Posted by: culdeus
- [109401920] Wed, Nov 02, 2005, 19:11
Preseason Rank
PreRank
#
Still-on
LDW8
#
Actual
#
DD
culd
Wiggs
2476
4
1094
1190
11
1847
6
Good
5-8
Y
Hubble
2304
11
1297
1214
9
1907
4
Bad
12-14
X
cehp
2443
5
1302
1280
5
1627
12
Bad
9-11
Y
fugazi
2161
14
1160
1269
6
1830
7
Bad
12-14
X
me
2596
1
1178
1389
1
1950
2
Perfect
1-4
Y
THK
2509
2
1218
1188
12
1540
14
V Bad
1-4
X
mjd
2306
10
921
1239
8
1674
10
Perfect
12-14
Y
holt
2304
12
812
1106
14
1573
13
Perfect
5-8
X
tree
2387
8
1125
1321
3
1911
3
So So
1-4
Y
tb
2417
6
1187
1308
4
1860
5
Perfect
5-8
Y
toral
2464
3
1047
1211
10
1815
8
So So
1-4
X
bmd
2294
13
1173
1243
7
1771
9
Good
9-11
Y
mikev
2409
7
1209
1348
2
2045
1
Bad
5-8
X
petern
2345
9
940
1111
13
1658
11
Good
9-11
Y
1
culdeus
ID: 109401920 Wed, Nov 02, 2005, 19:15
I got bored and 5keyed in the teams into lineup dominator to see how things were going. With last 2 getting in on points this is really a points league more or less. First column is DD in the preseason, second is who was left from your drafted teams, next column is what LD thinks you have left. And then you have actual points from AOL.
Next set is comparing how DD and I did projecting to this point.
Comments in next post.
2
culdeus
ID: 109401920 Wed, Nov 02, 2005, 19:22
What was missed by projections?
THK – Clearly the loss of a RB1 in a 14 person league will just kill you. Not having his backup was pretty bad you gotta handcuff in leagues like this. Beyond that the WR production has been nill beyond TO. Seems hung up on riding crappy Jax/Min TeamD to the ground.
Hubble – Able to get good value out of Terry Glenn and other late WRs. IDP drafting worked out as well. Able to overcome the bust of Trent Green with some decent RB2 plugins.
CEHP – Not sure what happened here. Great RB1/2 combo and decent WRs. I’d like to find out what the major malfunction has been. Lack of a decent QB has to hurt as well as counting on PR/KR as IDP might not be working?!? Suffered injury to Andre Johnson early which had to hurt as much as lack of production when healthy. Anyone? What’s even more strange is the players kept from the draft are still rated high.
Fugazi – Wellll, lookee here. Clearly having FWP the first weeks is what has landed him here along with the Joey Galloway pick two of the steals of the early part of the year. Still hanging on to some marginal IDPs after dumping some busts early.
Mike V – Having three top WRs and top TE by a mile can’t hurt along with the hot Bledsoe. Choppy RBs or no this team outputs solid points up and down. Chicago also a steal for a team D.
How are the grades shaping up?
The dominator seemed to be in the ballpark on 8 of 14 teams and if you discount for injuries 9 of 14.
I did fairly well projecting ranges and hitting in the range of 7 of 14. and getting one or two off on two more. Not so bad I would say considering how much one or two breakout or busts can really change up the rankings. I’ve got 6 of 8 playoff teams right now predicted right.
I think I did slightly better because I was able to take a step back and see what teams would have issues with whether it was byes or depth. I was able to discount Wiggs accordingly and CEHP for those reasons correctly. What’s really amazing about this was the ability to nail the underperformance of CEHP based on my methodology and had I stuck with it I should have put Fugazi up at least one tier as he qualified for several criteria.
Playoff performance is pretty hard to project. So much depends on matchups and timing. With a 14 team system perhaps a WCOFF like format could be enacted next year with playoff points + average points being the playoff format. Or not.
Have good sports gentlemen.
3
Hubble
ID: 0992417 Thu, Nov 03, 2005, 08:53
Thanks again Culdeus... only thing about my Glenn pick is that he was on my bench for his 2 20+ nights :(
Rest is true, IDP is always underestimated, 35 pts/week in average from my idps is pretty sweet...
And Green was frustrating, but i'm hanging to him since he is a slow starter... maybe he will be crazy during playoff!
anyway cheers all
4
culdeus
ID: 71032112 Thu, Nov 03, 2005, 09:08
Just to be clear the LDW8 is what it projects for the roster thru the end of the year if starting from this point.