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0 Subject: RIFC 2013: Regular season discussion

Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Wed, Sep 04, 2013, 11:46

Still awaiting rationales from twilson.

RIFC League summary page is here:
http://rotoguru1.com/foot/RIFC.html
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125Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Sat, Nov 02, 2013, 14:10
123

I like that idea. I am usually out reffing from 2:30 to about 7 by the time I get home, so I can never do the FCFS in time. Maybe 8 or 9 pm EDT which is 5/6 PDT?
126Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Sat, Nov 02, 2013, 14:12
124. I don't see an issue with lineups, as you can set them for the entire rest of the season today if you want to...I always try to set a tentative one on Tuesday and adjust it with waiver, FA and injury news throughout the week.
127Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Sat, Nov 02, 2013, 21:31
Just watched "league of denial". Highly recommend it. I think the title should have been "league in denial" as the nfl powers that be still don't get it.
128Bonka
      Sustainer
      ID: 019742310
      Sun, Nov 03, 2013, 15:29
Well, this is absolutely pathetic.
129Khahan
      ID: 16341313
      Sun, Nov 03, 2013, 20:03
Not sure who to root for here in the last games of the week. In this league I'm against you with luck and Ty Hilton and a close match. In my other league I've got Hilton and am trying to come from behind.

And of course Smith has Trent Richardson in this league...and he's my RB in the league I have TY Hilton in.
130I_AM_CANADIAN
      Sustainer
      ID: 01361448
      Mon, Nov 04, 2013, 16:30
Reminder before we hit the trade deadline... I have a slight surplus in the RB dept. I'm willing to discus trades for a high-end WR
131Khahan
      Donor
      ID: 39432178
      Tue, Nov 05, 2013, 09:03
Wow, I really thought I had a chance with some GB WR to at least be competitive this week. But nothing. Nothing at all.
132I_AM_CANADIAN
      Sustainer
      ID: 01361448
      Thu, Nov 07, 2013, 12:36
Trade Announcement:

Promize MizzDawgs gave up:
Smith, Torrey BAL WR

I_AM_CANADIAN gave up:
James, Mike TBB RB
133Promize
      ID: 179302817
      Thu, Nov 07, 2013, 12:50
Confirmed.
134holt
      Donor
      ID: 308491916
      Sun, Nov 10, 2013, 16:23
Wow - that hail mary pass for the Bengals. Just knock the ball down, or let it fall. Even a high school player would get chewed out for that. Hilarious.
135Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Sun, Nov 10, 2013, 17:50
Wonder if Igehidebo (sp?) gets a pass defenses for that error...
136Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Sun, Nov 10, 2013, 21:50
I finally sit colston...could cost me...
137Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Mon, Nov 11, 2013, 08:41
Hoping for no stat correction up for guru or down for me!
138Khahan
      Donor
      ID: 39432178
      Wed, Nov 13, 2013, 16:33
Guru, you had me by $1 on Leonard!
139holt
      Donor
      ID: 308491916
      Thu, Nov 28, 2013, 15:59
What are the post season add/drop rules?
140I_AM_CANADIAN
      Sustainer
      ID: 01361448
      Fri, Nov 29, 2013, 11:13
RE 139:

http://rotoguru1.com/cgi-bin/read.pl?board=foot&thread=5482&last=1378329764

Blind bidding will continue throughout the playoffs. At the beginning of the playoffs, the top seeded team will receive an additional blind bidding allocation of $16, the second seed will receive $14, … with the 8th seed receiving $2. These allocations will be added to any balances remaining from the regular season. Any blind bidding ties during the playoffs will be awarded in favor of the better seeded team.

If a playoff game ends in a tie score, the team with the better seed shall advance.

There will be no restriction on player add/drop transactions for teams still active in the championship playoffs. Teams which are not still active in the Championship playoffs may not make any transactions - adds or drops - even if they are still competing in the Consolation bracket.
141holt
      Donor
      ID: 308491916
      Fri, Nov 29, 2013, 16:49
Thanks. Seems like we used to have some very strict restrictions on adds/drops during the playoffs. This current system seems pretty good.
142Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Dec 02, 2013, 21:18
I'll work on seeding the playoffs tomorrow morning. Remember that the top six teams in W/L record advance, as well as the two other teams with the most points. Then the bottom four seeds (5-8) are re-seeded based on total points.

The six teams not advancing to the championship round will be placed in a consolation bracket.

143Bonka
      Sustainer
      ID: 019742310
      Tue, Dec 03, 2013, 00:00
Missed the top 6 thanks to my week 7 loss by .42 when Cutler and Cushing both got hurt. I think I got the last spot, but now I have to win it all to come back :(
144Khahan
      ID: 16341313
      Tue, Dec 03, 2013, 00:19
My god. I score the 4th most points on the week and still go 0-2. I had a few bad weeks in there, but around them I felt my scores were pretty solid but my matchups really sucked.

Less than a full point difference between me and smith for total points scored but a 5 W difference in our records. Wiggs and I really stood out above most other teams for total points against. I think a bit of luck in the schedule helped me last year, but it certainly didn't care much for me this year!

