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Subject: RIFC 2010 Rationales #1-5
Posted by: judy
- Leader [7771722] Mon, Aug 23, 2010, 22:22
Time for the first set of rationales.
First, discuss your choice of draft slot.
Remember not to mention anyone not yet drafted.
Give us something good to read!
Example below... |
| 1 | judy
Leader
ID: 7771722
Mon, Aug 23, 2010, 22:28
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I chose the ninth slot in the draft because it was closest to the middle and would
seem to be least affected by the Bonzaii reversal. I also had the options for 4, 5, 11 and
12, but picked 9. I do not like being so near the ends. Of course then TD does his draft
position analysis and #9 is the worst spot!
1.09 Drew Brees QB NOLA
I decided to look at the best possibility for points overall. I have never taken a QB this
early and was a bit scared to do so. My choice was between Rodgers and Brees and
although some sites give credence to Rodgers’ running for TD abilities, I think that Brees
has far more passing target options (whom I cannot name at this point). As the other RIFC
drafts unfold, Manning, Brees and Rodgers were all gone by either the first round or pick
2.03 (17th overall) so I do not feel so bad. It was truly a shock to see so many QB not
named B**** go so early. There is clearly a shift in fantasyland going on.
2.06 DeSean Jackson WR PHL
I cannot tell you how hard I was HOPING that DJax would get to me. He had to get past a
bunch of people (mjd, TD, SLow, Toral, Holt) who know I love my Iggles -- not to mention
the fact that DJax is a pretty good player. I am expecting DJax and Kolb to hook up early
and often in the new young Iggles offense. I am not sure yet if he will be returning PK, but
his end arounds will count for something! I was really HAPPY -- no, THRILLED is a better
word -- to get him.
I am hoping the end arounds and direct snaps will make up for the chance that he might
not return PK -- a possibility the papers here have mentioned. He is a dangerous little guy!
DJax is going high in RIFC (2.05) and AAA#1 (2.06). I was thrilled he "fell" to me at (also)
2.06. I was sure someone who knew I loved Iggles would snatch him away! His ranking is
generally in the top 25 overall -- so 2nd round is not unexpected. And you knew I had to
have an Iggle and he could be the best one.
3.06 Pierre Thomas RB NOLA
It was time for a RB and there were lots bunched together. I had a Q of Thomas, Benson,
Charles, Best. McCoy. I kept changing the order around among the top 3 and would have
been happy with any of them. I was hoping Best might last a bit longer for another round,
but he was snatched up by taxman 4 picks later. Although I do love my Iggles, Shady
McCoy is not yet W******, and I do not trust Reid to use Shady as he could for my fantasy
benefit. Coldwater snatched Shady two picks later, so my original list was a clearly good
one with lots of us thinking on the same page! I will cheer for Shady to be successful
unless I am playing Coldwater’s team!
OK, why Thomas? Well he is the primary back in NOLA Thanks to injury of the RB2, he
catches passes, can scat run well and is in a high powered offense that should have lots of
chances to put points on the board. He came into his own last year and one site predicted
that this would be his “break out year”. My only concern, of course, will be week 10 when
he and Brees are on a bye, so I will need to address that later in the draft.
4.06 Jermichael Finley TE GBP
I wanted to add a quality receiver here and really did want Finley. The fact that he is a TE is
even better -- takes care of THAT category. He is a big kid (6’5”/247), strong and very
useful near the goal lines. Rodgers trusts him and seems to like to throw to him. In at
least two draft kits, he was rated the #2 TE. I read that GB plans to use him in the slot this
year as well -- so that should increase his targets even more. I was surprised he fell to me
-- the more well knowns (Gates (3.14), Clark (4.01), Davis (4.03) went first -- but I did not
want them anyway…) I do think he has the potential to outplay all of them, except maybe
Clark with Manning at the helm there. Time will tell.
One small issue is that his bye is the same as the NOLA guys I have, so I definitely need to
plan carefully for an offense that week (10). I decided his upside was too valuable to worry
about that right now...
Pause -- Now I have one of each of the offensive threats. I am not sure where I am going
next -- stay tuned!!!
