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Subject: RIBC AAA 2012 PCL #6-10 RATIONALES
Posted by: judy
- Dude [7771722] Tue, Mar 13, 2012, 21:36
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| 1 | judy
Dude
ID: 7771722
Tue, Mar 13, 2012, 21:36
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For goldcoach (copy/pasted from the yahoo league rationale thread...its odd seeing somebody give a raionale for a player I drafted...took me a moment.)
6.05 Drew Storen, RP, WAS I’ve learned that the adage of not picking closers until late works well in 10 team leagues, but when your dealing with 16 teams and savvy managers you don’t have that luxury. I like Storen, still young and strong, Washington has the potential for lots of wins so he seems to be a good choice. I wanted to wait till round seven but I thought I had best grab him now.
7.12 Matt Wieters, C, BAL He has quietly put up good numbers for a couple of years; no longer a prospect but still young. I just have a feeling this will be the year he gets it all going. Even if he doesn’t I’ll take his last years stats and be content, if he does he may be quite a steal at pick #108.
8.05 Chris Carpenter, SP, STL Carpenter (from Boston) came off my queue while I slept. Nice catch Judy! It was the St Louis Carpenter I was intending to draft. Solid, with good control I anticipate another year of consistency for Chris and am happy to have him as a companion to Verlander on my staff.
9.12 Michael Pineda, SP, NYY This one surprised me a bit. I now have selected 4 count ‘em 1,2,3,4 pitchers in the first 9 rounds. I really didn’t expect him to still be on the boards at this point, but when he kept getting closer I began to think if I got him I had a good chance to do well in some pitching categories which will help offset my lack of power so I put him at the top of the queue and WOW! Here he is. Between Pineda, Verlander, and Carpenter I hope to get close to 45 Wins, 550 Ks, with serviceable ERA and WHIP. Its funny haw a draft takes shape but with each pick since I drafted Bourn in round 4, I’m feeling better and better about my chances this year.
10.05 Alexei Ramirez, SS, CWS Consistency is the order of the day here. Nothing spectacular but no holes either. This was a fill the position, don’t get hurt, and prepare for the next round selection.
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| 2 | Evan
ID: 5720121
Tue, Mar 13, 2012, 21:59
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6:10 - Joe Mauer C MIN
I feel this is the biggest risk/reward pick of the draft. I felt like I had to go for him here though. His potential is so high and reports on his health have been good so far. If healthy, he can be a top player in this league again. He may not hit for power as he did a few years ago, but he’ll provide me great AVG and OBP.
7:07 - Drew Stubbs OF CIN
Wasn’t planning on taking 3 position players from the Reds but my team severely lacked speed. Although he isn’t a total speedster, he gives me a good combination of steals/power that I couldn’t pass up.
8:10 - Tommy Hanson SP ATL
My sleeper ace from last season. He was outstanding until his injury last year and reports are that he is healthy. I usually don’t have three starters this early in a draft but I have to be excited with a core group of Lester, Price, and Hanson. All three will give me wins, high number of strikeouts, a fairly low ERA and WHIP. Very happy with this trio.
9:07 - Coco Crisp OF OAK
Wanted to boost steals with one of the best in the business. Yes, he plays with an awful offense so his runs may be lower than the other leadoff hitters in the game, but his high average and propensity for steals was too enticing to pass up. I really got to work on my infield though considering I don’t have a 2B/SS yet... Usually that is one of the first positions I fill. Please let Alexi Ramirez fall to me.
10:10 - Jhonny Peralta SS DET
No Alexi... But honestly, I’m not too sad about having Peralta as my SS. He seems to be pretty consistent and provides good RBI from the position. It is by far not an exciting pick but needed to secure a SS considering four of the next six owners do not yet one. I’d be pretty positive Peralta and a couple more on my radar would be gone by the time it got back to me. Not a sexy move, but a necessary move.
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| 3 | judy
Dude
ID: 7771722
Tue, Mar 13, 2012, 22:56
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6.04 Howard Kendrick 2B, OF LAA
Here is where I wanted to begin to set my starting INF with strong players. He has been a very consistent player in his six year career, a 2B with both power and speed. He kinda reminds me of what Utley brought to the Phillies when he was younger. Roto refers to him as “one of the most productive second basemen in baseball.” He is boring but good. He is expected to hit in front of Albert in a potent lineup, which could add to his predicted 85 run total.