Just a frustrating season but at least I have the consolation bracket to play in another week.
145Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Dec 03, 2013, 10:05
Playoff brackets have now been set up.

Championship bracket seeding:
1 Holt
2 Guru
3 twilson
4 TD
5 Kyle
6 IAC
7 Bonka
8 s R

Note: sR ranked #5 in the regular standings, but was dropped to the 8th seed based on points. IAC and Bonka get the two "wild card" spots. Youngroman gets the "close but no cigar award", missing the last playoff spot by only 12.36 pts, less than a point per week.

Blind bidding values have been adjusted to award an extra $16 to the top seed, $14 to the #2 seed, ... $2 to the #8 seed.

The other 6 teams have been placed in the consolation bracket. The first round consolation bracket loser with the most points scored in that first round game will advance to round two, in order to preserve an even number of teams. The pairings in the second round will be adjusted if needed to avoid a rematch of a first-round game.

Teams that are not alive in the championship bracket may not add or drop players for the remainder of the season. Add/drop/waivers will continue as usual for the teams still alive in the Championship bracket.

Note: It is possible that Thursday morning statistical corrections will cause a seeding adjustment, particularly as IAC and Bonka are only separated by 0.48 points for the #6-#7 seeds. Any other shifts in seeding seems rather implausible - but we'll find out on Thursday.

Please let me know if anything appears to be improperly set up.

Can anyone knock off the Holt juggernaut?
146Kyle
      Sustainer
      ID: 052753312
      Tue, Dec 03, 2013, 17:08
Damn, I was really hoping Brees and Tate could have a better game so I could avoid this 4-5 situation. I don't want to play Holt next round.
147Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Dec 04, 2013, 11:14
Holt's team had an "all-play" winning percentage against eventual playoff teams of 83.5%.

If we assume that for each playoff game he has an 83.5% chance of winning, then his statistical probability of winning the playoffs is 58%. (calculated as .835^3)

As I noted in yesterday's blurb, the #1 seed has only won the RIFC playoffs once in 9 years. But I don't think we've ever had such a dominating performance in the regular season before.
148Bonka
      Sustainer
      ID: 019742310
      Wed, Dec 04, 2013, 22:08
Holt's team needs to be tested for PEDs.
149Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Wed, Dec 04, 2013, 23:06
Darn it. Another disappointing season with the big boys. Can't seem to stay there. Sigh. At least I didn't finish in last place this time...

Nice job -- so far -- holt.
150I_AM_CANADIAN
      Sustainer
      ID: 01361448
      Thu, Dec 05, 2013, 09:54
RE 149: Agreed. It's a competitive league. It's one of the main reasons I keep coming back.
151Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Thu, Dec 05, 2013, 10:50
Wow - we actually did get a scoring adjustment that impacted the playoff seedings.

For IAC, Daryl Smith gained a pass defensed, but Philip Wheeler lost a half sack and a QB hit. Net change was a loss of 1 point. But that drops IAC to 0.52 behind Bonka, instead of 0.48 ahead.

So, Bonka moves up to the #6 seed, and IAC drops to the #7 seed.

Will be interesting to see if this changes the outcomes of any of this weekend's games.



152holt
      Donor
      ID: 308491916
      Fri, Dec 06, 2013, 06:38
Thanks Judy. I don't like the way this week is starting out. SR gets a couple TD's on Thursday night and I get a weak 7 from JJ Watt. Can't say I enjoyed the Jags Texans game too much.
153Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Fri, Dec 06, 2013, 08:29
Holt, your Foles pickup was a good one. I grabbed him last year as a homer flyer for G24 and now that chip has said he is the starter for the next 1000 years, I should be set... Teehee. Your team is loaded.
154holt
      Donor
      ID: 308491916
      Fri, Dec 06, 2013, 15:45
Another 7 TD performance would be sweet. I'm lucky to have him on my team. I either got him real cheap or got him as a FA.
155Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Fri, Dec 06, 2013, 19:26
I think it will be a low scoring ground game day. Weather expected to be wet, maybe snowy and cold...
156Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Sun, Dec 08, 2013, 21:59
So now my players especially the wides, decide to show up.

Thanks guys...
157Khahan
      ID: 16341313
      Mon, Dec 09, 2013, 02:03
I know the feeling Judy.
158youngroman
      ID: 141138212
      Mon, Dec 09, 2013, 03:56
1st playoff week and it seems that up to 4 non-playoff teams outscore all 8 playoff teams. what are the odds for that to happen?
159I_AM_CANADIAN
      Sustainer
      ID: 01361448
      Mon, Dec 09, 2013, 09:53
RE 158: Not quite. I've still got a player still to go, and so do other active teams. This week isn't locked-up just yet. Heck, even last week, it wasn't locked up till re-calculations on Thursday! Was a interesting first week of the playoffs for sure.
160Kyle
      Sustainer
      ID: 052753312
      Mon, Dec 09, 2013, 13:11
I love leaving 50.8 points on the bench... Luckily it looks like it won't cost me the win, I still wish I could have had those so I could feel more secure. If Alshon has a game like last week, I'm in huge trouble.

