Forum: base
Page 19785
Subject: RIBC 2009: Draft Rationales (Rounds 1-8)


  Posted by: Guru - [330592710] Fri, Mar 13, 2009, 22:52

This thread will be for managers in the RotoGuru Invitational Baseball Challenge to provide the rationale for each pick.

Here are the ground rules:
1. Only managers in this league should post here. If you want to provide feedback (either from other league managers, or from those not in the league), put it in the discussion thread. (Non-conforming discussion in this thread will be deleted.)

2. Try to keep the pick rationales in the same order as the draft. We'll attempt to keep this thread 2 rounds behind the actual draft. With the lag, most comments should not have an impact on the draft in progress. However, if there are aspects of your pick that you feel need to be kept under wraps, feel free to protect that information. In particular, please avoid mentioning the names of any players who are still undrafted at that time of the post.

Please post your (2 round lagged) comments at the time you make your pick. For example, you should post your comments for your round 1 pick when you make your round 3 selection. If you are not ready to post at that time, then create a "placeholder" so that the next person is able to go ahead in sequence. When your post is ready, simply post it in the draft discussion thread and a moderator can copy it over.

If possible, please draft your rationale at the time your are making that pick. Not only does that allow you to remember your thoughts "in the moment", but it also makes it simple to copy and paste it when it is due, avoiding unnecessary delays and/or placeholders.

If your rationale is due and intervening placeholders have not been inserted, please insert them before posting your rationale. Simply post something like "2.10 placeholder for Guru". This makes it easy for me (or any moderator) to splice the eventual rationale in the proper place.

3. If you are providing rationales after a placeholder has been inserted, then post it in the draft discussion thread, and someone will copy it over.

4. Once the draft is over, each manager is also encouraged to provide a general draft recap, at which time you can discuss your overall strategy, mention any undisclosed factors, comment on what worked out well and what didn't, etc.

The general format should be:
1.01 Alex Rodriguez, 3B, NYY
Several sentences of rationale.

In addition, along with your first player rationale, please comment on your rationale for your selection of draft order.
 
1JL
      ID: 7211513
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 15:03
1.01 Hanley Ramirez, SS, Fla

Ramirez gives me power and speed at a middle infield position. And he’s only 25, so we can expect him to improve. He was my first choice, even before ARod’s injury. Pujols is obviously a viable option here, but position scarcity gives Hanley the edge.
 
2Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 20:25
for Holt
1.02 Albert Pujols 1B STL

I was left the option of taking the #2 pick and figured that would give me Pujols. Even though I'm a big Cardinals fan I don't recall ever having Pujols on a team, ever. Not even in one of those goofy Yahoo public leagues. I have nothing to say about Pujols that everyone doesn't know already? He's one of a kind.

 
3Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 20:26
for Da Bomb
1.03 David Wright, 3B, NYM
An obvious choice for me with the 3rd overall pick. Wright is a 5-tool player and a great cornerstone to build any team around.
 
4Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 20:26
for JKaye
1.04 Jose Reyes, SS, NYM

With the 4th pick, I figured I would get my hands on one of
three players (even before the ARod injury)- Hanley, Reyes or
Wright - and I would be happy with any of them. Obviously,
ARod going down forced my hand, and instead of having a pick
between two players, I simply took the last remaining. Which is
fine. I like them all as a #1 stud.
 
5Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 20:27
1.05 Miguel Cabrera, 1B/3B, DET
On draft order selection, I’m sure I’ll be repeating something by now, but of course the injury of AROD sort of threw me off. When I took the 5th spot, I was expecting to land either Wright or Reyes. I had Reyes last year and that seemed to work well for me, so I favored him, but not enough to take the 4th spot. Then of course, the AROD news made all of that irrelevant.

As for Cabrera, it was between him and Sizemore. I liked Sizemore for his added steals, but decided to go for Cabrera for a few reasons. I think he has a chance to build on his great 2nd half last year and return to his great numbers from 2006/7. Also, I don’t particularly like taking OF’s this early and Cabrera’s CI flexibility allows me to play around with those positions in the draft and the season. In prepping for the draft, I did not like the depth (or lack thereof) in the 3B position this year. If I can snag Cabrera and throw him in at that spot and then grab a top 1B, I will be in good shape in those power positions.
 
7Philsphan
      ID: 372341120
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 22:13
for Dave R
1.06 Ryan Braun OF Mil

I had the option of choosing whatever position I wanted, and it would have been nice to have Hanley. I just hate drafting on the ends. 6th seemed like as good a spot as any.

Originally I figured on getting Sizemore here, but with ARod's injury, I figured Sizemore would go top 5 ( shows how much I know ). My very short list consisted of Braun and Cabrera. So, Cabrera goes 5th, Sizemore is available, and I take Braun ;)

Struggling with a rib cage injury last September, Ryan still managed 106 RBI's and 92 runs. His OPS was .888, down from a gaudy 1.004 his rookie year. Considering he's only 26 and played through an injury last year, I see plenty of room for improvement.

Solid %'s, a virtual lock for 100 runs and RBI's, 15-20 SB's should make a nice foundation for team SANFORDORS.

 
8Philsphan
      ID: 372341120
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 22:32
1.07, Chase Utley, 2B, PHI

For the first time I get to pick between 3 players from my favorite team in the first round. Talk about a homer pick, but that’s fine by me. The choice was between Howard, Rollins and Utley. One of the reasons I took a relatively lower pick was that I wanted one of them to anchor my team without having to reach too far. Rollins was tempting because of the SB aspect, but I felt his OBP was too low for my taste. I almost picked Howard because of the RBI’s and SLG. And frankly I think he is going to have a monster year this year.

But in the end I wanted a 2B. My teams have always been weak in the MI slots, and I always find myself searching late in rounds for a weak player at that position when I should be rounding my team out with better players on the board.

I think Utley starts the season on time, and with the hip healed will have a better year than last year. 100+ R and RBI, .380 OBP and .550 SLG. Plus 13 SB’s. Can’t go wrong with this pick.
 
10Bags
      ID: 26107111
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 22:55
1.08 Mark Teixeira, 1B, NYY

I wanted to draft as close to the top as possible. I was expecting to pick at 12 so when the 8th spot was available I was happy to take it.

I wanted to get a player who would help me out the most in all five categories. While Tex will not help me in SB he will probably lead my team in the other four categories. I think he will have an OBP at or above .400, a SLG at or above .550, 100 plus runs, and possibly lead the league in RBI. Just the foundation I want to build my team around. Sizemore and Kinsler were also considered for this pick
 
11filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 23:02
1.09 Jimmy Rollins, SS, PHI

First of all, choosing my draft order. I had 6th choice, could've picked 2,3, or 8-16. I went with 9. Logic was barely used. Middle pick was ideal, and I was 10th pick last season for a 2nd place finish, time to move it up a notch this year! I also won the mock draft last year picking 9th. Seems to be a good number for me. Using the metric system, I came up with 9=1 as well. Hopefully I converted accurately.

As for the pick itself. It was a queue pick. I left a 7 player queue (2mets, 3phils, 1tiger, 1indian) with 7 picks to go. Five of the names were picked, but my #3 choice, Jimmy Rollins had survived. Can't go wrong with a shortstop who has MVP potential. Took him in the first round last year, and despite the numbers drop, I was definitely sold. While I don't see him matching 2007's MVP numbers, I also don't see him matching 2008's drop in numbers. Somewhere in the middle is achievable and would be just fine by me.

 
12Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Sun, Mar 15, 2009, 23:26
Pick #10
No deep thought here. I like being in the middle of the round, and although I could have taken pick #8, I thought there was enough depth in the first round to slide back to #10.

1.10 Grady Sizemore, OF, Cle

I had been planning to land Ian Kinsler here. And maybe I should have done that anyway, since he fills a much scarcer middle infield position. But I already have Kinsler on another team, and when Sizemore unexpectedly slipped to pick #10, I had to nab him. A 5-tool player, a 5-category contributor, and an Indian to boot!

True, he is nursing a sore groin this spring. I’m presuming there will be no long term effects. At age 26, I’m hoping for number like last year’s, or maybe a tad higher.

 
13Species
      ID: 444482616
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 00:29
For dror:

11th Pick

I don't like picking in the corners, and I also don't like picking right in the middle. My prefered picks are alway like 5-6 or 11-12, since I feel those spots provide good balance between having 2 picks relatively close to each other while not completely losing touch with the draft when it goes the other way. Last year I picked 11th and it worked out pretty good, so I decided to go for it again.

1.11 Ian Kinsler, 2B, Tex
I wanted a MI, and the plan was to get either Rollins, Utley or Kinlser. Kinsler is actualy the one I like the most out of the 3 so I was more then happy to get him here. He leads off for a very strong offense, and was probably the leading candidate for AL MVP last year untill he was shut down with an injury. He should be good for solid contributions accross all 5 categories, and thats exactly how I like to start my team.
 