5.09 Arian Foster RB HOU
It was time to start to complete the offensive lineup. I needed an RB -- preferably one
w/o an 8/10 bye week! The only ones left are RBBC ones, so I had to choose the one RBBC
that I thought might get more carries. I also wanted someone on a good team. Foster
was a sleeper in several places I read about. He had a strong finish last year and with the
rookie Tate out for the season and Slaton’s fumblitis, he should get a fair number of
carries, and he can also catch the ball. He was ranked either close to or a couple spots
above the guys from Dallas and NYG...
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| 2 | Toral
ID: 377501519
Tue, Aug 24, 2010, 06:01
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0.06 #13 position
Even before the new draft system was adopted, I was seriously considering taking as low a position as possible. I saw a top pair of players, and then another tier of 3, but wasn’t particularly enamoured of owning any of them. No particular reason I can explain.
With the adoption of the Bonzai draft taking the lowest available position became a no-brainer. Holt had taken #14 before I picked so that left me with #13. Picking before holt will be great; picking after him will be lousy.
One of the different things about this year is that picking 13th I will be able to get one of the top three quarterbacks. I’ve never had one of the top 3 quarterbacks before. Basically if 2 of them are gone before I pick, I will take the 3rd (undoubtedly Manning, who hasn’t been going in the 1st round anywhere) to ensure that holt doesn’t snatch him from me; if 0 or 1 QBs have been taken I will take the best available RB or WR in the 1st round – most likely a WR, as I don’t expect any really solid RBs to be available there.
1.13 Randy Moss, WR, NE
My plan of picking a QB in the first round went down amazingly quickly. By 1.09 it was all over. Looking the board over Friday night my hope was to get Rashard Mendenhall. A reasonable sort of workhorse back for the first round. Just had to hope TD wanted someone else. Saturday morning he picked – no luck there either.
Moss seemed like the most reasonable selection available. He’s the #2 WR in most rankings. He’s not the Moss he used to be, and his high position depends a lot of the Patriots forcing the ball a lot to him in the red zone. Reports out of camp are good about both his health and his attitude.
2.02 DeAngelo Williams, RB, Car
I was hoping for Ryan Mathews here, who actually has a RB position all to himself. Holt grabbed him, making it twice already someone has been snatched with malice aforethought right in front of me (counting holt’s two picks on the turn as one, since they could have gone in either order).
Williams would look great here, except for the small complication that he may not be the best running back on his own team. Yet while Jonathan Stewart’s playing time has to be a worry, Williams should hold his previous year’s’ proportion of the work. He’s had a YPC avg over 5 each of the last 3 years and has 27 TDs in his last 29 games. His ankle problems of last year seem totally cleaned up as of the workouts in May. I’ll take him as an RB1.
3.02 Brandon Marshall, WR, Mi [RIBC – 2.05; AAA#1 2.12]
This pick was my haul from the Bonzai draft, so I am hoping for a lot here. I’ll sure take him over Robert Meachem, who was the selection in what would have been my third round slot under the old draft system. The Dolphins really opened up their passing game late last year, and I believe they’ll try to keep it up this year to give [undrafted player] his test. [Undrafted player] doesn’t have to be good on balance for him to rack up some big stats with Marshall; a fourth straight 100-catch season is quite possible. Marshall has the greediness for the ball that fantasy football managers have to love. Fantasy Football Index notes his quote from last year after he caught an NFL record 21 balls in a loss: “I’d definitely give up a couple of those balls for a win.” Not all of them, or ten of them, just “a couple”. Maybe 3 if he were feeling generous.
The second run on QBs from 2.12 to 3.01 stripped completely the second tier of QBs, so I didn’t consider participating at the end of it. I considered the 3 running backs who were taken with the next three picks here, but am not confident enough in them, although any or all could rush for 1,000 yards. I have my own 1,000 yard rusher who I’m crossing my fingers will last to round 4.
As a Bill fan, I now have 2 top players (Moss and Marshall) I will be rooting against, and 3 who I didn’t really want on my time at the start of the draft. Marshall brought his attitude with him to Miami, already punting away balls he drops in practice.
Marshall’s bye week is the same as Moss’s but I have become converted to the view that for your key talent, duplicative bye weeks are unimportant and should be ignored.
