Forum: base
Page 18395
Subject: RIBC 2006: Pre-draft discussion


  Posted by: Guru - [330592710] Fri, Feb 17, 2006, 13:05

Here are the 16 managers for the 2006 RotoGuru Invitational Baseball Challenge:

Chris
holt
Oaktown As
Toral
jumpball
KKB
mMoses
Dave R
MC and TB
Hubble
Trip
I am Canadian
Blue Hen
Jeff G
CanEHdian Pride
Guru

These qualifiers represent the top 6 finishers in last year's RIBC, the top 6 in last year's AAA league, the winner of each AA league, and me.

Next year, there will be two AAA leagues, so the qualifications for succession will have to change. No hurry to work that out, especially until we know how many AA leagues are formed.

I don't expect to start the draft until mid-March. We will use the Kafenatid "On the Clock" software again. I will create rotoguru-based links to the draft for those who have difficulty accessing the Kafenatid site from work, and will do that for any of the qualifying leagues that drafts on Kafenatid as well.

We will once again use Yahoo as the hosting site for the league. I will email registration info to all managers once I create the league.

Prior to the draft, we should discuss whether any revisions in the rules are desirable. I'll have to first look up the rules from last year. If anyone wants to beat me to the punch and copy them in here, be my guest.
 
1JeffG
      ID: 25028279
      Fri, Feb 17, 2006, 13:19
From Post 101 of the
RIBC 2005 - preseason discussion

Draft Type: Offline Draft

Max Teams: 16

Scoring Type: Rotisserie

Player Universe: All baseball

Max Moves: No maximum

Max Trades: No maximum

Trade Reject Time: 1

Trade End Date: August 28, 2005

Waiver Time: 2 days

Can't Cut List Provider: None

Trade Review: Commissioner

Post Draft Players: Follow Waiver Rules

Max Games Played: 162

Max Innings Pitched: 1350

Weekly Deadline: Daily - Tomorrow

Start Scoring on: Sunday, Apr 3

Roster Positions: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OF, OF, OF, OF, Util, SP, RP, P, P, P, P, P, P, P, BN, BN, BN, BN

Stat Categories: R, RBI, SB, OBP, SLG, W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP

Minimum IP: 800 (will be monitored oustside of Yahoo)
 
2Athletics Guy
      ID: 911493111
      Fri, Feb 17, 2006, 13:45
I know we don't draft until mid-March, but is it okay if I post my rationale for 1.01 Alex Rodriguez now? I just want to do my part so we don't fall behind.
 
3blue hen
      ID: 38135621
      Fri, Feb 17, 2006, 15:04
"Well, I was debating between A-Rod, (undrafted), and (undrafted) and it was a pretty close race until I realized that he is the best player in the world."
 
4Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Fri, Feb 17, 2006, 15:08
Email sent out to all league managers with Yahoo registration info.

When you select a team name, please try to pick something that people will identify with you. Remember that our league standings are posted on the site, and those not in the league won't have to ability to look up managers.

Also, in order to allow the split standings program to work, please do not change your team name after the opening day of the season. The program uses team name to look up stats for prior days.
 
5blue hen
      ID: 38135621
      Fri, Feb 17, 2006, 15:59
Point taken, Guru. My team name is a double-entendre. Does it mean that I rule? Or perhaps that we are playing by my rules? Or, as I like to say: It doesn't really matter. I'll win anyway.
 
6TB
      Sherpa
      ID: 031811922
      Fri, Feb 17, 2006, 22:32
Can we have a short grace period on our team name? I put it as MC & TB, but want to talk with our team spiritual leader before we go live.

Erik, need you to call me. I have your old number but can't find your new one.

How much does it cost to upgrade to a plus league? I know that our team will be paying for the stat-tracker. If a whole bunch of other people are going to do the same, then maybe we all save a few bucks chipping in and upgrading the whole league.
 
