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Subject: AAA PCL RATIONALES
Posted by: judy
- Leader [7771722] Thu, Mar 12, 2009, 10:44
Time to figure out why we picked the players we did.
List picks first and then paragraphs to discuss. I'll do an example after my #5 pick.
Remember, do not mention players not yet picked!! |
| 1 | judy
Leader
ID: 7771722
Thu, Mar 12, 2009, 11:24
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1.08 JIMMY ROLLINS PHL SS
2.09 ARAMIS RAMIREZ CHC 3B
3.08 DAN HAREN AZ SP
4.09 BRIAN MCCANN ATL C
5.08 CARLOS MARMOL CHC RP
N/B The ranking numbers I mention are, of course, projected -- so they really mean nothing...
For the first round I knew I wanted Rollins, Utley or Howard. Since I had Howard last year I decided to
select between Utley and Rollins, and I took Rollins because of the R and SB potential. Rollins ranking was
15, 10, 15, 10 (all players).
In the second round I was looking for some OBP and SLG in an IF, so I chose Ar Ramirez, whom I had never
heard of before! His ranking was really varied -- from 33, 42, 42, up to 82. He is supposed to be batting
clean up in a nice offense. Whatever -- strange rationale for a #2 pick I think.
For round #3, I REALLY wanted Hamels -- I had him last year -- and in retrospect, I should have taken
him in round #2, but I really thought he would get back to me, but then again, mjd was picking right
before me and I should have known he would never let Hamels fall to me! But Jaydog -- a Mets fan --
snatched him up! I am heartbroken, but I will survive. So for round #3, I took Haren, who as far as I could
tell should have a good year, but then mjd told me he ended up benching him last year. So I guess we
shall see. I was looking for W, K and WHIP here. His overall ranking (all players ) was 40, 40, 41, 50 so I
guess I took him at about the “correct” spot. Among SP, his ranking was 8, 8, 9.
For round #4, there were no more top 5 position players except at one position so I decided to shake up
the draft even more than it already is and draft a catcher!! I chose McCann because I was impressed
whenever I saw him play. I am looking for RBI and SLG from him. I was really excited to get him. His
overall ranking was 44, 47, 39, 47. Also last year my C stunk and I spent a lot of time switching them in
and out, dropping and adding. Hopefully, I will stick McCann in the lineup and not have to worry.
For round #5, I wanted a top closer, but Beastie snatched Lidge away, so I went with Carlos Marmol.
Based on the cheat sheets I used, he seemed to be OK as a closer. I chose him over XX because of lower
WHIP and more K’s. His overall ranking (all players) was 91, 91, 103, N/A (one list only went to 50.).
Among RP he was 7, 6, 9.
So now I have one each at SP and RP and some decent IF hitters...
I have no idea what I am doing from here on out... With my draft spot, there are 14 or 16 players chosen
in between my picks and I can’t see a pattern in our draft...if there is one to be had!
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| 2 | Adam
ID: 32110188
Thu, Mar 12, 2009, 13:14
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1.02 – Hanley Ramirez
2.15 – Josh Beckett
3.02 – Jake Peavy
4.14 – Joey Votto
5.02 – Jonathan Broxton
Round 1: I was more than pleased to grab Ramirez at #2 overall. He will provide me production in every offensive category at a premium position. I had *some* concerns that he’s coming off surgery but I’m willing to take that risk. I really didn’t consider anyone else here. There’s a lot of consistently elite players this early, so you just pick one and hope he stays healthy.
Round 2: Beckett in the second round was kind of a “homer” pick. I was dead set on drafting a pitcher and actually liked Peavy a little more but the Padres will make him suffer in Wins. I’m hopeful Beckett will regain his “ace” status and rack up 20 wins and 170 K’s to compliment a solid, if not spectacular, ERA and WHIP. I am sending him some hand cream to prevent blisters this weekend….
Round 3: I seriously considered 3 options here: Peavy, Hamels, and Manny. I decided that Hanley gives me solid production across the board offensively that I could eschew a hitter for another solid arm to give me a 1-2 punch. I passed on Peavy last round because of his low Wins total and I was in the same predicament again. I took him this time because I can count on K’s and good rate stats, especially in that ballpark. I have Hamels in a different league so I was hedging my bets, in a strange sort of way, as well.
Round 4: I was extremely glad to land Votto here and found myself checking the website the 5-6 picks before I was up, holding my breath to see if someone would snag him. Maybe I’m crazy, but I think he can get to double digit steals (look at his minor league track record) in addition to the above average power, obp, and counting stats. I really think he can surpass many of the projections I have seen for him based on….well, nothing…but I am drinking the Joe Votto kool-aid!
Round 5: I actually can’t stand this pick but felt that I had to make it (great, I am getting derailed in round 5, this does not bode well). Rivera went on the turn and I fear that I’ll miss out on the top tier of closers if I wait 28 more picks to address it. I think the Dodgers should compete in a mediocre NL West and Broxton has the chance to rack up 35-40 saves. He’s got great stuff and will help my ERA, WHIP, and K total as he works on accumulating those saves. I contemplated some closers from superior teams (Marmol and Lidge in particular) but just went with my gut on Broxton. Sure enough, those two guys went in the next 6 picks. Hopefully a few more closers go in rounds 5-6 to make me feel better about this choice.
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| 3 | Valkyrie
Dude
ID: 47042413
Thu, Mar 12, 2009, 17:29
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1.13 Beltran
2.04 (20) Brian Roberts
3.13 (45) Iciro Suzuki
4.04 (52) Joe Nathan
5.13 (77) Steve Victorino
Round 1- at pick 13 you are just reacting not planning strategy so I took the best available 5 stat player.
Round 2- Took Brian Roberts here- a bit of a stretch but I,like his speed, runs and Bat avg at a scarce position.
Round 3- Took Ichiro- although he is aging I was surprised he was still available so I continue speed, runs, Bat Avg. emphasis
Round 4- Hadn't planned on taking a closer this early but with 24 picks before my next one I panicked a little and took a top closer-The last couple years I punted saves and payed dearly for my decision (Wiggs always claimed the next closer to be LOL and since Wiggs is in this league with me again I figured I better assure a middle of the pack position with closers.)
Round 5- Steve Victorino- again another stretch but consistent with my speed,runs average and I hope the lead off hitter for an offensive powerhouse. Besides I think Ofers are one of the thinner positions for 3 category contributors.
Overall I will be hurting for RBI's and power and am about where I expected to be picking out of the 13th hole.
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| 4 | youngroman
Donor
ID: 02934823
Thu, Mar 12, 2009, 18:18
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0.09 selection of 9th pick
at the time where I picked my draft postion I had no idea what type of talent I can expect in the 1st round. I like picking in the middle of a draft and 1.09 was the lowest pick available.
1.09 Miguel Cabrera, 1B/3B, DET
like a few days earlier when I selected my draft position, I still haven't prepared for the draft. I collected a list of interesting sites tough, and that is what I did when I was up. search through all of them and look who in their top15 is still available and what the so called experts think. Cabrera was mentioned earlier than 9th and often as a potential AL MVP. add his multi-position-eligibility at 1B/3B and his youth compared to many other first round picks and you know some of the reasons why I picked him. I haven't looked to deep into various projections, so I don't know what I should expect in detail. I only know that I expect a lot.
2.08 Lance Berkman, 1B, HOU
he is the first recurring member of my team. I drafted him last year at 2.13, so 2.08 is not that far off. If he starts as hot as last year I can only hope that this hotness lasts a little bit longer than last year. Not much more to say.
3.09 Carlos Lee, OF, HOU
I don't like picking pitchers early. Every time I tried it they were busts because of injury or whatever. So I looked at the remaining sluggers. Carlos Lee is Mr. Consistency. Look at his averages year by year and you get a feeling what he can and will provide this season. that is too much proven value at this point, to not draft him.
4.08 Roy Oswalt, SP, HOU
I was not planning to take a pitcher here. I researched some of the remaining batters and was not really comfortable with all of them. It is still too early to take a catcher, to only have a good player at that position, but an average player overall. the only valuable players are all outfielders. I checked Guerrero, Granderson and others and all had some issues. out of curiosity I took a quick look at pitchers. a closer would be too early so I searched through the top remaining starting pitchers and found Oswalt. he had a terrific last 4 months last season, so his stuff and durability are there. that put him way ahead of all the other remaining SPs.
I don't see a problem with him playing in the WBC. he gets the same amount of pitches than other SPs in their 2nd spring training start. it may help him to get sharper at the start if the season. his WBC start wasn't that perfect tough, but the same can be said to CC Sabathias last start and he is the top SP in most rankings and drafts.
