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0 Subject: RIFC AAA#1 recap thread

Posted by: wolfer
- [59259916] Tue, Sep 04, 2018, 20:16

RIFC AAA #1 Managers - You are each invited (although not required) to post your general reflections on the completed draft. Comments may be as detailed or as general as you wish. As a catalyst, free free to comment on any of the following:

1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

2. What were your favorite picks? Which do you wish you could do over?

3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

4. What surprised you most about the draft?

5. If you could start over, would you do anything differently?

Non-managers are also welcome to post general comments on the draft, and to raise questions.
1Jaydog
      ID: 337481614
      Wed, Sep 05, 2018, 08:56
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

Picking in the 8 slot, my plan was to get a RB in the first, and then best available for the first few rounds. I expected to wait on TE and QB, and also expected to wait longer on IDP's than I have in years past. I for the most part was successful. I'm happy with the mid-late round TE (Burton) and QB (Rivers and Goff) that I ended up with. I did end up jumping in earlier on ID's than planned, grabbing Bosa in the 5th, Bosa in the 7th, and Collins in the 10th, but in doing so, feel pretty good that I locked up top 1-2 players at each position.

2. What were your favorite picks? Which do you wish you could do over?

Other than the obvious (Barkley/Howard) my favorite picks are those that I think will out perform their draft spot. I think there's a very good chance that Julian Edelman (8) and Peyton Barber (9) do that. I'm also glad that I was able to nab a few guys that I had targeted, without overpaying too much. Burton(6), Rivers (12), and Godwin (17) I think will all be very productive players, and offered decent value where I was able to grab them.



3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

After every draft I seem to like everyone's team, but Holt's team seems to stand out. We had similar strategies, going RB/RB/WR/WR and waiting on QB and TE. He also grabbed several players that I had my eye on. In the second I took Howard over Mixon, in the 3rd I took Baldwin over Juju, and in the 4th I took Landry over Demaryius. We must have been picking from similar sheets! Big Ben was also a QB I had considered.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?

Not too much. There were a few individual picks that surprised me, and I thought that the top tier of QB's went earlier than expected (4 drafted by the end of the 3rd).

5. If you could start over, would you do anything differently?

Nothing really, but the season hasn't started yet. I'll need Wagner and Bosa to be studs at IDP to feel good about selecting them so early, and my lack of WR depth is a little concerning. If Edelman returns in week 5 and looks like the Edelman of old, I think I'll be in good shape. If he looks like a 32 year old coming off a major knee injury and PED suspension, I worry I'll struggle to find consistency at my WR3 spot. All in all though, I'm pretty happy and excited to start the season.
2artofmonk
      ID: 45435111
      Wed, Sep 05, 2018, 12:48
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?

I took the 12th spot with the banzi draft. I thought I would get Fournette or Hunt. I held up the draft sorry and took Cook and had regret immediately. I should have taken Beckham. My plan was to take a RB first and I should have changed my strategy. My plan was to take a WR in round 2. RB in 3. Wait on QB, TE and not wait too long on IDP like I have in the past.

2. What were your favorite picks? Which do you wish you could do over?

Collins in the 3rd. Maybe a little early, but I don't think I would have got him in the 4th. Corey Davis in the 5th, once again a little early, but I got my guy. Wentz in the 8th. Allison WR in the 17th could be a the steal of the draft. Alfred Morris in the 18th as a starting RB. Don't get me wrong not expecting huge things, but nice value.

I already mentioned not drafting Cook so early-coming off the knee injury. I am also a little worried about Greg Olsen. He is getting old and I went against my Strategy. I wish I would have got a DE earlier as well.

3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?

Holt, Gurudan and Jaydog. Holt-Gurley, Mxon, Juju, thomas and preety solid all around. Guruda-Brady, Freeman, Hunt, fitz, Wr are a little thin. Jaydog-barkely, Barber, howard, Baldwin, edelman, bosa, wagner, but he needs rivers or goff to produce.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?
Watson at the start of the 3rd. pick 29. Ertz at 50. I guess QB and TE went earlier than I thought.

5. If you could start over, would you do anything differently?

Cook for Beckham and Thomas for Freeman or maybe go WR-WR-RB. I wish I would have drafted Rudolph, Goodwin, Brees. Mack also turned into a steal.
3twilson
      ID: 138241911
      Thu, Sep 20, 2018, 18:10
1. What was your plan/strategy entering the draft? Were you able to execute as you had planned?
Once I chose my draft slot, my plan was to lead off with a top RB and then follow the value wherever it went. I did have a few particular goals based on this yearís player pool and historical RIFC and AAA trends:

ē QB: Wait until really late. I saw about 16 guys I would be comfortable with as my QB1. Honestly, if I was sure he would start the whole year, I could get by with pairing Tyrod Taylor and one of Winston/Bortles/Dalton.
ē TE: Ideally, get Gronk in the 2nd. If not, Olsen/Engram at the 4/5 turn, Jordan Reed at the 8/9 turn, or Njoku/Doyle at the 10/11 turn.
ē WR: Have some patience. Take value when it is there, but donít force it. There are middle and late WRs I like.
ē IDP: This is probably the most important one. Be more patient than I was last year, especially early. The biggest difference between AAA and the big league in RIFC is IDPs. They get drafted later and there are more bargains to be found, both in the late rounds and the free agent pool. Thereís no need to invest 3rd, 4th and 6th round picks on defense like I did last year, as justified as it may be in other circumstances. Also, drafting backup IDPs is probably not the best use of roster space.
ē RB: Get two good ones or three decent ones before the well is completely dry. Iím willing to count on finding one RB2 midseason, but Iíd prefer not to be desperate before then. The 1RB/4WR structure that kicks in week 4 really takes the pressure off.

