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0 Subject: Horse Racing--Gurupie Stats and Horse Rankings

Posted by: JKaye, Guru Jr.
- Sustainer [4711592917] Thu, Jun 28, 11:38

Okay guys, I have put together a table which represents the the success of each gurupie by combining all of their stables.


GURUPIE STABLE STATISTICS
Owner Races Wins Place Show Win% Place% Show% ITM% $$ $$/race Points Pts/Race
Madman 96 14 14 5 14.6% 14.6% 5.2% 34.4% 286,304 2,982 357 3.7
Toral 68 5 11 7 7.4% 16.2% 10.3% 33.8% 97,368 1,432 223 3.3
JKaye 46 3 4 3 6.5% 8.7% 6.5% 21.7% 46,737 1,016 119 2.6
Cab 38 4 3 1 10.5% 7.9% 2.6% 21.1% 77,182 2,031 78 2.1
Goatlocker 11 1 0 0 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 8,067 733 14 1.3



I also think we should start a weekly poll of gurupie owned horses, like the country wide thoroughbred polls. We can have 2 categories--overall, and gurupie drafted. Here are my selections. Keep in mind, this is a VERY hard process, because some horses are consistent while others have been one hit wonders. This is based mostly on past performance alone. Let me know if you think these picks are way off base. Again, it can be hard to compare horses sometimes.

OVERALL--
1. Light Jupiter
2. Clam Carnival
3. Straight Time
4. Radik'a Plug
5. Chief Tom
6. Chief Northern
7. Babified Opossum
8. Stock Geri
9. Maple Cap
10. Skin Jumping

GURUPIE DRAFTED--
1. Radika's Plug
2. Chief Tom
3. Stock Geri
4. Kangaroo Minstrel
5. Zinc Dad
6. Yankee Alphabet
7. Light Award
8. Midget Talent
9. December Chop
10. Agriculture Bomber
1Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Thu, Jun 28, 15:34
Wow. Very, very cool information! You must be going to each owner's page to access the point totals?

I think a weekly poll might be a bit too often. It takes time to go through and do it right. But I definitely like the idea.

Maybe we should get a bit more of a clear objective? Because it IS very hard.

I could see a couple of different takes. First, this could be like an ESPN Power Poll. Secondly, we could do a revolving "All-Star" team idea, where we divide by turf/dirt and maybe 2yo, 3yo and 4yo or something. Aargh. Probably too complicated. Thirdly, we could say "rank based on the horses you want in your stables".

For now, I'll do a Power Poll idea, which I think is like your concept.

Madman's Gurupie Horse Rankings
1. Light Jupiter. With a 60K win last week, and two 90+ races as a Gurupie horse, LJ snags the top spot. But challengers are stalking.

2. Clam Carnival. A proven Stakes competitor, and clearly a great 3 yo. Is pushing hard to the top spot.

3. Chief Northern. A tough call. But in 2 races for larot, he's broken 90 both times. Plus, this guy has a 100 speed race in his background at 9.5fD.

4. Straight Time. Only 1 great Gurupie race, it was one of the fastest in Gurupie history. Plus, it was a second place stakes finish, good for 17K. Not incredible, but the pack starts bunching up from here on out.

5. Rakida's Plug. A consistent placer, this horse looks like it can survive in Sloppy Allowance races. Decent earnings so far. This week is critical to maintaining this ranking.

6. Stock Geri. I was impressed as heck with last week's 96.6. I think this horse has the goods. Only thing keeping it out of #4 slot is lack of history of success. Should be a great Gurupie winner for a long time to come.

7. Babified Opossum. Babified was one of the first Gurupie horses to strike 2-time 90+ success. Although this horse is unlikely to improve, should be a consistent Starter-Allowance competitor.

8. Chief Tom. Very similar to Rakida (although lower earnings) and Babified (although not the track record yet), this horse has a nice niche in the slop. He's really developed.

9. Skin Jumping. That 100 speed race was just amazing. Was it a total fluke? Perhaps. But I really think it's for real. More importantly for this argument, he did have 85+ credentials before, so I think he belongs on this list. He could jump to #3 or higher pretty quickly.

10. Light Award. Royal breeding, plus the highest rating for a Gurupie maiden. I know there is absolutely no track record here, but we're starting to get to the point where it's really hard to distinguish between horses. And LA has some things going for him.

