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Subject: AA RIBC 2015 DRAFT RATIONALES #1-5
Posted by: Judy
- [54203110] Sun, Mar 15, 2015, 22:14
Hop to it. Not required but sure fun to read!
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| 1 | Judy
ID: 54203110
Sun, Mar 15, 2015, 22:16
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In first one, explain why you chose the slot you did.
Then list player, team and position.
Then tell us why you chose him or how you lost out on someone 'cause someone beat you to him. Or which ones you had in mind, etc.
Be sure not to mention undrafted players.
Please do in groups of five. It reads more easily and I don't have to rearrange them in order.
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| 2 | Judy
ID: 54203110
Sun, Mar 15, 2015, 22:25
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Pop, I forgot.
Also list round and pick number. If you know how to bold, you can do that " Name ". (Without the quote marks.)
Ex:
1.03 Andrew McCutcheon OF PGH
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| 3 | Judy
ID: 54203110
Sun, Mar 15, 2015, 22:25
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Pop = oops.
Getting tired...
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| 4 | Judy
ID: 54203110
Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 16:19
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Slot 1.03. I chose this slot because I wanted a shot at one of the top batters and did not trust going much lower. I don't like the wait between picks, but will hopefully make good ones at the turns, assuming a run does not catch me off guard. I probably could have gone down to 1.04 and still had McCutcheon...
1.03. Andrew McCutcheon OF PGH
It was between 'Cutch and Goldie for this slot. Goldie has slightly better projections, but I had tickets to the World Series in 92 that I could not use and have a soft spot in my heart for the Pirates.
And where were YOU when Sid slid??
I will be happy with 90+ RBI and R from Andrew with some stolen bases, and nice 550 SLG and and over 400 OBP.
And, of course, a return to the playoffs for my Pirates.
2.14. Josh Donaldson 3B TOR
Wow that was a l-o-n-g wait between picks. 27 guys gone! This is gonna be agony.
For this pick I wanted another slugger. It was between Josh and 1B Adrian Gonzalez. I felt that Josh had slightly higher percentage predictions (SLG, OBP) than Adrian. So I went that way. I also considered Freddie Freeman, but sparky anne took that decision out of my hands at 2:10. DaBomb took Adrian at 2:16 so that value was there.
3.03. Zack Greinke SP LAD
By this time, five SP were off the board and I was in fear that a great one would not be around at my next pick which is 4.14 -- twenty seven players to be chosen in that interval. I wanted Max Scherzer mostly for his high K rate, but DaBomb snatched him at 3.02! Nuts! So I went with Zach whose K total won't be as great but his percentage (see a theme here?) stats are good. I am looking for 18 W, under 2.90 ERA and a nice 1.10 WHIP. I'll find the K's from another source or two or three. I have a plan.
And now I wait. I put picks in my 4.14 queue but I KNOW it will be empty!!!
4.14 Matt Carpenter 3B STL
Well, here I go again for another percentage player who plays infield. Hmm. Permdude took Frazier, GL took Arenado, and also on my list but for round five or six, was Dee gordon, but bean took him. I also had the idea of getting a top tier RP, but fosten took Kimbrel and kyle took Chapman and then sparky anne took Holland!
So back to the drawing board for INF sluggers after some on my list disappeared onto other teams. Carpenter will be just fine. His projected SLG isn't as high as I would like but his OBP will be fine as will RBI and R. He was #39 on the rotowire overall list and their #4 3B. So my hot corner is set with him and Donaldson.
No idea what I will do with 5.03 as after that I am faced with another long wait...stay tuned!
5.03. Marcella Ozuna OF MIA
Still trolling the marketplace for the percentages: SLG and OBP. I preferred an INF, but none appealed to me. I think that MIA is going to be a hitter's team and Ozuna is on my G20 team (otherwise I might never had heard of him...). Marcell's SLG is fine, but OBP is projected to be "eh" but his RBI and R look decent. I looked at Dozier and was glad dabomb took him so I didn't have to make a decision. I am concerned -- again about the wait. I sure hope there are folks I want left!! I also considered getting a SP, but I think there are still lots left, so maybe next time. Just could not put the hook now.
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| 5 | gurudan
ID: 206112913
Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 20:01
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I have never been able to understand the thought process behind a queue with an 1 1/2 or two hour delay.can someone enlighten me?
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| 6 | Perm Dude
ID: 431013412
Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 20:03
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1.16 Jose Altuve, 2B, Hou
Picking at the turn meant that the biggest names were already off the board. But Altuve, who has been known to steal a base or two, brings very good hitting numbers as a result of his speed and high contact rate. He also has a decent number of rbi's despite both leading off, and leading off for the Astros. I feel like I made up some ground with this pick.
