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Subject: RIBC AAA Yahoo draft rationales
Posted by: Khahan
- [367431722] Wed, Mar 11, 2020, 22:22
Please put your draft rationales here. We'll just keep 1 thread for all rationales. Enter them as you see fit. But for readability sake please use the following format:
1.10 Christian Yelich OF Mil
And make the header bold with the >B< (reverse where you put ><). |
| 1 | artofmonk
ID: 57147279
Thu, Mar 12, 2020, 17:26
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1.07 Trevor Story, SS, COL
Top SS with 100 Runs, 35HR, 100 RBI and 15 SB, with .293 avg. Great contributor in all categories. I also considered Lindor.
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| 2 | Khahan
ID: 367431722
Sat, Mar 14, 2020, 15:15
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1.01Christian Yelich OF Mil
This was a tough choice between 3 players, Yelich, Trout and Acuna and I dont think any of the 3 were wrong. Trout gives the best counting stats. Acuna gave far and away the most speed. Yelich was in the middle. Should give a .990 to 1.10 OPS, 25 or so steals and 100+ runs and rbis each.
2.16 Javier Baez SS Chi
Bit of a homer pick but not one I'm too upset about. I forgot to the start the draft that morning before heading to class. When I started everything, I gave myself a proper clock, which means my turn was set. I was all set to go with Flaherty but autopick from ksoze took care of that. I kind of panicked and grabbed the first reasonable name I saw which was Baez. I think there were better options here, but an 800 ops and double digit steals from SS isn't terrible.
3.01 Stephen Strasburg SP Wash
He *crosses fingers* seems to have his early career injury problems under control. When he's healthy expect a sub 3.00 era, whip below 1.15 and 225+ K's. Great anchor for my staff.
4.16 Paul Goldschmidt 1st StL
He's projected for about an .850 ops and almost 200 runs/rbi's combined. In the 4th round. I think he slipped under the radar after 2019 which wasn't up to people's expectations. A season where he was still 58th ranked overall. Of course, now he's fighting an elbow injury that has some concerns going forward. . .
5.01 Victor Robles OF Was
I wasn't sure who to consider here. I looked at a number of players here including Nelson cruz (didn't want locked into util only), Tommy Pham (almost took), Tyler Glasnow, Jose Berrios, Mike Moustakas and Eugenio Suarez - almost all of whom went before coming back to me. But an 800 OPS with 30+ SB is reasonable for Robles. Add him to Yelich and Baez and I should be in the top half of SB.
6.16 Mike Moustakas 2nd Cin
Even though the pick is almost dead on to his pre-season ranking (96 pick, 93 rank) I feel like Moustakas is an exceptional value here. Providing great late round power, rbi's and runs. He can fill 3rd, 2nd, MI or CI, giving me a lot of flexibility with future picks. And that Red's line up looks a smidge scarier than years past. I think Mous is ready for a late career surge.
7.01 Corey Kluber SP Tex
I guess most people aren't as excited about Kluber on Tex as they were about him on Cle, otherwise there's no way he's here in round 7 of a 16 team draft. Can't say I'm thrilled with his new team either. But shouldn't hurt ERA, should help whip, get 200+ strike outs and any number of wins. For a 7th rounder I'll take that, even if he's not the Corey Kluber of Cy Contention from just 2 seasons ago.
8.16 Tim Anderson SS CWS
I've been watching him for a few rounds now. His pre-season ranking of 68 and his draft slot of 128 just don't match. Guess that's a testament to how little faith everybody has in him to repeat last year's OBP or lead the league in BA again. Yes, his obp will hurt. His slg will be a big plus, double digit steals, solid runs/rbi's. I view him as a 3 1/2 category contributor. Which at this stage in the game isn't so bad. He fills out my MI quite nicely.
9.01 Hector Neris RP Phi
Figured i'd grab saves along with solid K/9 from a guy who wont devastate my era/whip and should be stable in his job.
At this stage I'm liking my team. Should be very competitive in SB, Slg, rbi's. Should be solid in runs. I'll be hurting a bit in OBP.
For pitching, I have a nice base to build from.
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| 3 | Tilt23
ID: 142171220
Sun, Mar 15, 2020, 13:31
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1.09 Mookie Betts, OF, LAD
Fell a few spots to me here at 9. I am all about best player available early with a high floor and Betts was at the top of my list. He is a 5 category producer in a stacked lineup.
2.08 Walker Buehler, SP, LAD
If you consider Cole Verlander Scherzer and degrom the best of the best then Buehler is either the last of that group or the first of the next. I did have a predraft strategy of getting a SP anchor early and this seems to fit the bill. based on other RIBC drafts this seems to be a value here. Gave a look at rafeal Devers who went at the next pick but happy to anchor my SP here.
3.09 Yordan Alvarez, OF/UTL, HOU
3rd round is the time to switch from looking for great floor to finding the MVP of your team. This is swing for the fences pick. small sample size but IF he can live up the hype could be a top 10 hitter here at pick 41. Did not really look at anyone else here but gave a slight glance at Correa and Blackmon and based on the SP that went since my last pick I am very pleased that I took Buehler in the 2nd.
4.08 Kris Bryant, 3B, CHC
Big name, comes with disappointment....as a 1st or 2nd rounder not in the 4th. His ratios will be great, plays 3B and OF for flexibility, will hit top of the order and score a ton of runs. Considered Villar here as well but had stupid thought he might make it back to me....he was taken with the very next pick....this is the start of what seems like bean has my alter team always taking the other guy i was looking at.