4.02 C. J. Spiller, RB, Buf
This may be my make-or-break selection. Spiller is the most talented rookie running back; Ryan Mathews however is going to a much better team with a much better line and has a job all to himself. Yet there is a long history of the more talented back outperforming the back with the good situation, from Barry Sanders versus Tim Worley to Marshall Faulk versus Greg Hill to [undrafted player] versus Michael Bennett. Plus there is Spiller’s kick returning ability to consider. He set an NCAA record for kickoff returns for TDs. And he can catch the ball, better than anyone on the roster except [undrafted player]. I believe that it’s even odds between him and Mathews as to who will have more offensive yards – that’s not counting returns.
Complicating things are Spiller’s competition not only with [undrafted player] and [undrafted player] at RB, but with a couple of other good kick returners on the roster. But I believe Spiller will prevail and be the Bills’ #1 offensive weapon from early on in the season. And despite all their problems, the Bills rushed for more yards than the Chargers last year.
Spiller was drafted a full round later in RIFC, but I was somewhat reassured when TD noted that he had Spiller lined up for his pick right after me.
5.13 Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC [RIFC 4.08]
Setting my queue I figured to look for one WR/TE and one RB in picks 5 and 6. As holt seemed to need WR/TEs more than RBs, I figured I’d take the receiver first. The best on the board seemed to be Bowe, Hines Ward (6.01) and Tony Gonzalez (6.05). I really like Ward this year, but I figure having my 3 top WRs all with byes in the same week would be a bit much. Charlie Weis should be able to get the maximum out of [undrafted player]. On the other side, will [undrafted player] steal his balls or stop him from being doubled? We’ll find out I guess. I’ll take an optimistic projection of 1,000 yards and 7 TDs.
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| 3 | russelldl
ID: 333242520
Tue, Aug 24, 2010, 12:40
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0.02 RIFC Bound #2position
Given the bonzai system, I chose the second pick for a few reasons. First, I still think that the top picks have an advantage, although the reversal of the 3rd round minimizes it. It also means that if you select a high pick , you must insure that it pays off. Therefore, I felt that only 2 players warranted a pick that high.
1.02 RIFC bound- Adrian Peterson RB MIN
I felt that I would be happy with either Johnson or Peterson so I took the second pick and used it to select Peterson, the one that was left. I agree that over the last few years the advantages of having a stud RB have dwindled. But I think it’s the lack of stud RBs that has gone south, not a change in the advantage. I think having either Johnson or Peterson gives a great edge and I’ve basically bet my season on it.
2.13 RIFC Bound- Tom Brady QB NE
My goal was to target the top 5 QBS who I felt were the most likely to put up stats in the 4000yard/30TD ballpark. I felt there were about 3 other QBs in the next tier who have a good shot at those numbers also but I just wasn’t sold on them. I was surprised that only Brady and Romo were still left at the time of my pick and I went with Brady. I liked how he looked in his last preseason game going 10-12 hitting 5 receivers. Even if the receiving corps is sub par compared to years past, Brady and the NE offense will get their numbers. (I hope)
3.13 RIFC Bound- Michael Crabtree WR SF
At this point I didn’t think there was a solid #1 WR left without some question marks. I thought about Steve Smith (car) but given their QB situation and his arm keeping him out of the pre season I didn’t like it. I also thought about Sydney Rice but given his current injury I passed on him also. I think Crabtree will have some limitations given the conservative offense and the looks that Davis will get In the redzone, but I expect consistent numbers every week. Hopefully my later picks will also help solidify my WR corps.
4.13 RIFC Bound-Robert Meachem WR NO
As I stated in my third round rationale, I needed to solidify the WR position. I like Meachem and I like the NO offense. I have some concern about his toe and of course the upside is minimal when you know that Brees is going to spread the ball out. But again, I felt like I could get consistent production and a decent chance at a TD every week.
5.02 RIFC Bound- Brandon Jacobs RB NYG
Coming into the 4th round the two players I liked most were Jacobs and Forte. Unfortunately I would have to keep one on the bench and I didn’t want to take that approach. So I went WR in the 4th round and assumed loki wouldn’t snatch up both guys on the turn, since he already had a RB himself. He did take Forte which left me with Jacobs. I like Jacob’s floor. Even if he turns out to be a complete disaster he’ll still likely get a ton of goal line looks and could still be a double digit touchdown guy. Obviously I’m hoping he returns to his 2008 form and edges out Bradshaw for the majority of carries.
