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0 Subject: Blooki's GMD (TP1)

Posted by: Blooki
- Sustainer [449292712] Tue, Dec 02, 2008, 13:39

Welcome to the team everyone. Here's our lineup:

Guru
The Bandwagon
Rendle
Qwerty123
Dean Martin
kentucky indians
Philsphan
Donkey Hunter
Blooki

For those of you who would like to get some conversation going over email, please shoot me a message at Blooki(at)gmail and I'll aggregate our information.

Also, if somebody (Guru?) could kindly teach me how to run the nifty stats or do it for us, it'd be much appreciated.

Glad to have everyone aboard. Looking forward to competing for the championship.
1Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Dec 02, 2008, 13:40
I'll run the stats.
2Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Tue, Dec 02, 2008, 14:15
Thanks Guru!
4Dean Martin
      ID: 201001314
      Tue, Dec 02, 2008, 18:18
Thanks for the pick Blooki. My tradeaholic tendencies appear to be in remission at the moment.
Heads up for those with Thaddeus Young
5kentucky indians
      ID: 281025910
      Tue, Dec 02, 2008, 23:42
It is an absolute pleasure to land here! thanks blooki! Looking forward to earning the GMD championship with all of you!

ki
8Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Dec 03, 2008, 09:57
I opted to keep Wade, Biedrins, and Howard, making yesterday expensive. Also keeping Harris today.

So I may start out a bit slowly, both in TSNP and value generation. I just didn't see any compelling moves, and want to build up my trade arsenal a bit. I think those trades can be used more productively in the future.

Plans are still somewhat uncertain. Tentatively planning to move Wade to Paul on 12/9. Still unsure about Howard - but may hold him long term. Augustin is of some near-term concern - and if he craps out, I may shift into Hawes on 12/6, 12/9, or 12/12.
9 Philsphan
      Sustainer
      ID: 301442416
      Wed, Dec 03, 2008, 10:02
Thanks for picking me Blooki! I'm looking forward to the season.

I'm sitting on a lot of unused cash right now, but my planned moves this week will take care of most of it:
Brewer -> Bosh
Granger -> Biedrins

Mason looks like he needs to go too. If so I'm thinking Aizu on Fri if he's healthy. Hopefully we get news today on the MRI. Any thoughts on that?

Kobe has been less than a stud, so he will fit into CP3 on the 10th when the whole world picks him up.
10kentucky indians
      ID: 281025910
      Wed, Dec 03, 2008, 19:16
Nene, Mason and Young with schedules that are drying up this week for me.... just not excited about any of the options out there in the cheapie price range...
11Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Thu, Dec 04, 2008, 03:45
Still looking to hear from The Bandwagon, Qwerty123, kentucky indians and Donkey Hunter by email [Blooki (at) gmail]if they'd like to participate in the off-forum GMD discussion.
12ki @ work
      ID: 2836246
      Thu, Dec 04, 2008, 08:50
blooki... tried to email.... technology issue I'm sure... my email is not recognizing blooki(at)gmail?? I have you on AIM but that tells me you are offline..
ki
13deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Thu, Dec 04, 2008, 08:55
Its Blooki with a capital...
Maybe that helps...
15Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Dec 04, 2008, 10:20
Augustin didn't help his cause at all last night. Six of us have that issue to deal with.
16Dean Martin
      ID: 201001314
      Thu, Dec 04, 2008, 12:44
I am gladly willing to take whatever money hit Howard may get tonight for his game vs. OKC who he destroyed for 90 last time. Then Howard may become Bosh or might hold, not sure yet. My in to Harris is Brewer but not sure if I should pull that trigger today or tomorrow. Considering Harris' last game of 20 and -80 last night, is it possible he will bleed again tonight?
17Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Thu, Dec 04, 2008, 12:47
Due to poor schedule fits, I think a handful of people will buy Devin Harris tonight. Likely enough to offset any sellers lagging from yesterday.
18Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Thu, Dec 04, 2008, 13:17
Seems a lot of you are having cheapie woes, especially if you I agree that all of the buy options are pretty weak right now. My suggestions are:

- Double-swap them with Wade and/or Howard to two attractive midrangers.
- Buy Hawes early.
- Roll the dice with the likes of Garcia, McGee and Landry.