5.09 Josh Bell, 1B, PIT
Was the last 1B in my "acceptable" tier. Not a sexy pick but should contribute in the counting stats and not kill me anywhere else. had a career year but still only 27 entering his prime. 1B will dry out faster then in previous years and this will ensure im not reaching later.
6.08 Jose Berrios, SP, MIN
Needed another SP and he looks to have fallen a bit. Good value here. should be a solid #2. Would of poss takine Osuna if he fell to me but was taken a few picks before. Starting to look like i wont reach for a closer and that will prob result in me having to find that later in the year. based on the fact that the season is delayed and closer is so fluid now, not reaching on a closer i think is the right play.
7.09 Cavan Biggio, 2B, TOR
MI's have gone faster then i was expecting and I was expecting them to go quickly. I usually am a little behind on MI just because early I dont pay too much attention to position and just take best player available. Looking now in the 7th round its time to get my first MI. Biggio is a young 20/20 talent whose batting average disaster should be mitigated by some decent OBP in our league. Will throw in 10-20 steals as well. Happy with this pick.
8.08 Yasmani Grandal, C/1B, CWS
the 2nd ranked C in my list. Seemed like a slam dunk pick here. was at the top of the CI's left as well. Filling a trad bad position with one the best hitters left.....OK.......Bean again took Zack Wheeler with the next pick the only other guy I was considering...good selection
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| 4 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Sun, Mar 15, 2020, 23:39
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1.10 Nolan Arendado 3B Col
Pencil him in for 100+ runs and RBI's and an OPS well north of .900. Only concern is Nolan being shipped out of Coors, but his road splits weren't that much lower away from home. A pretty safe pick IMO
2.07 Pete Alonso 1B NYM
Pete led the majors in Home Runs last year with 53, in his rookie season on his way to NL ROY. He knocked in 120 runs and scored 103, and an OPS of .941. I have my corner infield positions lock in, Unfortunately Alonso and Arenado likely will only swipe a a handful of bases between them. I'll have to deal with that later
3.10Bo Bichette SS Tor
I thought maybe I jumped the gun with Bo, but this seems to fall in line with other drafts. I would have taken Yordan Alvarez or Starling Marte, but they were grabbed shortly before my time came.
Bo, in 46 games after called up, slugged 11 Hr's and posted a SLG% of .571, posting 21 RBI's and scoring 32 runs. I'm thinking 90 runs and RBI's, and 20 steals, to go along with his wonderful %'s
4.07 Aaron Nola SP Phi
I probably picked Aaron a round early, but I was looking for a SP at this juncture. He will be a sold anchor for my stuff, looking for 15 W' and 200+K's
5.10 D. J. LeMehieu 1B, 2B, 3B NYY
You've got to love having someone on your roster that can play any IF position except SS. Plus I'm a Yankee fan.
There's no way to minimize his production last year. D.J. scored 109 runs, knocked in 102, with an OPS of .893. He sits atop the Yankee order, which again should afford him ample opportunity for plenty of runs scored. As with most of my roster do far, not much promises for steals
6.07 Liam Hendricks RP Oak
I wanted to get a closer at this point. Liam seems to have a solid hold on the closer gig in Oak. He K'd 124 in only 85 innings and came on strong with 19 saves over the last 2 months. Closers seem always to be a crap shoot, but I feel good about this one
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| 5 | Nerfherders
ID: 305301811
Mon, Mar 16, 2020, 11:30
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16th Pick
I didn't have much choice here, being third from last. I figured I may as well have 12 picks instead of 24.
1.16 Max Scherzer, SP WAS
I got burned by waiting until the late 4th for my first SP last year, so this year I figured I may as well try a different strategy. Besides, Scherzer was in the right spot here and was the last of the Ace of Aces tier. This is also guy who never misses a start, which means he'll be out for the season. :P
2.01 Jose Ramirez, 3B CLE
I had this guy last year as the 5th pick, and after a really slow start, he was actually right in line with his projections when he got hurt in August. I'm hoping he can repeat more of 2018 than 2019. At least he can still steal a base even if he's not hitting well. When on, he's the best all around offensive player in the infield.
3.16 George Springer, OF HOU
When you pick on the ends of a 16 team draft, you can't really afford to plan for specific players. You have to let the draft come to you. So I tend not to look at what's happened 5 picks from me so I don't get disappointed on what couldve been. This time, I was pleasantly surprised to see Springer available, and I snatched him up. Maybe because of the scandal people are letting the Astros guys go a little more than they normally would. I consider him a 2nd round talent.
4.01 Carlos Correa, SS HOU
The other aspect of picking on the ends is making sure you get what you need, even if it might be a little early. If there's even a chance someone or something might not get back to you, you have to take it. Correa fit that bill. I wanted a MI here, they were going hard and fast, and while it was a little early to take him here, considering his slight decline last year, I felt like he wouldn't come back to me. Still, it's not a terrible pick. He had a .900 OPS last year!
5.16 Rhys Hoskins, 1B PHI
Another surprise to see Hoskins fall this far, especially considering the other 1B taken. He's not as great at real baseball, but he's good at fantasy with good power and a decent OBP.
6.01 Aroldis Chapman, RP NYY
I had to start the run early because the 6/7 turn is often when the closer run starts. It's nice getting a good closer that you can count on. I don't forsee any bad with him.
