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Subject: RIBC AAA PCL DRAFT RATIONALES #6-10
Posted by: Judy
- [54203110] Tue, Mar 11, 2014, 19:46
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| 1 | Judy
ID: 54203110
Tue, Mar 11, 2014, 19:53
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since we are approaching round 12, here is my 2nd set of rationales:
From YR
6.15 Gio Gonzalez, SP, WAS
I again targeted a hitter and a pitcher with these 2 picks. when I looked at the remaining options at this point I did not see any player that fits my team. there were a few that matched a position I already drafted and I did not want to pick a 2nd 1B/3B/SS that early. not that any of these players would be better than the best available outfielders. I decided that I would pass on hitters with these 2 picks.
my SP list included Gonzalez, Shields, Zimmerman and Minor. In the end I settled for Gio with this pick. he should also provide me with about a K/IP but with a slightly higher ERA/WHIP than Bumgarner.
7.02 James Shields, SP, KC
like Bumgarner and Gonzalez, Shields is also capable of getting 200 strikeouts this year. This will not be the case for many pitchers and I now have 3 of them. This gives me the freedom to look at pitchers with a good ERA/WHIP without looking too much at strikeouts anymore. there will be some good value out there in the middle rounds to fill that need.
8.15 Jonathan Papelbon, RP, PHI
I now have 2 picks and then need to wait 28 picks until I am up again. I fear that there won't be many closers left at the end of the 10th round, so I better take 2 now and don't look at them in the near future unless a 3rd one can be had for cheap
You can't argue about Papelbon. This is his 9th season as a closer. he has no injury history and averages more than 35 saves in the last 8 seasons. I just expect him to do the same. I hope he rebounds from his poor 8.3 K/9. but I won't complain as long he is a steady source for saves.
9.02 Casey Janssen, RP, TOR
he had a better ERA/WHIP than Papelbon and most other closers available at this point. he gets a strikeout per inning and hopefully around 35 saves this year. what can you expect more from your closer.
10.15 Brandon Phillips, 2B, CIN
there are not too many 2B, SS or 3B left that provide above average stats in more than 2 categories. Phillips should be above in 2 (R, RBI), about average in 1 (SB) and below average in 2 (OBP, SLG). he is not far below because he is still projected to provide a OBP of 0.315 and a SLG of .410 and there are numerous players out there that are worse and that don't get the counting stats that Phillips does. finding a good MI will be tough this year.
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| 2 | Judy
ID: 54203110
Tue, Mar 11, 2014, 19:54
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From dog hall:
Chase Headley (6.04)
My original hope was to take R. Zimmerman in round 5, but when he went at 4.07, I knew that wouldn't happen. I decided I probably needed to make a move on Seager or Headley since I felt like the 10 SBs would be needed. I decided to go with Headley primarily due to his spot in the lineup. It looks like Seager is going to bat 2nd which could mean great runs scored numbers, but I don't feel good about his RBIs there, while Headley is likely to bat 3rd or 4th. I also like that it's a contract year for him so I'm hoping he can approach 2012 numbers (although I don't expect 2012 to ever happen again).
Glen Perkins (7.13)
I was really wanting Matt Cain here, but oh well. I really don't like spending early picks on closers because they really only truly contribute to one category, but then again, they are the only players who can single handedly get your team 3-9 pts. I felt like there was a falloff in quality, but more importantly job security after Perkins, so he was my guy.
Mat Latos (8.04)
After the sting of losing Cain, I knew I still needed to grab pitching as I'm currently off to a very strong start with my lineup and need to commit some early picks to some low-risk pitchers. While Latos does have a knee injury, the fact that it was a 10-day recovery makes me think it wasnt much. Latos looks like a guy who has had great consistency who can get me good ratios with plenty of innings and wins on a good team.
Grant Balfour (9.13)
Knew I wanted to go closer here to solidfy having 2 and am hoping to be able to have three by the end of the draft. Balfour has his questions marks, but is on a team that is consistently getting up to 50 save opportunities and appears to give their closers long leashes (see Rodney last year).
Julio Teheran (10.04)
This was a tough one for me. My team NEEDS a 30+ steal guy so the logical decision was to go with that. However, I'm getting greedy and taking a risk because there are 4 speedy guys available that I like (Victorino, Bourn, Martin and Gardner). I KNOW that Teheran wont be around next round and think he could really strengthen this rotation. Odds are though that all 4 SB guys will get taken and I'll be mad at myself.
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| 3 | MattG
ID: 161331619
Tue, Mar 11, 2014, 21:06
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6.11 Pablo Sandoval 3B SF
Chose kung fu Panda here for a few reasons. When he's been at a lower weight he's been fantastic. At this point I had a C, 2 OF, and 2 pitchers. There were a number of pitchers available here but I already had 2 studs and anyone else wasn't worth a 2-3 round earlier pick. If he can get his SLG or OBP up at all, he's a legit 3-4 category guy.
7.06 Anthony Rizzo 1B CHC I had Rizzo a couple years ago before he was traded to the cubs, I've always liked him as a prospect and have been waiting for him to have a true breakout season. He'll never help in steels, but he doesn't hurt in OBP and SLG. He could be an asset in SLG. If he brings his Runs and RBIs up, he'll be a good add here.
8.11 Chase Utley SS PhiHoping for good ole chase utley here, 20+ bombs, maybe 85+ ribs and some good OBP. If he steals 10 bases I'll be happy. I really needed to shore up my infield and like 2 picks above, pitching just didn't look to be a good pick at this point.
9.06 Ernesto Frieri RP ANA Someone started a run on Closers, I could have punted saves but decided not to. In a h2h it's different I think, in roto you need to attempt at all 10 categories or I don't think you have a chance. He was the best available closer at this point.
