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Subject: RIFC 2015: Rationale Collection Thread
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Sat, Aug 29, 2015, 10:42
We'll use the same process for collecting rationales as last year.
You have a choice. You may either post your rationale in the comment area next to the associated pick on the MFL draft page,
- or -
you may post each rationale in this thread. Anything posted here will "trump" anything posted on MFL.
Regardless, each rationale is due no later than two rounds in arrears. I understand that, especially when queues are used, staying within two rounds will be difficult. However, please try to stay relatively current.
I will set up a master thread for all Rationales that will be organized in the proper draft sequence. |
Only the 50 most recent replies are currently shown. Click on this text to display hidden posts as well.
[Lengthy or complex threads may require a slight delay before updating.] |
| 104 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Sat, Sep 05, 2015, 14:28
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7.07 Smith, Telvin JAC LB
Hadn't really meant to go back to back on LBs, but after not having any really top LBs last season, that was one of the things I told myself I wanted to take a hard look at and work on it if the impact seemed lower on other positions.
Getting what I saw as the #2 and #5 LBs could help in the long run on the IDP side.
Sorry for the delay on my Rationales, but being on the road at work wasn't as easy to keep up as I though it would be.
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| 105 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Sat, Sep 05, 2015, 14:34
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8.08 Cameron, Jordan MIA TE
With the chance to play a Flex TE in the league, I generally do not want to wait too long to get that first TE in place. Were a solid group that I saw all fitting in the same range.
Miami generally heavily uses their TE, and think it could be even more than usual.
Had a plan going in, but as always, things end up getting fluid.
Being on the road and only able to look early morning(very short window) and then after work, have made this a much more challenging draft than I already knew it would be.
Could be a top 5 TE if he see 100+ targets.
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| 106 | Toral
ID: 1753514
Sat, Sep 05, 2015, 18:38
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18.07 Landon Collins, DB, NYG
The second-round draft choice steps in at strong safety and should be a 100-tackle guy right off the bat.
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| 107 | twolves
ID: 57491413
Sat, Sep 05, 2015, 20:52
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18.05 Jerod Mayo LB I felt needed 3rd linebacker which should have taken last round but hopefully he can have a bounce back year from injury and get high number of tackles as in past. Would have liked to have gotten Daryl Smith but obviously had no chance for that.
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| 109 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 02:25
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9.07 Jones, Matt WAS RB
Well, I'm sitting in a fairly tough place on the RB side. So, figured I'd go with another big potential guy that can either produce, or do nothing at all.
Even though he is a big guy, if you look at his college games, he can move laterally pretty darn good.
So, a roll of the dice, and only my 3rd RB.
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| 110 | Toral
ID: 1753514
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 07:33
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19.08 Steven Hauschka, Pk, Sea
Vinatieri (19.01) and then Hauschka were my targets if I got in early on the PKs. If I pick a good PK I don’t want him to have more than one week in the playoffs kicking in a harsh winter venue.
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| 111 | twolves
ID: 57491413
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 08:54
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19.10 Cameron Artis-Payne RB It appears he is #2 RB behind J. Stewart as a rookie and should get some regular work. He has had a decent preaeason but never know until next week. Last year I had Stewart who proved very durable but at this stage probably just rolling the dice on RB in case of injury.
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| 112 | Jaydog
ID: 57443012
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 09:18
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16.09 - Eddie Royal, WR, CHI
Royal was on my list of late round WR's to target when the draft set out. I almost grabbed him a few rounds earlier, but had more pressing holes to fill, so figured the time was about right. He'll be the 2nd receiving option in Chicago, while Kevin White is on the PUP list, and we know Cutler likes to air it out. Coverages will certainly be focused on Jeffrey and Bennett, opening up the field for Royal.
