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0 Subject: Daily Blurb - March 18, 2011

Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Fri, Mar 18, 2011, 11:19

Quote of the day
"We won one game. But we didn't win the tournament. That's our ultimate goal." -- Richmond guard Kevin Anderson, after an opening round win over #5 seed Vanderbilt

Daily blurb
The most exciting game-endings yesterday occurred in several of the afternoon games. Too bad for those of you chained to your work desk with no video access. While you can always watch the replays, thereís nothing like watching the drama unfold in real time.

I've posted a sortable summary of contest selections for 2011. A few quick observations:

  • Favorite shorts are BYU, Florida, #2 seed basket, #5 seed basket, SEC basket, and Pitt. None of those are an overwhelming short, though, as some years have produced.
  • Favorite longs are Kansas and Ohio State, followed by the #3 seeds, #1 seeds, and Duke. For a year when there hasn't been a consistently dominant team, that list looks rather chalky.
  • Net longs (longs minus shorts) are headed by Utah State, followed by Kansas, Washington, Michigan State, and Gonzaga.
  • Net shorts looks pretty much like the gross shorts.
  • Most active units (long or short) are Pitt, Ohio St. Florida, #2 seeds, & BYU.
  • Big East basket, with 11 teams and cost of $G95, attracted 88 shorts and 61 longs.
  • Every unit got at least one long or short.
So much for two of the favorite net longs, Utah State and Michigan State. Oops.

Standings are updated through the day, but itís tough to get much of a feel for the relative rankings until after at least the first weekend, as entries with lots of baskets shorted have a big cash advantage to open the contest. That value typically works itself off after the first couple of rounds, although until we get to the Final Four, the volatility can still be very pronounced. My best advice is to watch the game but donít fret about your relative ranking unless your long teams are going down the tubes while your shorts are hanging around. If you picked well, your score will work eventually itself toward the top.

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