2.01 Adam Jones, OF, Bal
Multi-tool hitter, brings consistent production with the occasional swiped bag to keep me on pace with that category as well. Could get back up to 100 runs this season.
3.16 Johnny Cuerto, SP, Cin
Normally I would look for another hitter (perhaps in a weaker position where the pickings get slim quickly), but by the end of the third round so many good starting pitching was gone that I didn't want to wait. Cuerto brings amazing K/IP numbers and puts up wins despite playing for the Reds.
4.1 Todd Frazer 3B, Cin
I admit that Frazier, to my mind, had "journeyman" written all over him before last season. He was one of the few highlights for the Reds despite playing in that hitting park, and he brings across the board numbers to the table. Some better hitting around him will boost his runs and rbi's as well.
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| 8 | gurudan
ID: 206112913
Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 21:10
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1.09 Robbie Cano 2ND SEAT
my scheme is to take the best available players according to my ratings. with pick 9 I chose a 2nd baseman because he's the only tier 1 2nd in baseball.
2.08 BUSTER POSEY C- 1B SF
expert advice wait for a catcher. well this is the only catcher I rate as tier 1. I can use him every day because he plays everyday. i'll get a catcher later on to be the other starter with posey at 1st.
3.09 DAVID PRICE SP DET
if price was gone, I would have waited for a sp.once again, last pitcher left in tier #1. several pitchers were taken ahead of him that I rated as tier#2, so I jumped.
4.08 JOSE REYES SS TOR
a shortstop I considered top tier(last one)i'm elated
5.09 PABLO SANDOVAL 3RD BOST
I figured if I waited for a 3rd, i'd never get his value. he completes my infield, and I think my team is progressing nicely.
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| 9 | wiggs
Leader
ID: 04991311
Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 22:26
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1.15 Yasiel Puig OF LAD
I went with best available here. I have never had Puig on a team and I realize he is high risk high reward. I am hoping he with be the later of the 2. He is a young talented OF and a solid piece to build the team around. I can see him going 300, 20-25 HRs 90 Runs 90 RBIs and steal 10-15 bases. The guy is a 5 tool player that can help across the board.
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| 10 | wiggs
Leader
ID: 04991311
Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 22:29
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2.02 Bryce Harper OF Washington
Another young OF that I have never had on a team before. He was not the next best available on my sheet, but i felt like he was a perfect fit to go with Puig. I know have 2 players that can hit 300 with 20-25 HRs 90 runs 90 rbis and 10-15 SBs. Loving these guys that fill all the categories.
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| 12 | wiggs
Leader
ID: 04991311
Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 22:34
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3.15 Christian Yelich OF Miami
Are we sensing a pattern here. 3 Outfielders under the age of 23. I didnt love Yelich here, I was planning on going back to back pitchers here and round 4. When I couldnt get the pitcher I wanted here or Cargo who went 1 pick before me I decided to continue with the young OF strategy. I dont see Yelich having the power of Puig or Harper, but what he loses there he will make up in SBs.
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| 13 | wiggs
Leader
ID: 04991311
Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 22:39
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4.02 Corey Dickerson OF Colorado
Was hoping that I would be able to pick a 2nd pitcher in this spot, but when I didnt get the 1st one in the 3rd round i decided to to solidify my outfield. HAving anyone from Colorado is a big advantage and if Tulo and Cargo are healthy Dickerson should put up huge numbers. Looking for 300 25 HR 85 Runs 85 RBIS 10SB. With this being a 4 OFer league and 16 teams i came into this draft knowing i would have to get my OFs quickly to avoid getting stuck with a low level player.
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| 15 | wiggs
Leader
ID: 04991311
Tue, Mar 17, 2015, 22:43
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5.15 Julio Teheran SP Atl
Dont love picking a pitcher from Atlanta but Teheran was the best available pitcher at this spot. I knew I needed to get some pitching on this turn or I would be in big trouble waiting another 30 picks to have another shot. Hoping Teheran can match last years numbers and I would be pretty happy getting him at pick 79.
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| 17 | Toral
Leader
ID: 2111201313
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 13:31
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0.06 Draft Slot #11
I was only interested in the top 4 slots, as I had a plan to pick my first baseman in the second round. With the top slots gone, when I picked the question was how low I could go and still feel that I had a substantial likelihood of getting Anthony Rendon. I vacillated between #11 and #10 and in the end decided to go bold. If I had known Bean was going to be in #10, I would have taken it myself.
