Min

I wanted a second OF here. With my 8th round pick close, I figured I could get one of the SP I wanted in that round. I had my eye on Delmon Young, and thought that I was going to get him, until he went right before me at 7.13. Hunter has a pretty good lineup around him now, and hit 31 HR last year. I expect to have similar power #’s, and hopefully his ankle is healed enough that he can steal some bases here.
38For WG
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:14
7.15 Rocco Baldelli, OF, Tam Though I knew it was unlikely, I was hoping Matt Cain or Delmon Young would fall to me here. Unfortunately, neither did. Worse, I was stuck at school with a dwindling clock and no cheatsheets. Since I only had 1 OF so far, I figured I would just grab one of them. There were 3 SP I also considered (Harang, Schilling, Verlander) but I knew I would get one with my 8.02 pick. So I took Baldelli. Though some people call him a future 30/30 guy, I really don't see that happening any time soon. I would be happy with something like 80 R, RBI, 15 HR, 15 SB, .330 OBP, .465 SLG.
39For Hubble
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:15
7.16 Jason Schmidt, SP, LAD Another safe pick. I had Schmidt 3 times in last 4 years. Not as dominant as he used to be, Schmidt should at least duplicate his last year numbers. Now in LA I actually think he will improve in all 4 category, especially W¡¦s. I project 14W, 175 Ks, 3.50, 1.25. Not terrific, but solid. 8.01 Aaron Harang, SP, CIN Do I think Harang played above his head last year? Yes, Do I think he will be as good? No... Why pick him? If he does anything between his 2005 and last year #, I¡¦ll be happy. 14W, 175 Ks, 3.85, 1.27. Now, he did 216 K last year, 2nd in the majors to Santana.... that alone is an upside I¡¦m willing to take. I almost went for Schilling who went the very next pick... Will I regret it?
40For WG
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:15
8.02 Curt Schilling, SP, Bos Hubble took Harang, leaving me to choose between Schilling and Verlander. Though I think Verlander is great and will get even better, it might not happen this season, as most experts think an injury and regression is impending. I took Schilling knowing what I would get: around 15 W, 160 K, ERA a little over 4, WHIP around 1.24.
41For Electroman
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:16
8.03 Dontrelle Willis, SP, Fla Last year, I took my first SP in the 6th round, and it was Bartolo Colon, and we all know how well that worked. This year I decided to wait a couple of rounds. I was coveting Aaron Harang, and he got snagged just a couple of picks before me. To my surprise, Willis was still around. He struggled at the start last year, but finished pretty strong. I expect 15+ wins, and 150+ K’s.
42For Mudge
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:16
8.04 Dan Uggla, 2B, FLA

Once again, I was thinking starting pitching, starting pitching. But the run on these hurlers had not begun, so with Uggla--as with Zimmerman in the 6th and Delmon Young in the 7th--available to address gaping holes, I decided to let the pitchers go another round. My hope is that Uggla has made the necessary adjustments to correct his blah second half performance from last year, and if he can find the happy medium (say, an .825 OPS with 175 R/RBI) then I, too, will be happy.
43For Jumpball
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:17
8.05 Rich Harden, SP, OAK, Yet another player that had a injury filled 2006 season . . . I drafted Harden last year and he's the main reason why I'm in AAA this year instead of the majors. I know a lot of managers wouldn't take a player like that a year later. Maybe I'm crazy, but I STILL like his upside. If he stays reasonably healthy, I'm hoping for 25-28 starts with a nice K ratio of about 8 per game with 12-13 Ws, an ERA around 3.40 and a WHIP at 1.20 or below.
44For Roboguru
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:18
8.06 Brandon Phillips, 2B, PHI

As I said in my last rationale, I was targeting my CI, 2B, or SP on this pair of picks. Since I went with the CI on the last one and SP still looked pretty deep, I decided to grab a 2B before the rush on them began(turns out I may have started the little rush I was afraid of). I had my pick of 2B and I considered Kinsler, Barfield, and Iguchi as well. I chose Phillips for the potential SB he offers. I'm hoping for 150 R+RBI, 25 SB, and OPS near .800.
