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Subject: RIBC 2017 AAA RATIONALES 16-20
Posted by: Judy
- [35493114] Sat, Mar 11, 2017, 19:34
16-20 |
| 1 | Judy
ID: 35493114
Sat, Mar 11, 2017, 19:36
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ESPN LEAGUE
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| 2 | Toral
ID: 0181517
Fri, Mar 24, 2017, 11:51
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16.11 Addison Reed, RP, NYM (RIBC 13.13)
One-fifth of a closer if Familia gets the suspension of 30 games or so that experts are predicting. And, who knows? Familia might take a while after coming back to get in closer form, or Reed might pitch well enuf that Familia never gets his job back.
Reed was 1.97 with 91Ks in 78 IP last year and a 91/13 K/BB ratio. In ST he’s getting the stuffing knocked out of him with a 10.13 ERA. But he has 8Ks in 8 innings with 0 walks so maybe he’s just fooling around out there.
Let’s stop mollycoddling perpetrators of domestic violence. Hand Familia a two-month suspension, Commissioner!
17.06 Mitch Haniger, OF Sea (RIBC 14.11)
Here to fill up my OF I looked at a cast of thousands, including Brett Gardner (18.02), Manuel Margot (18.13), Aaron Judge and a guy who’s yet undrafted.
Haniger is 27, and let’s hope he plays over his head for a year as players often do when they get their first chance of a starting job at an advanced age (the “Ed Charles Syndrome”). Last year he hit .341/.428/670 with 12 steals in AAA before bombing in 120 or so PAs in the bigs. Maybe he’s just a quadruple-A player but in ST he’s putting up .418/.467/.691 with 3 steals in 3 attempts. Methinks he’s not going to blow his chance.
18.11 Aaron Judge, OF, NYY
A big man who some think has a hole in his swing, it looks like he will get the Yankee starting job. 2nd highest exit velocity in the league last year. He’s putting up .298/.377/.511 in ST.
Torn between him and Manuel Margot here (18.13). I need RBIs and Margot is dealing with a knee problem and it is said he may not even start the season in the bigs so I regretfully passed on his 40-steal potential.
19.06 Jeremy Hellickson, SP, Phi
Searching for pitchers to round off my staff, I came up with a queue of five: Hellickson, McHugh (21.03), Santana (20.04), Cobb (more about him later), and an undrafted player.
Hellickson is the Phillies’ opening day starter. I hope he’s not matched up against other teams’ aces all the time or it’ll be a long year. Good control, not a great K guy, kind of a vanilla choice here. Had big home/road split last year, so I’ll watch where I start him.
20.11 Byung Ho Park, 1B, Min
SLEEPER! I might have waited on him but I’ve found that in this group the sleepers get awakened quicker than I expect. Tipped as the Twins’ likely starting DH. Showed power last year, but hit .191. He had a .230 BABIP so some of that may be luck; I’m hoping he just needed a year of adjustment over hear.
Hoping at least one of him and Pearce will be playing any given day.
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| 3 | Nerfherders
ID: 2211442615
Fri, Mar 24, 2017, 17:22
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16.02 Kyle Barraclough, RP MIA
It's the Marlins turn! I wanted another strong reliever, since I usually run with six in RIBC. Barraclough is the 3 true outcomes version of a pitcher. He had the lowest put-in-play rate of any pitcher in the majors last year. He strikes people out or walks them. I am hoping for more of the former!
17.15 Ivan Nova, SP PIT
I was making these picks during a two-day meeting, and while I had my laptop with me, I felt weird researching picks during the meeting. Nevertheless, I came up with a couple decent picks on this turn. Nova benefited from the same magic as AJ Happ received in 2015 - the Pirates pitching coach. I am hoping for more of the same for Nova, and if he resembles the pitcher he was in Pittsburgh last year, he's going to be a top 30 SP.
18.02 Brett Gardner, OF NYY
I had considered Gardner earlier in the draft, but felt I could do better at that time, so I was pleased to see him here at this spot. I definitely wanted someone with some steals in this spot, and those players were very hard to come by at this point in the draft. Gardner is kind of Dexter Fowler light - a little steals, good OBP, but not much SLG or RBI. I can live with that.
19.15 Danny Valencia, 3B/1B SEA
Valencia was a secret weapon for me last year in AA, one of those strange players that is better in fantasy than in real life, because he's a good hitter but not a good fielder. I'm not worried about his production while he's in the lineup, just about his playing time. Right now he is set to platoon at first base on the wrong side, but I have a feeling he will end up with most of the playing time, or move elsewhere on the diamond.
