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Subject: RIBC AAA International Rationales rounds 21-25
Posted by: mjd
- Sustainer [501381415] Wed, Mar 21, 2007, 22:38
Rounds 1-5
Rounds 6-10
Rounds 11-15
Rounds 16-20 |
| 1 | Bandos
Sustainer
ID: 279492419
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 15:13
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21.01 Tom Gorzelanny, SP, PIT
Gorzy has been on my Q for a while with Lowry, 4 "undrafteds" and a few other SP with some youth and upside. I originally planned on Lowry here as I liked his team and park but eventually was won over by the high end projections for Gorzellany and his better strikout rate.
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| 2 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 21:33
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For Taxman
21.02 Brian Wilson, RP, SF
With very few Saves drafted through first 20 rounds, took a flyer on heir apparent when Benitez breaks down. A few pundits claim the kid has closer abilities, but it doesn't show in ERA or WHIP .450 and 3.5 respectfully and maybe 50 K's along with 20 saves if he gets the job at some point.
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| 3 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 21:33
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For Fosten
21.03
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| 4 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 21:34
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For wolfer
21.04 Johnny Estrada, C, Mil
I was looking for a back up catcher and with plenty to choose from, it was a great time to pick one. Estrada hit over 300 last year. Hopefully those numbers will increase since he is in a hitters ballpark this year.
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| 5 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 21:35
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For BB
21.05
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| 6 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 21:36
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For aggy
21.06
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| 7 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 21:36
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For Uptown Bombers
21.07 Nick Punto, MI, MIN
Punto gives me solid protection at three positions, though I primarily want to use him as a MI. He’s my fourth MI, so I don’t count on using him much, but he does come with some speed and decent OBP. Ultimately, since this league is so deep and the bench so short, I just wanted someone with multiple positional eligibility.
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| 8 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 21:37
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For TD
21.08
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| 9 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 21:42
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21.08 Placido Polanco, MI, Det
Yet another Tiger to fill out my bench. Get a position player while you can. I have no idea if this guy can help my team. If he does not produce early and often, he’ll go from my bench to the FA pool as soon as I find a suitable replacement.
We’re not at the bottom of the barrel yet, but we’re getting close
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| 10 | RoboGuru
ID: 261542621
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 22:47
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For jkaye
21.10
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| 11 | RoboGuru
ID: 261542621
Thu, Mar 22, 2007, 22:53
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21.11 Ryan Garko, Util, CLE
ive been looking at him for a couple rounds. i like him as a nice sleeper candidate. he put up some really nice numbers last year (28/45/0/.359/.470 in just 50 games) and could continue that success if he can push blake to right field or the bench. im guessing trot nixon makes his annual trip to the DL and opens up the spot in the lineup.
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| 12 | Electroman
ID: 372412215
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 12:17
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For Jumpball
21.12 Matt Murton OF,CHC
It was time to get the last of the "chosen 21" -- the number of players that are active each day.
I had Ethier and Murton atop my queue. When Ethier went at 21.06, I swallowed hard an hoped that nobody was taking an OF -- and for a change, the player I wanted actually slid to my pick. Murton should start out as an almost every day player while Floyd continues his recovery. My hope is that he gets off to a great start (as he finished last year) and makes it impossible for Pinella to sit him down.
I'd like to think he gets around 450 ABs; if so he'll put up all the numbers I need.
As of this point I can field a full team. I'll be looking for a hitter, regardless of position, a starter and reliever in the next 3 rounds, and then the best player available (or a flier) in the last round.
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| 13 | Electroman
ID: 372412215
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 12:18
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For Mudge
21.13
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| 14 | Electroman
ID: 372412215
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 12:18
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21.14 Nelson Cruz, OF, Tex
With this pick, I was looking to fill out my roster, and I needed another bat, particularly an OF, and Cruz had been on my mind for a while. Cruz should be starting in RF for the Rangers this year. Solid hitters park for a good prospect. I checked out his minor league numbers, and he has displayed power and speed. He didn’t do too badly over the final month last year, hopefully he can build on that and have a solid season.
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| 15 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 15:38
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For WG
21.15
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| 16 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 15:39
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For Hubble
21.16
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| 17 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 15:49
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For Hubble
22.1
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| 18 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 15:50
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For WG
22.02
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| 19 | Electroman
ID: 372412215
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 16:50
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22.03 Nick Johnson, 1B, Wash
I noticed that some people were drafting players that were injured and were going to miss a substantial amount of time. With my lineup complete, and now drafting basically fill in players, I figured I would take a chance on Johnson. From what I read, he will be out till about June. Two months goes fast. I will keep him on my bench as long as I can, but don’t want to drop him. He was having a great season until he broke his leg. Showed that he has power and can hit for average. He also has a great eye, 110 walks in 500 AB’s. If he can come back healthy, he will be a great addition to the lineup.
