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Subject: AAA-Yahoo Rationales Rounds 6-10
Posted by: Toral
- [9541311] Fri, Mar 15, 2019, 19:37
This thread is for AAA-Yahoo draft rationales from rounds 6-10.
With your first rationale, you can discuss why you picked the draft slot you did.
Please do not mention undrafted players. |
| 1 | Uptown Bombers
ID: 38261518
Fri, Mar 15, 2019, 19:50
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6.09 Matt Olson, 1B, OAK
My first true power bat. Olson’s strengths are exactly what my team needs a boost in: RBI and SLG. I like that he is young player with a chance for improvement. Before my pick, I was comparing Justin Turner, Ozuna and Olson. You guys helped make my choice for me. Once it was my pick, I did consider grabbing another closer (Vazquez) but I have been choosing other things over power stats all draft so not this time.
7.08 Wil Myers, 3B/OF, SD
This is the 4th time in the last 5 years that I have drafted Myers in this format, in various rounds and with mixed results. Every year, my eyes just keep finding him in my spreadsheets and I can’t seem to help myself. He offers help across the board, with just OBP as something I’d prefer he improved. At this stage, I’ll plan on him missing some games and just hope it isn’t too many. Positional eligibility is a plus. I’m reading he might hit 5th this year instead of 2nd so more RBI opportunities and maybe a few less SB.
8.09 Carlos Santana, 1B/3B, CLE
While researching 3B options, I realized Yahoo gave Santana 3B eligibility. I went with the higher SB totals and Myers last round, but once Santana was still available in round 8, he was my top hitter choice. The only other consideration was another closer, but I made a list of 6 guys I would be okay with and crossed my fingers that one of them would make it back to me in round 9. Santana continues the growing trend of my team’s roster flexibility. He is also likely to add OF at some point this season. I’m hoping for the same skills from Santana we are accustomed to and that returning to CLE and hitting in a better line-up gives him a little boost.
9.08 Rasiel Iglesias, RP, CIN
I knew I would be looking at a 2nd closer here. As noted in my previous rationale, I had a list of 6 after my 8th round pick and 2 made it back to me. Truthfully, I was hoping that Leclerc would be my guy, but it was not to be. My secret inside sources in the Reds front office tell me that Iglesias might be used in non-save situations, but I’m still anticipating that he will get plenty of save opportunities.
10.09 J.A. Happ, SP, NYY
This pick came down to SP or OF. I only have one of each position. I’m not accustomed to picking in the middle of the draft so trying to predict which of my choices for each position will make it back to me is difficult. I decide SP#2 takes priority after convincing myself that Happ is small notch above my 2nd pitching choice (UNDRAFTED) whereas I have a list of 5 bats I think are closer in outcomes. Happ pitches for a good team with a strong bullpen, so hopefully W’s will be plentiful, 165+ K, and useful ratios, all these things make for a solid investment in round 10.
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| 2 | Khahan
ID: 367431722
Sat, Mar 16, 2019, 00:19
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6.13 Felipe Vazquez RP Pit
Great k/9 ratio and should compile a lot of saves. One of the few closers going into the season who I consider safe and stable. And his ratios are pretty sweet. This is tied for the earliest I've ever taken a closer in ribc.
7.04 Max Muncy 1st, 2nd, 3rd LaD
Looking over my draft charts I'm short on the infield power players. 1st, 3rd and CI are still barren. Muncy gives me flexibility in the future and really fills in the ratio that have taken a bit of a hit while focusing on speed players. While a lot of sites look at his BA and rank him accordingly I think he's more valuable here. He projects to a .360 obp and .486 slg with 150 rbis/runs. Positional flexibility is an added bonus and lets me look at 3rd or 1st basemen. and if I fill in with enough quality bats at 1st, 3rd and CI he is also an MI filler.
8.13 Charlie Morton, SP Tam
Pickings weren't exactly slim here, but the hitters just weren't as appealing. So I grabbed another SP which my team needed anyway. I also considered Miles Mikolas here along with Cabrera and Encarnacion for hitters. I thought either of those 1st basemen would fall to me next pick on the turn. So i went with pitching and felt Morton offered the most upside this year over Mikolas.
