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0 Subject: RIBC 2018: Draft Rationales

Posted by: Guru
- [330592710] Tue, Aug 28, 2018, 09:13

This thread will contain all of the individual pick rationales for the 2018 RIFC draft. RIFC managers should supply those rationales either in the comment section at the draft site, or in the Rationale Collection thread. You will not be able to post directly into this thread.

I expect that this thread will be updated daily.
1Fugazi
      ID: 330592710
     Fri Aug 24 9:04:05 p.m. ET 2018
1.01 Gurley, Todd LAR RB
I always enjoy drafting from the first or last position. I did consider going fourth to get a little boost on picks two and three, but in the end went with pick one because of Gurley.

Gurley: This pick was easy for me, Gurley is as solid as it gets. Looking at the top four RBs he's the only one with no question marks. Bell, Elliot and Johnson are all great players but to me Gurley stands alone here. It also didn't hurt that I had him last year and a Rams fan as well.

2mmikulka
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 1:00:19 a.m. ET 2018
1.02 Bell, Le'Veon PIT RB
Draft Pick Selection #2: I rarely pick towards the front of the draft in RIFC: I tend to either choose a late pick to take advantage of the banzai format or I get stuck somewhere in the middle because of bad luck in the selection lottery.

This year, I was one of the first to choose, and I was pleased to have a full set of options. To me, there was a very clear top 5: Bell/Gurley/Elliott/Johnson/Antonio Brown.

I considered taking 5th (planning on Antonio Brown) and 13th (probably a WR/WR combo). I decided that I didn't trust David Johnson enough and I considered 3rd, but ended up taking the 2nd slot in the hopes of getting Le'Veon Bell. Additionally, I enjoy picking near the turn so that I have a better chance of predicting who will go in between my picks.

Bell: I traditionally dislike taking RBs in the first round; due to the fact we only start 2, due to the RB-heavy tendencies of the RIFC leagues, and due to their relative volatility from year to year.

That said, Bell has everything I look for in a 1st round pick. Through his first 5 seasons of work, he has averaged 129 all purpose yards per game (and never fewer than 97 yards per game in a season). He is heavily involved in the passing game, and he stays heavily involved even if his team is winning or losing by a large margin. He is healthy, only 26 years old, and plays for a team with a solid offensive line and elite downfield receiving threats.

My only complaint is that I would feel a little more comfortable if he had already reported to the Steelers. He promised it would be his best season yet on Twitter, though, so I have no worries about him holding out.

3Island Bombers
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 8:27:01 a.m. ET 2018
1.03 Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB
I usually choose the back end slot especially in 3RR league like this. But when the third slot was available it took me very little time to pick that one since I highly value the top 4 running backs believing there is huge difference between them and others fantasy-wise. Really debated between Elliot and DJ---both would play a lot of snaps (even out of slot). That QB situation in Dallas seems better than AZ prompts me to take Elliot.
4Wiggs
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 8:27:01 a.m. ET 2018
1.04 Johnson, David ARI RB
Pick #4: I wanted a top 4 running back and I was hoping to get Zeke here. I will settle for DJ and hope he returns to then DJ of old. I didn’t really consider anyone else with this pick.
5ttucowboy
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 5:12:49 p.m. ET 2018
1.05 Brown, Antonio PIT WR
Draft Pick Selection #5: When it was my turn to select, I had to choose #5 or #14. Ended up going with #5 because I thought I would be picking Zeke or DJ with Zeke being my primary target. I should've noticed wiggs ahead of me and known Zeke would never make it past him (he's a Cowboys fan like me). Turned out to be absolute worst case as nobody ahead of me took AB.

Antonio Brown: Not thrilled with this pick, but do feel like it's the right one to make here. He's the last player on the top tier and has been the most consistent fantasy football player out there. Pitt is absolutely loaded on offense so good luck double teaming him. As long as he stays healthy, he'll pay off his position.

6SwinganaMiss
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 7:10:26 p.m. ET 2018
1.06 Barkley, Saquon NYG RB
Draft Slot 06: Choices were limited to 5,6,14 when my pick was up. I really prefer to start w/ RB and 5 looked like AB, so I steered clear (I have a hard time rooting for Steeler success also, so that's another reason I didn't really want Brown). I prefer also to be in the middle of the rounds, so 14 was not ideal. Thus, 6 was the choice. Would have preferred ~9, had it been available.

Barkley: Choice here was between Barkley and Gordon primarily, with Kamara a 3rd choice. In the end, I went with the riskier pick of the rookie. Last year, Hunt and Fournette were solid rookies, so hoping for more of the same here. He has no viable competition (at least for carries). If he gets/stays healthy he can pay off.

7Guru
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 7:23:03 p.m. ET 2018
1.07 Kamara, Alvin NOS RB
Pick 7: I really would have preferred something in the 9-10 range, thinking that it would give me a choice of a top tier RB. But picks 8-11 were taken (suggesting that perhaps my thinking wasn’t unique), and I wasn’t sure I wanted to wait until #12. So I took #7.