DRAFTED:
1. Stock Geri. I know it's too early. But man, I like this horse. I'm basing this list on a bit more potential than the "OVERALL". Stock's a 3 yo studette.
2. Rakida's Plug. I think he'll survive in Allowance competition, which is tough for a drafted horse to do. Age drops him to #2 best draft rating.
3. Chief Tom.
4. Light Award.
5. Zinc Dad. 2-2 in first two starts, and an 87 speed after that counts for something. Although future usefulness is in question.
6. Agri. Bomber. 3 top 2 finishes in 4 races. Speed ratings unimpressive. But may have a niche in turf marathons.
7. Kangaroo Minstrel. Maybe should be ahead of Agri. Bomber. Hard to say. Needs a couple more races to see for sure. Definitely a quality horse.
8. Yankee Alphabet. Over his head in first allowance race, but great potential. Plus, not tried on routes or turf yet.
9. Midget Talent. One great race. Worried that that 90 may represent his max. Too early to tell.
10. December Chop? Sigh. He's not that good of a horse.
__________________________

Homebreds:
1. Snow Storm (Christmas Storm)
2. City O'Gold (Carson City)
3. ???

_________________________

Gurupie Winning Horses:
Madman -- Zinc Dad (2), Agri. Bomber (2), Rakida(1), December(1), Light Jupiter (1), Skin Jumping (1), Light Squawking (1), Jinx Understand (2), Babified Opossum (1), East A La Run (1), Our Nooses (1).

Toral -- Away without Way (1), Kangaroo Minstrel(ire) (1), Chief Tom (2), Chief Northern (1).

JKaye -- Dynarun Form (1), Midget Talent (1), Val's Nightmare (1).

cab -- Clam Carnival (2), Yankee Alphabet (1), Sloppy Station (1).

goatlocker -- Stock Geri (1).

______________________________________

Note: although I did some independent research, I relied heavily on JKaye's listing of horses for my analysis.
2Toral
      Sustainer
      ID: 245122623
      Thu, Jun 28, 16:40
Great stuff.

I like the power poll as it is. The time will come when it's divided by age, sex, and surface, but one listing is fine for now, IMO. Eventually I foresee the Gurupie equivalent of the Eclipse Awards. At the end of this year, in fact.

Madman hit the point right on: this could be an accomplishment list or a "who would you want in your stables" list. That last phrase occurred to me as soon as I saw the list, because I personally would rather own Swiftly Spurn or Mine Devastation than Chief Tom or Chief Northern. So the list as put forth is a kind of Power Poll, and I like it that way. "Who would you want to own" is an interesting question too, but a different one.

Something that would be a useful to have right in this thread is a listing of all Gurupie stable names, for ease of research.

Toral
3StLCards
      Sustainer
      ID: 340491814
      Thu, Jun 28, 16:54
I feel left out. I do have 1 win. StLCards, StLCards1, and StLCards3.
4JKaye, Guru Jr.
      Sustainer
      ID: 4711592917
      Thu, Jun 28, 17:08
Sorry, StLCards, that is my mistake for overlooking you. You can be sure that your record will be there for week 1082.
5Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Thu, Jun 28, 19:29
I knew we were missing someone! Sorry Stl.

JKaye -- I just changed the SSS just because of this thread. You'll now find the ability to search for stable results from any 4 stables. Plus, you can store an infinite number of up to 4 stable combos. Although you don't get the Points this way (which are the #1 criteria, in many ways), you can get all the other stats easily.

I must admit to having lost track of everyone's set of stables.

Mine: Madman3, Madman4, Madman999, rotciv.
If everyone would list their current stables here, I'd appreciate it. I'll enter them into the SSS v. 3.0 and never forget anyone again. :)
6JKaye, Guru Jr.
      Sustainer
      ID: 4711592917
      Thu, Jun 28, 19:49
jkaye, jkaye1, sunday89

Toral is: toral, toral2, larot
goatlocker is: goatlocker, goatlockr2
7cab
      Donor
      ID: 10541722
      Fri, Jun 29, 13:59
Nice work guys...

Cab,Cab31 and Pepe31 for me..