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| 113 | Jaydog
ID: 57443012
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 09:21
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17.06 - Demario Davis, LB, NYJ
Three down LB's on bad teams... always a target of mine, and Davis fits the bill. He's seen steady improvement in his first few years in the league, and no reason to think that won't continue. I've also read some articles that rave about how well Todd Boles works with linebackers of Davis's skillset, so think there's some upside. I've seen several sites listing Davis as a LB2 with LB1 upside, so as my LB3, think there's considerable value here.
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| 114 | Jaydog
ID: 57443012
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 09:23
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18.09 - Brandon LaFell, WR, NE
My first blown pick of the draft. I had my finger over the "draft" button about to pick Gostowski, just couldn't pull the trigger so early on a kicker. I had completely talked myself into it, but when it came time to draft, I wimped out. So who do I take instead, a talented WR in a pass happy offense, who when healthy last season put up very good numbers with Brady. Only a few hours later would I find that LaFell would start the season on the PUP list and miss at least the first 6 weeks... ugh... Gostowski would look pretty good on my team right now, oh well.
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| 115 | Jaydog
ID: 57443012
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 09:28
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19.06 - Travis Carrie, CB, Oak
Carrie was someone I had been targeting all draft, and decided the time was about right to pull the trigger. Carrie was in the top 50 DB's last year, on his return yardage alone, and is slated to open the season as a starting corner for Oakland. I'm sure teams will throw on Oakland a lot, and will try and feast on a first year starter. Adding a number of tackle opportunities, to his return yardage could make Carrie a difference maker for me!
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| 116 | Donkey Hunter
ID: 467523014
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 10:47
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11.02 S Reshad Jones
I'm trying to continue my trend of drafting one IDP per swing by my picks. Jones has been a decent starting S in the past few seasons. I like the Dolphins defense with the addition of Suh, so I am expecting him to have another string year. I also looked at Laurenitis with this pick but had Jones rated slightly higher and wanted to get a DB/S instead of a 2nd LB.
12.13 RB Tre Mason
Mason fell this far due to some injury concerns and playing time concerns with Gurley being brought in. At this point in the draft I thought he was well worth the upside as you can never really rely on a rookie RB like Gurley anyway.
13.02 LB Lawrence Timmons
I needed a second LB at this spot and orignally had targetted Kendricks, but his injury concern bothered me more than Timmons did so I swapped them and grabbed Timmons.
14.13 RB Ronnie Hillman
Hillman seems to have emerged over Ball as the backup to CJ Anderson in Denver. CJ Anderson came out of nowhere last year so if he takes a step back this year and loses his starting job, I am glad to have the backup. I was also looking at Charles Sims and Marques Colston for this pick.
15.02 S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix
I was looking through the DBs and DLs for this pick. I like getting second year players in hopes that they take a step forward so Clinton-Dix was the choice. He had a solid but not spectacular rookie season so should be a reliable starter week to week.
16.13 LB Ryan Shazier
This is another 2nd year player that I expect to improve on last season. Unlike Clinton-Dix, he did not put up decent stats due to injury last year so he is more of a flyer. If he can stay healthy, he may end up being the stud LB on Pittsburgh but between him and Timmons I should be getting a lot of tackles each week.
17.02 RB James Starks
Just wanted to grab the Lacy handcuff in case of an injury this season. One of the reasons I like Lacy/Starks is that Starks seems to be a well defined handcuff as opposed to many teams that have a running back by committee approach in case of an injury to the starter.
18.13 DE Jason Pierre-Paul
Obviously a total flyer here in case JPP comes back to the Giants. He is planning to come back soon according to the reports I read at the time of the pick. There aren't many DEs available in the draft total, let alone this late, that can consistently pout up double digit points, so he is worth the shot.
19.02 WR Percy Harvin
Another long shot choice. I think he is one of the most talented runners in the league so I am hoping Rex Ryan has some plays for him. If he can get a consistent number of touches each week he should be productive. Also should be able to get some return yardage which can help swing a week in this league.
