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Subject: Week 16 Lineup Decisions
Posted by: Species
- Dude [07724916] Tue, Dec 18, 2007, 16:26
Championship week for many (except holders of Westbrook apparently - ouch!). I've got 2 games that I have some choices on. Standard scoring (including 6 pts passing TD):
Choose 1 (leaning Portis, but stumped):
Portis @ MIN (Pro: indoors Con: MIN D-line)
Gore vs. TB (Weather could be an issue, TB D)
Galloway @ SF (TB = little to play for?)
I suppose I can even choose Chris Cooley @ MIN too - this is Fanball so I could play a TE at Flex
Other is:
QB:
Peyton vs. HOU
Favre @ CHI
Peyton - nothing to play for - Favre can possibly get home field still
Thoughts?
Good luck to all in your respective Super Bowls. |
| 1 | Kyle
Donor
ID: 052753312
Wed, Dec 19, 2007, 14:07
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Peyt will get you 3 solid quarters, everything I've read on the Colts says they will play all the starters, and Dungy doesn't want a repeat of 05.
The weather in Chicago this weekend will be cold with a chance of snow. I don't think will affect Favre. So I'd say go with Favre for now. If the weather changes then I'd say take Peyton with a guaranteed 3 solid quarters indoors.
I don't think weather will be an issue for Gore, I think the issue will be QB play. Tampa can basically stack the box will 11 to stop Gore.
I'd take Portis myself, but I wouldn't feel comfortable with any of the picks.
BTW, you must have done well to get into 2 championships. Congrats. My first 2 picks in RIFC were Portis and Gore, and that wasn't a great move. You must have picked some good supporting cast members.
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| 2 | Great One
Sustainer
ID: 053272014
Wed, Dec 19, 2007, 14:13
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I've got this mess again after managing to advance...
Scheffler @SD on MNF
Cooley @Minn
Minnesota D vs. WASH
Waiver Wire has ---
KC Def vs. Lions
AZ Def vs.
Pick 3
Chad Johnson
Lee Evans vs NYG
Reggie Brown @NO
Cotchery @TENN
(Patten vs. Philly available FA)
Pick 2
Aaron Stecker vs. PHI (Reggie Bush?!)
Ron Dayne @IND - good matchup, but will they be playing catchup?
Dominic Rhodes @Jax
DeAngelo vs DAL
Norwood @AZ
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| 3 | Great One
Sustainer
ID: 053272014
Wed, Dec 19, 2007, 14:17
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GO's Gut Feeling choices
Scheffler (good matchup, Graham out, Monday Night, sticking with MINN D would be a conflict)
MINN Defense (slightly better than other available options)
Chad, Evans, Reggie (if healthy... keep an eye on Jerricho's QB situation)
Stecker, Dayne
Really need one of the following to take the weekend off - Foster, Dunn or Reggie Bush.
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| 4 | Slizz
ID: 211391421
Wed, Dec 19, 2007, 17:11
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Species:
QB - Peyton @ HOU. Indy isnt going to want to have a repeat of what happened 2 years ago vs Pittsburgh when they rested their starters literally for 3 weeks. I would say they play a full game this Sunday, and a 1/2 a game the following week (17)
RB - Kid Bro Sweets/Choo Choo/Southeast Jerome/Dr. I Dont Know Clinton Portis! Gotta go with him. Given that Todd Collins isnt that effective as a QB, he will touch the ball at least 30 times. However, if your league is a PPR you might want to check out Gore. If not, stick with Portis.
GO:
Stay with minnesota. That game is not only in primetime (so you have a routing interest), but also features a washington offense which cant really move the ball. I expect it to be a grind it out game with a TD for both sides and a bunch of FGs.
WR:
Chad Johnson (pro bowl snub & cleveland loss earlier in the year = chad playing with a giant chip on his shoulders)
Lee Evans (last week = fluke b/c of the weather)
Cotchery (with Touchdown Chad back at the helm, look for the J-E-T-S to maximize his value so they can trade him in the offseason...and he likes Cotchery as a possession receiver. Dont know about his scoring chances though.
TE:
Iron Scheff...hes playing like a man possesed. Plus I dont like the QB situation in Washington
RB:
Aaron Stecker - New Orleans has had its two best performances on the ground in the season the past two weeks. Stecker has the job nailed down. Reggie might come back for the playoffs and playoffs only.
Ron Dayne - Dayne train has been a stud the last two seasons during the playoffs...expect 80 and a TD from him.