9.04 Stephen Piscotty OF Oak
This should be no surprise to anybody in any other league with me. I traded for Piscotty in G20. I almost sent a nasty-gram to wiggs for drafting him in Dirty Dozen. Been hyping this guy all year. Got him with pick 132. My guess is he's a top 50 player in 2019. Screw the 'experts' and their 'predictive models' Forget his so-called 'underlying predictors.' I've got my gut feeling!!!!!!!!!!!!
10.13 Tyler Glasnow SP Tam
Chalk him up to another, 'the experts dont know squat' pick. If you look at his splits last year from when he was a relief pitcher vs a starter there are some stark contracts. His walk rate went from 5.5BB/9 down to 3.3BB/9. Still not phenomenal but he worked with his new pitching coaches and made mechanical changes when he became a starter. In this case I feel I can safely say the predictive stats people look at are inherently wrong for Glasnow as they encompass his full season last year. But going forward, he is a different pitcher mechanically. He could be this year's Snell (or just end up being this years Glasnow).
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| 3 | Graydog
ID: 202281520
Sat, Mar 16, 2019, 00:40
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6.04 Aroldis Chapman
Some age showing in his peripheral stats but one more year of saves and elite ratio's isn't too much to ask is it...
7.13 Brian Dozier
My queue really got hammered here. The previous 3 hitters taken (Myers, Castellanos, Pollock) were 1,2, 3 in my queue. 4th was Dozier and I stuck with him. I didn't look too hard at last years numbers as he was injured most of the year, a return to 17/18 seems likely.
8.04 Corey Knebel
I wanted to 2 of the top RP options and Knebel is my number 2. I didn't want to risk waiting as it is my long turn around and I expected many RPs to go.
9.13 Eloy Jimenez
I was very surprised to find him still around at pick 141. One of the few prospects that can be "seemingly" drafted with little risk. He will be called up in the 2nd half of April and should be a power boost to my lineup the rest of the year. I thought a long time about taking a catcher here as I want to make sure to get one of the top 6 guys. Risked it as I was sure Eloy would be gone by my next pick.
10.04 Wilson Contreras
Very happy he was still available. I had him 5th amongst catcher and got him as the 6th catcher off the board. I often wait on catcher in this format but it seems like a graveyard after Contreras. Even if he misses some time I expect him to outperform those drafted after him.
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| 4 | Nerfherders
ID: 2211442615
Sat, Mar 16, 2019, 12:45
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6.12 Brad Hand, RP CLE
This pick was a little out of the box for me. I usually like to pick a closer here that has more experience at the position, but Hand has been solid for the last two seasons, moving in and out of the closer role with ease, His numbers aren't super-elite, but he should have alot of saves in Cleveland, and nobody now to take them away.
7.05 Justin Upton, OF, LAA
My queue started with Victor Robles, but he went on the turn. Upton was my second pick. Even though he's starting to show some age, and is probably better in a HR format, he still contributes to most categories and is *usually* injury free. You just have to stick with him because he is a very streaky hitter.
8.12 Masahiro Tanaka, SP NYY
It was time to get my second starting pitcher, and there was quite alot to choose from. The choice came down to Tanaka or Morton, and just think that Morton had his career year last year, while Tanaka underperformed his peripherals, so Tanaka it is!
9.05 Wade Davis, RP COL
My goal for this 'set' of picks was SP/RP, and decided SP first because there were several closers still left on the board. Davis led the NL in saves despite his bad ERA. These things happen, and honestly the name of the game for a fantasy closer is Saves, some way, some how. Davis is the man for the Rockies, and he's been doing this for years, so I feel confident in this pick.
10.12 Brandon Nimmo, OF NYM
I wanted my MI here, but didn't like what I saw. I thought I could wait 9 picks and see what I could get at that point. Nimmo is not a sexy pick, but he's got something that not alot of players have at this point in the draft - OBP. He should produce for every stat and excel at Runs and OBP.
