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0 Subject: RIBC AAA Yahoo draft rationale thread

Posted by: Khahan
- [2911322610] Tue, Mar 13, 2018, 12:36

Draft rationales for AAA are optional but strongly encouraged. A couple of rules about rationales to keep in mind:

1. post 2-3 rounds behind the current pick

2. Never post the name of an undrafted player

For your round 1 pick if you choose to do rationales, please post your rationale and a little blurb about why you took the draft spot you took.
      ID: 2911322610
      Tue, Mar 13, 2018, 12:39
1.10 Mike Trout OF LAA

I won the lotto with the 1st slot to choose so I took the 1st overall pick. Trout gives you just so much so consistently. .400+ OBP .600+ slg, 80+ runs/rbis and 20+ steals. Picking 1st ensures I get him.
As for taking him, seeing what positions came up to pick over the next 4 rounds I honestly wish I had taken Altuve here. Not complaining at all about getting Trout. But I think from the perspective of filling out differing spots, I would have picked Altuve if I had known. Guess I'll just have to suck it up and deal with the fact I 'settled' for Mike Trout. haha
      ID: 491532215
      Tue, Mar 13, 2018, 13:35
1.06 Trea Turner SS, WAS

I had the 6th choice of draft slots and took the earliest pick available which was number 6. I was really hoping for Goldy or Turner. I thought it was likely that I would have a shot at one of them. Decent OBP and SLG %, elite SB, I believe his runs and RBI's will go up this year. I think Washington will score more runs this year and Turner should see some of that benefit. 85 runs and 55 RBI. I didn't even consider anyone else because I was set on Turner even before the draft started.
      ID: 4211201420
      Tue, Mar 13, 2018, 20:17
Draft pick #15
I had the choice of picks 9-15, and chose 15 for a number of reasons. After Trout and Altuve, I did not see significant separation between the remaining players. I thought I would do better with picks 15 and 18 than with 9 and 24.
I was also tossing around the strategy of picking SPs with my 1st 2 picks if 2 of the 4 top pitchers were available. I have been playing in these leagues since their inception and have not seen it tried. The pundits disagree with this, but I never win with conventional draft strategy , so I decided to try it.
Finally I like being around the turn, although that can hurt if you miss a closer run.

1.15 Chris Sale, SP, Bos
Kershaw was also available, and as a Dodger fan (note team name), it would have been nice, but I am concerned about his back and the potential for Kershaw having substantial time on the DL. I also do not think that there is really any separation between the 2 on a fantasy or MLB level.

2.02 Corey Kluber, SPUH, Cle
I felt that Kluber, along with Sale and Kershaw, comprised the top tier of SPs, although it could be argued that Scherzer belongs with them.
With Kershaw gone, I decided to pick Kluber and then play catchup with hitting.

      ID: 142171220
      Tue, Mar 13, 2018, 21:03
Took highest draft slot available at 7. Thought there were 5 guys I wanted and it was possible one could slip to me at 7. Normally prefer to draft at the ends but couldnt justify going to 16.
1.07 Joey Votto, 1B, Cin
One of the top 5 guys in the draft for me. He absolutely kills this format year in and year out. Leads the world in OBP and is only rivaled by Trout in total OPS. I normally like a high floor vs a high ceiling early in the draft and this guy has one of the highest floors in baseball. consistently great. besides dominating ratios and allowing me to reach later for lower OBP guys he kicks in 90+ runs and RBIs with a handful of SBs from 1B. Undervalued every year I will take him happily.

2.10 Brian Dozier, 2B, Min
Was wishing one of the top 5 SP would fall to me but they went many picks before. Never considered another SP at this point as the value isnt there. Made a list of 6 guys I would take with 6 picks to go. Dozier was number 3. J.D almost made it to me as he was my #1 but missed him by one pick. Dozier is always knocked in rankings because his batting avg is like .260 but who cares his OBP is north of .350 thats what we care about. helps you in all categories and plays 2B. no injury issues. proven track record with reliable floor. last of the elite 2B who can help in all categories.
      ID: 2911322610
      Wed, Mar 14, 2018, 10:40
2.16 Stephen Strasburg SP, Was
3.01 George Springer, OF Hou

Since I'm right on the turn these picks are kind of made in tandem. This is an oddity for me taking a SP in the first 3 rounds. Last time I took one this early was Matt Harvey. You know when we knew him as Matt Harvey then. And that was the year we came to know him as Matt Harvey now. But I couldn't pass on Strasburg here. Kershaw, Sale, Kluber, Scherzer are a smidge better but I feel he's pretty close to those guys when healthy and there is a drop off between him and who would come back to me next. Solid ratios, great K's and fantastic run support for W's.
As for Springer, I didn't really want to go OF/Of so early with trout and him, but the I felt he was simply the best available. I considered Bellinger and Ozuna but just feel Springer is a more solid player with a better floor than either of them.

