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0 Subject: AAA-Yahoo Rationales Rounds 21-25

Posted by: Toral
- [9541311] Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 12:55


This thread is for AAA-Yahoo draft rationales from rounds 21-25.
1Uptown Bombers
      ID: 38261518
      Sat, Mar 23, 2019, 14:08
21.08 Welington Castillo, C, CHW

Because we have to start a catcher that’s why. Well, we don’t have to but it’s foolish not to. It’s been many years since I have drafted a catcher in the early rounds. Looking over the remaining options, makes me jealous of those managers this year who did. But I’ve been lucky with my late round catcher selections the past two seasons. Last year I took Grandal in round 23 (the 17th C off the board). Two years ago, I took Sal Perez in round 20 (the 13th C off the board). In both cases, I got great value. Surely, at some point my luck will run out but I am hoping that Castillo continues the streak. I still see 4 or 5 catchers I would have lived with, but I have Castillo just slightly ahead of them, so I decide not to wait any longer.

22.09 Kyle Gibson, SP, MIN

I’m not expecting a full year of starters innings from Strahm and Peacock so I’m looking to add a volume pitcher for the K’s and W’s. At this stage those guys come with ugly ratios but I’m hoping that my team can absorb that at this point. Gibson turned in a pretty useful year in 2018 and I’m hoping for similar numbers this year, with likely an uptick in ERA. The blurb in Fangraphs says he has top 30 upside. That would be a steal, but even if he is top 60, I’ve made good use of a 22nd round pick. More likely outcome is I drop him for a player off to a hot start once the season begins.

23.08 Lou Trivino, RP, OAK

I invested a 5th round pick on Blake Treinen and while I have no reason to worry about his performance, there is always injury risk with pitchers and the occasional instance when he will be rested during save opportunities. Trivino is insurance for that pick and could scoop up any spare save chances. It helps that even without Treinen insurance as a consideration, Trivino should average more than 1K/IP and boost ratios. I could also pair Jared Hughes with Iglesias for similar reasons, especially since the Reds will be using Iglesias in non-save situations but I don’t trust Hughes’s numbers from last year and don’t think I want his other stats for what I assume will be a handful of saves.

24.09 Leonys Martin, OF, CLE

The OF situation in Cleveland is crowded but Martin has been named the starting CF. As long as he has that gig, he can be a useful source of runs and a handful of steals. How old do you think Martin is? Don’t look it up. It feels like just last year I was drafting Martin on upside and hoping for 30 steals. He’s 31. He’s old. That means I’m old. I first drafted him in round 18 in 2013 (good value), then again in round 10 in 2015 (bust). Welcome back Leonys!

25.08 Brandon Woodruff, SP, MIL

Bummer. After spending the whole day at work and putting this pick on auto, I got home and read the news that Matt Olson might be seriously hurt. I would have taken UNDRAFTED if I knew that at the time. Instead, I get a pitcher I have been following closely the last few rounds. I like taking a chance on Woodruff now that he has been named a starter but my excitement is tempered while I await the news on Olson.
2Toral
      ID: 9541311
      Sun, Mar 24, 2019, 17:43

21.06 Trevor Richards, SP, Mia (RIBC 18.05, OtherAAA 24.15) Despite no pedigree as a prospect, he put up a creditable 2018 campaign. Under 2 ERA in spring training with good K/BB ratio. Team won't win much; maybe Brian Anderson will hit for him when he pitches. Also Considered: Kyle Gibson (22.09)

22.11 Anibal Sanchez, SP, Was (RIBC 16.11, OtherAAA 22.12) Surprise 2018 makes him someone I don't want to have to rely on, but some folks are saying that the Nats may be the best team they've ever had, so maybe Sanchez can pick up some wins. Some attribute big 2018 to personal catcher Kurt Suzuki, who followed him to Washington and in a nice touch was taken on the next pick. Also Considered: Wily Peralta (22.15), Teoscar Hernandez (23.02)