1.11 Anthony Rendon, 2B/3B, Was (RIBC 1.13)
I got very antsy when Rendon went at 1.06 in the first AAA league drafting and was grateful the guyz ahead of me drafted quickly. In a league with 4 OFs and CI and MI slots, CIs and MIs become more valuable. You can have to dig pretty far down in the barrel for that 3rd MI. Rendon is 24 and may get better, while alternative MIs Cano (1.09), Tulowitzki (1.13), and Ramirez(2.03) are old and can only get worse. Cano was in any case gone so I didn’t have to rereview that comparison when I came up. Rendon has all the offensive skills, plays for the best team in baseball, and is eligible at 3rd if for some bizarre reason i should want to play him there.
2.06 Joey Votto, 1B, Cin (RIBC 2.06)
I ordinarily opt for young players still getting better rather than 31 year olds, but I will make an exception for power hitters who put up OBPs like .435 and .474. Votto was injured last year and tried to come back too soon. What he needed was an off-season’s rest.
3.11 Carlos Santana, 3B/1B, Cle (RIBC 2.16)
Moving to 1B should mitigate the injury problems that beset his career at catcher and third base. Led the majors in walks with 113; low BABIP suggests his BA can be expected to increase by 25-35 points this year as well. Batting cleanup should have 100 RBI this year.
A pity his manager couldn’t have found a way to slip him in as catcher for 9 more games, but then you would have had to take him in the first round if you wanted him. Dual eligibility helpful in league with a CI slot.
4.06 Jordan Zimmermann, SP, Was
He and Wainwright the last pitchers worth taking this high, and still need a staff ace. I was a little concerned with Wainwright’s K/9 decline at age 34. Zimmermann’s K/9 ratio, already good, went up in the second half last year.
Let’s see; right league, good defence, decent park, on the best team in baseball in a division with 2 awful rebuilding teams. Sold.
5.11 Jason Heyward, OF, StL
Now to some difficult choices. Looking ahead for an OF here, it came down to Heyward, Cespedes, and Bruce. At 26, Heyward’s gone downhill since his star 2012. However, he moves to a better hitting team in a better hitting environment, has plus power and speed, and walks. There is the potential of a huge breakout. At worst, I’ll need to have a 4th OF around and bench him against lefties and have just a very good player. Batting 2nd in that lineup, will score some runs.
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| 18 | gramazins
ID: 122151812
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 13:48
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Draft Slot
I was between 1.6 and 1.7 as the optimal draft slot for me. It came down to two things. Would someone definitely take Kershaw in the first 6 pick and how comfortable I was the Miguel Cabrera would bounce back with a healthy year this season. In the end I stayed with 1.6. I decided someone would definitely take Kershaw, but I didn’t want to take a 1st rd. pick with any risk.
1.06 - Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, AZ
While I was hoping Stanton might fall, I wasn’t optimistic. I had my draft order as Trout, Stanton, McCutchen, Goldschmidt, Abreu, Cabrera. Was a pleasant surprise that Goldschmidt fell, he has a longer track record of success and will throw in a few SBs.
Other players considered: Abreu, but this wasn’t a very hard decision
Sorry I missed out on: No one. I was really surprised that Goldschmidt fell. I was hoping that Stanton might fall, but wasn’t optimistic about it.
2.11 - Felix Hernandez, SP, SEA
This was more about who I didn’t want to take vs. who I did. I generally don’t grab pitching this early but wasn’t enthralled by any of the hitters left. That said grabbing a top 5 pitcher who has been a consistent 200k machine at this point seemed like a good move.
Other players considered: Carlos Gonzalez, Josh Donaldson, Ryan Braun, Jacoby Ellsbury, Corey Dickerson, Christian Yellich
Sorry I missed out on: Buster Posey, Bryce Harper, Jose Altuve
3.06 - David Wright, 3b, NYM
My short list here was all hitters. I was leaning towards grabbing an OF because there were a few good ones available and we need 5 of them. Then I thought about David Wright. When I made my pick at 2.11, Wright wasn’t even in the conversation, but when I went back and looked again I thought more about the categories, and while he was terrible last year, he was a stud for this format in both 2012 and 2013. I’m hoping he regains that form and posts a .390OBP with a .500slug, but even if its .360 .450 he’s a good pick here. In 2013 he was .390 .514 and in 2012 he was .391 .492 so its definitely plausible if the shoulder is healthy.
Other players considered: Christian Yellich, Carlos Gonzalez, Corey Dickerson, Mookie Betts
Sorry I missed out on: Josh Donaldson, though I knew it was unlikely he fell when I didn’t take him at 2.11
4.11 Mookie Betts, OF, BOS
This was my first really tough decision. I was going to take Matt Harvey because I think he has 2nd round upside and there weren’t too many pitchers left with 200+k potential. Then last minute I decided to go with Betts. There weren’t too many players left with a possible .370. .470 combo left and I felt I could fill pitching later if Harvey didn’t fall. I regretted this instantly and we will see how this works out.