I wasn’t expecting Kamara to survive to this pick. The top four picks seemed pretty assured, but when Antonio Brown and Barkley were taken, I had a wider choice than I expected.

Fournette, Gordon, and Hunt were considered, but I decided to go with the guys who seems to be the consensus pick of that group. Part of his value probably comes from the extra workload expected in the first four weeks – which, of course, are of no benefit of I make the playoffs – but he proved to be a high-efficiency, low-turnover option last year, and should provide enough versatility to be a valuable contributor every week.

8Russelldl
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 7:37:00 p.m. ET 2018
1.08 Jones, Julio ATL WR
1. I selected the 8th spot specifically for Julio Jones. I felt like the top 8 players were all guys I could feel confident in knowing what they will give me. Jones specifically is always a bit of a concern with the lack of touchdowns but all I want from the first round is to pick as low as I can while still feeling confident that I’m getting a solid play that I don’t have to worry about.
9youngroman's Luschen
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 7:37:00 p.m. ET 2018
1.09 Gordon, Melvin LAC RB
#9 pick: I thought that only RBs + Antonio Brown will go in the first 10 picks. I would have liked Brown, but I opted for the better pick in rounds 2 to 4. at worst I take a WR in round 1 and a RB in round 2. if not I do the opposite.

Gordon: with Brown gone the obvious choice was a RB. since Barkley went at #6 my 4 man queue of RB-RB-RB-WR was down to a 3 RB's. Julio Jones went as well, so the #2 choice from my queue joined my team: Melvin Gordon. He is good for 1500 yards and double digit TD's. only Fournette is capable of doing the same. I would have been happy with him too.

10Demaryius Targaryen
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 10:25:50 p.m. ET 2018
1.10 Fournette, Leonard JAC RB
Draft Slot #10: Blessing and a curse getting to select my pick as early as I did. I wanted a RB in round 1, but ended up deciding against taking one of the big 4 in favor of getting a shot at better options round 2-4. I figured there would be enough of a run on RBs that I couldn’t count on getting someone I wanted if I went too late in round 1, so ended up settling in at 10.

Fournette: This pick ultimately came down to Fournette and DeAndre Hopkins for me, since Melvin Gordon went just ahead. I wasn’t expecting Hopkins to be available at 10, but the run on RBs early feels especially strong this year. Ended up sticking with my initial draft plan to take a RB first, figuring the remaining RB1s I was targeting would go before my second pick came up, and felt I could find value at WR later on in the draft easier than I could at RB. Fournette is definitely a workhorse, and I think he has the potential to end up as high as RB5 overall if he stays healthy and continues to deliver. Hunt’s pass protection woes and Dalvin Cook’s return from injury placed them just below Fournette for me on the RB front.

11Philly Busters
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 10:25:50 p.m. ET 2018
1.11 Hunt, Kareem KCC RB
[]I took the 11th draft slot with the plan to take one of the 9 RBs I considered worthy of a 1st round pick. Counted on Antonio Brown and 1 other WR going before this so this was as low as I was comfortable drafting. Got the last guy on my RB list. SO far so good.
12Slackjawed Yokel
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 11:21:07 p.m. ET 2018
1.12 Hopkins, DeAndre HOU WR
13twolves
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 11:24:48 p.m. ET 2018
1.13 Cook, Dalvin MIN RB
It was Beckham or Cook. Although Beckham was rated higher and looks like he will have a great year if healthy which it appears, I decided to take Cook as last one left In my first tier of RBs . From Minn reports he is healthy although doing nothing in preseason.
14IAC
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 11:40:03 p.m. ET 2018
1.14 Beckham, Odell NYG WR
14th Overall. I was last up, and all that was left was #14. So the choice was easy, if not surprising though. Normally I think that in 3RR Leagues, that one or two managers are interested in that slot... but apparently not this time. Personally, I find it hard to "find value" when I'm picking back-to-back and with such long stretches between picks... but I'll make due.

Beckham JR: Being at the end of the first round, leaves you very much at the mercy of the other 13 managers. Will they take “your guys”, or will one of them squeak through? I wouldn’t say Beckham was “one of my guys”, and I understand the apprehension (injury concerns) of investing a 1st round pick on him, but I wasn’t expecting to still see him available here. The run of stud RBs really lead to this, and I agree with those managers choices.