7JeffG
      Leader
      ID: 01584348
      Fri, Feb 17, 2006, 23:35
The cost of upgrading to a PLUS League is $124.99 for each league of up to 20 teams. It looks like if you do, everyone in the league gets StatTracker, which would cost $9.99 per team individualy. There are a few other premiums that Yahoo offers for members of a plus league. I believe that any of us would then be able to use it on any other team we have in Yahoo under the ID. I shelled out for StatTracker last season, and planned on it again this season, so I'm willing to throw in my $10. We'd just have to handle the logistics.
 
8Trip
      Leader
      ID: 13961611
      Fri, Feb 17, 2006, 23:44
If the league consensus is to go with a plus league, count me in. I don't use stat tracker, I prefer to watch baseball tonight and then review box scores the next morning.

For those who do want to use stat-tracker for all of their leagues they will still have to pay individually if they want to use stat-tracker for all of their leagues. Please correct me if I am wrong.
 
9TB
      Sherpa
      ID: 031811922
      Sat, Feb 18, 2006, 15:07
I paid for it last year and got live stats for both of my teams. I don't care about any of the other options that come with the plus league, so to truly save any money we would need 14 of 16 managers pitching in. That isn't worth the hassle of one person collecting all the cash. Regardless, I doubt we have 14 managers who want to pay for it.
 
10blue hen
      ID: 38135621
      Mon, Feb 20, 2006, 22:39
I have already paid for stat tracker for one of my other leagues.
 
11Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 12:01
I'm ambivalent about stat-tracker. I've never used it.

TB[6] - you can have until opening day to "lock in" your teamname.

Is everyone content to stick with the same rules as last year?
 
12JeffG
      ID: 25028279
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 13:05
I'm good with using the same rules. I was thinking of bringing up the DL slot suggestion, but re-read the arguments for both sides from last year's thread, and it seems ok without it (now if my team can just avoid injuries).
 
13The Treasonists
      Donor
      ID: 171572711
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 13:08
I'm in AAA and may not have any say in the matter, but is it possible to add one DL spot?
That's the only change I would suggest.
 
14Toral
      ID: 541029611
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 13:09
I have no rules changes to suggest.

I use StatTracker but if even a few people have bought it already, the idea of upgrading to a Plus league ought to reserved for next year (if ever). Just what are the additional premium features?

Toral
 
15Toral
      ID: 541029611
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 13:10
Oh heck I forgot one. I suggest increasing the bench by 1 slot to allow more flexibility. Just an idea.

Toral
 
16KrazyKoalaBears
      ID: 15023167
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 13:17
I, too, am ambivalent about StatTracker.

I'm intrigued by the suggestion in #15. My only opposition to it would be the fact that the FA market would pretty much disappear. That would be 16 more players not available as FA and that's probably 2 players shy of what was available last year. ;)
 
17blue hen
      ID: 38135621
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 14:17
No DL slots. Please.

Agree about the bench - I think it's fine.
 
18Trip
      Leader
      ID: 13961611
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 14:19
I wouldn't change a thing.
 
19I_AM_CANADIAN
      ID: 521191210
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 16:24
Either way is fine by me... only slight preference for a slightly deeper bench.
 
20Athletics Guy
      ID: 911493111
      Tue, Feb 21, 2006, 17:54
I like the rules just the way they are now...unless someone gave me A-Rod, then I may have a different opinion.
 
21blue hen
      ID: 38135621
      Wed, Feb 22, 2006, 10:58
I think you should be allowed to have as many bench slots as you have letters in your middle name.
 
22Hubble
      ID: 0992417
      Wed, Feb 22, 2006, 17:13
My middle name is "danger"
 
23holt
      ID: 4125221
      Wed, Feb 22, 2006, 17:53
my middle name is Ignatauski.
 
24TB
      ID: 37373017
      Wed, Feb 22, 2006, 19:19
Mine is Wolfeschlegelsteinhausenberdorf
 
25Chris
      ID: 1410141221
      Wed, Feb 22, 2006, 21:57
Agreed here to keep the rules the same.
 