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| 20 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 22:53
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For Mudge
22.04
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| 21 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 22:54
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For jb
22.05 Noah Lowry SP, SF
I was surpirsed to see that Lowry was still available at this point in the draft so I had to grab him. If his numbers this year hit the average of his last 3 years (and NOT 2006 numbers), I will be vey happy with this pick. With Sp as my weakest spt, he also fit nicely.
I didn't consider anyone else once I confirmed that Lowry was undrafted.
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| 22 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 22:55
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For RoboGuru
22.06 Tim Lincecum, RP, SFO
All signs indicate that he should be with the team soon in some manner. He could work his way into the rotation or at the back of the bullpen. Purely speculative pick here. With the other players on my roster that are either DL or NA to start the season, he will probably be one of the first drops if a need presents itself.
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| 23 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 22:59
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For jkaye
22.07
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| 24 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:01
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22.08 Aaron Hill, MI, Tor
Got to be careful, I don’t want to have too many pitchers with the 1350 IP limit. Grabbed this young MI with lots of potential. Looks like he will bat 2nd and has a pretty good shot at 500 Abs. What he does with the first 150 may determine how long he stays on my roster. Too bad he doesn’t steal a few more bases.
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| 25 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:02
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For TD
22.09
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| 26 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:03
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For Uptown
22.10 Kiko Calero, RP, OAK
Calero is a good middle reliever. Though he is not next in line to close, he could easily find himself picking up a save chance or two at some point if the right scenario develops. Either way, he gives good k/ip and should help my era and whip.
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| 27 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:04
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For aggy
22.11
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| 28 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:05
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For BB
22.12
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| 29 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:06
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For wolfer
22.13 Mark Loretta, 2B, Hou
Looking for a backup that can play multiple positions. Loretta can play basically every position, with the majority being either at first or second.
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| 30 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:07
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For Fosten
22.14
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| 31 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:07
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For Taxman
22.15 Kazuo Matsui, SS, COL
Matsui has had a good spring and with the 2nd half of last year, has rejuvenated his MLB career.
He serves as a backup infielder with 12 Steal potential, 50 R and RBI, a .370 OBP and a .420 SLUG%. Coors Field is not known as a hazard to hitter's numbers and becomes my 4th Col position player in this draft.
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| 32 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:09
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For Bandos
22.16 Dustin Pedroia, 2B, BOS
Dustin will play a bench role for my squad. Will Hall having SS, 3B eligibility, this gives me 7 players for the MI/CI spots. I hope to keep healthy, but if I don't then I have some flexibility. Had Aaron Hill been available, I may have gone that route, but am happy with Pedroia as he is a SAWX, and was taken as high as the 18th round in the RIBC (course not drafted in some of the qualifying leagues...). I'm bullish on his OBP, and bearish on his SL
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| 33 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:11
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For Bandos
23.01 Josh Bard, C, SD
Bard has a pulse and is eligible at C. I wish I could leave it at that, but I am surprised to still see Bard available. He did post a .943 OPS last year (in 249 AB's but still…Im grasping at straws here). When Iannetta was taken I set my sights on a catcher in the 25th round but I guess I had to stretch a bit since two managers still have not drafted a catcher. I don't think he would have made it back for the 24/25 turn.
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| 34 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:12
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For Taxman
23.02 Ross Gload, DH, KC
Gload has had an excellent spring training showing high PBP and SLUG. Should he carry that thru the season he is a potential breakout player (you read it here first). With Teahan, Shealy and Goedon, Gload could put up big numbers in the suddenly pitching poor AL West. Upside numbers would be 80 runs, 85, RBI, .350 OBP and .450 SLUG. Of course the other side is reality which is more likely to make Gload an early drop in lieu of an unknown who starts off hot.
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| 35 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:13
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For Fosten
23.03
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| 36 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:14
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For wolfer
23.04 Shea Hillenbrand, 1B, LAA
Looking for another veteran hitter. Hillenbrand might look good in the middle of the Angels lineup. He could hit .300 again and hit 20 homers.