I've intentionally avoided pure G options because I believe those are just at too high of a premium moving forward.
19Qwerty123
      Leader
      ID: 349431211
      Thu, Dec 04, 2008, 15:44
I feel like any fiscally-conscious rotation is atrocious, but I think I've settled on today's moves...

I want Bosh and Biedrins tonight, and to get there, I'm going to sell Howard and Young. Unfortunately I'm about a million short. Rather than waiting for a natural time to package someone else (and absorbing losses/missing gains in the meantime) I think I'll move Chandler for Hawes as well.

Barring several Howard explosions (very possible) I should come out ahead in points and money.
21Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Fri, Dec 05, 2008, 09:44
I ended up moving Augustin/W.Chandler to Crawford/Hawes. Chandler didn't have to be moved yet, although his production had been slipping lately, in spite of the shortage of healthy players on the Knicks. But moving him now allowed me to align my positions to accommodate Wade=>Bosh followed by Howard=>Paul, which seem to be the consensus moves.

If I were going strictly for points, I would have waited for 2 more games to move Wade for Bosh. But I finally decided that the potential value swing was large enough to warrant making that move now and sacrificing a few points. It was definitely a December decision, and not a March decision.
22Blooki
      ID: 3640310
      Sat, Dec 06, 2008, 02:17
Current plans have me holding C.J. Miles until 12/30. Do you guys think I should rethink that?
24kentucky indians
      ID: 281025910
      Sat, Dec 06, 2008, 14:22
I guess I'm going back to Spencer Hawes today from Rasho Nesterovic? Was planning to hold Rasho thru 12/20? but since I've bought him he's stunk it up in five of the six games that I've held him... Rasho is already bleeding money and it appears that Spencer Hawes is going to make money thru a 1 game in 5 day stretch??
Is that how is appears to all of you; I'm sometimes not sure I totally understand this game?
25Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Sat, Dec 06, 2008, 14:38
I already have Hawes, but on my other teams with Rasho, I'm making that move today.
27kentucky indians
      ID: 281025910
      Sun, Dec 07, 2008, 17:46
who is the idiot on this team who bought Stephen Jackson??
wait a minute.... that's me!!
31Qwerty123
      Leader
      ID: 349431211
      Wed, Dec 10, 2008, 11:09
Well, I've got my eyes on Paul and Harris like everyone else today. I'll move Kobe and Duhon and will also have to sacrifice Lee for someone like Azubuike to make it happen.

Duhon and Lee have been a great surprise, but I don't see much sense in holding a couple extra days for the 3 in 4 with little to offer after that.

Longer term, I've got the Paul-Howard-Bosh triangle move set up.
32Dean Martin
      Donor
      ID: 489552616
      Wed, Dec 10, 2008, 13:13
Been having major computer issues lately, had to do a clean install.
Went Wade>Paul yesterday with my last trade.
With great reluctance going Howard>Biedrins, seems like a no-brainer since I don't have him.
Currently do not have the flex to pull off the Paul-Howard-Bosh trilogy of terror and I believe I need to address that today. Could go Lee>Granger/Salmons depending on future cash needs to achieve the flex.

Up to this point owning 3 Knicks has paid off nicely but am now faced with tough decisions.
Definitely want Carter,Rondo or Rose but my only in to just one of those 3 is Duhon who I drafted since day 1. Also I feel Nene has bottomed out and is a must have possibly starting today price-wise. Have to do some number crunching and figure out which guard will fit best with future cash needs.

If I'm going to be moving some Knicks it would seem logical from a money standpoint to pull those triggers today.
33Donkey Hunter
      Leader
      ID: 916288962
      Wed, Dec 10, 2008, 13:25
So do I pretty much have to get Paul today? Is anyone waiting until after the 1 in 5?
34Dean Martin
      Donor
      ID: 489552616
      Wed, Dec 10, 2008, 16:01
Was pretty set on Duhon-Lee-Chandler becoming Granger-Rose-Nene at some point but is Vince Carter a must have today? He's playing the Knicks tonight and Toronto twice this week who he torched for 60 last time. Consistency not there with 4 games of 23 or less in the past month.
35Qwerty123
      Leader
      ID: 349431211
      Wed, Dec 10, 2008, 16:12
DH: I'm sure some will wait for Paul, but he'll probably still be more expensive then than now. Also keep in mind that it's possible Paul can even outpoint someone with more games in that time. It's probably not a season killer not to get Paul now, but points and money are likely to be marginally better with him, depending on how you'd get him of course.