26holt
      ID: 4125221
      Wed, Feb 22, 2006, 22:29
lol. his full name:

Adolf Blaine Charles David Earl Frederick Gerald Hubert Irvin John Kenneth Lloyd Martin Nero Oliver Paul Quincy Randolph Sherman Thomas Uncas Victor William Xerxes Yancy Zeus Wolfeschlegelsteinhausenberdorf

his name has 181 letters, if I counted correctly.
31 letters in his last name.

Uncas???
 
27Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 14:32
Just thinking about scheduling.

Last year, we officially started the draft on Monday, March 7, although we allowed early picks during the weekend prior. We completed the draft on March 26, so it took 19 days.

This year, the season starts on April 2. We want to finish the draft in time to get all rosters set and to allow all undrafted players to clear initial waivers. A target completion date of March 29 seems suitable. If so, that would mean that we should probably start the draft no later than March 10, which is a Friday. Perhaps we could start the clock on that Friday, but allow untimed picks to begin on Wednesday, March 8.

How's that sound? Do any of you have scheduling issues that we should be aware of in advance? Do all of you expect to be available on weekends as well as weekdays?

Meanwhile...

I'm not seeing any groundswell of support for any rule changes, so I'm going to decree that we stick with the same framework as last year.

Our next order of business, then, is to select our draft order, otherwise known as the draft2. As you may recall, we have a one round selection process in which we each decide what our draft sequence will be. The draft will snake, so that the manager with the #1 pick will have that last pick in the 2nd round.

At the end of the draft, waiver priority will be assigned in the order of even round picks. So, the team with the first overall pick will have the last waiver priority to open the season.

In order to set the order for the draft2, I need two sets of "random" integers from 1-16. I will accept the first two that are emailed to me from 2 different RIBC managers. The first set will resequence an alphabetized list of the team names as currently registered at Yahoo. The second set will assign the draft order. After I receive two sets of numbers, I will post the results here.
 
28JeffG
      ID: 25028279
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 14:52
Random numbers emailed.

If anyone wants to use this link to generate the random sequence, go for it random number sequence 1-16

I will be available all March, and will be available to check in on weekends when my pick gets close. I'll be glad to help with queues as well.

On The Clock has an auto email feature that lets you know when you are up, so I can set my cell phone text messenger as one of the recipients so I'll know when to pick if I come up when I am not near a computer.

Looking forward to the challenge of RIBC, you guys are a formidable bunch.
 
29Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 14:58
Trip sent the following set:
2 10 4 3 11 12 1 13 6 7 8 14 15 5 16 9

JeffG then sent:
11 16 1 13 15 5 12 9 2 10 4 7 14 8 6 3

Here is the resulting selection order for the draft2:
1 Holt's Revenge
2 Toral Wheatfarmers
3 The Say EH Kid
4 Hubble's
5 Kafenatid.net
6 RotoGuru.com
7 IAMCANADIAN
8 Oaktown A's
9 mMoses RIBC
10 Chris' Repeaters
11 JeffG RIBC
12 MC & TB
13 Day Trippers
14 jumpball RIBC
15 SANFORDORS
16 Blue Hen Rules


We can begin the draft2 immediately. There is no clock for this round.
 
30Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 14:59
There is also no rush, so don't feel pressured into making a quick choice if you want to think about it.
 
31blue hen
      ID: 38135621
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 15:46
To paraphrase the alien from the Simpsons: "It doesn't matter what position you give me; your league is doomed... DOOMED... to finish behind Blue Hen."
 
32blue hen
      ID: 38135621
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 15:48
Oh, and can we set a 10 millisecond timeout to make these picks? We can? It looks like I am up, then. I select pick 1. What do you mean I can't do that?
 
33Athletics Guy
      ID: 911493111
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 18:38
16 Blue Hen Rules

As Nelson Muntz from the Simpsons would say: Ha-Ha
 
34holt
      ID: 491122318
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 19:16
wow - I'm used to falling in the bottom 20% of priority for these drafts. I need a little time to think about this.
 
35Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 22:45
Ha-ha
 
36Trip
      Leader
      ID: 13961611
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 23:20
If only I had sent in my numbers 3 minutes later...