The rankings look pretty much spot on to me..Am not real sure how those polls over there work(The espn power poll)..I guess judged by performance each week ?...Or a sort of cumulutive thing ,where overall past record is taken into account along with present results?..Class of oppossition at each race comes into it and or other factors?...
8JKaye, Guru Jr.
      Sustainer
      ID: 4711592917
      Fri, Jun 29, 14:03
Basically power polls look past simply overall record and take into account how well the horse is truly running. I placed the horses I did on top because of consistent and high speed ratings. Certainly the "power poll" method opens up a lot of debate, and everyone is encouraged to post their opinion as Madman and I have already.
9Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Fri, Jun 29, 14:40
JKaye I think you missed a few races somehow? Overall, the SSS reports the trio of cab stables as:

41-4-3-1 for an ITM of 8/41.

Is that right? Not sure how it could have happened. Total earnings of $77,182.

I love going after earnings. But whoever gets the first Graded Stakes quality horse is going to just start blowing that category away. . .
10Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Fri, Jun 29, 14:42
I should say that my listing is a bit of a mix between past performance and current ability. Actually, I think that's how ESPN does it.

I haven't heard of these thoroughbred rankings. Maybe I'll have to check them out.
11Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Fri, Jun 29, 14:54
My version 3.0 of the SSS cranks this stuff quickly. Here's another way of ranking stables. I took the overall average stable speed (excluding races under 30 speed, which is my program's default):

Madman -- 69.5 (94)
Cab -- 65.4 (41)
Toral -- 65.2 (68)
JKaye -- 65.1 (45)
StL -- 62.5 (26)
Goat -- 61.8 (11)

The overall average speed in the sim is right around the mid 69's. As you would expect from a bunch of newbie stables, we are all average or below. But hopefully we are rising fast!
12Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Fri, Jun 29, 14:58
Since week 1040, I've average 70.4.
Since week 1054, I've averaged 70.9.
After week 1054, I've averaged 72.5.

I should note that two of my most successful acquisitions -- Rate Learn and Jinx Understand, are bottom tier claimers. Rate Learn has never pulled a 70 speed in his life. And Jinxy is right around a 70ish speed most of the time.

So, as I said, this method has it's flaws.

But I'm still glad to see that average speed figure rising over time. It's probably all in thanks to Skin Jumping :).
13cab
      Donor
      ID: 10541722
      Fri, Jun 29, 22:43
You are correct Madman...41...4/3/1...The Cab stable is the only one carrying me really..Pepe31 and cab31 are going to ruin my stats!!!
14Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Sat, Jun 30, 15:07
Madman Week 1075 Gurupie Horse Rankings:

Overall

1. Light Jupiter.
2. Clam Carnival.
3. Chief Northern.
4. Straight Time.
5. Rakida's Plug.
6. Stock Geri.
7. Napkin Kicking.
8. Babified Opossum.
9. Chief Tom.
10. Skin Jumping.

DRAFTED
1. Rakida's Plug. With 4th top 3 finish in 5 starts, his earnings go past $40K. Can he go even farther than 8f?
2. Stock Geri. Drops just because Rakida's string of success can't be ignored.
3. Napkin Kicking. 96.0 max, and second solid performance puts this horse right up there.
3. Chief Tom.
4. Kangaroo Minstrel. Another solid run; becomes the first Toral horse to get an allowance win, I believe! Solid $33K in winnings from 3 races.
5. Zinc Dad. 2nd 88+ speed. Plus the 2 big wins.
6. Yankee Alphabet.
7. Private Count. Easy MSW win on first marathon turf try. Poor guy. I should have gone for a larger purse; winnings stand only at 15K. At any rate, should get at least one solid allowance win quickly with an 88 speed ability on turf.
8. Light Award. The expected improvement in speed didn't happen. But he did win easily.
9. Country Jodie. Solid 3rd in an allowance field this week. Solid horse.
10. Midget Talent. I'm not forgetting about him. Just had some good performances this week, and I'm still worried about his reliability. horses 1-8 have at least 2 solid races.

Man alive. The Gurupie Draft rankings flipped all over the place. Hope I didn't miss anyone.

Notes: I dropped Agri. Bomber off the list on purpose. Yes, he got a big ALW1x win. But check out some of these new horses. Wow. Plus, he went down this week with a severe injury, and his racing future is in doubt. I'll let you know when the vet reports back. Sad. Looks like Rakida is the only half of the dynamic duo that's going to be working for awhile, at best.