20.13 S Micah Hyde
I started looking around the league for IDP who return kicks. Hyde is a backup to my other safety in GB and should get some return work, especially if the Packers shy away from letting Cobb return kicks. He did get injured in the preseason but he is saying he will play week 1.
21.02 RB Jarryd Haynes
Another backup that will return kicks. He is my Reggie Bush handcuff I guess, if a handcuff to a handcuff is a real thing.
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| 117 | twolves
ID: 57491413
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 10:54
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20.05 Blake Bortles QB Debated whether or not to even take second QB but would probably write off season if injury. I think as second year hopefully he can make a jump forward. I would have probably taken C. Palmer but he has same bye week as my starter.
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| 118 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 11:20
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10.08 Sproles, Darren PHI RB
Hard to know exactly what his role is going to be, but the highest I still had sitting out there on my RB list. Will just have to see what happens. Boom or bust right now.
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| 119 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 11:25
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11.07 Dorsett, Phillip IND WR
His 4.31 at the combine was impressive. Question is going to be if I can sort through the routes and get a good feel with Luck. Probably another boom or bust guy, but you never know.
Was sitting near the top of my WR list when I took him.
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| 120 | Goldcoach
ID: 387581822
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 12:19
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21.09 Carson Palmer QB ARI
Wow. I never thought he would drop all the way to here. Many of the fantasy pundits are predicting he will be top ten with the weapons he has. I already have two QBs so why grab a third? There is good potential here. An early injury to Rodgers and he may be my main guy or things go well and he then has good trade value.
ps to Guru, the comments under Palmer on the MFL draft page were intended for Conner Barwin LB PHI my previous pick
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| 121 | Kyle
Leader
ID: 052753312
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 12:27
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20.12 Long, Chris STL DE
I think I took Long more for name recognition than actual production. He gets 8 sacks a year when healthy but the tackles aren't really there. But at DL2 I'm hoping for some upside.
21.03 Riley, Perry WAS LB
He was the best IDP on my list who's bye week lines up with my starters. Good enough for me.
22.12 Miller, Heath PIT TE
For my back up tight end I wanted someone who was reliably on the field. Miller is an ever down pass catching TE so he fits that bill.
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| 122 | Toral
ID: 1753514
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 13:33
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20.07 Fred Jackson, RB, Sea
Finally signed, and thus confirmed as a handcuff, with [undrafted] being placed on the block and [undrafted] apparently headed to the PUP list.
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| 123 | twolves
ID: 57491413
Sun, Sep 06, 2015, 18:52
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21.10 Devin Hester WR He may be the third receiver in Atlanta and gets return yardage. He did well last year when he got playing time as a receiver. I needed another receiver since have 2 with same bye date.
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| 124 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 01:42
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12.08 Miles Austin, PHI WR
Really unsure how any of the PHI WRs will do, and might be going out on a limb here, but had him high on my list and took the leap.
We shall see.
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| 125 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 01:47
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13.07 Floyd, Michael ARI WR
My after thought was that I should have taken Floyd in the 12th and Austin in the 13th, but still managed to work out. Depending on where you look, he lists out 1 or 2 or 3 on the depth chart. Will just have to see where he fits in or how he does. My gut instinct is that he fits in as #1 or #2.
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| 126 | twolves
ID: 57491413
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 09:29
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22.05 Sen Derrick Marks DT Decided needed another DE/DT since mine have early bye weeks. He had a good year for DT and seemed better than the DE on the board currently. He is coming off injury but was apparently not put on PUP/reserve, so hopefully will be getting up to speed by time bye week happens.
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| 128 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 09:46
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14.08 Dalton, Andy CIN QB
Probably could have waited a little longer on my backup QB. Works on the Bye side and also has a lot of weapons. Is playing Seattle though that week, so might not work out as well as I would like.
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| 129 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 09:49
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15.07 Woodson, Charles OAK S
Had him ranked as the second DB on my list and probably could have waited, but he really did a good job for me last year. Trying to fill holes now and this helped toward that end.
