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0 Subject: RIBC 2018: Draft Rationales

Posted by: Guru - [330592710] Tue, Aug 28, 2018, 09:13
This thread will contain all of the individual pick rationales for the 2018 RIFC draft. RIFC managers should supply those rationales either in the comment section at the draft site, or in the Rationale Collection thread. You will not be able to post directly into this thread.

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287Guru
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 12:27:39 a.m. ET 2018 		21.07 Brate, Cameron TBB TE
I don’t always feel compelled to add a backup TE. But this year, my primary TE is no sure thing (Ebron), and I have no other compelling needs. Brate has been a serviceable TE in each of the past two seasons, especially when he finds the end zone (14 TD in past two seasons). Not great... just Brate.
288Russelldl
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 12:27:39 a.m. ET 2018 		21.08 Mathieu, Tyrann HOU S
Waited as long as I could on DB2. I like Mathieu's skills and I hope the tackles are there in Houston. It sounds like they are trying to focus him into a more traditional safety role. I'm hoping for a little upside here and it shouldn't be tough to find a replacement if he doesn't pan out.
289youngroman's Luschen
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 12:27:39 a.m. ET 2018 		21.09 Smith, Malcolm SFO LB
I wanted a 3rd LB into the IDP slot. penciled down the LB's that are everydown players. narrowed that number down to players that were productive in the past or that are expected to provide above average tackle numbers this year. The end result were 3 guys: Smith, Cunningham and McMillan. So Smith joined my team. it doesn't hurt that his bye-week does not interfere with the bye weeks of my other IDP's.
290Demaryius Targaryen
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 7:43:18 a.m. ET 2018 		21.10 Grant, Corey JAC RB
When Yeldon isn’t available... considered snagging someone else’s handcuff here, but arguably grant stands to benefit just as much as Yeldon in the event of a fournette injury, which hopefully does not happen.
291Philly Busters
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 7:43:18 a.m. ET 2018 		21.11 Evans, Rashaan TEN LB
Took a flyer on a rookie LB who is slated to start in the middle for the Titans. As the 4th LB, could be waiver wire fodder or a draft day steal in a few weeks.
292Slackjawed Yokel
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 9:44:10 a.m. ET 2018 		21.12 Leonard, Darius IND LB
Another rookie LB (added Roquan Smith as a 'starter' much earlier). Second round pick - is expected to land the starting weakside linebacker gig. May be another rough year for the Colts, so, he may get plenty of opportunity for tackles.
293twolves
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 9:44:10 a.m. ET 2018 		21.13 Gesicki, Mike MIA TE
With Greg Olsen having a 4th week bye needed a TE fill in early. He is unknown as rookie but reports indicate he will likely start and has good potential as pass catcher. Did consider Sefarian-Jenkins my grandson's choice.
294IAC
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 10:35:40 a.m. ET 2018 		21.14 Seferian-Jenkins, Austin JAC TE
21.14 Austin Seferian-Jenkins JAC TE - Nothing overly exciting with this pick, looked at some nice upside WRs (ended up taking one of them two rounds from now), but felt I’m good to go at that position, so took a depth TE here. TE’s extremely TD dependant, and Jacksonville overly the last few years has relied heavily on that position.
295IAC
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 10:38:30 a.m. ET 2018 		22.01 McMillan, Raekwon MIA LB
22.01 Raekwon McMillan MIA LB - I was thinking QB here, but we start have 2LB slots and a flexIDP slot that need bye week fill ins, so I figured I may as well grab a quality replacement now, as an LB will provide me more value. Apparently the starting Mike for the Dolphins, and was probably under the radar due to coming off a 2017 knee injury. High talent, and plenty of opportunity though.
296twolves
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 10:42:14 a.m. ET 2018 		22.02 Ivory, Chris BUF RB
If L. McCoy is unable to go, Ivory would benefit. However, with rookie QB, rushing yards may be hard to come by since teams will likely fill the box and dare him to pass.
297Slackjawed Yokel
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 10:42:14 a.m. ET 2018 		22.03 Bryant, Matt ATL PK
Surprised that the top four kickers went rounds ago. Kind of hoping that this would start another run, but it did not. I actually looked at last two seasons to see where I drafted kickers, and it was early in the 23rd round. Because I don't pick until the end of the 23rd, decide to go ahead and grab Bryant here. Dome team, veteran kicker.
298Philly Busters
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 10:42:14 a.m. ET 2018 		22.04 Gillislee, Mike NOS RB
All the RBs remaining are iffy regarding their fantasy production. With Ingram suspended and Jon Williams on the practice squad, Gillislee could get alot of touches through the first 4 weeks. Maybe he earns a role going beyond that. Worth the risk in round 22.
299Demaryius Targaryen
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 11:35:29 a.m. ET 2018 		22.05 Sutton, Courtland DEN WR
Obligatory Bronco pick. Who knows how many targets / passes he actually catches this year, but he’s an exciting young prospect on a team that can utilize some pass catching depth, something he hopefully can deliver on in the future.
300youngroman's Luschen
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 11:35:29 a.m. ET 2018 		22.06 Cunningham, Zach HOU LB
the last 3-down LB I considered picking. bye-week fills in nicely with all my other IDP's. not much more to say. probably the first player dropped in favor of the hot waiver add in week 1.

