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Subject: Kentucky Derby 2005
Posted by: Great One
- [46361920] Sat, May 07, 2005, 13:04
Who's everyone got this year? I have Noble Causeway... but I also picked it out of a hat so I can't be too disappointed.
Bellamy Road owned by Steinbrenner the early favorite at 5-2.
Don't wanna overpay and then be disappointed when he underperforms (coughyankeescough)...
GO
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| 1 | GoatLocker
Sustainer
ID: 060151121
Sat, May 07, 2005, 14:23
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OK,
I like Afleet Alex to win it all. If the odds are right. If he gets hammered, might just do an exacta or stay away.
Not sure if you still have the issue of East Coast and West Coast odds, or if it is all tied together.
If so, will get better odds on Afleet Alex from an East Coast track than West.
If you want a longshot, don't over-look Wilko or Noble Cause.
Some info on early betting.
"In Friday's preliminary betting on the Kentucky Derby, Afleet Alex was left as the 7-2 favorite, followed by Bellamy Road, 9-2; Bandini, 5-1; High Fly, 7-1; and Noble Causeway, 11-1.
Other odds: Sun King, 15-1; Don't Get Mad, 19-1; Wilko and High Limit, 22-1; Coin Silver 25-1; Greeley's Galaxy, 26-1; Greater Good, 35-1; Flower Alley, 36-1; Going Wild and Buzzards Bay, 43-1; Sort it Out, 45-1; Giacomo, 53-1; Closing Argument, 66-1; and Spanish Chestnut, 75-1.
A total of $383,000 a small portion of the eventual total win pool, was bet."
Not sure if these are nation wide numbers or just West Coast.
Just my thoughts.
Cliff
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| 2 | GoatLocker
Sustainer
ID: 060151121
Sat, May 07, 2005, 14:25
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TVG is not showing anything yet on early betting.
Might just be the way they work.
Cliff
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| 3 | blue hen
ID: 353412123
Sat, May 07, 2005, 16:30
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Saw some coverage this morning and all the celebrities were picking Wilko.
Bellamy Road looks like a good bet, but I saw a feature on Afleet Alex, and all AA's winnings go to Alex's Lemonade Stand Foundation which goes to medical research. It's an interest story and a good cause, so I'll be cheering for Alex.
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| 4 | GoatLocker
Sustainer
ID: 060151121
Sat, May 07, 2005, 16:43
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Here is the inside key for Wilco.
Corey Nakatani does not ride for his father-in-law (Wallace Dollase)or brother-in-law (Craig Dollase) that often.
So, when he does, it is usually a pretty good indication that the horse might out perform what everybody thinks.
Wouldn't put a ton on him, but might be worth a $10 or $20 W/P/S bet if the odds stay where they are.
Cliff
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| 5 | jimmy
Dude
ID: 349182621
Sat, May 07, 2005, 17:33
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Looked it over briefly, came up with a couple Exactas & Trifectas that I placed.
Exacta box- Noble Causeway, High Fly, Afleet Alex
Exacta- Noble Causeway, High Fly, Bellamy Road over Noble Causeway, High Fly, Bellamy Road, Don’t Get Mad
$2 Win- Noble Causeway, High Fly, Afleet Alex, Bellamy Road, Don’t Get Mad
$1 Trifecta- 4/12/16+17, 16/4+12/4+12+17, 12/4/16+17
I’m not expecting to hit anything, but got in a little action. :)
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| 7 | jimmy
Dude
ID: 349182621
Sat, May 07, 2005, 18:37
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$1.7 mil superfecta, yikes!
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| 8 | GoatLocker
Sustainer
ID: 060151121
Sat, May 07, 2005, 18:37
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Here is why big races can be so unpredictable.
1st 10-Giacomo $102.60 $45.80 $19.80
2nd 18-Closing Argument - $70.00 $24.80
3rd 12-Afleet Alex - - $4.60
4th 17-Don't Get Mad
$2 EXACTA 10-18 $9,814.80
$2 TRIFECTA 10-18-12 $133,134.80
$1 TRIFECTA Box $66,567.40
$2 SUPERFECTA 10-18-12-17 $1,728,507.00
$1 SUPERFECTA Box $864,253.50
$2 PICK 3 3 of 3 8/9/10 $21,335.20
$2 PICK 4 4 of 4 1/8/9/10 $164,168.60
$2 PICK 6 5 of 6 5/5,6/1/8/9/10 $11,228.20
$0 PICK 6 CA Carryover $471,588.88
$2 DOUBLE 9/10 $1,973.40
Cliff
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Post a reply to this message: (But first, how about checking out this sponsor?)
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