14Species
      ID: 444482616
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 00:46
12th Pick

It was the highest pick available. I don't like drafting on the ends, as I just don't want to wait so long between picks....you end up reaching early too often.

1.12 Ryan Howard, 1b, PHI

Many reasons to take Howard: Durable, the major's RBI leader, great hitting ballpark, solid slugging %.
Reasons to worry about Howard: High strikeouts, declining batting average.

I'm hopeful that Howard's fluky BABIP will result in a higher BA, giving him an even better OBP and SLG. Expecting 125-130 RBI, 100 runs and solid percentages.

The numbers I am reviewing made me seriously consider BJ Upton here. I firmly believe his power will return and he will be a huge producer in the middle of the Rays' surging lineup. But in reviewing other drafts, I thought there was a good chance he would make it to me in Round 2. Sure enough, he did.
 
15Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:17
for rheo
1.13 Johan Santana SP NYM
I didn't have much of choice with when to pick so went a bit lower to see who might drop to me and go from there. I really didn't have much problem making this pick. Don't usually go pitching first round but I liked him compared to what was left. Of course now he'll blow out some body part now that I've grabbed him...
 
16Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:17
for Bash Brothers
14th pick
Not much of choices here, since I am the 14th to choose draft position. I just chosed one that was farthest away from the corner.

1.14 Carlos Beltran OF NYMNot much hype here. I usually use my 1st rounder to build the strength of my hitting. But the elite players are long gone. I'd like to have a 4- or 5-category player here. Among the "proven player", I was considering about Beltran and Berkman. I thought that Berkman might fall back to me, so I just pulled the trigger on Beltran.

Beltran falls into my "5-category" type of player well. Unfortunately, I saw quite a few down sides of him. Periodic knee and quads problem has bothered him for some time. He is quietly aging, and his slugging % drops for consecutive years. To console myself, I see him in a lineup with Wright (my anchor player from last year's squad) and Reyes (whom I'd really like to have), which could well maintain his productivity. So I am hoping he can hold on for one more year.

 
17Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:18
for Coldwater Coyotes
1.15 Dustin Pedroia 2B BOS
Second base is clearly the weakest position this year and I would have preferred a higher draft pick to get Utley or Kinsler but I am fine with Pedroia. I think we still see some more growth this year and an OPS of .900 and over 110 runs and 20 SBs.
 
18Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:20
for vampire weekend
1.16 Josh Hamilton OF TEX
2.01 Manny Ramirez OF LAD


After days of careful analysis, my 11 year old son who I have brought into the fantasy sports world and I were convinced that at 16 and 17 we would be picking Dustin Pedroia and Carlos Beltran.

Scene:
Daughter is at a sleepover; Mom, dad, and son are having dinner at a restaurant after pick 13:

Mom – would you 2 shut up about the #)*$&*% draft for 5 minutes?

Son – but mom --- it is our turn in 2 pics – we have to talk about it

(Mom gives if looks could kill glance to Dad)

Dad (who has been married too long to care if Mom gives that look) – what if the next 2 picks are Pedroia and Beltran?

Well…when we got home you know what we saw. Considered taking a pitcher and an outfielder; considered taking a 3rd baseman and a pitcher; considered taking a 3rd baseman and an outfielder, etc. etc. with a variety of people considered in each scenario.

Ultimately decided to go with 2 outfielders who we hope perform up to expectations. Will be ecstatic with a motivated Manny and Hamilton if he comes anywhere close to last years’ production.

Still not sure it was the way to go.
 
19Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:20
for Coldwater Coyotes
2.02 Lance Berkman 1B HOU
After meeting my 2B priority I was free to take the best available. Berkman is reliable and we are looking at a minimum of 100 RBI and an OPS of .940. Pity he has lost his OF eligibility.
 
20Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:21
for Bash Brothers
2.03 Evan Longoria 3B TAM
I'd like to have an IFer here and was praying for Berkman to fall to me. He never did, which turned out to be a blessing in disguise since this led to my rd 3 selection whom I was very satisfied with.

I was think about A. Rod and Longoria. The uncertain returning time of the former makes me wonder. Besides, I was afraid it could be worse, something like avascular necrosis of femoral head - a common complication stemming from steroid use, which might need total hip replacement surgery. So I went with the more sure one.

Longoria makes me think of a young A.Rod in the making. With 1 outstanding year under his belt, he can be more mature this year. If he shows more patience at the plate to cut down his K rate and swipes a dozen or so bags, he could be as valuable as Wright is in 2009.

 
21Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:21
for rheo
2.04 Carl Crawford OF TAM
Maybe a bit of a reach but I have faith in him to bounce back. I like his proven homer/steal numbers although he has to stay healthy. I considered Upton but I thought Crawford was a safer play. Also thought about Lincecum to mess everyone up but decided to play it safe (smart) and go with the bat.
 
22Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:23
for Species
2.05 B.J. Upton OF TAM
In the immortal words of C. Montgomery Burns:

"Eeeeexxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxccccccccelllllllent!!"

I was there rubbing my hands together like good old Burns on The Simpsons when I woke up and found that I had nabbed Upton with this pick. Statistically, by the numbers I am using as my guide, Upton could have merited my pick at 1.12. But after looking at other drafts, and of course knowing that Upton no longer qualifies at 2b, I rolled the dice and took Howard in Round 1 hoping specifically that Upton would fall to me in Round 2, and he did.

I'm hoping for a .385+ OBP and a SLG over .480 (but really hope for .500). I am hopeful that Upton nagging injuries last year sapped his power, and that the power surge we saw in the 2008 playoffs were the result of his immense potential finally coming to fruition. To make this pick work, however, I do need Upton to steal at least 35 bases. What is uncertain about Upton is the effect on all of his stats if he hits in the #3 hole this year. It wouldn't make a ton of sense to try to steal 44 bags again hitting in front of Longoria and Pena.....but on the flip side the increased RBI in the 3 hole, solid runs hitting in front of those 2 guys, and also likely an increase in %'s in the 3 hole perhaps will offset it. But I am pretty stoked to have landed Howard and Upton for a strong 1-2 punch so far.

 
23Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:23
for dror
2.06 Alex Rodriguez 3B NYY
Man that was a tough pick. I know that the easy way to go was probably to take a starter or an OF, but I have so much of those that I like for later rounds that I just had to go in a different direction. I knew it was going to be a problematic pick even before the draft, and decided that unless a true 5 category star like Beltran of Upton is still on the board I'm going to be the one who ends up with A-Rod. There is no point in trying to predict what's going on in this guy's head after this crazy offseason, so I will just keep my fingers crossed that he comes back in early May and do exactly what he has done in the last 10 or so years, and that's to be the best hitter in baseball. It's not pretty, but at the end of the day 130 games of his usual production is well worth of a middle 2nd round pick.
 
24Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 11:25
2.07 Kevin Youkilis, 1B/3B, Bos
It was a nice surprise to land Sizemore with pick #10 in the first round. But that’s now interfering with my plans for this pick. I’d prefer not to take another outfielder with this pick, even though they are at the top of my hitter rankings now. If I had taken Kinsler in round one (as planned), then I’d probably be taking either Carlos Lee or Alfonso Soriano now. But there’s too much depth in the OF to stack that position now.

Those who have played with me in fantasy baseball leagues over the past years know that I have a man-crush on Youkilis. Last year, he even added prodigious power by slugging .569, more than 100 points over his prior three year averages. If he does that again, he’ll be a steal here. But even if his slugging slide to .500, he still offers good statistical value at this point, with his 1B/3B flexibility and his high OBA. And he’s bald, too. (By the way, if head sweat was a category, Youkilis would be a total stud.)

Admittedly, I’m paying full price for him this year. In the other RIBC leagues, he’s been going in the early part of round 3. So it looks doubtful that he will slide to my next pick at 3.10. Eighteen players will disappear before my next selection, and Youkilis would certainly be among them. And regardless of where he’s being selected in other drafts, I have him ranked as the top non-OF, so that’s where I’m going. It’s now or never.

I also considered Prince Fielder, but I actually have him ranked just a tad below Youk – even though he’s being drafted earlier. I also considered a top tier starting pitcher – but that’s just not the approach I want to take. Load up on hitting now, take care of starting pitchers later.
 
25filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 13:29
2.08 Prince Fielder, 1B, MIL

At this time, I had 1 pick between setting a queue and picking. So I made a 17 player queue and checked out for the day. The queue was mostly Prince Fielder and 16 other guys, so I'm glad Guru went the other way. Prince is a beast, that's all I really have to say to justify this one.
 
26Bags@work
      ID: 31442714
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 14:36
2.09 Tim Lincecum, SP, SFO

I didn’t plan on drafting a pitcher this early. A few hitters that I wanted had come off the board early and I was unsure of who I wanted. So I looked at a little ADP to see who was being drafted at 25. Lincecum was the man at 25. The more I thought about it the more It made sense to me. If Tim has another season like last year he will give me a great foundation for my pitching.
 
27Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 16:03
for Philsphan
2.10 Matt Holliday, OF, OAK

I was hoping Manny would make it back to me but I thought that unlikely, and I wanted an OF here. Holliday fit the bill over Markakis, Soriano or Lee, all of whom were on my list.

I don’t understand the love lost for him by going to Oakland. A good hitter is a good hitter, right? Besides, odds are that he does not make it to July in Oakland and gets traded to a better team. If I’m lucky he pulls a Manny offensively and carries my team to a championship in the second half.

While Holliday probably won’t replicate his Colorado numbers, I still think he gets close to 110 R and RBI, and has an SLG of .520 - .540. Add another 15-20 steals and I almost feel like I get another first round pick.
 
28Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 16:45
for Dave R
2.11 Nick Markakis OF Bal
I had no intention of taking a 2nd OFer with my second pick. And as things unfolded, I sort of wish I hadn't. Morneau and Ramirez were there for the taking and I might have been better served to shore up a CI position, instead of scrambling later.

But I think Markakis is solid value. He seemingly took a step backward in some counting stats from his first full season, but improved in both % cats, particularly OBP, helped by a patient approach and 99 walks. A year more experienced, I'm looking for a positive progression in power and SB's.

I have no doubt Nick will supply over 100 runs and RBI's, an OPS around .900 and maybe throw in 20 steals.

 
29Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Mon, Mar 16, 2009, 16:45
2.12 Justin Morneau, 1B, MIN
Another high RBI and OPS guy, just the sort I like to pile up on in the beginning of these drafts. Again, I gave position preference to IF over OF, as there were a few OF I liked that I figured would make it back to me. You can get good value at 1B in the middle rounds, but I have Morneau as the last one left that is a notch above the rest. With him and Cabrera I feel good about CI. My other consideration was Brian Roberts, as I wanted steals without killing the other categories, and of course he is a MI. But I figured to roll the dice and hope he makes it back. If not, I feel like I can pick up close to his steal numbers with an OF.
 
30JKaye
      Leader
      ID: 01372359
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 08:01
2.13 Aramis Ramirez,3B, ChC

I was pretty keen on grabbing Ramirez or Longoria with my 2nd
pick, since 3rd baseman fly off the shelves early in these drafts.
Longoria was gone so Aramis was all queued up. But one
remaining player did make me give pause to this selection, and
that was Carlos Lee. I figured he'd be long gone by my 2nd
choice at pick 29.

But looking at the #'s, Ramirez and Lee are quite similar. Both
will probably give me 90 R, 110 RBI, a .360ish OBP and a SLG in
the mid .500's. I will say that Lee has more upside in terms of
power, and is one of a few players who could conceivably slug
.600 for a season based on what he did before he got hurt last
year.

But when all things were considered, the weight of Aramis'
position titled the balance, and I decided to lock up one of the
3B studs, albeit a 2nd tier stud - someone not in the class of
Wright, A-Rod or Cabrera, but someone who has been very
consistent over the years.
 
32Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 09:21
for Da Bomb
2.14 Alfonso Soriano OF CHC
Another 5-tool player joins my squad. Although he did steal 19 bases in just 109 games last year, Soriano said he plans on running more this season which is encouraging. Here’s to hoping he stays healthy, and if so, that he fulfills his word.
 
33Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 09:21
for holt
2.15 Carlos Lee OF HOU

Wanted another dependable OPS guy to stack with Pujols. Had to be an OF. I didn't feel there were any available infielders who could give me the numbers I wanted (though Roberts was tempting). I also wanted Sabathia but felt he might drop a bit, and even if he didn't there were still guys like Hamels and Webb on the board. I looked at all the bats OF's and felt there was a definite drop after Lee. Last season he put a .937 OPS and 100 RBI in only 115 games (missed some time due to the broken finger). A very good and consistent slugger.
 
34Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 09:22
for JL
2.16 Brian Roberts 2B BAL
3.01 CC Sabathia SP NYY
I was hoping that either Aramis Ramirez or Kevin Youkilis would fall to me here, because the 3B crop gets pretty thin after those guys. They were taken, though, and Chipper Jones’ misses too many games for me to take him at this point, so I’ll just have to wait to take a 3B.

There were plenty of great pitchers to choose from with Sabathia, Halladay, Webb, Hamels, and Peavy on the board. I needed someone to anchor my pitching staff and I felt like the top tier starters would be gone by the time the draft got back to me at the end of the 4th round. My gut told me that Hamels was the guy to pick since he’s young and really started to blossom at the end of last year. I really think he has a chance to be a top-20 player this year. In the end, though, I couldn’t pass up Sabathia because I expect him rack up a ton of Wins and Ks.

I wasn’t impressed with my options for hitters, but I wasn’t going to take two pitchers, so I’ve got to make a decision on someone. I looked at Brian Roberts, Matt Kemp, Jason Bay, and Ichiro. Ichiro’s OBP and Slg% are just not good enough to be taken this early, and he’s not getting any younger. Brian Roberts and Matt Kemp have similar projected stats, but Roberts has more value at the 2B position. I expect to Bay to have a great year in Boston, and I had a hard time deciding whether to go with Bay or Roberts, but Roberts’ position once again pushed him over the top.

 
35Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 09:23
for holt
3.02 Cole Hamels SP PHI

JL took Sabathia and Roberts so that made this decision a lot easier for me. There is plenty to be said for not risking high picks on pitchers. There's also a lot to be said for having a dominating pitching staff. I don't mind digging for arms late in a draft but I don't want to feel my season is riding on it. Anyway, i basically had to weigh Webb and Hamels against each other. Initially I figured I'd go with Webb due to his consistency but Hamels sported the nicer whip (1.08 vs. 1.20) last season and I figure he has a bit more upside in terms of K's and W's. Also, I remember reading a report of Webb complaining of forearm pain and I saw some ugly spring training pitching lines. Most likely neither are an issue but it did help tip the scales.
 
36Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 09:23
for Da Bomb
3.03 Jake Peavy SP SDG
After selecting a couple hitters in the first two rounds, I looked at my draft sheets and saw that two SPs were left in their respective tier. These SPs were Peavy and Webb. Normally I have seen Webb go before Peavy due to the latter’s injury last season and poorer team thus affecting his win total. However, when he is healthy, he is a top pitcher and his upside over Webb’s led me to choose him.
 
37Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 09:25
for JKaye
3.04 Carlos Pena, 1B, TB

I had Pena, Brian Roberts, and several stud SP on my shortlist as3rd round targets. When Roberts went, I decided to secure my 1B.

I have no idea if Pena would have made it back to me for 4.13 in this draft, although he has survived to round 5 in the AAA RIBC drafts. I suspect this is because he lacks hype in AVG leagues, and so people are just not used to seeing his name this high on draft lists. In any case, I wanted a big bat and felt Pena provided most things I look for in an anchor 1B.

Pena occupied the elite in 2007 (600 SLG, 1000 OPS) but also in the 2nd half of 2008 (550 SLG, 955 OPS). I don't know exactly how to project Pena for 2009. I don't put his upside at the 2007 levels, but the halfway stats from 07-08 put him at about 380-570 which would be fantastic.

I'm a realist, so I can accept a heavier weight towards last year. 370/530 works just fine too. But he walks so much that his OBP looks safe, even if he hits .240. If he stays healthy, the R and RBI will be in the 90-100 range. He has recently, with 600 PA in the last two seasons. Pena is also an excellent defensive 1B, which is useless for RIBC, except that it shows me he is an true athlete and eases some of the doubt about durability.

 
38Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 09:25
for Uptown Bombers
3.05 Matt Kemp OF LAD
Roberts did not make it back. In this spot then, I wanted 30 steals. My pick came down to Kemp and Ichiro, though I did think hard about Jason Bay and pushing steals further into the need column. Ichiro is consistent, but last year his slugging numbers fell a bit. I wonder if that trend will continue. I have no doubt Ichiro will score lots of runs provide good OBP %, and steal the bases I wanted, but Kemp has a lot of upside. I read in the paper that he was talking about 40/40 this year. I don’t know about all that, but if he can repeat last year’s 35 SB, then the added SLG and RBI seem to make him the better choice over Ichiro. Looking at the other drafts, maybe this is too high for Kemp, but I know he wasn’t making it back to me and I felt like making the pick based on youth rather than consistency.
 
39Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 09:26
for Dave R
3.06 Brandon Phillips 2B CIN
I was hoping Brian Roberts would be here for me, but he went a few pick earlier. Seems always the way in this league. With a bunch of first basemen already taken, I considered Gonzalez and Dunn but felt one of them along with Votto would be there for me next round.

Wrong.