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| 4 | Nerfherders
ID: 347242717
Tue, Aug 24, 2010, 13:01
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5th slot, pick #3
My plan was to take the 14th slot, just to see how it worked, but when Holt took it ahead of me, I decided on the 3rd slot. I saw three RB at the top, all about equal, and taking the 3rd slot left me with an easy decision.
1.03 Maurice Jones-Drew, RB JAC
MJD was the easy choice here after Johnson and Peterson were off the board. I would have happily had any of the three as I see them very similar. I think MJD is a little more consistent from week to week, but isn't as much of a home-run hitter.
2.12 Matt Schaub, QB HOU
A year ago I waited until the 10th round to pick a QB, but it is evident now this is the era of the passer, and I needed to have a top-5 QB. I didn't see much difference between Schaub, Brady, Romo, or Rivers, but I hate Romo and Brady, and I like Schaub just a little bit better than Rivers for reasons I can't fully explain.
3.12 Ronnie Brown, RB MIA
This is a pick that makes me nervous because I wonder what everyone else sees that I am not. Getting Brown in the 3rd round seems like a steal to me. He is the engine that drives the Dolphins' offense. He can run, catch, and even pass. Yes he's been injured a couple times over the last few years, but he seems healthy now and as a 2nd RB, should be great. I would add that if I had had 3.03, I might have taken Brown there too.
4.12 Wes Welker, WR NE
This was a tough decision to make. I needed a WR here, and coming towards my pick I had decided on the 'other' Steve Smith. But then he was taken right before me, so I had to go back to the drawing board. I think Welker is the best of what WR were left, but his knee injury is a concern. I am not sure he can get it done for an entire season. But his talent is undeniable and he was arguably the best WR in the game last year - the ultimate possession receiver.
5.03 Patrick Willis, LB SF
Willis is the best IDP in the NFL, without question. Looking at his points compared to all other players available, offense and defense, there was no question about taking him. I was targeting Willis for this pick all along, and thankful he was still there. Willis is like having 10 pts in your pocket every week.
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| 5 | Footwedge
ID: 417422413
Tue, Aug 24, 2010, 14:43
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6th slot pick #1
Didn't realize the 3rd round twist or might have went later. I basically had 6 RB I liked in the first round and decided to take who was left for me. I also wanted a mid round pick so I wouldn't get lost in too many runs.
1.06 Gore, Frank SFO RB
Really like Gore. I think he has potential to be a top three back and is a little undervalued. Staying healthy is my only concern, otherwise super value. Got who I wanted without having to move up and over pay.
2.09 Grant, Ryan GBP RB
Was thinking of a top WR here but after the run on wide outs. I didn't see anyone I liked as a 2nd round pick. I've heard a lot of good reports on Grant's condition and feel this will give me 2 strong RB and save having to try and draft 6-7 to handle by committee.
3.09 Boldin, Anquan BAL WR
Definately wanted a strong WR and I think his yards after the catch capabilites will serve well in this ofense.
4.09 Harvin, Percy MIN WR
I know this might be early and a high risk based on health but I also remember that he has played with migranes all of his life so I don't see it affecting him anymore than it already has. Also with combined return yards, rushes and Favre I think he will be a solid performer.
5.06 Beason, Jon CAR LB
With all of the top QB's gone and the fact that I'm real happy with my RB's and WR's already under contract I decided to go for a defensive stud. Willis was who I targeted here but I don't see Beason much behind stat wise. Plus the reports I read say he is adapting quickly to weak side backer and that is usually the best position for tackles so I don't expect stats to decrease.
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| 6 | dpr
ID: 40781923
Tue, Aug 24, 2010, 17:56
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Draft Slot
I was only choosing between the 5th and the 11th slot so it wasn't too complicated. I figured there was a dropoff after the 4th pick so it made sentence to draft later and take advantage of the 3rr
Michael Turner
When I looked at my draft slot I realized that I had a strong top 8 and then a block of players I was iffy on. I didn't want to go QB so was targeting moss and williams neither who excited me too much. Luckily for me everyone else was very high on Qbs so I got my 7th rated player.
