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Subject: Examining shooting streaks/clutch shooting
Posted by: Pimpski
- [381351212] Sun, Apr 27, 2003, 21:06
I know a lot of you are resourceful and good with numbers, so I'm hoping some of you would like to check out the concepts of shooting streaks and clutch shooting. In Steve Gould's book Full House (page 31), he mentions a colleague who studied the 76ers for an entire season, and came to the conlusion that there was no such thing as a shooting streak. (No stretch of consecutive made baskets fell outside the predictions of a standard random model) The example he uses is that a 60% shooter should hit six shots in a row, every 20 sequnces or so. I am completely convinced that this is true, but not so sure about clutch shooting. Does anybody have 4th quarter statistics that we could compare to the other 3, to see if there are players who are clutch enough to make their stats agree? Please add your thoughts. |
| 1 | BigDog
ID: 39128312
Sun, Apr 27, 2003, 22:22
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once in band camp, i made 6 in a row!
have no idea.
look like a neat study please keep us up to speed with results!
but i dont think most player hit more then 4to5 in a row. crap when kobe makes 5 in a row they make it
look like the world is falling.
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| 2 | Pimpski
ID: 381351212
Mon, Apr 28, 2003, 13:24
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This site does a nice job explaining away the idea of shooting streaks, but I'm still hoping to find statistics that could measure the existance of clutch shooting. If anybody has them, please share!
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| 3 | joe suspect
Donor
ID: 111114719
Mon, Apr 28, 2003, 13:47
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He uses 60% as an example?? What real life NBA player hits 60 over a season?
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| 4 | Pimpski
ID: 381351212
Mon, Apr 28, 2003, 13:51
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What does it matter what % he chooses? Any number between 1 and 100 is going to predict streaks of made and missed shots. Come on dude.
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| 5 | DWetzel
ID: 30353118
Tue, Apr 29, 2003, 19:39
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Don't know how relevant it is, but there was an article in USA Today today (4/29) re: late-game free throw shooting percentages for the playoff participants. I didn't really read it, but might be worth your looking it over.
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| 6 | Aris
ID: 56710623
Wed, Apr 30, 2003, 03:29
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Many years ago I read a very nice article on this in the Journal of Basketball Studies (JoBS). If the site is still up, it also has many other mathematical/statistical articles on similar questions.
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| 7 | Aris
ID: 2910351119
Wed, Apr 30, 2003, 16:08
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Here's the article:
http://www.rawbw.com/~deano/articles/aa121896.htm
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Post a reply to this message: (But first, how about checking out this sponsor?)
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