 
37JeffG
      Leader
      ID: 01584348
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 23:31
Yup Trip. If my 'random' numbers came in to Guru before yours, you'd be 2nd to chose your slot, and Oak at #1 would have got the player that seems to want from posts [2] and [20]. On the other end, Holt would have plenty of time to think with the second to last choice.
 
38Athletics Guy
      ID: 911493111
      Thu, Feb 23, 2006, 23:45
Aw man, I wish I didn't read that.
Trip, you're killing me! ;)
 
39holt
      ID: 491122318
      Fri, Feb 24, 2006, 05:58
I guess I'll pick first. doing two picks at once is convenient.
 
40Toral
      ID: 541029611
      Fri, Feb 24, 2006, 08:17
I'll pick second. Doing 2 picks separated by only 2 picks is convenient.

Toral
 
41jumpball
      ID: 0142416
      Fri, Feb 24, 2006, 17:18
If my memory is correct, I've drawn a 2 digit number in this process all 3 years now . . . however, as long as the final league results remain the same, I'm not going to complain!
 
42cEHp
      ID: 516250
      Sat, Feb 25, 2006, 01:32
I too like having two consecutive picks.

I will take 16.

Its all about convenience.
 
43Hubble
      ID: 0992417
      Sat, Feb 25, 2006, 08:51
picking 15th is not as convenient as picking 16th... but i guess its as conveniant as it can get...

So 15th
 
44KrazyKoalaBears
      ID: 0156519
      Sat, Feb 25, 2006, 11:12
Wow, I totally expected to be deciding between the #5 or the #16 slot. Sign me up for #3!
 
45Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Sat, Feb 25, 2006, 11:34
Sorry, guys. I must confess I'm not prepared to decide yet. May not be until tomorrow.

Relax...
 
46Athletics Guy
      ID: 911493111
      Sat, Feb 25, 2006, 12:08
Take your time Guru, I need more time to decide as well.
 
47JeffG
      Leader
      ID: 01584348
      Sat, Feb 25, 2006, 12:24
Here is where we are:

Draft order:
1 Holt's Revenge
2 Toral Wheatfarmers
3 Kafenatid.net
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15 Hubble's
16 The Say EH Kid


Selection order of those left to choose

RotoGuru.com
IAMCANADIAN
Oaktown A's
mMoses RIBC
Chris' Repeaters
JeffG RIBC
MC & TB
Day Trippers
jumpball RIBC
SANFORDORS
Blue Hen Rules
 
48I_AM_CANADIAN
      ID: 521191210
      Sun, Feb 26, 2006, 11:00
Sent request to Hubble to contact me once Guru picks. I'll be away from the computer all day, so I'll get him to pick it for me.

Thx,

IAC
Ben
 
49Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Sun, Feb 26, 2006, 17:15
Sorry for the delay.

I'll pick 6th.
 
50Hubble
      ID: 0992417
      Sun, Feb 26, 2006, 21:13
I tried to call Ben (IAC) but he is on the road to Moncton (from Montreal i guess its 14 hours...)

i couldnt find the e-mail he sent me... i'm sorry about that... hopefully he'll check soon, i have no other way to reach him. i e-mailed him.
 
51Hubble
      ID: 01212716
      Mon, Feb 27, 2006, 17:31
Ok, i just found out I_A_C had sent me a mail on my hotmail account... (i never ever used it)...

He should call me tonight and i'll post it before 8:00pm
 
52Hubble
      ID: 01212716
      Mon, Feb 27, 2006, 20:41
I_AM_CANADIAN is going to pick 10th
 
53Athletics Guy
      ID: 911493111
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 00:38
I'll pick 12th.
 
54TB
      Sherpa
      ID: 031811922
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 00:41
Draft order:
1 Holt's Revenge
2 Toral Wheatfarmers
3 Kafenatid.net
4
5
6 RotoGuru.com
7
8
9
10 IAMCANADIAN
11
12 Oaktown A's
13
14
15 Hubble's
16 The Say EH Kid


Selection order of those left to choose

mMoses RIBC
Chris' Repeaters
JeffG RIBC
MC & TB
Day Trippers
jumpball RIBC
SANFORDORS
Blue Hen Rules
 
55mMoses
      ID: 50129133
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 01:53
I'll pick 4th.
 
