Forum: hoop
Page 12620
Subject: 12/01 Louis Louis, Oh Baby, You Gotta Go...Action


  Posted by: Headless Gunners - [19282419] Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 13:48

One of the things that have really changed over the last 2 or 3 years is how we deal with the cheapie.
Used to be a long time hold to save trades for the big pointers.
Now it's money, money, money...Louis Williams, what will we do ?
 
1jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 14:08
He becomes Kirilenko tomorrow for me.
 
2Headless Gunners
      ID: 19282419
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 14:24
nice if you've got a spare 5 mill or so lying around.
Of course if you just traded AK, whoops !
 
3Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 14:28
I've had Kirilenko for every game of the season EXCEPT last night's... :(
 
4Headless Gunners
      ID: 19282419
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 14:33
Yup, traded before last night as well
targeted Bynum all along but changed at last minute...So it goes
 
5JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 15:14
i havent touched my team in awhile and im making all my trades today

I'm planning on
Kobe > Rasheed
A Blatche > Jefferson
L Williams > S Jax

the only problem is that its preferable to go L williams > S Jax tommorrow and get the Williams game tonight but then if i do that i only have a 30 k window meaning im more then likely to get screwed over (because L Williams will no doubt be a top loser tonight) so i would have to forfeit the L williams game

What i can do is go with the herd and trade Howard > Kidd tonight and get the cash available to keep L williams for one more game (since s jax doesnt play till tommorrow) not to mention save 300k probably in swings from Howard leaks

Pros: 2 Howard games is def better then 2 Kidd games but i calculate the free L William game + 2 Kidd games is probably better 2 Howard games.

Cons: Howard plays GSW 12/3 which always means a big night for studs.

Do u guys think its worth it? (I was initally going to hold Howard til the 4th)


 
6qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 15:26
your plan doesn't mention when you're trading Howard and for who...and I think you are overstating L. Williams' losses. I think most people will watch his game tonight before making any decisions. He only had one bad game after all.

I expect Howard will be the top loser or close to it, because of Howard to Kidd trades.

If I were you, I wouldn't trade Kobe, if it means going tradeless on saturday and I wouldn't be so quick to dump williams either.
 
7deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 15:55
What is this need to move Louis today I wonder?
It is pretty premature if you ask me.
 
8JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 15:59
qwert Howard is going to go for Kidd (i mentioned that up top)

i don't know how much l williams will lose but i onyl have a 30k window which means i'd hafta sell him today if i were to complete my rotation unless i made that Howard>Kidd move make a bigger window.

Kobe/Howard HAS to go in order for me to upgrade Blatche to a suitable player (Jefferson in this case) .... a main reason for ridding Kobe early is
1. He hasn't been producing well
2. His price can only go down from here
3. There are better routes out today then there will be on 12/6 after his B2B
4. (and most important) Trading Howard and holding Kobe would leave me centerless.
 
9Allwell
      ID: 24924190
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 16:05
Im with qwert and deejay, Why trade williams today? All cheapies have bad nights, but he has been real good so far...
Today's best move is kobe-kidd. And Howard is going to punish all who sold early.
 
10JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 16:06
qwert : u made good point though in the other thread about Kidd's opponents i think i'll jus keep howard and lose the willaims game

Deejay: i'm usually a holder and i would keep williams but then (with the trades im making) i would have 5 mill unused in the bank that i could either have sit there for a week or upgrade williams > S Jax

the extra cash could be handy for maneuvering space next week but i'd also hate to go so long with unused $$$
 
11deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 16:10
its your team, but i dont like throwing games away.
 
12Qwerty123
      Sustainer
      ID: 349431211
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 16:16
An occasional bad game is expected for cheapies like Williams. If he weren't playing today I'd be a little more concerned about those with itchy trade fingers selling, but he plays today. It's definitely worth seeing how he does tonight before making a decision on him. It would suck to sell only to see him rebound tonight when his schedule is fantastic for 2 weeks still.