5.09 Vladimir Guerrero, OF, LAA
as you see in my round 4 rationale I already thought about him a round ago, but did not take him because of health concerns. a day later there is still no new information of his status other than he should be fine in around 2 weeks, which should be enough. playing in the AL may help him seeing at bats early if he is not ready yet playing the outfield. I am expecting similiar stats to his career average which are close to those of Carlos Lee whom I took 2 rounds ago. my batting looks to be in good shape with some sure bets, now I need to figure out if I want to go MI/C or SP/RP next. we will see.
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| 5 | MattG
ID: 81282018
Thu, Mar 12, 2009, 18:57
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Pick 1.14 Justin Morneau 1B Minnesota Twins - This is a little early for me to select Morneau, however I don't think it is too early to panic. His numbers last year were respectable, .300 23 129. With 3 1B already off the board I saw a huge drop off before next tier. I believe his numbers will possibly be improved this year with the addition of another potential power righting into the lineup the twins have a chance to go LRLR in the middle of the order in order to prevent pitchers from pitching around him. Other potential picks for this slot were Fielder, Upton and Holiday.
Pick 2.03 Evan Longoria 3B Tampa Bay Rays - .272 27 and 85 last year, is this too early for him? Possibly, but being in the majors for an entire year will benefit him greatly. I see 35+ and 110 RBis with an average in the .280. Combine that with my first round pick and as long as the rest of my players don't hint less than 10 HRs all combined, I'm in decent shape. AlsoI find it's harder to find upper tier IFs than it is OFs or pitching.
Pick 3.14 Matt Kemp OF Los Angeles Dodgers - Did not want to pick an OF here but after a long run in the 3rd round I didn't want to get shut out of the better ones. Kemp was the best left.
Pick 4.03 Franciso Liriano SP Minnesota Twins - Again didn't want to draft an SP here, but after a run on SPs I thought it was time to get one in. I could have gone with Oswalt or Billingsly here but decided that Liriano had the biggest upside.
Pick 5.14 Jon Lester SP Boston Red Sox - With the run on SP's still happening I had Lester in the second tier with Liriano. I could have waited a round and had Liriano and two guys from the 3rd tier of my rankings, or I can take lester here and wait a few rounds for a 3rd tier guy.
Right now I have a potential for .290 avg 90 hrs 350 RBIs 300 Rs 30 wins and over 300 Ks from 5 players. I'm pretty happy with that even though I need to pick up some SB and Saves.
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| 6 | mybadteam
ID: 320482521
Thu, Mar 12, 2009, 21:35
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1.10 Ryan Howard – Since this league doesn’t count BA it’s hard to go wrong with a guy knocks in close to 150 runs every year. I had him ranked 3rd overall in this league so grabbing him at 10 was a no brainer.
2.07 Alex Rodriguez - This pick was made after his surgery, so I’m feeling pretty optimistic right now. If I can get him back to full A-Rod form by mid-June he’ll be a steal in the second round. And quite frankly he’s got a lot to prove this year so he’ll be motivated.
3.10 Brandon Phillips – 20/20 potential at 2B? I’ll take that every time. Phillips was the last of the top tier 2 baggers and there is a pretty big drop from him to the next guy so the pick made sense. I had him ranked 47 overall so in a 16 team league I may have reached a bit, but he wasn’t going to make it back around.
4.07 Russell Martin – What’s not to like, and now that he’s got 3B eligibility it makes him a nice flex play when needed.
5.10 Bobby Abreu – Talk about consistency, 100/15/100/20 each of the past 3 years. Place him in a better environment with LAA and I’m happy to start my OF with Abreu.
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| 7 | Slackjawed Yokel
ID: 47227122
Thu, Mar 12, 2009, 22:50
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When I chose the 3rd overall pick (2nd was also open at the time), I did it thinking I'd be happy to get whomever was left over from ARod, Pujols, and Hanley Ramirez.
1.03 David Wright, 3B, NYM
My original plan kinda was shot with ARod's injury, but I'm still happy with Wright. He's now the top 3B in the game and offers stolen bases in addition to solid power categories.
2.14 Roy Halladay, SP, TOR
I always regret pitching pitchers early, but I couldn't pull the trigger on any of the similar hitter options out there (two of the hitters I was considering I actually got with my next two picks). So, then I looked at starting pitchers - I narrowed it down to Hamels and Halladay, and Halladay seemed like the sure bet.
3.03 Kevin Youkilis, 1B, BOS
This may have been a bit early for Youkilis, but with his 1b/3b eligibility and his huge numbers last year (and his continued improvement each year) I thought it was worth it. I also may have been swayed by seeing him in the WBC the other day hit a home run on the 11th pitch of an at-bat.
4.14 Adam Dunn, 1B, WAS
I'm not sure why Dunn fell so far. His poor batting average doesn't matter in this format not when he gets a 100 walks a year. It could be that not much is expected out of him in Washington, but I think he'll still get his long balls.
5.03 Dan Uggla, 2B, FLA
I thought about getting a closer here, and probably should have seeing the run afterwards. But, as closers often can be a crapshoot, I decided to pick up my first middle infielder. I had Uggla a couple of years ago and remember last year being impressed with his regular production. So, basically what it came down to was that I decided that a MI with 30 hr's and 90 rbi at this stage draft should be more valuable than the difference between a closer I'd get here and what'll be available in a couple rounds.
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| 8 | Flying Polack
Sustainer
ID: 378582811
Fri, Mar 13, 2009, 07:35
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1.01 BJ Upton 1.15
Didn't like any of my options here, so I opted for SB with Power upside. BJ had 24 HR's in 2007, but dropped to only 9 last season with a nagging shoulder injury. He steals increased from 22 to 44. After offseason shoulder surgery I'm looking for mid-30's steals and .500+ slugging percentage.
Didn't really consider anyone else, I guess Lincecum and Johan a little bit, but not too seriously.
When I got the draft slot, I was hoping to get Utley, however once reports were clear he'd play in April, I knew that wouldn't happen.
Prince Fielder 2.02
Prince was the last player on my cheat sheet projected with 100+ Runs/RBI's.
I almost went with Lincecum here, but I decided the drop off in hitters was too severe. He was pretty tempting though
Chipper Jones 3.15
With Chipper you are guaranteed two things, he's going to hit and be injured. The last 5 years he's played 137, 109, 110, 134 and 128 games.
As BMD pointed out, that can be a problem in deep leagues. I agree with him, however, I think that is more of a problem after the draft when you lose a key player unexpectedly. In the 3rd round? That leaves plenty of time for contingency planning.
Considering A-Rod, who is guarenteed to miss 30 games, went 24 picks earlier, I'm quite happy with Chipper's value here. I actually think they are pretty good comparisons for each other, especially since A-Rod will certainly run less after hip surgery.
I didn't consider anyone else, once the 3rd round begin I was hoping Manny or Chipper would drop to me.
Nate McLouth 4.02
Tough, tough pick. The player I really wanted was Joey Votto, but I didn't want to spend 3 of my first 4 picks on corner infielders.
I also looked hard at Oswalt, but he just didn't feel right. The combo of the WBC and last year's slow start just didn't sit right.
I finally settled on McLouth because he's a nice OB%, SLG%, SB combo... potentially a five-category player, but obviously the R/RBIs depend on the lineup around him.
Felix Hernandez 5.15
I targeted a high K/9 pitcher in this spot from the beginning. I also considered John Lackey; in hindsight I probably would have taken Lackey here and hoped for Felix in the 6th. I'm curious if Wiggs would have taken Felix at the turn.
I would have liked to see Soria drop to this spot. He was a nice value at 5.11, he was as valuable as Papelbon last season, who went 3.01. He was 2nd in my closer rankings
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| 9 | ksoze
Leader
ID: 04619323
Fri, Mar 13, 2009, 08:57
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1.04 - Jose Reyes, SS
2.13 - Nick Markakis, OF
3.04 - Manny Ramirez, OF
4.13 - Chad Billingsley, SP
5.04 - Victor Martinez, C
Round 1, went for the best, most complete fantasy player available who wasn't going to be out of action for months. When I chose spot 4 to pick from my thoughts were that I'd get one of the players who went 1 - 3 here, or ARod. When ARod went down, I had to adjust.
Rounds 2 and 3 I was looking to make up for the lower OBP and SLG that I'll get out of Reyes as a round 1 pick. With any luck Markakis will be as good as expected and Manny, taken in round 3, will be even better. I doubt there's any way he would have slipped to the 36th pick of the draft if not for his tumultuous off season.
In round 4 I was looking to anchor my pitching staff since I felt my lineup was shaping up quite well. 14 pitchers taken in the first 60 picks isn't necessarily a large amount but I wasn't thrilled with Billingsley as my anchor. I'm not yet sold on him as a top of the rotation guy, but he was my best bet here, mostly because of his K and win potential on a team with an improved lineup with Manny back... in a weak division.