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| 6 | gurudan
ID: 5972117
Tue, Mar 17, 2020, 10:12
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Back in the day, applying for a bank loan, I'm asked by the banker, "I see you were late on a previous house payment by 15 days". Now there are only two logical answers to that question. So my three possible answers to my draft selections are:
#1 Availibility
#2 ADP
#3 Scarcity at position
These are my rules from pick one to 25.
The two possible answers for the banker, didn't have the money or just outright forgot.
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| 7 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Mon, Mar 23, 2020, 21:31
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7.10 Brandon Woodruff SP Mil
Called to the bigs in 2018, Brandon started 4 games, winning 3, and his overall body of work provided 47 K's in 42 innings, posting an ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.18. Last year before being derailed by an oblique injury, he posted a record of 11-3, ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.14. Add in 143 K's in 121 innings. Number 1 for the Brew Crew and probably a better pick for my team than Nola
8.07 Tommy Edman 2B, 3B, OF Stl
I love multi-positional guys, especially when they include OF eligibility. But I drafted Edman mostly for his speed, he projects for 25 SB's, I'm betting more. His OPS of .850 his rookie year might not be sustainable, but he shouldn't hurt me there either
9.10 Mitch Garver C Min
I normally don't draft a catcher til much later, but I'll gamble on Mitch. In 311 AB's last year he slugged 31 HR's and knocked in 67 runs, posting an OPS of .995. Catchers are risky, don't log the same AB's as other regulars, but I thought that type of production shouldn't be ignored
10.07 Zac Gallen SP Ari
Zac possesses an average fastball around 93 mph, but also a strong quality curve, changeup and cutter, with excellent command of all. In 80innings between MIA and ARI he K'd 96 batters, along with an ERA of 2.81 and WHIP of 1.23. Only 24 years old, I see tremendous upside
11.10 Bryan Reynolds OF PIT
I may have jumped the gun on Reynolds by a round or two, in looking at other RIBC drafts, but all in all not an awful pick. And I needed an OF'er. Bryan had a solid rookie year and should contribute in 4 categories in his 2nd season. Upside is there
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| 8 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Mon, Mar 23, 2020, 22:49
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12.07 Jose Leclerc RP TEX
I don't know, I really hate drafting closers, I probably should just punt the category. Last year I drafted Blake Treinen early , and we all know how that panned out. None the less,with Liam hendricks already in fold, I need another. Jose should be number one in line for saves for the Rangers, he finished strong last year saving 9 or his final ten games. Fingers crossed.
13.10 Scott Kingery 2B, SS, 3B, OF Phi
Another multi-positional dude. With Kingery, Edman, and LeMehieu, I can cover every position except catcher.
Scott should lead off for the Phillies, at least for the short term, score some runs with reasonable %'s. And swipe 20 bases
14.07 Jake Odorizzi SP Min
I fell I just added another quality starter to my staff. Jake won 15 games last year, posting an ERA of 3.51 and WHIP of 1.21. He struck out 178. Whats not to like in round 14
15.10 Nick Senzel OF Cin
Nick didn't live up the hype in his rookie season last year. He also missed the early part of that season with an ankle injury, and his season ended with a torn shoulder labrum that required surgery. Injury prone, maybe, but I'm willing to gamble on the former 2nd pick of the 2016 draft
16.07 J.A.Happ SP NYY
Meh, way to early for Happ. He won't even average a strikeout per inning, ratios aren't great, but he pitches for the Yankees, and they should get him enough runs for a decent amount of wins. Plus I'm a Yankee fan.
17.10 Yasiel Puig OF FA
Yasiel was drafted at least 2 rounds earlier in two other RIBC leagues, 10 picks later in the other. I think if he were signed he would have gone earlier , Fantasy Pros has his ADP at 175, this is pick 266. Of course it means nothing he he doesn't sign with any one. Actually it doesn't mean anything at all, but he has 20-20 potential, and I felt he was worth a gamble at this point
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| 9 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Tue, Mar 24, 2020, 22:10
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18.07 Mike Tauchman OF NYY
The Yankee lineup is loaded, especially with OF/DH types. But Tauchman played well enough last year to warrant consistant playing time. In basically 1/2 seasons worth of at bats, Mike scored 46 runs, knocked in 47, stole 6 bases, and posted an OPS of .865. Is it reasonable to expect him to sustain that over a full season, probably not. But it is reasonable to expect contributions across the board
19.10 Yonny Chirinos SP TAM
I wanted to add another starter ad Yonny seemed a reasonable choice , now in round 19. Maybe a K per inning, decent ratios, and 11-12 wins or so
20.07 Randal Grichuk OF TOR
Starting OFer for Toronto, probably bat in the middle of the lineup. Solid SLG%, but will be a drag on my OBP%.
Slugged 31 HR's last year, but they don't count in this league. Randal should knock in around 80 and score 70 runs. He might even steal a base or two
21.10 Wil Myers 1B/OF SDG
I wanted another first baseman, but for sure I will only use Wil as a spot starter, Alonzo is my main guy. He also can fill in the OF as needed.