Other player considered: Matt Harvey
Sorry I missed out on: Christian Yellich.
5.06 Evan Longoria
I had a bunch of names I considered here. I really was hoping Harvey fell. When he didn’t my gut reaction was to take Cole Hamels, but he has a crappy team behind him and might not be a 4 category pitcher, which you need when taking a pitcher this early. Next I was sold on Lucroy, but I actually think there is some value at catcher this year and the drop off isn’t as stark as it usually is. Also catchers only contribute about 120 games vs 155 for other positions so the timing didn’t seem right. So even though he was a last minute thought I came around to Longoria. He is similar to David Wright in that he is more valuable in a league with OBP and slugging than one with AVG and HR. I didn’t realize how much until I looked at his 3 year avg slash line of .340/.460 even with a down year last year.
Other players considered: Cole Hamels, Jonathan Lucroy, Matt Holliday
Sorry I missed on: Matt Harvey
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| 19 | Kyle
Sustainer
ID: 052753312
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 14:19
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0.15 Slot 13
It was this or 14. I went with the higher one. I don't know why I just knew I wanted the higher of the two picks. I figured I'd let Goatlocker pick after me in the odd rounds.
1.13 Troy Tulowitzki, SS, COL
Position scarcity aside, Tulo is one of the better hitters in the league. The fact that SS is one of the shallower positions, epecially at the top I nabbed him and am thankful to have him. He'll probably spend 15 days on the DL because that's what he does, but overall he'll put up great stats. Playing in Colorado for half of his games only helps.
2.04 Chris Sale, SP, CWS
I knew coming into this I wanted the top available position player in round 1 (unless Kershaw was around) and then the best available pitcher in round 2. Well luckily I got the best pitcher in my mind (White Sox fan) and the #2 guy on my board. He's getting his missed time done early this season with his foot bruise and nothing about falling out of his truck scares me for the season. He'll be good for 200 IPs, 200+ K's, and a sub-2.50 ERA.
3.13 Jon Lester, SP, CHC
Man I should have waited on pitching and grabbed a hitter in round 2. Everyone I liked at this slot got snatched up. I was thinking one of Posey, Donaldson, Beltre, Freeman, Springer, or Fielder would be available. No such luck.
Lester was the best pitcher on my board at this point and with a move to the NL his ERA and WHIP should move a tick lower while his K's should go up. He might lose on wins, but those are an unpredictable stat that's luck based.
4.04 Aroldis Chapman, RP, CIN
Now a little insight to my strategy coming into the draft. I wanted to be on the lead of the closer run. I told myself that as soon as a closer went, I was going to draft one (so long as they were still a top 5 closer on my list). Well Fostens took Kimbrel the pick before this, which surprised me it was this early, but I wasn't planning on deviating from the plan and snatched up Chapman. I think he's the better of the two closers taken at this point who is starting to pitch multiple innings without ill effect. I could see 100 IP of under 1.50 ERA and 0.90 WHIP while striking out an ungodly amount for a RP.
5.13 Shin-Soo Choo, OF, TEX
I have 3 pitchers, I should get another hitter. Choo's injuries last year slowed him quite a bit, but after surgery and a full offseason to recover he should be back to his 15-15 ways with a .380 OBP. He's in a great line up so the run producing opportunities should be available to him.
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| 20 | Perm Dude
ID: 431013412
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 22:32
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5.16 Matt Holliday OF
Felt like a steal getting him at the end of the 5th round. His slightly down year last season still meant a lot of runs, rbi's, and his 20 dingers meant a great slugging %. He's a consistent performer who will anchor several offensive categories.
6.1 Dellin Betances, RP
Biggest stretch of the draft for me, taking him in th 6th round. But he's likely to get 40 saves plus over 100K's which are great numbers from a relief pitcher.
7.16 Garrit Cole, SP
Cole has been hit by injury, but seems poised to break out this year. In only 22 games last year he had 138 K's--a fuller season will see him pushing 15 W's and 180 K's. Good numbers at the end of the 7th round.
8.1 Yan Gomes, C
At this point in the draft I start looking at filling open positions, weakest first if possible. Catcher is one where there is some severe drop-offs in offense after the first few, and Gomes is a very good second-level offensive catcher.
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| 21 | MBT
ID: 252461821
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 22:46
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1.08 - Edwin Encarnacion, 1B, TOR
Arguably the top 1B in fantasy baseball. A history of injury makes him worrisome, but worth the shot.
2.09 - Adrian Beltre, 3B, TEX
Consistency is the name of the game, plus 3B generally sucks this year. Grabbed a sure fire 600 plate appearances with Beltre.