7.13 Martin Prado 3B, OF ATL
Prado had a down year in 2011 due to injuries. To keep him whole, he will mostly play LF this season. He is often referred to as a “bounce back” candidate and I certainly hope so. He will probably bat in the #2 hole behind Bourn (think rbi’s) and in front of Chipper, Brian and Uggla (think runs). He could reach 100 runs and 60 rbi’s with a SLG over .420.. I’ll take that. My starting INF is now complete: Hosmer, Kendrick, Andrus, Prado. I like them all and will work to find capable CI/MI to go along with them!
8.04 Jeremy Hellickson SP TB
It was time to hit the mound again, since the only P I had was Lee and that is not enough no matter what kind of season he has. 32 SP had already been taken and I wanted someone within the 1-3 starter spots for his team. He is penciled in as #3 behind Shields and Price. I was looking for a guy on a winning team who can get 14/15 wins and about 160 K’s. His ERA and WHIP are average, but that’s OK.
9.13 Paul Goldschmidt 1B AZ
I was looking around for CI/MI or an OF and decided to go with another young (24) basher -- I hope. I am trying to bump up my OBP and SLG scores this season and he should help there. He is ranked just outside the Top Ten 1B. He could go 30/30 in HR and 2B, apparently along with a ton of K’s. But like Charlie says “ A K is only one out, referencing Ryan Howard’s K numbers…”. The AZ park is a nice hitters park. I looked at a coupla OF here and hope to land one of them in my next round. I seem to be targeting the young’ uns again…
10.04 Austin Jackson OF DET
This was a really hard pick to make given the long (21 slot) wait until my next one. I was not sure Austin would be there in round 11 and I really wanted him as my #3 OF for run and steal potential. But I only have two SP: Lee and Hellickson. I had 3 SP in my Q after Jackson: Gio (taken by Toral, natch), Morrow and Scherzer. All of these excel in the strike out department. I fully expect them to be gone by my next turn. But I am not unhappy with Jackson, so I cannot be too upset.
So far my batter lineup of 8 hitters is projected (I used just two sites and took the average between them) to earn about 700 runs, 580 rbi, 150 SB, .340 OBP and .440 SLG. Those numbers are looking good -- but remember, they still have to play the games!!
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| 4 | mmikulka
ID: 532511111
Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 00:01
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6.09 Mark Reynolds 3B BAL
He strikes out a lot and could have an OBP in the .320’s, but he’s a legitimate slugger and is somebody I’ve been targeting ever since I missed out on Youkilis. In 2010 he batted .185 and still somehow put up 79 R and 85 RBI. He’s still in his 20’s, and I’m expecting and hoping for better than that this year. He should be good for a few steals, too.
7.08 Heath Bell RP MIA
There are things that scare me about Bell (his lowered K/9, moving out of San Diego’s ballpark), but then again there are things that scare me about most of the RP out there: Bell has a good track record, plays for a team that could rack up a lot of save situations, and the only other Marlins player with closing experience can’t get back into the US to rejoin the team.
8.09 Derek Jeter SS NYY
I spent a good 2 hours debating whether to put Jeter or Werth at the top of my queue before going to sleep. I finally decided on Jeter, which turned out to be irrelevant when Evan picked Werth. This has some potential to be a dangerous selection: I’m a Mets and Red Sox fan who was living in NJ until July, so I’ve gotten to see plenty of evidence that Jeter’s ability is in fact rapidly declining. He played awful last season, and my personal opinion is that his defensive range and ground ball tendencies are so bad that he probably shouldn’t even be starting. You might be as shocked as I was that last year Jeter was still a top 5 SS in this format!! This is the Yankees, and as long as he continues to bat at the top of that lineup and poke enough grounders through the infield, he will put up 90-110 R and 15 SB again.
9.08 Nick Swisher OF NYY
Another Yankee… but he walks so frequently for an outfielder (career OBP of .360), hits the ball hard (career SLG of .466), and his R/RBI average is over 85/80. He’s a legitimate 4-position player that nobody ever seems to draft high for some reason.
