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Subject: Football Betting
Posted by: barilko6
- [52612922] Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 13:47
So right now I have a 3 team parlay that ends tonight with Dallas at -7. It pays out $244.63.
How many of you would hedge that bet with a play on Philly tonight? |
| 1 | wiggs
Sustainer
ID: 04991311
Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 13:48
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what did you bet on the 3 team to win 244?
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| 2 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 14:10
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New England, Buffalo, and Dallas. $40 bet
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| 3 | wiggs
Sustainer
ID: 04991311
Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 14:25
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I really think Dallas covers and then some, but it wouldnt be a bad deal to drop like 100 on the eagles- that way you win 100 or you win 60
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| 4 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 14:28
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Yeah, I was thinking that way too...I really like Dallas in this game, but was thinking I could cash in either way.
Still undecided at this point.
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| 5 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 14:32
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Right now if I bet $100, I get 90.91 back.
So...
If Dallas would cover, I win back 244.63 plus my original 40, minus my $100 on Philly for 188.63
If Philly covers, I win back 90.91 plus my original 100 for Philly, for a total back of 190.91.
Does this make sense?
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| 6 | wiggs
Sustainer
ID: 04991311
Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 15:05
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exactly right
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| 7 | Slizz
ID: 21733916
Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 16:02
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I'd bet philly straight up :)
Throw in the trio of CB's and Jim Johnson's relentless blitz, I think that could bode very well for the Birds.
From Peter King's MMQB:
Donovan McNabb is 10-5 lifetime against Dallas (4-3 at Texas Stadium), and, feeling lousy last year, threw for 208 yards in a 10-6 win over Dallas in December. If I were the Cowboys, that would worry me.
McNabb put up 38 points last week against the Rams (OK the Rams) and looked like vintage McNabb. With one exception -- he ran only once, for three yards. And in his conference call with Dallas reporters the other day, he said, "There's no 14-second scrambles with me anymore. I drop back, get the ball out of [my] hands and let my receivers work.''
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| 8 | weykool
ID: 2842717
Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 16:16
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Right now if I bet $100, I get 90.91 back.
So...
If Dallas would cover, I win back 244.63 plus my original 40, minus my $100 on Philly for 188.63
If Philly covers, I win back 90.91 plus my original 100 for Philly, for a total back of 190.91.
Does this make sense?
No.
I dont think you should be counting the $100 back from the bet on Philly....you will "get that back" even if you dont bet.
The outcomes if you dont bet are:
Lose $40
Win $244.63
Bet:
Win $51.91
Win $144.63
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| 9 | Building 7
ID: 174591519
Mon, Sep 15, 2008, 19:52
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I would lock in the gain. Be careful if Dallas wins by exactly 7. Not sure what happens then. On my site you can buy a point and change the odds a little if you want.
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| 10 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Tue, Sep 16, 2008, 08:40
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Yeah, after talking with friends, I decided to let it ride and go for the big win.
Probably not my best choice...haha
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| 11 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Fri, Sep 19, 2008, 16:26
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Tougher choices this weekend with nothing huge jumping out at me:
Buffalo -9
Houston +4.5
Chicago -3
GB/Dallas UNDER 51.5
Cleveland +2
Will beat these and mix some up for a parlay.
Really love the Mets tonight at Atlanta.
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| 12 | J
Leader
ID: 049346417
Fri, Sep 19, 2008, 16:36
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ughhhh
In 8 games for me at Turner Field this year, the team I root for is 0-8.
Mets vs. Braves 0-6
Braves vs. Phils 0-2
Don't do it barilko! I'm there rooting for my Mets tonight :(
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| 13 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Sat, Sep 20, 2008, 00:26
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I didn't really want to use the word "Lock", but I was very confident in that game, and was rewarded very nicely.
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| 14 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Sat, Sep 20, 2008, 07:58
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Plays I like today:
Michigan State -8.5
Rutgers -5
UTEP -6.5
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| 15 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Sat, Sep 20, 2008, 08:04
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Adding Minnesota -6.5 over Florida Atlantic.
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| 16 | Building 7, Ph.D.
ID: 174591519
Sat, Sep 20, 2008, 09:45
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I've got Carolina at +165. But I only bet $5.
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| 17 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Sun, Sep 21, 2008, 06:57
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Meh...2 and 2 on my NCAA. The Spartans I hit the hardest though, by far, so still a very nice day.
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| 18 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Sun, Sep 21, 2008, 20:13
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Ugh...
0-4. I think I will stick with what I know best, baseball and college football.
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| 19 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Sun, Sep 21, 2008, 20:13
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By the way, under 51.5 for GB/Dallas tonight!
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| 20 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Mon, Sep 22, 2008, 14:03
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Well at least I ended the weekend on a very nice finishing game.
Nothing for tonight's game for me.
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| 21 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Mon, Sep 22, 2008, 14:06
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But...
I do like the Texas/Oakland game tonight in MLB, and will be placing a wager on the under 10.5.
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| 22 | Seattle Zen
ID: 49112418
Mon, Sep 22, 2008, 14:14
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By the way, under 51.5 for GB/Dallas tonight!
I've always found the over/unders much easier, myself. That said, I don't gamble for $$ and if you looked at my Football Pickoff standings, you'll know why.
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| 23 | JTSERB
Donor
ID: 481020120
Mon, Sep 22, 2008, 14:14
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Always nice to get that night game to bring you back a little more B6 good job!
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| 24 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Mon, Sep 22, 2008, 14:29
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haha...yeah, I rolled a little extra in that DAL/GB under, so things were good this weekend.
I just wish that I had a better feeling for tonight's game. I like SD, but Monday Night Bret kind of scares me...
For those of you that do play for real, see my pick in post 21!
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| 25 | barilko6
ID: 4681210
Tue, Sep 23, 2008, 11:03
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Came through very easily with pick in Post 21.
There are a couple I really like again for tonight. Will post in a little bit.
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| 26 | barilko6
ID: 4681210
Tue, Sep 23, 2008, 11:14
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Today's Quick Williams' Specials: (Get em while you can!)
TB/Baltimore Game 1: OVER 9.5 I call this a Mexican Food Morning After Game: Lots of Runs.
Cleveland over Boston: With Clifford Lee taking the hill over Tim Wakefield, the Indians are patient at the plate and can force Wakefield to throw some 75 mile an hour medium speed balls (You can't call them fastballs) and Cleveland has been hot lately...
Book em!
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| 27 | barilko6
ID: 4681210
Tue, Sep 23, 2008, 14:36
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Adding the Cubs as a huge upset special ML play as the underdog against the Mets. Not a large bet though.
Make sure you note the two great picks in post 26!
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| 28 | GolfFreak
Leader
ID: 01730209
Sat, Sep 27, 2008, 15:43
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B6
What site do you use? I had pinnacle a few years back but the kick USA residents.
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| 29 | GolfFreak
Leader
ID: 01730209
Sat, Sep 27, 2008, 15:43
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^ they
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| 30 | barilko6
ID: 52612922
Sun, Sep 28, 2008, 18:28
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I use Bowmans. They promote pretty big up here in Canada, and make it really easy to open an account. (Nothing needs to be photocopied or faxed etc, etc, etc.)
You can set everything up and lay your first bet in a matter of minutes.
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