2 picks left and still missing: starting DL and starting PK.

301Russelldl
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 12:13:00 p.m. ET 2018 		22.07 Vernon, Olivier NYG LB
I felt like Vernon was the best value on the board either on offense or defense. He's my DL3 so if he doesn't play for the first two weeks, that's no loss.
302Guru
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 12:13:00 p.m. ET 2018 		22.08 Lindsay, Phillip DEN RB
Undrafted rookie, made the team roster by edging out De’Angelo Henderson as RB3. Could potentially take some passing down snaps away from Booker and/or Freeman, and potentially could even advance to RB2. Should do some special teams returning as well. Deep sleeper.
303SwinganaMiss
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 12:31:43 p.m. ET 2018 		22.09 Barnett, Derek PHI DE
I wanted one more Offensive player, 1 PK, and 1 DE with the last 3 picks. Here I was choosing between Barnett and a couple of the other DE who were drafted later or UNDRAFTED. I will have to see about Barnett's playing time with a couple of other DE in the mix in Philly.
304ttucowboy
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 1:02:19 p.m. ET 2018 		22.10 Butker, Harrison KCC PK
Finally time for a kicker and a solid argument could be made that he's the best.Young, strong leg, accurate and kicking for a high powered offense. Kickers are a bit of a crapshoot, but I'm pleased to grab Butker here.
305Wiggs
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 1:02:19 p.m. ET 2018 		22.11 Williams, Terrance DAL WR
Homer pick. Needed to get a cowboy in this draft. Not much going on in the Dallas offense. I guess he’s as good as any other wrs in this offense
306Island Bombers
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 1:02:19 p.m. ET 2018 		22.12 Williams, Mike LAC WR
Took flyer on Mike Williams here as he could finish this season as No. 2 receiver for Chargers. Even with the return of Antonio Gates, Williams could still be one of Rivers' favorite red zone targets, which might somehow further boost his potential fantasy value down the road.
307mmikulka
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 1:36:56 p.m. ET 2018 		22.13 Foreman, D'Onta HOU RB
We have an IR slot, so I might as well use it by handcuffing Lamar Miller with his only talented backup.
308Fugazi
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 1:56:46 p.m. ET 2018 		22.14 Austin, Tavon DAL WR
Austin, Tavon DAL WR - It sounds like Tavon will have return duties, those numbers alone make him a target. Hopefully he will be involved in the offense as well. Austin has great speed and agility, maybe Dallas will figure that out and put him to use.
309Fugazi
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 2:09:26 p.m. ET 2018 		23.01 Meredith, Cameron NOS WR
Meredith, Cameron NOS WR - Just throwing darts here, don't really know anything about the guy but hes a Saint WR so he's worth taking a shot at.
310mmikulka
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 2:37:28 p.m. ET 2018 		23.02 Amendola, Danny MIA WR
I'd been watching a group of 7 target WRs for seemingly forever, waiting for it to dwindle down far enough where I'd be forced to make a decision. That group included Amendola, Mike Williams, Cameron Meredith, Josh Doctson, Kenny Golladay, Quincy Enunwa, and (undrafted).

I still had no DBs standing out to me, and the group of WRs was down to 4, so I made myself choose one. I went with the most boring option, with an eye on "most likely to have a substantial role".

Amendola is old, he has never broken 700 yards in a season, and Jalen Ramsey has some strong negative opinions about him. That said, he has been great on a per-snap basis and pretty good on a per-game basis, and he seemed to be the most likely WR remaining to rack up targets.