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| 131 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 10:00
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16.08 Wolfe, Derek DEN DE
Well, we all have to have one of those picks. So here I am on the plane landing at LAX. Take the phone out of Airplane Mode and a courtesy text telling me I am about to timeout. Knew the plan had been a DL here. Queue was empty. First choice in my mind was gone. Gone the second Choice, but (duh) suspended for the first 4 games. Oh well, those things we deal with later.
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| 132 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 10:17
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17.07 Liuget, Corey SDC DE
Really should have been the pick a round earlier, but already explained that. One of many that will be solid without spectacular numbers, but only one of those. Then a group of two and then the rest. Hopefully he'll have a few games where he really helps.
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| 133 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 10:27
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18.08 Clay, Charles BUF TE
Gives me the bye week backup and BUF is playing TEN that week.
Still questions on the QB situation, but he's in line for more targets. His 77% completion rate and 67% Red Zone success rate should see him around 90-100 targets.
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| 134 | GoatLocker
ID: 404291221
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 10:51
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19.07 Johnson, Charles CAR DE
Needed one more due to Wolfe Suspension.
His tackle numbers have taken a slight dip but you can can feel comfortable about his sack totals. He has averaged 10-plus sacks for the last five seasons.
20.08 Lambo, Josh SDC PK
Had a queue set full of kickers in the order I had them for the final round. Then suddenly San Diego drops Novack giving Lambo the job. He has a cannon for a leg and a good chance of those extra few points because of that. Shifted him to the top in this round and only time will tell.
21.07 Whitner, Dante CLE S
Needed to add the second DB and this is almost a mirror of what I had to say earlier about Woodson.
22.08 Anthony, Stephone NOS LB
Knew I didn't like what I had now to cover my IDP Flex spot, and wanted to take an LB here. Originally was looking at earlier, but took Lambo in round 20.
Had him as the #27 IDP in my rankings, so was a no brainer to take him here.
23.07 Michael, Christine DAL RB
This became more of an opportunity pick. When the trade was announced I was close to picking and added him to the top of the queue. Not 100% sure what his PT will look like, but he could have a shot at having a lot more PT than he would have got and that is a great O-Line to run behind.
24.08 Taylor, Tyrod BUF QB
This is probably a real flyer and imagine I will not keep 3 QBs for very long. Decision on whether he goes or Dalton goes will probably be answered in the first two weeks.
This was another case of seeing he was still there and not feeling really impressed with any other moves, decided to go this route.
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| 135 | Jaydog
ID: 32747318
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 12:03
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20.09 Matt Bryant, PK, ATL
More of a commentary on not having any better options, than wanting a kicker, or targeting Bryant. Couldn't pull the trigger on anyone else, so figured I'd go with a stable, solid kicker, on an above average offense, that kicks in a dome.
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| 136 | Jaydog
ID: 32747318
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 12:04
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21.06 - Lorenzo Taliaferro, RB, BAL
Nothing but a handcuff to Forsett. Hope he never see's the field, but will likely camp out on my bench unless he's needed, or another more interesting option appears.
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| 137 | Jaydog
ID: 32747318
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 12:06
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22.09 - DaVonte Parker, WR, MIA
After learning that LaFell is going to miss the first 6 weeks (at least), I decided to take another WR. Parker seemed to have the most upside of the group of WR's left. Considered Janis or Malcom Floyd, I I decided that Parker has the most upside, with the clearest shot at playing time. Also figure that there's some very good run defenses in the AFC East, so Miami will have some nice passing matchups. Probably overthinking it, but we'll see.