V. Martinez in round 5 was kind of reactionary to the problems Mauer is having with his back this spring, I was ready to take Mauer here for his OBP but changed my mind. VMart will hopefully be in the lineup every day while playing 1st some, and will put up good #'s in a powerful lineup at a shallow fantasy position.
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| 10 | mjd
Leader
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 13, 2009, 16:37
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Choice of daft slot-I lost my power in a rare SC snowstorm the
Sunday evening I was researching my draft slot selection.
Surviving on gas logs for heat and vodka for boredom, I got the
idea to have my daughter toss 3 darts at the bull's eye of a
dartboard. The first dart hit the bull's eye, dart number 2 hit
lucky 7, and the third dart landed on 19, hence my choice for
the 7th pick with the second choice. I prefer to pick close to the
middle of the pack, and this was close enough for me.
Initially I was targeting Grady, as he's a sure 5 tool player, but
after ARod's injury, that changed things. I chose Ian Kinsler,
2B, TEX, a top tier MI. I played MI roulette last year and did
not care for it. Kinsler has yet to play more than 130 games in
his short 3 year career, but I believe that he’s due for a full year
of play, capable of posting a 30/30 year with top 10 numbers in
at least 2 of the 3 remaining cats. Rumor has it that he could
be dropped from the leadoff slot to take more advantage of his
power. this will lead to a few less SB, but many more RBI
opportunities, which is fine by me.
Other players considered were Chase Utley, Matt Holliday, and
Miguel Cabrera.
I was pretty stoked when Josh Hamilton, OF, TEX was
still on the board at 2.10. I had him ranked as a mid to low first
rounder in this format and never dreamed he'd still be available.
I’m beginning to feel like a Ranger’s fan. I love his power
especially in that Arlington band box in the Texas heat
hopefully with Kinsler on base.
Continuing my quest for early power, I chose Carlos
Quinton, OF, CWS at 3.07. The choice was between him
and Elsbury, but opted for power over speed, hoping that he can
at least match last year’s power numbers. Though his power
explosion, last year, was unexpected, I hope the change of
scenery continues to agree with him.
4.10 Rafael Furcal, SS, LAD
Furcal was headed for a great season last year, before being
sidelined by injury problems. Several other players are still on
my cheat sheets ahead of him, but I think at least one of them
will make it back to me. If healthy, Raffy should provide my
team strong numbers in 3 cats plus he has some decent pop in
his bat for a MI.
5.07 Carlos Pena, 1B, TAM
Several players made it back to me and I chose Pena over
the others. I contemplated several different options here and I
hope I made the right one.
I’ve now addressed my 2 biggest short comings in the last few
years in RIBC qualifying leagues: Selecting my pitching staff too
early, while virtually ignoring SLG%.
I attribute this mostly due to draws closer to the end of the draft
and reacting instead of acting and I always seem to get burned
by grabbing pitchers too early.
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| 11 | wiggs
ID: 0139914
Fri, Mar 13, 2009, 22:51
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1.16 Matt Holliday OF OaK
I had a very difficult time with this pick. I really thought i would get Santana here, but whne I saw Holliday here I couldnt pass him up. I am not sure he is the same player in Oakland as he was in Colorado, but I still think he will have a good season. Also I believe he is in a contract year so he should play hard. I am projecting- 100 runs, 100 RBIs, 200 hits- .300 average and 30 HRs. Not bad out of a 16th overall pick.
2.01 CC Sabathia
I have never had CC on any team and now that he is a Yankee he could be the best or worst pick in the draft. I can see him winning 20+ games with 210-230 Ks, ERA around 3 and WHIP around 1. On the other hand it could be like it was to start last season when he got killed. Lets hope for the former. I also believe he is the best pitcher in the league right now.
3.16 Alex Rios OF Toronto
I really hated taking a 2nd OF this early in the draft, but I couldnt pass on such a great talent. I see him as another possible 100/100/.300 guy, but with about 25 sbs as well. Although he doesnt have a whole lot of talent around him.
4.01 K Rod RP NYM
Not sure it was a good idea to go closer here, but i know I would not get KRod at 5.16 so I took my shot at who I consider the best closer in baseball and on a good team. Should have 45 saves and a solid ERA and Whip. I like getting the best player at a position whenever I can.
5.01 Alexei Ramirez 2B Chi
I love this player here. He has multiple position ability 2B, SS and OF- I think players with multi ability is a huge advantage in a league with this type of depth. He is a young player with unlimited potential. I Cant wait to see this guy this season.
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| 12 | MattG
ID: 81282018
Sat, Mar 14, 2009, 21:36
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6.03 Brian Fuentes RP Los Angeles Angels - I needed a closer at this point after a big run on closers. I thought about Jenks and Wood... Fuentes will get more Ops, Wood is injury prone and I'm not convinced that the Chicago Bull Pen is that good...
7.14 Robinson Cano 2B New York Yankees - I like cano's potential for RBIs and Runs in the middle of that order, at 26 he is entering the prime of his career. He started slow last year, but rounded nicely into form. Has only missed 5 games in the last two years. Also thought of going with another SP, RP or OF here, but there seems to be plenty left...
8.03 Matt Capps RP Pittsburgh Pirates - Wanted to go with another Starting pitcher here, but there are plenty of decent SPs left and not a lot of Closers. Capps gives me two closers with 30+ save potential, basically allowing me to focus on other positions until the later rounds.
9.14 Vernon Wells OF Toronto Blue Jays - Thought about going SS or C. Felt that any SS or C I could draft this early was already gone. Also thought of SP, but I felt for this stage I could get few in the later rounds. Wells should put up some decent numbers and add to my OBP ans SLG.
10.03 Matt Garza SP Tampa Bay Rays - So many things I hate about this pick, I think I took him too early, I don't like to duplicate teams when looking for starters, and I really was looking to go C or SS here. The previous pick of verlander kinda dictated this one, it was more a defense pick so I could get a Starter at this tier and I didn't think if I waited there'd be any left.
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| 13 | Valkyrie
Dude
ID: 47042413
Sat, Mar 14, 2009, 21:57
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6.04 Shields (84)
7.13 Derrek lee-(109)
8.04 Doumit- (116)
9.13 Lilly (147)
10.04 Dempster (148)
I was ecstatic when Shields fell to me in round 6. A top 7 SP albeit highly underrated.
Derrek Lee in the 7th at 109 was a tough pick for me- I lost Cain,Vazquez, Peralta and Ibanez
in the 6 picks before me and then had to choose betweem Lee and DelGado. Hopefully D. Lee will put up some decent numbers for me
For my 8th pick I took Doumit in my opinion the last hitting catcher available. I really had wanted Capps taken a turn before me.
For my 9th and 10th picks I took a pair of Cub pitchers-Lilly and Dempster may the winds at Wrigley always blow in-they got no respect last year and I am just hoping for a repeat performance. Again I had wanted a second RP but the run in picks 7,8 and 9 squelched that hope.
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| 14 | Building 7
ID: 70243116
Sat, Mar 14, 2009, 23:19
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1.11 Chase Utley, 2B
2.06 J. Santana, SP
3.11 Carl Crawford, OF
4.06 David Ortiz, UT
5.11 J Soria, RP
I had the 12th choice and ended up with the 11th slot. I wanted to be near the middle this time, and that wasn’t too bad. My first pick was Utley. He’s coming off an injury, but may be ready by opening day. Big Tex was also considered strongly.
2nd round I went with Santana. I’ve never had him on my fantasy team, so I’m looking forward to help in 4 categories.
3rd round was Carl Crawford. I’m hoping he returns to the 50 SB form with an OPS that does not murder you.
4th round choice was Ortiz. I’m hoping his wrist is all better, and he returns to the four digit OPS. He can only play DH.
These first picks all have injury concerns , but if you look at a draft from 2 years ago, these guys were all first rounders.
5th pick was a closer, Soria. His stats look awesome, but I don’t ever think I’ve seen him actually pitch.
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| 15 | Bandos
ID: 279592021
Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 09:54
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We had first choice so the choice was between guaranteeing Pujols or being happy with the choice of Pujols, Hanley or Reyes. We talked it over and took the only guy who might surpass .600 slugging and approach .450 OBP. Thus,
The Great Albert Pujols, 1B, STL
Alfonso Soriano, OF, CHC:
Hated taking an OFer here but we had Soriano as a top 7 player, thus to get him at pick 32 was way too tempting. Looks like he may finally bat in the middle of the lineup (how many brain surgeons did it take to realize he is NOT a leadoff man), and while this means a few less SB, it means a TON more RBI. Too bad we both hate this player. The next pick makes up for it
Jonathan Papelbon, RP, BOS:
When the SP we liked (Webb et al) we decided on Papelbon over Haren as we figured we wouldn’t get one of the top 5 closers if we waited. We were wrong as we got Rivera later.
Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, BOS: Would have gone with Votto, MCCann, maybe even Billingsley (nice picks IOurHO). With Pujols on board we can take a hit in SLG to get the 40-50 steals and be competitive in that category.
Mariano Rivera, RP, NYY: The “prince of darkness” is still churning out great ratios and 40 saves. With no Arod he may even get more chances as they may only win by 2-3 not 5-6, lol. Should have gone MI but thought Kelly Johnson would make it back us. Should have gone SP, but we didn’t like any of the pitchers and though we could have a good choice next pick – finally we were right about something.
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| 16 | TD
Leader
ID: 036331011
Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 11:32
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Round 1-5 Rationales
When choosing my draft spot, I had a choice between 12,13, and 14. Because I was busy at work at time and hadn't put my cheat sheets together yet, I didn't give it much thought and chose the highest spot.
Strategy for first five rounds: Select a hitter who is strong in 4 of the 5 categories with my 1st pick. There are very few hitters who are strong in all 5 categories, and I surely wasn't going to get one picking 12th. For rounds 2-5, select a SP, two more hitters, and possibly closer. If Lincecum or Santana were available, I would consider selecting one of them in round 2. Otherwise I would select a hitter in round 2 and a SP in round 3. I did not plan to get a closer until round 5. I saw a dropoff in closers after the first 10-12. If there wasn't a run on closers, I would consider waiting until round 6 or 7 and select another hitter or SP in round 5. In this part of the draft, I pay little attention to hitter position and just go for the best hitter. There is plenty of time to fill in positions later in the draft.
1.12 Mark Teixeira 1B NYY
When Building 7 offered to swap picks. Utley was at the top of my queue. But I didn't have that much preference of Utley over Teixeira, and I really wanted to get Lincecum with my 2nd round pick so I declined the trade. I also considered Manny for this pick. Teixeria is strong in all catagories except SB. He is 29 years old and still in his prime. My biggest concern is how he will handle playing in NY.
2.05 Tim Lincecum SP SFO
Lincecum was my highest rated pitcher, and I was hoping to get him with this pick. He throws a 95 mph fastball and has been very durable for a small guy. I read an article in SI last year about how his mechanics are very efficient by using his whole body, and don't stress his arm. I also considered Manny with this pick, but I thought the dropoff in SP would be too great by my next pick to pass on Lincecum.
3.12 Jason Bay OF BOS
Jason Bay came back strong in 2008 after a disappointing 2007 season. His numbers didn't drop off after being traded to Boston. I consider 2007 an anomaly. He is strong in 4 categories. I would have taken Carlos Lee, but he was taken with pick 3.09. Also considered Matt Kemp, Alex Rios, and Nate McLouth.
4.05 Troy Tulowitzki SS COL
Tulowitzki is probably a bit of a stretch at this pick and I probably should have waited until a later round to pick him. But I was afraid someone else would pick him. He was injured most of last season, but I think he will improve on all his rookie numbers of 2007 which would make him worthy of 2nd or 3rd round pick.
5.12 Jose Valverde RP HOU
By the time I picked in the 5th round, only three of my top closers were left on the board. Valverde, Fuentes, and Ryan. I was afraid none of them would make it back to me for pick 6.04, so I chose my top rated. Building 7 picked the top player on my queue, Joakim Soria with pick 5.11.
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| 17 | Flying Polack
Sustainer
ID: 378582811
Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 13:38
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Derek Jeter, 6.02
I'm happy with Jeter here. I never discount 2b or SS enough, so I end up waiting too long to fill the position. Last year in the RIBC I took Bobby Crosby in the 23rd round as my third MI guy and struggled there all year.
Jeter is definitely on the down slope of his career, but he should be able to cobble together a .360/.425 season with enough runs to be a Top 10 SS.
The original plan, at 5.15 was to grab Felix or Harden and Lackey. But wiggs stole Lackey from me. If I thought about it more I would have taken Lackey first, because I would have been happy with either Felix or Harden as my other starter. I couldn't take Felix and Harden though...too much risk there.
A.J. Burnett, 7.15
Before the draft started I had AJ in red on my cheat-sheet and never expected to take him, I thought he'd be over-drafted in the 5th round (he went 6.03 in the AAA Int'l). As my pick was approaching I targeted Javy Vazquez, he and AJ were the last two guys in my 3rd pitching tier. Once Javy was drafted, I had to make a decision on AJ. Because of the potential for wins and high K/9, I decided to draft him. It's definitely a gamble; he only pitched 200 innings once in three years with Toronto. I think I got him at a fair value, definitely not a steal though.
I didn't really consider anyone else, but I spent a lot of time researching AJ.
Alex Gordon, 8.02
I wanted him from the beginning, especially after I took Chipper, ensuring that my CI needed 3b eligibility too. Alex had a nice second half last season, going .392/.496. He’s a 25 year LH hitter entering his 3rd season. Add in the good chance of 10+ steals and I was sold.
I liked Matt Capps here a lot, but it’s hard to justify 60 innings over 150 games. Especially once I realized that only 6 of the 14 teams in front of me already covered 3b. It was now or never with Alex.
JJ Hardy, 9.15
I had Young, Bruce and Ethier on my short list here. The only other player in my 4th tier of OFers was Johnny Damon. I wrote him off due to age and concerns about the lineup if A-Rod struggles returning from hip surgery.
I decided to draft MI, and considered JJ along with 2 others, who have yet to be drafted. JJ was the pick once I confirmed he was hitting 2nd. He should get some juicy pitches and score lots of runs hitting in front of Fielder/Braun.
Justin Verlander, 10.02
Verlander struggled mightily in his 3rd season, but I still like his long-term upside. The Tigers Defense was absolutely brutal last season. That should change with 2 players known for their gloves, not bats, manning the left side of the Tiger infield. He still has a great arm, and there are no public injury concerns. I’m looking for a return to his 2006 numbers and a return to 2007 would be gravy.
I also looked at Trevor Hoffman here, but I couldn’t find any websites saying good things about him. Apparently he was quite the rollercoaster last season, and moving away from Petco is likely to hurt him.
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| 18 | youngroman
Donor
ID: 02934823
Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 14:47
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6.06 Scott Kazmir, SP, TB
the 2nd member that signs a contract extension with my team. he is capable of providing more than 1 K/IP. there aren't many starting pitchers left that can do that. his ERA isn't too bad either. I know him well from last year where he had some injury issues at the start of the season, so a healthy Kazmir should be better this year.
7.09 Cliff Lee, SP, CLE
it was not planned to get a 3rd starting pitcher this early. I wanted a closer here but all common names were gone and I don't want to pick one of the remaining here because there will be a lot left in 2 or 3 rounds. Lee had a fantastic season last year and I can only hope that he comes anywhere close to that. he will not repeat his 2.54 ERA in 223 innings. I would take a 3.00 ERA in 200 innings here, but he won't provide this either. the common projection seems to be a 3.60 ERA in 180 innnings. anything better than that and I like this pick.
the only trouble with him is that when I shout Lee in my clubhouse, 2 players are turning their head, since I already have Carlos Lee. now I only need Derrek Lee and the chaos would be perfect. there are some Gonzalez', Cabrera's and Young's out too, so be prepared that I pick another one of them soon.
8.08 Michael Young, SS, TEX
he will soon be a multi-position player at SS and 3B that should give me some extra flexibility. Young was a force a few years back and the talent is still there. Maybe he bounces back this year in his new role as a 3B? he will get a lot of at bats, so I don't need to worry if he plays today or not, which is the case for a lot of other MIs. only time will tell if I was right with him.
9.09 Mike Gonzalez, RP, ATL
he should be the closer for the Braves this year. He was not given the job yet, but I don't see much competition. He strikes out more than 1 per inning and the Braves starting pitching is improved this year which should result in more closing sitations for them. I expect to get 30+ saves from him. ERA and WHIP don't really matter for a closer as long as his job is secure and these values are not in the 5.00/1.50 range. I don't see Gonzalez near that, as can be said to many closer candidates still available.
10.08 Johnny Damon, OF, NYY
I thought a lot if I should really take the aging Damon, but looking at his games played over the last decade, I saw that he never missed an extended period of the season. it looks like #undrafted# will be their DH all year, so Damon gets his job in the outfield. it does not really matter where, as long as he is playing. but the real value of Damon is the speed on the basepaths. he may not reach former numbers, but even if he gets me 20-30 SBs I am fine with this pick. after taking lots of big bats with the early picks I needed a quicker player here. I also considered a 2nd closer here, but there are still too many of them available and some of them have no job security, so I am waiting until they have their jobs or it is too late. the same can be said about my open spots at C and 2B too.