10.09 Jordan Walden RP LAA
He blew 10 saves last year and held onto his job, which makes me think the Angels are behind him for the long-term. Despite these blown saves, he still had an ERA under 3 (and with no unearned runs). His K/9 is almost 10. He’s been clocked at 99. The Angels reliably create a lot of save situations. There are no viable closing alternatives on the team. He’s my #5 closer this year and I would have taken him much earlier if anybody ever picked him as a top 10 closer.
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| 5 | JL
ID: 4925148
Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 09:06
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6.01 Jose Valverde, RP, Det
In retrospect, it was a mistake drafting Valverde this early. I needed a closer and just felt most comfortable with Valverde’s job security. If I could do it over again, I would have taken Matt Moore with this pick and Valverde with 7.16.
7.16 Josh Johnson, SP, Mia
8.01 Adam Wainwright, SP, StL
Two proven studs who’d be 2nd-3rd rounders if they weren’t coming off injuries? Sign me up. You don’t win without hitting it big on a few high upside picks, so I felt it was worth the risk (especially since I wasn’t crazy about my other options at this point).
9.16 Logan Morrison, OF, Mia
10.01 Carlos Lee, OF, Hou
I’m 8 picks in and I still don’t have an OF. Morrison is young with upside. I never thought I’d draft Lee, but his numbers were good enough to make him the best OF available. I should have taken a Closer, though.
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| 6 | Seattle Zen
ID: 10732616
Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 13:08
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Round 6 pick 92: Wake up to the realization that I don’t have a second or third baseman and there are a lot of picks to go before it gets back to me. Looking at my game theory ideas for this round, I now realize that I will have to do better guessing who will be available at each pick as the guys I have targeted at 92 are nearly all gone by 69. Mock drafts and ADP are of less utility in RIBC than I imagined. Picks 70-82 were all bargains save Valley (Fever) Girl Ike Davis. No, I don’t like Ike. Yes, Michael Young is not a second baseman, but he’s probably the best third baseman on the board; an excellent CI and trade chip.
I like Mark Reynolds in this format, he’s pretty certain to help in SLG and RBI and maybe even ten steals while not killing you in OBP. And as bleak as third base looked after Aramis, it is dryer than the Atacama dessert after Reynolds, so he tops my wish list. I think he is the 10th best third baseman and if I land him, I feel content at the corners. I really don’t want to take Howie Kendrick because the guy cannot, will not take a walk. I suspect he will score a lot of runs, but how many times will he be allowed to steal bases hitting in front of Pujols? 2010 his OPS was .718. He is the best 2nd baseman on the board, but I’m moving him back in my Q behind David Ortiz.
How is 6.12.92 James Shields still on the board? Gurudan took him with the 39th pick in Yahoo AAA, a pick before Sabathia! Most teams have one starter and I guess no one wanted Jamie as their number one. As great as Shields is, I really need Reynolds and I let out a groan when MM takes him. Now just two teams between me and Shields. I landed an arguably a #1 starter at #92, in my best Costanza voice, “I’m BACK, baby!” I’m off to bed with a three person Q, David Ortiz, Brett Gardner, and Brian Wilson.
7.5.101 David Ortiz is always undervalued because he doesn’t qualify anywhere. I’m in need of his four categories because I am going to have some hyper-feminine, all-glove limp biscuit at third. My team is going to look very different from the others, big bat contributors at catcher, shortstop and utility. I’m best at late round picking outfielders and I will need to land some gems again this year. I probably need Gardner’s steals more than Ortiz’s contribution, but I also think there is a chance the Fleet One will be there at 124. If not, perhaps Cameron Maybin or Peter Borgous.
Okay, I’m devastated and really pissed off about the Huskies not making the NCAA tourney. Iona? Three teams from the WCC? All because they lost a close one in their first game in the Pac-12 tourney. Furious.
8.12.124 Brian Wilson - No closer run so far. My criteria for my first closer is a proven guy with no real chance of being traded. Brian Wilson had some nagging bumps and bruises last season, I don’t see the Giants unloading him. He’s a top 10 closer.
