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0 Subject: Daily Blurb - May 18, 2010

Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Tue, May 18, 2010, 11:29

Quote of the day
"We did it the hard way today." -- Yankees 3B Alex Rodriguez, after the team scored four runs in the 9th inning to overtake Boston 11-9

Daily blurb
The Lakers exploded for a 21-point win in the first game of the Western Conference Finals. And that’s not good news for the Suns. In Phil Jackson’s NBA coaching career, he has never lost a series after winning the first game. 45-0, going on 46. Yikes!

Andre Ethier has now missed three consecutive games, and he’s still the top hitter in RotoHog points over the last 30 days.

I just heard a radio commercial for “University of Maryland University College.” That name sounds like it was created by the Department of Redundancy Department.

Back to Phil Jackson. In case you’re wondering, he is only 7-8 when he loses the first game of a playoff series. So, his playoff series record is 52-8 overall.

Just how remarkable is going 45-0 when winning game #1? Consider these stats:

  • In NBA history, the winner of the first game goes on to win the series 78.9% of the time. If we use that as a probability of winning such a series, then the statistical odds of running off 45 straight series wins is 0.0023%.
  • When the home team wins the first game, that team has won the series 86.9% of the time. I’m sure that Jackson has had home court advantage much more often than not. Using this as a probability, the statistical odds of 45 straight series wins improves to 0.18%, still much less than 1%.
  • If you assume Phil has been coaching superior teams that have a probability of winning such a series 95% of the time (just pulling a number out of the air), then 45 straight successes has almost a 10% chance of occurring.
Undoubtedly, in many of those series, there was almost no chance of losing (given the relative superiority of either the Bulls or Lakers in those series), so these hypothetical odds may make the achievement sound more implausible than it really was. But still, 45-0…

I guess if you are rooting for Phoenix, your mantra becomes “He’s about due…”

1Great One
      ID: 4841108
      Tue, May 18, 2010, 12:18
Rotoguru advisory -- a rainout for Sox/Yanks tonight seems pretty likely, so please adjust lineups accordingly and be prepared in the event this game is called.
2JeffG
      Dude
      ID: 01584348
      Tue, May 18, 2010, 13:33
The expected PM rain should be light here in NY, but steady. I'd guess they'll play through.
3Great One
      ID: 4841108
      Tue, May 18, 2010, 13:54
Hopefully - I guess the key will be to check in at 6:45 and see whats up so we don't get all these guys frozen in our rosters.

Unless its CBS - then you are already screwed lol..

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