DM: I looked at Carter based on him showing up in the sartibles, but then I noticed that his 7 and 15 day averages are below his season average. He's still intriguing but not a must-have in my opinion.
36G
      ID: 369542914
      Wed, Dec 10, 2008, 16:36
*intruder*

The only time VC and "must have" should be used in a sentence together is when you are talking about spare trades.
37Donkey Hunter
      ID: 508401922
      Wed, Dec 10, 2008, 18:44
I cant find a good way into Paul tonight. I guess there is a reason my WWR is 900+.
39Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Dec 11, 2008, 09:45
Jamal Crawford is cure turning out to be a bust. I may have to cut my (point) losses in spite of a great schedule density.
40Qwerty123
      Leader
      ID: 349431211
      Thu, Dec 11, 2008, 11:34
It's looking like Ridnour and Ariza to Barea and Nene today. I'd do the Ariza to Nene leg on Saturday, but something tells me my $.06 window won't last.
41Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Thu, Dec 11, 2008, 13:40
I would agree that that 60K TSND window is toast if you wait.
42Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Thu, Dec 11, 2008, 16:38
I'm probably holding LBJ through Christmas. Anybody want to talk me out of it?
43Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Dec 11, 2008, 16:42
That's one way to use that excess wealth that you've amassed!
44Rendle
      ID: 101134219
      Thu, Dec 11, 2008, 22:02
Sorry for my silence this week but I've been on jury duty which has been absolute hell and will probably extend into next week.

Anyway I made 4 trades today.

Duhon -> Barea
Lee -> Matt 'Red Rocket' Bonner
Ariza -> Butler
Bynum -> Camby
45kentucky indians
      ID: 301140719
      Thu, Dec 11, 2008, 23:37
Blooki,
I bought Lebron (and Kobe) with the intention of holding thru Christmas. I cannot, however, overlook that both teams seem to be blowing out opponents so much this season that it is costing both playing time. That was my logic for trading Kobe to Paul yesterday; and probably why I think I want to trade out of Lebron on Saturday (13th) or Sunday (12/14).
Fantasytwise, the almost $12M gets me a nice upgrade somewhere else; and looking at the upcoming opponents, I do not see the Cavalier's games becoming more competitive.
Real basketball wise, Lebron is the reason the Cavaliers are blowing out teams. I fell even more in love with his talent watching him in the Olympics this summer. I'm excited at the possibility of watching someone with the potential to maybe challenge Jordan legacy. As a Cavalier's fan, I hope he chooses to do it in Cleveland!
HOWEVER, one of the most important things to learn in fantasy basketball is to not let personal feeling influence your decisions about your fantasy team. I am reluctantly planning to trade Lebron this week.

Talk me off the ledge please..... 12/13 Lebron James to Dirk Nowitski or Caron Butler?
46kentucky indians
      ID: 301140719
      Thu, Dec 11, 2008, 23:41
I held Ariza and Foye.... OUCH!!
But I like their short term point potential!!!
47Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Fri, Dec 12, 2008, 01:42
Re: 45

If you can put the money freed up by that money to use effectively, then by all means sell.

My original intent was to sell to Wade to maintain comparable production at a lesser price. Unfortunately, a shortage of trades caused by the implosion of Bosh and Crawford --- both of which I overestimated the fallout for tonight (maybe I should give schedule density a chance) --- and the emergence of Jose Barea prevents me from making enough moves to restructure my roster efficiently. Any sale of Lebron this week would just leave a bunch of cash lying around and if I hold into next week then I might as well hold into the following week since his schedule is still good.

