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Subject: Long-term pricing thoughts... Posted by: The Beezer - [1593319] Mon, Oct 16, 12:03 It seems to me that SW's lack of short-term point scoring (15-day, 7-day, etc.) is going to have an impact on price movement. If a player stays cold until January and then starts playing well, how is anyone who doesn't use philliephan's site gonna know about it? By then that player wouldn't show up on the top 2-3 pages of points scored, in all likelihood. I didn't play hoops or baseball, so I don't know if this was the situation there as well. I think after this initial shakeout, we'll probably see the 2-3 players at each position who can stay in the top 25 at their position and stay cheap make big $, because most people probably will not look deeper. And I don't think sked will affect these players too much. I think the MO for this game is going to be having cheaper players for the $ and not necessarily points and expensive players for skeds and points and not necessarily $. Opinions? | ||||||
| 1 | KrazyKoalaBears ID: 54914168 Mon, Oct 16, 12:15 |
I think what you will find is that the "lemmings" will be weeded out (give up) and you will find more schedule-reflective buying, much like the buying of pitchers in baseball. In other words, the percentage of SWManagers that don't look at schedules and only use SW's sorting will decline while the percentage of SWManagers that do look at schedules and sortable stats will increase, which will then be reflected in the price changes. What I think we're seeing right now is a lot of "jumping on the bandwagon" and picking up players who had a hot night or two, and the use of SW's sorting. | |||||
| 2 | Caper ID: 22534138 Mon, Oct 16, 12:39 |
Baseball or basketball did not have the short-term breakouts you refer to. The lack of a daily best performer option will slow the realization of who is hot. Pricing patterns are unpredictable now as new teams are formed, as folks realize that Lindro's is out/Yzerman is out?/Lalime is out/Nolan is out... and the fallout of the Jagr season starting schedule settles. There are still players being bought on value and price instead of schedule to fill out new line-ups and a lot more players are in play until Jagr is bought by all, taking $11 million out of the equation. This will likely continue to some degree for the next several weeks. Then maybe a rotation(Jagr/Bure?) or schedule based pattern will emerge that will allow more predictable price changes. That is the way I interpret the market anyway. | |||||
| 3 | Slowhand ID: 119359 Mon, Oct 16, 12:48 |
KKB-I think you're right; I played hoops last year and that was the pattern we saw...by the end of the year we saw huge(700k-1mil)schedule driven price changes.The studs were the most affected but as the season progressed more of the second tier were also.It also IMHO increased the value of trades later in the season making me wish I hadn't chased so many money trains and cheapies earlier in the year. | |||||
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