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| 138 | Jaydog
ID: 32747318
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 12:10
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23.06 - Terrance West, RB, TEN
Timing was on my side for this pick. In the same article that I learned about LaFell being PUP'ed, I also learned that Terrance West and Christine Michel were traded to much more favorable situations. With only one pick between the news coming out, and my selection, I put them 1,2 in my queue. I think Michael probably has the most upside/talent, but is also in a more crowded situation in Dallas with Randle, Dunbar, and McFadden to deal with (and leap in the depth chart). West has much less talent to deal with in Sankey (terrible) and Cobb (hurt), and given that Sankey is currently my RB3, he'll serve as a bit of a handcuff for me. West had some good weeks last season for Cleveland, so hoping for some 23rd round magic this season.
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| 139 | Jaydog
ID: 32747318
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 12:12
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24.09 - Sam Barrington, LB, GB
Was going to take Sam Barrington in the 23rd round, before I heard of the West/Michael news, so was happy to take him in the 24th. He'll provide me with some LB depth, and as a 3 down linebacker in GB should see plenty of tackle opportunities. I've seen him show up on a few IDP sleeper lists, and if he's good enough to push Clay Matthews back to his OLB/Rush role, there will be plenty of points/tackles for him in the middle.
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| 140 | twolves
ID: 57491413
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 15:53
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23.10 Chandler Catanzaro PK Needed one of these but not excited about any. Althugh he had a good year last year, his presesason has not been very good. I think the Aizona offense will be better this year so he should have opportunities if he can convert.
24.05 Benny Cunningham RB Another flyer at RB and will see how the first week shakes out as there are injury questions for Tre Mason and Gurley. He was certainly okay last year when playing regularly. I also learned "cannot have too many running backs" to start with as a competitor mentioned the first year I played Rotoguru. That year, I played the first 5 weeks with a dreadful M. Drew jones, Jac. rogers, Stephan Taylor, and denard Robinson as my main running backs until LeVeon Bell came back from his rookie injury. Needless to say I started 0-10 that year.
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| 142 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 17:42
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14.10 Casey, Jurrell TEN DE
I currently had on of each IDP position. Decided on 2nd DL because of the few number of good fantasy producers at this position compared to other IDP positions. Casey has been one of the top producers of tackles for DL the last 3 years, and also contributes some sacks.
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| 143 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 17:43
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15.05 Carr, Derek OAK QB
Looking for a backup QB who would be available if Bradford gets injured. Carr played in every game as a rookie and was the 20th ranked fantasy QB. I think his numbers will improve in his 2nd season because he has more experience and a better surrounding cast.
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| 144 | Toral
ID: 1753514
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 17:48
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23.08 Dion Lewis, RB, NE
In the interests of keeping the draft moving I selflessly queued up before leaving for Church, even knowing that it would be in my selfish interests to wait until after NFL waivers went through to pick.
Hence I missed out on Christine Michael. I hope he bombs.
Lewis seems to be the third-down back in New England. Could lead the team in touches in Week One they say.
24.07 Kenny Britt, WR, StL
Well, at least when I timed out I still had my top guy at the top of My Draft List. If Quick isn't the #1 receiver in St Louie, likely Britt will be. Who knows who Foles will connect with?
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| 145 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 18:02
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16.10 Oliver, Branden SDC RB
I wanted to add some more depth at RB. Oliver is a amall back who had 447 total yards and 3 TDs during a 4 week span when Mathews was injured last season. I think if he will have a bigger role in the offense this season, and has a chance to become the Chargers #1 back if Gordon does not produce or is injured.
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| 146 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 18:02
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17.05 Griffin, Michael TEN S
Looking for a 2nd DB with this pick. Griffin was the 7th ranked DB in fantasy points last season. Over the last five seasons he has missed only 2 games and has consistently put up good fantasy numbers.
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| 147 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 18:11
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18.10 Sanu, Mohamed CIN WR
Sanu's numbers have improved in each of his 3 NFL seasons. He was the Bengal's #2 WR last season because Marvin Jones was injured. Sunu is an intelligent hard-working player with good hands and size. I expect to see more improvement this season.