Wayne
Here I was looking to see if the guys I said I was targeting in the previous round would drop in addition to mathews and afew WRs. i would prefer WR to keep my options available in later rounds. In the end it was Wayne or Fitzgerald, neither who excited me much. I chose Wayne, fearing the effect that Leinart could have on Fitz.
Benson
I didnt have my mind set on any position here and as happens in the early rounds saw my top ranked players disapear in the picks prior to me. In the end it was Benson vs Charles vs Thomas and I chose the player whose role was the least questioned.
Steve Smith (car)
I was excited to have Smith fall to me. I had him at the top of my queue for several of the picks before me. My next player would have been the other steve smith. I think Smith can provide me with good value here and sets my team up nicely with 2RB and 2WR
***All of my first 4 picks were the lowest these players went in the 4 RIFC drafts***
Cutler
This is my first pick where I didnt feel that I got the best value. I was targeted Arian Foster here and was real disapointed to see him disapear right before me. With QBs going off the board so fast it was act now or be stuck with real weak QB. last year in AA I kept waiting and was stuck with Hasslebeck(as the 20+ QB off the board) as my starter with no depth. I didnt want to see that happen again. The final decision was Cutler versus Bowe and who I thought was more likely to make it back to me. With 2 of the 3 people needing a QB (and selecting one) I figured Cutler was not going to make it. Bowe was selected 2 picks later...
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| 7 | loki
SuperDude
ID: 4211201420
Tue, Aug 24, 2010, 19:08
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Draft Pick-I thought that the best pick was #14
with #13
a close second. However the number one pick is a
premium in any type of draft. I was surprised that it was
still available when I chose at #9, and I happy to be able
to get it.
1.01 Chris Johnson, RB Tenn-No rationale
necessary, a no
brainer.
2.14 Tony Romo, QB, Dal-In every other RIBC
AAA draft in
which I have participated I always went RB RB. There were
no running backs left that were either worthy of a 2nd
round pick or whom would not be a part of a RBBC. All of
my 1st tier WRs were taken so the best choice was a QB, I
wanted either Brady first or Romo, but thought that I
would get Shaub. However Nerf picked Schaub so I chose
Romo.
Hopefully His offensive line will be intact when the season
begins.
3.14 Antonio Gates, WR With this pick I wanted
to pick a
RB, but again there were none that were terrific. In past
seasons I always punted the TE end position picking it at
the end of the draft. This time Gates was the best player
on the board so I went with him.
4.14 Matt Forte, RB, Chi-I can still picture
replays of
Forte’s big runs from his rookie season. He may have not
been the best RB left, but he has the potential for a
breakout season.
5.01 Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG-It was good to
get back to
the first pick after having the 14th pick for the last 2
rounds. I had my starting RBs, QB and TE and used this
round to fill the last offensive position, WR. I liked Nicks
the best among the remaing WRs.
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| 8 | TD
Leader
ID: 036331011
Wed, Aug 25, 2010, 22:51
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12th Draft slot
My plan was to take one of the later slots if available. I feel picking early in rounds 2-4 is more of an advantage than having one of the top picks in the first round. More often than not, one or more of the top 3-4 picks ends up being a bust.
1.12 Rashard Mendenhall, RB PIT
Mendenhall emerged as the Steelers top RB last year. With Willie Parker gone, and the Steelers emphasizing more of a running game, I expect his stats to improve.
2.03 Calvin Johnson, WR DET
Calvin Johnson is probably the most talented receiver in the NFL. With the addition of Jahvid Best, Tony Scheffler, and Nate Burleson, the Lions have more offensive options this season, so Johnson will see less double and triple team coverage. I also expect QB Stafford to be more productive in his 2nd season.
3.03 Marques Colston, WR NOS
I expect Colston to remain the Saints top receiver this season. He has great hands and size and has improved his after the catch production. Even though Brees spreads the ball around, I feel the Saints pass the ball enough that Colston will get 1200 yards and score 10 TDs this season. I was hoping to get one of the QBs that went in picks 2.12-3.01 with this pick. I think there is a big dropoff in QB talent after that group, so I went with a WR.