Did I execute? Sort of. I did really well with my IDPs. For much less draft capital, I put together a lineup of similar studliness. Also, I didnít even both to draft my seventh starter, which is remarkable restraint for me. I knew I would have a roster spot once I put Foreman on IR, and there were plenty of FAs I liked.
I went a little overboard on WRs early. Three in the first five rounds was a bit much, even if they all are talented players. I didnít do too badly after that.

I wish I had taken another viable RB somewhere in rounds 6-9. It would strengthen my RB depth without hurting me much elsewhere. The same is true for TE. I failed to follow my draft plan at TE, missing on all six of my targets despite having three of them fall to my pre-draft expected cost. Technically I didnít follow my plan at QB, but Newton in the late 6th matches the philosophy. I waited until value presented itself; it was just in an unexpected location.

Overall, I am very happy with my draft and consider myself among the favorites for promotion.

2. What were your favorite picks? Which do you wish you could do over?
My favorite picks immediately post-draft were probably Thielen, Lynch, Chandler Jones, Lavonte David, and John Brown. They were all pretty much no brainers. Thielen and David in particular I almost drafted 1-2 rounds before I actually got them.

The first pick I would do over is my draft slot. Dropping back one or two more picks in the 1st round would have netted me Gronkowski or Tyreek Hill in the 2nd, which is surely worth more than any potential negative impact it wouldíve had in the middle and late odd rounds. Other than that, I think that I wouldíve been in better shape with Kelce over Evans in the 2nd or Cohen/Barber over Crowder in the 9th. My WR corps would still be solid. Kelce wouldíve given me one more stud in my starting lineup, while RB3 would have been the preferred form of depth.

Two weeks into the season, my perspective has changed somewhat. David Johnsonís slow start has heightened both the downside and upside of slots 4 and 5, depending on whether I had still ended up drafting James Conner late. Evans has been better than I expected, but so has Kelce. My concerns about Cohen were overblown, so he will be a steal at slot. When you then compare him to the disappointing Crowder, it becomes a bad pick by me.

My favorite picks remain favorites, with James Conner easily added in. Iíve also been pleasantly surprised by George Kittle, who looks like what I was expecting to get from Njoku.

3. Looking over all of the teams, which ones do you like the most (other than your own)?
Iím going to do this purely based on preseason projections. It wouldnít be fair to judge a team based on injury luck in the first couple weeks. I will do my best to avoid letting early season performance bias my answers, but some leakage is inevitable.

Holtís team is the spitting image of my pre-draft plan. Two top RBs but no others until the 13th round, followed immediately by three good WRs. Reed in the 8th, and next to last among all owners to draft his QB1. A targeted approach to IDP with strength at LB, a pair of likely DL1s, and some dart throws at safety that can be quickly replaced if appropriate. I donít love his late WR depth, but thatís about it. If you forced me to swap teams with him, Iíd only be mildly upset.

Jaydog also has a very good team. I wouldíve gone in a different direction at #8, but there is talent up and down his lineup. He paired Rivers and Goff for basically no cost and will probably outperform almost half the league at QB. My primary quibble is too much injury and suspension risk. There are major question marks around three of his top 8 picks.

At the next tier, Tree and has a complete team capable of solid production on both offense and defense. I donít like his QB pair, especially at cost. RB2 is questionable, but he has enough bodies to make it work. Everything else looks quite good. I would have wolfer in the same category, but the McKinnon injury leaves him without a workhorse RB.

Otherwise, the other offenses I like are saddled with defenses that donít measure up. With a handful of good FA pickups, they can be well positioned to win it all.

4. What surprised you most about the draft?
If you read my rationales, you wonít be surprised to hear me say the multi-round IDP delay compared to the other RIFC drafts. Points are points, wherever they come from on the roster. Otherwise itís just the usual individual weird reaches.

5. If you could start over, would you do anything differently?
As I said in my answer to question 2, draft slot 4 or 5 and take David Johnson followed by Gronkowski or Hill. If you allow me the perspective of watching the first two weeks play out, change that to Kamara and Hill/Gronk. Then switch Crowder to Cohen and Iím in business. But really, this was a draft that felt mostly good throughout. Iím really hoping that this team will get me back to the top level after my close miss last year.
4Jaydog
      ID: 337481614
      Fri, Sep 28, 2018, 11:29
Oof... can I have a redo on my recap? I really liked my draft, but 3 of my top 8 picks haven't contributed at all this season. Baldwin had some injury concerns when I drafted him, but suited up in week 1, to take a goose egg and leave the game early. The only word on Bosa was that he was taking it easy in the preseason to ensure he went into week 1 healthy, there was not a single report that indicated his week 1 was at risk, and now I'm hearing he could miss 6-8 weeks... ughh. I was okay with Edelman's suspension at the time, but not on top of Baldwin/Bosa...

And to make things worse... Goff's 39 point explosion helped nothing but my bench last night...
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