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Subject: FedEx St. Jude Classic: June 11-14, 2015
Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Fri, Jun 05, 2015, 20:00
the field
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1 | Wheatridge
ID: 5453788 Mon, Jun 08, 2015, 09:38
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In checking out my roster for the St. Jude I have discovered that Jordan Spieth, who finished 3rd with a -13 and he lost 20 points! How can this be? I also note that Graham DeLaet who finished way down the chart increased by 50 points. It does not make sense.
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2 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Mon, Jun 08, 2015, 11:18
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This type of question comes up every season.
All players are first ranked based on the relative difficulty of their pars and under par scores. For example, a birdie on a hole which many players birdied is not worth nearly as much as a birdie on a hold with very few birdies. While net score might be a good high-level indicator of general tournament performance, it does not necessarily reflect a player's value in a best ball format, where a rare birdie is worth much more than a common birdie.
Here is a link to the hole-by-hole results for each player: http://rotoguru1.com/cgi-bin/gallcards.pl?tourney=30
Although Spieth had a good net score, on my proprietary measurement basis, he ranked only 23rd in the total field. Apparently, many of his birdies (better) were on holes where those scores were not as rare.
Next, remember that everything is valued relative to price.
Spieth entered the tournament as highest priced golfer in the field. His slight decline in price reflects the assessment that his performance was more in line with a player priced somewhat lower. So his price moved in that direction.
Meanwhile, DeLaet was ranked #31 on this same measurement basis - but at a price of only $980. His ranking was consistent with a much higher priced golfer, so his price increased a bit, again trending to the higher target.
The results are not always intuitive when looking at tournament standings, but this is the approach I've been using for many years now, and I think it does a pretty good job of moving player prices toward a level that reflects their value in a best ball format.
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3 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Mon, Jun 08, 2015, 11:19
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No longer in field: Streb, Robert Yang, Y.E.
Added to the field: Bettencourt, Matt Matteson, Troy Rodgers, Patrick
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4 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Mon, Jun 08, 2015, 12:18
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No longer in field: Todd, Brendon
Added to the field: Trahan, D.J.
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5 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Mon, Jun 08, 2015, 22:31
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No longer in field: Casey, Paul
Added to the field: Atwal, Arjun
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6 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Tue, Jun 09, 2015, 09:42
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No longer in field: Schwartzel, Charl
Added to the field: Bradley, Michael
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7 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Tue, Jun 09, 2015, 16:22
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No longer in field: Points, D.A. Affrunti, Joe
Added to the field: Chopra, Daniel Micheel, Shaun
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8 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Thu, Jun 11, 2015, 08:35
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No longer in field: Chopra, Daniel
Added to the field: Mayfair, Billy
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9 | Guru
ID: 330592710 Thu, Jun 11, 2015, 08:36
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153 GuruGolf teams have four active golfers this week. 85 different golfers are represented.
49 Johnson, Dustin 29 Knox, Russell 29 Horschel, Billy 27 English, Harris 25 Simpson, Webb 25 de Jonge, Brendon 23 Rodgers, Patrick 22 Cejka, Alex 21 Tringale, Cameron 21 Howell III, Charles 19 Knost, Colt 18 Pettersson, Carl 17 Stefani, Shawn 16 Laird, Martin 16 McNeill, George 15 Brown, Scott 15 Pinckney, Scott 12 McDowell, Graeme 12 Glover, Lucas 12 Palmer, Ryan 12 Mickelson, Phil 12 Goosen, Retief 11 Villegas, Camilo 11 Watney, Nick 9 Harman, Brian 9 Donaldson, Jamie 9 Vegas, Jhonattan 9 Harrington, Padraig 9 Every, Matt 9 Hadley, Chesson 8 Koepka, Brooks 8 Bohn, Jason 7 Stroud, Chris 6 Donald, Luke 6 Kelly, Jerry 6 Saunders, Sam 6 Jones, Matt 5 Gore, Jason 5 Kim, Whee 5 Merritt, Troy 5 Weekley, Boo 4 Bowditch, Steven 4 Merrick, John 4 Cink, Stewart 3 Overton, Jeff 3 Duke, Ken 3 Molder, Bryce 3 Wheatcroft, Steve 3 Crane, Ben 2 Swafford, Hudson 2 Hurley III, Billy 2 Wilcox, Will 2 Prugh, Alex 2 Flores, Martin 2 Curtis, Ben 2 Barber, Blayne 2 Chalmers, Greg 1 Toms, David 1 Svoboda, Andrew 1 Chappell, Kevin 1 Collins, Chad 1 Stuard, Brian 1 McGirt, William 1 Noh, Seung-yul 1 Day, Glen 1 Kokrak, Jason 1 Love III, Davis 1 Gomez, Fabian 1 Levin, Spencer 1 Sloan, Roger 1 Reifers, Kyle 1 Guthrie, Luke 1 Byrd, Jonathan 1 Campbell, Chad 1 Garnett, Brice 1 Baddeley, Aaron 1 Owen, Greg 1 Randolph, Jonathan 1 Beljan, Charlie 1 Henry, J.J. 1 Romero, Andres 1 Trahan, D.J. 1 Sterne, Richard 1 Fathauer, Derek 1 Adams, Blake
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10 | Masters
ID: 125211110 Thu, Jun 11, 2015, 11:21
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Dustin Johnson wd's after 9 holes due to an illness..... now I'm barfing over this news.
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