20.02 Lance Lynn, SP STL
Yet another reclamation project. Of course, the only way I can be getting these guys where I do is because of injuries. He's been solid in ST this year and if he comes back to previous form will be perfectly fine as my 5th starter.
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| 4 | slizz
ID: 3556212
Sun, Mar 26, 2017, 14:58
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16.16 - Shin Soo-Choo, OF/DH, TEX
Choo is slated to be the everyday #2 hitter in a loaded Texas lineup. Regardless of how you might feel about him, Choo still gets on base at a decent clip (.357% in 2016). Given my squad's on base struggles, that filled two major needs for me: on base and my 3rd outfield spot. At this point in the draft, it's a minor victory in my squads quest for dominance!
17.01 - Taijuan Walker, SP, ARI
Love my D-Backs pitching...lol I was honestly between Dylan Bundy and Walker. Walker has been lights out this spring, accumulating 25 K in 17 IP (yes...I know its spring training) while only allowing 2 free passes...also reading his groundball rate has increased. I chose Walker in RIBC AA last season and got burned. Hoping that I get some type of bounce back and continuation of his spring...
18.16 - Josh Reddick, OF, HOU
My lineup is officially complete. Reddick rounds out my offense as my 4th outfielder...If he can stay healthy, I am looking at a 20 HR bat who gets on base at a clip of .350-360ish...and will be hitting in Houston versus cavernous Oakland. His SLG% is pretty consistent at .450% (in Oakland) and if he can hit those two #'s, he will help my cause in OB% while not hurting it in SLG%. For my last hitter, that is about all I can ask for.
19.01 - Dylan Bundy, SP, BAL
Nearly took Bundy at 17.01. Ecstatic to secure his services at this point in the draft. Rumor has it, he is adding the cutter back to his arsenal. The same Cutter that made him a consensus top 10 prospect. He was lights out the first 6 starts, but began to fatigue. As my 5th/6th starter, I could do a lot worse!
20.16 - Brian McCann, C, HOU
I needed a Catcher and McCann was the best one left...by best one left I mean most likely to not screw my team's ratios.
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| 5 | jaydog
ID: 57213279
Mon, Mar 27, 2017, 10:29
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16.03: Jed Gyorko, 2B, STL
After filling my 2B slot with Schimpf, I wasn't planning on taking Gyorko here, but after mulling over a few options, he seemed like my best bet. Gyorko gives me some 2B insurance in the event that Schimpf flames out, and if hd doesn't, his 2B/SS/3B eligibility gives me plenty of options to plug his bat in. He doesn't seem to have an every day position locked up in STL (which is why I went Schimpf last round), but his versatility should still give him plenty of opportunities, especially if he can continue to show the power he had last season.
17.14: Melky Cabrerra, OF, CWS
Having two OF's that are likely to start the season on the DL (Pollack and Desmond), I wanted to sure up my options there. I'd have considered Choo if he made it to me, although his injury history is well known. Cabrera made sense for a lot of reasons. His last two seasons in Chicago, he's played over 150 games. He's likely to bad at the top of the order, giving him a good chance at R/RBI's, and his OPS has consistently been in the mid 700's year over year. Not a sexy pick at all, and certainly has limited upside, but as a 4th/5th OF, I'll take the consistency.
18.03: Marco Estrada, SP, TOR
With a pretty good handle on my offense, wanted to start filling out my rotation. My first three pitchers all have pretty huge K upside, so wanted someone who should give me good ratio's, and also someone that pitches on a good team, giving me some decent chances at wins. Marco Estrada hits all of those boxes. I usually try to avoid AL East pitchers due to the offenses and ballparks, but the AL East should be a bit softer than in years past, with some of the biggest bats (Ortiz and Encarnacion) now in other divisions.
19.14: Francisco Liriano, SP, TOR
Hoping that last years 4.7 ERA was an abboration. If it was, and he can get back into the 3's, Liriano is a really nice pitcher to round out my starting 5, offering very high K numbers, on a good team. If it's not, and last year started the down slope of his career, I'll at least still get good K's out of him, until I drop him for someone new. Wouldn't have been comfortable taking Liriano as my 3rd or even 4th starter, but as my 5th, I'm more than happy with the risk.
20.03: Tyler Naquin, OF, CLE
I've had my eye on Naquin for a few rounds now, almost taking him over Melky in round 17, so decided I better grab him here, or likely not at all. Naquin's numbers were absurd last year in a platoon (just under 900 OPS). It's sounding like he should play every day this year, which should hurt his numbers a bit, but not enough that he doesn't return 20th round value. If the rest of my OF is healthy, he'll be a nice platoon/utility option, but I think there's a reasonable chance he ends up in my top 4.
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