3.08 - Starling Marte, OF, PIT
30 steals and undervalued in my opinion. ESPN has him ranked as the #14 OF, but I can see him cracking the top 5-7.
4.09 - Jason Kipnis, 2B, CLE
I'm not actually sure if I took him in the 4th because I can't get into Draftime right now. Another 20+ SB at another thin position.
5.08 - Cole Hamels, SP, PHI
Yes, Philly sucks but Hamels doesn't. I'm not going to be chasing wins, I'm drafting quality in my pitchers talent and hoping they'll each put up 10-12 wins.
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| 22 | Valkyrie
ID: 40254919
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 22:56
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Slot 5
Chose this because it was the lowest available to me. In absence of 3RR or bonzai setup in baseball i am convinced lower is better
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| 23 | Valkyrie
ID: 40254919
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 22:58
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1.05- Miguel Cabrera- det 1B-
Wanted Kershaw and was really surprised when he didn't make it to me. can't complain with perenial performer in HR/RBI
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| 24 | Valkyrie
ID: 40254919
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 23:00
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2.12 Ryan Braun- OF- Milw
Well I had hoped for Beltre here but since I was committed to Slug % and RBI and Braun back from suspension just have to hope the roid residue is enough to carry him through 2015.
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| 25 | Valkyrie
ID: 40254919
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 23:03
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3.05- Corey Kluber- SP-Cleve
Having missed on Kershaw and Hernandez i wanted a SP. Bumgarner chosen just before my pick so I went with the younger arm and crossed my fingers.
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| 26 | Bean
ID: 14147911
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 23:10
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Have learned that being on the ends of the draft compels me to frequently reach in all but the first few rounds. Its because you can go a long time without a pick and can get shut out of a position if you dont reach some. So I tend to like middle of the draft and pick #10 was the middle most available.
1.10 Jose Abreu. Didn't want to reach for a MI, Abreu has good power numbers.
2.07 Ian Desmond. MI is frequently thin, he has good all around numbers.
3.10 Prince Fielder. Well I didnt really want another 1B, but this power could not be past up.
4.07 Dee Gordon. MI talent can quickly disappear, Gordon allows me to forget about steals for the most part
5.10 David Robertson. I like to get three good closers, I was on the road during this part of the draft, was easy to set up relievers for three rounds. My next two are also projected closers.
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| 27 | Valkyrie
ID: 40254919
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 23:12
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4.12-Adam Wainwright SP St Louis
Reached for my #2 Sp-wanted one from a good team with a proven track record and my premium RP were both gone
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| 28 | Valkyrie
ID: 40254919
Wed, Mar 18, 2015, 23:17
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5.05- Ian Kinslet 2B Det-
Not ecstatic with this but took him over and Kipnis/perdrosia at 2b and OFers such as Kemp based on positional need and perceived durability.Would have preferred Seager taken just ahead of me LOL.
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| 29 | Judy
ID: 54203110
Fri, Mar 20, 2015, 22:38
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6.14 Steve Cishek. RP MIA
Ugh. Hate this pick. Not the man himself, but the fact that due to the long delay I felt I needed to pick a dreaded closer or there would be a run I would miss out on. Ugh. I wish we did not have the save category... I like the hold one much better. Many more of those out there... Anyhow, I do expect the young Marlins to be in the hunt this year and expect Steve to get plenty of opportunities -- just enough to keep me in the middle of the save category would be fine. So how are these stats: 40 saves, 80 K, under 2.50 ERA, under 1.20 WHIP?
7.03. Justin Morneau 1B COL
Time for another percentage pick and this time I return to the infield and that means a first baseman!!! Justin is no longer a young chicken (33 years old) but he has had a steady career as a hitter. His 2014 campaign was above average for both SLG and OBP. And that is what I am looking for!!
I am hoping for a SLG around .480 and an OBP of .350. His counting stats are not great (70 BI, 77 R, 0 SB) but I will get those elsewhere. The key to all of this is that he does need to stay healthy.
8.14. Daniel Murphy 2B NYM
I really do not like this pick. I was so sure that JRoll(ins) would fall to me but Sparky beat me to it at 8.10. I was hoping to start getting some SB here, but it was not to be. Murphy does give me my percentage stats though, so that theme continues. He plays for a crummy team so his counting stats won't be great, but are somewhat equivalent to jimmy. I also wanted to be able to follow jimmy in LA. He will be missed in Philly even though he is on the downside of his career; he was part of the glue that brought us the NL championships and the World Series.