4.16 Xander Bogaerts SS Bos
5.01 Elvis Andrus SS Tx

Like I said in the Trout write up, hind sight I wish I had taken Altuve. Only because after taking Trout/Springer I get to this pick and there were 2 OF I would have been very happy to take. I wanted to get some solid obp/slg guys who could also steal bases. Domingo Santana, Byron Buxton, AJ Pollock were all pretty close to the top of my list here from a stat perspective (ok, not all of them were solid in obp, but they wouldn't kill it). But I just couldn't take 3-4 OF this early. So I looked around and saw Bogearts. I'm a Sox fan. I expect a bounceback closer to 2016 than 2017 (he played hurt last year). I couldn't pass his value as I really think he'll drop 2nd round value. He was an easy pick since I feel he's a steal here. Then there was Andrus. Luckily we have an MI slot to fill so even though this means back to back SS, I'm getting good to solid OBP skills (.350 range), above average slg (.450 range) and double digit steals from each (low end 30 combined, high end 45 combined). I still can't help but wonder if Altuve/Springer/Domingo Santana/Bogaerts wouldn't be better than Trout/Spring/Andrus/Bogaerts at this point. I think later in the draft 3rd/4th OF will be better value than late round MI's so from that perspective Andrus/??OF in the teen rounds is probably a better combo than say Santana/??MI from the teen rounds.

      ID: 491532215
      Wed, Mar 14, 2018, 12:34
2.11 Dee Gordon, 2B, SEA
I set my que at the start of the draft and he was the last player left, so I stuck with my initial gut and made the pick. 114 Runs and 60 SB. I should be pretty set with Runs, and SB with Turner and Gordon, plus getting my SS, and 2B drafted. His SLG% is a little troubling.

3.06 Anthony Rendon, 3B, WAS
Maybe a little early here. I was hoping for Bellinger to fall to me, so close. I am a believe in the Nats. Rendon 81 Runs and 100 RBI with a good SLG%. Filling in my infield. I might regret passing on Bumgarner with this pick, but apparently I am this high or high on Rendon.

4.11 Carlos Martinez SP, STL
I needed a SP and he has a decent whip, era and good K's. I drafted him because of his K's. Maybe I should have gone with Darvish or Quintana.

5.10 Eric Hosmer, 1B SGG
Not loving this pick. One site I use has him ranked incredibly high and I guess that got me to pick him at 70. I regret not taking another quality SP. Since they all went right after me.

6.11 Chris Taylor, 2B, SS, OF LAD
Once again maybe a little early. I do like him better than Whit that was drafted just before him, but maybe I could have waited on him another rd or two. I love the position eligibility and maybe I over value it. He will do well with Runs and above avg in most categories.
      ID: 4211201420
      Wed, Mar 14, 2018, 13:31
3.15 Kris Davis, OF, OAK
Picked Davis for power, SLG and RBIs in particular.

4.02 Tommy Pham, OF, STL
Pham gives a good combination of power and SBs.
      ID: 25248915
      Wed, Mar 14, 2018, 13:39
Pick #3
According to my projections, I had 3 hitters that were separated from the rest: Trout, Goldschmidt and Altuve. With Trout going at 1, I had outside hope that Altuve would go 3, so I could get an MI before Round 7 or 8.

1.03 Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, ARI
As I saw Altuve go I found myself fighting the feeling that the draft is already over. Not a good way to start things mentallyÖ But I donít know why I am complaining about Goldy. 100+ R and RBI, Top 5 OBP, .520+ SLG. And close to 20 steals to boot. If he puts up the same numbers as last year this will be a great pick. Maybe he'll be humidor-proof. I need to psych myself back up now. 27 picks to goÖ

2.14 Corey Seager, SS, LAD
I am always surprised by how quickly MIís get taken in the RIBC drafts. This was the driving motivation behind my Round 2 pick. 2 MIís were picked before my turn which were rated far below Seager on my list, but SBís are a stat too. I just have a hard time spending an early pick for them. Maybe thatís why I spend more time in AA leaguesÖ

Almost got Dozier and Lindor, but almost doesnít count here. Weíll see if Seagerís elbow holds up. I now have an MI in the early rounds. I can now form a draft strategy.