56Chris
      ID: 1410141221
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 11:10
I'll pick 5th
 
57JeffG
      ID: 25028279
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 11:23
I'll take 7th

Draft order:
1 Holt's Revenge
2 Toral Wheatfarmers
3 Kafenatid.net
4 mMoses RIBC
5 Chris' Repeaters
6 RotoGuru.com
7 JeffG RIBC
8
9
10 IAMCANADIAN
11
12 Oaktown A's
13
14
15 Hubble's
16 The Say EH Kid


Selection order of those left to choose

MC & TB
Day Trippers
jumpball RIBC
SANFORDORS
Blue Hen Rules
 
58Guru
      ID: 501282712
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 12:24
Just an early heads up to those picking 7th and later...

Depending on how the first 5 picks go (in round 1), I might be interested in swapping my picks in the first 2 rounds with yours. If we get to pick 6 and there is a player out there that you really want to nab, we might be able to work out a swap.
 
59TB
      ID: 1286814
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 14:35
We will pick 8th.

Draft order:
1 Holt's Revenge
2 Toral Wheatfarmers
3 Kafenatid.net
4 mMoses RIBC
5 Chris' Repeaters
6 RotoGuru.com
7 JeffG RIBC
8 MC & TB
9
10 IAMCANADIAN
11
12 Oaktown A's
13
14
15 Hubble's
16 The Say EH Kid

Selection order of those left to choose
Day Trippers
jumpball RIBC
SANFORDORS
Blue Hen Rules
 
60I_AM_CANADIAN
      ID: 3579513
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 14:36
Hey guys... thx for gettin in my pic. I just got back in town this morning, from a really horid roadtrip. I should be more able to keep abreast of the draft from this point on.

Thx.
 
61JeffG
      Leader
      ID: 01584348
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 15:17
I_A_C - No problem. From being in AAA with you last year, one thing I know for sure, is you can be depended on to be on top of things come draft time.
 
62Trip
      Leader
      ID: 13961611
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 16:16
I'll take 14th.
 
63jumpball
      Sustainer
      ID: 33050298
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 20:26
Give me the 11 slot please.
 
64jumpball
      Sustainer
      ID: 33050298
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 20:38
Thanks for being patient with me guys . . . hopefully I won't slow the draft down too much by not having complete access to the internet during the day.

I can't wait for the draft -- mostly to see what surprise KKB has in store with his #3 pick this year . . . last year he surprised us all by taking <<1.03 Undrafted>> . . . will he do it again?!? :-)
 
65Dave R
      Dude
      ID: 3010361110
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 21:31
I'll pick 9th
 
66Athletics Guy
      ID: 911493111
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 21:38
Draft order:
1 Holt's Revenge
2 Toral Wheatfarmers
3 Kafenatid.net
4 mMoses RIBC
5 Chris' Repeaters
6 RotoGuru.com
7 JeffG RIBC
8 MC & TB
9 SANFORDORS
10 IAMCANADIAN
11 jumpball RIBC
12 Oaktown A's
13 Blue Hen Rules
14 Day Trippers
15 Hubble's
16 The Say EH Kid
 
67Hubble
      ID: 01212716
      Tue, Feb 28, 2006, 22:06
Still can't beleive Holt got first pick... pffff
 
68holt
      ID: 491122318
      Wed, Mar 01, 2006, 03:41
lol, me either. i've never gotten 1st pick in any league i've ever played in. this is new territory for me.
 
69blue hen
      ID: 38135621
      Wed, Mar 01, 2006, 10:51
Great, I get to pick between Mach and Trip. How am I supposed to get any good players again?
 
70JeffG
      Leader
      ID: 01584348
      Wed, Mar 01, 2006, 15:37
From [27]

Last year, we officially started the draft on Monday, March 7, although we allowed early picks during the weekend prior. We completed the draft on March 26, so it took 19 days.