Just found this so maybe it isn't a bad pick after all:
The epitome of the non-sexy sexy fantasy baseball player. Over the past two seasons, only two second baseman have hit at least .280 while scoring 75-plus runs and driving in at least 50: Robinson Cano and Daniel Murphy. Murphy is a high-contact batter that uses that ability to get on base more so than walking. His BABIP has been over .315 each of the past four seasons, allowing him to consistently hit for a high average.
9.03. Jake Arrieta SP CHC
Time for my second starter. I was looking for some K's (expected to be ~180), and a nice ERA (3.10) and WHIP (1.12), so I think he will fit the bill. I also think the cubbies are going to be strong this year so he might get more wins than currently projected (11). He is currently not having a great spring, but most pitchers take time to find their groove. He'll be the #2 starter after Lester.
10.04. Addison Reed RP AZ
Don't really like this pick but got stuck out to dinner with a queue I did not like. Wanted a SS but the following disappeared before my turn: A Ramirez, Andrus, Segura, Peralta. Seriously guys? I really didn't plan that one well and am currently without a SS and the ones left, well, they should be left so I will wait... Reed is battling shoulder soreness but they do expect him to be ready by the first week. I got him for saves (30+??) my least favorite category. In my current state of mind, this is a blown pic.
Wow, just realized that I dislike three of these five picks!!! Not a good sign.
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| 30 | Bean
ID: 14147911
Sat, Mar 21, 2015, 12:48
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6.07 Mark Melancon RP PIT. I want three closers early in the draft, didnt have time to study this pick, but he's a good one.
7.10 Drew Storen RP WAS. Ditto, I have three now.
8.07 Charlie Blackmon OF COL. Cant believe he was still available, had an awesome season last year, hope he repeats.
9.10 Devin Mesoraco C CIN. As Judy will attest when I gave her my queue while Draft Time was down, I was ready to take him with 8.07. Imagine my joy getting him a round later. Nice power.
10.07 Colin McHugh SP HOU. He was a favorite late season pick up for me on many teams last year. Maybe emotional attachment forced me to take him as my first SP. I needed some SP in any case.
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| 31 | Judy
ID: 54203110
Sun, Mar 22, 2015, 20:55
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11.03. Chris Archer SP TB
Going to forget about the SS position for a while. Hopefully I have enough percentage guys to balance them out. I decided to get another SP and use 12.04 for a batter. I was looking here for a relatively high K guy with decent percentages. Archer is projected for 175 K, 3.20 ERA and a WHIP below 1.25. He needs to reduce his walk rate to get there. We shall see. As of today (3-21) he is penciled in as the #1 guy with cobb and Smyly battling injuries.
12.14. Michael Cuddyer OF NYM
Looking here for some more help with the percentages. Starting four OF can create problems down the road. Cuddie is #3 for me. I was hoping for Martin, Polanco or Tomas, but they were snatched by MBT, wiggs and Permdude. Oh well. His counting stats are average because the Mets stink (like the Phillies) but I am hoping his SLG (.450) and OBP (.330) will help in those categories. I will use others to get the counting stats -- I hope. He is an older guy and there is the injury concern. I think I heard that the Mets moved the fences in and that should help him if that is true. Did not know that he is deaf in his left ear. They wanted him to play RF to hear the CF calls, but it looks like he will be in left at least to start the season. Let's hope for no collisions.
13.03. Martin Prado 2B MIA
Ok then, time for that third middle infielder! (I don't have a SS yet, but Prado is still the third one.). I have liked Martin since he first broke into the bigs. I am following my trend of going for percentages. He now plays for Miami and I think that team is gonna score early and often, so maybe his counting stats will be better than predicted. He is the 10th ranked 2B for SLG. He is also in the 11-14th "place" for RBI, R and OBP. Can't argue with that for the 18th 2B selected in our draft.
So I have two steady veterans manning second base, Prado and Murphy. Hopefully they will stay healthy and be very reliable!!
14.14. Hunter Pence OF SF
Well with the long wait, these folks in my queue were stolen from me: Napoli, Grandal, Pederson, Aubar, Giles, Molina, Latos. Sheesh. Eventually Pence will recover and then his crazy mechanics for batting and throwing will be on display. I can wait. When he does return he should help with the percentages SLG and OBP.
15.03. Chris Owings SS AZ
Well now is the time for a SS, I guess. I had to double check to see what his first name was! Have zero expectations for the guy except to fill the SS slot even though he will be the snakes 2B, but sympathy for the recovery from shoulder surgery in October. I know that is no fun!