Homebreds:
1. Snow Storm. Disappointing 4th, and disappoint drop in speed to 61.0.
2. City O'Gold. Best is 57.4.
Our homebred crew is pretty pathetic right now.

Fletch We can add you to this stuff if you want, I think. But I don't want to sort through 48 stables :). So if you got a few (should we limit to 4 like ASR, guys??), that have been started this year and are somewhat lightly raced (i.e., in our rough class as "newbie" stables, feel free to post.

My own W-L record really got his this week. Bad placement.
15Toral
      Sustainer
      ID: 53563014
      Sat, Jun 30, 15:20
Madman 14: Chief Tom won a really cheap allowance.

Regreattably, present circumstances do not allow me to offer my own version of the Power Poll. But I can wonder whether Kangaroo Minstrel is being underrated. I don't have his speed rating for today yet, although a quick comparison of his time with other winners at similar distances suggests it was slow. Nevertheless, I wonder if his failure to put up a 90 is hurting him unduly. If you add 5 to 7 points to turf speeds if you want to compare them to dirt speeds, he looks more impressive. Personally, restricting myself to my own horses, I think his 3:2-1-0 record put him above Chief Tom and Napkin Kicking. Napkin Kicking got loose on the lead, and that's when you can rack up big times, times that make a horse look better than he is. Anyway, before you dis Kangaroo, *watch* 1075.3306!

Toral
16Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Sat, Jun 30, 18:46
I think I'll stick with the current version. It is subjective.

But there is a big difference between a 96.6 and an 85.8. Yes, a speed horse that breaks loose will have a great speed rating in those circumstances. But race 3306 was set up perfectly for Kangaroo, too. He had the sweetest post position, and a horse to push his main speed competition. This pulled him through to a fast time. Napkin Kicking was just off the top Gurupie MSW overall record, and just off the Gurupie Drafted record. Kangaroo Minstrel, on the other hand, was 3 points slower than the fastest Gurupie Drafted horse turf race.

Regarding relative to Chief Tom, that's a tougher call. But the Chief has gone 90 twice. And yes, the last time was a low class allowance field. But there were two other solid 88+ horses in that race.

Whereas the Kangaroo faced only 2 other 85 speed horses in his. Kangaroo has more earnings, yes, but that's because Alw1x races in Europe are pretty weak fields. If he can do it in Alw2x, I'll be more impressed. In fact, the first horse to win an Alw2x as a drafted horse probably should be #1, because that's a darned tough thing to do.

And it's not clear to me that you should add 5-7 points to turf ratings. It turns out that turf races require slightly faster ratings to win than dirt marathons. So what's going on may be largely a self-selection issue. Although you do have to discount 90+ speed ratings at 6-7f sprints, since they have tougher competition.

So, the way I see the Gurupie drafted rankings, in words, is basically:

1) The most consistent top drafted horse so far (#3 fastest, #2 earner, a top placer)
2) The fastest Gurupie drafted horse.
3) The second fastest Gurupie horse.
4) (Chief Tom) A consistent and fast horse who has a niche in the slop, giving him some hope for the next level.
5) Kangaroo -- A consistent horse who will need to take a step up in speed ratings to compete at the next level.
6) Yankee Alphabet.
7) First time Allowance winner for gurupies, and actually with faster speed ratings than Yankee or Kangaroo.
8) Fastest Gurupie turf racer, needs to prove consistency.
9) Two time mid 80 runner. (note: Kangaroo with the same speed ratings is 4 slots higher because of his Alw win and turf ability).
10) Country Jodie.
11) Midget Talent. This is what a 90 speed on dirt gets you now -- 11th! Yipes! We're starting to get there . . .

I had misnumbered these guys.
17Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Sat, Jun 30, 18:53
Oops. Napkin Kicking only ran 96.0. Still a big difference between a 96.0 and an 85.8.
18Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Sat, Jun 30, 18:54
And I should also say that it is quite possible some adjustments should be made to equate turf routes with dirt sprints. But I'm just saying that, right now, although my gut said previously 7.5 points, there is reason to not believe that, either.

I've got some ideas for coming up with a "par" rating system for all surfaces and distances. Just got to figure out if it is worth it. It would be purely for this sort of ranking. . .
19Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Sat, Jun 30, 19:09
Here's an interesting stat to keep in mind. . .