45For jkaye
ID: 13223138
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:30
8.07 Ian Kinsler, 2B, Tex Huge potential here at a weak position. Power, speed, favorable park are all things to like about Kinsler.
46for mjd
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:32
8.08 Hank Blalock, 3B, Tex Just trying to plug in holes with who I think might be the best player available or at least the player with the most up side. Blalock is yet another guy who could be comeback player of the year or a placeholder for a rookie called up after the ASB for my team. Off season shoulder surgery will hopefully get him out of the tailspin he been since his stellar 2003 season as a 22 year old. He’s always been a product of Ameriquest Field, but I’m OK with that, this team needs another power bat. He’s been too much of a disappointment the last few years to expect a massive recovery, but I’ll be optimistic and hope for 25 to 30 dingers and 90 to 100 RBI s.
47for TD
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:36
8.09 Ryan Freel, 2B,3B,OF, CIN I hadn't drafted a middle infielder, and needed someone who could get me some SBs. Freel fit both those needs. His OBP is not as bad as some other SB leaders I considered. Negative is he is injury prone. I like his multi-position versatility.
48for Uptown B
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:36
8.10 Adam Laroche, CI, PIT Mainly I was looking for a solid hitter. While I could use some help in the OF, it seemed a bit early for some of the guys I am targeting. Laroche put up solid numbers last year and I hope for some improvement since he is still young. I would be happy with a repeat performance of last year. I also considered Adrian Gonzalez, but ultimately felt Laroche as the safer pick. Gonzalez has more upside for a breakout year, but I fell confident that I know what I’m getting with Laroche.
49for jeffaggy
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:37
placeholder 8.11
50For BB
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:45
8.12
51For wolfer
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:46
8.13 Jared Weaver, SP , LAA I was looking for another starter with this pick with hopefully a low WHIP. I took Weaver because he was great when he was in the big leagues last year and he can only improve.
52For Fosten
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:46
8.14
53For Taxman
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:47
8.15 Willie Tavaras, OF, COL By now most of the SB locks are off the board. Not having any SB potential in the 1st 6 rounds, I felt like I should take a flyer on Taveras who becomes my third Rocky. Projected as the lead off hitter for the Rockies Taveras can be a 2 tool contributor as he should score often ( @ 110 R) as well as steal bases (@ 45) should he get on base. That's the downside. Willie will give my OBP (@ .320) and SLUG % (@ .340) the wet willie and not contribute to RBI's (@ 40)/ Sometimes you have to give to get.
54Bandos
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:51
8.16 Jonathan Papelbon, SP, RP?, BOS

What a bitch! The two guys who I really thought would be here were just taken. Freel and Gordon were the two who I really thought I would be able to land given how the other RIBC drafts have gone. What this means is that there is some inefficiency, and someone must have slipped a bit, as my picks generally stink:) Sure enough, Papelbon, Thomas and Burrell should all be gone. As I have two OF already, Burrell would not be the best pick.(He went with the next pick to Taxman); Thomas(went middle round), while I love the numbers he will put up if healthy, will be DHing on turf - and is only a util player. As I have a need at CI and MI after my two closer turn, neither really fit the bill. So Papelbon it is. While I have some other starters rated higher, I am going homer here with BoSox. Papelbon has the following positives: he is young, throws hard, has proven the ability to get MLB hitters out, and is the right age to have a great year. While I do NOT think the Sox will make him a reliever again, if he did end up as closer for the second half, that wouldn't upset me. Hoping for a sub 4 ERA, a sub 1.3 whip, close to 200 k's if he gets to 200+ innings, and 14+ wins. If he closes, the 20 saves will offset the lower K and win number. NO chance he would have made it back to me. On a personal note, it is nice to see 3 BOS SP go before a single NY one :)
55Bandos
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 16:59
9.01 Stephen Drew, SS, AZ

So... how does drafting Papelbon help my MI/CI dilemma? Well, it doesn't!? But that is the beauty of having two picks back to back. On the short list are Stephen Drew, Teahen, "Undrafted" and Tracy. Tracy has been falling in many drafts and I might get him the next go around. Same with "Undrafted", who I hate anyhow. It would be like drafting a Yankee. Icky! So here's hoping for Tracy next time I pick (got 'em!)cuz I'm going with Drew and the SS/MI eligibility over Teahen and his monster second half (taken with pick 9.04). Drew is certainly at the top of my list of SS still available and has been going around here in most drafts. Here's to an .850 OPS and solid (read high 80's) counting stats for the youngster.