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| 19 | mybadteam
ID: 320482521
Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 15:28
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6.07 Corey Hart OF MIL Another OF at this point seemed to make sense. I’ve got Hart projected at around 80/25/90 with 20-25 steals as well. He’s a very nice power/speed combo type of player and if he can learn to take a few more walks I’m expecting really good things out of him this year.
7.10 Javier Vazquez SP ATL The thing that always amazes me about the RIBC leagues is how fast starting pitching flies off the board. I didn’t plan on targeting a SP until this round and stuck to my guns. Vazquez is a 200+ innings eater with 200K potential. Moving from the ALC to the NLE should provide him with a significant drop in ERA so as long as he stays healthy, he’s a fine pick at this point. Plus, seeing that at least 2 other owners were targeting him makes me feel better.
8.07 Chad Qualls RP ARI Last year I took 2 closers early (4th and 5th rounds) and it really didn’t pan out so I took a different approach this season. Qualls had an outstanding second half last year, it just took him a little while to get into the whole closer mindset. I read a quote from Brad Lidge recently in which he highly praised Qualls abilities so I’m taking a shot on him.
9.10 Andre Ethier OF LAD I was shocked he was still out there in the 9th round. Sitting between Kemp and Manny he’s bound to cover the investment at this point in the draft.
10.07 Trevor Hoffman RP MIL I’m not thrilled with this pick, but at least he has job security unlike most of the other closers available at this point. His numbers weren’t as good in Milwaukee as they were in SD, but he should still be good for 35+ saves.
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| 20 | jaydog
ID: 169282219
Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 14:03
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1-06 Ryan Braun I think if I could do it over again I would pick Kinsler as I hated using my first pick on such a deep position (OF). Braun gives me ridiculous stats in everything but steals, and for a power guy, his 10-20 steals will help as well. I think he was a safe pick even though I slightly regret the decision. 2-11 Dustin PedroiaGetting Pedroia here makes up for not getting Kinsler in round 1. I didn't think there was any way that he made it back to me but I'm thrilled that he did. Pedroia has a very rare combination of on base skills, power stats, and stolen bases from a very scarce position. As long as the MVP trophy doesn't go to his head and mess him up I think he'll be a very solid 2b. 3-06 Cole Hamels I was hoping for Peavy or Beckett here but Adam single-handedly made sure that didn't happen. I wanted to make sure I got at least one stud starter and Hamels certainly fits that mold. Given how young he is, to think he could actually do better than he did last year is a possibility, but even staying level would be fine by me. The number of innings he threw last year worries me a bit, but I'm happy to have him. 4-11 Geovanny Soto I had determined early on that I wanted to get one of the three elite catchers and had my sights set on McCann. Unfortunately Judy killed that dream but I am very happy settling for soto. Great numbers across the board for a catcher and locks up a traditionally weak position for me. 5-06 Curtis Granderson I didn't plan on taking another outfielder until later in the draft but when Granderson was still around at this pick I had to jump on it. Granderson helps me in every category and is elite in runs. I'm hoping he steals a bit more this year and gets closer to his 26 in 07 but I don't see a reason why his high OBP, SLG, and Run totals should drop at all. His slightly lower than average RBI total is also propped up by my having good RBI producers at 2B and C, traditionally weak positions.
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| 22 | judy
Leader
ID: 7771722
Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 17:23
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6.09 Justin Upton OF AZ
7.08 Aubrey Huff 1B BALT
8.09 Chone Figgins 3B LAA
9.10 Frank Francisco RP TEX
10.08 DeRosa 2B, 3B, OF CLE
OVERVIEW: I think this is where I screwed up my draft. I liked my INF/C choices very much, but got lost
for a bit -- brain freeze? I didn’t seem to have a plan and ended up with some really odd (bad??)
choices. In most cases the others I was debating about were taken within 2 picks either way, so is mine a
bad choice? Will explain more after next round as I can’t mention some stuff until 11-15. Sigh.
By round 6, the top tier OF were long gone, so I decided to go with potential and chose J Upton for an all
round good stat generator.
For #7, I wanted a 1B and so I chose Huff for his 1B/3B flexibility and to maintain my hopes for more SLG
this year. He should be in the middle of the Balt order and should generate some RBI as well. I had Dunn
on my list earlier, but he was long gone (4.14).
In round #8, I was looking to add some steals to my team and so I chose Figgins, who can play 2B/3B this
year. I covered his low SLG with the other guys. His OBP is ~.350, so that is OK too. I did have him last
year andhe was injured a lot, so I do hope he stays healthy this year. I need those steals.
Between my #8 and #9 picks, I lost six guys I really wanted and that set me back a bit. I lost a little focus
and could not decide where to go next with positions. I finally decided I needed another RP and so
picked who seemed to be the best left: Frank Francisco. Never heard of him! I thought the RP list was
decimated early this year!
For #10, I really had a “brain freeze” and chose Mark DeRosa. I have no idea why although he does have
positional flexibility 2B, 3B OF and I will probably end up with him in the OF. I should have taken a
stronger OF, such as Burrell who went 2 picks later, or Pence, Dye, Ethier, Wells -- so many others... What
was I thinking?? My OF is really weak.
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| 23 | Slackjawed Yokel
ID: 311142320
Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 23:39
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6.14 Joe Mauer C MIN
7.03 Zack Greinke SP KAN
8.14 Hunter Pence OF HOU
9.03 Heath Bell RP SDG
10.14 Derek Lowe SP ATL
Well, Joe Mauer could end up being a make-it or break-it pick for me. I had been eying him for a while - if his injury does turn out to be inflammation that can be addressed with meds, then he should be back behind the plate in short order. If it continues to elude the doctors, then I hope Mr. Mauer the best, and my team may suffer with a wasted pick this early.
With my other four picks, I really needed to address some holes in my lineup. I was really late on getting an outfielder and reliever as I didn't want to stretch for it too early when I felt there was a lot of value still in some of the thinner positions. I've been burned in the past by getting relievers too early, but thought Bell was a good choice in the 9th. I wanted to at least get one guy with a solid hold on the job and then balance it out later with some guys who'd pick up a save here and there and maybe end up with the job at some point. With Pence as my first outfielder I wanted a guy with breakout potential. Hopefully, with Greinke and Lowe, I know what I'm getting. And that's guys who put up a lot of innings with good percentages and decent amount of k's.
My 10th round pick (Lowe) was actually pretty difficult. I had done some planning the night before and was hoping to get Hawpe and Lindstrom with this pair of picks (10th/11th). Of course, both of those guys were taken out from under me. I didn't like any other relievers at this point, and identified two outfielders I'd choose between with my 11th pick. So, then I settled on getting a SP, and Lowe was the safe pick I went with.
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| 24 | Bandos
ID: 279592021
Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 11:04
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Rickie Weeks; Short and simple, the best projected MI left and we don’t have one of those yet.
Rich Harden; When you wait until the 7th round to get a SP, he will come with some risk. Harden is risky but can pitch like a 2nd rounder. Stay healthy or we may be done.
Jay Bruce; 5 tools, maybe a bit young, maybe the wrong position but he and Young were by far the best players available
Chris Young; see above
Mark Reynolds; hoping for a respectable 360/460 kind of season. Needed a 3B.
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| 25 | TD
Leader
ID: 036331011
Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 23:04
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Round 6-10 Rationales
6.05 B.J. Ryan RP TOR
Ryan was the last of my top tier of closers, so I decided to take him with this pick. Along with Valverde who I picked in round 5, I should get a fair amount of saves. Both closers also have high K/IP, low ERA, and low WHIP which should help in other pitching categories.
7.12 Raul Ibanez OF PHI
Being a Phillies fan, I wanted at least one Philly on my team. I had Ibanez on my team the last two years, and he was a excellent in SLG and RBI and above average in R and OBP. Even though he is 36, he was a late bloomer and a hard worker. I expect his numbers to improve because he is playing at a hitter friendly park this year for the high scoring Phillies.
8.05 Yovani Gallardo SP MIL
Gallardo is a top young pitcher about .9K/IP. He looked good after being called up in the middle of 2007. He was out most of last year with knee injuries. I think there is a good chance he will be a top 10 SP this season.
9.12 Hank Blalock 3B TEX
Blaylock will be the DH for Texas this year, but eligible at both 3B and 1B. He hits for power and I expect him to drive in over 100 runs from the middle of the Texas lineup. He has been injured for much of the last two seasons, but being a DH should help keep him healthy.
10.05 Mike Lowell 3B BOS
Lowell tried to play thru a hip injury last year before deciding to have surgery at the end of the season. It showed in his 2008 numbers. If he can get close to his 2007 numbers of .501 SLG, .378 OBP, and 120 RBI, I will be happy with this pick.