10.11 Fernando Rodney RP Sea Seattle is going to win more games this year and Rodney is going to get those save opportunities or at least I hope he does. Again there was a run on closers and I always like to have 2. I could have waited on the turn but my next pick would have been there no matter what.
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| 4 | blue hen
ID: 4739168
Wed, Mar 12, 2014, 11:20
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6.08 David Robertson, RP, NYY
Already holding the best closer in baseball, I decided to get another one. Robertson can be elite, and having two closers will help in saves and give me a good base for ratios. Would have taken Matt Holliday if he was still around - and don't laugh, I didn't think he'd be there at 5.09 either.
7.09 Brandon Moss, 1B/OF, OAK
Anthony Rizzo had just gone, and honestly, is there much difference between the two in a single-year league? Rizzo probably has higher upside, but Moss can also slot into the outfield. Good ratios here, another solid hitter.
8.08 Jered Weaver, SP, LAA
Well, I guess you need starting pitchers, and here's my first (and only through round 13). I typically have few SP, really trying to target undervalued guys. Weaver was on my team last year and while my team stunk, he wasn't the problem. K-rate is dropping, but everything else seems fine.
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| 5 | blue hen
ID: 4739168
Wed, Mar 12, 2014, 15:54
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9.09 Jonathan Villar, SS, HOU
Even though I'll probably win steals with just one player, you need middle infielders, so I got the best one around. For a few rounds, I'd been looking at the next tier, including Villar, Chase Utley, and some other, and it seemed like the right move with most of my power hitters in place. I expect a lot of steals out of Villar.
10.08 Brett Lawrie, 3B, TOR
Young, with potential. It's not a keeper league, but this is the kind of player who comes out of nowhere to be awesome. Or not. The best third baseman left, although if I'd known Frazier would last four more rounds, I might have gone elsewhere.
11.09 Tommy Hunter, RP, BAL
Suckers! Hunter is going to have a great year as Baltimore's closer, with a ton of saves, great rate stats, and a championship performance on my team. Seriously, I think he's going to be great, and I was happy to grab him here, even as a third closer.
12.08 Nelson Cruz, OF, BAL
Draftime seems to think he's still on Texas. That's fine - even without his old home park, Cruz can mash. And while I have a ton of mashers already, I'm happy to add another one. Again, this is value because it's much later than I expected.
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| 6 | Jaydog
ID: 366501612
Thu, Mar 13, 2014, 16:10
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6.03 - Trevor Rosenthal, RP, STL
Always go into a draft hoping to get two closers. With plenty still on the board, but only a few of what I had as a "top tier" I figured to grab Rosenthal here. In retrospect, probably could have waited another round, but very happy with the player.
7.14 - Jonathan Lucroy, C, MIL
I went into this draft telling myself to wait on catcher, as there seemed to be a bunch of options later in the draft. I successfully waited on some of the top options, but decided to pounce on Lucroy. I'm a bit iffy on the pick, but he's had great numbers two years in a row, and there should be no reason that he can't deliver again.
8.03 - Mike Minor, SP, ATL
I was able to successfully hold off on starting pitching for the first 7 rounds, but decided to finally pounce on Minor in round 8. Minor's a pitcher that should help me in 4 categories, and is coming off a phenomenal year. There's a slight injury concern, but all signs point to him being ready after only missing a week or two.
9.14 - Jim Johnson, RP, Oak
Wanting two closers, Johnson appeared to be one of the last "stable" closers left on the board. Wish he had more dominant peripheral stats (K's) but its hard to argue with his track record in Baltimore.
10.03 - Hisashi Iwakuma, SP, SEA
Didn't realize until after I took Iwakuma that he's injured and will most likely start the year on the DL. Very mad at myself for missing that. Hopefully the injury is minor, and if so and he approaches last years numbers, he'll have phenomenal value in the 10th round.
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| 7 | point2bac
ID: 122561315
Thu, Mar 13, 2014, 16:56
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you got lucroy right when he was at the top of my queue *shakes fist*
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| 8 | Judy
ID: 54203110
Sun, Mar 16, 2014, 21:59
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6.06. Sergio Romo RP SFO
Everyone knows you need a closer. I hate closers and dislike the saves stat. Romo or was the 7th taken and I was afraid there would be no good ones left by my next turn. I will be happy with 35 or so saves. I am just aiming for a middle position among closers here. He does pitch for a winning team so hopefully that will happen!
7.11. Austin Jackson OF DET
I have been a fan of Austin's for many years and have watched him get a little better each year. DET seems to have decided to move him from the top of the order to the 6 hole. This could give him more RBI in a stacked DET lineup although it might cost him some runs. That's ok. Maybe this will also be his real break out year. DET is loaded this year so he should fit in and be able to relax and just play!
8.06. Masahiro Tanaka SP NYY
I wasn't sure what position to draft here and then I saw that Tanaka was still available. He could this be given all the hype?? I decided to plunge in. The reports out of spring training are that he is dazzling! Sweet! I will hope for 190K, 15 W, and a nice ERA (3.64 predicted -- is that too high?) and WHIP (1.22).
9.11 Aramis Ramirez 3B MIL
Time for an INF hopefully one with a little bit of power left in the tank. His 2013 wasn't too hot, but he is expected to bounce back. I am looking for help in RBI (90), OBP (>360), and a SLG over 500.
10.06. Jed Lowrie 2B OAK
Better grab an MI here. We are running out of power folks quickly and I can wait on the SP. Seven 2B were taken in the first 5 rounds!! I was kinda hoping Utley might make it to me but Kemics snatched him at 8.11. Lowrie will do just fine: ~ 80 R and RBI, and a nice SLG around 430. I always have trouble with the percent stats.
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