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| 5 | Electroman
ID: 312292715
Sat, Mar 16, 2019, 15:06
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6.07 Marcell Ozuna, OF StL
Was actually surprised that he was still here at this slot. Had thought about him with the pick before. He had a monster season in 2017, but I guess his production will be more or less what he had last year and 16.
7.10 Sean Doolittle, RP Wash
Was time to look closer hear as the top guys were flying off the board. Looked at a few guys here but settled on Doolittle. What made me settle was the whip of .60. ERA 1.60. If he could tally a few more saves it would be alright.
8.07 Madison Bumgarner, SP SFO
Mad Bum! This guy has so many of the so called “experts” calling his career over. Bust! Most places I read that he isn’t more than a number 3 SP, and he is my third. He has thrown a lot of innings for a guy that is 29. But the upside was too much for me to pass up. He says that he rushed himself back from injuries and that is why he hasn’t been what he has been in the past. I am hoping for a bounce back year.
9.10 Nomar Mazara, OF Tex
This year more than any other year is blowing my mind on how many young players there are in the league, that are completing their 2nd or 3rd season. Mazara is one of those guys. He is 23, and has had similar numbers in each of his years. Average is what he has been referred to. Being young, he still has a chance to break out.
10.07 Amed Rosario, SS NYM
Was looking MI here. Really thought about Moncada, but I thought I could grab him in the next round. I was wrong. I like the fact that Rosario can run. Hopefully he can keep improving as this will be his 2nd complete year in the league.
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| 6 | gurudan
ID: 5972117
Sat, Mar 16, 2019, 15:42
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6.02 Miguel Andujar 3B NYY
Young gun with good power, lots of AB"S, playing in the best hitter park in BB
7.15 Aaron Hicks OF NYY
Another Yankee with,if nothing else,some power
8.02 David Peralta OF Ariz
Hits for AVG and will score runs if hitting at the top of the order. There could be some drop off with Goldschmidt gone but time will tell
9.15 Tim Anderson SS Csox
Looking for a SS and rated him best available
10.02 Garrett Hampson 2B Colo
Predictions are he's a speedster and projected starter. AB"S in the Rockies system usually produce fantasy points
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| 7 | C1-NRB
ID: 55213215
Sat, Mar 16, 2019, 21:13
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6.06 Justin Turner, 3B, LAD RIBC 5.04 ESPN AAA 6.10
Last available first-tier 3B. I’ve got him in a couple of other leagues. Good OPS for the sixth round but not the RuPro I like to chase. I half-thought Donaldson would slip to me but he went at 5.12 even though I liked Turner a little better. Was also leaning towards Puig, but he went one spot earlier.
7.11 AJ Pollock, OF, LAD RIBC 8.16 ESPN AAA 8.12
Slurpee time! And my second Dodger in a row. He’s a dip in OBP, but snags a few SB and boosts the SLG. Strongly considered Peralta here but the SB’s tipped the scale.
8.06 Rafael Devers, 3B, BOS RIBC 7.07 ESPN AAA 9.15
Looking for a breakout this year from Devers. Again, a dip in OBP but high SLG. Interestingly, I don’t recall anyone else being considered here. Locked down CI if nothing more than getting insurance for Turner.
9.11 Wilson Ramos, C, NYM RIBC 12.09 ESPN AAA 10.16
Again I may have pulled the trigger a little early on this one. I liked him better than the other C because of, guess what?, SLG. Projected to be close to cross-town Sanchez but with a better OBP. I had the Big Chill, Nomar Mazara, queued up here but he went one spot ahead.