I know I'm rooting for Forte to have a repeat of Week 10, sorry Holt.
161holt
      Donor
      ID: 308491916
      Mon, Dec 09, 2013, 17:59
Yeah I need 9 points or so from Forte. Bad time to have worst week of the season. At least I have a chance of winning though. It was looking pretty bleak through the first half of the first set of games yesterday. Losing Gronk stinks too. Was a rough day yesterday.

I would have lost to 4 of the 6 teams in the consolation brackets.
162wiggs
      ID: 431010618
      Tue, Dec 10, 2013, 01:13
I want to apologize for my performance this season. I believe there were a couple things going against me this season, not that any are a legit excuse and I feel terrible I played so poorly.

1st of all the birth of my twins were exactly when the draft started, and although I had many people who helped me with keeping up on the draft I didnt prepare the way I should have.

2nd of all I feel like every team I played this season had the game of their season. Just bad luck.

Anyways, I will be back next season playing AAA and I am planning on returning to play with you all again in another season. Thanks for having me. Good luck to everyone still playing

Wiggs
163Khahan
      ID: 16341313
      Tue, Dec 10, 2013, 08:12
yeah, looks like its back to AAA for me too (was obvious a while ago). I screwed myself in the draft. That's where all my problems began.
164Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Dec 10, 2013, 09:13
If the seedings hadn't been adjusted last week based on the Thursday scoring adjustments, I'd have advanced. But that created the only first round matchup that would beat me. Argh.

The nature of the beast. Year after year.

In the consolation bracket, Promize advances as the losing team with the best score of the first round. In order to prevent a repeat matchup for this week, I had to restack the games in that bracket. So the top seed (Youngroman) now faces Promize, and Khahan faces Judy.
165I_AM_CANADIAN
      Sustainer
      ID: 01361448
      Tue, Dec 10, 2013, 10:04
RE 164: I was really scared to be matched up against you. I don't know what our VS record is, but I know it's MUCH lower that my overall records in the RIFC.
166Kyle
      Sustainer
      ID: 052753312
      Tue, Dec 10, 2013, 14:40
RE: 161

When your worst week is still good enough for 6th best score in the league, you know your team is ridiculous.

This is the first time since 2009 (and before then I don't know where league histories are) that I've won a playoff game in an RIFC league. Luckily I've made the playoffs and been able to move up in 2011 and 2012.
167I_AM_CANADIAN
      Sustainer
      ID: 01361448
      Tue, Dec 17, 2013, 09:40
Wow, close matchup... less than 2 points! Enjoy the championship game!
168Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Tue, Dec 17, 2013, 18:00
Why did my team wait until after the regular season to start playing ball? Second highest score this week...
169I_AM_CANADIAN
      Sustainer
      ID: 01361448
      Wed, Dec 18, 2013, 09:38
Suggestion for next year:

Move Waiver day to Thursday instead of Wednesday (during the playoffs). Considering that we've had some close calls, and it could affect who is still "in it" or not, and thus, whether they should be bidding or not.

I'll be watching to see tomorrow's scoring adjustments, as there have been significant adjustments the last few weeks, and the score differential was under 2 points.
170Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Dec 18, 2013, 10:28
Probably a good idea. Hopefully we'll remember.
171Judy
      ID: 54203110
      Tue, Dec 24, 2013, 09:19
Congrats to holt. A thorough beat down all season!

172I_AM_CANADIAN
      Sustainer
      ID: 01361448
      Tue, Dec 24, 2013, 09:56
Congrats Holt! Much deserved.

If only wish I had made it through last round...
173youngroman
      ID: 141138212
      Tue, Dec 24, 2013, 15:02
congratulations Holt. you were dominant all season and destroyed all of us. a well deserved win.

I just checked and with 9 more points in the regular season and I would be the RIFC champion now. with 10 regular season points more I would be have been runner up. So it is back to AAA where I try my best to be back a year later. see you then.
174holt
      Donor
      ID: 308491916
      Tue, Dec 24, 2013, 19:14
Thanks Judy, YR, IAC. Was a fun, lucky, and fairly disaster-free season. Was hoping my brother could pull off a win in AAA2 but his team had it's worst week of the season. Think he scored 110 after averaging 152 in the regular season.

The week 16 results seemed pretty atypical across the board(low scoring). I don't know if it was more due to people not setting lineups or to weird things happening in the NFL. We have a small money league here in Enid and were discussing maybe having the season end in week 15. Kind of early but week 16 is starting to feel like the wrong time to decide a league champ.

In roto baseball - if you have a great team then you'll just win. But fantasy football, in week 16 you're at the mercy of a lot factors you have no control over. Guess there is no good answer. Leagues that play through week 17 are just nuts.

Congrats to everyone who qualified for RIFC next season. Dave Hall - thanks as always. We all appreciate everything you do. Merry Christmas.
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