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0 Subject: RIHC 2008-09: Getting started

Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Wed, Sep 17, 2008, 16:15

It’s time to begin organizing the RIHC leagues.

The RIHC managers have all been invited and have accepted (subject to one potential issue). My guidelines for succession were to give initial priority to the top 4 RIHC teams (excluding me), the teams finishing 1-2 in each AAA league, the winner of each AA league (2), and me. Those total 10 teams. Next in line would be the third place teams in the two AAA leagues. Since one league had a tie for third, this left 3 potential managers for two spots. As means to break the tie, I first considered GuruPatron status. Since two of the three were GuruPatrons, I invited them, and the other team is the first “bubble” team.

So, here is the list of the 12 RIHC managers for 2008-09:
Top 5 RIHC: Mike D, Guru, Footwedge, Species, S_R
Top 2 AAA1: EuroGollam, Florian
Top 3 AAA2: Pacers Rule, xpdurmind, deejay (tie), weykool (tie)
AA Winner: KnicksFan

first alternate: 3rd place AAA1 (Holt)

The caveat is that xpdurmind may have a work conflict that precludes him for participating. He has promised to let me know by September 28th. If he cannot participate, Holt will be offered that spot.

I expect the draft to take place during the second half of October. For the RIHC, the draft should not require more than about 8 days, so a starting date of October 15 should work out well. Prior to that, we need to consider whether any rules changes are warranted, and also go through the process of selecting our draft order.

I will open up a thread for qualifying leagues in a moment. After that, we can begin discussing potential rules changes in this thread.
Only the 50 most recent replies are currently shown. Click on this text to display hidden posts as well.
36Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Mon, Sep 29, 2008, 16:35
lol......no doubt, deejay. Maybe he was using an old German/Austrian morse code. I say we decode it and run it again!
37deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Mon, Sep 29, 2008, 17:01
for sure wasnt Spanish or Flemish. :)
38Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Mon, Sep 29, 2008, 17:10
I know! Guru! s R should be AFTER 'Species' in the initial alphabetization!! Easy mistake to make. Please fix it and put me 2nd :)
39Florian
      ID: 538292916
      Mon, Sep 29, 2008, 17:38
Sorry about the strange set of numbers. I just went to an online random number generator and thought I'd generated a random sorting of the numbers 1-12. I didn't actually review the numbers before I emailed them to Guru.
40holt
      ID: 29862517
      Mon, Sep 29, 2008, 19:01
1 Holt
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

2 s R
3 Pacers Rule
4 Mike D
5 EuroGollum
6 KnicksFan
7 Florian
8 Weykool
9 deejay
10 Guru
11 Footwedge
12 Species
41s R
      ID: 54048267
      Tue, Sep 30, 2008, 02:29
1 Holt
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 s R

3 Pacers Rule
4 Mike D
5 EuroGollum
6 KnicksFan
7 Florian
8 Weykool
9 deejay
10 Guru
11 Footwedge
12 Species
42Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Sep 30, 2008, 10:03
Picking for Pacers Rule per email instructions:

1 Holt
2 Pacers Rule
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 s R


4 Mike D
5 EuroGollum
6 KnicksFan
7 Florian
8 Weykool
9 deejay
10 Guru
11 Footwedge
12 Species
43Mike D
      Leader
      ID: 041831612
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 07:03
I'm here, still trying to decide.
44weykool
      ID: 45821208
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 09:18
I'm here, still trying to decide.
May I suggest using Florian's random number generator?
45deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 11:56
Tough decision it seems.
46Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 12:15
While waiting, I looked back at the results for first 5 RIHC seasons. Here is the draft order for the eventual winner each season:

2007-08: 8th (Mike D)
2006-07: 8th (Guru)
2005-06: 7th (Mike D)
2004-05: 9th (Euro)
2003-04: 3rd (Dave R)

Meanwhile, the team with the top pick has finished in 12th, 11th, 10th, 7th, and 9th.

So much for the value of drafting first!

47Florian
      ID: 272433110
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 12:23
Based on Guru's analysis I guess I should be happy I didn't end up with the first pick. And I have to make sure I draft somewhere between seventh and ninth.

Mike D May I suggest the eighth pick based on Guru's excellent analysis of previous years.
48Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 12:39
As an aside, I've been considering shifting the Invitational Leagues to a "modified snake" format.

In this format, the first two rounds would snake back and forth as usual. However, the third round would mimic the second round, and the fourth round would mimic the first. This 4-round pattern would then continue throughout the draft. Expressed another way, here is the pattern:

Round 1: 1-12
Round 2: 12-1
Round 3: 12-1
Round 4: 1-12
...

This would mean that the team getting the top pick would also have the 24th pick, the 36th, and the 37th. It is a way to try to neutralize the advantage of getting one of the top picks.

Of course, I've seen no evidence in any of the Invitational leagues (in any sport) that drafting near the beginning of the first round has any inherent advantage. So this may be a solution for a non-problem.