Myers is owed a bunch of money by the Padres, so he should see ample playing time. Although only 29, and only 2 years removed form slugging 30 HR's, his last 2 years showed a sharp decline. But Wil still is a lock for double digit HR's and SB's
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| 11 | Dave R
SuperDude
ID: 3010361110
Thu, Mar 26, 2020, 00:01
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2.07 Zack Britton RP NYY
I wanted a reliever here, maybe one in line for some spots save. Yanks bullpen is deep, so Zack will have a lot of competition for those. But he will offer a ana ERA of around 2.00 and WHIP around 1.00, and a K per inning
23.10 Maricio Dubon 2B, SS SFO
Dubon should be a nice source of steals, to go along with a servicable OPS. It seems he's locked into an every day role with the Giants as at 2B with some time also spent in CF.
Just throwing a dart here
24.07 Blake Treinen RP LAD
Dart #2
We remember Blake for 2018. I was so enamored with his stats from that year, that I chose him in round 4 last year. That didn't work out so well. 2018- 38 saves and an ERA of 0.78 and
a WHIP of 0.83 (Those weren't typos ) became and an ERA of 4.91 and WHIP of 1.62. Ugh !
Kenley Jansen is clearly the closer for the Dodgers, but has body of work has signicantly regressed the past two years. He's clealy not the dominant closer of the past.
I'm hoping last year was just on off year and he goes back to the Blake of 2018, and if Blake can regain any thing close to his dominant stats of that year , he will be an asset to my staff, and if he if that happens I could see him taking over 9th inning duties.
And if none of that pans out, he goes to the scrap heap
25.10 Victor Reyes OF Det
dart # 2
If this season every gets going, Victor seems to have a starting gig in Rf for the Tigers. In 69 games he scored 29 runs and knocked in 25. Not eye popping by servicable. He also stole 9 bases and an OPS of .767 which won't torpedo my ratios.
All not bad for pick 394.
I just hope on of these last 3 darts I tossed comes up with a bulls eye. If not, one or all will land in the scrap heap
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| 12 | taxman
SuperDude
ID: 029463114
Thu, Mar 26, 2020, 15:58
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took lowest draft slot available when picking got to me and wound up with 11th/6th
1.11 Alex Bregman SS,3B HOU
Considered going with SP however MI always seems to require frequent early attention. Bregman s/b 4 category MI/CI stud and provides unusual flexibility to structuring roster. Very happy with this pick.
2.06 Xander Bogaerts SS BOS
Looking for counting stats and Bogaerts another stud MI who like Bregman, checks all the boxes except Steals. Bueler still available as was Alonzo and Max Muncy. Hard to beat 2 MI at top of draft. Easier to find counting stats at CI and OF than with MI. Problem is elite SP will be gone before I'm up again.
3.11 Zach Greinke SP HOU
Greinke doesn't provide elite K, but consistently deliveries elite W, ERA and WHIP. Three out of four ain't bad for a 3rd round SP. I was uncomfortable with both Snell and Kershaw due to last season's injuries and even though a younger Nola has higher K potential, historically has posted higher ERA and WHIP than Greinke.
4.06 Anthony Rizzo 1B CHC
Rizzo according to Rotwire should be going in 1st 45 picks. Finding him with 54th pick is found money. Another 4 category stud, giving my early roster a peculiar flavor with half of MI/CI positions filled. Can my later OF positions out perform competitors later MI/CI picks??
5.11 Jeff McNeil 2B,3B, OF NYM
McNeil is my first big time reach in this draft. I ignored SP Darvish and Syndergaard (fortunately as it turns out) after Sanforders plucked Lemahieu of the top of my queue. The next best multi-position option was McNeil who will bats too far up in Mets lineup to provide elite RBI stats, but adds counting stats elsewhere except steals. Unsure how this roster will produce, but it has extreme flexibility.
6.06 Robert Osuna RP HOU
Time to grab an elite closer. Osuna has nice track record and playing for Houston likely exempts him from a late season trade to a team chasing the playoffs and provides near league high closing opportunities. AS safe as most Closer draft picks get.
7.11 Michael Conforto OF NYM
Sanfordors is becoming a problem. This round he snagged needed SP target Woodruff one pick ahead of me. A better pick for me might have been Brantley or Ohtani, but the injured Conforto is younger than Brantley with more power and won't be pitching once a week. Delay to season's start makes Conforto a potential steal @ 107th pick.
8.06 Hunter Dozier 1B,2B,OF KC
By now, I am only interested in multi-position players (has no bearing on winning League). I am in need of SP and OF. Dozier fills the OF box, but from a poor hitting team that should diminish his R & RBI contributions. I ignored Mercado (steal potential of which I have none) and the power-hitting Schwarber from a potent Cubs team for multi-position eligibility. Clearly I have lost my way in this draft. But think how much fun I will have moving all these multi-position players around the line up.
9.11 Michael Contreras C CHC
Speaking of the powerful Cubs line up, after PD took Sanchez and Sandfordors (queue robbing again) took Garvin, Contreras was near the last of Catchers that don't hurt you. Contreras rarely bats below 5th and can deliver good counting stats, sans steals, in the 2/3rds or so games he will play.
10.06 Mike Minor SP TEX
Pretty late in the game to look for, much less find SP help. Minor will pitch in new Texas ballpark which is reported to be more friendly than the old Texas field. Hopefully that is the case because Minor will be hard pressed to duplicate his 2019 numbers. A homer pick for me.
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| 13 | Nerfherders
ID: 305301811
Thu, Mar 26, 2020, 18:52
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7.16 Andrew Benintendi, OF BOS
This is where taking a peak in the draft got me into trouble. I looked halfway through round 7 and I had dreams of getting Ohtani and Biggio. Nope, and nope. I had to go to plan D, E, and F, so I ended up getting Benintendi. He should be leading off and hopefully puts up a decent OBP with 15 steals.