4.03 Vernon Davis, TE SF
I still didn't think any QBs were worth picking here. There were several RBs I thought I could get later as a 2nd RB. I thought most of the top TEs would be gone by the time I picked next, so I chose the top TE left. Davis had a breakout season last year. While I don't expect as may TD's as last season, I do expect him to be a frequent target for Alex Smith and to be a top tier fantasy TE. I really wanted RB C.J Spiller with this pick, but he went at 4.02.
5.12 Matt Ryan, QB ATL
The next tier of QBs were starting to be drafted, so I decided to get one here. I expect Ryan to improve in his 3rd season. I think he struggled some last season because of his toe injury and having a weaker running game. Having Turner back healthy should help.
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| 9 | Taxman
ID: 53382122
Thu, Aug 26, 2010, 11:58
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Draft slot #5 No choice having drawn the black bean (14th position to select draft slot).
1.05 Peyton Manning, QB, IND With Pick 5, I would not have another selection for 19 picks (24th pick: 2.10) and then would be like everyone else, having a 14 pick gap for round 3 (38th) and round 4 (52nd). I correctly surmised that by the time the draft reached 2.10, the top 3 QBs and the top 10 RBS would be gone. Trying to maximize points out of my first 4 picks, I decided to take a QB which had a bigger value drop than did RB. My choices were Brees, Rodgers and Manning. The bottom line came down to rating each team’s wide receiver, TE and RB depth chart. The colts are 4 deep at WR, have two solid RB and one of league’s top TE giving Manning the edge, despite has gray hair and lack of mobility.
2.10 Greg Jennings, WR, GB After 22 picks, 12 RB had come off the board and I was hoping that Ryan Grant would fall to me. Nope, footwedge ended that thinking. Best remaining value still on the board was at WR. Remaining RB were in by-committee rotations or didn’t provide needed confidence of producing weekly. Rather than chose a RBBC, I took the value pick, a legit #1 WR, who is the #1 receiving option for an explosive offense. Jennings should provide consistent double digit point production on a weekly basis.
3.10 Jahvid Best, RB, DET Time to start collecting viable RBs. Best is smallish, speedy and slated to be the primary tailback at Detroit. The plusses: Great balance and receiver without competition during pre-season and a threat to score each time he hits open space. The negatives: 5’10”, 200 lbs, a rookie with a history of concussion. I made this pick betting on the come. If Detroit ramps its offense up this season, it’s a great pick, health willing.
4.10 Jason Witten, TE, DAL Not much discussion here. Already 4 TE’s have come off the board and after Witten (28 yrs old) I felt there was a serious drop in talent, not withstanding Celek (new QB) and Gonzalez (age). Witten should continue to receive most targets from Romo and with a 75% catch/target ratio he will again produce 1000 yards receiving. I need for 2009 to be an outlier as Witten produced only 2 TDs. A more realistic production for 2010 s/b 6 TDs.
5.05 Marion Barber, RB, DAL Much discussion in Dallas papers and worries by me that Felix Jones could supplant Barber as #1 back in Dallas (both of whom are still on the board). Barber played with an injured leg for 3/4ths of 2009 accounting for much of his 2009 drop off. Even if Jones gets more touches this year, Barber will be the primary Red Zone back and that should make him more valuable over the season. Biggest concern is the Dallas offensive line reshuffling players and drop in talent level, age and non-existent depth which may be the Achilles heel for all Dallas runners this season.
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| 10 | mjd
Leader
ID: 501381415
Thu, Aug 26, 2010, 15:20
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Draft pick selection: Chose the 8th pick for 2 reasons. This
was one of two slots with the least amount of change from
our previously used conventional serpentine draft, as I’m not
too familiar with the Bonzai style drafting that we’re trying out
for the first time. It’s supposed to even things out for the
lower end of the draft, but we shall see. Also, I generally
prefer to draft as close to the middle as possible since as the
draft moves up and down, I can better gauge if a certain
player might be available my next pick by having about an
equal number of teams above and below me.