56Taxman
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 17:10
9.02 Pat Burrell, OF, PHI

Got steals with previous pick. I thought Burrell would be gone by now and I have chosen at this point in the draft to blow off saves and chase the hitting categories. Burrell will help in all hitting categories except steals. I expext .385 OBP, .460 SLUG, 95 Runs and 110 RBI. The known closers couldn't produce 3 places in the standings for me and Burrell might help as many as 8 places with the numbers he is capable of producing. A great 9th round pick.
57for fosten
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 21:39
placeholder 9.03
58for wolfer
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 21:40
9.04 Mark Teahen , 3B , KC I was looking for any bat that can play multiple positions. Teahen, after he was recalled from the minors last year, he hit over .300. He will probably get a lot of time in the outfield this year, which is also a plus.
59for BB
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 21:41
placeholder 9.05
60for aggy
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 21:42
placeholder 9.06
61for Uptown
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ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 21:43
9.07 Jason Isringhausen, RP, STL If I’m going to get any where near the middle of the pack in saves, I felt I needed to take my 2nd closer here. There are plenty of managers below me who might be thinking the same thing. I passed on the first run of closers to them and can’t let that happen again, otherwise I might get left with Mel Rojas. Izzy struggled last year. It’s been attributed to his hip, at least not his arm. Part of this pick is karma. I drafted him last year and he burned me. It’s time for him to pay me back some. Would have taken Wickman instead if he was still around.
62for TD
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ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 21:44
9.08 Edgar Renteria, SS, ATL I needed a SS and considered Renteria the best of those remaining. Will produce a fair number of runs and get 15-20 SBs. OBP and SLG are only a little below average of all starters. Considered FSanchez, but he wouldn't give me as may SBs and wouldn't be significantly better in any other category. Also considered Cameron and Cuddyer, but I preferred getting a SS here. I will need to address pitching next round.
63mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 21:45
9.09 Mike Cameron, OF, SD I really needed an OF, it came down to 3 players and as a leadoff man, Cameron made the first cut. Potential 20-25 SB, 15-20 HR, offers a nice combo of speed and power for my team. Been somewhat of a health risk, but I was surprised to read that he’s has played in 140 games in 7 out of the last 8 years. .
64for jkaye
ID: 261542621
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 22:53
9.10 Frank Thomas, Util, Tor Ugh. I don't like this pick. Cameron was who I wanted and went one spot ahead. I had Thomas listed but I have a bad feeling about it. Hopefully he stays healthy and gives me a 900 OPS from Util slot.
65RoboGuru
ID: 261542621
Thu, Mar 15, 2007, 22:53
9.11 Justin Verlander, SP, DET

And the 3rd piece of the puzzle I started in the 7th round falls into place. I was actually eyeing Verlander in round 8, so I was thrilled that he made it to me with this pick. He pitched well last year for the first 4 months (14-4), but wore out down the stretch. I have faith that he has worked on his conditioning and stamina over the winter.