During the last 3 years, Jarvis Landry has ranked 6th, 15th, and 4th in targets from that particular slot position, and none of Miami's primary WRs seem to be in line for any serious time in the slot. Amendola's role should be clear pretty quickly, so he will likely be one of my first drops if he's not getting 7+ targets per game.

311Island Bombers
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 2:37:28 p.m. ET 2018 		23.03 Richardson, Paul WAS WR
Even with Docson and Crowder around, Richardson could still carve out his role in WAS passing offense. Richardson who is capable of functioning as the deep threat could really give the opposing defense more trouble with Alex Smith more willing to throw more deep balls like he did last year with KC.
312Wiggs
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 2:37:28 p.m. ET 2018 		23.04 Gore, Frank MIA RB
I can’t imagine much from gore this season but if he plays it’s worth a shot at the 23rd round.
313ttucowboy
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 3:07:52 p.m. ET 2018 		23.05 Beasley, Cole DAL WR
My draft wouldn't be complete without a Dallas Cowboy on my team. My hope is that I never need to use Beasley. If I do, my next hope is that him and Dak can rekindle the rapport they once had. He should be able to become Dak's security blanket with Witten retired.
314SwinganaMiss
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 3:07:52 p.m. ET 2018 		23.06 Elliott, Jake PHI PK
Went with the kicker here, just to make sure I got one on a good scoring offense. While Philly might start slow, they should ramp it up before too long. I queued up Crosby behind Elliot, and decided to save the Offense position for Rd 24.
315Guru
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 3:07:52 p.m. ET 2018 		23.07 Tannehill, Ryan MIA QB
No special needs to fill, so just building some early-season QB depth. Probably will get dropped sooner than later.
316Russelldl
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 3:14:50 p.m. ET 2018 		23.08 Riddick, Theo DET RB
Finished stockpiling RBs. Riddick can occasionally provide value just as a 3rd down back and anytime they have to turn to him for carries, he becomes useable.
317youngroman's Luschen
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 3:14:50 p.m. ET 2018 		23.09 Sheard, Jabaal IND DE
we need to start 2 DL's every week. There is not much difference between most DL's. often the difference lies in the matchup and if it offers better opportunities for sacks.

Sheard had a high snap count in 2017 and was in for 84% of all defensive plays. this means he is top 10 in volume of opportunity. If he makes the most of these opportunities he could be a valuable DL. if not, I will ride the weekly matchup.

318Demaryius Targaryen
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 4:57:00 p.m. ET 2018 		23.10 Goodson, B.J. NYG LB
Solid when healthy! He’s still really young, hopefully he plays more this year and can keep up with last years numbers when he does.
319Philly Busters
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 4:57:00 p.m. ET 2018 		23.11 Grant, Ryan IND WR
The number 2 receiver in Indy with Luck back should have ample opportunity to produce and is a worthwhile risk in round 23.
320Slackjawed Yokel
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 5:25:01 p.m. ET 2018 		23.12 Martin, Doug OAK RB
Didn't really overthink this one. Thought about depth really - can't have too many quality RB/WR - and checked MFL's ranking and ADP - Doug Martin was highest rated. Still name recognition, perhaps? Looks to be the second option in Oakland to Lynch.
321twolves
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 5:25:01 p.m. ET 2018 		23.13 Gould, Robbie SFO PK
Needed place kicker and was down to Gould or Boswell depending if one got taken ahead of me. Picked Gould because of last half of season with Garappolo his numbers went up.
322IAC
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 5:46:40 p.m. ET 2018 		23.14 Miller, Anthony CHI WR
23.14 Anthony Miller CHI WR - My 2nd last pick in the draft, and since we are a kicker required league, I really consider this my last pick… as I’ve made it through the draft w/o major injuries to my players, so nobody is going to the Waiver Wire. The offence in Chicago is apparently designed to flow through the middle of the field, so Burton & Miller (the starting slot receiver) could be seeing the bulk of the targets. This rookie was coveted by the Bears in the draft… and they paid a lot of get him on the team, so I’m looking forward to seeing him work.
323IAC
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 5:50:19 p.m. ET 2018 		24.01 Boswell, Chris PIT PK
24.01 Chris Boswell PIT PK - He’s a kicker, he’s been relatively accurate, and he’s playing on an offence that should put up points… sound fine to me.
324twolves
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 5:58:23 p.m. ET 2018 		24.02 Casey, Jurrell TEN DE
Filled in another defensive player and hope he continues his 2017 play.
325Slackjawed Yokel
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 6:39:25 p.m. ET 2018 		24.03 Dorsett, Phillip NEP WR
Still only had 4 WR, so decided to go that direction. It's always tricky to see who will emerge as the top producers in New England at the RB/WR position - so worth using this pick on Dorsett. With Edelman starting the year on suspension - it'll give Dorsett a chance to step up.
326Philly Busters
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 6:39:25 p.m. ET 2018 		24.04 Vinatieri, Adam IND PK
He's a kicker. PLays home games indoors. Indy's offense will be better with Luck back. No running game to speak of could mean red zone stops for opposing defenses on 3rd and short.
327Demaryius Targaryen
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 7:09:35 p.m. ET 2018 		24.05 Lattimore, Marshon NOS CB
Last pick! Phew. I don’t usually target cornerbacks, but Lattimore had an excellent rookie season last year. Who knows how the rookie corner rule will play out and his production could certainly drop off, but if not, he has some viability week to week based on matchup.
328youngroman's Luschen
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 7:09:35 p.m. ET 2018 		24.06 Crosby, Mason GBP PK
most kickers score the same over a season. they have peaks in performance and depend on how good their offense is in either getting the yards but don't score the TD, or score the TD. if you have the kicker of a team that scores a lot of TD's, the kicker won't score as much as when you have the kicker of a team that consistently fails in the red zone. too bad that this can't be really predicted.