This year, the season starts on April 2. We want to finish the draft in time to get all rosters set and to allow all undrafted players to clear initial waivers. A target completion date of March 29 seems suitable. If so, that would mean that we should probably start the draft no later than March 10, which is a Friday. Perhaps we could start the clock on that Friday, but allow untimed picks to begin on Wednesday, March 8.


If that is the game plan, sounds good to me.
 
71blue hen
      ID: 38135621
      Wed, Mar 01, 2006, 15:40
I'm fine going even earlier if you like.
 
72Toral
      ID: 541029611
      Wed, Mar 01, 2006, 16:47
Earlier the better. I'll be busier as March goes on. The earlier we start the more slack we can allow if we have to.

Toral
 
73Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Mar 01, 2006, 17:18
I'd prefer to stick with that schedule. I know that the qualifying leagues often like to get a head start so that they can stay ahead of our picks, and that's fine for me as well.

And frankly, I'm still nowhere close to being ready.
 
74I_AM_CANADIAN
      ID: 521191210
      Wed, Mar 01, 2006, 21:29
8-10th sounds ok to me.
 
75Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Sat, Mar 04, 2006, 17:39
I put together a spreadsheet listing all Yahoo position eligibilities for hitters, as of 3/4/06:
Yahoo-elig-3-4-06.xls


 
76Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Sun, Mar 05, 2006, 08:03
I wrote a general purpose script to display the kafenatid draft results, both in sequential pick order and also as a draft grid. Since it runs from the rotoguru1.com domain, it will work for those who are blocked from kafenatid.net at work. If anyone has limited access to both rotoguru1.com and kafenatid.net, let me know and I can set this up on an alternate domain as well.

In order to work, the draft must be set up in kafenatid as a publicly viewable draft in both formats. The RIBC and qualifying leagues are set up this way. The draft must also have started already.

Here are the two QL drafts in progress:
RIBC AA Sally League

RIBC AA Mudcats League

The sequential picks are at the top. scroll down to the bottom for the grid.
 
77 Trip
      Leader
      ID: 13961611
      Sun, Mar 05, 2006, 13:12
I will be traveling on business through Wednesday. If you need to contact me before Thursday, use the link in this post.
 
78Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 06, 2006, 09:38
These were last year's logistical guidelines for the draft:
Starting at 7am, we will institute a 6 hour clock. The clock will pause between 11pm and 7am ET. If you time out, the draft will move on. Skipped picks can be made up at any time thererafter.

If your turn arises and you still have an outstanding skipped pick, I will probably move the draft on to the next picker. If we get well ahead of pace, I may relax that stance. But hopefully it will not become an issue. This also means that people on the turn have a single clock period to make their first pick, or both will be skipped.

We will use a draft discussion thread for logistical communications, to help others anticipate potential delays, to recruit someone to accept a queue, to announce or solicit trades, to coordinate changes in the clock for weekends, etc. Please check that thread regularly throughout the draft, as we will rely on it as the primary means of communication among RIBC managers.

Established draft etiquette is that no undrafted player names should be mentioned, and in the event of an infraction, should be edited out.
I am planning to continue using these guidelines. The draft will commence on Wednesday morning, but the 6-hour clock will not be turned on until Friday morning. We will keep the clock turned on during weekends.
 
79Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Mar 08, 2006, 15:07
I'm posting this here just so that I have a chance of finding it next winter. (I figured I would be less likely to find it in the draft thread.)

Here is the general framework I envision for yearly succession - subject to change at my own whim:

2007 RIBC (16 teams)
Top 6 from 2006 RIBC
Top 3 from each AAA league (6)
Winner of each AA (3)
Guru

2007 AAA leagues (32 teams)
Non-returning 9 from 2006 RIBC
Teams ranked 4-8 in each AAA (10)
Teams ranked 2-5 in each AA (12)

That produces only 31 AAA teams, so that leaves one to play with, plus openings due to attrition. Chances are that the 6th place AA teams would get to advance, and maybe more.