8.01 Max Fried, SP ATL
Plan F! I didn't know what to take here so I ended up getting my second SP with Fried. I love his upside and as a Braves fan, I really can pull for the kid to take the next step.
9.16 Brandon Lowe, 2B TB
I needed a 2B, and this was a good spot to take one since MI's fly off the board in this draft. Lowe had a good, if shortened, rookie season and I'm hoping for more of the same from him.
10.01 Ken Giles, RP TOR
I was surprised how slowly RP's went off the board. There were still several solid closers available and I took one the better ones. Nothing spectacular - he'll get his saves and that's all I need.
11.16 Joc Pederson, OF LAD
This is where I start filling out my lineup based on positions and stat needs. I wanted best available here, and that ended up being Joc. Now, there's only one way to use Joc, and that's against righties. I doubt he will get many starts against lefties anyways, so I will need a solid 5th OF to pair with him.
12.01 Nick Solak, 2B/3B, TEX
He played well in his brief debut last year, and should have no barrier to playing time going into the season. I like the MI/CI flexibility with him, though he will most likely be MI for the season.
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| 14 | Nerfherders
ID: 305301811
Thu, Mar 26, 2020, 19:15
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13.16 Brandon Kintzler, RP MIA
I was hoping I might be able to get a third closer here and there was a couple iffy closers for bad teams left, so I went with Kintzler. If I get 20 saves [in a full season] out of the guy it would be a win.
14.01 Lance McCullers Jr., SP HOU
The popular comeback SP. He was set to be the starter as of the pick. The only thing holding this guy back are injuries, and here's hoping he will be fine.
15.16 Alex Verdugo, OF BOS
I wanted again best available here, and Verdugo was probably the best all-around player left on the board, with quite a bit of upside to boot. I didn't necesarrily want my 4th OF already here, but I wanted who I thought was the best player on the board.
16.01 Matt Carpenter, 3B STL
He had an 'off' season last year, and the hope is it's just a blip and not a trend. I thought I took him a little early here, but he dropped in most of the RIBC leagues around this point.
17.16 Miles Mikolas, SP STL
This was my first 'eh' pick, as I was hoping for an SP higher on my draft board to fall here, but no such luck. Mikolas will be okay, get wins with a decent WHIP, but eh.
18.01 Corey Knebel, RP MIL
I wanted best available RP here, and selected Knebel as the super-setup man to Hader. He will for sure be the closer if Hader hiccups or goes down. I didn't know he was coming back from injury, but should be back by season start.
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| 15 | Da Bomb
Donor
ID: 487112814
Fri, Mar 27, 2020, 14:36
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1.13 Anthony Rendon, 3B, LAA
Going with who I considered to be the best player available. Ranked 7th in Yahoo under our format last season. Would ideally have liked to get a MI and/or more SBs within this pick, but Rendon's counting stats and %s were worth the value to me. I would have considered one of the top 2 SPs if they had been available too.
2.04 Bryce Harper, OF, PHI
Ranked 20th last year and selected here at pick 20, but Bryce also has upside at age 27 and has been a top 4 RIBC pick the previous 2 years. He's had seasons with OPS' 120 and 220+ points higher than what he put up last season, and perhaps he now gets further acclimated into Philly. Plus he contributes in SBs with the ability to put up 15-20 over the course of a full season.
3.13 Keston Hiura, 2B, MIL
Came on huge last season to the tune of a .938 OPS after crushing AAA, and that was continuing into Spring training this year. He'll also add 15-20 SBs (considering a full season), and gets me started on my MI before it's too late.
4.04 Whit Merrifield, 2B/OF, KC
There are only so many players that will help in SBs without killing your OBP and/ or SLG, so guys like Whit I place extra value on, plus he's another MI. This is longer than when I was expecting before drafting my first SP and now I need to await the long turn before my next selection, but I'm betting that a more extreme run on hitters will occur leaving me with hopefully 2 I will still really like next go around.
5.13, Yu Darvish, SP, CHI
After a rough start in the first quarter of the season, Darvish went on to pitch perhaps better than he ever has in his career. Huge K rate, and being in the NL is a plus.
6.04 Chris Paddack, SP, SD
Followed up huge minor league seasons with a great rookie year campaign. Also strikes out more than 1/ IP. The stunted season alleviates innings limit concerns.
7.13 Giancarlo Stanton, OF, NYY
Such an interesting time with the draft unfolding as we hear more and more info on the Coronavirus. Website rankings won't be able to react and re-order quickly enough to the breaking news for injured players. If it was known ahead of time that Stanton wouldn't miss the beginning of the season he surely would have been drafted earlier than 109th.
8.04 Michael Brantley, OF, HOU
Career .297 Avg + decent BB rate provides a good OBP floor, and he slugged .503 last season.
9.13 Danny Santana, 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF, TEX
No one expects him to duplicate his 324/503 from last year, but he should get 20+ SBs and the position eligibility will come in handy with our short benches.
10.04 Carlos Carrasco, SP, CLE
He had been dealing with mild elbow inflammation, but now has plenty of time to get healthy. After pitching with Leukemia last season, he still possesses the skills to get back to the elite levels when he was selected in the 3rd round in the previous 2 years of RIBC. And also Ks > 1/ IP.