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| 148 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 18:24
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19.05 Harris, David NYJ LB
Wanted to get my 2nd LB with this pick. Harris is an every down LB who signed a new 3 year contract with the Jets this offseason. He has put up good tackle numbers since he came into the league and has not missed a game in the last six seasons.
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| 149 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 18:27
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20.10 Wright, K.J. SEA LB
Having filled my IDP stating positions, I wanted to add a little depth. Wright was a young every down LB with the Seahawks last season producing 96 tackles and 2 sacks. I think he has a chance to improve his numbers this season.
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| 150 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 18:35
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21.05 Tucker, Justin BAL PK
Tucker is one of the best young kickers in the NFL. In his 3 NFL seasons he has been very accurate under 50 yards (94%) and has the leg to make field goals over 60 yards. I decided to get my kicker early because I did not see much differentiation at other positions..
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| 151 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 20:24
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22.10 Sanchez, Mark PHI QB
With Bradford's injury history, I wanted to have his backup on my team. I targeted picking Sanchez in Round 22, was glad Bradford did not get injured in a preseason practice, and Sanchez was still available.
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| 152 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 20:32
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23.05 Nelson, Reggie CIN S
I picked Nelson as bye week/injury fill in at IDP. He been mostly injury free and has put up good tackle numbers the last few seasons.
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| 153 | TD
ID: 55540220
Mon, Sep 07, 2015, 20:36
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24.10 Floyd, Malcom SDC WR
Floyd had 856 receiving yards and 6 TDs last season. I am looking for the same this season which will be good enough to fill in as a bye week WR.
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| 154 | Kyle
ID: 5483388
Tue, Sep 08, 2015, 09:41
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23.03 Vaccaro, Kenny NOS S
I set this queue up before the news of cuts and trades came out Saturday night. This would have been Christine Michael if I had known he was traded when I set it up.
That said I need a backup safety just in case Chancellor's holdout goes into the regular season. Vaccaro only had 52 solo tackles last season, but he's supposed to spend more time in the box this season and he even saw some time playing a "slot corner-linebacker" hybrid in training camp. That should lead to more tackles.
24.12 Perriman, Breshad BAL WR
This pick is a total flyer and I mean that in both connotations of the word. Perriman is crazy fast. Had he not sprained his MCL in camp he'd be getting great press. Right now I'm hoping he comes back in October and starts making big plays for me in November as the stretch run comes. If he doesn't, it's the 24th round, what else would I have gotten a back up DL?
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| 155 | Donkey Hunter
ID: 53812814
Tue, Sep 08, 2015, 15:12
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22.13 QB Nick Foles
I wasn't sure I absolutely needed a backup QB here. With Brees not on bye until week 1 I originally figured I could wait until closer to that time to grab someone off of the waiver wire. I ended up chickening out on that because I know the waivers are so competitive in this league and there won't be a good opportunity to grab a real sleeper. Foles was a top 5 fantasy QB just two years ago. I know a lot has changed since then, but hopefully he has a good year.
23.02 K Blair Walsh
I grabbed a kicker one round earlier than normal just because I didn't want to forget to draft one. I like the Vikings offense this season with AD back so I will hope they are high scoring.
24.13 TE Brent Celek
I needed a backup TE because Ertz is such a question mark, and I figured if Ertz is out for any stretch then Celek will be the one getting the snaps so might as well grab him.
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| 156 | twilson
ID: 37573115
Fri, Sep 11, 2015, 13:01
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13.13 Kyle Rudolph – TE, MIN
I wasn’t really sure what I wanted at this pair of picks. I’ve filled all of the starting and key bench slots that need to be taken care of early in the draft, other than DL2, and at this point all the linemen worth taking early are gone. The same is kind of true at DB. Thus, I should probably continue to add depth at the key positions.
We are firmly into the backup RB lottery part of the draft, so I will wait a few turns and give others first dibs, cleaning up the leftovers at the end. WR makes sense since I only have three at the moment, but the current tier is very deep. I will likely get an equally good player at the 15/16 turn.