10.06 Shohei Ohtani, OF(?), LAA RIBC currently undrafted ESPN AAA 9.10
Does the RIBC know something we don’t? Anyway… I scanned my board and saw a delicious OPS still out there. It does, however, belong to a guy that might only be DH eligible for a while and I already have one of those five picks earlier in Nelson Cruz. Maybe it’ll work out…
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| 8 | Toral
ID: 9541311
Sun, Mar 17, 2019, 08:30
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6.11 Jonathan Villar, 2B/SS, Bal (RIBC 6.02, OtherAAA 5.12) It has been weighing on my mind that stolen bases are a category in thie league, and I'd better get myself some. Villar is a 5-pick player according to Fantasy Baseball Guide (explanation later in Nick Panetta rationale). If you pro-rate his Baltimore performance, you get 20 HR and 53 SB; Shandler's Baseball Forecaster estimates his upside at 60 steals. I don't need anything wild like that. Batting leadoff and stealing 40 bases will be fine.
Although he has double-digit HR pop, his weakness is SLG and I'd like him to increase that a bit, which should be quite possible in Camden Yards.
7.06 Andrew McCutchen, OF, Phi (RIBC 6.13, OtherAAA 8.14) I was looking for a bat here, and McCutchen leapt out at me. He's not what he once was, but had the highest hard hit rate of his career, and his exit velocity was up. Although his BA slipped 24 points last year, his OBP was actually up due to more walks. He was super with the Yankees at the end of last year. Getting away from the Giants and into a hitters park could do wonders from him. He'll fit in fine with Harper and Hoskins on the WheatPhillies.
8.11 Josh Hader, RP, Mil (RIBC 8.08, OtherAAA 9.04) Hader was selected for his ratios and strikeouts. He'll put up some combination of wins and saves in the double-digits, but that's not his prime function here.
9.06 Yu Darvish, SP, ChC (RIBC 10.06, OtherAAA 9.16) Yu's health this spring was the only question for me. He's throwing 97 mph, pitching well, and according to the Cubs is not under an innings cap. One needs to hit an a high-upside pick or two.
10.11 Yvon Moncada, 2B, CWS (RIBC 8.15, Other AAA 7.11) I was not intending to finish off my MI picks this early, but Moncada stood out as a value here. He's turns 24, so a breakout is still possible for someone not long ago viewed as a potential superstar. His high walk percentage alleviates his BA weakness. A likely 20/20 player.
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| 9 | filthy
ID: 45320290
Thu, Mar 21, 2019, 01:05
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6.14 Victor Robles, OF, WAS
RIBC (8.07); AAA (8.05); AA (6.01).
Is this the year we get to see Robles get some regular ABs? Seems like it. Many of my speed targets have been getting scooped up, and Robles is a nice wild card that may not hurt my other stats. Brantley, Upton, Mccutchen, Muncy, Doolittle, Yates, Kershaw, Profar all considered. The potential of Robles got me.
7.03 Michael Brantley, OF, HOU
RIBC (9.06); AAA (9.08); AA (5.05).
Back to old form last year and moving to an even better hitting environment. History of injury makes it tough but the upside still looks very worth the try.
8.14 Jose Leclerc, RP, TEX
RIBC (6.16); AAA (7.03); AA (10.01).
Fully expected that waiting on closer would leave me with the slimmest of pickings but there is a lot of excitement surrounding Leclerc this year and not a lot of competition so I'm fully on board. Miggy, Posey, Contreras were all in strong consideration as well.
9.03 Ian Desmond, 1B/OF, COL
RIBC (11.07); AAA (10.12); AA (10.08).
3B, SP, SP, OF, 2B, OF, OF, RP. Looking for catcher, shortstop, first base still. Another at other position wouldn't hurt, but kinda noticing my 1B targets disappearing. And speed options as well. Desmond possibly covers both areas. Kept him for 2 months of garbage last year before he woke up the day after I dropped him. He should be on the blacklist, not sure what happened here. The allure of Coors.
10.14 Tyler White, 1B, HOU
RIBC (14.10); AAA (14.04); AA (14.04).
Taste in 2016 was not good, went down and did well, then came up in 2017 and did well in a very small taste, then crushed in 2018 so he got called up and did even better this time around. Seems like he is ready and looks like he is set for a good chunk of ABs this year. Excited to see what he can do with it.
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