1.08 Andre Johnson, WR, HOU
I could have chose 1st, 4th, or 5th, to get a top tier stud RB,
but while that can be nice, it does come with some inherent
risk, as at least one of these guys will likely fail to live up to
their expectations. It was pretty easy to gauge whom the first
4 or 5 picks would be, and my drafting strategy would be
governed by which player might fall through the cracks,
according to my rankings. Picking 8th, IMO, had the best
chance to achieve that goal, but also give the managers
picking before me ample time to allow the slippage to occur,
while not leaving said player on the board too long. I was
pleased with the result. Whether this plan pans out is a long
way off from evaluating, but I was more than happy to take
the #1 ranked WR. I doubt that I would have taken Payton
Manning with this pick, but I would have been satisfied with
either QB taken before or after me. Pretty interesting how
these drafts have evolved over the past few years, from an
almost mandatory RB-RB 1, 2 round picks to WRs and QBs
becoming 1st rounder’s, as most NFL teams have changed to
a RBBC approach. I won’t predict any stat projections for AJ,
but he is the #1 WR on a team that utilizes a prolific passing
game with a very good QB. He’s also been a stud WR with over
1500 yards receiving the last 2 seasons. I’ll be elated with
more of the same this year.
2.07 Miles Austin, WR, DAL
Austin was the 5th of 5 WR taken in a mini WR run in round
2. I would have been happy with any of them. Second year in
a row I’ve gone WR-WR. While I failed to advance last year, I
still made the playoffs and prequalified for another year in
AAA. And I’d much prefer a second higher ranked WR, than a
lower tiered RB. Had I known there’d be 4 QBs taken before
my next pick, I may have chosen that road, but I’m happy with
this pick. After limited playing time in the first quarter of the
season, Austin burst onto fantasy relevancy with a 10 for 250
yards and 2 TD performances in Week 5. He didn't look back
either, finishing right near the top as best fantasy WR of '09.
Time will tell if he’s a one-year wonder or a rising star. Given
the opportunity as the #1 WR in the high powered Dallas
offense, I’m hedging on the latter.
3.07 Jonathan Stewart, RB, CAR
Was planning on grabbing my first RB in this round.
Apparently, I was not alone in picking a RB from this next
group as Stewart was picked 4th in an 8 out of 9 pick RB run.
I’d of been OK with most of them, but Stewart was the one I
was targeting, In fact, I was in the midst of compiling a 4th
round queue with Stewart on top when my pick suddenly
came up. He did have off-season to remove a heel spur that
hampered him last season, though you’d never know it
bothered him by looking at last year’s stats. Both Stewart and
DeAngelo Williams share the load and I expect much of the
same in 2010. Both eclipsed the 1000 yard mark in 2009 on a
run happy Panther’s offensive team.
4.07 Joseph Addai, RB, IND
Looking for a second RB or my primary QB, but by choosing to
pick in the middle of the draft, in the direction that our draft
was headed, I could see that there were only 2 teams without
QBs before my next pick. And since I could live with any of my
next 3 ranked QB, RB it was. Addai was next on my RB list.
Somewhat understated in the Indianapolis offense, Addai
generally puts up consistently good numbers. He's never been
LT, AP, or even MJD, but he'll be there. This is a contract year,
so I anticipate JA to show he's not ready to hand the reigns
over to Donald Brown just yet.
5.08 Kevin Kolb, QB, PHI
It appears that my thinking from last round worked out.
Whether it pans out is yet to be seen. If the draft were moving
in the other direction, I probably would have taken Kolb last
round. Pass happy offense-check. Plenty of weapons-check.
I’m looking for an Aaron Rogers sibilance here. He held a
clipboard for everyone’s favorite unretired QB for a couple of
years and did quite well in his first year as a starter. He’s
caddied for McNabb for 3 years now, so he knows the system
and has performed nicely when called upon last year when
McNabb was out.
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| 11 | Slowhand
SuperDude
ID: 056744223
Sun, Aug 29, 2010, 18:02
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Draft pick; I was 2nd to pick so I had any place I wanted. I was a bit leery of the early picks and wanted to stay closer to the middle. I took 10 anticipating a top QB preferably Rogers would be available according to several mock draft sites. WRONG. A thus started one of my more strange and rapid drafts I've ever seen in RIFC.