9.05.133 Andre Ethier. All the steals outfielders are coming off the boards. I figured no outfielder will pick picked around the turn because each team has two OF and Blue Hen has three. My Q has Andre Ethier and Nick Swisher on top. I like Ethier to have a bounce back season. He has great ratios and is the clean up hitter, though there isn’t much to clean up other than Kemp. He has more upside than Swisher and is in his contract year, his downside is he could be traded and not thrive on his new team. Neither guys steals. Then Blue Hen, going photonegative of Toral, takes his fourth outfielder with his ninth pick! I do need steals, maybe I should look at Ichiro so I can have a guy on my team who I can watch every night. Wedge has said he want to bat him third. I don’t see that lasting long. His strength is as a slap hitting ground ball batter beating out throws to first. If you have someone on base, forget it. Despite his “BP power”, he does not drive the ball much, it’s not his game. Furthermore, the M’s don’t have another leadoff hitter. I think I can get just as many steals with a higher OPS elsewhere.
10.12.156 Bam, Michael Piñeda, Paul Goldschmidt, Coco Crisp come off the board. I have two glaring holes to fill, second and third. I can only afford for one of them to completely suck and third base it will be because there is nothing left, period. Quite a few teams do not have second basemen and I only like three left on the board, so now is the time. I like Dustin Ackley for his potential, and the possibility of watching him blossom this year, but I honestly think he is a one tool fantasy baseball player and that is OBP. He will not slug much in Safeco and he won’t score much in that lineup. He is not a base stealing threat, really. I think he is great in the field and one of the best players on a terrible hitting squad. So he is third. Wait, Toral snagged him! Great, I must now hex him with a craptastic 55/8/50/7/.340/.386 line. It’s now between Jason Kipnis and Neil Walker. Did Walker really bat cleanup for the Pirates last year, really? Wow. I love cleanup hitters. But people are gaga over Kipnis. You know, there are enough “experts” websites these days that you can find around 180 different people who are in someone’s “top 100”, and I did with Kipnis. Kipnis will steal more bases than Walker and it’s a coin flip with OPS. Since I am high on Walker because of his spot in the batting order, which could change right quick, I go with 10.12.156 Jason Kipnis to cheer up Carlos Santana. This happens in the middle of a middle infield run as well as a closer run. In fact, Walker becomes a Goat a couple of picks later. Philliephan’s Brandon Beachy pick as his fourth starter was outstanding, a real steal. Glad to hear Lipman bemoan the fact that all the decent MI’s have vanished this round.
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| 7 | philliephanjr
ID: 14245115
Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 14:09
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6.7 Ian Kennedy, SP
I know that position players are key to RIBC success because there are so many hitting positions, but with the rate at which every position was being drafted, I decided this was still a 5x5 and it was silly to not take a pitcher. If Kennedy is anywhere close to his 21W, 200K, sub 3/1.1 line from last year this will be a remarkable steal.
7.10 Dee Gordon, SS
I frequently punt steals because they bore me as a fantasy owner, but I felt Gordon and Jeter were the last two decent SS and they would probably both be gone at 8.10 so I grabbed the one with some upside and now I will hope.
8.7 Mat Latos, SP
Again, position players were being overdrafted left and right and I just could not justify taking one of the remaining 2B or OF at this point when there were still some real quality pitchers out there. It came down to Latos vs Hanson and ultimately probably came down to me not wanting too many NL East players. Latos throws a lot of strikes and I feel he will definitely be good with the potential to be great. A perfect early-mid round pick.
9.10 Andrew Bailey RP
He should have the job locked up with the $ he is making, he has solid pitching in front of him for a team that will win some games. I was kind of surprised he fell well past the first batch of closers given the situation he is in. I also felt this was my last chance to ensure I got 2 decent closes (since my middle slot would get me 1 during any run).
10.7 Brandon Beachy, SP
Again, I really felt the value in these rounds was in the pitchers. I considered taking a 2nd closer here and going for 3, but despite my hatred for the Braves I think Beachy has demonstrated that he will be solid in all 4 SP categories and I was surprised he was still available. 169 Ks in 141.2 innings is not bad at all.
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| 8 | Great One
ID: 340592712
Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 14:20
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6.02 Yovani Gallardo, SP, MIL
Needed an ace SP asap after ignoring pitching to this point. I worry about a dip in wins with Princes offensive impact lost, but I'm comfortable with him leading my staff.
7.15 Billy Butler, DH, KC
Wanted another SP but too hard to ignore Butler. I think he's falling cause of the DH thing, but he's a great hitter. I have some hope he'll get 10 games at 1B to better utilize him.