The average 2nd place speed rating in an Alw-NW2 race on turf was 89.6 this week. The average 2nd place speed rating in an Alw-NW2 race on dirt was 91.4.

Do the same test for Alw-NW1x, what do you get? A HUGE difference. . . 80 for Turf, and 88 for Dirt.

But this criteria, a horse with 85's on turf should fly through Alw-NW1x, but then crash at Alw-NW2. On the other hand, a 91ish horse like Chief Tom is a typical sort of 2nd place finisher on dirt at that level.

Just something to think about. My only point here is that I'm not sure enough of the 7.5 gap that I mentioned earlier to start ranking horses based on that. My thinking is still going back and forth on this issue. But version 3.0 of the SSS allows me to capture the data, so I can now go into testing phase.
20GoatLocker
      ID: 44461114
      Sun, Jul 01, 22:42
Great Thread guys.
Have been away for a week, but trying to get my act back together.

Will try to add to the thread later.
Great Job Jkaye.

Good Job on the rankings Madman.

Cliff
21StLCards
      Sustainer
      ID: 2504849
      Mon, Jul 02, 10:47
Madman #19. Forgetting about Turf vs. Dirt, those numbers seem to go against everything I've read about where to enter horses. Going to the NW2L is "supposedly" less competitive than NW1x since the NW1x includes horses that have mastered the claiming races. These numbers seem to suggest they are essentially the same or that NW1x is even a bit easier. Interesting.
22Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Mon, Jul 02, 13:13
StLCards -- I'm working on that. I'll post more later today. :) Writing a series of articles for the Sim Guide. . .
23Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Mon, Jul 02, 16:19
See my set of conclusions here at this forum, and a series of articles that will be forthcoming at the Sim Guide. Too much to post here.

But I'm starting to go back toward giving turf marathoners a "par" bonus in speed ratings. This would move Kangaroo Minstrel, Private Count, and Agriculture Bomber back up the Gurupie rankings quite substantially. I want to check out the difference at the Stakes and Graded Stakes levels, however, before agreeing to this. And I also want to come up with a clear standard of comparison between the two (dirt sprints v. turf routes).
24Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Tue, Jul 03, 07:23
In a related thread, I introduced the concept of a MAD rating. Because of my research, I've come to the conclusion that some sort of adjustment is necessary. Thus, I feel the need to change my rankings.

Honestly, this messes up the overall horse rankings very substantially. So, I'm not going to touch that for now. Let's take a re-look at the Gurupie Drafted rankings. . .

DRAFTED:

1. Rakida's Plug. Moves up to #1 MAD. #2 on the earnings list with 40K+. 4 top 3 places, and the MAD understates Rakida's competitiveness, since I still don't adjust for slop ability. I'm feeling more comfortable with this choice now.

2. Kangaroo. Registered two identical 93.8 MAD's, plus an Allowance win, and 33K in winnings.

3. Stock Geri. An allowance win with another 96.6 MAD could move her back up to #2. Notice that this is a filly, so she's also a bit under-rated by the MAD. . .

4. Private Count. Two 83+ SP's, and a 96 MAD (understated b/c of filly status). This is our fastest Turf Router for now, and looks to be headed to an allowance victory in the near future. Earnings are low, keeping her down.

4. Napkin Kicking. 96.0 raw speed figure, 96.0 MAD. Very solid horse. Should be able to snag an allowance win. Tied with Private Count in my book.

6. Agriculture Bomber. 88 MAD. But the only Gurupie drafted horse to (so far) win an A2x race, so it's quite possible that the slower speed ratings from the wins were simply because the ease of victory. Plus, #1 in earnings, and has two solid wins and 1 2nd. Not injured after last week.

7. Chief Tom. Two time 90+ racer. Gets a bonus because of the slop. Not sure if he'll make the A2x condition.

8. Zinc Dad. 92.5 MAD. Struggling a bit at A2x. But that's expected for anyone with a MAD under 95. His W/L record is hurt because he cruised through MSW and A1x too easily, forcing him into A2x's or Opens before his 5th race. The more I think about it, however, I don't think he should be punished for that.