Phillips has been a mainstay in the Cincy lineup the past three years, averaging 23 HR's, 27 SB's, 82 RBI's and 84 runs. His OBP % isn't quite where I'd like but I'll live with it. Obviously.

With the news that Dusty plans on batting him cleanup, I expect similar numbers this year.

 
41Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 09:32
for Philsphan
3.07 Brandon Webb, SP, ARI

I had CC or Hamels penciled in here with Peavy or Webb at the next level. Looks like those in front of me had the same ideas. So rather than get passed by on an SP run, I figured I better get in on the action. I’m still excited to have Webb. 18-20 wins, 180+ K’s, The WHIP is a tad high at 1.20, but the sub-3.20 ERA makes up for it.

Now with Hamels in Philly checking out his elbow, I’m glad that the question to draft him was answered for me. It’s too soon in this draft to be worrying about drafting injured players, unless his name is Rodriguez.

 
42Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 12:58
for Bags
3.08 Alexei Ramirez 2B CWS
I didn’t want to be left out in the cold when it came to my MI. I wanted to get someone who was in the 2nd tier. Ramirez gives me a nice bonus of qualifying at both MI positions and should produce in all categories. I would have passed on a MI if Kemp had made it to me.
 
43Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 12:58
for filthy
3.09 Roy Halladay SP TOR
OK so last time, I said I made a 17 player queue for the round 2/3 picks, but it was actually a 19 player queue. Needless to say, it got wiped pretty clear before the 3rd round came up. 6 names left on it when I returned, and I was picking for myself this time, so I decided to throw a curve and not pick the top guy remaining. I saw a lot of top SP's go off the board, and while I probably should've went with Vlad or McCann, I ended up going with Doc. Pretty much the last true Ace left at the time. Capital A, meaning ace on any team. The guy is a robot, and I like his odds of not getting his leg broken by a liner or getting appendicitis again this year, therefore I expect him to lead the league in Wins, ERA and WHIP. He will also probably get a couple saves (the real start of the closer run, if only complete games counted as a save) in September when the Jays surprise everyone by remaining in contention.
 
44Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 12:59
3.10 Nate McLouth, OF, Pit

I was thinking about Alexei Ramirez here, but he disappeared before I had to make the final decision. I thought about a couple other middle infielders, but decided against.

I thought about a few catchers, but decided against venturing a 3rd round pick. I’ve nabbed catchers early before, often with disappointing results.

So I decided to go with another outfielder who offers both power and speed. Sizemore-lite, perhaps. Hoping he can build on last year, and at age 27, that seems like a reasonable possibility.

This is not a pick that I’m in love with, but I do think it’s a pick with upside.
 
45Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 13:03
for dror
3.11 Chipper Jones 3B ATL
After taking A-Rod in the 2nd I started thinking how am I gonna manage his absence and came up with a strategy involving him, Chipper, and another undrafted player. Looking on a per game basis, Chipper is one of the best hitters in the game for this format. He is simply an OPS machine. Of course, it's all about staying on the field with him, so just like with A-Rod, I will be happy with 130 games of his usual top production.
 
46Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 13:21
3.12 David Ortiz, DH, BOS

Wow.....how the mighty have fallen. Ortiz has been a first round pick in this format for years. Big Papi took a hit last year due to a wrist injury and is getting up there in age now at 33. With the removal of Manny Ramirez from the lineup, it's expected to make it harder on Ortiz.

That being said, Ortiz is still an OPS monster. To get a .400 OBP, .550 SLG hitter towards the end of Round 3 was not something I could pass on, even with the risk of injury or decreased production as noted above. Basically I make this draft choice hoping for something right between his 2008 season (.369/.507/89 rbi/74 runs) and his 2007 season (.445/.621/117 rbi/116 runs) -- let's call it .400/.550/100/95 and I'm a very happy camper in Round 3.
 
47Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 14:07
for rheo:
3.13 Alex Rios, OF, TOR
He's hit for power, he's hit for speed and I know that one of these years he'll put it all together for the monster year I'm hoping for.
 
48Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 14:07
For Bash Brothers:

3.14 Adrian Gonzelez, 1b, SD
This must be a very deep draft. I didn't expect to be able to pick a very good slugger at the end of round 3. But Adrian was there for me to grab. He carries a big bat worthy of 1st round selection. He is only 26, and his long-range power is steadily increasing. And he plays for SD! Except for SB, His other numbers could well be better than my first 2 picks. If he is traded before the deadline and thrown into a better lineup at a more hitter-friendly park, this pick could be the steal of the draft.
 
49Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 14:08
For coldwater coyotes:

3.15 Curtis Granderson, OF, DET
I decided on taking an OF and disputed between Granderson and Guerrero. Both deliver on OPS with the slight edge to Vlade. Granderson delivers on runs and SBs and Vlade has the edge on RBI.
 
50Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 14:32
for vampire weekend
3.16 Chris Davis 3B TEX
4.01 Joey Votto 1B CIN


Thinking we should have gone Evan and Josh instead of Manny and Josh in round 1-2. Felt we had to go 1st and 3rd - may have reached on both but I have man crushes on Davis and Votto - hoping Davis is for real and Votto builds on the impressive rookie season.
 
51Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 14:34
for coldwater coyotes
4.02 Brian McCann C ATL
There are only 4 or 5 top catchers and it is a big advantage in this league to have one of them. I felt I couldn't risk waiting to my next pick to take one. Mauer has the injury concern and Martin may well be slipping to batting 6th or 7th in the Dodgers line up.
 
52Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 14:34
for Bash Brothers
4.03 Jonathan Papelbon RP BOS
I'm used to having an elite closer to anchor my bullpen. To do that, I know I have to do it NOW!

I had no special preference for any one. In 2007, I got K-Rod. Last year, it was Nathan. When I made this pick, I felt I "ought" to take Papelbon since it was the first closer pick. However, I actually liked Nathan more. He is a more sure thing, although he might get less opportunities than Papelbon.

 
53Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 15:02
for rheo:

4.04 Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, BOS
I really hated going OF here again but I had him as best available. I really like the speed he gives me. I was hoping Gonzalez would drop to me after picking Rios but no luck.
 
54Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 15:09
4.05 Vladimir Guerrero, OF, LAA

It's funny. The last 2 years of RIBC I have entered the draft telling myself to go with youth and upside.....yet I consistently cannot help myself when an aging star falls (seemingly) way too far for my liking. That's what happened here.

I have never owned Vlad before and have always liked him. Depending upon what projection you believe, this seemed like a slam dunk. I'm looking for an OBP north of .370 and a SLG north of .520 with his usual 100-ish RBI and 90 or so runs which are all within his norms/minimums over the past several years.

I gave serious consideration to Adam Dunn here - always a favorite of mine in this league as he is perennially undervalued since most websites lower his value based upon his batting average. But I decided to go with Vlad since I hadn't owned him before.
 
55Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 15:10
for dror:
4.06 Rafael Furcal, SS, LAD
Another injury question mark, just what I needed after A-Rod and Chipper... Serius back injuries are always scary, but Raffy looks fine so far this spring and while he is surely not gonna duplicate his amazing 1.067 OPS from last year over a full season, I think something like .380/.475/110/75/35 in 140 or so games is very realistic considering a much improved Dodgers lineup.
 
56Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 15:43
4.07 Adam Dunn, 1B/OF, Was

Here we go again. When I made my third round pick, I put together a short list of players I thought would be available for my 4th rounder – including Granderson, Chris Davis, Votto, McCann, Ellsbury, and the guy I really wanted – Furcal. Gah!!

Of course, after drafting in this league for many years, I’m used to this. But it’s still brutal.

Dunn was the only remaining non-outfielder on my short list, so I guess that makes it easy. Moving to a more pitcher-friendly park in Washington won’t help (and that may be why he’s still available), but Dunn should still be able to deliver solid power numbers. Dunn’s “hidden” value comes from his OBA, which is almost 140 points better than his batting average over his career.

Still no pitching on this roster. Maybe next round. Maybe not.
 
57Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 15:53
for filthy
4.08 Dan Uggla 2B FLA
Left a 12 man queue this time. Got back in time to pick for self though. Went with the 12th name on the queue. After I saw Alex Ramirez and Matt Kemp taken off my list before they even made it on my list, I remembered that I'm not gonna get the guys I want if I don't reach. My top 2 names, Vlad and McCann were taken, and I was left with a couple catchers, a couple closers, a few outfielders and Uggla. So I went with Uggla mainly because it involved the least debate in my head, and because I really like the heart of that Marlins lineup. Uggla has been proving himself since he got in the league, and still isn't mentioned among the top 2B, but I think this year will put him on the map big time.
 
58Bags
      ID: 26107111
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 17:16
4.09 Carlos Quentin, OF, CWS

I’m not trying to intentionally stock my team with White Sox. After missing Kemp in round 3 I had a short list of OF who I wanted, Quentin was the only one who made it back to me. If he can stay healthy he showed last year what he is capable of. I look forward to Quentin giving me big numbers in all categories except SB.
 
59Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 18:55
for Philsphan
4.10 Jason Bay, OF, Bos
I accidentally took Derrek Lee off the board on my spreadsheet instead of Carlos Lee, so if I had to do it over again would I choose Lee over Bay? I don’t know. Bay is a very good hitter in an excellent lineup. He projects slightly better than Lee, but now I have 2 OF’s to start instead of a 1B. We’ll see how that works…

Except for steals, I project him with similar numbers as Holliday. I almost went for a catcher here, and figured that either VMart or RMart would be available for my next pick (they were taken just before!!).

I do feel a closer run coming on. So my choices are narrowed down to Nathan and Lidge if one does start.

 
60Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 18:55
for Dave R
4.11 Derrek Lee
This is really where I began to think my pick of Markakis was, well, that I shouldn't have taken a 2nd OFer. I kind of forced a position onto my roster. I probably took Lee a round or two early

Derrick has slid a long way from his near MVP season in 2005. The power isn't there as it once was, nor is the speed. None the less, he still is capable of putting up some solid numbers, just not Derrick Lee numbers.

I think he is still capable of runs and RBI's in the mid 80's, decent %'s, and maybe sneak up on someone and swipe a few bases.

Very reminiscent of my 4th round pick last year when I felt compelled to pick an aging former star first baseman to fill a need. He didn't work out but my season did OK.

 
61Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 18:56
4.12 Ichiro Suzuki, OF, SEA
I almost took him last round, so I figure I might as well here. I had Uggla and Bay queued up ahead of him in my list, but they went just before this pick. This will be brief since I touched upon it in my last rationale. Ichiro’s numbers declined last year and he is getting old, but I still feel that he warrants a pick at this point. He will especially help me in runs and steals, the greatest areas of offensive need for my team so far. It’s likely that if I had made this pick myself, I would have taken Haren instead and then Ichiro (is he was still there) or Victorino in round 5 and probably been a little happier.
 
63JKaye
      Leader
      ID: 01372359
      Tue, Mar 17, 2009, 22:52
4.13 Roy Oswalt, P, Hou

Roy gave us a scare last year with an awful first half (4.6 ERA/1.38
WHIP), but responded to go 10-2 with a 2.22 ERA and 0.93 WHIP
over his 93 IP in the 2nd half.

Basically, he's back, and performed great after a DL stint last July.
No pitcher is infallible but I do see a slight drop after Oswalt among
the pitchers remaining. I would have taken Adam Dunn to throw at
CI/OF, but Guru took him several picks before.
 
64holt
      ID: 4410182818
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 01:31
for DaBomb

4.14 Bobby Abreu, OF, LAA
I’m liking the way my team is shaping up as Abreu makes it 3 for 3 with hitters who are 5-tool players. Abreu should continue to put up good stats hitting 2nd in the Angel lineup.
 
65holt
      ID: 4410182818
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 01:43
4.15 Dan Haren, SP, ARI

I wasn't planning to take my second SP here but after looking over the available hitters I considered all of them to be a stretch at this point. Haren was best player available by my estimation.

Most of the hitters I was considering during this pick were still available during my 6.15 pick so I think I made the right decision. I guess if I had taken a hitter it would have been S. Drew (at 4.15 he'd be a major reach). Can't do that with my 4th pick.

Haren has 4 solid seasons under his belt now. Last season he had a 1.13 whip and 206 K's. This season he has a shot at 20 wins if he remains healthy. He may actually be better than Webb who I almost took with my 3.2 pick.
 
66JL
      ID: 112551723
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 02:03
4.16 Francisco Liriano, SP, Min
5.01 Victor Martinez, C, Cle


I had targeted Liriano at this spot from the beginning. I normally wouldn't take another SP here after picking Sabathia, but I believe Liriano has a strong chance of being the best pitcher in baseball this year, so I couldn't pass him up.

With VMart, I don't know, I guess after taking a SS and 2B with my first two picks, I just decided, "What the hell, I'll just go with a 'draft strong at weak positions' strategy and see how it turns out since there aren't a lot of attractive power options here anyway". If he can stay healthy, he'll be a steal.
 
67holt
      ID: 4410182818
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 05:05
5.02 Joe Nathan, RP, MIN

I don't like punting saves, and to be a leader in that category you need a good anchor. This was the time to take care of it. Only Papelbon was off the board when I took Nathan, and by the time my 6.15 pick came around a total of 12 closers were off the board.

Seems I have Nathan on at least a couple of my teams every year. No research was required other than to make sure his arm was still attached and operating. Lights out.
 
68JKaye
      Leader
      ID: 01372359
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 08:01
for Da Bomb
5.03 Russell Martin, C, LAD
Although his SLG% leaves something to be desired, Martin’s ability to steal bases as a catcher made it hard for me to pass on him at this spot.
 
69JKaye
      Leader
      ID: 01372359
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 08:03
5.04 Mariano Rivera, P, NYY

It was that time. With Papelbon and Nathan gone, a full fledged RP
run was about to begin. Rather than catch the end of it in round 6,
I figured I'd be part of the beginning. Mo looks like he can get
hitters out with his cutter until he's well into his 40's.
 
70filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 11:24
for Uptown Bombers
5.05 James Shields, SP, TB
I wanted to start building my pitching staff so decided to take a SP with really good ratios over lots of innings. There are pitchers with better K numbers out there, but Shields has such great control that I valued his impact on WHIP and ERA over the K’s. I am also hoping that Shields might get a little luckier that last year in the W column. I had him last year as well and he would pitch deep into games and then get the ND. Hopefully, those turn into W’s. Thought about closer, as I knew the run was coming, but decided to hold off.
 
71filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 11:24
for Dave R
5.06 Francisco Rodriquez RP NYM
I had noooo intention of taking a pitcher in round 5. None. I waited til the 6th round last year and it all fell into place.

But make no mistake, a closer run had started. Maybe I helped it along, maybe not, but I'd rather be in at the onset than at the end.

Papelbon had been taken a round earlier, but Nathan and Mariano went in the few picks before me. I've always liked KRod and although he might have lost a little off his fastball he always seems to find a way to get the job done. If I hadn't had Soria last year , I might have taken him ( call me superstitious ), but KRod is the man.

I think playing for the Mets will give him plenty of save opportunities, especially with Putz there. The Mets bullpen was notorious for blowing leads in the 7th and 8th innings.

Pencil him in for 40+ saves, ERA around, solid WHIP and ERA , and better than a K/inning.

 
72filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 11:25
for Philsphan
5.07 Brad Lidge, RP, PHI
I figured a closer run was starting, and sure enough, 3 of the previous 5 picks were closers. One of them was Nathan whom I had targeted. I am a little nervous about not getting an infielder here, but my feeling is that if we do have a big run of closers, then I should still have a decent pick next round.

Lidge is one of the elites. If he comes anywhere near last year’s performance I will be happy. The WHIP is a little high, but so are the K’s, averaging well over a strikeout an inning. And he pitches for the Phillies. ‘Nuff said.

 
73filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 11:25
for Bags
5.08 Chad Billingsley, SP, LAD
Why won’t you all let me stick to a plan? The plan was in this round to take a stud closer. I was all set to take Rivera and he goes four picks before mine and then two other top closers go just in front of me. Missing out on the top closers I decided to beef up my SP with Billingsley. This guy is a true ace who gives me a great SP combo.
 
74filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 11:26
for filthy
5.09 Stephen Drew, SS, ARI
Joe Mauer still kicking around from the old queues. And I just can't seem to pull the trigger on him. He's burned me in an odd numbered year before. Really just don't know what way to go with this one though. Definitely not interested in joining the closer run yet, and not a lot of names standing out other than 2 shortstops, Drew and Tulo. Why not draft my MI now? There really aren't a whole lot of lower level MI's that I like, and they are bound to be snagged by others anyways. So Drew or Tulo, both had big second halves, and both have a couple question marks, really a tossup to me. I chose Drew and can't really remember why. Maybe cause I regret trading him in my keeper league. And more upside IMO. Either way, my MI situation is set after round 5, and I'm extremely happy about the extreme twist in my strategy.
 
75Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 11:32
5.10 Joakim Soria, RP, KC
My choices come down to a middle infielder or a closer.

Stephen Drew was on my short list of MI options, but there are a few other similar names there as well. I don’t know if any of them will survive to the next round or not.

But the run on closers has apparently begun this round (and a bit later than in several prior years.) Only one team in the back half of the draft has a closer, and I imagine that the list of likely top tier closers will be decimated before my next pick. So I think I’ll go there.

My short list includes Valverde, Fuentes, and Soria. There’s not much to differentiate the three, so I’ll go with youth as the deciding factor. I’m not expecting ratios as gaudy as last year (1.60 ERA, .86 WHIP), but you never know. And even if he falters early, there doesn’t seem to be anyone waiting in the wings to take his job.
 
76Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 11:33
for dror
5.11 Jonathan Broxton RP LAD
Broxton is my first pick in this year's closer roulette, and hopefully he will do a better job then my first closer from last year (still undrafted, which says it all). There is not much not to like about Broxton... he pitches for a good team, has no competition what so ever for the job, and should provide pretty strong ration and more then a K/IP. You can never know, but he definitely has the stuff and the situation around him to be a top tier closer. I will take that in the back of the 5th round.
 
77Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 12:17
5.12 Josh Beckett, SP, BOS

My first misstep of the draft. I had my eyes on a Shortstop but felt one of Jeter, Tulowitzki or, at the very least, Michael Young would make it back to me. Whooops.

I didn't intend to take a starting pitcher by round 5, but in looking over my sheets he really stuck out. Strong whip, good K's, lots of wins on a good Boston team. A solid anchor to my staff.
 
78Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 12:57
for rheo:
5.13 BJ Ryan, RP, TOR
Last of the relievers I liked left. Needed a bat but didn't want to take the chance he wouldn't be there when it came back to me.
 
79Bash Brothers
      ID: 3729188
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 13:02
5.14 Derek Jeter, SS, NYY

Well, I don't like this pick here. Feeling compelled to draft an SS, I had to decide between Jeter and those young waves (Peralta, Tulowitzki...). I chose Jeter because of his higher OBP, 100R potential, and the Yankees' lineup. I am second guessing myself now. Maybe I should've gone young rather than stuck with a 35-year-old whose power and speed dropped significantly.
 
80Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 13:43
for coldwater coyotes:

5.15 Joba Chamberlain SP NYY
I missed out on taking one of the top closers so I decided to move up my plans on when to take SPs. I did well in this league last year by focusing on keeping a low ERA/WHIP... wins and Ks can be picked up with a strong group of middle relievers. There is no SP forecasted to have a lower ERA than Joba.
 
81Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 14:31
for vampire weekend
5.16 Carlos Marmol RP CHC
6.01 Michael Young SS TEX

Was hoping to get Marmol and Broxton as I like them both. Had a chance to get Marmol last year as a high k/low whip but passed and watched him rack up the ks. Did not want to let him go again.

Michael Young does seem to be slowing down, but his consistency is good enough for this spot. Maybe the switch to third will fire him up instead of beat him down.

 
82Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 16:54
for coldwater coyotes

6.02 Rich Harden, SP, CHC
My second SP in the draft and the logic behind the pick is the same as for Joba. When he is not injured and can pitch (hopefully at least 140 innings) he will really help my ERA and WHIP.
 
83Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 16:55
for Bash Brothers:

6.03 Shane Victorino, OF, PHI
I am not quite comfortable about my first 4 positional players in the SB category. Victorino is the remaining few players who definitely help in swiping bases while not losing too much ground on the other 4 categories. The slugging % is not tasty, but I can take that in the 6th round.
 
84Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 16:55
for rheo

6.04 Troy Tulowitzki, SS, COL
Went in wanting Michael Young for the two positions and then he went. Also was thinking about Cano but decided to let him go and hope he fell to me, which he almost did. I did like Tulowitzki though and think he'll bounce back fine.
 
85Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 17:05
6.05 Joe Mauer, C, MIN

I got Mutomboed at the rim in my anticipation that a SS would fall to me. I guess I could have waited on that (#*&$)(*#$_& starter. Oh well, time to switch gears.

The player high on my radar at this point was Chone Figgins. Perhaps overlooked somewhere along the way is the fact that, in Yahoo, Figgins still qualifies at 2b. At 2b his steals are infinitely more valuable than at 3b and I thought he would be an excellent compliment to my stable of sluggers. Looking over other drafts, nobody had taken Figgins until well into round 8, and I did feel that his overall value simply did not warrant a pick this high. I held out some hope he would come to me in Round 7. I wiffed on that, too.

Joe Mauer's current malady sounds like the punch line in a Bugs Bunny cartoon - he has an inflamed sacroiliac - the joint that connects the spine to the hip, I read. As of this writing there hasn't been any news about his "2nd opinion" that was sought from some back specialist in Baltimore. What gave me some solace was that Mauer can hit and catch - he just can't run right now. So I guess I made this pick hoping that Mauer can stay sharp at the dish and behind the dish while this malady gets sorted out.

I couldn't resist the opportunity to get a .400+ OBP and (health permitting) 130-ish games out of him. Mauer is so integral to MIN's offense that he gets some DH time and even if he has some delay going into the season in terms of games played, that overall he'll still be amongst the at bat leaders at catcher.
 
86Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 17:07
for dror

6.06 Kerry Wood, RP, CLE
Since there was no position player I liked here and felt that the SPs I wanted will last for another round I decided to just take my second closer here and finish with this saves nightmare. When I looked over the numbers, I was surprised... Wood was really good last year... much more then I ever imagined. 11.4 K/9, an amazing 4.67 K/BB and only 3 homers allowed in 66 innings. If it wasn't for very bad luck with BABIP (.327), he probably would have had his ERA under 2.50 and WHIP under 1.00. Hopefully the law of averages will keep his BABIP down this year, and if that happens he can be one of the most dominating closers in the league.
 
87Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 17:17
6.07 Geovany Soto, C, ChC
Interesting. I expected more closers to disappear in the last dozen picks. Only 3 were taken. But even though Valverde and Fuentes are still available, I’m going to work on hitting again.

If Tulowitzki had survived to this point, I’d have probably gone there. But none of the other middle infielders on my list prompt me to feel a need to jump here.

I’m a little surprised to see Soto still available. He hasn’t gone later than round 5 in the other three RIBC drafts. At this point, I like the idea of being able to snag a young catcher coming off a 66-86-.364/.504 rookie-of-the-year season. I think I’ll fill that hole now, and hope that he avoids the sophomore jinx.
 
88Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 17:19
for filthy
6.08 Magglio Ordonez OF DET
Lot of closers flying off the table, but I am still comfortable gambling there later. Especially when I have no OF yet and Prince Fielder doesn't really have a mashing partner. Magglio Ordonez was briefly a top candidate for me in round 5, so he was definitely the glaring candidate after surviving to my round 6 choice. Felix Hernandez or joining the closer run would have been the fallback plan, but I really think that Magglio is a difference maker and am stoked that he made it back to me. He is well removed from injury problems, and is not that far removed from MVP contention, definitely a welcome addition to my offense.
 
89Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 17:20
for Bags
6.09 Jose Valverde, RP, HOU
I was thinking about a MI here but five more closers have come off the board. I didn’t want to punt saves so I looked at which closers were left and decided that Valverde was in the range of the last five closers taken. There were other player who were available that had a better value but I didn’t want to fall behind in the saves category.
 
90Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 17:41
for Philsphan
6.10 Garrett Atkins, 3B, COL

I was looking for a 1B or 3B here, and I had been targeting Atkins from the beginning for about this time in the draft. I have Atkins in a keeper league and I have been pretty pleased with him. 100+ RBI’s are pretty good from a 6th round pick IMHO.

 
91Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 18:49
for Dave R
6.11 Jhonny Peralta, SS, CLE
I needed a SS sooner or later. Peralta is just 27, knocked in 89 runs, scored 104 and had an OPS over .800 last year. Playing in a potent lineup like Cleveland's should give him every opportunity to duplicate those stats. I'd prefer if he could manage to steal more than 2 basis though.

The biggest question mark with Peralta, isn't whether he'll put up solid stats for team SANFORDORS. He will. But I'd love to find out why the "h" is misplaced in Jhonny ;)

 
92Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 18:50
6.12 Brian Fuentes, RP, LAA
The closer run has passed and I know the rule says that you should never end a run, but 2 of the 4 teams drafting on my end don’t have closers and they each make two picks before I go again. I have one more closer ranked above the next group and I might as well take him here rather than settle for someone else in round 7. Fuentes offers great ratios and good K’s. He is moving to a contending team that provided K-Rod with 60+ save chances last year. I feel pretty good taking him at the end of the run and feeling that I got pretty good value.
 
93JKaye
      Leader
      ID: 01372359
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 20:55
6.13 Jayson Werth, OF, Phi

Definitely a gamble, but when I looked at the #'s, Werth was the
guy who passed all the tests. I did want to get my first OF on
the board. Waiting a few rounds is one thing, but I need 4 so I
didn't want to wait too much longer. I definitely wanted SB with
this pick. Drafting Reyes has made the draft easy because he
essentially is the equivalent of 2 legit SB guys. But I still need a
few other sources of steals to be near the top in the category.
Werth is a 20 SB guy who doesn't hurt me in any other category.
I project him to be pretty solid, but not spectacular in all 5
categories - 80 R, 80 RBI, .360 OBP, .480 SLG, 20 SB....other OF
may have offered more in one category but he looked to have
the most balance of the remaining players.
 