In any case, for those who are interested I ended up going Sessions/Bosh => Barea/Dwight. It seems odd to be buying a player the day after a max loss.
48kentucky indians
      ID: 301140719
      Fri, Dec 12, 2008, 07:10
I agree Blooki...
Lebron to Dwight?? or even Lebron to Garnett are also possibilities??
50kentucky indians
      ID: 301140719
      Fri, Dec 12, 2008, 23:19
Been kicking it around tonight... For me I think I'm leaning towards Lebron/Ariza to Nowitski/Nene tomorrow... preserving a little bit of money gains and rotating from highly owned diminishing schedule into what I hope will be legnthy holds. What do you folks think?
52Blooki
      ID: 261043151
      Sat, Dec 13, 2008, 20:13
My team sucks. Can I leave myself unprotected during the upcoming waiver period?
53kentucky indians
      ID: 301140719
      Sat, Dec 13, 2008, 22:01
blooki,
permission denied
57Qwerty123
      Leader
      ID: 349431211
      Tue, Dec 16, 2008, 10:53
So, what are people's thoughts on the Bosh-Paul-Howard/Wade triangle today?

My plan has been to move Bosh to Camby today and then triangle into Howard or Wade on the 18th from Paul.

Stuckey also potentially comes into play today/tomorrow. Will he reach must-have status? My only way in to him is through Barea, and I'm wondering if I should just stick with him.

I'm basically tossing around 3 (eventual) combinations:
A) Howard/Rondo/Barea
B) Howard/Rose/Stuckey
C) Wade/David West/Stuckey
58Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Dec 16, 2008, 12:05
Paul to Howard had been in my plans, followed later in the week by Camby to Paul. But I'm not sure I trust Howard enough at this point to follow through. It would have required me to raise a little extra cash as well, and I might be better served by ending up with someone like Dirk, or Garnett, or Yao. If so, then holding Paul through his 1-in-5 might be the prudent approach, as making a triangle move would only pick up two of their games for one Paul game.

If Howard is back to his normal self, then the triangle makes sense. But there are enough warning signals that even if he does play, will he play his normal minutes, and get his normal production? Seems like this might be one of those times to heed the advice, "When in doubt, do nothing."
59kentucky indians
      ID: 301140719
      Tue, Dec 16, 2008, 19:28
Foye to Stuckey for me tonight... I need to make some money!!
60Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Dec 17, 2008, 08:00
If you are unsure what the column header means, hover over it with your mouse.
A pop up will display a longer definition of the header.

GURUPATRON BONUS MATERIAL

The following columns are sartible and reverse sartible.
Click on the column header once for the default sort order.
Click a second time for the reverse sort order.

Rank

GurupieName

LSWP0

LSWP

LSWP5

WWR

FV

Cash

RV

FVC

Trades

1 Rendle-204 2552 143.5 2552 34 58.27 1.74 56.53 0.28 6
2 Dean Martin-1808 2537.5 134.5 2537.5 6 59.25 0.40 58.85 0.07 4
3 Qwerty123-1818 2525 130.5 2525 72 61.00 1.50 59.50 0.34 7
4 Donkey Hunter-1561 2447 149.5 2447 743 54.81 1.09 53.72 0.13 5
5 Guru-386 2421.5 128.5 2421.5 150 61.45 0.61 60.84 0.13 6
6 kentucky indians-1043 2370.5 125.5 2370.5 292 56.64 2.07 54.57 0.26 4
7 Philsphan-1026 2339.5 152 2339.5 638 56.66 3.56 53.10 0.16 4
8 The Bandwagon-2089 2292.5 179.5 2292.5 253 58.12 2.29 55.83 0.12 8
9 Blooki-1481 2216.5 92 2216.5 132 63.30 2.56 60.74 0.09 4



Head To Head

UNIQUE TO
UNIQUE TO
COMMON TO BOTH TEAMS
61ki @ work
      ID: 2836246
      Wed, Dec 17, 2008, 11:18
just when I start feeling good..... Gasol with streep throat...
was planning to holding thru Christmas day.... I figure with two days off, he probably comes back ok for his 5 games in 6 1/5 days... but holding him now probably costs me money; bleeds some because of DNP and no buy back in on Friday...
can get the same number of games out of a lot of other GOOD options..... Garnett is probably my favorite assuming he comes out of gravity.... to do this, though, I probably end up holding chris paul thru the 1 in 5...
got all day to figure it out... any ideas?
ki
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