Remember his 6 games prior to yesterday: 30, 22, 22.5, 23.5, 31.5, and 33. If you trade tonight, you're just handcuffing yourself later when other more deserving guys need to be sold.
 
13JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 16:21
yea i kno i picked him up real early at .62 mill with intentions of the 3 week hold (even when yehosh brought up the korver issue) but the way my team unfolded at this point its basically jus deciding whether i'd rather have him or S jax.
 
14qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 16:30
I don't see the need to trade Blatche or Williams today.

Granted, Blatche should probably go tomorrow, but trading two players who play, one of whom has been very good for his price until last night, is not ideal in my opinion.

And even Kobe has averaged 44/game over his last 4...which isn't amazing, but it's not must move territory.

If I were you, I would sit tight...or explore just trading Kobe and waiting to see what you want to do with the extra cash. If haywood gets injured tonight, Blatche could become a hold...if Williams has a solid game, he has a great schedule ahead.

Just my opinion.

 
15qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 16:31
13,

it might seem like that now...but holding cash for a few days is far from a disaster...it makes your next trade a lot easier, when you might be forced to make a trade.
 
16Headless Gunners
      ID: 19282419
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 16:54
By the way, when I started this thread, I never really thought of the trade Louis TODAY ideas.
It was always about the watch and see and then move.
Live and learn I guess
 
17JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:06
well the real point of any of these moves i proposed is jus to get a center .... if anyone has any good options to go Center i would re evaulate everything but getting rasheed today seems like the only good option .... unless i jus wait to get AL jefferson prematurely on 12/4
 
18JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:08
the only other C option is horford on the 3rd but i hate getting rookies too and the schedule dries up really quick ( NJ C sean williams is not an option i wanna go into nor is Harrington)
 
19Qwerty123
      Sustainer
      ID: 349431211
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:17
A lot of people will probably be moving Howard to Stoudemire on Tuesday. That's another option for you.
 
20deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:18
16

Naming a thread like this is a bit asking for it , imho. Especially after a 9.5.
Thank god its here and not on tsn.
 
21qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:20
why is jefferson premature on the 12/4?

no rookies, eh? who are you selling moon for? ;)

JMISA, don't want to talk you out of your plan if it's one you're comfortable with and works for your team. I just get nervous when people talk about making a whole bunch of trades, because I know twenty minutes into the first games of the night they often wish they had only made the trades they really had to make.

 
22JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:23
19

yea moving howard to amare and then back to him at 12/10 or 12/12 is very convenient and would settle the C problem for alot of people i havent been to keen on Amare though
 
23JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:26
21: I guess it isn't soo premature but the best pickup time for minnesota is 12/11 if u buy @ 12/4 your tradining into a 3 in 7 ... the upsides of course is that its a smooth transaction from C to C and minnesota's scedule is perfect after that throughout the holidays ... but thats also if you plan to lock up 9 mill into AL jefferson for that long probably also means not being able to afford the move back to Howard as well
 
24JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:31
haha well i'll stop talkin bout this it just sounds like im whining now btw headless gunners I hadn;t even noticed the name of the thread until you mentioned it haha
 
25Headless Gunners
      ID: 19282419
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:37
JIMSA - Sort of on a roll with action titles
Got a good one for tomorrow
 
26Maineac
      ID: 34991723
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 17:45
Musta been that "subliminal" thing.
 
27Soulman
      Donor
      ID: 016105313
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 18:14
Wow, checked in only now and was shaking my head at any idea to sell Loius tonight. And at the thread title because it really looks like it's referring to the notion of dropping Louis. {gulp}

But I see that's not the plan so I could stop shaking my head rather quickly. :) The only reason to drop Louis today would be if someone has 9m lying around for a stud upgrade *and* has 9 players who are even more of a hold than Louis. In that case congrats to such a perfect roster.

Other than that there isn't any halfway justifiable reason to drop Louis today. Except maybe an uncontrolled urge to simply burn trades for the sake of burning them... ;)
 
28deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 19:29
Sort of on a roll with action titles
Got a good one for tomorrow


I surely hope it doesnt involve one of my players then.
 
29jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:08
Good first half for Moon. Pity most have gotten into him by now.
 
30jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:12
And a very slow start for Louis. I think the train officially ends tonight. It's been a very nice ride, thanks Louis.
 
31deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:16
Sean Will 4 blocks already.
 
32qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:25
jedman, you've got the golden touch...louis making a push
 
33jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:26
Glad to help anyway I can. I'm still selling him for Kiri tomorrow.
 
34qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:27
Anyone want to buy telfair with me?
 
35deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:32
no but i sure want to hold louis.
 
36Qwerty123
      Sustainer
      ID: 349431211
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:36
Anyone else watching the Wizards telecast notice that the announcer keeps calling last year's #1 pick Barney-Yanni? Could you possibly pick two more annoying people?
 
37qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:39
35,

I meant from Daniels...Louis is definitely a hold
 
38Qwerty123
      Sustainer
      ID: 349431211
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:40
14.5 at the half for Lou Williams.
 
39jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 20:55
2 quick fouls for McDyess. What a surprise!
 
40Senator Urine
      ID: 141130310
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 21:49
I would love OT in the New Jersey-Philly game. Kidd is looking to screw me over again. In the words of Eddie Vedder, "Turned to my nemesis..."
 
41jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 21:59
Looks like you might get it.
 
42jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:02
You're a lucky man SU.
 
43Senator Urine
      ID: 141130310
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:02
Before you say that, I bought Mardy Collins :)
 
44ole
      ID: 47114119
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:03
OT, yeah
 
45Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:04
I bought Mardy Collins and Kevin Garnett and missed only one Andrei Kirilenko game...
 
46jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:06
Well, McDyess Sucks!
 
47jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:11
Man, another night of lousy performances with the exception of Moon. At least I don't have Dirk to whine about also. Some big guns have sure disappointed the last couple days.
 
48Perm Dude
      ID: 2710413011
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:13
I was watching that NJ/Sixers game earlier and the Sixers were kicking their butts. How did they let the Nets back into it?
 
49Blooki
      Sustainer
      ID: 449292712
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:15
Re: 48

They're the Sixers...
 
50qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:16
Jefferson and Kidd becoming respectable due to OT...I of course have neither.

Moon is the one player that is actually completely irrelevant I think. I guess his good play is saving us all a trade, but I think by now, we all have him.
 
51qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:25
stupid...iguoudala should have missed the second free throw on purpose...now they have to hit a heave to tie it
 
52jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:28
24 for Dirk, 14.5 for Harris. 9 or so for McDyess at the end of three. Kidd around 40 I think, at least that's acceptable. Anybody having a good game?
 
53ole
      ID: 47114119
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:29
wallace at 27 and looking like garbage time. no, i am not having a good game/time either. crap day for my team.
 
54G
      Donor
      ID: 5810561615
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:30
Wow, checking box scores and I actually wish I had nobody playing tonight.
 
55kentucky indians
      ID: 33892520
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:31
McDyess low fantasy total just means he is probably a high TSN$$$ gainer tonight!
 
56kentucky indians
      ID: 33892520
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:32
ouch Bogut having a bad night.. that could mean a lot of howard sellers!
 
57Captain
      ID: 18882523
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:33
Yao Miiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiing!
 
58jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:42
McDyess with a garbage time flurry moves up to a monster 19 tsnp for the night. He did it in about 3 or 4 minutes. He must have himself in TSN.
 
59ole
      ID: 47114119
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:45
what's wrong with dallas lately?
 
60qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:48
they think that since they were awesome in the regular season and sucked in the playoffs, if they suck in the regular season, they'll be awesome in the playoffs.

 
61Mac Daddy
      ID: 510283019
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:48
So I'm one of the Baron sellers. I went to Chris Paul for the back to back. Burned last night as he put up a 30. Now I'm watching a gamecast on a Saturday night.