8.02 JJ Putz, RP, AZ
Had a major problem with closers last year in RIBC and didn't want to make the same mistake twice so willing to overpay here to stock up.
9.15 Josh Beckett, SP, BOS
Happy to get Beckett here to pair with Gallardo since he'll likely get a few extra wins for being on BOS and that should help offset Gallardos lower win total. Hopefully he picks up where he left off last year minus the fried chicken and beer of course.
10.02 Joel Hanrahan, RP, PIT
Same as Putz, wanted 3 real closers, no "maybe" closers like I screwed with last year.
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| 9 | mailedfoot
ID: 47213616
Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 14:41
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6.08 Madison Bumgarner, SP, SF
Last year, Bumgarner increased his K/9 and decreased his BB/9 to the point where he is on the cusp of being an elite pitcher. Still only 22, I am hoping he can take another step forward this year and seal the deal. Some reports have him as a possible injury risk but I decided to accept this and targeted him. I figured this was the last chance to select him.
7.09 Brett Gardner OF, NYY
I am expecting Gardner to be a “safe” pick for steals and runs. He has also demonstrated OBP skills. Was not sure what to do at this point in the draft, as I still had no MI and relievers are starting to come off the board. My past teams have tended to be weak in offensive categories however, and I am trying to make sure this year is different. I am still a little nervous about this pick.
8.08 Jayson Werth, OF, WASH
Still wanting to make sure I have a solid offense, I took Werth hoping he can bounce back. If he does, he can be a force in all 5 categories. I was a little surprised he was still available, and decided he was worth pick 120.
9.09 Danny Espinosa, 2B, WASH
Felt I had to address MI at this point and decided to go with Espinosa. He is young enough so that there is room for improvement and he has some pop, can steal bases, and should hit near the middle of the lineup. I am hoping he won’t be too big of a drag on OBP.
10.08 Jason Motte, RP, STL
Trying to make sure I do not get completely locked out on saves. I chose Motte because he seems entrenched as the closer right now and has a strong K/BB ratio.
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| 10 | youngroman
ID: 56523304
Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 14:55
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6.06 Asdrubal Cabrera, SS, CLE
after picking 3 starting pitchers in a row I need to fill my hitting slots. MI is thin in quality options every year. A few picks ago my short list included Kendrick, Cabrera and a few others, mainly outfielders. With Kendrick gone, there was not much to think about. Cabrera should have the highest OPS of available middle infielders not named Kelly Johnson, but he should get more runs and RBIs. OBP and SLG will be below league average, but that can be said about every middle infielder outside the top 5. we simple have to deal with it and I like a MI who is near the average more than a left over MI who really hurts your percentage stats. MI is a position full of defensive talent which is not a stat in this league.
7.11 Carlos Beltran, OF, STL
I also thought about Jason Heyward, but I liked Beltran more because of his above average percentages (0.365 / 0.470), which is rare to get at this point, at least if you look at every day players. Runs and RBIs are pretty similar to other players like Werth, Maybin or Ethier. He is not getting younger but I hope that there is 1 more season left in his tank.
8.06 Nick Markakis, OF, BAL
as a previous owner I know what to expect from Markakis. I was open to take any hitter except a catcher here. Not much MI left right now. The same can be said about CI too. At least in my opinion. That leaves with picking my 3rd OF or a pitcher. I already have 3 starting pitchers and I believe it is still too early to hunt for some saves. with 3 star pitchers I can look at some closers ranked between 15 and 25. they just need to get me some saves.
Back to Markakis: good OBP, just like Carlos Beltran, good counting stats in the 85/85 range and around 10 steals, which is pretty much the league average. the difference is only that most base stealers don't have good percentages and an even worse RBI number.
9.11 Erick Aybar, SS, LAA
before the draft I thought about picking a closer in this round, but with that many still available I better take an infielder before all valuable ones are gone. I primarily searched at 2B and 3B because I am still missing these positions, but in the end I sat in front of a bunch of SS: Aybar, Ramirez, Hardy, Peralta, Escobar. I see Aybar above the others in this group because of his stolen base potential. Runs and RBI are ok for a middle infielder, the percentages suck a bit. But looking at the projeced percentages of the others he is in "good" company.