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| 32 | gramazins
ID: 122151812
Mon, Mar 23, 2015, 10:05
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6.11 Ryan Zimmerman, 3b/OF/(soon be 1B)
I continued going with best available player here and was attracted to the upside of zimmerman’s bat. His OBP was .790 in a down year and mid .800 potential is still there. Hopefully playing 1b easy some of the tear on his body throughout the year. I don’t love that I just drafted my 4th corner IF, but he can play a lot of positions so I ended up going with it. I still considered Lucroy here, but was happy I could find a decent catcher later in the draft.
Other Players Considered: Jacob Degrom, Jonathan Lucroy, Cole Gerrit, Neil Walker
Sorry I missed out on: Jason Hayward, Matt Holliday, Matt Kemp, Jason Werth, Jay Bruce ( I thought one of these guys would fall to this pick)
7.06 Jacob Degrom, SP, NYM
This came down to 3 players, DeGrom, Cole and Neil Walker. While I still need a MI I wasn’t going to let that dictate my decision this early in the draft. I went with DeGrom because if he repeats his last year, he’s a steal at this position. 2.69 era and more than a k per inning. The rub is he wasn’t highly touted, so repeating that performance might not be possible.
Other Players considered: Gerrit Cole, Neil Walker
Sorry I missed out on: Trevor Rosenthal ( I hadn’t considered closer with my last pick, but when I saw he was still there I was going to hop in and grab one, only to see him go a few picks before me)
8.11 Alex Gordon, OF, KC
I was looking at Soler Gordon and Mejia with this pick. I thought there was a better chance Mejia would fall to my next pick, but it was a big risk because if he didn’t I felt I might get priced out of saves completely. Its getting to the point in the draft where its difficult to find guys that get counting stats but don’t completely kill you slash lines. Gordon might not OPS .800 but he still has a high .700 bat and should be good for 75RBI and Runs.
Other Player considered: Jennry Mejia
Sorry I missed out on: Jorge Soler
9.06 Jennry Mejia, CL, NYM
Unlike most people I have an extreme confidence in Mejia being a top 10 closer this year. He has the rare ability to miss bats and can navigate tricky situations. When moved to the bullpen last year he really seized his opportunity and if not for a late season hernia he probably isn’t available late. I didn’t have any closers at this point and didn’t really feel there was anyone else I could choose.
Other Players considered: none
Sorry I missed out on: none
10.11 Michael Pineda, SP, NYY
This is/was a high upside high reward pick. In 13 starts last season Pineda had a 1.89 ERA and .825 WHIP. I’d sign up for 3.50 and 1.15 from this slot. Throw in a decent k rate and this felt like the right pick. I didn’t see anyone I needed to have on my team and Pineda when healthy has shown himself to have top of the rotation stuff. I was hoping that Chase Utley would fall to me here, but when he didn’t this was an easy choice, though I still didn’t feel good about it.
Other players considered: Fernando Rodney
Sorry I missed out on: Chase Utley
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| 33 | gramazins
ID: 122151812
Mon, Mar 23, 2015, 10:39
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11.06 J.D. Martinez, OF, Det
I’ve always been a fan of J.D.’s for no reason whatsoever. In the minors he was touted as a player with serious power and last year he realized it. I had to check a few places to make sure his .553 Slug wasn’t a misprint. He could be a 1 year wonder for sure, but what I liked most was that while he mashed lefties to a 1.003 OPS he hit RHP to an .880 OPS as well, so he was good against both sides of the plate last year.
Other Players Considered: Alicedes Escobar, Santiago Casilla
Sorry I missed out on: Fernando Rodney
12.11 Travis D’arnaud, C, NYM
You might see this and begin to see a pattern. I like the Mets. But rather than think of it as reaching for my hometown players I think of it as being most informed on them. D’arnaud struggled mightily at the plate last year and was even sent to the minors. In the second half after that brief stint in the minors his power began to arrive slugging .474. While his OBP was still below average at .313 he felt like a good fit at catcher for this point in the draft. I also like the idea that he’s young and could have high upside if he gets his OBP up.
Other Players considered: So here is where my draft went off the rails a little. I was at Disney World and trying to keep up with this, but I had no queue at this pick or my next 3 so I essentially drafted the next three guys under pressure to keep the draft moving with little actual research. Lets hope I didn’t completely screw my draft up with these picks.
Sorry I missed: Yordano Ventura
13.06 Javier Baez, 2b/SS, CHC
**Panic alert** I was caught of guard how quickly the draft got back to me. I also didn’t notice all the SS’s had been drafted in round 10. I knew that Baez had some pop, but was not aware how much he had struggled at the plate in the majors and again in spring training. This is what I get for picking blind and relying on Sports Center Highlights from last year. That said even Trout struggled in his first cup of coffee. Lets hope Baez is half as good in his second cup.