9. Country Jodie 90.5 MAD. May make A1x/2L level, may not. Solid little horse who broke maiden early.

10. Yankee Alphabet. Just going with the 2-time performer. Very close call here.

Overall, as I look at this list, I think it reflects a lot better the actually success in races on the track, and/or immediate competitiveness. The only exception is that I do think a few of the other horses listed here may be able to nail that A2x level before Rakida's Plug gets there . . .
25Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Sat, Jul 07, 14:09
OK. Turns out I have a bit of time to Kill. Here are my revised Week 1082 OVERALL Horse Rankings:

1. Light Jupiter. (4, 2-1-0) A personal best 99.5 dirt sprint win -- his second in a row -- raised his Gurupie winnings to $70K.
2. Pepi Dan. (15, 3-2-4) Fletch's fastest entry, he has the fastest raw Gurupie speed race in the sim. He's one of the most prolific runners in Gurupie history, with 6 90+ speed races. He'd probably be #1, but he hasn't won a race for his new official gurupie owner, ggnew (for whom he's gone 90+ 5 times).
3. Sixth Deputy (2, 1-1-0). The Gurupie owned horse has the fastest MAD of any Gurupie runner in history. Still relatively unraced, but has had two 98+ speed ratings. Solid.
4. Skin Jumping (2, 2-0-0). Two races for Gurupies, two wins. Both electric come-from behind jobs that showed a lot of heart.
5. Clam Carnival (4, 2-0-0). 3 time 93+ runner for cab, Clam was the first Gurupie Stakes winner, and has a great future. His reliability at 8fD is amazing. With $40K earnings now, he's moving up the rankings.
6. Miss's Butcher(gb) (5, 2-0-2). An exceptionally reliable dirt runner, with 4 90+ speeds for fletchfarm, this 5yo appears to be a new Draft horse leader.
7. Rakida's Plug (5, 1-2-1). A consistent placer (only non-ITM was a 90% effort in week 1026), Rakida's a top earning draft horse with $40K, and also owner of a solid 98.1 MAD in the slop.
8. Kangaroo Minstrel (3, 2-1-0). 3 solid turf-route races from this Toral horse. This 5yo horse has blown through A1x and garnered almost $34K in winnings in just 3 starts. Speed ratings still slightly on the slow side. Will he improve when getting bumped up in class?
9. Utterly The Kelly (5, 2-0-0), this horse is a bit enigmatic. A 100.4 speed to win an A1x gets this horse on the board, but an 81.5 speed to crash to 9th in 1075 has this ranker concerned.
10. Chief Northern (3, 1-1-0). 3 starts, 3 90+ speeds for Larot stables. Although he may be starting to show signs of trouble competing at A2x after a disappointing 9th place finish this week. It's probably a bit unfair to push him all the way down here after 1 9th place finish in an A3x race, but he only has 15K earnings, and the gurupie depth is starting to really show here.

Others (not ranked):
Stock Geri -- slow time this week, probably placed above her head, and maybe too short?
Babified Opossum -- Ouch. Inexplicable slow time. Were the last two races a fluke?
Nine Hermit -- got a nice starter win, and has a 91.1 route race to his resume. Claimer type, needs to prove he can compete in other than just soft fields.
Private Count -- MSW turf route win needs to be duplicated. Plus, needs Allowance competition to give a real test.
Straight Time -- Ouch. Is she hurt? Will she bounce back to the 97 form of a 9fD Stakes competitor? Or is she just a one time wonder?
Country Jodie -- Solid horse, has to push in front of Chief Northern to make this list.
26Madman
      ID: 29246911
      Sat, Jul 07, 14:18
Hmmm. I think to keep things balanced, maybe we should just record Pepi Dan's record as: (5,0-1-3), since I don't personally really think nagpimp1 is an official Gurupie stable, since it's an experimental job.

I also can't believe I left off Napking Kicking, but the (3, 1-1-0) record wasn't screaming out at me, since it included an awful initial race. We shall see. I've been wrong before.

And, to give you an idea of the change in rank from Week 1075:

Now, Change, Name
1., NC, Light Jupiter.
2., NR, Pepi Dan.
3., NR, Sixth Deputy.
4., +6, Skin Jumping.
5., -3, Clam Carnival.
6., NR, Miss's Butcher.
7., -2, Rakida's Plug.
8., NR, Kangaroo Minstrel(ire)
9., NR, Utterly the Kelly(gb)
10, -7, Chief Northern.

Obviously, the addition of 7 fletch stables (3 horses in the top 10) and Sixth Deputy shook up the rankings quite a bit, not to mention a few disappointing performances.
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