66For Jumpball
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:18
9.12 Freddie Sanchez, 2B/SS/3B, PIT Finally I pick a player who was healthy in 2006. Oh wait, he had a career year too. No I'm not expecting him to repeat his numbers of last year, but if he can come close, this will be a good pick. His versatility along with an expected 85/80/2/.350/.470 will be just fine for my 2nd MI. I also like the fact that he's projected to hit 3rd in the order, in front of Bay. This was the first of 4 consecutive picks made via queue. I got extremely busy with a production issue at work and all I had time for was to add some guys to my queue once in a while and hope that when I got back to actually doing some analysis, that the queue picked players at different positions! When originally created, the queue had S. Drew, Zito, Renteria, Valverde, and Wickman ahead of Freddie with 12 picks in front of me.
67For Mudge
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:18
9.13 Michael Cuddyer, OF, MIN Figured I'd work on my outfield, and I selected Cudduyer in part because of where I think he'll end up in the order (between Mauer and Morneau) and in part because he should settle in as a regular outfielder. As such, I trust he'll get his fair shares of both runs and RBI while cranking out 40 doubles and 25 HR.
68For electroman
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Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:19
9.14 Josh Barfield, 2B, Cle I wasn’t sure if I was going to get a 2B or 3B is this spot. I had left a Q with Barfield on top, because I wasn’t sure if he would be around much longer after seeing players like Brandon Phillips gone. I wanted to be sure I would get a 2B who would steal some bases. Last year, I didn’t value SB’s like I should have, and was searching for them all year. He had a very solid year last year, and should build on it this year especially going into a hitters park.
69For WG
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Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:19
9.15 Todd Jones, RP, Det I still had no closer, and only saw a few decent ones remaining (Jones, Dotel who I got later, Borowski, Torres, Dempster, Benitez). After checking some rankings, I went with Jones, thinking he won't lose his job to Zumaya right away if at all this season. I expect something like 25 S, 45 K, 4.25 ERA, 1.3 WHIP.
70For Hubble
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Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:20
9.16 Morgan Ensberg, 3B, HOU Another Astros player who had a bad year (I have Lidge too). His SLG went down 0.094 pts... but his OBP went up to 0.396. We all need a 3B right? Ensberg is hitting behind Berkman and Lee... and has the potential to 80R, 90RBI, 0.400, 0.500... I¡¦ll try to get some depth at 3B just in case. 10.01 Ray Durham, 2B, SF Last year in RIBC, my team sucked real bad, and my best player (beside Beltran) was Durham. I owe him a place on my line-up. And he should hit 4th . I don¡¦t expect as good # as last year¡¦s, but I still think he is best 2B avalaible at this point by far and I feel confident he will outperform some taken before him. That would make him a good pick, no matter what round we are.
71For WG
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:20
10.02 Rich Hill, SP, Chc I considered grabbing another closer here, but figured one would still be there for me later on since most people already had 1-2 closers. Instead I wanted to grab Hill, a guy whom every expert in the country and I are pretty big on this year. Though it might be asking too much, I expect something like 12 W, 170 K, 4 ERA, 1.25 WHIP.
72For electroman
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Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:20
10.03 Joe Crede, 3B, CWS With Crede, I get a power hitting 3B. He had a great year last year. He improved his numbers across the board. At 28, I don’t expect him to re
73For mudge
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Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:21
10.04 A.J. Burnett, SP, TOR IF this guy stays healthy (a big if, I concede) and pitches 200 innings, he'll produce right along with that second tier of starters (15 wins, just under a strikeout an inning, 3.60 ERA, 1.25 Whip). If not, I'll still say it was worth the gamble.
74For jumpball
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Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:21
10.05 Joe Borowski, RP, CLE When I created the queue (see 9.12 rationale), Todd Jones, Jessie Barfield, Ray Durham and Borowski followed. Borowski was the only one left in my queue for this pick, so I got him. Looking back on who was available at the time, this may be the pick that haunts me, although it's possible that he'll turn out to be a reliable closer for Cleveland.