23.06, Scott Schebler, OF, Cin(RIBC 23.12, Other AAA 24.12) Folks suddenly aren't so sure that Senzel will have the CF job in spring training as Schebler has been knocking the stuffing out of the ball. If he can keep up anything like his .533/.636 pace, he can play OF for me. (Postscript: Senzel was indeed sent down.) Also Considered: Brett Gardner, Lou Trvino (23.08)

24.11 Brett Gardner, OF, NYY (RIBC 19.08, OtherAAA 17.11) I've always said that in a 4-OF league you can always find one late, and I was able to do so here. Seems to have found the Fountain of Youth in spring training, going .447/.667 and stealing 3 bases. Injuries will keep him in the lineup to start the season, and he seems to be retaining his leadoff position against right-handers. If he flops, I will shed no tears in dropping this satrap of the Evil Empire.

25.06 Hector Neris, RP, Phi (RIBC 24.09, OtherAAA 16.12) Outside possibility to pick up some saves. Tom Murphy was my sleeper pick for round 25, but he went at 24.14.
3Nerfherders
      ID: 33543714
      Mon, Mar 25, 2019, 13:11
21.05 Jon Lester, SP CHC
Lester is kind of a lackluster pick, but I needed 5 SP's to start (I usually go 5 SP, 6 RP), so I'm hoping his first half is decent enough to keep him in the rotation. He certainly is capable of having a couple great months, so we shall see.

22.12 Kurt Suzuki, C WAS
With advanced metrics taking over MLB, we live in an era of literally a hole in your lineup at catcher. There isn't a single catcher in MLB that is worth his draft position. But, we still have to carry one. My strategy the last couple years has been to try to carry two catchers, perhaps even from the same team, and just cycle them through, trying to maximize splits and games played as much as possible. This is very difficult in RIBC because of the very short bench. I tried this strategy last year and it lasted about 5 weeks when all of my players started getting hurt. But, Suzuki: he's got a surprising amount of pop, and is generally a good hitter since moving to the NL two years ago. I just need to find his partner, which is...

23.05 Robinson Chirinos, C HOU
I was going to go Suzuki/Gomes here, and just cycle them through the lineup, but I didn't like Gomes playing against righties. Chirinos is a better hitter than Gomes, and even though I probably won't get as many games played between two catchers on separate teams, I might have better numbers with this duo. We'll see how long I can make it last with such a short bench.

24.12 Joakim Soria, RP OAK
I was looking for a good RP here that might be the next in line for saves should the closer go down. He certainly has gobs of experience closing games, including about a half season last year.

25.05 Daniel Robertson, 2B/3B/SS TB
I miscounted how many draft picks we get, or might have made this pick at 24, but either way Robertson was probably going to be available. He had a good half-year last year, then got injured, and will be a super-utility guy this year, with a good OBP and a decent amount of pop. I picked him because the only position I didn't have a cover for a starter was 2B, which turns out might be needed now *sigh*.
4Graydog
      ID: 202281520
      Mon, Mar 25, 2019, 19:32
21.13 Steve Cishek, RP, CHC

Looking for a reliever to help with ratios and potentially poach some saves. Cubs bullpen has some others with injury issues so I went with Cishek over a couple of other similar options.

22.04 Willians Astudillo, C, Min

Guys is plain awesome. I just wanted to draft him.

23.13 Peter O'brien 1B, MIA

Searching for some late power. He has since been sent down which means he will likely be sent off my roster as well. Seems "smart" of the Marlins to roll out Neil Walker and Curtis Granderson instead of seeing if O'brien can figure out major league pitching...

24.04 Ty Buttrey, RP, LAA

A first in line closer handcuff who should provide helpful stats. Happy to land him here.

25.13 Ryne Stanek, RP, TB

Will occupy my SP slot, unless he stops getting outs...
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