In any event, I have not proposed this yet because the kafenatid.net software doesn't support it (or at least not without a lot of artificial trading of draft picks). However, this is likely to be an option next year, and if it is, I'll probably propose it for baseball.

Food for thought.
49Mike D
      Leader
      ID: 41831612
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 12:55
Guru's historical post is what is driving me nuts. I had already gone and looked back. I'll have the decision in a couple hours. I need to climb the mountain and meditate.
50weykool
      ID: 2842717
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 18:24
Think long....think wrong.
51Pacers Rule
      Sustainer
      ID: 910311210
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 19:35
At least we know you're not obsessive.
52Pacers Rule
      Sustainer
      ID: 910311210
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 20:04
#48
This modified snake does seem, on its face, infinitely more fair- except of course for round 15. ;-) Seem may be the key word as you mentioned based on your sample. Still, I'm jazzed about the #2 pick since looking back on my last four years of RIHC and QLs I believe I've picked #8, #11, #11, and finally last year I shot up to #6. Come to think of it, however, my two (QL) wins came from the drafts with picks 8 and 6. Hmmmm. Is it too late to switch to #6?!! Just trying to help a brother out, Mike D.
53Mike D
      Leader
      ID: 041831612
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 21:31
Sorry for the delay. I was going back, forth, and back again about a few things. Which makes it look kinda silly that I'm taking pick 3 after all this. But I can handle the ridicule as long as I still get to pick third.


1 Holt
2 Pacers Rule
3 Mike D
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 s R



5 EuroGollum
6 KnicksFan
7 Florian
8 Weykool
9 deejay
10 Guru
11 Footwedge
12 Species
54holt
      ID: 29862517
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 22:25
Has there ever been a snake vs modified snake test done where a league drafts players based on a completed season? What I mean is, doing a snake draft of 2007 players, then a modified snake. Just have each team draft one player for each position, then add the 2007 stats and see where each draft position finishes. This would allow you to judge draft positions based on league results while eliminating other factors such as the drafters only guessing at player values, roster moves, strategic starting/benching, etc.

How difficult would it be to set up a draft program to run a test like that? Such a program could apply it to different sports/seasons and have a large sample to look at.

One thing that makes me wonder about the modified snake draft is that it is based on the idea that the top 3 players or so are a great deal more talented than the other first rounders. Is it still more fair than a normal snake when the top few players aren't much better than the rest of the 1st rounders (does that ever happen)? I have no idea. Just some questions that come to mind.
55weykool
      ID: 4694122
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 23:10
But I can handle the ridicule as long as I still get to pick third.

And that is why I advised you in post #44 to use Florian's RNG....with four 3's your odds of getting the pick you ended up with would have been almost assured.
56holt
      ID: 29862517
      Wed, Oct 01, 2008, 23:29
LOL
57Mike D
      Leader
      ID: 041831612
      Thu, Oct 02, 2008, 00:59
weykool, it was so compelling of a suggestion that I just had to go for it.
58Swish City
      Dude
      ID: 0931275
      Thu, Oct 02, 2008, 04:56
I'll need some thinking time as well. Now the top 3 slots are gone, it's really tough to decide where to pick.
59Swish City
      Dude
      ID: 0931275
      Thu, Oct 02, 2008, 11:17
After much deliberating, i can't see an overwhelmingly compelling reason to not take #4. So, i'll be boring, and do exactly that. Next...

1 Holt
2 Pacers Rule
3 Mike D
4 EuroGollum
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 s R



6 KnicksFan
7 Florian
8 Weykool
9 deejay
10 Guru
11 Footwedge
12 Species

60KnicksFan
      ID: 188563018
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 00:52
1 Holt
2 Pacers Rule
3 Mike D
4 EuroGollum
5 KnicksFan
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 s R


7 Florian
8 Weykool
9 deejay
10 Guru
11 Footwedge
12 Species
61Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 09:40
Per email instructions from Florian and weykool:

1 Holt
2 Pacers Rule
3 Mike D
4 EuroGollum
5 KnicksFan
6 Florian
7 weykool

8
9
10
11
12 s R


9 deejay
10 Guru
11 Footwedge
12 Species
62deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 09:56
Here, will pick soon
63deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 10:06
1 Holt
2 Pacers Rule
3 Mike D
4 EuroGollum
5 KnicksFan
6 Florian
7 weykool
8 deejay
9
10
11
12 s R


10 Guru
11 Footwedge
12 Species
64Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 10:34
1 Holt
2 Pacers Rule
3 Mike D
4 EuroGollum
5 KnicksFan
6 Florian
7 weykool
8 deejay
9 Guru
10
11
12 s R


11 Footwedge
12 Species
65E'ville
      ID: 154442214
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 11:02
1 Holt
2 Pacers Rule
3 Mike D
4 EuroGollum
5 KnicksFan
6 Florian
7 weykool
8 deejay
9 Guru
10 Footwedge
11 Species
12 s R
66Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 12:09
I'm planning to start the draft on October 15th. Based on past performance, I'd expect us to finish on Oct. 23rd.