94Da Bomb
      ID: 15221821
      Wed, Mar 18, 2009, 23:04
6.14 Carlos Delgado, 1B, NYM

There was a pretty significant dropoff after Delgado on my 1B rankings so that led me to select him. Delgado’s 2008 was a tale of two halves as he looked lost for parts of the season and was an MVP caliber player during others. If Delgado is able to repeat last season’s overall numbers I will be more than satisfied.
 
95Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 08:35
for holt
6.15 Corey Hart OF MIL
My only hitters at this point were Pujols and C.Lee. Both have posted some acceptable SB numbers in the past but I'm not expecting much this season. I don't want to punt SB's, but I also don't want to destroy my OBP and SLG by drafting SB specialists. That means I have to pick up SB's with acceptable OPS whenever I can. It's surprising how few of those guys are around.

Checked out MI's with speed. There was Weeks, but he was what I would call terrible last season. Not really a good hitter. Kendrick and F.Lopez looked OK but would be huge reaches here (I ended up getting Kendrick in rd 9). I could have had Figgins but I kind of have this rule that says guys with a .318 SLG% don't get anywhere close to my starting lineup.

Looking at the OF's available, the only decent speed in this ADP range was Hart and Damon. I don't want anything to do with Damon this season. Hart put up great numbers in 07 and good first half numbers last year. I think he'll bounce back and have a decent season (say, .340 .490'ish), and he should be good for 20-25 steals. I did have to pause and consider Hawpe (and Pence to some extent) but I stuck to my plan and grabbed the steals.

 
96Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 08:36
for JL
6.16 Justin Upton OF ARI
7.01 Ryan Ludwick OF STL

After drafting 2 pitcher, a catcher, and two middle infielders, I needed some power. Ludwick slugged almost .600 last season and although I don’t expect him to replicate last year’s numbers, it’s worth the risk at this point given that there’s not a lot of power potential left on the board anyway.

The Upton pick was based purely on potential. To me, he’s the only player left that has the obvious potential to be a first-rounder next year. The former #2 overall draft pick slugged .460 as a 20-year old last year. Hopefully this is the season that he begins to reach his superstar potential.

I thought about taking Conor Jackson or James Loney here, but I figured one of them would still be around in the 8th round. I was wrong.

 
97Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 08:36
for holt
7.02 Ryan Zimmerman 3B WAS
I've never been a big fan of this guy, but I think he can put up an .800 OPS or a little better. I guess this shows how weak 3b/CI is this year. I still needed a 3b and a CI at this point and the pickings were already getting very slim.
 
98Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 08:37
for Da Bomb
7.03 John Lackey SP LAA
Lackey stuck out on my sheets when I was thinking of who to pick at this spot. Lackey missed time with injuries last year but when healthy he is capable of being an ace. He will provide good value here in the 7th round if he makes 30+ starts.
 
99Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 08:37
for JKaye
7.04 Conor Jackson 1B ARI
With the 100th pick, this might be a tad high for Jackson. I had no fewer than 8 players I considered taking with this pick. I was pretty set on taking another hitter, and like the Werth pick before, I felt like Jackson gives me "Square" stats so to speak in that he chips in everywhere, but nothing spectactular.

He fits right into the 80-80 R/RBI track, and I project about a .370ish OBP and 460ish SLG. He even stole 10 bases last year. Thing is, the OBP is almost a lock, as he's done it all 3 years. The SLG has upside, and if the power blossoms, then he's a very valuable piece. The floor stats here are acceptable enough to risk the potential that he breaks out.

Finally, he qualifies at both 1B and OF, so he can be my CI or one of my OF depending how the rest of the draft goes. I do like that flexibility.

 
100Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 08:38
for Uptown Bombers
7.05 Kelly Johnson 2B ATL
I have no MI’s yet. I need to start 3. I better take at least one now before it gets more out of hand than it already is. There are plenty of players at other positions that I value more than Kelly Johnson, but if I don’t force myself to take him now I’ll end up with Rey Ordonez times 3. I was tempted to take Kendrick for the upside but since this is my first MI I went with what I think is the safer play. Nothing great here, just a serviceable 2B.
 
101Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 08:38
for Dave R
7.06 Felix Hernandez SP SEA

Round 7 was long enough for me to take my first starting pitcher. I toyed with the idea of taking Figgins if he lasted to me here, but as expected he didn't.

I was hoping that Lackey would be available, but he went a few picks earlier. None the less I think King Felix is excellent value at this juncture. I picked up on waivers a couple of years ago when he burst into the bigs, and he was a big reason for my success that year.

I expect nearly a K/inning from Hernandez, ERA in the mid 3's and a Whip of 1.2 ish. If he played for a better team he might post better than the 14 W's I see projected for him

 
102filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 09:31
for philsphan
7.07 James Loney, 1B, LAD
This may be my first real “reach”, but I was targeting a 1B here, and since the next 20-25 or so players on my depth chart are now mostly outfielders, I felt I could pass on one without giving up much value. Between [3 undrafted players] I felt Loney had the most upside (translated: Manny Ramirez hitting in front of him). His power numbers declined from 2007 to 2008, but if I get something in between .800 - .900 OPS I’ll be happy. He should also give me 90+ RBI and with Manny in the lineup all season, he should have a good year. And he’s still in his early 20’s.
 
103filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 09:32
for Dallas Homer
7.08 Chone Figgins, 3B, LAA
I have now turned my draft over to my 14yo daughter. I will be on a fishing trip till Sunday and will be out of cell service most of the time. I had set a queue for my next two picks and left instructions with my daughter on which players to move to the top of my queue at each round. I had hoped to get Zimmerman here but will be happy with the flexibility and speed Figgins will give me.
 
104filthy
      ID: 388531216
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 09:33
for filthy
7.09 Bobby Jenks, RP, CHW
Jenks may be losing his strikeout ability, and his saves total might've fallen, but he is still the guy closing games in Chicago. Not a lineup of guys waiting to steal his job either. I'll take that with the 13th closer drafted. I almost thought I would miss out on a closer this year for a second. Something around last year's numbers would be passable. Returning to 2007 form (unintentional trend of my team so far... ) would be the bee's knees.
 
105Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 09:46
7.10 J.J. Hardy, SS, Mil
Finally landed my first middle infielder. I had hoped that Jhonny Peralta would still be available here, but that was not to be.

Hardy is a streaky player. When he gets hot, he seems to be that way for a long time. Ditto on the flip side. Hopefully, he has enough of the former to compensate for the latter. During the 3 months of June-August, 2008 – his OPS was approx. .960. But, of course, the whole season counts.

For the full year he produced 78-74-.343/.478/.821 (w/ no steals to speak of), and I’d settle for those numbers, although at age 26, some growth doesn’t seem unreasonable.
 
106Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 09:49
for dror
7.11 A.J. Burnett SP NYY
I usualy don't like to target people in drafts, but this pick is an exception. I don't know why, but ever since Burnett signed with the Yankees, I just have a really good feeling about him this year. I know his track record suggests that he won't stay healthy for a 2nd straight year, but this is a true gut pick. I just have a strong hunch that under the huge mess that is the 2009 Yankees, Burnett will end up winning 20 games.
 
107Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 11:56
7.12 Robinson Cano, 2b, NYY

Damn. I wanted Figgins here. Oh well.

I have a big blank spot in the middle infield and felt it was about time to fill it. While I am a huge Yankee fan, I do not let my fandom blind me (too badly) to Yankee players. Hell if I have 2 Red Sox on my team (Ortiz, Beckett) then I must have dual personalities or something.

Cano had an awful year last year, but is widely regarded as one of the sweetest-swinging players in the American League. Don't forget he hit a pretty legit .342 in his first full season. I don't need that, but an average below .310 would be shocking to me. He should be able to post a .350 OBP, .475+ SLG with 85+ RBI and 80+ runs, which makes him a solid choice in this round.
 
108Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 16:22
for rheo
7.13 Aubrey Huff 1B BAL
Simply needed a power bat and went for Huff here, probably a bit of a reach but it was pretty bare over at first. For some reason I never seem to get a 1B early enough in these leagues. Huff should do me good here, plus his 2 positions gives me some flexibility. Wanted Cano and had planned to hope Huff would drop to me on the way back but just went for him right away.
 
109Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 16:23
for Bash Brothers
7.14 Zack Greinke SP KAN

Time to build my rotation. I was planning to pick 2 SPs in round 7 & 8. I left 4 in my Queue (Greinke, Vazquez, Matsuzaka and Kazmir). I got the former 2 and the other 2 went to vampireweekend. However, these 2 picks were the ones I'd like to do over again had I given the chance. I actually like vampire's picks more. And Matsuzaka's earning MVP of WBC was just like spilling salt on the wound!

I am hoping youth, health, and more experience in the bigs can help Greinke build a major breakthrough season.