1.10 Steven Jackson, RB, STL.
As I said I fully expected to get Rogers,Brees, or Manning in this slot and was shocked when ALL 3 were already gone. In the past I have always be a RB RB with the first 2 picks so since Jackson had usually gone a few slots higher than this I grabbed him. I'm not a big fan of Jackson mostly because of his well documented injury issues; but with (likely) a rookie QB and some help on the line He's capable of a top 3 season. Just stay healty.
2.05 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI.
I hoped for Reggie Wayne at this spot and also looked at Miles Austin and Ryan Grant at this spot.Wayne was taken the pick before,Austin has only excelled 1 season and Grant seemed a bit of a reach. The QB situation in Arizona is a concern but I could probably play QB there and Fitzgerald would do well. He's quick,athletic, and just gets to the ball; ans again I got him a few slots later than in most drafts.
3.05 Jamaal Charles, RB, KC
Damn, missed my 2nd tier QB run. At this point I was a bit freaked out how fast the QBs were going off the board and had to convince myself not to make a huge reach. I think Charles has the job nailed down and was very impressive the last half of the season; again not a pick I'm thrilled with as a fan but another I had seen ranked higher than I got him at many sites.
4.05 Sidney Rice WR, MIN.
OOOPS. Apparently about the time I (and Guru I noticed) were making this pick Rice was being wheeled into surgery and will be out at least 6 weeks....Thanks for letting us know. I can't say this is totally a lost pick however as if he can return to last years form (and Farve holds up)for even the last half of the season it won't be a total loss.
5.10 Brett Farve QB MIN.
Kind of an All-in move for me,actually I still had not heard about the Rice injury but even then this pick was a bit of a reach. I looked at a few top Def players here and had Forte and Barber in ahead of Farve but they were taken. Can Farve pull another dream year out of his hat? He was my favorite player at GB and as Packer fan it will seem a bit wierd to be cheering for the Vikes (all but 2 games) but maybe the old guy's got just a little bit of magic left.
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| 12 | Ref
Donor
ID: 539581218
Sun, Aug 29, 2010, 18:06
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Pick 4: I took this spot because there wasn't much
left. This was the best spot left and ensures that
I get Ray Rice.
1.04 Ray Rice
Besides rushing the ball efficiently and busting
tackles, Rice also gets a lot of looks as a
receiver. I expect him to be even better this
season. There was no thought of getting anyone
else.
2.11 Roddy White
Gone are the days where we must go RB, RB in this
league. First, I was surprised that White was
still there. He is the man in ATL and has a QB
who will target him by far more than any other WR.
He does have Gonzo to compete with in receptions,
but he actually can help draw coverage from White.
When I saw White was still available, I went to
look to see if there was an injury or an issue I
wasn't aware of to cause him to "slip" in my mind.
All I could find were sites lauding his ability
and situation. Cheat Sheets had him all over the
place, but generally was one of the top WRs and
overall draft picks. I'm cautiously optimistic
that this pick could be huge for me.
3.11 K. Moreno
OK, this banzai draft is for the birds. I don't
like it one bit--esp. when you get to pick your
own draft slots. I was kidding before the draft
saying that WW should be in reverse order of the
draft slot picking order, but I started thinking
about it later and though, that is pretty good
idea.
Anyhow, I am not sure how I feel about this pick.
It took me awhile to figure things out. If Moreno
can do what people are saying he can this season,
it will be a great pick--but I am seriously
doubting that. I do think he can be useful
obviously and actually do something special--but
is the risk worth the reward? I normally don't
take risks with this pick and everything I read
was very positive. Seems like Denver is going to
use him in a lot of ways. We wills ee how it goes-
-but I'm planning to take another RB sooner rather
than later, just in case.
4.11 Steve Smith, NYG
Again, did not expect him to be here now. Looks
like managers are reaching a bit and following
runs, so I'm going to stay the course and pick up
potential gems like this along the way. He gets a
lot of looks and should be a nice addition to my
team with very nice numbers.
5.04 B Celek, TE
This draft is going very oddly. Here I want a TE
and there is Celek and Gonzo left. I have White
already and think Gonzo might be the best, but
don't like to hedge my bets nec. either. He was
the #4 TE last season and did well when Kolb was
in there. Furthermore, the two are roommates and
their chem is supposed to be great. With the
offense this season, I think Celek can repeat what
he did last season.
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