3.03 Carlos Carrasco, SP, CLE
This is a pitcher pick for me. I had choices of Carrasco, Verlander, deGrom and MadBum. Severino was not an option because he is a Yankee (sorry Yankee fans). I wanted about 200 Kís. But all of these options have projected ERAís over 3.30-3.40, and that is a little scary for my first pitcher pick. And since Carrasco has the lowest projected ERA of my choices, I picked him. Plus, I think I will get a couple of more wins out of him than some of the others.

4.14 Andrew McCutchen, OF, SFG
OBP is king for me, and McCutchen was the best OBP guy on the board at pick #62. Hoping that a change of scenery rejuvenates him somewhat. Although the R and RBI will probably drop to the low-to-mid 80ís, I am looking for an OBP near .360 and SLG near .460.

5.03 Aroldis Chapman, RP, NYY
Yeah, yeah, I know I said what I said about the Yankees, but things change in a draft. Besides, I consider Chapman more of an ex-CubÖ ERA of 2.9 ish, WHIP a little north of 1.00, 30+ saves. He offsets Carrascoís ERA a little.
      ID: 142171220
      Wed, Mar 14, 2018, 14:34
3.07 Christian Yelich, OF, Mil
He was on my short list last time so was happy to see him make it back to me. He quietly helps in all 5 categories. big help in OBP Runs and SB. His move to Mil should help and he is primed for a career year at 26. Surprisingly consistent and has been a good player now for couple years on a bad team in bad lineup in a bad park. This pick could be my best one. Never looked at anyone else here.

4.10 Buster Posey, C, SF
This was the first pick I looked around and went what the hell am I going to do here. No one was jumping out at me. I needed a SP as I normally wait on SP but wanted a front line guy this year but wasnt blown away by any of them and didnt see the value there. A closer went off the board already. I normally start the closer run but couldnt pull the trigger on Kimbrel here will have to see how that plays out. Posey is another elite OBP guy giving me Votto and Posey really gives me a leg up there and flexibility later. He fills the thin C position and will play. power declining but not that big a deal and still has another elite year or two in him.
10Uptown Bombers
      ID: 38261518
      Thu, Mar 15, 2018, 01:41
1.05 Giancarlo Stanton, OF, NYY
Itís a deep first round after Trout, so I gave some consideration to selecting a position in the lower third of the draft, but decided not to overthink it this year. I like being closer to an end than the middle, so if it was not the 5th pick, I would have chosen pick 11 or 12.
As for the pick, I did not enjoy having to decide between Harper, Betts, and Stanton. Those 3 sorted to the top of my projections above the other candidates. Honestly, I like all 3 and would have been happy with any of them. Since we picked our draft order, Iíve been assuming Iíd have to pick between at least 2 of them, and at different times during the week before we began, I talked myself into all 3 of them. In the end, I followed the ranking order of my projections and choose Stanton. The power numbers in Yankee Stadium and the counting stats in the Yankee lineup were too enticing. Hopefully spending some time as the DH will help keep him as healthy as last year.

2.12 Noah Syndergaard, SP, NYM
Side note: Rizzo at pick 21 is an absolute steal, especially with his 2B eligibility in Yahoo. I mentioned in my first rationale that I considered moving down in the draft slot selection and my logic was to try and nab Rizzo. I didnít do it since I didnít feel comfortable he would be available at pick 11/12 and preferred picking closer to the ends. But seeing how the draft unfolded, I would have been elated to take Rizzo at 12 and say Lindor at 21 and be mostly done with MI. But I digress.
With Syndergaard, we all know itís about the injury risk. He has the ability to match the top pitchers in the game and Iíve read nothing but positive news coming out of Mets camp when it comes to Callawayís impact on the pitchers. I get to root for one of my current favorites on the Mets and will be wearing my Syndergaard jersey T-shirt with added exuberance. This is usually higher than I draft my first pitcher, but my spreadsheets tell me that Syndergaard is the most valuable player on the board. When the heart matches up with the data, it makes it an easier decision.

3.05 Cody Bellinger, 1B, LAD
I had originally targeted a MI with this pick, but the players I had in mind were mostly snatched up before my 2nd round pick. My next plan is best hitter available and two names surfaced to the top: Yelich and Bellinger. Bellinger offers positional flexibility and builds on my base of power numbers with Stanton. Yelich offers more balance to my offense, but not enough additional SB to warrant a second OF at this point. Iím optimistic that by banking SLG and RBI now, Iíll be able to find some speed and R specialists later on.