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| 37 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:15
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For BB
23.05
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| 38 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:15
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For aggy
23.06
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| 39 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:18
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For Uptown Bombers
23.07 Andy Marte, 3B, CLE,
Marte was one the biggest prospects a few years back. He is finally slotted to start this year from the beginning. This pick is simply a shot in the dark to see if the scouts had one right. If he develops then I have a serviceable slugger. My other third baseman is also young player, and while I have much more faith that Encarnacion will deliver, this pick gives me a second chance in the young 3B lottery.
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| 40 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:19
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For TD
23.08
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| 41 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:21
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23.09 Danny Baez, RP, Balt
If I could say ask this guy one question, it’d be: Who’s your agent, dude? Three years, $19mil contract to set up Chris Ray. He wasn’t happy as the set up guy in LA. At an average of over $6 mil per year, I’d do it, too.
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| 42 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:21
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For jkaye
23.10
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| 43 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:22
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For Robo
23.11 Tony Graffanino, Util, MIL
The definition of Utility, Graff qualifies at all 4 infield positions. I was looking for position flexibility with this pick and there wasn't a lot of it left.
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| 44 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:23
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For jb
23.12 Termel Sledge OF, SD
Now's the time to take a player who has a chance to perform a lot better than you would expect from a player drafted at #364. (NOTE: a 12 team league with a 25 man roster stops at pick # 300). Termel is penciled into the #2 slot in SD, between the Giles brothers. I think that'll give him a chance to see good pitches -- and hopefully that'll translate into hits!
I had been hoping to land Hillenbrand or Marte at this spot.
I also considered Sowers and Meredith, but decided to go with a hitter to balance my team and hope that one of those would get past the short turn.
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| 45 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Fri, Mar 23, 2007, 23:23
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For mudge
23.13
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| 46 | Electroman
ID: 372412215
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 12:20
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23.14 Vincente Padilla, SP, Tex
I had him on my Q for quite a while. I wasn’t sure I wanted him, and found other players that filled needs. Now, being at the end of the draft, I was looking for the best players available. I figured Padilla was that guy. I almost went with Gil Meche here. Padilla is the #2 starter in Texas. He had a pretty solid season last year with 15 wins and just over 150 K’s. His ERA and WHIP were high, but they should come down.
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| 47 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:16
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for WG
23.15
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| 48 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:18
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for Hubble
23.16
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| 49 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:19
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for Hubble
24.01
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| 50 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:20
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for WG
24.02
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| 51 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:20
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for Electro
24.03 Jose Castillo, 2B, Pit
I wanted either a CI or MI here. Most of the guys left playing the corners were not really to my liking. And with MI, I came down to Alex Gonzalez and Jose Castillo. 2006 saw Castillo set career highs in HR and RBI, but I think he was a little disappointing. I drafted him last year, and released him. Regretted it as he soon went on a hot streak, but got over it as he cooled down. I expect the same this year. He is only 26, and has some pop in his bat, so maybe he will tear it up. Or maybe not.
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| 52 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:21
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for mudge
24.04
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| 53 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:32
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for jb
24.05 A.J.Piersynski C, CHW
I surprised myself with this pick, but with Sowers, Meredith, Jenkins & Milledge all leaving my queue, I had to go back to the drawing board to find someone for my team. I didn't particularly want another hitter that was only eligible at OF.. I looked at SP and saw very little to wotk with. There were plenty of interesting RPs, so I decided to defer those for now. So I'm back to an IF . . . slim pickin's indeed.
HMMMMMMM . . . I just realized that I can get AJP and use him occasionally at C and slide Pudge to 1B/CI. That looks better than any other option!
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| 54 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:40
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for Robo
24.06 Doug Davis, SP, ARI
200K season in 2005 before his numbers dipped last year. Maybe the desert will do him well and bring him back to serviceable in the fantasy world. He should be an innings eater with double digit wins and 160+ Ks and ratios that won't help.
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| 55 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:41
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for jkaye
24.07
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| 56 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:43
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24.08 Gerald Laird, C, Tex
Well, it’s down to me and Fosten for a catcher and Fosten picks his final 2 picks before I make my last one, so I’ll get the guy I’ve been targeting since I decided to pass on a catchers, several rounds ago. I really only liked about the first tier and a half of catchers, in the first place and when that didn’t pan out, this quickly became plan B. I don’t get much comfort in projections, but as a catcher, he shouldn’t totally kill me in any category.