 
110Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 16:23
for coldwater coyotes
7.15 Rickie Weeks 2B MIL
Fills my MI slot which is usually difficult without taking a less than .700 OPS player. Weeks has a terrible batting average but manages to get a .340 plus OBP and will contribute over 20 SBs.
 
111Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 18:49
for vampire
7.16 Daisuke Matsuzaka SP BOS
8.01 Scott Kazmir SP TAM

So decided to take a week off from work and take the family to new mexico - knew there would be access problems but I was assured by several places that access would not be a big problem - in short I have learned never trust anyone from new Mexico. Between my previously mentioned wife suffering from a terrible case of strep throat and my crazy kids, I am looking forward to the peace and quiet of work.

Anyway - felt it was time for some pitching. Hoping that dice k comes somewhere close to last year's work and that kazmir can put an entire season together.

 
112Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 18:50
for coldwater coyotes
8.02 Chad Qualls RP ARI
I still needed 2 closers and I couldn't risk not taking one of the top second tier pitchers. Qualls will have plenty of competition from some good middle relievers in his team but will start the season as the closer.
 
113Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 20:36
for Bash Brothers:

8.03 Javier Vazquez, SP, ATL
Another bad choice here. People always talk about players who are picked right before their turn. Here is about the player who was picked right after! I was shocked when I saw Jon Lester went to rheo. I even didn't know he was still available!! Staying up late for several nights must be taking tolls on me. Living across the Pacific Ocean, I always found my turns came up at mid-night hours here. [I did left a Queue, but I usually set the list a few picks before mine, so I could see the "trend" of players went off the board].

Speaking of Vazquez, he is durable, has excellent K ratio, and he is moving to NL. But I seriously doubt he is worthy of an 8th round pick. Big mistake here.

 
114Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 20:37
for rheo:

8.04 Jon Lester, SP, BOS

Probably should of went for another bat here but Lester was just too good for me to pass up here. Him and Santana are a nice 1-2 punch for me.
 
115Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 20:39
8.05 Matt Capps, RP, PIT

I contemplated several directions here, but settled on Capps. Although he suffered an injury last year to slow him down, he showed excellent stuff to be a solid closer. High K/9 and low WHIP have him projecting to be a valued contributor to any team. The biggest issue is the team around him, but other guys like Brian Wilson and Joakim Soria flourished last year despite being on poor teams. If Capps stays healthy he will be a solid value with this pick.
 
116Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 20:39
for dror:

8.06 Yovani Gallardo, SP, MIL
I wanted another starter before I turn to the outfield, and Gallardo was the next one on my list. He has been very good in every level he pitched at as a pro, and if it wasn't for a knee injury last year he probably would have established himself as one of the game top young pitchers. I hope he does just that for me this year.
 
117Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 21:03
8.07 Mark DeRosa, 2B, Cle
I could get a second pitcher, but I’m not. Available closers aren’t reliable enough, and my typical ploy is to wait for starters until at least round 9.

So my choice is to either fill a scarce middle infield slot, or to take the best hitter, preferably one who can get some steals. The best MI out there (by my biased reckoning) is DeRosa, and the non-MI alternative would probably be Johnny Damon. Given my predisposition to shun Yankees, when the option is a Tribesman, it’s not an even playing field.

DeRosa moves from the Cubs to the A.L., and Jacobs Progressive Field won’t help his power numbers. He appears to be slated as Cleveland’s regular 3B this year, but his eligibility at 2B is what gives him value here. I’m not expecting an .857 OPS like last year; something like .800 (360/440) seems doable, maybe a tad better. And I really didn’t see any other second basemen ranked nearby. It was either DeRosa now, or wait awhile.

At this point, I have a full infield, a catcher, and 2 outfielders. I’ll probably work on starting pitching next.
 
118Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 21:07
for filthy
8.08 Brad Hawpe OF COL
Just beefin up the OPS again. With or without Holliday, the Rockies offense will always find a way to thrive. Brad Hawpe has been quite the hitter since becoming an every day player. He even started hitting lefties better last year. Hawpe could surpass 2007 stats if he can put it all together. I'm not holding out too much hope, but the upside was worth an 8th rounder.
 
119Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 21:07
for Bags
8.09 Hunter Pence OF HOU
At this point we have driven the four hours from D/FW to Colorado Bend State Park, have set up camp, and have caught my first fish. One of the guys I had listed waaaay down on my queue was Pence. All of the MI taken in the round before Pence had been in my queue. If Pence can build on his .302/.388/.581 September he should have a nice bounce back year.
 
120Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 21:08
for Philsphan
8.10 Cliff Lee SP CLE
I’m a bit surprised the reigning Cy Young Award winner has not been picked up yet. Of course, I picked the day that he gets lit up for 10 runs by Texas to draft him! Maybe that’s a bad omen. Oh well.

Perhaps there will be more pressure on him this year without CC at all, but he didn’t seem to fold after the trade last year. If he can get me 16-18 wins and a sub-3.50 ERA he will offer perfect value at this stage. If not, Karma got me.
 
121Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 22:00
for Dave R
8.11 Francisco Cordero, RP, CIN
There's a " Guru-ism " for TSN hoops that says, when in doubt, do nothing regarding trading players. I've transformed that to this draft that " when in doubt, take a closer "

I really had no idea where I wanted to go at this point. I needed a thirdbasemen, but felt a decent one would be there with the next round. I was tempted by Nolasco, but figured a comparable SP could be had later.

So I took Cordero. He saved 44 and 34 for the last two seasons, so I'm expecting something right in the middle, better than a K/inning and solid %'s.

Cordero has never had any injury issues ( knocking on wood ) so hopefully he'll remain healthy and give me a solid 1-2 closer punch along with KRod.

 
122Uptown Bombers
      Donor
      ID: 035616416
      Thu, Mar 19, 2009, 22:00
8.12 Ryan Doumit, C, PIT
This pick tormented me. I came into this pick thinking I wanted a high RBI and SLG guy. I looked through my lists and decided on Jermaine Dye. But I saw a bunch of other OF’s who were close to Dye’s output and so wondered if I couldn’t wait a bit. So then I decided to target more steals. I almost took Kendrick, since he was still there. Thought about Damon and Hunter. In the end, I decided on Doumit for the following reasons: 1) He has the potential to produce the RBI and SLG numbers I wanted in the first place and 2) he fills in at catcher. I figure since I am likely to be weak at the MI spots, I might as well try to temper that by taking what I hope will be a top 5 catcher. This breaks my strategy of waiting until round 20+ to fill the C spot. It took a good deal of thought to convince myself that it was a good move. Now, I need Doumit to play all year and produce.
 
124JKaye
      Leader
      ID: 01372359
      Fri, Mar 20, 2009, 00:47
8.13 Brett Myers, P, Phi

I could have gone a number of directions with this pick. There's
not necessarily a reason for taking a SP here rather than waiting
a round. But I just decided to take my #2. Myers is a high-K guy
who re-emerged in the 2nd half of last year. He plays on a very
good team, so 15 wins should be reasonable. He reported to
camp 30 lbs. lighter and may have turned a corner on his career.
The dominance and control have always been there -he always
has been an 8 K/9 and 3 BB/9 type guy. There is risk for sure,
but that comes with any SP.
 
125Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 23, 2009, 15:17
for Da Bomb
8.14 Heath Bell RP SDG
The closer options are dwindling and it’s now or never to get some saves. Bell posted nearly a K/IP last season and should do a fine job replacing Hoffman in San Diego.
 
126Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 23, 2009, 15:18
for holt
8.15 Alex Gordon 3B KAN

A lot of players that I draft are guys that I've specifically targeted. Gordon is not of those players. Zimmerman wasn't either. After weighing options at various positions, I initially had decided to take Carlos Guillen here but once I had narrowed it down to a CI, I noticed Gordon on my spreadsheet. Long story short, I took Gordon over Guillen. Gordon is younger, has some upside... Guillen may bounce back, and I've had him on a lot of teams over the years, but I'm just going with youth this time. Now that I look at it, I'm not sure why I chose Zimmerman over Gordon. Gordon will likely go over .800 OPS this year and get 10-15 sb's along with it.
 
127Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 23, 2009, 15:19
for JL
8.16 Jermaine Dye, OF, ChW
9.01 Andre Ethier, OF, LAD


Still trying to make up for deficiencies in power here, and I was very happy to see both of these players still on the board. Dye is 35 and I don’t expect his numbers to get any better, but he’s still good for 80+ RBI and a SLG% of .500+. He’s a steal if he can duplicate last season’s numbers. Ethier is turning 23 this year and slugged over .500 last year. With Manny hitting behind him, I don’t see why Ethier won’t, at the very least, match last year’s stats. I could’ve used a CI here, but nothing available at the time was worth passing over these two players.
 
128Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Mar 23, 2009, 15:19
Rationales for Rounds 9-16