4.12 Wil Myers, 1B, SD
Looking over my team, I need to add SB. Myers brings that to the table and contributes across the board. He should add OF eligibility soon so some more position flexibility. Was looking at Daniel Murphy and Starling Marte as well, but they were taken before my pick.

5.05 DJ LeMahieu, 2B, COL
Oof, I donít have any MI yet. This is much later than I usually like to draft my first MI but I kept convincing myself that other players were more valuable in the other rounds. I had players rated higher than LeMahieu but I canít keep putting MI off. Sure enough, several Mi were taken in between this pick and my round 6 pick, so Iím glad I made this pick. LeMahieu should be solid, if not spectacular. I think of him as low risk.
      ID: 491532215
      Thu, Mar 15, 2018, 10:07
7.06 Trey Mancini, OF/1B BAL
I was excited to get him at pick 102. i had him ranked in the mid 80's. Position flexibility again. 75 runs, 25HR, 90 Rbi. I considered Odor and Castenllanos, but I thought I better get an OF.

8.11 Eddie Rosario, OF, MIN
I also had him ranked much lower. Not much of a proven record, 85 runs, 27Hr, 95 Rbi and maybe double digit SB with pick 123. I really considered Castillo to get a 2nd SP, but I thought I would have plenty of options with my next pick.

9.06 Trevor Bauer, SP, CLE
I thought I would have some better options than Bauer. Between the 11 picks, 6 SP or RP were taken, with gurudan taking two. I was hoping Godley would make it to me. Bauer will have some wins and over 200 k's but his era and whip are a little high.
      ID: 4211201420
      Thu, Mar 15, 2018, 11:04
5.15 Roberto Osuna, RP, TOR
In past drafts I have always waited on closers because the CW is that one should always wait on closers until later in the draft. Following this I have always been killed in the saves category. Osuna has the potential to be a top closer. Also being near the turn, I did not want to miss a run.

6.02 Byron Buxton, OF, MIN
Drafted for speed.
      ID: 142171220
      Thu, Mar 15, 2018, 16:11
5.07 Zack Grenike, SP, Arz
Velocity is down in first spring game but his velocity is always down this early. I will take the discount and take him as my SP1. Normally wait on SP as finding one later is easier then RP but last two seasons I have really struggled at SP and this year I wanted to change that but just couldnt pull the trigger on anyone and always saw better value elsewhere..... this pick is at least an effort to be better at getting some arms.

6.10 Trevor Story, SS, Col
Aliright apparently half the league hacked my computer and took my cheat sheet. I loaded up 3 guys with 4 spots to go and boom...Nola gone Segura gone, Pollock gone.... OK lets see who is available.........Story has a chance to be a bounce back player, feel like im buying low here. everyone was so disappointed in last year they forget he is a power hitting SS that plays in Col. 82 RBIs with some SB in a down year.... OK. Has a chance for some real growth without betting the farm on him. I needed the RBIs and getting them from SS is a plus. I can make up the OBP as previously discussed so this pick made sense for my team.
      ID: 304422310
      Thu, Mar 15, 2018, 19:22
In seven drafts, running one this year. So, haven't had time til now to post.

Draft Position - I like the middle to avoid reaching too much. #10 was closest to the middle.

1.10 Charlie Blackmon, OF, COL
To me was no brainer best available, besides I live in Colorado.
2.07 Francisco Lindor, SS, CLE
MI goes fast in RIBC leagues. I am Indians season ticket holder, and own a Lindor jersey.
3.10 Justin Upton
0.900 OPS last year, just hoping for a repeat.
4.07 Daniel Murphy, 2B, WAS
Had great season last year (0.927 OPS), a tad worried about spring injury. MI player this good in 4th round, why not.
5.10 Dallas Keuchel, SP, TEX
Been ignoring pitching, I like him best at this time.
6.07 Jean Segura, SS, SEA
This gonna be his breakout season? If not, SS with 0.776 OPS and 20+ SBs is not bad for a 6th. All my MI is filled now.
7.10 Wade Davis, RP, COL
Didn't want to miss out on the Closer run. It's time now.
8.07 Sean Doolittle, RP, WAS
See 7.10
9.10 Justin Bour, 1B, MIA
.900 OPS, 83 RBIs in just 108 games.....hope he starts 162 this year.

Just made my 11.10, so this is where I stop.
      ID: 4211201420
      Thu, Mar 15, 2018, 21:47
7.15 Javier Baez, 2B, CHC
Power and speed from a middle infielder, a good combination.