76For jkaye
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:22
10.07 Coco Crisp, OF, Bos My first OF taken. Another risk in terms of injury, but there's no reason to think Crisp cant get healthy again and be productive at the top of the BoSox lineup.
77For mjd
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:22
10.08 Cory Patterson, OF, Balt A leftover from my round 9 queue. This is a rationale I should have written before the pick, but since he was picked from my Q, that was not possible. I’m just now reading that Patterson will be a CF platoon in Baltimore. He’s terrible against lefties anyhow, but at this point in the draft, I’m more interested in drafting full time players. Oh well, that should help his percentages, but it will also cut down on his SB opportunities
78For td
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Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:22
10.09 Bronson Arroyo, SP, CIN I have drafted 3 pitchers vs. 6 hitters in the first 9 rounds. Since pitchers are worth half the points, I wanted to draft another pitcher. None of the remaining closers seemed worth drafting yet. Most are likely to not be closing by the middle of the season. Arroyo is above average in all pitching categories except saves. He started and finished last season strong, but had a rough midseason.
79For Uptown Bombers
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:23
10.10 Chris Young, OF ARI As I noted in the discussion thread, I was really hoping for Corey Patterson with this pick. When he was nabbed by mjd, I had to so a lot of rethinking about what to do. I went into this pick wanting to find some steals, and of course I needed another outfielder. After Patterson, I had Dave Roberts in my sights. Roberts provides a great boost in steals without hurting the % cats. My only issue was whether or not there was another player worth taking here that could provide that combination that has more "upside" than Roberts. Clearly then, Chris Young became an option. I'll have to admit that I don't really know a lot about him, but as I researched before my pick came up, I started to think that this was my guy. A top prospect for sure, he's slated to bat leadoff. So I took a gamble as my second OF, leaving me feeling fairly uncomfortable, but such is fantasy sports. If gambles pay off, it means you compete for the championship. If not, you try again next year. It didn't surprise in me in the least when Roberts was picked by Bandos with his next pick since he had voiced his displeasure with me stealing his pick. We were certainly thinking on similar terms in this round. Here's hoping Bandos's rationale on Roberts is spot on and that Roberts works out for him and Young blossoms this year.
80For aggy
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:23
10.11
81For BB
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:23
10.12
82For wolfer
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 16:24
10.13 Magglio Ordonez OF DET I was looking for a vetran outfielder with this pick. Some outfielder from San Francisco was being considered here, but I wanted to go with a safer pick. Ordonez hit .300 in his two years in Detroit, with numbers that should increase with the addition of Gary Sheffield.
83For Fosten
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Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 18:12
10.14
84For Taxman
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 18:12
10.15 Tadahito Iguchi, 2B, CWS The 32 yr old and consisttant Iguchi is not to be confused with reknown designer of women's hand bags or elite MLB 2B. On the other hand, he is not chopped liver. His numbers will be at or within 10% points of the top RIBC team averages for OPB and SLUG (no help, but definitely ho hurt). Batting 2nd in front of the heavy hitting PaleSox 3-4-5 hitters should net 95 runs. He will toss in a dozen steals and 65 RBI becoming a contributor to the average, but bringing down any of the 5 offensive categories.
85Bandos
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ID: 279492419
Fri, Mar 16, 2007, 18:14
10.16 Dave Roberts, OF, SF

Mysteriously, Dave Roberts projects incredibly high. It is obviously due to his 40+ SB potential, above average OBP and a SLG that might approach .410. I couldn't risk him falling further since I do not have a tier 1 stolen base threat. And that's why he is my pick. I need those bags and my SLG can take the hit. He has been #1 on my Q since I made my last picks and am very happy to have him here. I did not consider anyone else with this pick but had Chris Young been available, I would have had to really think if those extra SB were worth passing on the HUGE upside (read 30/30 potential) of Young. Nice pick Bombers.
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