Does that time frame work for everyone? The season begins on Oct 28, which provides ample leeway.
67Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 12:10
Yes....although of course my annual college football homecoming guy's weekend of golf/poker/football/etc is the weekend of the 18th. Doh!
68Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 12:14
It encourages me to know that some of those weekend picks will likely be made while you're drunk and on tilt.

69deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 12:22
That works for me.
Friday/Saturday nights(Europe) are the nights Im not around that much, but Ive always managed in the past.
70Florian
      ID: 272433110
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 17:08
Starting draft on Oct.15th works for me as well.

While I prefer the current snake draft, the modified snake draft does have some appeal. If we were using a modified snake draft, I would have likely chosen to pick 7th or 8th rather than sixth.
71E'ville
      ID: 154442214
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 17:08
Sounds good. I'm just excited not to be picking 11th or 12th for a change. At 10th I get one more option. Yessssss.
72Mike D
      Leader
      ID: 041831612
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 17:54
Sounds good to me. I'll pick anywhere, anytime. ;)
73Pacers Rule
      Sustainer
      ID: 910311210
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 22:21
Should work for me. I might be a little squeezed at the end but I can leave queues if need be.
74Species
      Dude
      ID: 07724916
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 22:44
Guru 68: nah! Same weekend happened in the midst of the RIHC draft last year! Some of my best picks, too!!
75Mike D
      Leader
      ID: 041831612
      Fri, Oct 03, 2008, 23:29
That's when you're at your best.
76Swish City
      Dude
      ID: 0931275
      Sat, Oct 04, 2008, 09:01
The weekend of 18th-19th October is very difficult for me, but hopefully should be able to work around it, being in Europe.
77 Pacers Rule
      Sustainer
      ID: 910311210
      Sun, Oct 05, 2008, 17:07
email addy update. It wouldn't hurt to put RIHC in the title of your email. I'll make sure the email addy saved in yahoo lines up. You can use my (other) shared family email address, but your note will be a little more likely to be lost in the sea of spam filtered junk mail.
78Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Fri, Oct 10, 2008, 15:46
I put together a text file of all Yahoo-listed players, along with their Yahoo positions.

http://rotoguru1.com/hoop/Yahoo_pos.prn
79Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Mon, Oct 13, 2008, 10:41
The draft will start on Wednesday with a 6 hour clock. The draft clock will continue through weekends. There will be a clock moratorium each night from 1am until 7am Eastern time. Picks can continue to be made during the moratorium period, but the clock will be paused. Those picking at the endpoints do not get a double clock. In addition, if anyone is already in arrears for a pick when their next pick is due, they do not necessarily get a second clock period. This will be subject to Commissioner discretion.

I will plan to activate the draft on Tuesday evening. Although the draft does not officially begin until Wednesday, the early activation will allow anyone a chance to set a queue in advance, if desired.
80Mike D
      Leader
      ID: 041831612
      Mon, Oct 13, 2008, 12:19
Sounds great. Looking forward to it. Should be a fun draft this year with many wildcards.
81Swish City
      Dude
      ID: 0931275
      Tue, Oct 14x, 2008, 08:02
Guru, this weekend is going to be very, very difficult for me. The roster freeze times are 6am - 12pm here in the UK, and that combined with the 6 hour slots is going to make things very awkward for me.

There is a chance i might have zero internet access from Friday 7pm GMT until Sunday 10pm GMT. I don't really want to be leaving gargantuan queues for my crucial middle round picks.

Is there any way we can extend the clock to 8 hours, even if it's just during this weekend? That would make a huge difference to me.

Sorry for causing inconvenience - i know i picked the wrong weekend to be out of town :P Everything should be fine again when i get back on Sunday night.
82Guru
      ID: 330592710
      Tue, Oct 14x, 2008, 10:06
Swish - I will extend the clock to 8 hours for you this weekend if it looks like you may need it.
83deejay
      Sustainer
      ID: 501182710
      Tue, Oct 14x, 2008, 10:46
I should have no problem being around, if needed Ill leave a queue, allthough my PC crashed and am working(struggling, better said) on my GF's Mac right now, and I lost my pre-rankings which pisses me off.
Good thing I had a small ranking saved on yahoo.
Hope to have another PC soon. Timing really sucks.
84KnicksFan
      Sustainer
      ID: 030815418
      Tue, Oct 14x, 2008, 13:39
Pre-rankings? Draft prep? You gotta draft on pure adrenaline and instinct!
85weykool
      ID: 45821208
      Tue, Oct 14x, 2008, 19:23
Pre-rankings? Draft prep? You gotta draft on pure adrenaline and instinct!

All DJ was saying was he had all his coins lined up and he was ready to draft.
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