8.02 Ian Desmond, 1B, COL
Was looking for a 1B with some speed, but gave up too much in other categories. My worst pick so far.

9.15 J.T. Realmuto, C, MIA
I wanted a catcher who would give me 500 or more at bats and would help more than hurt hitting categories. Realmuto should fit these needs.

      ID: 142171220
      Thu, Mar 15, 2018, 22:24
7.07 Cody Allen, RP, Cle
Closers are going quick. Better get on board or miss the train entirely. Allen is an elite closer complicated only by Andrew Miller being there. Proven last year that they prefer Miller in a fireman type role and Allen as late inning "closer". Allen should still have plenty of save chances. I will have to be mindful to try and get more saves later but I can already tell saves will be an issue for me this year. Just trying to be middle of the road with that category.

8.10 Shohei Ohtani, SP, Ana
Ok I will take him. Seems to be kinda discounted here based on other drafts. Now yahoo lists him as two separate players which is just stupid. If he plays 10 games at DH he should qualify at DH and just not be able to start him in two positions at once like every other player with multiple position eligibility. But I digress. He has potential to come in and be a contributing SP for me immediately. Lots of upside here as we dont know what he will do. Comes with risk too but its round 8 everyone has risk. I will take the high reward opportunity.
17Uptown Bombers
      ID: 38261518
      Fri, Mar 16, 2018, 07:12
6.12 Corey Knebel, RP, MIL
My relationship with closers in this format is usually more hate than love. But this year, I came into the draft with a plan to draft a top closer, hopefully in round 6. So when Knebel was there at this pick, I stuck to it. Heís usually ranked as closer #5 or 6 depending on which site you use. It was between him, Giles and Diaz. I took Knebel and was hoping one of the other 2 would be available in round 7.

7.05 Ozzie Albies, 2B, ATL
Neither Giles or Diaz survived. I look at the rest of the closers and consider Iglesias. I should probably go ahead and pull that trigger butÖ.
Having missed out on the elite MI and still needing SB, Albies presents an intriguing option. He will likely offer good value even with less than average ratios. There is some hype (probably too much to make it likely) that he can exceed projections and be more of a .340/.440 player. That would be awesome. At the rate that SB are being drafted in this league, Iím not convinced he will make it back to me in round 8. I talked myself into the idea that Albies was the top MI on the board and that with one closer already on board, the MI took precedence.

8.12 Luis Castillo, SP, CIN
I hate this pick and that has nothing to do with Castillo or his potential. I really wanted Iglesias to survive 3 more picks. At the time of the pick, I was at an AHL hockey game with coworkers, far removed from my spreadsheets. I didnít want to take the time to research more diligently on my phone at the game. Castillo is less than a safe pick and I just took a hyped young player last round. I would be better served to play it safe. In hindsight, I wish I had taken Adam Eaton. Of course, if Castillo emerges as a true ace, then all his hand wringing will have been a waste of energy.

9.05 Alex Colome, RP, TB
Back home from the hockey game, I decide to stick to my original pre-draft plan and take a 2nd closer. Colome sorts to top of my list and even though the homer in me wants to take Familia, Iím a bit concerned that Familia is on the verge of blowing up. Iíd love to be wrong, but Colome feels safer.
      ID: 491532215
      Fri, Mar 16, 2018, 12:30
10.11 Sonny Gray, SP, NYY
I was excited by this pick. I expect Gray to have 15 wins, 175k's with good era and whip. I was hoping for Acuna, but getting my 3SP was not a bad move.

11.06 Lance McCullers, SP, HOU
My 4SP and he should put up similar numbers to Gray, but with fewer K's. Hindsight-I ignored the closer run in the 9th and 10th (9 Rp were taken) and thought I could get in on the tail end in the 11th, but I was wrong.
      ID: 2911322610
      Fri, Mar 16, 2018, 16:22
James Paxton SP, Sea
Edwin Diaz RP SEA

Nice supplement to Strasburg on my pitching staff. Paxton projects to a 3.32 era and a 1.19 whip all the while pushing 180K's. Diaz should see 30+ Save opps, keep a good era/whip and add more than a k/9. He's projected on rotochamp for 85 k's in 66 IP. After 7 rounds I have 3 pitchers, 2 of them top notch SP and a higher end closer. Good foundation for my pitching.