I had the opportunity to take Dominic Rhodes off the waiver wire but opted not to in 101 just b/c its vs jacksonville's defense. I dont expect him to do much with that opportunity. Expect alot of LaMont instead.
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| 5 | Great One
Sustainer
ID: 053272014
Thu, Dec 20, 2007, 14:14
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liked this from ESPN
The Ghosts of Playoffs Past
by Christopher Harris
You've seen that video of former L.A. Dodgers center fielder Brett Butler pitching his kid a Wiffle ball, only to have the whippersnapper crack it right back up the middle, directly into the least desirable place to be hit?
Yeah, that's pretty much the fantasy football playoffs.
If you rode Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Derek Anderson, Terrell Owens, Braylon Edwards, Reggie Wayne, Marion Barber and/or T.J. Houshmandzadeh to your league's playoffs: oops. Last week, those guys produced 3, 3, 5, 3, 6, 6, 3 and 6 fantasy points, respectively, which means if you survived, you were darn lucky, or else had the foresight to start Darren Sproles.
But even worse than having your studs fail to perform in the fantasy playoffs is suffering a "True Butler." You're an enormous favorite, your buddy has no chance against you, he's ridden Roy Williams and D.J. Hackett this far but now he's casting about for a healthy wide receiver and there's nothing left on the waiver wire so he takes a wild stab and picks up … Roydell Williams.
I don't know who the "True Butlers" will be during your fantasy championship in Week 16 and/or 17. (Roydell qualifies so far.) But I do have a fond trip down memory lane, looking at the NFL nobodies who've crunched the collective soft spot of a whole lot of fantasy favorites. To wit:
Ron Dayne, RB, Texans, 2006: Dayne had all of 52 carries his final year with the Giants, 54 his only year with the Broncos and 62 his first 12 weeks with the Texans. Then for four weeks, he went all Heisman on your behind: 89 carries, 429 yards and five touchdowns, including two in most leagues' Week 16 championship.
Vincent Jackson, WR, Chargers, 2006: Jackson did have three touchdowns leading into the fantasy playoffs, but just 13 catches overall. Then during the season's last four weeks, he nabbed 14 more passes, including two scores in Week 16, and one more in Week 17.
Ryan Moats, RB, Eagles, 2005: Brian Westbrook got hurt, and Moats, who hadn't had a carry through 11 weeks, got 55 the rest of the way, and scored twice in Week 14 and once in Week 15. Worst of all, the moment you thought you could count on him in those last two games, he rushed 16 times for a combined 36 yards.
Billy Volek, QB, Titans, 2004: Volek was a pedestrian part-timer until Week 13, when he took the reins to the tune of 11 touchdowns in three weeks, including games of 426 and 492 passing yards and games of 35, 43 and 60 pass attempts.
Nick Goings, RB, Panthers, 2004: For the first 10 weeks, he had 35 carries, 130 yards, no scores. In the last six weeks: 182 carries, 691 yards, six scores. Career yards and touchdowns thereafter: 185 and zero.
Michael Bennett, RB, Vikings, 2004: Hi, my name is Michael Bennett, and I'm fast. I also enjoy long walks on the beach and fumbling. After having 32 carries in the season's first 14 weeks, I thought it would be really funny to touch it 47 times in the last three, accounting for 304 total yards and a score.
Onterrio Smith, RB, Vikings, 2003: The Whizzinator was anything but yellow in Weeks 15 and 16, carrying it 48 times for 294 yards and three scores (after having just 54 prior career carries).
Marc Boerigter, WR, Chiefs, 2002: "Rigter Mortis" made just 20 catches during his rookie campaign, but six of them were touchdowns he scored from Week 12 forward. He was just good enough for lower playoff seeds to grab, and he gave you two scores in both Week 13 and Week 15.
Patrick Jeffers, WR, Panthers, 1999: The standard by which all other late-season flukes are measured, Jeffers should probably have this entire genre named for him. He didn't have a career 100-yard receiving day in his nearly three-season career, until Week 13 of '99. Thereafter, Jeffers registered a 100-plus-yard game every week for the rest of the year, scored at least one touchdown each week, and eight total. Alas, he broke his leg the next preseason, and was never heard from again. Kind of like your fantasy team.
Tim Biakabutuka, RB, Panthers, 1998: He missed the season's first 10 weeks entirely, then became the starter in Week 14, whereupon he scored four times. And I owned him. Sigh. Good times.
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