10.06 Rafael Betancourt, RP, COL
It was finally time to take my first closer. I targeted Betancourt from the beginning and really hoped that he would make it through here. There are alternate options out there, but probably not for this pick, maybe the next. Betancourt will have an excellent ERA (below 3.00) and WHIP (slightly above 1.00) which is all that you can really predict. Ks are ok (1 per inning) and wins and saves can't be predicted for a closer because it depends more on other players than on the closer itself. In theory every closer should be worth at least 30 saves. some of them get 40, some of them get even 50.
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| 11 | jdrenbarger
ID: 32281420
Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 21:10
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6.11 Chris Young, OF, ARI
Not my best decision – tried to put together a 20-pick queue in advance of my trip and then had the chance to edit it while hunched over a laptop in the front seat of my car via a horribly slow wifi connection on a Kansas turnpike. Missed out on Reynolds by two picks and should have taken David Ortiz – he and Billy Butler were the top two on my board, but I shied away from both of them because they have no designated position. Next five are all outfielders – Carlos Beltran, Nick Swisher, Jayson Werth, Young, and Corey Hart; I went with Young because of steals and he’s been pretty consistent … albeit consistently an OBP sinkhole. Never seriously considered taking a second pitcher here.
7.06 Ricky Romero, SP, TOR
Top 18 batters on my board are all OF (of which I already have 3), 1B (which I have filled), or without a designated position, so I elect to take a second starter. Romero is actually 10th on my pitcher list at this point, but the safest pick in terms of consistency and one of only about 3 that I think will be gone by my next pick. I’ll almost certainly be reaching for pitchers even more so than most by the time we reach the last few rounds, so I go with a fairly proven commodity who’s really nothing special as the second guy on my staff.
8.11 Kelly Johnson, 2B, TOR
I really liked the back-to-back picks of Josh Johnson and Adam Wainwright at the turn … so much so that there aren’t any pitchers that jump out at me. What does strike me is the increasing shortage of MIs, of which I have none, and not a single SS within the top 25 on my board. Consider Ryan Roberts, Neil Walker and Johnson … go with Johnson as I believe he best combines safety and steals within the pick … another OBP sinkhole, for sure, though.
9.06 Ryan Roberts, 3B, ARI
Am at the point where 3 of the top 4 3Bs on my board are Edwin Encarnacion, Chase Headley and [still not drafted in the 14th round] … I’m not horribly excited about Ryan Roberts truly getting his act together for good in his early 30s, but he’s also SS-eligible and seems destined for significant playing time … and he’s expected to steal some bases, too.
10.11 Marco Scutaro, SS, COL
Lots of closers still on the board and no SPs that jump out at me, so I elect to fill SS … consider J.J. Hardy as well as Scutaro; go with Scutaro to help shore up what’s looking like an OBP problem, although he’s not nearly got the pop of Hardy.
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| 12 | Toral
ID: 010321615
Wed, Mar 14, 2012, 21:56
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6.03 John Axford, RP, Mil (Other AAA 7.01)
4 closers already taken. The closer run in RIBC leagues usually begins in about the 6th round. Certainly it will be under way by my next pick. Axford had a nice season last year, maintains the K per inning closers are expected to have, pitches for a decent team. He’s a top-5 closer by the rankings I look at, I’ve seen him as high as second. He’ll do, and there should be something left in 26 picks.
7.14 Jason Heyward (Other AAA 6.14)
OK, I think I’ve proven to my and everyone’s satisfaction that I could stick with my plan of not drafting OFs early. It’s rare for someone who plays as well as Heyward did in 2010 at 20 to be a total flameout absent serious injury. He’s lost 20 pounds, suggesting that he’s taking life seriously. That shoulder problem should be healed by now, in which case Heyward should more than justify being drafted here.
I was looking longingly at Wieters, who was taken at 7.12, and seriously considered Billy Butler, who was taken with the next pick. Maybe should have taken Butler; UT is a position too.
8.03 Alex Avila, C, Det (Other AAA 7.15)
With catchers you can pick them no later than about here, or in the last round, or not at all and pick up a free agent before Opening Day. A catcher who can put up a .390 OBP and .500 slugging, not as a decrepit veteran but at 24, can play for me. There’s about one more good catcher and then the pickings start to get somewhat bare.
Considered Nick Markakis (8.06) here.
