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Subject: Overall Theory????
Posted by: 420 boy
- [17147207] Fri, Feb 20, 2004, 08:59
I have been paying attention to the Rotoguru patrons, and their successes in Ultimate Fantasy sports. I personally do alot of research with schedules, and I am extremely knowledgeable about sports in general. Yet, I can not get over the hump in any Ultimate fantasy sports. I have no clue what the problem is. I figure if I make trades depending on schedules, I research health and past performances, I should do fine, but no. Can someone maybe give me an outline of how your success is derived? I'm not looking for a gameplan, as much as just a clue as to what the Rotoguru patrons have done that I haven't. Thank you. |
| 1 | Mike D
Sustainer
ID: 41831612
Fri, Feb 20, 2004, 09:28
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Interesting issue. My initial reaction is twofold.
People tend to do better at sports they know the most about. Less reasearch is necessary. The history of the players are already known as far as injuries, abilities, playing experience, etc.. This all adds up to better probabilities when picking players, trading, waiving, etc.. Notice I said probability; it's all about predictions, obviously. No one KNOWS the future. (If they do, I wish I had their e-mail address----lol)
So, my first suggestion is focusing on the sport(s) you know best. If I tried my hand at fantasy hockey, it would be an absolute waste of time, for instance. At least initially.
Which leads me to my second point: continue to play and gain experience. Experience at the ins and outs of the fantasy game itself, as well as at learning about the players, only strengthening my first point. I can say I did a lot better at Smallworld/TSN each year that I played. I learned so much about how the game was played----the price changes, the trading strategies, etc.. With Yahoo, there are a lot of nuiances that you can use to your advantage (like how to handle IL players, game limits, inning limits, etc). As you play the games and learn about them, things should become easier.
So I guess what I'm saying is: you may do the best at the sport(s) you have the most knowledge about, and the more you play whatever fantasy game that you are playing, the better you will probably do. Eventually. ;)
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| 2 | Species
Leader
ID: 7724916
Fri, Feb 20, 2004, 11:47
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Good question, 420.
The focus of the site is derived from the skills of its founder. Guru's professional career involved a lot of quantitative analysis, so when he got the fantasy sports bug he created RotoGuru.com with the focus on the analysis behind these salary-cap, points-driven games.
Typically the site was not intended to offer player recommendations, but rather to offer the tools to allow the managers to make the players decisions themselves. The sortable stats were a godsend, allowing the manager to sort the players by position and a variety of other ways. The "sartibles" as they've affectionately become known (long story) are a staple to everyone on the site.
The Assimilator came along later. So many managers would begin a series of trades only to find out that they had miscalculated their available cash to where a plan was foiled midstream. The Assimilator allows you to plug your team in and make changes to your roster to see not only the financial impact of proposed changes but allows you to calculate projected point totals for all of the various combinations.
I would imagine the message boards have improved things for many people. While it's not the end-all, be-all of TSN strategy, there is a lot of helpful discussion.
I guess that's all a long winded (and commercially oriented! hahahaha) way of saying that I believe your answer is twofold:
1 - The tools
Gives managers the data to make more prudent decisions/see trends in order to both be proactive and reactive compared to the competition.
2 - The community
A lot of ideas and camaraderie gets shared on the site. There's also smack-talking and whatnot that keeps people motivated.
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| 3 | Species
Leader
ID: 7724916
Fri, Feb 20, 2004, 11:57
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420 Boy - after posting my reply I felt that the topic was definitely worthy of more attention and discussion, so I took the liberty of posting it in the Basketball Forum where I believe it will get a lot more discussion. You were probably right in that your topic is general in nature, the fact is that Hoops is in season and gets more action so more people will see it there.
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