Though I don’t really need a backup TE, I really like two of the guys that have been dropping. Kyle Rudolph is a former high draft pick with a good performance record when healthy. Dwayne Allen was a touchdown magnet in 2014, and he has playing time upside given the likely increase of 3WR sets in Indianapolis this year. I would’ve been happy with either player, but I chose Rudolph due to his clearer role.
14.02 Keenan Robinson – LB, WAS
WR was the obvious pick, but I couldn’t resist the siren song of my third linebacker. Though adding quality linebackers via free agency has long been a strength of mine, my lack of pressing needs and obvious other board values allowed me to splurge on Keenan Robinson. I drafted him last year in the 22nd round and he was a lineup mainstay. When healthy, he was a very consistent scorer. 9 ppg ‘backers don’t grow on trees! Not that it is easy to do in this league, but I will be very open to trading LBs during the season.
15.13 Tyler Lockett – WR, SEA
WR attrition was very low over the past two rounds, with only three leaving the board between 13.13 and now. My decision to wait on the position last turn was validated. Still, I knew that waiting any longer would be silly despite the continued presence of many viable choices.
Most players I considered fell into one of two groups: veterans on new teams and return men with reception upside. Tyler Lockett was the big dropper by RIFC ADP standards. He went 160/127/148 in the other three leagues. Eddie Royal was not far off from that himself. The Dolphins duo of Stills and Parker were possibilities, but there are a lot of mouths to feed in that offense. Percy Harvin’s name came up, but he’s dealing with hip troubles yet again. I looked at [undrafted] and [undrafted]. Marvin Jones was quite appealing in his return from a lost 2014 season, but his ADP is a bit lower than some of the others.
Though I didn’t know much about him previously, talking about him with a friend convinced me to take Lockett. He is already established as the primary return man for the Seahawks, and there is upside in the passing game. It’s not like anyone else is firmly established as top producers in that receiving corps.
16.02 Stevie Johnson – WR, SD
My favorite cheap veteran on a new team this year is Stevie Johnson. He is a proven performer from his time in Buffalo, and he has dealt with poor QB play for his entire career. Colin Kaepernick was a particularly bad fit for his strengths as a receiver. The departure of Eddie Royal and suspension of Antonio Gates create room for Johnson to carve out a role. I probably have a mild preference for Marvin Jones here, but I’m hoping to get him at the next turn.
The only non-WR I considered here was the running back David Johnson of Arizona. He has gotten some good buzz in camp and would’ve served as something of a handcuff to Andre Ellington. Concerns about sharing the workload with Chris Johnson dimished my expectations enough to stick with the WR pick that I liked.
17.13 Marvin Jones – WR, CIN
As I had hoped, Marvin Jones was still available when this pick arrived. He was WR#24 in 2013 and then missed last season due to injury. I drafted him here as WR#58.
His prior success was largely driven by an abundance of TD catches, it is true, but that hasn’t stopped a suspended Martavis Bryant from being a top 100 pick. The upside with Jones is obvious, and the downside at this point is extremely minimal. This is one of my favorite picks of the draft.
18.02 Dan Herron – RB, IND
Time to buy a lottery ticket. As much as I like Frank Gore this year, he is also quite old by RB standards. Herron produced well last year down the stretch when injuries gave him the starting role. He’s part of an elite offense and is the clear backup. Herron ticks all the boxes of the lottery ticket checklist, so he gets to join my team. Cameron Artis-Payne was my other option. He’s in a much weaker offense, but Stewart is as injury-prone as they come, giving him improved opportunity.
19.13 Fletcher Cox – DL, PHI
Artis-Payne got taken at 19.10. Otherwise, he would’ve been the pick. The only other backup RB to really interest me is Damien Williams as the handcuff for Lamar Miller, and I’m quite confident I can get him later.