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| 26 | MattG
ID: 81282018
Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 18:36
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11.14 Joe Saunders SP Los Angeles Angels - Wanted another 3rd tier starter here, also was looking for SS or C possibly but all the ones left I had ranked in lower tiers. Joe should be good in 3 categories.
12.03 Yunel Escobar SS Atlanta Braves - I needed a SS or a C here, he was the best of those positions left...
13.14 Jarrod Saltalamacchia C Texas Rangers - I needed a C, Salty should end up starting in texas and he will put up decent numbers, whether at DH or C.
14.03 Gavin Floyd SP Chicago WhiteSox - I was targeting an SP here, Floyd might not put up the same numbers as last year, but I think he'll still be a 3 category guy.
15.14 Willy Taveras OF Cincinnati Reds - It didn't matter what position player I got here, I needed to pick up a guy for steals. Fast Willy should be able to keep me competitive in SBs.
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| 27 | mybadteam
ID: 320482521
Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 21:51
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This is my favorite part of the draft, picks 11 through 25. Anybody can pick a decent first 10 rounds, but can you fill out a roster with the other 15? Here's hoping I started out well:
11.10 Jayson Werth OF PHI As his playing time improved he really started to show his stuff. He’s a 20/20 guy on a loaded team.
12.07 Kevin Slowey SP MIN I needed to start filling out a manageable pitching staff at this point in the draft. I had him rated as a top 25 pitcher and was thrilled to see him still sitting there this late in the draft. If he continues to get his fly ball trends under control we’re looking at a potential 15 game winner with a sub 3.50 ERA
13.10 Ryan Theriot SS CHC I knew I should have grabbed a SS earlier in the draft. Theriot will be a fine fill in, he’s a stable BA who won’t screw my team unlike some other single category guys out there.
14.07 Gil Meche SP KAN Boy, do I ever hope he has a repeat of last season. Back to back healthy seasons give me hope!
15.10 Wandy Rodriguez SP HOU I’ve been watching Wandy Rodriguez pitch since he first came up with Atlanta. Last season he finally put it all together and had a very solid outing. If he stays healthy he should do just fine.
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| 28 | wiggs
Sustainer
ID: 04991311
Fri, Mar 20, 2009, 13:35
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6.01 John Lackey SP LAA
I was hoping he would make it back to me. I rank him as a 1A pitcher- top guy behind the studs. I see him with about 18 wins, just under 200 Ks. I considered Burnett here, but wasnt sure about him pitching in NY.
7.16 Garrett Atkins 3B Col
Was really hoping Burnett would slip 1 more spot. When he didnt I went with back to back best player available. I have Atkins ranked 3-4 for 3rd basemen depending what you do with Arod so I was pleased to get him with this pick. His numbers might suffer a bit without Holliday, but I still think he will hit around 300 with 25 HRs and 100 Rbis.
8.01 Carlos Zambrano SP ChC
When I missed on Burnett I took who I had as the next best available pitcher. Zambrano is a risky pick because he could pitch great or he could suffer. Having him as my 3rd pitcher and being able to win 15+ games with around 200 Ks, will allow me to make a different pick later on.
9.16 Tori Hunter OF LAA I wanted Either or Wells here, when I didnt get them I think I might have picked Hunter out of fear of not getting a decent OF for that 2nd OF spot. Might have been a reach but it was getting thin out there. If I can get some SBs and some runs out of him I will be happy.
10.01 James Loney 1B LAD
Not sure about Loney here either, Not a huge fan of his either, but once again 1st base was getting thin. Maybe 20 Hrs and 100 RBIs in that LA line up and I will be ok with this pick. I am hoping for a surprise out of him hitting with Manny, Either, Kemp, Furcal just to name a few.
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| 29 | jaydog
ID: 169282219
Fri, Mar 20, 2009, 16:00
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6.11 Chris Davis 3B TEX 03/12/09 09:35 pm7.06 Francisco Cordero RP CIN 03/13/09 02:55 pm8.11 Carlos Guillen 1B DET 03/14/09 09:17 am9.06 Scott Baker SP MIN 03/14/09 05:44 pm10.11 Matt Lindstrom RP FLA 03/15/09 08:28 am I was ecstatic when Davis made it back to me in round 6. I almost picked him in round 5 and would have if Granderson wasn't available. His upside is enormous and could legitimately be a 35HR 100RBI guy. He's risky as he's only played half a season in the bigs but everyone is projecting huge things from him and the fact that he's 1b/3b eligible helps with flexibility as well. In round 7 I took what I felt was the last of the mid tier closers. It was between him and Kerry Wood and Cordero gives me slightly less of an injury risk. Carlos Guillen was a tough pick for me. I definitely think his productivity has reached his peak but he's been fairly consistent over the past 4 years and produces good value across the board. Having a 1B who has double digit steals potential is a luxury. He also already has 1b/3b eligibility and will be playing LF meaning he'll get OF relatively quickly. I thought this was a fairly safe pick with little upside but he should service me well. I really wanted a solid a safe starter for my second pick. I'm pretty high on Baker as his rates and counting stats are all pretty solid. I feel very confident relying on Baker every 6 days. I didn't want to take Lindstrom with my 10th pick but felt I had little choice. He was the last closer on the list and hist stuff is filthy. I don't think the Marlins will have many games for him to save but hopefully he can lock down the job and give me around 30 saves with healthy K's. At the very least, taking Lindstrom here let's me relax on closers for a while and not have to worry about relievers.
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| 30 | judy
Leader
ID: 7771722
Fri, Mar 20, 2009, 19:54
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11.08 Cameron Maybin OF FLA
12.09 Randy Johnson SP SF
13.08 Carlos Gomez OF MIN
14.09 Randy Winn OF SF
15.08 Joe Blanton SP PHI
As I stated in my previous thread, I was woefully behind in the OF so I had to catch up and
these picks reflected that. However, I now do not feel too bad about my #10 DeRosa (2B, 3B
and OF) pick as GURU took him in round #8 and had nothing but good things to say about him.
I hope he is right!
For #11, I went with youth and speed (SB) in selecting Maybin. The prevailing opinion is that he
is only just beginning to reach his full potential and if he continues to improve, I will be happy!
I was hoping that Werth might make it back to me for the next round, but it was not to be as he
went at 11.10 I rated Maybin over Werth.
For #12, I went for my second SP and chose Randy Johnson. He is still bringing the heat and
has the intelligence and experience for the position and he has had a good spring. Again, I
blew it with my Phillies players, hoping that Myers would make it back to me, but he was
plucked from my arms at 12.02. With the pubilicity of the WS, it is harder to keep Philly players
quiet and under the radar.
For #13, I went back to my OF needs and chose Carlos Gomez. He brings SB and some power.
The OF pickin’s were indeed getting slim at this point for OF “stud”lies. My SB potential is
looking pretty decent as this point.
For #14, I again chose the top OF I could find, Randy Winn. He has some value as a SLG and
OBP and some SB, but again I am in the middle level of the barrel with OF choices.
For #15, I needed another SP, so I chose a Phillie, Joe Blanton. I was really hoping that he
would slip to me. He is a control SP, good for K’s, ERA and WHIP and he grinds out the innings.
He did really well for the Phils last year. I consider him a bit of a sleeper SP. I finally get to
cheer for a Phillie stat maker!
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| 31 | ksoze
Leader
ID: 04619323
Sat, Mar 21, 2009, 11:18
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6.13 Magglio Ordonez, OF
I didn't expect to fill a 3rd OF spot this early but I wasn't about to pass up Mag's good combo of power and OBP production. I didn't really see any other hitters with whom I'd be comfortable taking this early that would help solidify those categories in my starting lineup as well as Mags will.
7.04 Kerry Wood, RP
Here I decided it was time to take a closer and Wood looked to me like the last of them left with the ability to dominate at that position. While always a risk due to injury I thought it was worth taking a chance on Wood, if he stays healthy he'll be in the top tier of closers on a good team.
8.13 Connor Jackson, 1b
Obviously I needed to start filling my infield here so I was looking for someone with a solid OBP. Jackson may not have the power one hopes for from a corner infielder but, with his contact rate, if his OBP is .380 or so, he'll produce. As the 125th pick of the draft I think he'll be good for the team.
9.04 John Danks, SP
After taking Jackson in round 8 I filled my wish list with 3 SP's, Nolasco, Danks and Volquez. Nolasco went at 9.02 so I had to choose one of the latter two. I went with Danks because I think he has a better shot at wins with the Sox, Volquez probably won't reach 17 like last year, and Danks should post a better ERA and WHIP. Plus, just to be scientific about things, I flipped a coin.