9.14 Dustin Ackley, 2B, Sea (Other AAA 8.04)
Ackley wasn’t far from my top-ranked hitters here straight up, and to fill in my MI slot I liked him here. I have owned him coming up in a keeper league and like to diversify my holdings, but I’ll make an exception. Ackley was a bit of a disappointment in his first starring role last year, but he does get on base, and with just a bit of improvement across the board will be a solid performer. Batting 1st or 2nd in the lineup, he will participate in any run scoring the Mariners should choose to do this year. I’d like to see him hike the stolen bases a notch.
10.03 Gio Gonzalez, SP, Was (Other AAA 11.09)
Yet another guy I already own but couldn’t turn down here. Top 10 in ERA and Ks in the AL last year, he walks too many to star in WHIP, but key is that the walk rate isn’t deteriorating. Move to the NL should compensate for the adverse change in parks.
Second closer can wait one more go-round, I hope.
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| 13 | GoatLocker
Leader
ID: 060151121
Thu, Mar 15, 2012, 09:54
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6.14 Emilio Bonifacio, SS, FLA
Wasn’t really thinking about going to the middle of the INF yet, but as I looked at all of the options, I really liked this one. Gives me some really nice speed and a lot of flexibility. He will be playing in the OF with Reyes and HanRam covering SS and 3B, but he qualifies at SS, 3B, OF. Will be batting between Reyes and HanRam which will do nothing but help his numbers. Doesn’t completely kill OBP and SLG, but only helps RBI / SB.
7.03 Adam Jones, OF,B AL
Even though I was tempted to go with a CI here, but real comfortable with this pick. His ADP was 73 and we are looking at pick 99, so works for me. Not sure the supporting cast will allow his numbers to be as good as I would like, but do think he still has room to improve. He is only 26 and his numbers have improved each of the last 3 seasons. OBP is a little lower than I would like, but will just need to work it at other positions.
8.14 Corey Luebke, SP,SDG
Not sure I’m taking him earlier than I should have, and probably a little bit of a homer pick, but another case of only time will tell. This is a case of an ADP of 133 and taking him at 126. Expected him to be there in 5 picks, but you never know, so I did take him. Worried about number of wins, but expect good value for ERA, WHIP, and Ks (expect somewhere around 3.20, 1.15, 175). And, he is pitching in PETCO, so that will help him out also.
9.03 Jesus Montero, C, SEA
This was kind of early for me to take a Catcher, but liked the fact he was still available and looks like he will DH while being qualified at Catcher. Best of all worlds in my mind as I will get a lot more PT out of him than you would expect. And, feel fairly comfortable with his numbers. Biggest issue is lack of experience, but if you base things on the small sample from last season he should be just fine.
10.14 Neil Walker, 2B, PIT
This was really an easy pick at this point in the draft. I was still fairly barren in the Middle of the Infield, and I really do like his upside. His SO and walk rates in 2010 / 2011 were almost identical, so I feel fairly comfortable in the numbers I can expect out of him as far as R, RBI, OBP, SLG. I know I won’t see the SB from the position, but will make up for them in other areas. So far, so good, even though I might not feel that way at the end of the draft.
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ID: 539351921
Mon, Mar 19, 2012, 15:32
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6.13 Ryan Madson, RP CIN
I usually don't like to take closers this early, but they were starting be drafted. I decided I wanted to pick a closer with this pick or next. I liked Madson better than the others available, so I decided to take him with this pick rather risk missing out on him with my next pick.
7.04 Freedie Freeman, 1B Atl
Went for a postional neeed with this pick. Freeman is a young first baseman who played well his rookie season. I expect some improvement this season as he continues to mature.
8.13 Michel Montero, C Ari
Another change in strategy for me this season. I usually wait until around pick 20 to get a catcher because I consider it the least important position. This season I decided to pick one earlier if I could find one I liked. I saw a big dropoff in catcher value after Motero.
9.04 Matt Garza, SP, ChC
I decided I needed to a 2nd SP with this pick. Garza had his best season in 2011, and could become an elite pitcher with a little more improvement. At 28, he is entering his prime.
10.13 J.J. Hardy, SS, Bal
Filled another position need with this pick. Hardy has better than average power for a middle infielder, but doesn't get the SB production expected out of this position.
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