11.13 Kenta Maeda, SP, MIN
Career 3.87 ERA + 1.15 WHIP, and Ks > 1/ IP. He slots nicely into the competing Twins rotation this season after filling more of a SP 4/5/swingman role with the Dodgers over the last 2 years.
12.04 Alex Colome, RP, CWS
First closer. I do want to draft at least 2 so this may be the last possible moment to get started in order make that a reality. It's not my thing to draft a top 15 closer as I find them way more volatile compared to value I could get with other players. Every year there are many in the top 15 that fall off suddenly, and there are enough in the bottom half that put up serviceable or bounceback seasons. Last year in RIBC I drafted Colome in the 9th and Shane Greene in the 13th which worked out (sandwhiched by Givens in the 11th). Though I can also be quicker than average to the waiver wire which does aid in this strategy.
13.13 James Paxton, SP, NYY
Another player who's value is boosted by the delayed start as he now likely finds himself in the opening day rotation. Paxton struggled in his first half in pinstripes but settled in during the second half with numbers in line with his 2017 + 2018 campaigns, where he had been a 5th round pick over the last 2 RIBCs.
14.04 Mark Melancon, RP, ATL
Melancon is the last closer remaining with a defined role who isn't washed and pitching half his games in Coors. I'll take that as an RP2 in round 14. Melancon has had moments looking done himself but was mostly good in his stint as closer last season with Atlanta.
15.13 Wade Davis, RP, COL
A flyer that maybe there's something left in his tank that Bud Black can see enough to anoint him as the team's closer above a likely superior option in Scott Oberg. Davis is still only a season removed from a largely dominant campaign by Coors standards. The good luck I had with Shane Greene last year who followed up a 5.12 ERA + 1.37 WHIP in 2017 with a 1.18 ERA + 0.87 WHIP with Detroit last year provides some hope with this RP volatility.
16.04 Didi Gregorius, SS, PHI
Never got fully going last year after coming back from TJ surgery, but an .800 OPS type player in his previous 2 campaigns and did steal 10 bases in 2018, and is playing for a new contract.
17.13 Khris Davis, Util, OAK
Drafted in the 3rd and 5th rounds in the last 2 RIBC years. He had a fine start to last season before likely hurting himself in May and playing through the injury.
18.04 Omar Narvaez, C, MIL
Would happily take a repeat of last season's .353/.460, and now moves to a better hitter's park. Depending on my roster make-up, I'll try to stream a platoon partner for him.
19.13 Caleb Smith, SP, MIA
Another SP who Ks > 1/ IP. He had a great first half 3.50 ERA + 1.01 WHIP with a .201 BAA before really struggling in August and September to what could be attributed to fatigue in his first full MLB campaign.
20.04 Rich Hill, SP, MIN
Bovada's odds for if the MLB will start on or before July 3, 2020 are Even for YES and -140 for NO. (Number of regular season games are set at 105.5, -120 for both OVER and UNDER). Rich Hill could now find himself in the opening day rotation. Dominant when healthy. Let's see how many starts he gets in this year.
21.13 Yoenis Cespedes, OF, NYM
Reports in early March were that he had a chance of being ready for Opening Day. Now that seems more likely than not. Worth a flyer at this stage if so.
22.04 Jesus Aguilar, 1B, MIL
A dependable 1B is something I was not able to work into this draft. Aguilar is a year removed from .890 OPS + .837 OPS seasons. He had been batting 4th in Spring training.
23.13 Alex Dickerson, OF, SF
Injury prone, but sported a .880 OPS for SF last year in 56 games. He should at least play everyday vs RHPs.
24.04 Ryan O'Hearn, 1B, KC
.353/.597 in 2018 and .395/.857 in Spring training. Let's not look at 2019.
25.13 Aaron Hicks, OF, NYY
Another opening day possibility now? Elite BB rate, bats 3rd in the Yankees lineup when it's right, and has stolen double digit bases.
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| 16 | Nerfherders
ID: 56261418
Fri, Mar 27, 2020, 19:41
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19.16 Brendan McKay, SP TB
I thought about SP here, and didn't see alot of starters with jobs that I liked alot, so I went with the upside pick. As of this writing, he's already been optioned to AAA, but I have a feeling if we do have a season that he will be up and contributing as a starter. He's ready.
20.01 Sean Murphy, C OAK
I figured I would get my upside catcher here because I was worried about him lasting another 31 picks. He was okay in his debut last year, but tore apart the PCL. He should be the starting cathering for the A's, but just in case I will probably get him a backup.
21.16 Harrison Bader, OF STL
It's the OF turn! I needed UTL, and the afore-mentioned 5th OFer, and got them here. I had Myers, Gardner, and Bader in my internal queue for this spot, and the only one left of those was Bader. Basically, I need someone with some SB capability. A .750 OPS with 15 SB is a win here.
22.01 Jesse Winker, OF CIN
I spent alot of time on this pick, which explains the 45 minute gap on back to back picks. I really didnt know what I wanted here. I needed a 6th SP but my guys were gone, so I shelved that idea. I didn't like the OF's that were left that had mostly full playing time. I ended up on Winker because he's good in this format, but, like Pederson, is a righty hitting specialist. Hopefully there will be few days where both Pederson and Winker face a lefty.
23.16 Francisco Mejia, C SD
There were alot of options with C that I considered - like the 50/50 guys that wouldn't get picked individually, but together would amount to something, like the catchers of the Nats or Braves. But back in round 19 I settled on Murphy, but didn't like his backup options. So I went with another upside pick here with Mejia. He didnt get alot of playing time last year but I am hoping he can fill in enough make a nice C-position tandem. With a small bench and no DL, this plan will die with any early injuries.