15IAC
      ID: 330592710
     Sat Aug 25 11:40:18 p.m. ET 2018
2.01 McCaffrey, Christian CAR RB
A little early by “expert rankings” or ADP, but I really wanted a RB in my 1st two picks that I’d be comfortable with as my RB1. McCaffrey should see plenty of work (especially in the passing game), and I’m looking forward to him bringing consistent results. The news of UNDRAFTED coming in is a little troubling, hopefully it won’t affect his touches #s too much.
16twolves
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 9:17:28 a.m. ET 2018
2.02 Allen, Keenan LAC WR
I liked WR better than available RBs. Since Beckham is gone, I had choice of Allen, Thomas, and T. Hill. It was more of coin flip as all are looking at possible outstanding seasons. With Allen good second half last year decided to take Allen.
17Slackjawed Yokel
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 9:17:28 a.m. ET 2018
2.03 Freeman, Devonta ATL RB
[]
18Philly Busters
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 9:17:28 a.m. ET 2018
2.04 Thomas, Michael NOS WR
[]Thought I would go RB here in pre-draft planning but the value was at WR and thrilled to get Michael THomas. Had Thomas, Adams, Allen queued and happy to get #1. Should be great again after 2 productive WR1 seasons getting targeted frequently by Drew Brees.
19Demaryius Targaryen
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 10:16:23 a.m. ET 2018
2.05 Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE
I reached (slightly) above ADP for Gronk here. I tend to be a sucker for elite tight ends, and I didn’t think Kelce would make his way back around to me in round 3. He’s in a league of his own at TE, and I will just hope and pray that he will have the consistency of 2017 Gronk and not 2016 Gronk. Probably would’ve taken Allen or Thomas had either been available, but both went shortly before me. I considered all three WRs that went right after me too (Adams / Green / Hill), of which I wanted Hill probably the most, but uncertainty due to new QB situation scared me off.
20youngroman's Luschen
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 10:51:43 a.m. ET 2018
2.06 Adams, Davante GBP WR
after going RB in the first round it was a given to go WR in the second. the top options available were: Adams, AJ Green and Tyreek Hill. Adams is the #1 receiver of the best QB in the game. he will get plenty of looks and he is a threat for double digit TD's. no need to look deeper into the other 2 options who have both questionmarks at QB.
21Russelldl
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 11:18:07 a.m. ET 2018
2.07 Green, A.J. CIN WR
2. The A.J.Green pick was tough. My strategy is generally to take the best guy on the board and not worry about position, but RB scarcity is a concern. I felt like the RBs on the board at this point would have been a stretch so I stayed with the guy I had as best available. I was hoping Gronk or Davante Adams would fall to me but no luck.
22Guru
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 1:09:43 p.m. ET 2018
2.08 Hill, Tyreek KCC WR
Considered a second RB here, with Josh Howard and Joe Mixon the most likely candidates. At WR, I though Hill was the top choice. Each of the three has something to recommend them, and something to be wary of. I decided to go for Hill and keep my options open in the next few rounds by balancing my starting offense.

Hill ranked #3 among WR last year, averaging almost 12.8. He’s got a new QB this year who can throw the deep ball, but also a new WR teammate (Watkins) who will be targeted on some of those deep balls. He’s a receiver I hoped to draft in several leagues last year but never pulled the trigger soon enough. This year, I did.

23SwinganaMiss
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 3:56:46 p.m. ET 2018
2.09 Mixon, Joe CIN RB
2.06 Joe Mixon, RB CIN The last 3 guys I was considering for this WR tier went just prior to my pick here. I'm not sold on Mike Evans this season. So, back to RB I go. Was really down to Howard and Mixon here. I'm hoping for a big step up for Mixon this season. The talent "is there". I am hoping for big things from Howard also, but I was already invested there (in RG14). So I opted for Mixon. Ultimately, I would've been happy with any of the previous 4 picks, but will give RB/RB a shot.
24ttucowboy
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 4:06:22 p.m. ET 2018
2.10 Howard, Jordan CHI RB
Sneaky RB1 upside here. HC Nagy is a brilliant offensive mind and has said he plans on Howard playing all 3 downs. Cohen is more of a gadget back and I see him getting touches out of the slot. Looks like Howard will be the bell-cow in which should be a fun offense to watch.
25Wiggs
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 4:06:22 p.m. ET 2018
2.11 Evans, Mike TBB WR
[]Was hoping for Mixon or Howard here When both were gone I went best available wide receiver
26Island Bombers
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 6:53:32 p.m. ET 2018
2.12 McCoy, LeSean BUF RB
McCoy remains the number one option for Bills but this is still a risky pick considering his age and off-field issue. He could still handle a lion share of both running and even passing offense snaps so long as he is healthy. But Bills QB situation is still murky but whoever emerges to start he is expected to struggle at least for some time and therefore the opposing defense might just stack the box to make the running game more challenging.
27mmikulka
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 7:12:06 p.m. ET 2018
2.13 Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
Nobody really stood out here, so I went with Rodgers. I wouldn't say he's the unambiguous #1 QB option that he has been a few times in the past, but he has a long history of greatness and offers a very high floor.

He is 34 and got hurt last year, but that's not particularly old for a QB, and he had a 22 point game against the Panthers when he came back in week 17.

The other time Rodgers returned from an injury-shortened season, he threw for 4386 yards and 38 TDs. I don't necessarily expect a repeat of that, but he has had at least 3800 yards and 28 TDs in every season of 10+ games, and I would be surprised if he doesn't continue that streak.

28Fugazi
      ID: 330592710
     Sun Aug 26 7:21:07 p.m. ET 2018
2.14 McKinnon, Jerick SFO RB
McKinnon, Jerick SFO RB - The RBs were falling so fast, I figured I better go RB2 here. Looking over the available players McKinnon looked to have the better upside. I considered taking Ju-Ju here but the thought of who my RB2 would be scared me into drafting McKinnon here.
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