Kyle Hendricks, SP Chi
Mike Moustakas 3rd KC

Hendricks projects out to slightly less K/9 and slightly worse ratios than Paxton but as a 3rd starter, his projections look pretty good to me. Mid 3 ERA 1.2something whip and 160 or so K's.
Moustakas on the other hand is an .800+ ops 150 rbi/run guy in the 9th round. They are getting more scarce. Its the 129th overall pick and his adp is between 97 and 104 depending on the site you use. That's 2 full rounds later than he 'should' have gone.
      ID: 4211201420
      Sat, Mar 17, 2018, 08:23
10.02 Ryan Mcmahon,1B, COL
The rookie has had a good spring and is predicted to start at 1B over Ian Desmond. Picked Mcmahon to cover the error in picking Desmond.

11.15 David Robertson, RP, NYY
K's, ERA and WHIP+a few S's.
Still need another closer.

21Uptown Bombers
      ID: 38261518
      Sat, Mar 17, 2018, 11:36
10.12 Delino Deshields, OF, TEX

I was originally hoping for Michael Conforto or Greg Bird with this pick but neither of them made it back to me. I still need a SS and 3B but I donít think the options at those positions are worth this pick so Iíll continue to play the waiting game on those. Another SP would also be a good option, but I went into the draft with a plan to have 7 hitters through the first 11 rounds and that means a hitter here and next round otherwise I risk losing too much ground in the hitting categories. When looking over the available hitters, Brandon Belt sorts to the top and fits the mold as a replacement for Conforto/Bird. There are still a few available players in that mold so I decide to pass now and wait for that pick in round 11. That narrows my pick down to steals potential and Deshields becomes the obvious pick. The projections have him around 30. Thereís a chance he exceeds that but I wonít be greedy.

11.05 Brandon Belt, 1B/OF, SFO

Belt is still available and he is the highest rated hitter according to my spreadsheet rankings. In fact, those projections have him rated as the 50th best hitter overall and I am taking him at pick 165. Thatís a significant discount and value, presumably because of the concerns over Beltís health and concussion issues. But he is playing this spring and there are no signs of lingering effects. Belt will boost my teamís ratios, which is hard to find at this stage in the draft and will help balance the weaker ratio picks sure to follow as I fill in the holes of my lineup. Sure, there is a chance that he gets another concussion at some point and has to sit out, but at this stage in the draft, I think that risk is offset by Beltís production when healthy.
      ID: 142171220
      Sat, Mar 17, 2018, 13:53
9.07 Matt Olsen, 1B, Oak
power hitting bat. crazy second half last year but unsustainable. Would love to have an OPS around .800 with 75+ runs rbis. if he does more great. I still need a 3B and considered Seager but liked the upside here.

10.10 Jose Berrios, SP, Min
This pick was hard for me. I wanted a SP but also wanted Andrew Miller to go with Cody Allen. I knew he wouldnt make it back to me but I couldnt pass up Berrios. Greinke may be hurt and Ohtonai is a big question mark so i still need good SPs. Decided Miller was a luxury and Berrios was a necessity. This kid could be special. highly touted prospect came in and was horrible but rebounded great last year. Looking to build on that and be a SP2 for me.
23Uptown Bombers
      ID: 38261518
      Sat, Mar 17, 2018, 14:47
12.12 Dexter Fowler, OF, STL

Iím probably getting a little greedy with this pick but I still donít love the options at the positions that I need at this stage of the draft. Iím already assuming that Iíll end up with weaker players there so I decide to take a player here who, just like Belt last round, will help make up some of that ground. Iím looking at some 3B options I will target later and they will offer poor OBP with helpful SLG, so taking Fowler here is meant to pair with one of those options. Fowler projects to help with runs and SB as well, also the weaknesses of those 3B options. Much like Belt, Fowler projects as one of the best hitters available. According to my projections, he is rated as the 81st best overall hitter (those projections ignore position) and I am taking him at pick 188. It is not as great a value as Belt was last round, but still a significant discount. Perhaps Iíll regret not picking Stroman, who was my only other consideration.

13.05 Blake Snell, SP, TB

Iím not feeling especially great about the pitcher options at this point in the draft. I think it is because in most RIBC leagues, I donít draft closers as early as I did this year. That usually translates to me using my ďpitcher roundsĒ to take starters and trying to get a jump on the rest of the league. Looking over the available SP, most of what I see looks more like what I would be targeting as SP 4 and 5 rather than SP 3. Iíll have to adjust to that moving forward. Of the available pitchers, I am most intrigued by Snell. He had a solid second half last year and just might be ready to take the next step into top 25 potential. He should be a solid source of Kís and there is great upside with this pick.
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