24.01 Ryne Stanek, RP MIA
I usually go 5 SP / 6 RP in this league, but switched it up here because of some of my guys low IP projections. So, Stanek is my 5th RP and the only reason I got him is as a handcuff to Kintzler. He's okay - he spent alot of time being the opener starter for TB the past two years.
25.16 Rick Porcello, SP NYM
Mister Irrelevant! These types of guys are a dime-a dozen in RIBC. Innings eaters with no great stats or upside or anything. BUT, I needed wins on the pitching side, and with his inning eating credentials and the fact he's moving to the NL on a decent team, I figured he could at least get some wins.
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| 17 | Khahan
ID: 551581418
Fri, Mar 27, 2020, 20:03
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10.16 Lorenzo Cain OF Mil
Frankly I'm surprised he was still here. He'll hurt in rbi's. But he's solid in slg, very good at OBP, 20+sB speed. I think he was way undervalued.
11.01 Madison Bumgardner SP Ari
Needed a SP. Bumgarder has SP2 stats as a high end. WHIP should be a ++, era won't hurt. K's are a plus. Excited to get him at this stage and like Cain the pick before, I'm surprised he's still here.
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| 18 | filthy
ID: 45320290
Sat, Mar 28, 2020, 05:28
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Draft selection, 3rd pick.
I ranked 4,5,2. Ended up with the 4th spot.
Why 4,5,2?
This was probably the toughest call of the draft for me. Tempted to choose 12th to improve my 2nd round options, and tempted to choose 2nd to optimize my 1st and 3rd round options but sort of compromised in the 4-5 range. Would have been very happy anchoring my squad with Trout, Acuna, Yelich, Soto, Bellinger most of all. Turner, Bregman, Story, Lindor, Arenado, Betts, Tatis would've been my 12 had I went that path.
1.04 Ronald Acuna Jr, OF, ATL
A guy with 40/40 in his reach. Very willing to sacrifice some relative OBP for speed here.
Slight worry about what knee injury does to Yelich speed overall. Bellinger was dealing with a nagging back so he was out of my top 4 come draft time. Trout, Acuna, Soto, Yelich after much juggling.
Acuna expectations along lines of his rates per 162: 120/100/30/.360/.530
2.13 Ketel Marte, 2B/SS/OF, ARI
Watching 24 picks after Acuna dulled the great feeling to start.
Ketel or Flaherty top targets. Bryant, Rizzo, Strasburg, Muncy, Donaldson, Bieber, Meadows considered. Muncy didn't make it.
Wished I went with Flaherty almost right away. Back injury to end 2019 for Ketel is one factor I wish I put more weight in. Seemed healthy in early spring action and I think he can come close to his breakout numbers again. Multi position flexibility was the biggest appeal here. The pains of building an RIBC roster always helped when you have some wiggle room.
KMarte expectations a little higher than his career rates per 162: 80/65/10/.340/.440.
Somewhere between his 2018 and 2019 around 85/75/10/.350/.500 is what I feel he's capable of.
3.04 Shane Bieber, SP, CLE
I like Strasburg and Bieber so I wasn't totally crushed about not choosing Flaherty. Still landed one of my preferred aces to anchor my staff. Would've went Bryant here if I already had Flaherty. As long as I can grab some strong CI options it won't sting too bad seeing Bryant hit his career averages.
Bieber has been fantastic since day one. 6k/bb is a dream.
Expecting around career average per 33 starts: 16/0/230/3.75/1.15
4.13 Marcus Semien, SS, OAK
I can't make a habit of reaching on MI that had breakouts in 2019 can I? Could be playing with fire here. Strong depth up the middle if these guys can come close to recapture their 2019 forms.
As for Semien, he has become kind of a machine, so I feel confident that he will stay on the field and come closer to a mix of his 2018/2019 than his career averages, similar to my feelings on Marte.
Would've definitely gone for Bryant, Rizzo, Meadows if they made it back. Didn't even get to add Bo to my queue! Also considered Cruz and Santana as great picks for our format. Thought about Vlad but he didn't make it. Really wanted to beef up my middle infield early and Semien's finish to 2019 really stood out for me.
Career per 162: 85/70/12/.320/.425 but I'm expecting closer to past 2 years average: 100/80/10/.340/.450
5.04 Joey Gallo, OF, TEX
Chapman, McNeil, Robert, Soler on my radar for this one as well. A lot of recency bias showing up in my early picks. With recent injury scares mixed in. Something about the upside for Gallo made this hard to resist. Silly logic but didn't want two Athletics this early and bumped Gallo ahead of Chapman. Might end up wishing I bumped McNeil instead. Felt safer to let McNeil slide another pass but that's always a stupid thought to have in an RIBC draft.
Would love to see Gallo perform close to his 2019 levels but around his career averages feels reasonable to expect, especially with the wild card factor of the new stadium.
Career per 162: 90/90/7/.330/.510
After 5 picks, OF*2, SS*1, 2B*1, SP*1. Speed option in place. Taking some huge OBP risks.
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| 19 | filthy
ID: 45320290
Sat, Mar 28, 2020, 06:23
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6.13 Matt Chapman, 3B, OAK
Alright, I'll take two Athletics bats early on. Tempted for Robert but the rookie wild card bet didn't feel right yet.