I had trouble finding a player I wanted to take here. DB would make sense, but I haven’t really done my flier DB research yet. Fletcher Cox is a big ADP dropper, but I also have a couple deep sleeper DLs who would also make me happy. I could take a LB4, as there are a handful of players that keep dropping. Kwon Alexander and Stephone Anthony both have significant upside.
I took Cox. I’ve always believed in his talent, and the possibility of a breakout is not negligible. His pedigree certainly exceeds my other DL sleepers. It helps that they will both likely go undrafted, allowing me to switch from Cox to them if they do well.
20.02 Mason Crosby – K, GB
The kickers have begun to leave the board. As I don’t have anything else in mind, I might as well get in at the early end of the run. Dan Bailey was probably my preference here, but Guru took him on the turn. Maybe I should’ve taken him instead of Cox at 19.13? Almost did. It’s really not a big deal.
Anyway, Crosby kicks for a great offense. His accuracy %s leave something to be desired, but other than the disaster of 2012, he’s routinely ranked in the top 10 at his position. Other considerations were Tucker, McManus, or taking [undrafted] in the 24th round.
21.13 Duke Ihenacho – DB, WAS
Produced well as the Broncos SS two years ago before the first of numerous injuries. He’s healthy for the moment and playing SS on what will likely be a very bad team. Sign me up!
22.02 Damien Williams – RB, MIA
Handcuff for Lamar Miller. He seems to be pretty established as the #2 in Miami. If that changes, he will be dropped.
23.13 Ron Parker – DB, KC
Parker had a fairly solid back half of 2014, and he is currently playing SS for the Chiefs. While Eric Berry continues to recover from cancer, Parker should offer stable production until something better presents itself on the waiver wire.
24.02 James Jones – WR, GB
Consider this pick a bet against Davante Adams. James Jones was had more yards as Green Bay’s WR3 in 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2013 than Adams did last year. I see a real possibility that Jones gets up to speed quickly establishes himself second in the pass-catching pecking order.
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| 157 | fugazi
ID: 327471223
Fri, Sep 18, 2015, 23:09
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8.03 McFadden, Darren DAL RB
I feel pretty good about this pick considering the uncertainty in the Dallas backfield. Sure He's injury prone but maybe the split carries will do him some good and this pick will pan out.
17.12 Winston, Jameis TBB QB
I don't expect Cam Newton like rookie numbers from Winston but it would be nice. Just taking a shot at the unknown here. I probobly should have drafted the other rookie but in the end I guess I chose Winston because Tampa has some pretty good targets.
18.03 Stills, Kenny MIA WR
Drafting Stills in hopes that he will be the long ball threat everybody is predicting. There were some tempting rookie WRs available but I never have much luck there so I went with Stills.
19.12 Green-Beckham, Dorial TEN WR
I read a lot of good things about Dorial but really have no clue to his ability, never seen him play. The Titans at this point have only four WRs on the roster so that helped me believe Dorial will see the field this season.
20.03 Austin, Tavon STL WR
I probobly should have drafted Austin two rounds ago. His punt and kick return duties definitely add to his appeal. Austin is a great deep threat and I feel pretty lucky to get him in the 20th round.
21.12 Williams, Andre NYG RB
Just taking a shot here. I keep reading Williams will be the starter by the end of the season. I don't know about that but its worth a shot this late in the draft.
22.03 Fleener, Coby IND TE
Fleener has Luck as a QB and that's the only reason I drafted him. Just have to wait and see if this pans out but I'm not expecting much. I put off my TE's too long in this draft and I'm sure I will be starting someone off the waiver wire before too long. Fleener has shown promise at times but Dwayne Allen will surely get the majority of the targets.
23.12 Carpenter, Dan BUF PK
Drafting Dan purely off of last years numbers.
24.03 Bolden, Brandon NEP RB
Drafting Bolden because he might start week one and I'm still not sure who my RB2 will be week one. Since I have Blount and he is suspended the first week It will either be Bolden or McFadden.
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