for now I took a kicker where the offense is led by the best QB in the league. this should automatically give him opportunities. lets see if this are FG or XP opportunities.

329Russelldl
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 7:29:05 p.m. ET 2018 		24.07 Prater, Matt DET PK
Matt Prater is a kicker.
330Guru
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 7:29:05 p.m. ET 2018 		24.08 Boyle, Tim GBP QB
Boyle played high school ball locally, and was a hyped recruit at QB for UConn. Never really took control of the top QB spot, and eventually transferred to Eastern Kentucky to finish out his collegiate career. So I’m stunned to see that he made the cut as Green Bay’s QB3.

There is virtually no chance that Boyle will stay on my roster past the first weekend (if even that), but I figured I would probably be the only fantasy team in the country to draft him – so I did it just for kicks.

331SwinganaMiss
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 8:13:01 p.m. ET 2018 		24.09 Enunwa, Quincy NYJ WR
Probably a mistake taking the kicker. A few of the receivers I was wanting actually went off the board (Grant, Miller, and Dorsett were all on my short list). I will settle for Enunwa here. The Jets offense will most likely be awful, but maybe Darnold will breathe a little life into them.
332ttucowboy
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 8:17:11 p.m. ET 2018 		24.10 Samuels, Jaylen PIT RB
Deep deeeeeeeep sleeper...because....that's what you are supposed to do with your last pick, right!?! The Bell situation is getting ugly. He's more likely to be my first cut than a difference maker, but I'll take a shot here.
333Wiggs
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 8:17:11 p.m. ET 2018 		24.11 Ridley, Calvin ATL WR
Ridley with the 24th round pick is all for the upside. If he exploded it’s a great pick. If he bombs out it’s ok
334Island Bombers
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 9:37:24 p.m. ET 2018 		24.12 Williams, Leonard NYJ DE
Actually, I was not so sure about how to use my last pick. So I kind of just picked the one with the best rank in MFL. There was no RB nor LB I would like to have at this point but Williams could easily be dropped first when the regular season officially starts.
335mmikulka
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 9:38:15 p.m. ET 2018 		24.13 Berry, Eric KCC S
I won't be drafting a kicker, but I will have an extra roster slot available after I move D'Onta Foreman to the IR, so I'll add one in the next few days.

If Berry was healthy, he probably would have gone several rounds ago. Last year, after complaining of a sore heel in the preseason, he tore his Achilles tendon in week 1. His heel is sore again now, and he is iffy for the first game. It looks bad, and I'm expecting to drop him this weekend for an active DB. As a last rounder, though, I might as well go for the upside in case he actually does start. Maybe everybody is just being extra cautious because of what happened last year.

336Fugazi
      ID: 330592710
     Mon Sep 3 9:50:00 p.m. ET 2018 		24.14 Hines, Nyheim IND RB
Hines, Nyheim IND RB - Taking a chance on a rookie, don't know much about him. Read some nice things about his ability, not counting on anything here.
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