14.11 Ken Giles, RP, PHI
This was another blind pick. I almost took Hunter Pence, but didn’t want to deal with having him in my IR slot to start. Giles has high upside if the Phillies can ever trade Papelbon. If not hopefully he spells him from time to time to pick up a few saves.
15.06 Danny Duffy, SP, KC
My last blind pick I liked his low whip ERA combo. Don’t know if he can repeat it, but he does pitch in a pitchers park.
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| 34 | Bean
ID: 14147911
Tue, Mar 24, 2015, 01:42
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11.10 Ian Kennedy, SP, SD Needed SP, he has good Ks
12.07 Aramis Ramirez, 3B, MIL Good OPS
13.10 Khris Davis, OF, MIL Need some OF, hope he improves on rookie season
14.07 Rajai Davis, OF, DET Need some OF, locked up steals
15.10 Marlon Byrd, OF, CIN Need some OF, not much left
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| 35 | gurudan
ID: 206112913
Tue, Mar 24, 2015, 13:51
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6.08 ALEX COBB SP TB
RIGHT AFTER I THOUGHT I STOLE THIS PICK, HE HURT HIS ARM. IF HE RECOVERS, I THINK HE WILL EASILY BE TOP 15 VALUE.
7.09 CODY ALLEN RP CLEV
MY 1ST CLOSER.
8.08 CHRIS CARTER DH HOUS
POOR AVG, BUT HIS OBP IS ACCEPTABLE. IN A LEAGUE SHORT ON POWER, HE'S DEFINATELY A BIG PLUS.
9.09 BEN REVERE OF PHIL
FROM BIG POWER TO BIG SPEED. SHOULD HELP WITH OBP ALSO.
10.08 ALEX RIOS OF KC
HOPE NEW SURROUNDINGS ADDS IMPROVEMENT OVER 2014. I HAD HIM ON SEVERAL TEAMS LAST YEAR AND HE DISAPPOINTED IN ALL CATEGORIES. I MOVED HIM UP IN MY RATINGS BECAUSE OF THE SPRING HE'S HAVING. MID MARCH AND ALREADY 7 HOMERS.
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| 36 | gurudan
ID: 206112913
Sat, Mar 28, 2015, 12:42
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11.09 SANTIAGO CASILLA RP SF
RD. 11 WAS MY TARGET ROUND FOR CLOSER NO. 2. AS GOOD AS ANY.
12.08 LANCE LYNN SP STL
DEPENDABLE STARTER #3 FOR MY STAFF.DOESN'T GET BLASTED TOO OFTEN
13.09 MIKE NAPOLI 1B BOST
WANTED A 1B SO I COULD ALLOW POSEY TO CATCH. GOOD POWER AND A SOLID PLAYER, JUST HOPE HE GETS 500 AB WHICH IS PROBABLY A STRETCH.
14.08 SHELBY MILLER SP ATL
STARTER #4 fell off a bit in 2014 because he isn't totally overpowering, but my strategy this year is to rely on starters who are consistent and cut back on relievers.
15.09 AVISAIL GARCIA OF CWS
LOVE THE NAME
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| 37 | gurudan
ID: 206112913
Sun, Mar 29, 2015, 12:38
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16.08 MIKE MORSE 1B-OF FLA
MULTI- POSITIONAL GIVING ME A CI AND ADDITIONAL OF ER
17.09 CURTIS GRANDERSON OF METS
SUFFERED THRU 2014 WITH HIM. I JUST AM A BELIEVER. HIS 2ND HALF LAST YEAR WASN'T A TOTAL BUST.
18.08 JED LOWRIE SS HOUS
BEST AVAILABLE BACKUP OPTION FOR ME AT THIS TIME.
19.09 DEREK HOLLAND SP TEX
ANOTHER SP. SOME THINK HE'LL HAVE A NICE COMEBACK SEASON.
20.08 WILL MIDDLEBROOKS 3RD SD
SEE POST 18.08
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| 38 | gurudan
ID: 206112913
Mon, Mar 30, 2015, 16:50
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21.09 BRANDON MCCARTHY SP LAD
SOLID STARTER WITH INJURY HISTORY. IT'S WHY HE'S STILL AVAILABLE
22.08 WILSON RAMOS C WASH
A GOOD CATCHER, PLAYS MORE OFTEN THAN NOT, HAS GOOD POWER, BUT DOES HURT AVG.
23.09 WI CHEN SP BALT
ANOTHER GOOD SP WHO CAN BE ROTATED FOR GOOD MATCHUPS
24.08 SHANE VICTORINO OF BOST
SHOULD LEADOFF FOR THE SOX. EASILY 100 RUNS IF HEALTHY
25.09 JOSE PERAZA 2ND ATL
TOP PROSPECT
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