10.13 Brad Hawpe, OF
Here I go again, another OF; that makes 4 in 10 rounds. I just couldn't pass up the OBP and power of Hawpe. He's capable of a .900 OPS, finally hit lefties well in '08 and is one of the only Rockies to post nearly even home/road splits. He should be a steal at the 157th pick of the draft.
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| 32 | Flying Polack
Sustainer
ID: 378582811
Sun, Mar 22, 2009, 08:33
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11.15 Mike Napoli, C Heading into the draft I targetted Wieters and Napoli around the 10th-11th rounds. When Wieters went at the beginning of the 11th, I thought I blew it. But Napoli made it back to me. He's an injury risk, but produces when healthy, 20 HR's in 227 AB's last year.
12.02 Brett Myers, SP Myers was undervalued due to his volatile 2008 season. He was much better toward the end of the season after adjusting back to starting. In the 2nd half he went 7-4, 75K's, 3.08 and 1.17 in 88 innings. Considered Harang here, but I think he might be done, he's been getting shelled in the preseason.
13.15 George Sherrill, RP Need some saves, and Sherrill appears in line to close for Baltimore. He pretty risky with Chris Ray waiting in the wings, but it's the 13th round. I really wanted Brandon Lyon here, but bmd grabbed him at 13.05
14.02 Kevin Gregg, RP I consulted with a couple friends who follow they Cubs. They think that Gregg will start as the closer. Marmol seems more suited for the 7th-8th inning role since he's so comfortable getting more than 3 outs. We'll see if it works out. Other option was Brad Ziegler, but he came out of nowhere last year and is having a rough spring.
15.15 Mike Cameron, OF Always undervalued in the RIBC since we use OB% instead of BA. I'll take last year's stats - 17 SB, .331 OB% and .477 SLG%.
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| 33 | MattG
ID: 81282018
Sun, Mar 22, 2009, 18:21
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16.03 Jeremy Guthrie SP Baltimore Orioles - Guthrie is a workhorse and the ace of a young Baltimore team. He should be good for 14wins and 150ks with a respectable ERA.
17.14 Jeremy Hermida OF Florida Marlins - I needed another OF and Hermida was the best left. Has some power potential and won't hurt OBP.
18.03 Chris Perez RP St Louis Cardinals - He is the closer in training in STL, he'll get my double digit saves and some decent K numbers.
19.14 Kendry Morales OF Los Angeles Angels - Looks to hit 5th in a good LA lineup and will play 1B so he can fill in at CI for me. Projects for around 20 Hrs and a SLG above .450
20.03 Kyle Lohse SP St Louis Cardinals - Not sure why he was left so late, I kept seeing him on my lists and just didn't take him. Double digit wins, 120Ks era under 4.00 He should be a nice fill in pitcher.
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| 34 | judy
Leader
ID: 7771722
Tue, Mar 24, 2009, 14:17
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16.09 David DeJesus OF KS
17.08 Ryan Madson RP PHL
18.09 Elvis Andrus SS TEX
19.08 Paul Maholm SP PGH
20.09 Chris Dickerson OF CIN
I needed to start building my bench and depth with this round. I wanted to have 2
players eligible at each position (except C). I also needed another SP and RP.
For round 16, I chose DeJesus as a solid all round, but not spectacular OF. His OBP is
decent and he can score and drive in some runs (~80 each).
For 17, I wanted an RP and another Phillie, so I chose Ryan Madson. He was lights out
from mid season through the playoffs last year and I am hoping for more of the same
this year. He has settled in nicely to the set up role.
For 18, I needed a second SS and Elvis Andrus is rated highly for a youngster and seems
to have won the starting spot in TEX. He should provide some SB when I play him... I
can always use him at MI if he really blossoms. Also, how can you not draft a guy with a
first name of ELVIS!
Pick 19.08 led me back to the SP list and I chose Paul Maholm, despite the fact that he
pitches in PGH. All his numbers except, of course, for wins, should be just fine. I do
remember fondly my 1986-1992 years in PGH when the Pirates were a force to be
reckoned with. Sigh. I had World Series Tickets. Where were you when Sid
slid?
Back to the OF for this #20 pick. Chris Dickerson is competing with XX for the starting
position and I suspect that it really won’t be decided until each plays a bit and someone
emerges as “the one”. If he does get more playing time, he will be even more valuable.
He is a somewhat safe pick -- my last OF (sixth), but I am not guaranteed to keep him...
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| 35 | MattG
ID: 81282018
Tue, Mar 24, 2009, 18:37
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21.14 Josh Willingham OF Washington Nationals - Has OF and 1B potential so that's a plus. Was hot early last year before getting hurt, then came back late and wasn't bad. .270 and 20hrs isn't out of the question.
22.03 Brad Penny SP Boston RedSox - Predicts to be the RedSox #5 starter, will get plenty of run support in order to win some games.
23.14 Erick Aybar SS Los Angeles Angels - Erick looks to steal about 20 Bases and hit around .270. His OBP and SLG won't hurt me any more than another average player at this position if I need him to fill in.
24.03 Chris Getz 2B Chicago WhiteSox - Just named the starter on saturday. Projects to double digits steals a .350 OBP and .280+ average. Won't hit for power but should be ok as a replacement if needed.
25.14 Josh Anderson OF Atlanta Braves - OF Depth... will start can get some OBP.
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| 37 | TD
Leader
ID: 036331011
Wed, Mar 25, 2009, 22:20
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Round 11-15 Rationales
11.12 David Price SP TAM
Price was 2007 number 1 overall draft pick, and showed why in the playoffs last season. He was called up in September after moving quickly thru the minors. He was recently optioned to AAA in a move made to save money. He is a power pitcher who should help in all categories if the Rays are smart enough to call him up. Reading earlier reports at the time a drafted him, I thought there was a chance they would send him down, but I can't see him staying there very long.
12.05 Lastings Milledge OF WAS
Milledge will bat leadoff for the Nats, and will help in SB and Rs. He hits for some power and he is only 24, so there is a good chance his stats will improve in all categories.
13.12 Aaron Hill 2B TOR
This is the first pick that I targeted a position. In previous years, I struggled to find middle infielders that gave me any production, so I needed to pick a 2B before all the average ones were gone. Hill played well in 2007, but suffered a concussion in May 2008 after getting off to a slow start. He is fully recovered, and I expect him to bat 2nd for the Jays.
14.05 Chris Carpenter SP STL
Carpenter was one of the top pitchers in the majors in 2005 and 2006 before having Tommy John surgery and various other injuries the last two seasons. He has pitched well in spring training. I thought he was worth taking a chance on at this point of the draft because of his high upside.
15.12 Ryan Church OF NYM
I chose Church as my 4th outfielder. He showed some power hitting in a pitchers park in Washington before coming to the Mets where he was injured for large parts of last season because of concussions. The new Mets park is expected to more of a hitters park.
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| 38 | Slackjawed Yokel
ID: 311142320
Wed, Mar 25, 2009, 22:42
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11.03 Delmon Young OF MIN
12.14 Nelson Cruz OF TEX
13.03 Jose Lopez 2B SEA
14.14 Joey Devine RP OAK
15.03 Orlando Cabrera SS
Looking at the other RIBC drafts, I probably jumped the gun on getting Delmon Young. He's still just 23 years old, so has a lot of upside - hopefully the competition for playing time in Minnesota will help him carry over his solid spring play into the regular season. I only had one OF going into the 11th and grabbed one with the next two picks. Cruz could end up being a steal here in the 12th if he continues to produce anything like he did in his short stint with the Rangers last year, or spring training for that matter.
With picks 13-15, I was filling out my lineup. I needed a second closer and had to settle for Devine who has health concerns and doesn't necessarily have a solid hold of the job. Jose Lopez and Orlando Cabrera were the top-rated middle infielders available at the time. I didn't want to have to try to fill the weak MI positions very late in the draft, so grabbed them here in the middle.
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| 39 | mybadteam
ID: 3311251713
Thu, Mar 26, 2009, 09:33
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16.07 Mike Jacobs 1B KAN
I was looking for another corner bag man and Jacobs has the best chance of making an impact at this point in the draft. His OBP isn’t been as high as I would normally like, but his slugging % is solid and I can expect 90 RBIs
17.10 Hideki Okajima RP BOS
One of the best MR in the game and if Papelbon goes down he’s likely to pick up saves.
18.07 Adam Lind OF TOR
Lind is a bit of an enigma. He was highly touted coming up, but he hasn’t made an impact yet. He’s ranked around 50 among OF in Yahoo and he’s trended up for the past 3 years. Will this be his year? I hope so!
19.10 Jason Bartlett SS TAM
I was light in the middle of the infield so I decided I needed another guy who was going to get some playing time. He was the team MVP last season (as voted on by the team’s beat writers) so I’m betting on improvement this season.