He was on his way to the 3D at half with 7 boards. No boards in the 3rd. He got one with 1 in the 4th and 1 with a minute left in OT. Since then, there have been 2 uncredited NO offensive boards. Any chance he got one and will get credit for it later?

By the way, I'm also guilty of trading Jackson to Caron Butler for his back to back. Butler pulled through fo rme tonight, but it was still a foolish trade.
 
62jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:52
You must have a lot of trades. Harris with a last play board and score to jump to 18 tsnp. On a night like this, I'm happy with anything.
 
63Mac Daddy
      ID: 510283019
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:54
Not anymore. Shouldn't have made the Jackson trade.
 
64jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 22:59
OT, what a night for college football. This season sure has been interesting. Now who will play for the national championship assuming Missouri loses?
 
65qwert
      Donor
      ID: 2910242819
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:15
woo...lost me some money tonight

selling AK after 88 points...that's gutsy

at least lebron's still going down a bunch
 
66G
      Donor
      ID: 5810561615
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:15
ahh the Pitt Panthers with one of the most beautiful wins in many years for their program. Nothing makes them happier than pinning the "worst" loss in WVU history on them tonight. Picture your favortie team and their biggest rival and you can relate to this win tonight for a team that was 4-7 over a team headed to the big dance.
 
67Senator Urine
      ID: 141130310
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:16
Howard only down 100k tonight, I am feeling awesome. And no sarcasm either in that for once, I held him.
 
68G
      Donor
      ID: 5810561615
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:19
oh yeah and to do it in their house as a 28 point dog. Beautiful, simply beautiful.
 
69jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:22
G, I have no rooting interest in that game, but I sure thought Pitt got screwed on some of those holding calls. Talk about some home cookin', wow!
It would have been a shame for them to lose.
 
70G
      Donor
      ID: 5810561615
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:22
there are some people with more guts than I have to sell Kirlenko who just gave them 88 pts last night and has a solid schedule ahead.
 
71jedman
      Dude
      ID: 315192219
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:25
I'm buying Kirilenko tomorrow from Louis Williams. I am ecstatic with the drop in price. The drops by Davis and Jackson also made no sense. Very short sighted managers out there.
 
72G
      Donor
      ID: 5810561615
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:29
Jedman, man I couldn't agree more. ESPN showed both plays here after the game and the anouncer said "at best this is a questionable call, at worst it is a horrible call". At least they pulled it out.

As happy as I am, I feel for the poor WVU coach on the stand. "It was a nightmare, a flat out nightmare".
 
73JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:34
well louis williams did avg tonight and blatche did his usual 15 so i lost about 35 pts for trading them early thats prety much what i expected jefferson and sheed just a lil below their averages but i'd rather have them
 
74JMISA
      ID: 21056316
      Sat, Dec 01, 2007, 23:37
wow what i jus realized though was that stephen jackson actualy went down tonight and louis williams stayed the same so i would have actualy made my 30k window haha but i guess there was no way of knowing that today though
 
75deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Sun, Dec 02, 2007, 05:35
I cannot believe Brewer lost 70k.

And Mac Daddy, why you had to go sell both Barn/Jax is beyond me. For a Butler b2b? In Ultimate? In early december?
 
76deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Sun, Dec 02, 2007, 05:38
71

Thats beyond shortsighted, thats having no clue, jedman.
 
77Mac Daddy
      ID: 510283019
      Sun, Dec 02, 2007, 08:11
75 -- Well, I had wanted to make the Baron move since I first picked him up. I had the trades and knew it would be good differentation. I really wanted Bosh but his groin ruled him out. Then I saw Paul against Atlanta and thought I had a chance for a big game. Turns out I was wrong.

When I went to double check my work on Paul, I saw Butler was averaging 50 a game over the last 7 and went for it. So that was my real foolish move. I don't have any leftover trades outside of Howard.

So I do regret the Jackson -- Butler swap, even though it worked out point wise, but I feel real good about the Baron -- Paul trades.