Expecting around career rates per 162: 100/80/1/.340/.500
7.04 Miguel Sano, 1B/3B, MIN
Still considering Robert. Eloy also among my queue. Dahl was in there briefly before he went. Biggio, Ohtani, Realmuto among others I'm looking at here.
Very up and down career for Sano, but again I'm drawn to the upside and how he finished up 2019.
Considering he can't seem to stay on the field, I'm not expecting close to his career average per 162: 95/105/1/.330/.490, but a career high 120 games and 3/4 of that average seems attainable. Expecting around 70/80/0/.330/.490 from Sano.
8.13 Max Kepler, OF, MIN
Guess two Twins is fitting. Goes with the two A's. Aligning with offenses that I like. Drafting a lot of power. The OBP is going to be a struggle. Lot of guys hopefully entering their prime, Kepler fits the bill. Started to look at speed, Tim Anderson, another arm, Luzardo, and some other bats like Schwarber, Turner, Garver, Contreras on the radar.
Excellent batting approach for Kepler has me expecting slightly better than his career per 162: 85/80/5/.320/.440. Closer to 95/85/2/.320/.470 is my feeling.
9.04 Justin Turner, 3B, LAD
Wanting to add some speed so I'm not wasting the speed added with my Acuna pick. But the value of Turner stands out too much. Could be the start of me saving my OBP a bit.
Dodgers don't seem too concerned with getting him a full season but anything close to his average Dodgers season would be fine by me. Career per 162: 70/70/5/.360/.470 is actually pretty close to my expectation aside from the games part. Hopes of 130 games around his 2016/2017 range.
10.13, Nick Anderson, RP, TAM
The bats I was looking at before are gone. Started to look at Andrus for a speed option as well. Gone. Another catcher to the queue, Will Smith, gone. Might be a sign to look at arms again. Wished for Luzardo. Was looking at Price a bit. Gallen too. Was looking at Giles. Anderson really standing out here. Too electric in 2019 to ignore. Pattern of my team for the most part. That K rate is incredible! Maybe not a closer, but my favorite option here still. Value even if he isn't closing as long as he doesn't fall apart. His sample once he got to Tampa is just ridiculous. Hoping for more of that.
Not much of a career average to work with for predictions, but I'm looking for about 60IP/100K and with Tampa I could see him picking up 5 Wins and majority of their saves 25-30 in a probable committee type situation. ERA around 3.00 and WHIP around 1.00 closer to the average than what he did just in Tampa seems easier to predict but relief pitching crapshoot definitely comes into play here.
After 10 picks, OF*3, SS*1, 2B*1, 1B*1, 3B*1, CI*1, SP*1, RP*1. Light in OBP, starting to grow light in SB, pitching will be a major work in progress.
Looking at C, MI, OF4, UTIL and Pitching going ahead. OF or UTIL having 1B eligibility being a slight goal.
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| 20 | filthy
ID: 45320290
Sat, Mar 28, 2020, 07:01
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11.04 Julio Urias, SP, LAD
Huge upside, hopeful he has earned a spot in the rotation. Should be a fixture for the most part and has shown ability to perform at MLB level.
ERA 3.50/WHIP 1.20 range with a lot of 5 inning outings limiting the K's a bit, but a high powered offense helping land wins is the main wish. Pushing 15 W and 150 K is my hopeful expectations.
12.13 Garrett Hampson, 2B/SS/OF, COL
Speed options running thin. Wild card for MI that showed enough that he likely gets a chance to start out. Didn't benefit from any Coors craziness in his small sample. Hit and miss in the minors and majors with the bat but the speed seems consistent. A hot start could avalanche into a strong season. Or he could start slow and hit the bench early. Hoping to see him blossom enough to stick. Around 60/45/25/.320/.400 seems doable.
Thought about Leclerc, Kela, WSmith for a closer option here, but felt like adding offense had a better chance to pay off than adding relief. Choo and Eaton also considered but wanted the high potential for steals.
13.04 Kolten Wong, 2B, STL
And to really allow my flexibility and cover some gambles, another MI with speed stays on the radar. Has shown moments of having strong OBP, and might leadoff for the Cards. The high potential for steals still standing out. Newman, Lux, Kingery, Segura also considered. Yet again, the finish to 2019 stood out so that Wong was the pick.
A full season like his July and August would be nice, but very unlikely. That stretch gives me hope for career highs across the board. 80/70/30/.360/.420 seems possible if he can spend a lot of time leading off.
14.13 Carson Kelly, C, ARI
Heavily factoring last year and hoping on a breakout. Fits the pattern. First shot starting went pretty well for Kelly. Crushed lefties so he might need a platoon but he averaged out quite strong overall. Seems to have solid at bats for a young catcher. Hoping to see a bit more playing time leading to a bit more offensive growth this season. 60/60/0/.350/.450 feels doable.
15.04 Mark Canha, 1B/OF, OAK
Another 2019 star. Another Athletic. Sano insurance that can likely slot in as OF4 if that insurance isn't needed. OBP close to .400 again would really help with the deficit I've built there. Unlikely. Even closer to his 2018 at this point in the draft isn't that bad. I hope Canha can land somewhere in the middle, around 70/55/2/.360/.480. Reverse splits last year seems odd and have me feeling closer to the 2018 results should be my expectations.
After 15 picks, I've got a full offense and 3 arms. Rough planning the home stretch, another OF and C would give me backups all around and the ultra flexibility that I strive for. Plus 8 picks for arms.
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