20.07 J.P. Howell SP TAM
92 Ks in 89 innings with a sprinkling of wins and saves
21.10 Ryan Garko 1B CLE
Who knows? Garko is in a crowd at first, but they’ve been trying to get him some playing time in the OF as well this spring. It sounds like the Indians really want to give this kid a chance to play.
22.07 A.J. Pierzynski C CWS
I wanted a backup catcher as I’m probably going to start Martin at 3B until A-Rod comes back. A.J. is consistently boring, but consistent.
23.10 Jesse Carlson RP TOR
Next in line for saves in Toronto and no danger to my ERA or WHIP
24.07 Jerry Blevins RP OAK
The closer competition is still pretty open in OAK and he’s as good a bet to pick up 10-15 saves this season as anyone.
25.10 Jensen Lewis RP CLE
Can Kerry Wood last an entire season as the CLE closer? Being a Cubs fan I’m betting against that happening and Lewis picked up 13 saves last year so the team knows he can play the role.
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| 40 | judy
Leader
ID: 7771722
Thu, Mar 26, 2009, 14:04
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21.08 Chris Volstad SP FLA
22.09 Chad Tracy 1B AZ
23.08 Kyle Farnsworth RP KC
24.09 Joe Smith RP CLE
25.08 Jesse Litsch SP TOR
In these rounds I wanted to continue to add pitching depth to my lineup -- for injuries etc. There wasn’t a lot
left though...
Chris Volstad at round 21 is supposed to be the Marlins #3 SP. His “stuff” last year as a rookie wasn’t bad and
they expect him to be better this year. I’ll take nice WHIP, ERA and K’s from him.
Chad Tracy was my only position player in this round. I figured I needed another 1B in case Huff got hurt or
was rested at some point. I don’t think his stats will hurt me very much. Very average guy, but with potential
they say to maybe slug a bit more.
Kyle Farnsworth is a strange pick. I wanted an RP who would get into games fairly often. In the charts I saw,
he is listed as the #1 RP (non closer) for KC. However, I could not find a stat line prediction for him any where
in my cheat sheets. He is supposed to be a good K guy, averaging a K/Inn. Past WHIP and ERA are not so
great, so we shall see just how long he sticks around.
More pitchers, just in case. Joe Smith pitches to a couple a guys at a time in situations so his ERA should not
be affected. Good for WHIP. Decent for K. Probably won’t last long in my line up though...
Decided to grab another starter -- why not? Jesse Litsch looks like the #2 in TOR. I am looking for some W
and a low ERA. He does not do K’s. How long will HE last???
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| 41 | Building 7
ID: 70243116
Thu, Mar 26, 2009, 22:08
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6.06 Jenks, RP
7.11 Peralta, SS
8.06 Delgado, 1B
9.11 Wainright, SP
10.06 Dye, OF
This Jenks pick looks too early in retrospect. It looked good at the time, though.
Peralta is in the upper group of ss’s, and it’s not a big group.
38 HR’s for Delgado. I’m worried because he’s also on my other team.
Had no clue I would pick Wainright before the draft started. But since SP’s were going early and often, I ended up with him.
Dye was ranked like #76 and I had pick #150. Do the math. I wasn’t looking for a OF, though.
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| 42 | Building 7
ID: 70243116
Thu, Mar 26, 2009, 22:23
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11.11 Joel Hanrahan RP WAS
12.06 Ian Stewart 3B COL
13.11 Clayton Kershaw SP LAD
14.06 Troy Glaus 3B STL
15.11 Jason Giambi 1B
Hanrahan gives me 3 closers. I was hoping to get 4, but maybe I can get one later. Anything can happen to this Stweart dude. Minors, 2B,3B, OF, bench, 25 homers, 5 homers. Kershaw looks to be in the rotation of a winning team in a pitchers park. Glaus looks to be a bad pick. Now it looks like his injury has been extended. May have to c ut him. Giambi is usually good in this format since he gets a lot of walks. The best I can tell, he is batting cleanup for Oakland every day.
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| 43 | Building 7
ID: 70243116
Thu, Mar 26, 2009, 22:34
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16.06 Clint Barmes 2B COL
17.11 Denard Span OF MIN
18.06 Tommy Hanson SP ATL
19.11 Bengie Molina C SFO
20.06 Armando Galarraga SP DET
Barmes can play 3 positions and may be the 2B for Colorado. Span's the man in Minnesota. Looking for steals. He's my 3rd OF. I probably have the worst 3rd OF in the league. Hanson got sent to the minors. That pick was made from venice beach on the I-phone. It probably reflects it. I think Molina is a good value pick in round 19 if he can do like last year. Ditto for Galarraga.
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| 44 | Building 7
ID: 70243116
Thu, Mar 26, 2009, 22:47
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21.11 Michael Bourn OF HOU
22.06 Luke Scott OF BAL
23.11 Octavio Dotel RP CWS
24.06 Randy Wolf SP LAD
25.11 Joe Crede 3B MIN
Between Span, and Bourne, and Luke Scott I need to start 2 of them. I'll see how that works for awhile. I like the beginning of my draft, and the end of my draft. The middle looks kind of dubious. I had been trying to pick another reliever for 12 rounds, but thy kept getting snatched out of my que. Dotel had a lot of whiffs, plus he gives me some protection for jenks. Wolf is a hunch. Doubtful that I keep him all year. Crede may be my best pick ever in the last round. Or ..........he could be bad.
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| 45 | Valkyrie
Dude
ID: 47042413
Sat, Mar 28, 2009, 18:22
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11.13 Milton Bradley
12.04 Pablo Sandoval
13.13 Renteria
14.4 Kaz Mitsui
15.13 J.D. Drew
11.13 Chose Milton Bradley- a top 10 Ofer when he plays. Definitely a big injury risk but he is only my 4th OFer so I hope I can afford his vacations
12.04 Pablo Sandoval- really wanted Britt Myers but he being gone decided to reach a bit for Sandocal C,1B,3B eligeable - hit 340 last year in 250 AB's only 22 or so- so he doesn't walk and maybe I could still have gotten him 2 rounds later but I believe in this guy.
13-13 Edgar Renteria- best that can be said is he will bat 2nd for a major league team and NL west at that. There really wasn't much left at SS and I needed one.
14.4 Kaz Mitsui- continuing with my injury risks good OBP and steals when not hurt- I had targeted this guy early for a late round MI. At least when he gets hurt this position won't hurt my OBP.
15.13 JD Drew- I lknow but I am hoping between Drew and Bradley I can get 140 games played this year. Good OBP when he plays.
All in all 11-15 was Sandoval a couple of big injury risks and don't kill me type of fill in the hole picks. I wanted pitchers but everytime I wanted one they were snapped up before getting to me. Only time will tell how this works out
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| 46 | Valkyrie
Dude
ID: 47042413
Sat, Mar 28, 2009, 18:31
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16.4 Scott Rolen
17.13 Jonathan Sanchez
18.4 John Smoltz
19.13 Rodney RP- Det
20.4 Louis Nunez- RP Fla
16.4 Rolen- Just filling a hole- I need a 3B and they are all gone- I do have my super utility player Sandoval but. Took a chance on Rolen- again if and when he plays he doesn't hurt you.
17.13 Jonathan Sanchez- admittably a reach for a 5.00+ ERA guy last year but his K's will help and he is young and plays in a big ball park-
18.4 John Smoltz- very happy with this pick although he won't be available until June or so he'll be backed by the BoSox bats at that point.
19.13 Fernando Rodney- I enter desperation phase looking for a second source of saves
20.4 Nunez- desperation conti ues counting on Lindstrom injury to provide early source of saves
Well Rolen/Smoltz injury impaired, Sanchez a prayer and 2 desperation RP's. I wonder if it wasn't a bit early to have my picks look like this- I do love Smoltz and think Sanchez is a worthwile albeit big gamble.
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| 47 | Valkyrie
Dude
ID: 47042413
Sat, Mar 28, 2009, 18:40
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21.13 Brett Gardner
22.4 Pedro Martinez
23.13 E. Buriss
24.4 Chad Cordero
25.13 C.J. Walker
21.13 Brett Gardner- Starting OFer for the Yankees? How bad can that be?
22.04 Pedro will be a nice late rounder if he ever signs with a contender
23.4 Buriss is the gem of this round- may win starting 2B job, source of SB's even if only a pinch runner. Besides Matsui always gets hurt.
24.4 Chad Cordero- not even listed on Yahoo, another desperation shot for a couple saves
as is
25.13 C.J. Wilson waiting in wings if Frank Franciso implodes as closer at Texas
I like these guys for picks from 333 to 396
but that is exactly what they were- big gambles with some upside but no expectations.
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