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| 57 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:44
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for TD
24.09
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| 58 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:46
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for Uptown
24.10 Chad Qualls, RP, HOU
Likely my first cut and probably won’t survive through the start of the season. I added Qualls to my queue very late at night and honestly, I was just running out of names. I threw him onto the list because sleep was more important. Qualls is a good middle reliever in real life, but I’m not sure how helpful he will be in this league. His K rate is not what I’m looking for and most of his value comes from the his high win total from last year. Of course, there is no real way to predict that will be repeated, as wins tend to be fickle year to year for relievers.
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| 59 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:47
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for aggy
24.11
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| 60 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:47
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for BB
24.12
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| 61 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:48
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for wolfer
24.13 Braden Looper RP STL
Even though he was a relief pitcher for most of his career, he is going to start the season in the rotation. He may help me in a couple of starts, that is until he more than likely goes back to the pen.
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| 62 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:48
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for Fosten
24.14
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| 63 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:49
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for Taxman
24.15 Ryan Theriot, 2b, CUBs
Theriot is drafted as another true utility player who might get 400 AB playing 2B, SS, #B and OF for the cubbies. He has 25 Steal potential, with 50 R, 40 RBI, and a nifty .380 OBP to go with a pedistrian .410 Slug%
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| 64 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:52
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for Bandos
24.16 Jamie Shields, SP, TB
Jamie Shields has high upside in terms of K/9 at around 7. Like Gorzy, he has tremendous upside in terms of his Baseball Prospectus projections. Like Gorzy, he most likely wont reach them. While the D-rays mght make it our of the cellar this year, not a lot of potential for wins. This is an experiment that was made necessary by the Papelbon news.
25.01 Orlando Hernandez, SP, NYM
El douche, err, el duque is the #2 guy for a great lineup in NY with a solid pen. Maybe I can get a few wins here and he can continue his 8k/9.
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| 65 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:53
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for Taxman
25.02 Joakim Soria, RP, KC
Last pick and a proverbial "shot in the dark". Soria is a Rule 5 pick who followed an impressive Mexican league season with a sterling spring training. Will be a middle relief, but could either, set up, close or become a starter depending on how bad things get in KC. Has great K potential and excellent control....so far.
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| 66 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:53
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for Fosten
25.03
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| 67 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:54
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for wolfer
25.04 Craig Biggio 2B HOU
I was looking for any proven veteran, regardless of position. I was somewhat suprised to see him still on the board, when some drafts had him going in the top 100.
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| 68 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:54
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for BB
25.05
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| 69 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:55
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for aggy
25.06
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| 70 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:58
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for Uptown
25.07 Jose Bautista, OF, PIT
I wanted another OF for depth. This guy was just recently given the starting third base job for the Pirates. Looking at his numbers from last year, I decided he was worth a shot. He’s young and could have a noteworthy year. Really at this point though, 25th round picks are speculation. I figured I’d take him over Wily Mo Pena since he was starting at least and Wily Mo is slated to come off the bench.
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| 71 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 22:59
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for TD
25.08
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| 72 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 23:00
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25.09 Jeff Francis, SP, Col
Any wonder why this guy is still around? Any pitcher at Coors, by definition, is a stat killer. The only reason I even picked up another SP is because of Colon and possibly RJ, who will not be ready to start the season when the rest of us do. In any event, I doubt he’ll even make a start for me. I’m all about the flavor of the week, once the season starts.
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| 73 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 23:01
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for jkaye
25.10
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| 74 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 23:03
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for Robo
25.11 Cliff Floyd, OF, CHC
We all know that Floyd can't stay healthy. But with a round 25 pick, i'll take the chance that he gets a couple good months in
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| 75 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 23:04
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for jb
25.12 Ryan Church OF, WAS
The rules of this game require me to pick 25 players.
Church, as of right now, is supposed to be on the roster of the Nationals as of Opening Day. He was also on the team last year. I like his consistency.
He has played well for small stretches in the past. I expect that to continue this year.
He hit a few homers last year and the year before. I expect that he'll do that again this year.
My projections show him with between 10 and 80 Rs, 10 - 70 RBIs, 1 - 10 SBs, an OBP between .250 and .400, and SLG between .300 and .550. If he approaches the average of those numbers this will be a good pick. If not . . . well . . . I had to pick SOMEBODY!
[[ Thanks to Toral for providing the basis for this "rationalization" a couple of years ago! :-) ]]
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| 76 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 23:05
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for mudge
25.13
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| 77 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 23:06
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for Electro
25.14
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| 78 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 23:07
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for WG
25.15
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| 79 | mjd
Sustainer
ID: 501381415
Sat, Mar 24, 2007, 23:07
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for Hubble
25.16
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